Well, hello and welcome to the eCommerce Podcast with
Speaker:me, your host, Matt Edmundson.
Speaker:The eCommerce Podcast is all about helping you deliver eCommerce wow.
Speaker:And to help us do just that, today we are chatting with
Speaker:Shirish Nadkarni about unlocking marketplace success and overcoming.
Speaker:Modern.
Speaker:Monopolist.
Speaker:Oh, yes we are.
Speaker:But before we dive into that conversation, let me, uh, just remind you, dear
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Speaker:Now, oh yes, perfect timing on the music, it's almost like I'm a professional,
Speaker:ha, ha, ha, ha, ha, steady on Matt, let's not get ahead of ourselves.
Speaker:Now let's meet Shirish Nadkarni, a serial entrepreneur with the Midas touch for
Speaker:creating businesses that reach millions.
Speaker:Not only did he co found Live Mockup.
Speaker:The language learning giant and he also laid the groundwork
Speaker:for BlackBerry internet email.
Speaker:We are going back a little bit there Shirish, I'm not gonna lie.
Speaker:He also shares his wisdom as an author, his books from Startup to Exit and his
Speaker:recent masterpiece, Winner Takes All, case studies in how online marketplaces
Speaker:are creating modern monopolies are must reads in the business well
Speaker:Shirish good to have you on the show.
Speaker:Thank you for joining us all the way from Seattle, Washington.
Speaker:How are we doing today?
Speaker:Thank you, Matt.
Speaker:Great to be with you.
Speaker:I'm doing well.
Speaker:Good, man.
Speaker:Good.
Speaker:So, for those that might not know, and I dare say, actually,
Speaker:there's going to be quite a few that don't know, um, just explain.
Speaker:What BlackBerry internet email is because I know right going back a few years But
Speaker:I it's that bizarre point of life where there are going to be people listening
Speaker:to the show that actually have no idea what I'm Talking about so just explain
Speaker:that and let's jump into the conversation
Speaker:Right, right.
Speaker:Yeah.
Speaker:So, um, uh, Blackberry, first of all, was a very popular.
Speaker:BlackBerry mobile device that lets you access your email and calendar.
Speaker:It had a unique keyboard on the device, so you're not typing on a piece of glass.
Speaker:And it was very, very popular in the 2000 timeframe until iPhone came about.
Speaker:Now, BlackBerry internet email was a technology that my company had
Speaker:developed that BlackBerry acquired.
Speaker:And it, um, allowed people to access the existing email accounts.
Speaker:Uh, so we had, uh, reverse engineered all the proprietary email systems
Speaker:Oh, wow.
Speaker:AOL, Hotmail, Lotus Notes, etc.
Speaker:And, um, you could access any of these email systems.
Speaker:Uh, through BlackBerry internet email.
Speaker:So, I mean, hats off to you, sir, for doing that, because it sounds like,
Speaker:you know, we're so used to this, like the iPhone now, you can scan
Speaker:a QR code and connect to all your accounts and all that sort of stuff.
Speaker:Uh, but this is in the very early noughties and you're, you're doing
Speaker:something which sounds to me like it was a bit of a technical breakthrough.
Speaker:Uh, it, it never really been done before, um, so I'm curious, did you
Speaker:just wake up one day and think, oh, I'm just going to crack the world of email
Speaker:because I want email on my Blackberry, or, or was there, was there something
Speaker:else that sort of was driving this?
Speaker:Yeah, so this was again in the early, uh, 2001 2002 timeframe, um, where
Speaker:BlackBerry was getting started.
Speaker:Uh, at the same time, um, uh, phones, uh, commodity phones, uh, at that
Speaker:time Nokia and Samsung, et cetera, phones were becoming internet enabled.
Speaker:And so we said, Hey, wouldn't it be great if you could access your email account?
Speaker:On your phone, just like with Blackberry.
Speaker:And so we, um, then looked into all the popular email accounts,
Speaker:uh, systems out there and found that they were all proprietary.
Speaker:And so we had to essentially reverse engineer all of these, uh, email systems
Speaker:to enable access to, uh, those systems.
Speaker:And we made it very, very simple.
Speaker:All you had to do was enter your email address and password and boom, you
Speaker:would be able to access your email.
Speaker:Mm.
Speaker:That was very attractive to BlackBerry because they were all
Speaker:about email access and we gave them.
Speaker:The ability to access a wide range of accounts.
Speaker:Yeah.
Speaker:Yeah.
Speaker:Crazy.
Speaker:Crazy times.
Speaker:And that's, so I take it you had a BlackBerry yourself, you would access your
Speaker:emails on this, you'd obviously do a lot of testing, um, so was that your first
Speaker:soiree, if I can put it that way, into the world of tech, or was there something
Speaker:pre Cracking email on Blackberry.
Speaker:So before starting my company, which was called T Mon Systems in 2000, for
Speaker:about 12 years, I had worked at Microsoft
Speaker:Okay,
Speaker:and I actually worked on email technology, including doing the,
Speaker:Acquisition of Hotmail, uh, in 19, um, 97.
Speaker:And so I had developed, uh, some expertise around email that I,
Speaker:you know, wanted to leverage.
Speaker:And that's how I started my first company.
Speaker:yeah.
Speaker:Fantastic.
Speaker:So you were there right at the beginning of when Microsoft took over Hotmail.
Speaker:Yes, I actually engineered the ac I was the person who, uh, convinced,
Speaker:uh, Microsoft Management to actually pay $400 million to buy Hotmail.
Speaker:Of course you were.
Speaker:That's a great conversation starter.
Speaker:Well, what have you done in your life?
Speaker:Well, I convinced Microsoft to spend 400 million quid on an unknown email
Speaker:platform, uh, which they did obviously.
Speaker:And, um, I remember when Microsoft bought out.
Speaker:Hotmail, because obviously like most people back then I had a hotmail email
Speaker:address, because they did this really simple marketing thing didn't they, every
Speaker:email that got sent out was an email via hotmail, and so you just clicked the
Speaker:link oh I've got to get my, I need an email address that will do, What was it
Speaker:about Hotmail that made you think this is worth 400 million in the late 90s?
Speaker:This is, I mean, it's a lot of money now, but it was insane
Speaker:amounts of money back then.
Speaker:No one had heard of deals like this, right?
Speaker:You're right, but remember this was in 1997 at the height of the dot com
Speaker:boom where companies were going public at a billion dollar or more valuation.
Speaker:So what was interesting about Hotmail was that it was growing very rapidly and
Speaker:email is a very addictive application.
Speaker:You need to go check your email, you know, several times a day.
Speaker:And so, um, I was working on Microsoft at that point, working on msn.
Speaker:com and we were late to the game.
Speaker:And so we said, Hey, we need something that brings people to our portal
Speaker:every day, multiple times a day.
Speaker:And we heard about Hotmail, saw that it was, uh, delivering,
Speaker:uh, web based email service.
Speaker:And it was growing very rapidly, so we decided to make the, uh, the offer.
Speaker:Actually, Hotmail, uh, at that time was only doing 2 3 million dollars of revenue,
Speaker:but we had to end up paying 400 million dollars, uh, for, for the, um, system, uh,
Speaker:because otherwise they would have gone, uh, public at a billion dollar valuation.
Speaker:Uh, so it was, uh, at that time somewhat of a deal to go get Hotmail at that price.
Speaker:That's incredible.
Speaker:I mean, I have to be honest with you, Shirish.
Speaker:I have a Hotmail account, which I must not have access for like 15 years.
Speaker:Cause you know, email, all of a sudden you could start buying your
Speaker:own domain names, couldn't you?
Speaker:And then Google Mail came along and it changed.
Speaker:Is Microsoft still in ownership of Hotmail?
Speaker:Do you know?
Speaker:Is it still going on?
Speaker:It is still going on, um, and, um, I still have a Hotmail, uh, account, uh, that's,
Speaker:that works, um, uh, but, uh, they have now rebranded as, I think, Outlook Mail, and
Speaker:so it's the same system behind the scenes.
Speaker:Behind the Curtain is the same system, it's just rebranded as Outlook.
Speaker:Fantastic.
Speaker:still out there, but, uh, you know, Gmail is now the dominant email system,
Speaker:Yeah, yeah, yeah, no, it is.
Speaker:I'm curious, was it a success?
Speaker:Was it worth the 400 million for Microsoft?
Speaker:Do you look back at it and go, we did a great deal then?
Speaker:I think so, because, uh, you know, at that, you know, when we
Speaker:bought Hotmail, they had about 10 million users growing very fast.
Speaker:And then over its lifetime, I think they've gotten to a
Speaker:billion plus email accounts.
Speaker:So, um, I think it was a good buy for Microsoft.
Speaker:Yes, it seemed very expensive at that time, but I think ended up
Speaker:being a good purchase for Microsoft.
Speaker:so I'm curious and I appreciate, we'll get on to the conversation of
Speaker:eCommerce, but I'm curious, let's talk about email a little minute
Speaker:here, because I'm kind of curious.
Speaker:Why did you and Microsoft at the time go?
Speaker:Let's buy Hotmail versus let's start our own email platform, right?
Speaker:So, uh, let's start Outlook email and then we'll be competitors too.
Speaker:Um, Hotmail.
Speaker:The reason I'm asking this is because this is a question, the takeover question
Speaker:is one that plagues a lot of people.
Speaker:Do I buy an existing thing out there, like an eCommerce business, for
Speaker:example, do I buy an existing eCommerce business or do I start from scratch?
Speaker:And so if you don't, let's just dig into this a little bit because
Speaker:I'm super curious, what, what was the thinking behind, Takeover
Speaker:versus, um, starting your own.
Speaker:Yeah, that's, that's actually a very, uh, good question because, uh,
Speaker:internally, uh, we got pushback from our, uh, from the division at Microsoft
Speaker:that was working on email technology.
Speaker:And they said, Oh, we can also.
Speaker:Build something like Hotmail, but we knew based on past experience that
Speaker:you know, it would probably take another two years before they would
Speaker:be able to come out with a similar technology, understand how to scale it.
Speaker:That's one of the things that Hotmail did was they.
Speaker:We had scaled it to millions and millions of accounts, which
Speaker:is not a small undertaking.
Speaker:And we needed to really, uh, give a big boost to MSN by integrating Hotmail.
Speaker:We thought we could get a lot of new users through Hotmail becoming members of msn.
Speaker:com.
Speaker:And so for that reason, it was, it was a tough decision, but ultimately
Speaker:Bill Gates decided to go ahead with the acquisition and not wait for the.
Speaker:Email guys at Microsoft to build a similar technology.
Speaker:Yeah.
Speaker:That's really interesting.
Speaker:So it was the, uh, the time to market and the ability to scale, um, and
Speaker:they're actually the two really good principles, aren't they, in
Speaker:terms of do I buy this business?
Speaker:Well, what's the time to market for me, um, and how easy is it to scale?
Speaker:And so these guys already had a few million users.
Speaker:um, versus you would, you would have to build the technology
Speaker:and you'd start from scratch.
Speaker:So you'd be a few years behind and I think super important lessons there.
Speaker:Um, super, super important.
Speaker:I so.
Speaker:So, you worked at Microsoft, you then start up your own company, you figure
Speaker:out internet email for BlackBerry.
Speaker:So I now understand, because you've got this background in Hotmail, you've
Speaker:sort of got your head around that, so it gave you sort of a leap forward.
Speaker:The BlackBerry is no longer with us, so I'm assuming, or maybe it is actually,
Speaker:and I just don't know about it, but I'm assuming you've done something since
Speaker:then, uh, to just keep yourself busy more than anything I would have thought.
Speaker:Yeah.
Speaker:Well, um, after that I started LiveMocha that you mentioned in the introduction
Speaker:and, uh, but now I'm focused on helping.
Speaker:Entrepreneurs.
Speaker:Uh, so I, uh, write books as you mentioned.
Speaker:Uh, have to, uh, share some of my experiences, uh, and then I, uh,
Speaker:invest and, and advise, uh, startups.
Speaker:I really enjoy doing that and working with smart entrepreneurs.
Speaker:Yeah,
Speaker:Was that a, was that a natural progression for you or did you, as in you sort
Speaker:of, you, you started writing books.
Speaker:I dare say the thing that happens is you sort of start writing books.
Speaker:People start to reach out to you and you start to ask, they start asking questions.
Speaker:You then start to get involved, don't you?
Speaker:And you kind of figure out what that means.
Speaker:You know, how do I get involved in startups?
Speaker:Well they've not really got any money to pay me for my time, uh,
Speaker:but I can invest in them, uh, for a return of their business.
Speaker:And I think it's a really interesting model.
Speaker:Um, How long have you been doing that?
Speaker:uh, so about for about seven years, last seven years.
Speaker:Are you enjoying it?
Speaker:Oh, absolutely.
Speaker:Um, you know, I, uh, uh, really enjoy meeting with smart, uh, entrepreneurs
Speaker:and helping them with their strategy and go to market approach and,
Speaker:um, you know, business models.
Speaker:Um, those are things that we discuss and, and it's exciting to
Speaker:see when somebody really succeeds.
Speaker:Fantastic.
Speaker:So the title for today's show, uh, Shirish, is Unlocking Marketplace Success.
Speaker:Marketplace, Marketplace Success, uh, and Overcoming Modern Monopolies.
Speaker:So unlocking marketplace success, what do you mean by that?
Speaker:What are some of the things that we should be thinking about at the
Speaker:moment, uh, based on what you see through your investments, through
Speaker:your knowledge of the tech industry?
Speaker:Uh, what, what are some of the things we should be seriously
Speaker:thinking about right now?
Speaker:Absolutely.
Speaker:Um, so one of the things that is interesting about marketplaces is
Speaker:that you have the chicken or the egg problem and you get started because,
Speaker:uh, you know, no supplier is going to join your marketplace because there
Speaker:are no consumers and no consumers are going to come to your marketplace
Speaker:because there are no suppliers.
Speaker:So how do you get, uh, around that problem?
Speaker:And that's what I, one of the things I discussed in my book is you, Focus on
Speaker:the supply side of the equation and you focus on a narrow market or category.
Speaker:So I'll give you some examples.
Speaker:hmm.
Speaker:Instacart, uh, which is a grocery delivery service in the US.
Speaker:I don't know if they're in the UK as well.
Speaker:Um, but,
Speaker:but I know who you mean.
Speaker:I do know who you mean.
Speaker:Yeah.
Speaker:Yeah.
Speaker:but you know, they started in, uh, the Bay Area.
Speaker:And, um, initially what the founder did was, uh, he, uh, went to the Safeway site.
Speaker:Safeway is a major grocery chain here in the U.
Speaker:S.
Speaker:And he scraped all their content and made it available on his website,
Speaker:uh, without their permission.
Speaker:Um, you know, not something that's entirely legal to, but you know, you
Speaker:have to be scrappy as an entrepreneur.
Speaker:And then, uh, allowed, uh, his customers to place orders through
Speaker:his website, choose items from the scraped content, and then he would
Speaker:go deliver the groceries himself.
Speaker:Uh, so that's one example.
Speaker:Another example is DoorDash, which is a Food delivery service.
Speaker:And they started in Palo Alto in California.
Speaker:And what they did was they actually, uh, scraped the menus off of restaurants in
Speaker:Palo Alto, and, and they would actually take the order from the consumers.
Speaker:And turn around and call the restaurant over the phone and
Speaker:place the order and go pick it up and deliver it to their customers.
Speaker:And that's how they got started.
Speaker:Uh, so you have to be scrappy to figure out how to get started when
Speaker:you have no suppliers on your website.
Speaker:And then once you have some traffic, then you can go to the suppliers and say, look,
Speaker:we've been ordering stuff from your web, from your website for all these days.
Speaker:Why don't you become a partner and become.
Speaker:You know, integrate over the internet.
Speaker:That's really interesting.
Speaker:It's, um, I love those kinds of stories where somebody
Speaker:somewhere just goes, I just, I'm, there's a proof of concept here.
Speaker:So DoorDash just goes, I'm just going to put a load of menus on the website.
Speaker:People are going to order stuff.
Speaker:I'm going to take their order.
Speaker:I'm then going to call that.
Speaker:restaurant, order that food.
Speaker:pick it up and deliver it and I'm not.
Speaker:gonna make any money because.
Speaker:because there's no way you can make money off a 4 5 buck delivery It gives that
Speaker:really interesting proof of concept, doesn't it, because you don't need
Speaker:all your ducks in a row, you just, is there a market for this, is there an
Speaker:easy way to test this concept, to test this idea, yes or no, um, I love your
Speaker:phrase, you've got to be a little bit scrappy, um, and I think it's just
Speaker:thinking around that, like, can we prove this concept, yes or no, uh, and
Speaker:quite quickly I think you'll discover whether it's a yes or whether it's a no.
Speaker:So with DoorDash and Instacart, they, they, they quite quickly discovered
Speaker:what was going on and, and obviously grew from there to the point where
Speaker:they then have people knocking down on their door going, can you
Speaker:please add my stuff to your website?
Speaker:Um, really interesting.
Speaker:Do you see that happening a lot, or do you think, even still today, people are
Speaker:like, no, I've got to have this, I've got to do this, this, I've got to have all
Speaker:of these things in a row before I start?
Speaker:No, every situation I've encountered, um, uh, whether it's Doordash or
Speaker:Instacart or Airbnb, you know, the founders have been supremely scrappy,
Speaker:uh, to figure out how to get supply side of the equation on their marketplace.
Speaker:And then they, uh, go after consumers.
Speaker:So, um, you know, uh, Airbnb is a good example.
Speaker:Um, you know, before, uh, before Airbnb, people would use Craigslist to advertise.
Speaker:That had a house for rent, et cetera.
Speaker:And so, uh, what the Airbnb founders did was they would go to all the Craigslist
Speaker:listers, the people doing the listings and say, Hey, you know, why don't you
Speaker:come on, uh, Airbnb and you can now put pictures of your home on our website
Speaker:instead of just a list, simple listing.
Speaker:And so they basically, uh, hacked.
Speaker:into Craigslist to create supply on their website.
Speaker:mm hmm, it's really clever, really clever.
Speaker:What um, I mean, there's lots of different stories there, lots of
Speaker:different marketplaces, ideas, you know.
Speaker:So you've got food delivery, you've got shopping delivery, you've
Speaker:obviously got the home rentals.
Speaker:What are maybe, just a slightly different turn here, uh, Shirish, what, what do you
Speaker:see emerging in this kind of marketplace market, for want of a better expression,
Speaker:that is really quite innovative and that you sort of, you've got your eye
Speaker:on and think that's going to take off.
Speaker:Like, what's the next Airbnb or, uh, that you see at the moment?
Speaker:Um, so right, I mean, there's, there's been an evolution of marketplaces,
Speaker:uh, over time, you know, from simple listing type of marketplace
Speaker:like eBay or Craigslist to now marketplaces like Opendoor, um,
Speaker:which will, you know, basically buy, let's say you have a home for sale.
Speaker:Uh, they will actually, uh, buy the home from you, renovate it, and
Speaker:then sell it themselves at a profit.
Speaker:And it's all a very well oiled machine, uh, where no human
Speaker:being is really involved.
Speaker:It's all managed.
Speaker:For you, so managed marketplaces are a big phenomena, uh, that's happening where
Speaker:a lot of the transaction is handled for you as opposed to you doing all that work.
Speaker:Yeah, you see, um, in the UK, you see a lot of, I dare say you have them in the
Speaker:States as well, a lot of the webuyanycar.
Speaker:com type thing where, you know, you've got something for sale, we'll buy it for
Speaker:you, from you cheaper, but we've, we've obviously got a process to, to sell that
Speaker:somewhere down the line and make a profit.
Speaker:But at no point in that whole process do you talk to a human
Speaker:being until the very last minute.
Speaker:where a human has to inspect your car just to make sure it is
Speaker:what you said it is, you know?
Speaker:right, right, right, yeah.
Speaker:So the more you can automate the whole transaction, the more transactions
Speaker:that can happen on your marketplace.
Speaker:So you have to grease that whole process.
Speaker:Yeah, that's it.
Speaker:It's very true.
Speaker:And these are called managed marketplaces.
Speaker:Yes, management.
Speaker:yeah, Yeah,
Speaker:Yeah,
Speaker:So Opendoor, what other examples have you got, um, of sort of up and
Speaker:coming spaces like the marketplaces like this, where you think?
Speaker:Yeah, I'm really, this idea in itself is interesting, like the ability to sell
Speaker:your house instantly, you know, what, what else do you see happening in that space?
Speaker:I think there's a lot of potential for B2B.
Speaker:Marketplace, something I talk about in my book.
Speaker:Um, you know, another example is a company called Convoy, which is
Speaker:also located in Seattle, and they basically connect, um, um, you know,
Speaker:uh, trucking companies, uh, with, uh, companies who want to ship freight.
Speaker:And they, uh, again, uh, make that process very simple, um, you know, they
Speaker:will figure out how far you are from the freight supplier and then price
Speaker:based on your distance because they know how much distance you have to
Speaker:travel and pick up and deliver, etc.
Speaker:All that stuff is calculated for you, um, and, and done automatically, uh.
Speaker:In the old days, um.
Speaker:Before Convoy came, uh, on stream, uh, you used to actually have brokers who would be
Speaker:on the phone calling different, you know, freight suppliers and trucking companies
Speaker:and saying, Hey, you know, I have this freight to be delivered from Seattle to
Speaker:Portland and, uh, the freight supplier is going to pay you 800 to do that.
Speaker:Do you want to take it?
Speaker:And it's a very cumbersome process that is now all automated.
Speaker:Uh, for you and you know, because of the GPS tracking, et cetera, where the
Speaker:truck is, when it will be delivered, all of that is all automated for you.
Speaker:Yeah.
Speaker:Wow.
Speaker:Fascinating.
Speaker:Uh, absolutely fascinating.
Speaker:The whole managed marketplace thing.
Speaker:Um, how does that, uh, you see, you mentioned in the book, you
Speaker:talked about opportunities in B2B.
Speaker:One of the things that I'm, I'm, I'm trying to understand here is,
Speaker:We have a lot of people listening to the show who are in eCommerce, right?
Speaker:So I'm going to say traditional eCommerce.
Speaker:So they have a website, they sell a product or a digital service
Speaker:online to their customers.
Speaker:It's their website.
Speaker:They may be listing their website in other marketplaces, such as the
Speaker:obvious one being Amazon, right?
Speaker:So we sell on our website, we sell on Amazon.
Speaker:What Um, with what you know, talk to me like, what are
Speaker:the things that I'm missing?
Speaker:What are some of the things that I should be thinking about, um, that's
Speaker:going to help me, uh, based on what you know about, uh, marketplaces, managed
Speaker:marketplaces, uh, the other stuff you've written in your book, Sirish, what, what
Speaker:should I be thinking about right now?
Speaker:Well, so the, the challenge that you face, um, with Amazon is that, uh,
Speaker:while you get a lot of customers through Amazon, uh, Amazon apparently takes,
Speaker:you know, a dollar for every 2 of sale.
Speaker:So they're taking literally 50 percent of the transaction.
Speaker:In a variety of different, um, um, situations and, um, obviously when
Speaker:you're giving up 50 percent of your revenue, it's very hard to make a profit.
Speaker:And so, uh, what eCommerce sites have to consider is, uh, one is are
Speaker:the other marketplaces that they can join, like Walmart in the U.
Speaker:S.
Speaker:And potentially others, or Etsy also, which is a worldwide marketplace.
Speaker:So, uh, expand your reach where perhaps you can make more of a
Speaker:profit from each transaction.
Speaker:And then secondly, uh, you know, see if you can go direct to consumer on
Speaker:your own website, but that'll also require significant investment in.
Speaker:In marketing, um, uh, but maybe it'll be profitable.
Speaker:Uh, there is a rule of thumb that we have in the venture world, which is
Speaker:your lifetime value of your customer has to be at least three times
Speaker:the cost of customer acquisition.
Speaker:Yeah.
Speaker:Well, uh, assuming you spend a dollar on marketing.
Speaker:To acquire a customer, make sure you're making at least 3 in profit from that
Speaker:customer over, over the lifetime.
Speaker:If that is the case, you have a direct consumer opportunity as well.
Speaker:yeah.
Speaker:Now it's interesting that ratio, um, the three to one ratio, you
Speaker:know, your lifetime value to your, they call it CAC, don't they?
Speaker:The cost, uh,
Speaker:customer acquisition
Speaker:LTV to
Speaker:Yeah, LTV to CAC.
Speaker:And so the ratio three to one has been, um, has been banded
Speaker:around I think for a little while.
Speaker:What's interesting, um, and maybe you can talk to this is I'm starting
Speaker:to hear rumours that actually that.
Speaker:Ratio has now got to increase for investors to be interested just
Speaker:because the cost of money is going up with higher interest rates.
Speaker:So obviously for investors, there's the opportunity cost is now greater because
Speaker:they can get interest on their money.
Speaker:Um, and borrowing money is now more expensive.
Speaker:Uh, so I, I've heard a number of people talking about a four to one, even a five
Speaker:to one, um, uh, lifetime value to, uh, uh.
Speaker:Customer Acquisition Costs or LTV to CAC.
Speaker:Yeah, that's, that is true because, um, um, as you rightly mentioned, you
Speaker:know, um, when you're calculating the LTV, um, you're discounting future.
Speaker:Cashflow to the present, and the higher the interest rate, the more the
Speaker:cashflow in the future gets discounted.
Speaker:And so, um, you know, when you have, um, um, higher interest
Speaker:rates, uh, that ratio can be more like four to four or five to one.
Speaker:Yeah,
Speaker:Uh, so you're absolutely right.
Speaker:Um, that's always a good, you know, place to be because, um,
Speaker:then you clearly have profitability that you can then raise money on.
Speaker:yeah, yeah.
Speaker:And it's an interesting one, isn't it?
Speaker:Because it helps you define marketing budget.
Speaker:We had Matt Pooner on the show last week.
Speaker:Well, he was the last person I interviewed.
Speaker:Well, he's the last week in terms of show order.
Speaker:I don't actually know why these things come out.
Speaker:But he was talking about this and creating a really clear Marketing budget on the
Speaker:basis of what you call blended ROAS.
Speaker:Um, but again, understanding that ratio, you, you know, understanding
Speaker:lifetime value to customer acquisition costs is really quite an interesting
Speaker:thing to sort of think about.
Speaker:Um, especially if you've got the cash, I mean, a lot of people starting out
Speaker:don't have the cashflow to bankroll, um, you know, these sorts of things.
Speaker:And so you, they, they tend to be much higher.
Speaker:Um, So, I, friends, so we're talking then about marketplaces, managed marketplaces,
Speaker:talking about startups and hustle, um, and maybe not just relying on Amazon
Speaker:now, obviously looking at different marketplaces, having your own direct to
Speaker:consumer site, um, understanding that.
Speaker:What do you mean when you talk about overcoming modern monopolies then?
Speaker:Yeah.
Speaker:Um, so one of the, um, hypothesis of the book, uh.
Speaker:Is that, uh, once you get a marketplace going, then it, there's a virtuous
Speaker:cycle that follows where as you add more suppliers, more consumers come to
Speaker:the site because there's a wide array of suppliers and then more suppliers
Speaker:come because there are more consumers.
Speaker:And then basically the end state is when you become a monopoly.
Speaker:Yeah.
Speaker:And so you've seen that multiple times with Amazon, with eBay, with
Speaker:Alibaba and Instacart and DoorDash.
Speaker:They all become monopolies.
Speaker:Um, or it's, it's either a winner take all or Take most kind of situation.
Speaker:Um, the problem with becoming a monopoly is that it becomes very easy to abuse
Speaker:that monopoly power to the detriment of your consumers and suppliers.
Speaker:And I give several examples of that in my book about Amazon and Apple and Google.
Speaker:Amazon, for example, has a private label business called Amazon Basics.
Speaker:You may be
Speaker:Yeah.
Speaker:Yeah.
Speaker:Yeah.
Speaker:I've seen that.
Speaker:Yep.
Speaker:Um, and so what has happened is, uh, people internally within Amazon
Speaker:have, uh, been able to access, you know, proprietary data from different
Speaker:suppliers to figure out which markets are the most profitable to enter into.
Speaker:And then they basically, uh, uh, you know, reverse engineer that item
Speaker:and go directly to the manufacturers and say, why don't you manufacture
Speaker:that product for us as well?
Speaker:And then, uh, when you go to the website, they will self preference themselves
Speaker:higher than other manufacturers.
Speaker:And so, uh, that has created a lot of problem for many suppliers
Speaker:who now suddenly find themselves in competition with Amazon.
Speaker:Uh, so it's not something that the, you know, management of
Speaker:Amazon has explicitly said.
Speaker:You know, Jeff Bezos has not gone out there and said to people
Speaker:in his company, go do this.
Speaker:It's just that people have abused the monopoly power to their
Speaker:own, you know, uh, benefit.
Speaker:Uh, so as management team, Amazon has to make sure that, you know, they, you
Speaker:don't give access to proprietary data to the average individual within Amazon.
Speaker:Yeah.
Speaker:That's really fascinating, isn't it?
Speaker:And you, this is always the danger, isn't it, when you sell on a marketplace like
Speaker:Amazon, the customer's not yours, it's the customer's theirs, the data is theirs, um,
Speaker:you're just there for the sale and hoping that by selling on Amazon, it actually
Speaker:raises awareness of your brand and people might migrate from Amazon to your website.
Speaker:And there's a strategies behind how you do that, isn't there,
Speaker:and sort of thinkings to do that.
Speaker:Um.
Speaker:But you're right, there is a danger here, um, that as a, as an eCommerce
Speaker:brand, if you're selling on marketplaces, you are, you are in effect giving
Speaker:free access to your sales data, um, to these marketplaces, uh, as well
Speaker:as obviously a commission and a, and a cut and so on and so forth.
Speaker:So you do see the rise of Amazon Basics, you know, and, and.
Speaker:Um, and also one day Amazon might just go, yeah, I don't want you
Speaker:to sell on my website anymore.
Speaker:And there's not a whole great deal you can do about it to be fair.
Speaker:Um, and you know, if that's your business, you're, you know,
Speaker:there's plenty of stories of people being screwed over like that.
Speaker:Um, so I mean, you've talked about this as in, if you become a
Speaker:monopoly, don't abuse your power.
Speaker:Right.
Speaker:So a bit like, um.
Speaker:I'm, I'm going back to the 1990s now, uh, when you were at Microsoft,
Speaker:they were in the press all the time, you know, being investigated
Speaker:because of their monopoly power.
Speaker:You don't tend to see that as much these days, actually.
Speaker:Every now and again, the EU takes a bit of a swipe at Apple.
Speaker:You know, you've got to use USB C chargers or it's no go.
Speaker:But you don't tend to see those sort of big court cases now over
Speaker:monopolies that you used to see.
Speaker:Um, but obviously they, they, they exist in, in Apple in
Speaker:quite, quite some major ways.
Speaker:So I'm always curious as to why it's not happened to Apple yet.
Speaker:But all that aside, um, what do I need to think about as an eCommerce
Speaker:company that is maybe going to other people's marketplaces?
Speaker:I mean, you've, you've talked a little bit about having a direct to consumer side.
Speaker:Be aware that you're, you know, you're giving them your sales data.
Speaker:Is there anything else I should think about?
Speaker:Yeah, I mean, um, the other thing that, um, you might want to be careful about
Speaker:is, is, uh, making sure that nobody under, nobody knows who your manufacturer,
Speaker:let's say you're manufacturing the item in China, is to do that as secret, you
Speaker:know, as, as possible so that nobody, you know, whether Amazon, anybody else
Speaker:doesn't go back to that manufacturer and re engineer the same item.
Speaker:Yeah.
Speaker:And have strong agreements in place over that.
Speaker:Um, yeah, suppliers can really mess up your business if you're not careful.
Speaker:That was my, certainly my experience, you know, um, so, uh, let's,
Speaker:let's start from the beginning.
Speaker:Right.
Speaker:Okay.
Speaker:Um, I get the.
Speaker:The benefits of doing the marketplace, right?
Speaker:I, I, from a, just from an entrepreneurial point of view, I see the benefit.
Speaker:If I can create a marketplace, I don't need any product.
Speaker:I just need people to list.
Speaker:I need a mechanism to connect a buyer and a seller together and take a
Speaker:small percentage in the middle, right?
Speaker:And it doesn't have to necessarily be a big percentage, but it can, if it's a big
Speaker:market, it can be super profitable, right?
Speaker:And the bigger I get, the more profitable it's going to be, the more
Speaker:people are going to depend on me.
Speaker:How do I get started, right?
Speaker:Because I'm sitting there thinking, this is genius, I should have mattsmarketplace.
Speaker:com or whatever, you know, I'm going to set up.
Speaker:How do I pick a good industrial market to think about marketplaces in?
Speaker:Because the ones that I'm thinking of, um, Shirish, I think are very oversaturated,
Speaker:but I don't know if that should stop me.
Speaker:You know, there's already Amazon in the eCommerce world.
Speaker:Um, at some point I dare say someone's going to knock Amazon off their perch
Speaker:because no one ever stays on top forever.
Speaker:Um, but I don't, I don't know if that's going to be me in my shed.
Speaker:I don't, I don't know.
Speaker:I'm just kind of curious.
Speaker:Where would you start with it all?
Speaker:Um, well, um, I would, um, one is looking at, um, markets in which
Speaker:emerging markets where, uh, Amazon is not yet, you know, a dominant player.
Speaker:So for example, uh, in India, before Amazon, uh, became a major player, you
Speaker:had companies like Flipkart, uh, which was founded by, uh, two engineers who
Speaker:had worked at Amazon, went back to India.
Speaker:And started something, started a marketplace like Amazon.
Speaker:Um, so if you happen to be from a different country, uh, then perhaps
Speaker:you could create a marketplace in a different location where Amazon or
Speaker:Walmart or somebody else is not dominant.
Speaker:Uh, the other option I could take is to, you know, go deep into one category.
Speaker:So, um, you know, uh, today Amazon, for example, is not, um, uh, a
Speaker:marketplace really for fashion goods.
Speaker:Uh, uh, so maybe in a different country, in a different location, I
Speaker:might be able to create a marketplace just for fashion brands and, and,
Speaker:and do some of the things that Amazon doesn't do, such as providing data and
Speaker:giving them branding opportunities, et
Speaker:Yeah.
Speaker:Yeah.
Speaker:basically I have to do things that, um, I have to look for, you
Speaker:know, niche locations or categories where I can really dominate.
Speaker:So niche it down or go to a different country.
Speaker:I like that.
Speaker:I like the thinking there.
Speaker:And it's.
Speaker:So, if I'm going to say start a marketplace, and you mentioned fashion
Speaker:brands, um, what makes a good marketplace?
Speaker:Do I have to, do I sit there and think, what, this is how my brain works, right?
Speaker:What is it that the customer's not currently getting when they buy on other
Speaker:websites that I can give them in this marketplace other than choice, right?
Speaker:Because I have to do something, well, do I have to do something?
Speaker:That is more than just choice.
Speaker:Do I have to be innovative in some kind of way?
Speaker:What, what do I need to think about that?
Speaker:Yeah,
Speaker:yeah, right.
Speaker:I mean, initially, um, um, it's, um, all about, uh, you know, creating,
Speaker:it's all about choice, uh, convenience and price, as you know, right?
Speaker:Those are the three, uh, major items.
Speaker:Um, so, you know, maybe, um, uh, maybe, uh, it's price, uh, maybe you price
Speaker:goods at a, at a level that you can't get directly from the, um, uh, supplier.
Speaker:And that happened in India.
Speaker:Uh, so for example, Flipkart, uh, for a long time, because they had enormous VC
Speaker:funding, they basically subsidized the sale of smartphones on their marketplace.
Speaker:So it became really inexpensive to buy those smartphones and they lost money
Speaker:on every sale, but that is what made those marketplaces really popular.
Speaker:Now, having said that, I would say that you have to have, you know, significant VC
Speaker:funding to be able to afford to do that.
Speaker:But initially it has to come down to, you know, price or convenience.
Speaker:So on convenience, maybe you implement, you know, free shipping for a
Speaker:certain period of time or whatever.
Speaker:But again, for that, you need money to try some of those tactics.
Speaker:Yeah.
Speaker:I'm, as you're talking, I'm thinking about one of our websites we used to own.
Speaker:I sold it a few years ago called Jersey, Jersey Beauty Company.
Speaker:And in effect, we sold Different beauty brands.
Speaker:That's what we did.
Speaker:We, we, you know, we bought in from different suppliers.
Speaker:We had to get supplier agreements.
Speaker:We then sold that product on our website direct to consumer.
Speaker:Um, and I don't, I don't, I, that's not technically a marketplace.
Speaker:I wouldn't have thought that was just me buying products and
Speaker:trying to sell 'em a profit.
Speaker:Um, but what intrigues me about the beauty industry is.
Speaker:This idea of doing a beauty marketplace where, where you could bring in
Speaker:just about everybody's, you could scrape the data and bring it in.
Speaker:And as long as you've got some way of buying it now, a lot of
Speaker:beauty brands now have terms and conditions of supply, right?
Speaker:So, um, at the time there Dermalogica.
Speaker:And Dermalogica, you had to have a salon, a beauty salon to, so
Speaker:they, they, they, they, they had quite stringent terms of supply.
Speaker:You had to have a salon, a trained therapist to get that, you know, in
Speaker:their products to buy their product to then sell it on your website.
Speaker:Um, your website had to conform to certain standards.
Speaker:Um, and then in 2012, they changed their pricing policy.
Speaker:Was it 2012?
Speaker:I think it was 2012.
Speaker:Basically, they changed their pricing policy to one which was the more you
Speaker:buy, the more you pay, uh, which sounds a bit odd, but that's what they did.
Speaker:for reasons known to them.
Speaker:Um, and so then, you know, our prices went up cause we were quite a big
Speaker:supplier of their, of their product.
Speaker:How do you get around this with marketplaces in terms of there
Speaker:are suppliers out there who are very, very anti use selling?
Speaker:Their stuff online or being some kind of, we were not allowed part
Speaker:of the terms and conditions supply with most of the beauty brands.
Speaker:We couldn't sell on Amazon and we couldn't sell on eBay.
Speaker:We had to sell it direct on our website.
Speaker:We couldn't sell outside the European Union.
Speaker:Um, and, you know, Dermalogica have since built their own direct to
Speaker:consumer business, which you, I, I.
Speaker:As a business person, I understand, why would I not want to go direct to
Speaker:consumer and make the most profit?
Speaker:Um, for somebody in the middle, it's quite tricky dealing with a supplier like that.
Speaker:right.
Speaker:So how do you, how do you mitigate that if you're, if
Speaker:you're doing your own marketplace?
Speaker:You know, if you find these, if you find suppliers that just aren't interested
Speaker:in working with you, but you've hustled a little bit, um, what are some, what
Speaker:are some of your experiences there?
Speaker:I mean, um, this has happened on Amazon as, um, the only way to get
Speaker:around that is somehow get that product from the black market in a sense.
Speaker:Uh, find some, somebody, some salon out there who is willing to sell you
Speaker:that product and then you turn around and sell it on your marketplace.
Speaker:Uh, but if the supplier is not willing to sell you product, there's not much
Speaker:you can really do about it except to buy it from other sources at a.
Speaker:Inexpensive, uh, price.
Speaker:Mmm.
Speaker:Did you try that, uh, you know, getting it from the product from other salons?
Speaker:Mm-Hmm.
Speaker:At the time, no, but part of me, I mean, and I, I appreciate the problems that
Speaker:buying on the black market does, but it's, it's one of those where you kind of go, if
Speaker:I was going to do it now, if I was going to set up a beauty website now, not that
Speaker:I would, but if I, if I was going to.
Speaker:Um, I think you would have to find a way around it.
Speaker:So part of me would be actually probably the better thing I can do is go around
Speaker:to all the Dermalogica salons, um, that have Dermalogica accounts and create a
Speaker:Dermalogica marketplace where they all put their details in, uh, because they're
Speaker:a small salon, they've not got time to do their own website or anything like that.
Speaker:You know, we market that.
Speaker:We sell, uh, the products to the end consumer, um, but it's the, the salon
Speaker:that fulfills the orders from their stock.
Speaker:Do you see what I mean?
Speaker:We connect the buyer and the seller.
Speaker:So we've thought about that, you know, could we do something around that, for
Speaker:example, Dermalogica might be a bad example because I don't think it's a
Speaker:particularly popular brand anymore.
Speaker:I think they, they shot themselves in the foot slightly, just my personal opinion.
Speaker:Uh, please DemoLogical lawyers, don't shoot me, it's just an opinion.
Speaker:Um, but it's, it's one of those where I think, I, I think I could do
Speaker:something a bit more creative, uh, if that makes sense with the salon owners
Speaker:Yeah.
Speaker:I mean, as I said, you have to figure out a way to get that supply
Speaker:and either you buy it from the salons or create a marketplace.
Speaker:For the salons to go through your site.
Speaker:yeah, no, very clever.
Speaker:Very clever.
Speaker:Loving that.
Speaker:Um, listen, I'm aware of time.
Speaker:As always, I'm just getting warmed up, uh, and as always, I'm
Speaker:coming to the end of the time.
Speaker:It flashes on my screen going, you've got a few minutes left.
Speaker:Uh, listen, Cherish, it's been great chatting to you, man,
Speaker:and, um, love the story about Microsoft, by the way, and Hotmail.
Speaker:I'll remember that.
Speaker:I will remember that, I have no doubt.
Speaker:Uh, if people want to reach out to you, if they want to find out more
Speaker:maybe about the book, uh, where to get the book, how to get ahold of
Speaker:you, what's the best way to do that?
Speaker:Yeah, so you can search for my two books on Amazon.
Speaker:Um, you know, so you search by my name, Shirish Nadkarni, or
Speaker:you can come to my website, www.
Speaker:shirishnadkarni.
Speaker:com.
Speaker:I'm also on LinkedIn.
Speaker:I'm on Twitter.
Speaker:I welcome people to connect with me.
Speaker:Um, if you're an entrepreneur, if you have any questions,
Speaker:happy to chat with you anytime.
Speaker:Fantastic, fantastic.
Speaker:We will of course link to all of that information on the website
Speaker:and in the show notes as well.
Speaker:So if you're listening to this podcast on your Uh, non
Speaker:BlackBerry device, I dare say.
Speaker:You can, uh, you can click the link, uh, and that will take you straight through.
Speaker:Uh, listen, super appreciate you coming onto the show, man.
Speaker:Genuinely love the conversation and really, really appreciate you being here.
Speaker:Lots to think about and you've resurrected some ideas in my head.
Speaker:So a big thank you for that.
Speaker:Thank you, Matt.
Speaker:I really enjoyed the conversation.
Speaker:Fantastic.
Speaker:Well, there you go.
Speaker:What another fantastic conversation.
Speaker:Huge thanks again to Shirish for joining me today.
Speaker:Uh, make sure you subscribe to the podcast, wherever you get your podcast
Speaker:from, because we've got some more great conversations lined up, and I
Speaker:don't want you to miss any of them.
Speaker:And in case no one has told you yet today, let me be the first person
Speaker:to tell you, you are awesome.
Speaker:Yes, you are.
Speaker:Created awesome.
Speaker:It's just a burden you have to bear.
Speaker:Shirish has to bear it.
Speaker:I've got to bear it.
Speaker:You've gotta bear it as well.
Speaker:It's just the way it is now, this show is produced by the Talented and
Speaker:amazing Sadaf Beynon, Tanya Hutsuliak.
Speaker:The theme song was written by Josh Edmundson.
Speaker:And as I said, if you would like to read the transcript, the show notes, all
Speaker:those sorts of good things, head over to the website eCommerce podcast.net,
Speaker:where they all await for you and you can consume them to your heart's content.
Speaker:Uh, so all that's left for me to say is, uh, thank you so much for joining us.
Speaker:That's it from me.
Speaker:That's it from Shirish.
Speaker:Have a fantastic week wherever you are in the world.
Speaker:I'll see you next time.
Speaker:Bye for now.