Saeed

Or no.

Saeed

What are you doing?

Chris

Yeah.

Chris

Yeah, I want to be comfortable.

Saeed

Okay.

Chris

Oh, comfortable, Comfortable.

Chris

Yeah.

Chris

I mean, we're gonna talk about some serious stuff tonight, and I just wanted to be comfortable, you know?

Saeed

All right.

Chris

So the nice tells me she's gonna do some stuff with some candles.

Saeed

Got excited, like, the big naturally.

Saeed

You got excited.

Chris

Wax candles, right?

Saeed

Okay.

Chris

No, I did not get excited.

Chris

I thought, okay, well, cool.

Chris

I'm gonna go shower.

Chris

So I did, and I didn't really think much of it, you know, and she, you know, she spent some time doing something downstairs, and I didn't question it, you know?

Chris

Well, I go to sleep early and I hear like, what sounds like an explosion in, like, a plate dropping from, like, way high up or something.

Chris

Like glass shattering.

Chris

So this is now like 1, 2 o'clock in the morning.

Chris

Our son was sick.

Chris

I pop out of bed, run downstairs, I'm like, yo, like, I'm ready to go to war.

Chris

Like, I'm like, in cortisol level 1000, you know, like, I'm.

Chris

And there's two candles that were on plates, and the candles melted down to the plates, overheated the plates.

Chris

Plates exploded and fell from our second story down to the first story.

Chris

Right.

Chris

With.

Chris

But the problem is when it exploded, it got wax everywhere.

Saeed

Oh, my God.

Chris

But when I came downstairs, you want to know what I saw?

Chris

A fire on that shelf when you walk upstairs, you know like that.

Chris

Yeah, that little tiny short wall thing.

Saeed

Yeah.

Chris

There was a fire in the.

Chris

Like, the whole thing was on fire.

Chris

And I'm just like.

Saeed

And where was she?

Chris

She came downstairs after me.

Chris

But, you know, I didn't know if someone was down there or not.

Chris

So she didn't come right away.

Chris

So as soon as she heard me go, man, what the fuck?

Chris

She came downstairs.

Chris

So.

Saeed

Okay, got it.

Chris

Yeah.

Chris

Things have not settled out in the witchcraft territory, but we learned a very valuable lesson about plates and heat.

Saeed

Yeah, There you go.

Saeed

Science.

Chris

Yeah.

Chris

Science project has been.

Chris

And let me tell you, cleaning up wax while it's hot is not fun.

Saeed

It's got the worst experience.

Chris

Cleaning up wax while it's not hot is equally.

Chris

Is not fun.

Chris

There is no good way to clean up wax.

Saeed

That's true.

Chris

Yeah.

Saeed

Got you.

Saeed

Okay.

Chris

Especially at 2 o'clock in the morning.

Saeed

Yeah, that's.

Saeed

I feel like once I put the fire out, it feels like one of those things that you wait until the next day.

Chris

So now we got some fire scars in the house.

Chris

Adds character, I guess.

Saeed

Exactly.

Saeed

You know, the imperfections make the home perfect.

Arun

Very restoration hardware of you.

Chris

Yeah, you know.

Chris

Yeah, I'm going with that for now.

Chris

That's all I got is hope.

Saeed

We, we used to watch those, those Food Network channels where they would be baking cakes and when they would like not come out the way they would want and just be spread out all over the place.

Saeed

That's a deconstructed so and so cake.

Chris

You're like, bro, I'm not going to lie, bro, none of my cakes ever come out good and I eat them anyway, you know what I mean?

Saeed

Oh, you make cakes?

Chris

I bake a lot of cake.

Saeed

Okay.

Saeed

Look at you.

Saeed

I didn't know you had that talent.

Chris

I'm a baker, bro.

Saeed

Oh.

Saeed

Oh, you bake cakes?

Chris

I bake cakes.

Saeed

Got you.

Saeed

Yeah, I'll leave that alone.

Chris

You should leave that alone.

Saeed

Welcome back to the number one financial literacy podcast in the world.

Saeed

Hopefully you're still locked in, tuned in.

Saeed

Sitting next to me on my left, my partner in crime, Chris Nahibi.

Chris

If you didn't go here, I wasn't going to go to the intro, so I'm glad you did.

Chris

My partner in town, the one and only Saeed Omar, everybody.

Saeed

Thank you, my man.

Saeed

And sitting behind the ones and twos, back again, not on pto.

Saeed

DJ Odun, Hello.

Chris

Are you going on PTO again soon?

Chris

Because we haven't had an announcement in a while and I just, I just feel like it's within two weeks.

Arun

It's gotta get after reoccurring or.

Arun

No, not reoccurring.

Saeed

A crew accrue.

Chris

Even though it works.

Chris

That's a problem.

Arun

I just claim PTO and I still get paid somehow.

Chris

I don't know.

Chris

All right, well, unless you've been living under rock, you know that we had a little bit of an election coming up and as we are recording this, it is November 6th, the day before the FOMC announcement.

Chris

It is largely to believe, if you've been listening to the rhetoric, that it's largely believed that you're gonna get a 25 basis point rate cut tomorrow.

Chris

But you could be surprised.

Saeed

Definitely gonna get it based on some of the data points we'll be talking about shortly.

Saeed

Oh, old school.

Chris

Yeah, for a ruin.

Chris

Because he can't open up cans anymore.

Saeed

He comes to the show with the can already popped.

Chris

No, I thought he was new caffeine at night anymore?

Saeed

He's rocking the Celsius right now.

Chris

Are you really, bro?

Chris

The Celsius hype you up too much?

Chris

Yeah, you said four words last show, not two.

Saeed

Yeah, the Celsius really gets you going.

Saeed

You Said that it has something in it that there's no, like, caffeine blocker.

Chris

Yeah.

Chris

It basically blocks the normal response to caffeine.

Chris

And just, like, your body just takes in more.

Chris

More of the caffeine, so it doesn't have as much caffeine, but your body gets more of like, a.

Chris

You ever drank one and you feel like your body's, like, heating a little bit or tingly because of that.

Saeed

Yeah.

Chris

You don't seem very sincere at all when you say.

Saeed

Yeah, no, the caffeine doesn't have an impact on me anymore, man.

Saeed

It's.

Saeed

It's gotten bad.

Chris

Stop.

Saeed

Oh, yeah.

Arun

I have a Celsius.

Chris

I mean, I can't drink Celsius.

Chris

I drink a lot of caffeine, though.

Chris

I can drink it all day long.

Saeed

Yeah, exactly.

Saeed

It doesn't have an effect on you anymore.

Chris

All right, so this is episode 245.

Chris

We're coming out of election, going into an FOMC meeting.

Chris

Lots of stuff going on.

Chris

So let's talk about where we're at.

Chris

Let's give a State of the Union, if you will.

Saeed

Okay.

Chris

Let's explain why you're paying more for cars, why you're paying more for homes, and pretty much everything in between.

Saeed

Yeah, but this is actually episode 255.

Saeed

Just a correction.

Chris

245.

Arun

No, it's 255.

Saeed

It's 255.

Arun

I think you're connecting this one.

Chris

Yeah.

Saeed

Dyslexia.

Chris

I have dyslexia.

Saeed

Okay.

Chris

Is it really?

Saeed

I'm gonna let it go.

Chris

I didn't even catch that till you said something.

Chris

I've looked at this thing, like, 16 times.

Arun

I was so confused.

Arun

I was like, damn.

Arun

I know I don't watch episodes, but I.

Chris

You know, I once thought while I was editing the show, like, I'll put some nice effects, like when we say something like one of these fun facts that I put in there for you.

Chris

For you.

Chris

Yeah, right.

Chris

Like when sites has one of those, like, I'll have the words going behind him, like, all fancy, like, just swoop in, like, sexy.

Chris

Then I'm like, these fuckers are never.

Saeed

Gonna see it, bro.

Saeed

You know who does that a lot is Neil Brennan.

Saeed

His podcast.

Chris

I don't know who that is.

Saeed

Neil Brennan.

Saeed

Come on, dog.

Chris

Is he the Kaline Wine mixer guy?

Saeed

No, man, he was.

Saeed

He was Dave Chappelle's, like, right hand on the Dave Chappelle Show.

Saeed

He's a.

Chris

Why would I know that?

Saeed

He's a.

Saeed

He's an amazing comedian.

Saeed

What are you talking about.

Saeed

You know who he is, bro.

Saeed

What are you talking about?

Chris

I have no idea who this guy is.

Arun

Yes, you do.

Saeed

Oh, my God, he's a fantastic comic.

Chris

I mean, he's got big ears.

Saeed

Oh, he's.

Saeed

Yeah, he's.

Arun

He's one of big ears.

Saeed

He's great.

Saeed

Yeah.

Saeed

What you got against figures anyways?

Saeed

This is a financial literacy show.

Chris

American comedian and writer.

Chris

You have no idea who that is.

Saeed

Pro.

Chris

Yeah, yeah.

Saeed

Takes.

Saeed

He gets a lot of credit for the Dave Chappelle Show.

Chris

Really?

Saeed

Yeah.

Chris

Okay.

Chris

There you go.

Chris

All right, so let's jump into the Wall Street Journal, shall we?

Chris

Let's get right into it.

Chris

Shall we get into the good stuff, the moist stuff that you like.

Saeed

The moist goody.

Saeed

Good stuff.

Chris

Yeah, let's get into that.

Chris

Let's do it.

Chris

All right.

Chris

So immediately after the election kind of wore off on me a little bit, and last night, I decided to look back at a lot of the data, knowing that tomorrow is a big day.

Chris

The Fed is going to announce a rate cut, most likely at 25 basis points.

Chris

And because of that, I thought, okay, we had a pretty heavy pivot in the markets in response to the last Fed rate cut that went the other way from expectation.

Chris

Rates went, mortgage rates went up, the bond.

Chris

Treasury bond yield curves went up.

Chris

And I know what you're thinking.

Chris

People just had more confidence in the long end of the curve.

Chris

Ten years out, they were like, okay, I have more confidence in the future now that the rate cuts have had.

Chris

And the bond market reflected that.

Chris

But today, the day after the election ended on the 6th, November 6th, the market was resoundingly positive.

Chris

The stock market was banging out.

Saeed

Right.

Chris

I mean, it was.

Chris

It was a good day.

Chris

If you invested in Tesla, you woke up to some profits.

Chris

You invested in the banking community.

Chris

The banking sector was up.

Chris

I mean, there was a lot of positivity in the markets today.

Chris

It was kind of stunning.

Chris

Yeah, that is an unusual response in a lot of ways, but it's also a good thing, and it's a good symbol for the economy going into a rate cut tomorrow.

Chris

I do expect there to be some optimism built into that as well.

Saeed

Absolutely.

Chris

So it should be interesting to see how this all plays out, but there's.

Saeed

A lot of negative news also.

Saeed

You got to remember guys like us, and if you've been tuning into the show and we're reading what the predictions are, that they're baking in another 25 basis point cut tomorrow ahead of time, you gotta believe that that's already priced into whatever mortgage rates are.

Saeed

So if you don't see mortgage rates come down, you gotta understand that's because it's already priced in.

Saeed

I think that was the big mis, the misconception the last time around when we did get that rate cut and people were like, they thought mortgage rates come down.

Saeed

That's not how it works.

Saeed

That's not how they respond.

Chris

Yeah.

Chris

And I think you're not going to see mortgage rates go down, at least not in the near term anyway.

Saeed

Yeah.

Saeed

And not because of this.

Chris

Not because of this, but largely because, and here's the way I like to position with most people is the bond market, particularly the 10 year treasury bond, has the biggest influence on the 30 year mortgage that we all look at as, quote, the mortgage rate.

Chris

Right.

Chris

And as people get more and more confidence in the long term, bond yields return higher and higher percentages.

Chris

It pushes those yields up because people have more and more confidence that the long term is going to be healthy, it's going to be beneficial.

Chris

Right.

Chris

And as a result of that, it pushes mortgage rates up because it's the clear, closest proxy to mortgage rates, the 10 year Treasury.

Chris

So right now, as of today, it was over 4.4 and some change.

Chris

Yep.

Chris

The 10 year, that is wildly high in pretty big movement, not only in a single day, but over the course of the last couple months it was, it is, it is bumped up significantly.

Chris

And as a result of that, you've seen mortgage rates creep up pretty dramatically.

Saeed

Right.

Saeed

So if you're one of those people that are really trying to track mortgage rates, that's the figure that you want to, you know, stay locked in on the ten year treasury because mortgage rates tend to be somewhere between 2 to 3% higher than whatever the 10 year comes in at.

Saeed

So if you're looking at 4.4%, I mean you're looking at either a 6.4% or maybe 7.4%.

Chris

And I've seen rates in and around those ranges.

Chris

So that.

Chris

Look at you.

Saeed

I mean, that's what we do, man.

Chris

Ranges of details and everything.

Saeed

Welcome.

Chris

I didn't know better, I'd say you were financially literate.

Saeed

Green jacket on the way.

Chris

Green jacket, let's go.

Chris

Not the golfing one.

Saeed

No, I wish.

Chris

Job growth slowed sharply last month with workers sidelined by hurricane effects and the continuing Boeing strike.

Chris

Both of these things.

Chris

By the way, site has some fun facts for you on the impact of how these things can actually affect you.

Chris

The Labor Department on Friday reported that the economy added a seasonally adjusted 12,000 jobs in October versus a September gain of 223,000.

Chris

That's a pretty big drop.

Saeed

That's a wild swing, man.

Chris

Yeah, that's from like, hundreds of Thousands down to 12,000.

Saeed

Yeah.

Saeed

And don't forget the Bureau of Labor Statistics came out a couple months ago and said, you know, we kind of overestimated jobs over the course of this last year by 800,000.

Saeed

And they also came out recently and said that they overestimated jobs in August and September by 112,000.

Saeed

So this is a huge swing.

Saeed

And just for, like, you know, a baseline number, you know, they expected 100,000 jobs to be added, and that is, generally speaking, the amount of jobs that should be added every month just to keep up with population growth.

Chris

Yep.

Saeed

Right.

Saeed

So to be at.

Saeed

At a number like 12,000, this the lowest report in four years.

Saeed

Right.

Saeed

I mean, that's a wild figure.

Chris

Yeah.

Chris

And it's.

Chris

In my mind, it's about as close to a real time.

Chris

So the number of jobs added to me is as close as a real time proxy to unemployment percentages as you can get.

Chris

And to give you a good example of this in a different way to me, mortgage applications, the number of people applying for mortgages is the greatest proxy for home values and where they're likely to go.

Chris

Right, right.

Chris

So if you see a huge slowdown in mortgage applications, you know, the home values are probably going to go down over time because there's not a lot of people buying.

Saeed

Yeah, right.

Chris

This is the same thing.

Chris

If there's not a lot of jobs being added, then unemployment's probably going to go up because there's just not a lot of new jobs.

Chris

Yeah.

Saeed

And if you're sitting there and you're one of the, you know, many, many people that are confused because you're reading all these different headlines, you're not crazy.

Chris

Oh, you're crazy.

Chris

You listen to this show.

Chris

You can't be normal.

Saeed

Yeah, you definitely not normal.

Saeed

But, you know, we, like, we, like, you're kind of not normal.

Chris

You know, speaking of not normal.

Chris

And we have to get back to the show, obviously, but you ever listen to somebody else's financial literacy podcast, like, anybody else's.

Saeed

Not a.

Saeed

Not a podcast.

Saeed

I've seen, like, I've.

Saeed

I've said on the show, I like Humphrey Yang stuff.

Chris

Yeah.

Chris

But none of her.

Saeed

Yeah, none of them are like, financial.

Chris

Literacy podcasts, and they're not really fun.

Saeed

No, they're.

Chris

Even Humphrey Yang is, like, a little serious.

Saeed

He's a little serious, but he's got some, like, I don't know, some.

Saeed

Anecdotal jokes that he slides in here very rarely.

Chris

And they're very dry humor.

Saeed

They're very.

Saeed

Yeah, you don't get.

Saeed

You don't get.

Saeed

Get this anywhere else, dude.

Chris

And like, Mark Zandy's podcast, Moody's.

Chris

Moody's a big brand.

Chris

Good podcast, Terrible show.

Saeed

Yeah, I've checked out a couple of the earn your leisure stuff just because a lot of people pimped them out.

Chris

Yeah.

Saeed

I'll be honest.

Saeed

Not a fan.

Chris

Not a fan, right?

Saeed

Not honestly.

Chris

They.

Saeed

They got all these different segments.

Saeed

And I'm tuning in.

Saeed

I'm like, okay, where's the value?

Saeed

I'm looking to see what's the value, what's the draw?

Saeed

And a lot of times they're literally just pimping out the sponsorships.

Chris

Oh, we got a review that referenced that.

Chris

And yeah.

Chris

So somebody once asked me, like, why don't you guys have, like, more financially related sponsors or pimp out more financial stuff?

Chris

And I thought to myself, because it devalues the message.

Chris

Yeah, we're like, hey, man, home values only go up for the next five years by now.

Chris

But by now, use my.

Chris

Use my Realtor network like Dave Ramsey.

Saeed

Right.

Chris

You just devalue everything that you're doing.

Chris

Ironically.

Chris

It's working well for him.

Chris

So maybe I'm wrong, but.

Saeed

Yeah, I mean, yeah, for his first, pockets is working well, but I mean.

Chris

You can't trust the goddamn thing he says.

Saeed

You really shouldn't be trusting a lot of the stuff that he's saying because it's also a lot of what he's.

Chris

Saying is not practical and it's self interested.

Chris

He has a reason to do it.

Saeed

Right.

Chris

Well, let's get back to Wall Street Journal.

Chris

Yeah.

Saeed

Yeah.

Saeed

So if you're hearing some of these headlines and these figures and you're wondering, like, wait a minute, am I crazy?

Saeed

They're saying that the economy's strong, unemployment rate at 4.1% is, you know, extremely low when compared to historical numbers.

Saeed

Right.

Saeed

But then if it's so strong, we just added only 12,000 jobs.

Saeed

And if it's so strong, why do we need to cut?

Saeed

Why does the Fed feel like they need to cut rates?

Chris

Yeah, because it's not so strong.

Chris

And we'll get into a lot of reasons why as we go through the show tonight.

Chris

But there's a lot of challenges.

Chris

And like we told you during the port strike.

Chris

Let's go.

Chris

I mean, you've already kind of commented on the rest of the Wall Street Journal article, so let's forego the foreplay get right into the fun stuff.

Chris

Fun fact, the hurricane impact here.

Chris

The Bureau of Labor Statistics estimates that each 0.1% increase in unemployment following a natural disaster translates to roughly 125,000 fewer jobs in the affected areas.

Saeed

Holy cow.

Chris

That's a lot of jobs in the areas.

Chris

This could, to contextualize this right?

Chris

In the recent slowdown is what you got.

Chris

Now that could be a huge play into why October was the way that it was.

Chris

But you're also talking nationally and these hurricanes were only in one particular area.

Chris

So if I'm looking at this, I'm thinking to myself, okay, this in and of itself does not justify the employment change.

Saeed

Right.

Chris

So yeah, sure, the natural disaster was an impact here, but in and of itself that that's only 125,000 fewer jobs.

Chris

Even in a worst case event scenario, that's only half of what they were supposed to be.

Chris

It's still short of the estimates into 12,000.

Chris

You got a bigger problem nationally.

Saeed

Yeah.

Chris

National disasters and unemployment.

Chris

According to FEMA, natural disasters have cost the U.S.

Chris

approximately $150 billion annually over the past five years, indirectly affecting job growth as businesses temporarily shut down and recover.

Saeed

Yeah, man.

Chris

So all these things that, that are kind of the long term effects of some of these weather disasters that we just don't think about are going to have long lasting impacts on some of the economic decisions that the people that we have in place to make them are making.

Saeed

Oh, man.

Saeed

I mean, me personally, right.

Saeed

So underwriter by trade, I'm looking at insurance policies that, you know, some, some people are holding and there's something called an AM Best rating for insurance policies.

Saeed

Right.

Saeed

Basically rates the insurance company and basically it's a grade level that they get to see how strong they are.

Saeed

Right.

Saeed

So what I'm seeing now lately is a lot of them are getting downgraded.

Saeed

Okay.

Saeed

And they're being downgraded for the, for the main reason is too many policyholders.

Chris

Yeah.

Saeed

It's like you have too many people that you might need to service.

Saeed

So shit could go bad for you really south or really bad as an insurance company.

Chris

Right.

Saeed

And you're like, man, so they're getting punished for, you know, getting too many clients, too many customers.

Chris

Yeah, man.

Chris

Politically, some of the regulation and some of the reviews of independent companies, it's just, it's taxing.

Chris

If you're a consumer, you're trying to like figure out who to trust and believe from a company perspective.

Chris

It's hard.

Saeed

Yeah.

Chris

Like some of these rating agencies, you're going like okay, wait a minute.

Chris

You're saying they have more risk of loss, but they're an insurance company, so they're supposed to have risk of loss.

Chris

So if they've grown in scale, then they have greater risk of loss because they have more clients.

Saeed

Yeah.

Chris

Shouldn't they be a bigger, stronger company as a result of that?

Saeed

Exactly.

Chris

But someone looks at radiation, she goes, oh, they're B minus.

Chris

No, I don't like them.

Saeed

Yeah, yeah, that's exactly what I mean.

Chris

You know what I mean?

Chris

Like, there's no logic behind it.

Chris

You're just like, okay, all right, sure, I'll pass.

Saeed

Yeah, yeah.

Chris

Another fun fact, the strike impact.

Chris

We talked a lot about this on a previous show.

Chris

Well, Boeing strike alone is estimated to shave off $1.6 billion from Q4 GDP, showing how labor disruptions can have a ripple effect on the broader economic metrics beyond just job count.

Chris

So all these things that we see in the news, like, oh, my God, they're going to strike.

Chris

They're going to strike.

Chris

The poor strike.

Chris

There are long lasting real impacts to gdp.

Chris

Natural disasters, long lasting, real impacts.

Chris

The jobs in all this data, jobs and gdp, or what the Fed and other people look at when they go, is the economy healthy?

Saeed

Yeah.

Chris

Is it healthy?

Chris

So I bring all this up as kind of a beginning stage to contextualize that we're getting a lot of inputs that seem to suggest that the needle is going to be moving the wrong way.

Saeed

Okay.

Chris

Right, right.

Chris

And if you look at the jobs report, this was really good if you wanted a rate cut.

Chris

Right.

Chris

Because this is the last big jobs number to come out before tomorrow's decision.

Saeed

Solidifies the fact that they will be cutting rates.

Saeed

Yeah.

Chris

At least that's the market perception.

Chris

I mean, they could come out and be like, you know what?

Chris

We don't need this thug life.

Saeed

Yeah, fuck y'all.

Chris

Yeah, y'all can stay home, talk amongst yourselves, but you would not get in 25 basis points.

Chris

That could very well happen, I don't think.

Chris

I think I'm pretty much 100% they're going to give us.

Chris

Yeah.

Saeed

Predictions are at 99%.

Saeed

But what was really interesting is predictions also came out for the December meeting.

Saeed

That's coming out.

Chris

Right.

Chris

So I haven't checked.

Saeed

Before the jobs report came out, there was a 74% chance that they will also be cutting again in December.

Saeed

Okay.

Saeed

After the jobs report, it's like north of like 80%.

Saeed

So it increased because this is just, you know, fueling the fire.

Saeed

Like, yeah, you're right.

Saeed

We need to we need.

Saeed

We need to get in front of this before it gets really bad.

Chris

And if you're taking what the FOMC Telegraph, it's really 25 basis points in November.

Chris

25 basis points in December would probably be your.

Chris

Your approximation of what they said they were going to do.

Saeed

Yeah, yeah.

Saeed

It probably just a little bit more than what they actually said because they did that.

Saeed

50 basis points to start off with.

Saeed

Yeah, yeah, yeah, yeah.

Chris

It came out hard.

Chris

Arun, if you could scroll down a little bit and give me a little bit of coco.

Chris

Sexy.

Chris

Yeah.

Saeed

Car buyers, man.

Chris

I saw a Tesla that was offering zero percent interest and I thought I could send this to you and really ruin your day because that wasn't around when you were looking for a car.

Chris

And then I was like, you know what?

Chris

No, I'm gonna be a better human.

Saeed

I test drove the Model Y, man.

Saeed

I wasn't a fan.

Chris

Wow.

Saeed

I know.

Saeed

I.

Saeed

I know.

Saeed

I just upset a lot of people who have Model Y's.

Chris

Wow.

Chris

Why.

Chris

Why are you such a terrible, terrible human being?

Saeed

Okay.

Saeed

You know that.

Saeed

What is it called?

Saeed

The degenerative braking system?

Chris

Regenerative.

Saeed

Oh, sorry.

Saeed

Regenerative braking.

Chris

Your degenerate.

Saeed

I'm a degenerate regenerator.

Saeed

Okay.

Saeed

Yeah, the degenerates driving the Teslas.

Saeed

No, I'm just kidding.

Saeed

Regenerative braking system that it has.

Saeed

They didn't tell me if you could turn that on or off.

Saeed

Right.

Chris

Yeah, you can.

Saeed

Okay.

Saeed

So that guy did.

Saeed

I asked him.

Saeed

He said no.

Saeed

Right.

Chris

So just a little toggle switch.

Saeed

That was my main reason.

Saeed

Why?

Saeed

Because it made me motion sickness to drive it.

Chris

What's.

Chris

Cause you don't how to drive it yet.

Chris

You have to figure out how to like.

Saeed

Nah, man.

Saeed

No.

Saeed

And.

Saeed

And Adam gets motion sickness from that stuff, so I couldn't even.

Saeed

I didn't even want to mess around with it.

Saeed

So we ended up getting the Volkswagen.

Chris

Why wouldn't you ask me?

Chris

I have a Tesla.

Saeed

No, but maybe it was only available.

Saeed

You know how they were weird, bro.

Saeed

They do something for the X, but not for the Y.

Chris

The X is the premium version.

Chris

It has all the things.

Saeed

Yeah, so you have the X.

Saeed

That's the premium.

Saeed

So you get it.

Saeed

Maybe the Y doesn't get it.

Chris

Are you sure that you would know if you run.

Chris

Help me out here.

Saeed

Are you sure that the Y has it?

Chris

What?

Chris

That has a what?

Chris

The regenerative breaking.

Saeed

Yeah, yeah.

Saeed

No, no.

Saeed

I want to be able to turn it off.

Chris

Yes.

Arun

How do you know?

Saeed

How do you know?

Arun

Driven one.

Saeed

Which one?

Chris

I Test drove one.

Arun

Why.

Saeed

Why would you drive one when you had the Jeep and you have the Rivian?

Saeed

I'm shenanigans.

Chris

No, no.

Chris

I was contemplating, you know, maybe a Model Y.

Chris

If it had enough room and it was big enough.

Saeed

It was pretty small.

Saeed

It's tight.

Chris

It's tight like a tiger.

Chris

And then.

Chris

But I also wanted to experience what it was like to not have a screen in front of me because they have that center screen, not because the Model X is a screen in front of you.

Saeed

Honestly, the.

Saeed

The one screen thing with zero buttons at all.

Saeed

It's like, it's very frustrating.

Saeed

I feel like I'm.

Saeed

I'm like.

Chris

I don't like it personally.

Saeed

I don't like.

Saeed

I need a handful of buttons.

Chris

That's part of the reason why I like the Rivian truck is that it has like all the screens.

Saeed

Rivian truck looks far superior.

Chris

Mine's covered in bird poop at the moment.

Chris

So.

Chris

Yeah.

Chris

All right.

Chris

So even some high income Americans can't afford new cars anymore.

Saeed

High income Americans.

Chris

I started reading these numbers and I put in a lot of, as Arun would say, copy here because this was pretty damn scary stuff.

Saeed

Yeah, okay.

Saeed

You gotta hear.

Saeed

I was gonna say.

Chris

Yeah, you're gonna steal some more thunder.

Saeed

I don't wanna.

Saeed

I don't wanna steal any thunder because when we talk about these topics, read the show notes.

Saeed

We've been.

Saeed

We've been discussing these topics.

Saeed

And it's good because you can always like, go back and compare to what we said.

Saeed

And it's.

Saeed

And it's true.

Saeed

Man, these prices are going up.

Chris

Car buyers across America, even those with comfortable incomes like Levine, I don't know who that is.

Chris

I think it was just an example from the earlier article.

Chris

But he had a douchebag name, so you gotta, gotta include him, right?

Saeed

What?

Saeed

Adam Levine, bro.

Chris

No last name.

Chris

Okay.

Chris

First name.

Chris

Not okay.

Saeed

Okay, Right.

Saeed

Oh, yeah.

Saeed

Levine was the first name you're saying and not okay.

Saeed

Yeah.

Chris

Like Adam Smith.

Chris

Fine.

Chris

Smith Adam.

Chris

No, you're weird.

Saeed

So I got three first names.

Saeed

What do you got to say now?

Saeed

Am I back over to the cool side?

Chris

Yeah, your question.

Saeed

I've now lapped you.

Chris

Whatever.

Chris

Anyway, they're dropping out of the new car market.

Chris

The pandemic supply shortages that drove sticker prices skyward are in the rearview mirror.

Chris

But the cost of a new set of wheels continues to climb.

Chris

The average price of a new car this year is $48,205 up.

Chris

You ready?

Chris

21% from five years ago, according to researcher Cox Automotive Inc.

Chris

And growing frustration over auto affordability is yet another kitchen table economy concern that's bound to be running through the minds of American voters as they head to the polls yesterday.

Saeed

I mean, this plays right into what I wanted to get into.

Saeed

So if you compare wage growth to what it was five years ago didn't keep up.

Saeed

Wage growth only grew 18% in the last five years.

Chris

Oh, I heard a debate literally this morning about guys, very wealthy guys, saying, oh, wage growth's catching up.

Chris

It's not a big deal.

Chris

This is on cnbc, by the way.

Saeed

Come on.

Saeed

Live show out of tune.

Chris

And they were like, oh, it's not that bad.

Chris

You know, wage growth's catching back up.

Chris

Wages are totally, you know, they're.

Chris

They're roaring and ready to go.

Chris

And I'm like, you two rich assholes have no idea what you're talking about.

Saeed

Zero.

Saeed

Absolutely right.

Saeed

So the reported rate of inflation that's grown in the last five years, reported figure, all in the average figure is 23%.

Saeed

But we know necessary things like groceries.

Saeed

Come on, bro.

Saeed

Way higher than 23%.

Saeed

We're talking 40, 50%.

Saeed

Housing.

Saeed

Don't get me started with rent.

Saeed

Housing everywhere.

Saeed

What about just.

Saeed

Just car insurance?

Chris

Car.

Chris

It's ridiculous.

Saeed

Car insurance is way above 50%.

Saeed

And these are things that we all need to pay.

Saeed

So the overall, the overall average, you know, reported rate of inflation over the last five years being 23% and the wage growth only being 18%.

Saeed

That's not even painting an accurate picture.

Saeed

But it's still showing that it's far below.

Saeed

It has not kept up with everything.

Saeed

But like we like to say on the show, why you need to be financially.

Saeed

Literally literate.

Chris

Right?

Chris

Literally.

Saeed

Yeah, literally.

Saeed

I'm not going to go is that the s and P500 over the course of the last five years has grown 91%.

Chris

It only matters if you've cashed out of it.

Saeed

It does only matter.

Saeed

But the whole point of it is to stay in it long term, right?

Saeed

It's like you can't time the market, but you can control how much time you've been in the market, bro.

Saeed

Gems.

Chris

You were.

Chris

You were dying, bro.

Saeed

Hey, you're welcome.

Chris

Remind me.

Chris

I make a reel out of it.

Chris

The glasses drop down.

Chris

Come on.

Chris

Little Snoop Dogg reference.

Arun

Or you can just make it very cheesy.

Chris

I mean, it was kind of cheesy in and of itself.

Chris

I don't need to add much.

Saeed

The problem is I wasn't even trying.

Saeed

It just.

Saeed

It came out naturally.

Chris

No, I didn't I swear to God, you would practice that at least six times in front of the mirror.

Chris

I swear I did that half ass smile.

Saeed

But so wait, I want to get into a.

Saeed

We had a question from a listener.

Saeed

But I want to do it after this.

Chris

We do it after this.

Saeed

Yeah.

Chris

Okay.

Chris

We also talk about how you got me into a Twitter war today.

Saeed

Me personally.

Chris

Oh, you did?

Chris

Yeah.

Saeed

I'm not on Twitter.

Chris

I know.

Chris

That's how pervasive your perspective is.

Saeed

You're not on Twitter either.

Chris

You're on X.

Chris

I'm on X.

Chris

Yeah.

Chris

Okay.

Chris

I'm on Twitter.

Chris

X.

Chris

Whatever it was.

Chris

Someone called me out for some shit.

Chris

You said.

Saeed

What did I do?

Chris

Bro, you got me in a whole lot and I'm like, defending it.

Saeed

You're defending me?

Chris

Yeah.

Chris

I'll give you.

Chris

I'll give you just a hint.

Saeed

Yeah.

Chris

I was like, okay.

Chris

Paper hands.

Saeed

Oh.

Saeed

Because I said diamond hands.

Chris

Yeah.

Chris

You got me in all sorts of trouble.

Chris

All right, so back to the Bloomberg Business Week article.

Chris

Sticker shock is increasingly scaring off many would be buyers.

Chris

A recent survey by the automotive research Edmonds.com found that almost half of American car shoppers expect to pay $35,000 or less for a new car.

Chris

Talk about out of touch.

Chris

That makes sense because the average trade in is six years old, which means those buyers last purchased a new car back when the average price was in the mid-30s.

Chris

When they returned to the showroom and discover that they'll have to pay almost $50,000, they're walking away.

Chris

The Edmonds survey found that 73% of consumers are holding off on buying a new car because of the cost.

Saeed

Yeah.

Saeed

And you're not doing yourself any favors if you're going and just getting regular financing through, you know, their financing department rates are somewhere between, you know, 6, 7, 8%.

Saeed

Right.

Saeed

Or I mean, unless you're getting a deal like at Tesla.

Saeed

Right.

Chris

Or I've always recommended, like, if you're going to finance your car, which I mean, all good.

Chris

Right.

Chris

All.

Chris

If you go to a credit union.

Chris

If you belong to a credit union, great.

Chris

You might have some opportunities.

Chris

But you.

Chris

To shop around for best.

Chris

Do not go to the dealership for the best pricing unless they're offering like 0% or 1% financing, in which case you might not be able to beat that.

Saeed

Yeah, exactly.

Saeed

And that's what.

Saeed

That's exactly what I did at the time.

Chris

Except you could have had zero percent.

Saeed

I do have zero percent right now on a Tesla.

Saeed

Yeah.

Saeed

The only benefit there is the longer range.

Saeed

I only get 200 miles.

Chris

Look, if you're.

Chris

If you're happy going less distance than me, that's okay.

Saeed

I don't care.

Saeed

I get there, though.

Chris

That's also fine.

Saeed

I get there.

Saeed

I'm happy just because I get there.

Chris

I mean, I'm sure you're happy, but not everybody is fulfilled with the range that you have.

Saeed

But honest, I'm fulfilled.

Saeed

I care about my range.

Saeed

That's okay.

Chris

You're a smaller man than me, if that makes.

Saeed

Why do you gotta go there?

Chris

Distance wise?

Saeed

Distance?

Chris

I have 420 miles of range.

Chris

How much range do you have?

Saeed

Yeah, we're talking about car range, right?

Chris

Yeah.

Saeed

Yeah, right.

Chris

How long do you go?

Saeed

200 miles.

Saeed

It lasts.

Saeed

Lasts me a long time because I don't drive very far.

Chris

I bet it feels like a long time.

Chris

Monthly payments on new car loans now average $767, up 17% from just four years ago, according to Cox.

Saeed

I feel like I just got a heart attack here in that number.

Saeed

700.

Chris

Yes.

Chris

A lot, dude.

Chris

And one in six new car buyers this year will take on payments of more than $1,000 a month.

Chris

Edmund says blame it on ballooning sticker prices resulting from more technology, automakers quest for better profit margins, and, of course, skyrocketing auto loan rates.

Chris

Yeah, there's three fun facts here.

Chris

Arun, you want to read something tonight?

Saeed

You want it?

Chris

You want to get involved?

Arun

No?

Saeed

Let's see where the energy.

Saeed

Let's see where the energy levels are at.

Chris

Show us how it's done.

Chris

Arun, go for it.

Chris

We'll wait.

Saeed

Come on.

Saeed

Yeah.

Saeed

Yeah.

Saeed

We're going to do this.

Arun

All right, let's do it.

Arun

Let's make sure I can say all the words.

Arun

All right, Cool.

Chris

No big words.

Arun

Make sure there's no jargon in there.

Arun

All right, fun fact.

Arun

New versus used price gap.

Saeed

Let's go.

Saeed

All right.

Arun

Talking out.

Chris

Go for it.

Saeed

Come on, bro.

Chris

Come on.

Chris

Come on.

Saeed

You got this.

Arun

I tapped.

Saeed

Oh, he tapped.

Saeed

All right.

Chris

Price gap between new and used vehicles has reached a record 30%, pushing more budget conscious buyers toward the used market.

Chris

Five years ago, this gap was closer to 15%.

Saeed

Damn.

Chris

Yeah, another one.

Chris

I got all the fun facts.

Chris

I like the fun facts.

Chris

I think they add value.

Saeed

No, let me go.

Saeed

Interest rate in loan terms.

Saeed

To cope with high prices, buyers are stretching their car loan terms longer than ever.

Saeed

Over 42% of new car loans now extend to 72 months or more, which can lead to paying for more in interest over time and increase the risk of being upside down on loans.

Saeed

So basically, what that means is, are you like, how long of a loan are you getting?

Saeed

We typically recommend somewhere ideally, you know, nothing more than four years.

Saeed

Right.

Saeed

And five is definitely okay.

Saeed

But if you can, if you can try to get it to four, that way you, you're never really upside down.

Saeed

And then when you do sell the car or another thing that you could do is you could always go five.

Saeed

And then if you could put more down towards principal every month, just do that and you'll pay.

Saeed

You know what I've done, You'll pay it off sooner.

Chris

And I know this is terrible to say because it sounds elitist, but I'll get a 72 month car payment.

Chris

Right.

Chris

I'll finance it, get a 17 month car payment, have it as a trade line, and then I'll pay it off early, after like a year.

Saeed

Why do you do it that way?

Chris

I like to just make sure I got trade lines that are building credit and keeping credit constant over time.

Saeed

Yeah.

Saeed

Because that's the thing, right.

Saeed

With car loans, that's a really good way to boost your credit.

Chris

Yeah.

Chris

So I, I have.

Chris

So one of the challenges I have with my credit is that I've got a lot of different trade lines because I have a lot of mortgages and not all my mortgages are commercial.

Chris

So they do show up on my personal credit report.

Saeed

Well, explain to people what do you mean by trade lines.

Arun

Oh, damn it.

Arun

I was about to stop.

Chris

Well, you contributed so well here.

Chris

Reading earlier.

Saeed

You gotta just jump in, bro.

Saeed

You gotta get in where you fit in.

Chris

Is this your first podcast?

Chris

It's funny because normally you do that to me when I read and now you're doing it to you because you read.

Arun

It was my first time watching next episode.

Chris

I hope we went smooth and slow for your first time.

Saeed

We're going to, we're going to, we're going to give it another shot later at the end of this episode.

Chris

If you had a little bit longer range, you probably could have, you know, enjoyed it.

Saeed

Oh, back to the range.

Chris

So each item on your credit report is a trade line.

Chris

If you have a credit card, that then the history of that performance on that credit card when you open it, how long you've had it, how you paid it over time.

Chris

Have you always paid on time?

Chris

That's a trade line.

Chris

The more of those you have, the old school methodology was like, oh my God.

Chris

The more trade lines you have that are paid as agreed, the better.

Chris

Not necessarily.

Chris

The algorithm takes into account things like how much available credit do you have to you versus how much have you utilized?

Chris

If you've got $100,000, you can utilize, but you're using all $100,000, that's not good.

Saeed

Yeah.

Chris

If you're using only, you know, $2,000 of $100,000, that's also okay as long as you're using it and paying it off consistently.

Saeed

Yes.

Chris

So it really comes down to a bunch of different factors.

Chris

One of the factors that I know is that I've got a lot of long term installment loans.

Chris

Cause I got like I think seven mortgages on my personal credit report.

Saeed

Installment loans, meaning it's a loan that will get paid off over time.

Saeed

Over time versus a revolving line or a charge account.

Chris

Yeah.

Saeed

Right.

Chris

So think of, you want a good healthy mix of different types of credits.

Chris

You want revolving ones like credit cards, you want installment loans like homes and car loans.

Saeed

Yes.

Chris

What I try to tell people is, and there's student loans in there as well, but they don't in my mind impact things as well.

Chris

If you have just credit cards because you haven't bought a home and your credit score is kind of like, ah, you know, it's very like for example, if you have like somebody look into your credit and your credit score drops pretty dramatically because you had an inquiry into your credit, it's because you don't have something like an installment loan anchoring it.

Chris

So what I tell people is little hack that I do, go get a car loan or get a car loan.

Chris

If you're looking to buy a car, even if you can pay it off in cash, just because having that installment line even there for a little bit of time will help anchor your credit with the performance of that installment loan as opposed to just the revolving debt.

Saeed

Absolutely.

Chris

So I've just found that works better from our algorithmic standpoint.

Chris

But you know, everybody's got their own way, right.

Saeed

And another thing to keep in mind too is I don't know if there's a real general rule of thumb, but my own rule of thumb for myself and my wife are no more than three credit cards.

Saeed

Right.

Saeed

And actually we only, I only have two.

Saeed

Because if you do get, if you do have more, right.

Saeed

Let's just say you have your, the one you have with your bank and you're still, you still have my college credit card.

Saeed

And then you, let's say you open up like a Nordstrom card or a Macy's card or something and then you have it for a while and you're like, oh, I'm not really using it anymore, whatever.

Saeed

And you close it down.

Saeed

Well, you closing it down is now decreasing your total credit available.

Saeed

So it actually hurts your credit to close it down.

Saeed

So keep that in mind too, when you're closing down accounts.

Chris

Yeah, I had a.

Chris

One more fun fact which I thought was kind of interesting that I had a funny story about me being a total douchebag.

Chris

And I know how much you like those.

Chris

Arun loves them because he gets make fun of me for an hour.

Saeed

Right.

Chris

So, you know, you drive by car dealerships and used to see the lots, like, jam packed.

Saeed

Oh, yeah.

Chris

And even though car prices are what they are, like, I don't see them as jam packed as it wants to.

Chris

Like, they don't have as many cars in the lot.

Saeed

Right, okay.

Chris

Well, I looked up the data here.

Chris

Due to the supply shortages and increased demand for used cars, dealerships report that 25% fewer cars.

Chris

Used cars are now available on the market compared to pre pandemic levels, squeezing affordability further.

Chris

So because people are holding onto their car and not trading it in because the cost of a new car is so expensive, there's less used cars on the lot to buy.

Chris

Kind of a snowball effect of cost.

Saeed

Oh, yeah.

Saeed

I mean, and I mean, just another case for me personally is when I traded in my Jeep recently.

Saeed

Right.

Saeed

When you, when you're trading in your car, you want to get the Kelley Blue Book value.

Saeed

I also got, I got a carfax.

Saeed

So you get a general idea for what the value of your car is.

Saeed

Even though I feel like the value of my car was way higher given.

Saeed

I mean, everyone naturally thinks that because they think their car is the best kind of like your home.

Saeed

But I didn't get any, any like, credit towards, like, you know, some of the upgrades that I had, like the running boards, the bigger wheels, all that.

Saeed

None of that stuff.

Saeed

Right.

Saeed

But I think the value came in.

Saeed

It was supposed to be like somewhere.

Saeed

27,000.

Saeed

Okay.

Saeed

That was Kelly Blue Book.

Saeed

So I'm like, all right, cool.

Saeed

Like, I'll take it to CarMax.

Saeed

And everyone says that they're good or Carvana, and I'll go with whatever.

Saeed

Whichever's the better of the two, bro.

Saeed

I'm like, I'll walk away.

Saeed

I had a number set in my head.

Saeed

I'll.

Saeed

Even if they only offer me like 22, 23, I'll probably take it.

Saeed

17,000 is what they offered me, right?

Saeed

And I'm like, oh, that's how bad they're hurting.

Saeed

They know that the used market is.

Saeed

Is hurting so bad right now, they gotta go that much Lower.

Saeed

Just to, you know, make an extra couple bucks on my car.

Chris

I don't want to say I sold mine for 16.

Chris

5.

Chris

And it was an older model.

Saeed

Yeah, I know.

Saeed

No, no.

Saeed

But then I.

Saeed

I ended up trading mine.

Saeed

I ended up with the vault.

Saeed

I got them to go up all the way to 20.

Saeed

Okay.

Chris

There you go.

Chris

Yeah, fair enough.

Saeed

Yeah.

Saeed

So fuck you very much.

Chris

Yeah, fuck you, too.

Arun

We've had this discussion, Chris.

Chris

Oh, I know, I know.

Chris

On the show.

Chris

Yeah.

Chris

Really?

Arun

Yeah.

Chris

How do you know?

Chris

You don't listen to show.

Arun

I'm here.

Saeed

He's listening.

Saeed

Yeah, he listens to it twice, bro.

Saeed

Here.

Saeed

And when he's at home editing, he.

Chris

Doesn'T really listen to.

Chris

While he's here, he has his.

Chris

Like, he's usually watching some kind of sports back there.

Arun

It's called porn.

Saeed

It's called porn, bro.

Chris

We both know you're not watching porn.

Chris

I've checked your testosterone levels for you.

Chris

Normally, it'd be a great plug for Transcend.

Chris

He doesn't sponsor us anymore.

Saeed

All right, so I actually got a question from a listener.

Chris

Yeah.

Saeed

Shout out to Mr.

Saeed

John King.

Chris

John.

Chris

Yeah.

Saeed

He said, hi, sight.

Saeed

I love the show.

Saeed

You all are doing great work.

Saeed

Thanks, man.

Chris

Lord's work.

Saeed

Yeah, yeah, exactly.

Saeed

That's.

Saeed

He includes you, too.

Saeed

Odun.

Chris

He didn't.

Saeed

He did.

Saeed

He said.

Saeed

He said you all.

Chris

Yeah, you.

Chris

Me.

Saeed

No, you all.

Saeed

You don't say you all for two people, you all for three.

Saeed

All right, fine.

Saeed

Can you guys talk more about when you think a good time to start investing again would be.

Saeed

You mentioned the stock market being overvalued.

Saeed

I've paused my contributions to my investment accounts in favor of high yield savings.

Saeed

I'd like to get back into the market, but am unsure of a good time.

Saeed

I don't want to start right now.

Saeed

If the market is overvalued and expect it to crash in the near future.

Chris

I wouldn't say crash.

Chris

I haven't seen any data that suggests a crash in both the housing and the stock market markets.

Chris

Yeah, clearly they're both overvalued.

Chris

Not going to say a correction isn't due.

Chris

And just to be clear here, whenever you say crash, you're typically talking about a correction of 20% or more.

Chris

Anything less than that is quote correction.

Chris

So that vernacular is very important because it means something.

Chris

I don't know.

Chris

Would I like to see a crash in either market?

Chris

Yeah, I think there's.

Chris

There's reason why both would be valuable.

Saeed

Yeah.

Chris

But there's nothing that I can see on the horizon.

Chris

Not to say that we're, you know, predicting anything, but nothing I can see yet on the horizon which would lead us to a market crash.

Chris

Do I say stop investing?

Chris

No, I think you can't invest in companies that may or may not be overvalued or if there's a question that they may, for example.

Chris

But there are some staples which are not overvalued.

Chris

Non tech companies outside of the Mag 7, if you think that their performance is going to increase or improve.

Chris

Look, I'll give you a great example.

Chris

I think Rivian's got a lot of like legs.

Chris

It's a good stock.

Chris

They're not overvalued in the market.

Chris

They're still a fledgling kind of a new darling company.

Chris

They got upside.

Chris

I think what DAR is doing over at Uber is going to continue to progress over time.

Chris

And as much as Tesla might be part of the Mag 7 and they were up a pretty healthy amount today, I think that what Elon Musk is doing with Tesla, with SpaceX, I think there are some pretty heavy impacts to the population.

Chris

If you got that this whole self driving, autonomous driving thing really going with the cabs that he's, you know, promoted and.

Saeed

Yeah.

Chris

And that you're charging.

Chris

You're talking about changing human behaviors.

Saeed

Yeah.

Chris

So I think there's, there's still a lot of upside in the market.

Chris

You just gotta be more strategic with where you put your money.

Chris

I would not put, personally put money in funds right now, really.

Chris

I would invest in, I would invest in companies that I believe in outside of your 401k your retirement.

Chris

If you're going into your 401k your retirement, put it into a fund, ride it over time, you got a long game to play.

Chris

But for me, if I were investing money into the stock market right now and I worried about a correction of any way, shape or form, I would go into companies that I believe in and be willing to take the loss if I'm wrong.

Saeed

Yeah.

Saeed

So for me personally, I fully adopt the whole dollar cost averaging.

Saeed

And then nothing makes this point more true than this study right here.

Saeed

Right.

Saeed

We've talked about on the show before.

Saeed

According to Fidelity, assuming someone had invested $10,000 in the S P 500 index in January of 1980 to December of 2022, we're talking 42 years.

Saeed

Right.

Saeed

If they invested in all the days and they never stopped investing, they never pulled their money out.

Saeed

Right.

Saeed

Not saying that, you know, this individual pulled their money out.

Saeed

He just said he stopped his contributions.

Saeed

But the point here is that if you invested all your money the entire time.

Saeed

It's.

Saeed

It would have been over a million dollars in value at $10,000.

Saeed

Yeah.

Saeed

If you miss the best five days over the course of those 42 years.

Saeed

So the market has days that it does really, really well.

Saeed

Right.

Saeed

The five best days out of that 42 year stretch, you're down to $671,000.

Saeed

From a million to 671.

Saeed

The whole point is, yes, you might be.

Saeed

When your dollar cost averaging, you might go through days that.

Chris

So you're telling everybody to put, put it in and stay in.

Saeed

Put it in, stay in.

Chris

To dock.

Saeed

To dock.

Saeed

Exactly.

Chris

Dock your dollars.

Saeed

Dock your dollars is a very good T shirt.

Saeed

Dock your dollars is an amazing T shirt.

Chris

A doc cost averaging.

Saeed

Doc your dollars.

Saeed

There's nothing.

Saeed

There's nothing we haven't created something better than this.

Chris

Everybody in Utah is going to buy this.

Saeed

Everybody at BYU is going to buy this.

Chris

We should just go to BYU and doc your dollars.

Chris

Come on dog, let's put it in and leave it there.

Saeed

Yeah.

Saeed

So like just think about that.

Saeed

Right?

Saeed

So you again, back to my corny and cheesy saying, right?

Saeed

You can't time the market.

Saeed

It's about how much time you're in the market.

Saeed

Damn, I'm good.

Chris

Unless you've got, you know, shorter range.

Saeed

Right?

Saeed

Unless you got shorter range.

Saeed

Just to bring this full circle, let me tell you the rest of this stat is if you missed the best 10 days out of that 42 year stretch, you'd have 40, 483, 000.

Saeed

If you missed the best 30 days, 173, 000.

Saeed

If you miss the best 50 days.

Saeed

76, 000.

Saeed

50 days, dog, come on.

Saeed

You're down to 76,000.

Saeed

That's 93% less.

Chris

Hey man, sometimes those days matter.

Saeed

So.

Saeed

Yeah.

Saeed

So if you're thinking about yourself long term and investing, I get the idea it's overvalued, but it will correct itself eventually.

Saeed

And you don't want to miss out on that one day where you could really be making all your gains, bro.

Saeed

It's all about the gains, bro.

Chris

This show went off the rails a long time ago.

Chris

Why are we doing this still?

Chris

Arun, are you interested at all what we're saying anymore or is it just all like b.

Saeed

We're trying to keep it fun.

Arun

Oh, I'm.

Arun

I'm in it.

Chris

Are you in it?

Saeed

Yeah.

Chris

You docking it?

Arun

Yep.

Chris

You're saying this, bro.

Saeed

I just said we got it.

Saeed

We got to hit a Hannah, bro.

Saeed

That dock Your dollars.

Chris

I can't.

Chris

Dude, she's religious.

Chris

I can't be like Hannah.

Chris

Look, she is.

Saeed

Oh, we can't do that.

Chris

She's very religious.

Saeed

Oh, I didn't know.

Saeed

We can't do.

Chris

Can you explain what doc your dollars means, Chris?

Chris

So I can.

Saeed

I just need you to have graphics boat that gets docked.

Chris

Boats and hoes.

Chris

Boats.

Saeed

Yeah, exactly.

Saeed

Boats and hose.

Chris

Oh, man, doctor, you're a terrible human being.

Chris

All right.

Chris

Well, it isn't just cars that are having problems.

Chris

Well, home affordability and the inability for most people to buy a home, particularly first time home buyers, is having some ramifications to the demographic of home buyers out there.

Chris

This, according to CNBC, make it the average age of US home buyers has jumped to 56.

Chris

Homes are wildly unaffordable for young people, real estate experts say.

Chris

You don't have to be a real estate expert to know that the age for first time home buyers, don't worry.

Chris

Is less, but not as low as you might hope or thought that it was.

Chris

The average age of homebuyers in the US has risen by six years since July of 2023, another sign that younger Americans are being priced out of the market due to escalating home ownership costs.

Chris

The average age of homebuyers is now 56, up from 49 in 2023, according to the national association of Realtors annual State of the Market report released on Monday.

Chris

That is a historic high up from the average age in the low to mid-40s in the early 2010s.

Chris

The median age for first time homebuyers also rose from 35 to 38, while the share of first time buyers dropped from 32% to 24% of all buyers for the year ending July 2024.

Chris

That marks the lowest percentage since the national association of Realtors started tracking the metric in 1981.

Saeed

Baby, dude, there.

Saeed

This is a problem, a much bigger discussion to be had here, right?

Saeed

How many people do, you know, don't even begin to start to try and, you know, grow their families until they get into their first home right there?

Chris

Well, there's a lot of people who just aren't having kids right now.

Saeed

They aren't having kids right now just given, you know, what's going on, you know, in the, in the market and job instability.

Chris

It's not just this though.

Chris

Like everybody wants to be younger longer.

Saeed

That too.

Saeed

But for me personally, I can speak for myself.

Saeed

I did not want to start my family right, growing my family until we had our first home.

Saeed

Right.

Saeed

Not to Say there's anything wrong with it.

Saeed

I just wanted.

Saeed

I just wanted that stability.

Saeed

I didn't want to even think about having to move, you know what I mean?

Saeed

And all that.

Saeed

Like, if you're, if how many people are waiting to start now that they're.

Saeed

I actually have a cousin too, that recently.

Chris

You got like a lot of cousins, though.

Chris

That's a problem.

Saeed

What do you mean I got cousins?

Saeed

You got cousins on cousins.

Chris

You got too many cousins?

Saeed

Yeah, too many.

Chris

Just pick three.

Saeed

You don't have too many cousins?

Chris

No, I don't have cousins like that.

Saeed

Come on.

Saeed

I call you my cousin.

Chris

No, you don't.

Saeed

Come on, cuz.

Saeed

You call me your daddy, but yeah, that mean.

Saeed

And then family sizes are going to be shrinking because of this too.

Chris

Oh, it's already happening.

Chris

I mean, we're gonna get to the point now where if you're 38 years old and you're buying your first home, you're, I mean, in essence, 15 years behind what was traditionally thought as the age you would move out and buy a home or, you know, get situated.

Chris

Even if you bought a home at 30, let's say on average, 30 is a good age.

Chris

Eight years later, you're buying.

Chris

I mean, it's just, it's getting to the point where it's going to have huge ramifications for people's financial futures because the number one source of wealth for most Americans is the equity they build up in their home over time.

Saeed

That's what it has been up until now.

Saeed

That's going to have to change.

Chris

Yeah.

Chris

So fun fact.

Chris

Your shit talking on cryptocurrency has led to people thinking that I am a crypto hater on X.

Chris

And because of your shit talking on cryptocurrency, people like poking the bear at me.

Saeed

Why?

Saeed

We didn't.

Saeed

You didn't even make a reel about this.

Chris

No, I didn't.

Chris

But people who listen to the show.

Chris

There's a lot of people listen to the show.

Chris

We get a lot of streams now.

Chris

And you know, they're like, certain people do like crypto, as do I.

Chris

They just don't realize that you're a terrible human being.

Chris

So what do they do?

Chris

They like post screenshots.

Chris

Oh, Bitcoin's above 75,000 now.

Chris

What's going on?

Chris

Paper hands?

Chris

And I'm like, bro, that's not me, that's my co host site.

Saeed

How much of your portfolio is invested in crypto?

Chris

None.

Chris

But that's the point.

Chris

I cashed out because I do have paper hands.

Saeed

Paper hands.

Saeed

You got scared.

Chris

I got, like, one half.

Chris

One ethereum coin left.

Saeed

You held out the ethereum, not Bitcoin.

Saeed

Huh?

Chris

I sold out of everything.

Chris

I really don't.

Chris

The only reason I have ethereum is I just didn't.

Chris

I didn't pull the trigger on, like, the last increment.

Chris

I just.

Chris

Not to say that I don't believe in crypto.

Chris

I just.

Chris

I don't have an investment strategy around it, and I'm not going to hold it for.

Saeed

I have family.

Saeed

I have family.

Saeed

I got cousins that are.

Chris

We know a lot of that are.

Saeed

Into crypto, and I'm going to say I'm.

Saeed

A part of me wants it to be the greatest rug pull in the history of.

Chris

See, don't.

Chris

I'm not associated with this message.

Saeed

A part of.

Saeed

No, I kind of want to see it.

Chris

I have no association with.

Chris

You don't want to see it.

Chris

I don't have any.

Saeed

No part of you.

Saeed

I want to see that Netflix documentary.

Chris

No desire to see this.

Saeed

I want to see that Netflix documentary.

Chris

On satoshi or the rug pool.

Saeed

The rug pool.

Chris

I honestly, like.

Arun

This is.

Chris

This is terrible.

Chris

Okay.

Chris

This is sarcasm.

Chris

For those listening who want to come at me in the DMs or on Twitter or XK, I would love for.

Chris

First of all, there's a guy on social media was coming out, Indian guy who had, like, a very heavy accent, who was like, I am Satoshi.

Chris

And people were like, what?

Saeed

Yeah.

Chris

Like, he had.

Chris

He clearly couldn't have been.

Chris

I would love for Satoshi to be, like, a government.

Chris

It's like Russia.

Saeed

Yeah.

Chris

It's like Putin.

Saeed

Yeah.

Chris

Like, I would just love for it to be so asinine who it actually is, that it totally devalues everybody's faith in it.

Saeed

Yeah, exactly.

Chris

Right?

Saeed

That's the only way, right.

Saeed

We got here.

Chris

This is a guy.

Chris

Yeah.

Chris

Hunt for Bitcoin's exclusive elusive creators.

Chris

Nakamoto hits another dead end.

Chris

This Indian guy.

Chris

Look at this pose.

Chris

Has a cell phone in his left hand because you have to.

Chris

Because you're a tech guy, gangster.

Chris

But you got, like, the.

Chris

The weird print.

Saeed

It looks like he's wearing pajamas, bro.

Chris

Yeah, he's got, like, a jacket on.

Arun

Looks like he has a walker in front of him.

Saeed

He does look like he has a walker.

Chris

No, that's just a chair.

Chris

It's one of those fancy chairs that has, like, the chrome.

Saeed

Oh, it's got on both sides.

Chris

He does have a microphone in his car.

Saeed

Why is he leaning like that with a gangster lean?

Chris

The groin microphone.

Saeed

It Makes me feel like he is a part of crypto.

Chris

No, I think he's trying to do like, I am mysterious.

Saeed

I am the most interesting man in the world.

Chris

I have a beard.

Chris

There's also.

Chris

At the same time, there's a Netflix documentary that came out which attempts to expose a little bit more.

Chris

I've actually been waiting for the right time to watch the documentary, but I hear good things about it.

Chris

Although it's still inconclusive as to who Satoshi actually is, but I would love for it to be.

Chris

I am Putin.

Chris

It's me.

Chris

Your coin is my coin.

Saeed

Is it out there in the open with how many bitcoins Satoshi owns?

Chris

Yeah, it's on the blockchain.

Saeed

So how many?

Chris

Look, you're talking shit about products you don't understand, bro.

Saeed

Wait, how much?

Saeed

How much?

Saeed

Oh, dude, you gotta look this up.

Saeed

How much does he have?

Chris

I think right now.

Saeed

How much does she have?

Saeed

Why are we giving?

Chris

Yeah, it could be the individual who identifies themselves as Satoshi.

Saeed

Yes.

Chris

1.1 million Bitcoin tokens is referred to as the Genesis block.

Chris

Estimated estimates suggest that Nakamoto owns 600,000 to 1.1 million Bitcoin tokens, and each.

Saeed

One'S worth, like, what, 70 some thousand?

Chris

75,000 as of today.

Chris

I know because I got tagged and shit talked because of you.

Saeed

Damn, bro.

Saeed

It was at 71 this past weekend.

Chris

Yeah, it's going up.

Chris

Every time we talk shit, it goes up.

Saeed

Telling you, man.

Saeed

I'm telling you about we.

Chris

I mean, him.

Saeed

When that recession hits, y'all going to see.

Chris

Look, don't put me in this.

Chris

This message has been brought to you by Saeed.

Saeed

No, it's a center pod.

Saeed

I love you.

Saeed

I love my crypto bros.

Saeed

No, you don't.

Chris

I love documented people.

Chris

People I don't even know what, like, crypto ethereum handles and shit are tagging me because of you.

Saeed

I love it.

Chris

Like, oh, what you got to say now, bro?

Chris

You want to talk about it?

Chris

I'm like, no, I don't.

Chris

I'm on your side.

Chris

They're like, no, you're not.

Chris

I'm like, I admittedly sold down.

Saeed

This makes.

Saeed

But this article right here really actually makes me sad, man.

Chris

You know, people can't see the article you're pointing to.

Saeed

No, I'm going to come back to it.

Saeed

The average age.

Saeed

I mean, a lot of this probably has to do with, you know, people who are in their, like, mid to late 50s are cashing on the equity on their homes that they had, and they're able to move out of the state of California and go somewhere else and, you know, buy all cash.

Saeed

Probably they're the only buyers, but I don't know.

Arun

How old were you, Chris, when you bought your first home?

Chris

2010.

Chris

So I was 30.

Chris

Me too.

Chris

Yeah, I was 30 and then about my second one in 2000.

Chris

And that was, by the way, 30.

Saeed

Was the average age for the first time home buyer, not too long ago, like less than 10 years ago.

Chris

I should be, well, my first home to live in.

Chris

My first, like, property period.

Arun

Property period.

Chris

Oh, it was in my mid-20s.

Chris

Yeah.

Chris

So I lived in a 500 square foot apartment and could not afford to buy a home here.

Chris

So I bought investment properties in the Midwest long before I started buying here.

Chris

And then I put in a bunch of offers on what was then REO property.

Chris

Well, after I'd bought a property here, like the traditional way, I mean, what.

Saeed

Does it mean when you say you put a bunch of offers in REO properties?

Chris

So my first property I bought in California was a $400,000, like, build, like on a track kind of thing.

Chris

I had to build.

Chris

I had to pay for hardscape, everything else.

Chris

I had no money and I didn't like doing that.

Chris

It wound up selling for like 1.2 million.

Chris

So it was a good deal.

Chris

That's the only other property I sold besides the one that I sold this year to pay taxes.

Chris

Still burns.

Chris

Yeah, reo.

Chris

So after the great financial crisis in 2007, 2008, banks owned a lot of property.

Chris

They owned so much property they couldn't sell it in the market fast enough for a number of reasons, not the least of which is when they sell it in the market, for an accounting purposes, they have to take whatever economic losses they had to take on the loan.

Chris

So they made a loan for 500,000, but can only sell the property for 300,000.

Chris

That $200,000 loss, they have to realize that loss in their balance sheet from an accounting perspective, when they sell it, not when they hold it.

Saeed

How much pressure were they were banks and lenders getting at that time from, let's say the regulators to, you know, have to sell these properties to, you know, get back some of that cash.

Chris

It's very different in the wake of a crisis than when they're fearing a crisis occurring, if that makes sense.

Chris

So the regulatory pressure was more of like, how are you handling the accounting?

Chris

Are you doing this right?

Chris

Are you following the rules?

Chris

It wasn't like, get rid of all your stuff now.

Chris

Because they knew the Ramifications to the institutions were bad.

Chris

So it's better to flow the stuff into the market because there's also other ramifications to think about too.

Chris

Plus the consumer protection laws across the country are pretty strong in favor of the consumer.

Chris

So if you foreclose on somebody, it usually takes 120 days plus at least.

Chris

Yeah.

Chris

To get to that process, then you have to go through the marketing and sales period.

Chris

You have to go through that life cycle.

Chris

So to give you an idea, I put in offers on properties I'll never forget in October and I didn't hear back from any of them except for the one that I wound up buying in 2012 until April, six months later.

Saeed

Wow.

Chris

And I got like this call saying you got 48 hours of deposit, your money, which I've told you about in the show before.

Chris

Yeah, but so it was real estate owned.

Chris

Basically it was owned by Wells Fargo.

Chris

I put an offer that was under market, we negotiated back and forth and I bought that property, which is the one I still live in to this day, for 350 with a $25,000 seller's credit and it's now worth about a million bucks.

Saeed

Dude, so many people came up so nice during that time.

Saeed

Yeah, I mean such a good come up.

Chris

I didn't look at it like that.

Chris

I looked at it as like I just originally I was going to buy it as an investment property.

Chris

I just put a bunch of offers in and then when I did the math that it was cheaper, it was cheaper than my 580 square foot apartment based on the financing terms and the purchase price.

Saeed

Yeah.

Chris

To pay the mortgage payment, than it was to continue renting.

Chris

So for me that was always my inflection point.

Chris

When it's cheaper to buy than it is to rent, that's when I'm going to buy and live in it.

Chris

And that's what I did.

Chris

And as a result of that, I wound up getting actually a two bedroom, two and a half bath that I was living in, I still live in versus the 580 square foot junior one bedroom glorified studio apartment that I was living in for.

Chris

Effectively, I think at the time it was like 15 something.

Chris

Almost 16.

Chris

No, it was $1,600 a month.

Arun

That was one of the first times you hung out with him, huh?

Arun

Said like when we helped him move.

Saeed

When I helped him move.

Saeed

Yeah.

Saeed

He never asked me to hang up.

Saeed

But then I helped him move.

Chris

Yeah.

Chris

I thought you the help sometimes.

Chris

I figured.

Saeed

I thought you saw use all the thighs and you're like, this guy can handle it.

Chris

He can lift the couch.

Saeed

Yeah, that guy right there.

Chris

Plus, you know, I'll be honest, you know, you come with a lot of cousins.

Saeed

He said, well done, sir.

Chris

Yo, bring them all.

Chris

All in like five minutes.

Saeed

I'll buy you guys beer and piz, bro.

Saeed

Come on.

Arun

It was walking distance.

Chris

Yeah, it was walking distance.

Chris

And then I had to.

Chris

Do we push my.

Chris

The Dotson up to the.

Chris

No, I drove it.

Chris

I think still.

Chris

I still drove it.

Chris

I still drove it up.

Saeed

You drove it?

Saeed

Yeah.

Chris

All right, well, there's some fun facts here.

Chris

Run.

Chris

You want to give it a second chance?

Saeed

Yeah, let's do this.

Saeed

Come on, bro, you got this.

Saeed

No, don't.

Saeed

Come on, man.

Saeed

Stop being so soft.

Saeed

You got this.

Arun

I'm a soft guy.

Saeed

You are.

Chris

Just pick one.

Chris

Read it.

Chris

Come on.

Arun

All right, fun fact.

Arun

Younger generation impact.

Arun

Only 24% of homebuyers are now first time homebuyers marketing a significant decrease from the historical average 40%.

Arun

This drop aligns with other data indicating that millennials and Gen Z are increasingly delaying major life milestones.

Chris

That's good.

Saeed

I mean, I'm, I'm going to.

Saeed

I let a couple of things go.

Chris

Marketing, marketing.

Saeed

You got that?

Saeed

And then you said first time home buyers again, let's go.

Saeed

But.

Saeed

But I let it go.

Saeed

I let it go.

Saeed

I'm proud of you.

Chris

The average rent to income ratio in the United States has climbed to 35% up from 29% a decade ago, pushing more potential homeowners to remain renters longer than anticipated, further delaying their transition to ownership.

Chris

And said for the trifecta.

Saeed

The trifecta.

Saeed

Fun fact.

Saeed

Homeownership in decline for young adults.

Saeed

Only about 38% of millennials own homes compared to nearly 50% of baby boomers.

Chris

Don't point.

Saeed

At the same age, rising prices, limited inventory and high mortgage rates are significantly curtailing young adults ability to enter the market.

Chris

Yeah.

Chris

Look at you.

Saeed

Come on, Boomer.

Saeed

Smooth Boomer.

Saeed

Oh.

Saeed

Shout out to Nick Gurley.

Saeed

He hasn't made an appearance on the show in a long time.

Chris

No, this was a late ad by me.

Chris

So, Nick Gurley on.

Chris

On X.

Chris

Pretty concerning how low homebuyer demand is right now.

Chris

Mortgage apps to buy a home are down 45% from pre pandemic levels, languishing at the lowest level in 30 years.

Chris

And now mortgage rates are spiking once again.

Chris

Obviously, this is not a good combination.

Saeed

Yeah.

Saeed

So as much as you, you want to say that, okay, this could be seasonal because you know, we're, we're approaching the holidays.

Saeed

That chart is showing that it's going one way, my friend.

Chris

Yeah.

Chris

And for those people who are watching, you know, the video streams this way, this chart.

Chris

Watch the video streams on either spider.

Chris

So I was going to say X.

Chris

I actually thought about uploading the x.

Chris

Spotify or YouTube.

Chris

You will see a chart and the chart spikes up and then spikes back down and then spikes up a little bit and then spikes back down.

Chris

But the down has gone down a lot farther than it had from call it 2008 to 2018 where I started the rise again.

Chris

As a matter of fact, it's down so far.

Chris

It's down in the 1990s era levels.

Saeed

Wow.

Chris

So that's a, that's a pretty dramatic drop off.

Chris

And if it continues to go down, which frankly is more probable than not at this particular junction, you were looking at possibly the kickoff of a pretty significant correction.

Chris

Now notice I'm not saying crash, but correction in home values, which I think again it might be a healthy near term pain for long term gain.

Saeed

That's not as cheesy, but it's okay.

Chris

No, that was actually just an economic statement.

Chris

Yeah, I know you're used to making cheesy fun facts.

Saeed

So just to further drive home the.

Chris

Point of unaffordability with your low range.

Saeed

Yeah.

Saeed

With the, with the lowest of ranges.

Chris

With little range, you have this, this.

Saeed

Range is a five decade range.

Chris

Okay.

Chris

So I mean it's about a quarter of my decade range.

Saeed

Okay.

Saeed

So we're, we're dating back from 1971 to 2021.

Saeed

Okay.

Saeed

Household income during that five decade range has grown by 600%.

Saeed

Okay.

Saeed

You think?

Saeed

Wow, that's pretty good.

Chris

It's a lot, it's a lot of percentage.

Saeed

Cost of a new car has grown by 840%.

Saeed

Okay.

Saeed

Price of one year college tuition has grown by 2000%.

Saeed

Such a scam.

Chris

Such as I'm not getting 2000% more value out of this thing.

Saeed

Zero.

Saeed

Yeah.

Chris

No way.

Saeed

And I'm indebted for life.

Saeed

If I get a loan on this.

Chris

It's inflation.

Chris

What part of educating me is inflation?

Saeed

Median price of a home sold grew over the course of that five decade span by 1200%.

Chris

That's, that's messed up.

Saeed

Okay, so household income grew by 600%.

Saeed

You know what else changed within household income?

Saeed

How many families went from one person working to two people working?

Chris

Now y'all gotta have two jobs.

Chris

And how many, I'm not even sure.

Saeed

How many of those people in that household are working two jobs and it still has only grown by 600%.

Chris

Yeah, I know.

Saeed

It's fucked up, man.

Chris

Okay.

Chris

Yeah, it is.

Chris

Take it in.

Chris

The sad part, I had this realization of the day, and it's messed up.

Chris

Is in one moment I was like, man, I am.

Chris

I'm really a millionaire.

Chris

I was like, that's dope.

Saeed

Don't mean shit no more, huh?

Chris

And then I was like, but I know a lot of billionaires.

Chris

Like, I know a good amount.

Saeed

Yeah.

Chris

On a personal level.

Saeed

Yeah.

Chris

And then the moment I had this epiphany, like, if you're a millionaire and you're less than 100 million, you're basically middle class.

Chris

Everyone just laughed.

Saeed

I mean, with inflation, they're not one of us, Chris.

Saeed

They're not flexing.

Chris

I'm poor.

Saeed

They're not.

Saeed

Yeah, exactly.

Saeed

They're not.

Chris

I'm poverty adjacent.

Saeed

Yeah.

Saeed

Oh, man.

Chris

I mean, you can't.

Chris

It doesn't matter.

Saeed

Right?

Chris

It's consequence, you know, this fucked up part is.

Chris

So I looked.

Chris

I was going through my W2 wages, and I've had a pretty healthy increase from like a year ago.

Chris

And I looked at my net take home, it's the same.

Chris

Literally the exact same.

Saeed

How did this work?

Chris

I'm like, how did this number go up top line.

Saeed

Yeah.

Chris

After taxes, it's the same.

Saeed

Yeah.

Chris

I'm like, this is messed up, bro.

Chris

So I triple checked it, did the math, and I'm like, son of a bitch.

Saeed

I saw that the new tax brackets came out.

Saeed

I haven't looked into it.

Saeed

I don't know how much that affects it.

Saeed

Maybe we could do a little segment on the show for that.

Chris

We probably should.

Chris

I just hate just.

Saeed

We're talking about financial literacy because I know a lot of people don't really understand.

Saeed

They see that the tax rate range, and it's.

Saeed

That's not.

Saeed

That's not how it necessarily works.

Saeed

It's like a bump up.

Saeed

It's like a tiered system.

Chris

Yeah.

Chris

You have a progressive tax system.

Saeed

Exactly.

Chris

Look at me using technical terms.

Saeed

There you go.

Chris

So progressive.

Saeed

You are.

Saeed

You're.

Saeed

You are pretty progressive.

Chris

Doc, your dollars, baby.

Saeed

Doc, your dollars needs to be on a T shirt.

Chris

Yeah, I just.

Chris

How are you going to visually represent that?

Saeed

We got to get creative.

Chris

Like a boat.

Chris

Just staying there.

Saeed

There's clearly.

Saeed

We're docking.

Chris

Yeah.

Chris

I don't know.

Chris

All right, well, Warren Buffett, remember a long, long time ago on the show, we were talking about how, like, Warren Buffett had stockpiled cash and people were like, come on, bro.

Chris

He Always does that, bro.

Chris

Y'all don't know what you're talking about, bro.

Saeed

Yeah, bro, we got.

Saeed

We got attacked so hard for that one.

Chris

Hard?

Chris

Yeah.

Chris

Y'all don't know Warren Buffett's strategies over at Berkshire Hathaway.

Chris

And you fucking Internet trolls.

Saeed

Do you want to share?

Chris

Somehow I'm the asshole?

Chris

Because we're saying he's.

Chris

He's not a stockpiling cash, bro.

Chris

You don't know what you're talking about.

Chris

Well, we keep receipts.

Saeed

Ok.

Saeed

Why is it.

Saeed

Why is it a big deal if somebody like Warren Buffett at Berkshire Hathaway is stockpiling cash?

Chris

Well, like your boy John King, he's basically saying, you know what?

Chris

I'm not going to invest in the stock market right now because I think there's going to be a healthy correction.

Chris

Now.

Chris

He's not pulling out all of his money.

Chris

He's docking it.

Chris

Okay?

Chris

He's going to take some of his money out the game and put it into cash and say, I'm going to hold cash till the market corrects, and then I'm going to buy when it goes down, when I think it's going to go back up, essentially.

Chris

And I'm paraphrasing a lot of analytics here, but let me put this into a quantifiable picture for you, okay?

Chris

Okay.

Chris

If you're driving, I want you to know I'm going to be throwing out some big numbers, and they probably are going to be infuriating.

Chris

So autopilot's a good thing.

Chris

Maybe.

Chris

Woosa, take some ashwagandha.

Chris

Here we go.

Chris

This is insane.

Chris

From the Kobe Letter.

Chris

Warren Buffett is now building his cash balances at an unprecedented rate.

Chris

For the Internet trolls out there, unprecedented means never before happened.

Chris

Okay.

Chris

Even as the market hits new records, Berkshire Hathaway just announced that they are freezing buybacks and holding $325 billion of cash.

Chris

Yeah.

Chris

Let that sink in.

Chris

So obviously Dr.

Chris

Buffett sees something very interesting.

Chris

Charlie Munger, rest in peace.

Chris

Much love.

Saeed

Yeah, man.

Chris

This compares to 345 million in Q2 of 2023 and 2 billion in each of the prior two quarters.

Chris

Berkshire said it will buy back stock when Buffett, and I'm quoting here, believes that the repurchase price is below Berkshire's intrinsic value.

Saeed

Wow.

Chris

What he's basically saying is we're not going to buy back stock when it's being valued at more than we think it's worth because it's overvalued.

Saeed

Yeah.

Saeed

I mean, and another.

Saeed

I mean, yeah.

Saeed

So, like Mr.

Saeed

John King.

Saeed

He realizes that stocks are overvalued right now.

Saeed

Right.

Saeed

But keep in mind, Berkshire Hathaway is also in the business of buying companies out outright.

Saeed

How many companies do they flat out own?

Chris

A lot.

Saeed

A lot, right?

Saeed

So don't be surprised if they try to come up on some companies that are really hurting.

Saeed

And, you know, in a tight pinch.

Chris

Bro, I'll give you some great fun facts here.

Saeed

Let's go dive into that Fun fact number one, dude.

Saeed

This is the fun fact show.

Chris

Why?

Chris

Why, why?

Chris

You gotta juvenile, like trivialize it.

Saeed

What do you mean juvenile?

Chris

I got three of them.

Chris

Because there's three of us.

Chris

I was being considerate.

Chris

No, I'm.

Saeed

I'm being honest.

Saeed

We have.

Chris

I'm team building here, bro.

Saeed

You are team building.

Chris

I just didn't know that Arun couldn't read.

Saeed

No, he can.

Chris

He got this kind of.

Saeed

Which one do you want, Arun?

Saeed

One, two or three?

Arun

I don't know.

Saeed

Just go, just go.

Saeed

Oh, okay, we go.

Saeed

Fun fact.

Saeed

Buybacks and inflation hedge.

Saeed

Large corporations, including Berkshire Hathaway, view buybacks as a potential hedge against inflation.

Saeed

Not.

Saeed

He didn't say crypto.

Saeed

By reducing outstanding shares, companies like Berkshire theoretically increase shareholder value without needing to raise dividends or wages.

Chris

Now you know.

Saeed

Now you know, Arun.

Arun

Sorry, see, can take my mute off.

Chris

This is.

Chris

This is why.

Chris

This is.

Chris

This is.

Saeed

You got this, bro.

Chris

It's a problem.

Arun

Fun fact long.

Saeed

It's blurred, bro.

Saeed

It's because it's in bold.

Chris

It's in bold.

Chris

So it's not being mean.

Saeed

Stop being me.

Arun

Viewers are gonna be like, fuck this guy.

Chris

No wonder why they don't put a camera on him.

Arun

Long term perspective.

Arun

Fuck it, I'm done.

Saeed

Buffett has emphasized that Berkshire's buybacks reflect not just intrinsic value, but a strategy to keep long term shareholders invested.

Saeed

Over the last decade, Berkshire has spent approximately $70 billion on share repurchases.

Chris

Warren Buffet.

Saeed

That's like SNL skit.

Chris

There's so many reasons why it's funny, not the least of which is his weight.

Saeed

That's good, bro.

Saeed

That's good, that's good.

Chris

When is the last time you went to Warren Buffet?

Saeed

That's a good restaurant.

Chris

Funny.

Chris

Global perspective.

Chris

Stock buybacks are more common in the U.S.

Chris

than abroad.

Chris

In Europe, buybacks only make up about 25% of the shareholder returns, compared to the U.S.

Chris

where they account for approximately 60 to 70%.

Chris

This difference could be discussed as a.

Chris

I can't read the rest.

Saeed

Cultural approach to corporate value and investor trust.

Chris

Yeah, so the US is obviously more focused on those things where in Europe they want to be more of a steadfast, consistent company over time.

Chris

This is the last article coming up here.

Chris

I know it's been a long show, but I thought this was kind of crazy because it wraps it all up and puts it in perspective.

Chris

It being the economy, the markets, the impacts to the consumer.

Chris

I found this on CNBC and to me it was very telling.

Chris

28% of credit card users are still paying off last year's holiday debt.

Chris

How to get this season's tab under control was the ongoing article.

Chris

But there's some stats here which I think are worth sharing.

Chris

For some shoppers, the upcoming holiday season may lead to significant credit card debt.

Chris

Meanwhile, some people are still paying off debt from last year's gift buying.

Chris

In fact, 28% of shoppers who use credit cards have not paid off their presence they purchased for their family and friends last year.

Chris

According to a recent holiday spending report by Nerd Wallet, the site pulled more than 1700 adults in September.

Chris

Here's a quote from the article.

Chris

Between buying gifts and booking peak season travel, the holidays are an expensive time of year, said Sarah Ratner, Nerd Wallets credit card expert.

Chris

Not only are consumers at risk of getting into credit card debt, but that debt can stick around long after the decorations come down.

Saeed

So you took a pretty heavy stance last year.

Saeed

I remember.

Chris

I've always had a heavy stance in the holiday gift buying.

Saeed

Oh, really?

Saeed

I thought last year was the first time I heard about it.

Chris

No, no, no.

Chris

I've always had a pretty like.

Chris

I think gifts in a lot of ways are overdone.

Chris

Don't get me wrong, I'm all for good gift giving, but I think the gift of spending time together is immensely more valuable.

Chris

Number one, that's what you remember more than anything else.

Saeed

That's not.

Saeed

You don't give that to anybody.

Chris

Me?

Saeed

Yeah.

Chris

No, I give it to some people.

Saeed

Okay, cool.

Saeed

I'm just out here.

Chris

I give you an hour of my day every day.

Saeed

What?

Chris

In my head, I give it to you in my head.

Chris

In my mind, I'm thinking about you.

Saeed

In the ice barrel.

Chris

Yeah.

Chris

Does this count?

Saeed

Affiliate link down below, you get 12%.

Chris

Off everything but chillers.

Chris

Yeah.

Chris

Go to iceberrell.com use the code.

Chris

Chris.

Saeed

Yeah.

Chris

As in not Saeed.

Saeed

Yeah.

Chris

I wonder if they'll change my code to paper hands.

Saeed

Yeah.

Saeed

The time.

Saeed

You got to give the gift of time.

Chris

All right, so I have the story that I have to share, which is a very douchey story which I promised at the middle of the show there, Arun, feel free.

Chris

I know you're going to take some shots.

Saeed

Please, man.

Chris

So a guy I know was checking out, and he's a pretty successful guy, right?

Saeed

Checking out.

Chris

Checking out at the, like, snack bar thing in Equinox.

Chris

And I was behind him, and he pulled out his platinum card, and I was just with him, you know, I was like, hey, man, I remember when I said, platinum is cute.

Saeed

Oh.

Chris

He's like, what do you mean, pull the black card?

Chris

And I swipe, yeah, right.

Chris

And I'm like, okay, one day you'll grow up, too.

Chris

I'm just with him, right?

Chris

Because, you know, I know he does well for himself, right?

Saeed

And you know him, huh?

Saeed

You know him, you said, Yeah, I know him well.

Saeed

Yeah.

Chris

So I was busting his chops, and he's like, oh, big baller.

Chris

Like, you know, making fun of me, all that kind of stuff.

Chris

And I was like, you know, whatever, being a dick.

Chris

And we go out to the valet.

Chris

All of a sudden, I hear black Ferrari.

Saeed

Yeah.

Chris

Rolls up.

Chris

It's his.

Chris

My Rivian, right behind it.

Saeed

It's a little embarrassing.

Chris

But the irony is, is that we were talking about financing, and he says something I didn't know.

Chris

I'm like, what's up with the Ferrari, bro?

Chris

He said, what do you mean?

Chris

I'm like, I didn't.

Chris

I didn't peg you as a Ferrari guy.

Chris

I pegged you as, you know, a poor guy.

Chris

And you just pegged him.

Chris

No, I peg everybody.

Saeed

Got it, Doc.

Chris

Your dollars, Docker dollars.

Chris

And he said, I didn't know this either, but a friend of mine has.

Chris

Has a Ferrari.

Chris

And he was telling me that once you get in with Ferrari Finance, it's really valuable.

Chris

And they actually offer lines of credit to use, like in business, other places.

Chris

If you just have a relationship with him.

Saeed

Oh.

Chris

And he's like, in certain cars you buy, you typically don't take a loss on them economically because they go up in value in this economy, at least.

Chris

Anyway.

Chris

So he's like, if you buy the right Ferrari, they increase in value over time.

Chris

And you also get him a Ferrari Finance.

Chris

So he's like, I've got a million dollar line of credit for business purposes from Ferrari Finance with unbelievable terms.

Chris

And he also was breaking down, like, the financing terms of with Ferrari Direct.

Chris

And he's like, believe it or not, if I put more money down, it was actually not going to improve my payment a whole lot.

Chris

So when I went in, I was thinking I was going to put $160,000 down on this car, you think about like a half million dollar Ferrari.

Chris

And he goes, but with the way the financing worked out, if I put down 60,000, it was the same amount of monthly payment.

Saeed

Oh.

Chris

He's like, they do a very weird thing with the finance.

Chris

Once you get in with them, you have access to things like these lines of credit.

Chris

I didn't know those existed.

Saeed

And correct me if I'm wrong, you need to be like an approved member from them to even be able to buy a car from them.

Saeed

Right.

Chris

First, it depends on if you're buying like an entry level, like beginning car, but you want to buy it directly from them.

Chris

Yeah, you're gonna have to, because they're.

Saeed

Really particular about who buys certain cars.

Saeed

Because they don't want you reselling to some jackass.

Chris

Not only.

Chris

Not only that, but they also don't want you like, modifying their cars heavily.

Saeed

Yeah.

Chris

Like, they take.

Chris

They will ban you.

Chris

Like Justin Bieber's banned from buying Ferraris.

Saeed

Bro, by the way.

Saeed

So I have a equally bad story when it comes to the valet.

Saeed

The wife and I had just gotten married.

Saeed

Newlyweds.

Saeed

Okay?

Chris

So this is obviously like 20 years ago.

Saeed

Yeah, this is 11 years ago.

Chris

20.

Saeed

Right.

Saeed

And we go to dinner.

Saeed

And we go to dinner with one of my wife's friends and her husband, and they invite us to a spot in la.

Saeed

Unbeknownst to me, it was Robert De Niro's restaurant.

Saeed

I have no business being at Robert De Niro's restaurant.

Chris

Oh, it's an Italian place, right?

Saeed

Yeah, I forget the name.

Saeed

I don't want to butcher the name.

Chris

But I've been there a couple times.

Saeed

Yeah, very nice.

Chris

Good Italian food, don't get me wrong.

Saeed

Very nice.

Saeed

Right.

Saeed

But whatever.

Saeed

We have dinner.

Saeed

And mind you, at this time, I think I'm working.

Saeed

My wife wasn't working yet.

Saeed

She was still going to school.

Saeed

And we had no business being at this kind of restaurant.

Saeed

Right?

Saeed

And we had never paid for a meal like this before.

Saeed

So I'm sweating the entire time, like, bro, what's this bill?

Chris

It's wildly expensive there, so.

Saeed

Because out of nowhere, in the middle of dinner, my wife's friend's husband invites one of his other friends to dinner as well, right?

Saeed

Some.

Saeed

Some big ball.

Saeed

He came in a three piece, like, Great Gatsby suit.

Saeed

He was slick.

Saeed

You know, he owned some, like, merchant services business, Right, the card business, right.

Saeed

Where he gets a fee off every time somebody uses swipes a card.

Chris

And you were like, I know this motherfucker's paying for Himself, bro.

Saeed

So Bill comes, whatever.

Saeed

And mind you, we're.

Saeed

I ordered just a basic meal.

Saeed

These motherfuckers are out here, like, buying drinks.

Saeed

And of course I'm in that awkward position.

Saeed

Y'all want to split the bill?

Saeed

Like, no, man.

Saeed

Like, I did not order drinks.

Saeed

I don't want to split the bill.

Chris

I want to split in thirds, dog.

Saeed

I got a.

Saeed

I got a side salad.

Saeed

What do you mean split in thirds?

Chris

I ate the rolls.

Chris

Those are free.

Saeed

Yeah, man, I ate your side salad.

Saeed

You weren't paying attention.

Saeed

So anyways, we pay for the bill.

Saeed

Mind you.

Saeed

They're all.

Saeed

They both dropped their black cards into the thing, and I'm like, okay, I got my.

Saeed

I got my little Chase credit card here.

Saeed

No problem, whatever.

Saeed

We pay for the bill.

Saeed

Overpaid, right?

Saeed

We go to valet.

Saeed

This guy's got a new sls.

Saeed

The other guy's got some decked out new Range Rover that was hot at the time.

Saeed

And I walk out in our white Honda Civic, comfortable enough.

Saeed

I'm like, man, you couldn't wait to pull up my car until after they left.

Saeed

Come on, man.

Saeed

It was.

Saeed

Yeah, yeah, yeah, it was.

Saeed

It was rough.

Saeed

It was rough.

Chris

It's weird how some of those things are, like, real.

Chris

We all know it's stupid, but it's a real thing.

Saeed

I know my car still gets me from point A to point B, just.

Chris

Not with a lot of range.

Chris

Very limited.

Saeed

Limited in range, great gas mileage.

Chris

It's not going to get you the full distance, but it'll get you halfway there.

Saeed

Yeah, yeah, yeah.

Chris

Almost to the climax.

Chris

If you will run.

Chris

We didn't give you an opportunity for poppy culture.

Chris

Did you want to try to read something else tonight to redeem yourself?

Arun

No, I'm good, man.

Chris

You sure?

Arun

We're at 115.

Saeed

We're at 115.

Chris

Are you suggesting we should go longer?

Chris

Somebody said we needed some longer format around here.

Saeed

Who said that?

Chris

Me.

Arun

Going back to two days or two.

Arun

Two weeks.

Chris

You know, I have been getting a lot of people saying we need more content.

Chris

We need more content.

Chris

And somebody who's like, big in the podcast space told me that we started putting out more content.

Chris

I think about doing, like one off show kind of things, you know, like we'll do, like, it's like an educational moment.

Saeed

Yeah, exactly.

Saeed

I think we should do a lot of those.

Arun

Yeah, you used to do that before we joined.

Chris

Yeah, I do like the by myself solo dolos, but I was thinking more like 20, 30 minutes on just one topic.

Chris

But I have to Get Saeed to commit to be willing to do it like a deep dive with limited range.

Saeed

What's up with the fun fact?

Saeed

Limited range episode?

Chris

You didn't like the fun fact?

Saeed

That's part.

Saeed

I love the fun fact aspect of the show.

Chris

Just.

Chris

We got to work on Maroon's reading, obviously, but he'll get there.

Chris

Yeah, he'll get there.

Saeed

Or you got.

Saeed

He got a little shy.

Chris

He just wasn't used to it, bro.

Chris

I remember.

Saeed

I remember my first time reading all shows.

Saeed

I couldn't say a damn thing.

Chris

It is a little weird when you.

Saeed

First start and then you hear yourself on the playback too.

Saeed

You're like, God, I sound like such a jackass.

Chris

No, I'm used to sound like a jackass.

Saeed

That's normal for me.

Saeed

That was a very hard thing to get over.

Saeed

Listening to yourself talk.

Saeed

You're like, oh, God, shit.

Chris

Now I do it every week when I edit the show.

Saeed

Yeah, yeah, yeah.

Chris

Not exactly my best work, but, you know, it's work.

Chris

Well, let's call kids.

Saeed

Oh, don't you got anything?

Saeed

Yeah.

Saeed

All right.

Chris

What do you got?

Chris

Oh, yeah, he does.

Arun

Review.

Saeed

That's right.

Saeed

Unfortunately, the title got cut off, so I don't know what the full title says, but this from Zstand 80.

Saeed

Thank you, Zstand.

Saeed

By the way, it's captioned.

Chris

This is a great review.

Chris

Yeah.

Saeed

Yeah.

Saeed

It's like getting financial literacy from.

Saeed

I like to take a guess.

Saeed

What do you think he said?

Chris

Jesus.

Saeed

Jesus.

Saeed

Could you even pull this up in the background in the meantime?

Chris

I can probably get it on my.

Saeed

Probably.

Saeed

It wasn't popping up on my.

Chris

This is itunes.

Saeed

Yeah, this is Apple podcast.

Saeed

Left us five stars.

Saeed

Clearly.

Saeed

Honest.

Saeed

Really glad I found this podcast and wish it was around 20 years ago, but better late than never, at least for me.

Saeed

I mean, shit, if we were around that long ago, I mean, it's cut off.

Chris

That's what it is.

Saeed

Yeah.

Saeed

I really like the way they explain topics and ideas.

Saeed

It's not only helpful, but there's no twist at the end where they're telling you to invest in xyz and they just happen to be selling xyz.

Saeed

This show has integrity and it's entertaining.

Saeed

Keep up the great work, fellas.

Saeed

Appreciate you.

Chris

Do we have integrity?

Saeed

Oh, here you go.

Saeed

It's like getting financial literacy from your buddy and not a professor.

Chris

That was actually the intent of the show.

Chris

When we first mapped up what we wanted the show to be, we wanted it to be like people were getting sitting in a conversation with their friends at a bar just Shooting shit, having a good time.

Chris

Because we thought that the educational professor, like, format or like, the guru like format is kind of disingenuous.

Saeed

Yeah.

Chris

You know, and look, you.

Chris

Nobody wants to listen to a professor every single day.

Chris

Everyone's like, oh, my God.

Chris

I'm going to school.

Chris

Yay.

Saeed

No, right?

Chris

And no one's like, oh, that.

Chris

That guru is so amazing two years later when they take all your money and run.

Chris

So we wanted to be, you know, more friendly and anecdotal.

Chris

It should.

Chris

It should feel like you're listening to your friends and you're learning something along the way.

Saeed

And from what I've heard from other people, too, they're able to digest information a lot better.

Chris

Yeah.

Saeed

Yeah.

Chris

Metabolize it.

Saeed

There you go.

Chris

Dock it.

Chris

Put it in there.

Chris

Leave it there.

Saeed

Doc, your dollars.

Saeed

That's a T shirt.

Chris

I got to find the visual for it, though.

Chris

It's got to be appropriate.

Saeed

No, inappropriate, bro.

Chris

Inappropriately appropriate.

Saeed

Yeah.

Saeed

There you go.

Chris

Yeah.

Chris

Just an eggplant in the front.

Saeed

Yeah.

Chris

The higher standard brought to you by Eggplants.

Saeed

That's very fitting for the show.

Chris

Exactly.

Saeed

All right.

Saeed

You got anything else, Odin?

Arun

Nope.

Saeed

All done well back there.

Saeed

Thank you, sir.

Saeed

You got anything?

Chris

No, I'm good.

Saeed

All right.

Saeed

I'm Gucci.

Chris

I'm Chanel.

Saeed

No, you're not.

Chris

Okay.

Chris

I'm Prada.

Saeed

You're Hermes.

Chris

I am.

Saeed

You are.

Saeed

If you were one, you would be Hermes.

Chris

I probably would be.

Chris

You'd have to.

Saeed

What's odun?

Chris

Coach, for sure.

Arun

Juicy Gap.

Chris

Juicy Couture Gap.

Saeed

I'm Bass Pro Shops.

Arun

Oh, wow.

Saeed

Oh, man of the people.

Arun

You went for the first time this weekend.

Saeed

I did.

Saeed

I went to Bass Pro Shops this past week.

Chris

They're big, right?

Saeed

I just was like, I have to see this place.

Saeed

I've never been inside.

Chris

It's.

Chris

It's incredibly, overwhelmingly big.

Chris

Have you seen the ones in the Midwest?

Saeed

So then.

Saeed

So it was actually my wife's idea.

Saeed

She wanted to go check us, and we.

Saeed

I want to see this.

Saeed

It seems like it's pretty cool.

Saeed

Let's go check it outside.

Saeed

She's like, it feels weird that this.

Saeed

This store is so big and I know nothing about what's inside.

Saeed

Right.

Saeed

I go, okay, let's go check it out.

Saeed

I mean, I've never been either.

Saeed

Whatever.

Saeed

And she goes.

Saeed

She's like, okay, I'm glad I experienced it.

Saeed

Not for me.

Saeed

Right.

Saeed

I was like, I feel like you're more of an REI person.

Saeed

I was like, let's go to rei.

Saeed

And she loved rei.

Saeed

So because.

Chris

Why did you do this?

Saeed

Because we had some free time on our hands.

Saeed

Our kids were.

Saeed

Our kids.

Saeed

Our kids were.

Saeed

Disneyland.

Saeed

Yeah, they went to Disneyland.

Chris

Yeah, I know.

Saeed

Yeah.

Arun

One of the cousins.

Saeed

Yeah, yeah.

Chris

One that wears pearls.

Saeed

One of the cousins.

Saeed

Yeah.

Saeed

Took him to Disneyland for the day.

Chris

One that wears pearls.

Saeed

Dude.

Saeed

They would.

Saeed

They got in at 4 o'clock and somehow they still hit 10 rides.

Chris

It rained that day.

Saeed

Yeah, I know.

Saeed

And they got them the little things to park us.

Saeed

Yeah, yeah, they had a great time.

Saeed

They.

Saeed

They went to Star Wars.

Saeed

Then they had to shut down the ride.

Saeed

And Adam was texting me from his watch, and he's just like, we got into the.

Saeed

The best ride at the park.

Saeed

And then he texted me five minutes later.

Saeed

He's like, they shut it down and then they open it back up later and they.

Saeed

My cousin bought him lightning passes.

Chris

Yeah.

Saeed

And then he.

Saeed

And then they went.

Chris

Such a racket.

Chris

We spend so much money every time we go now.

Chris

Lightning pass.

Chris

Anything else?

Saeed

I mean, if you don't get the.

Saeed

He was telling me that there's some other thing that you can get where it's like some 500, like, concierge package.

Chris

Oh, no, they just rolled that out.

Chris

They basically, you.

Chris

You have.

Chris

You have Lightning Lane for everything whenever you want.

Saeed

Now it's 500 an hour.

Saeed

No, no, no.

Chris

It's 500 period.

Saeed

No, he was telling me it's $500 an hour.

Saeed

That's what he said.

Chris

Oh, no.

Chris

So you talk about the.

Saeed

This is something that celebrities get.

Saeed

Walk up to the front of the line.

Chris

No, that's.

Chris

No, it's $600 an hour starting.

Chris

And that's.

Chris

You have somebody who walks you around the whole day.

Chris

But it's not just that.

Chris

You have to pay for your tickets.

Chris

You have to pay and then you have to.

Chris

It's a whole, like, I've done this once.

Chris

So it's 600 an hour, and there's a certain number of hours minimum.

Chris

But they walk you in front of every ride.

Chris

They walk you around.

Chris

They're basically with you, like, taking you everywhere else.

Chris

They'll get you, like, the food that's cool.

Chris

They'll kind of give you, like, the hip stories.

Chris

Everything else, the back door.

Chris

They'll take you to Club 33.

Chris

Yeah, it depends on how many.

Chris

How often you're there.

Chris

But celebrities usually get them to walk them around like that.

Chris

And there's.

Chris

There's back ways into some of the rides.

Chris

You don't have to go, like, through the lines.

Chris

People see you.

Chris

Yeah, I've done it.

Chris

I've done it.

Chris

I've experienced it once.

Chris

I've paid for it once.

Chris

There's a whole thing there.

Saeed

So.

Saeed

So we.

Saeed

So my cousin gets him these.

Saeed

These lightning passes, and.

Saeed

And Adam doesn't know what lightning pass means, right?

Saeed

And so he tells Adam, it just means you're.

Saeed

Like, you're part of a VIP line.

Saeed

Cousin doesn't have kids.

Saeed

He doesn't understand.

Saeed

Like, he's not thinking two, three steps ahead.

Saeed

What.

Saeed

What could happen when you tell him vip and what VIP means?

Saeed

Very important person.

Saeed

So now Adam and I already go to these lightning pass lines and doesn't understand that other people also have lightning passes, right?

Saeed

So he says, hey, this is vip.

Saeed

Why are they here?

Saeed

I thought we're vip.

Saeed

Can we go in front of these people?

Saeed

And they're standing, right?

Chris

I mean, we can't all be VIPs, right?

Saeed

I mean, not every.

Saeed

I mean, everybody can be vip.

Saeed

What is this?

Chris

Did you buy, like, the cheap VIP packages?

Saeed

Yeah, exactly.

Saeed

Come on.

Saeed

Why'd you skimp out?

Chris

Why is this guy here?

Chris

He's dressed like a Star wars person.

Saeed

I'm looking at it.

Saeed

Look at his kicks.

Saeed

He's not vip.

Chris

Yeah.

Chris

Can't be wearing Reeboks, right?

Saeed

Come on, now.

Chris

This is.

Chris

Yeah.

Saeed

LA gear.

Saeed

Yeah.

Saeed

All right.

Saeed

It was a good episode, boys.

Chris

It's okay.

Saeed

All right, good night, everybody.

Chris

Goodbye.

Saeed

I hate it.

Chris

I know.