Or no.
SaeedWhat are you doing?
ChrisYeah.
ChrisYeah, I want to be comfortable.
SaeedOkay.
ChrisOh, comfortable, Comfortable.
ChrisYeah.
ChrisI mean, we're gonna talk about some serious stuff tonight, and I just wanted to be comfortable, you know?
SaeedAll right.
ChrisSo the nice tells me she's gonna do some stuff with some candles.
SaeedGot excited, like, the big naturally.
SaeedYou got excited.
ChrisWax candles, right?
SaeedOkay.
ChrisNo, I did not get excited.
ChrisI thought, okay, well, cool.
ChrisI'm gonna go shower.
ChrisSo I did, and I didn't really think much of it, you know, and she, you know, she spent some time doing something downstairs, and I didn't question it, you know?
ChrisWell, I go to sleep early and I hear like, what sounds like an explosion in, like, a plate dropping from, like, way high up or something.
ChrisLike glass shattering.
ChrisSo this is now like 1, 2 o'clock in the morning.
ChrisOur son was sick.
ChrisI pop out of bed, run downstairs, I'm like, yo, like, I'm ready to go to war.
ChrisLike, I'm like, in cortisol level 1000, you know, like, I'm.
ChrisAnd there's two candles that were on plates, and the candles melted down to the plates, overheated the plates.
ChrisPlates exploded and fell from our second story down to the first story.
ChrisRight.
ChrisWith.
ChrisBut the problem is when it exploded, it got wax everywhere.
SaeedOh, my God.
ChrisBut when I came downstairs, you want to know what I saw?
ChrisA fire on that shelf when you walk upstairs, you know like that.
ChrisYeah, that little tiny short wall thing.
SaeedYeah.
ChrisThere was a fire in the.
ChrisLike, the whole thing was on fire.
ChrisAnd I'm just like.
SaeedAnd where was she?
ChrisShe came downstairs after me.
ChrisBut, you know, I didn't know if someone was down there or not.
ChrisSo she didn't come right away.
ChrisSo as soon as she heard me go, man, what the fuck?
ChrisShe came downstairs.
ChrisSo.
SaeedOkay, got it.
ChrisYeah.
ChrisThings have not settled out in the witchcraft territory, but we learned a very valuable lesson about plates and heat.
SaeedYeah, There you go.
SaeedScience.
ChrisYeah.
ChrisScience project has been.
ChrisAnd let me tell you, cleaning up wax while it's hot is not fun.
SaeedIt's got the worst experience.
ChrisCleaning up wax while it's not hot is equally.
ChrisIs not fun.
ChrisThere is no good way to clean up wax.
SaeedThat's true.
ChrisYeah.
SaeedGot you.
SaeedOkay.
ChrisEspecially at 2 o'clock in the morning.
SaeedYeah, that's.
SaeedI feel like once I put the fire out, it feels like one of those things that you wait until the next day.
ChrisSo now we got some fire scars in the house.
ChrisAdds character, I guess.
SaeedExactly.
SaeedYou know, the imperfections make the home perfect.
ArunVery restoration hardware of you.
ChrisYeah, you know.
ChrisYeah, I'm going with that for now.
ChrisThat's all I got is hope.
SaeedWe, we used to watch those, those Food Network channels where they would be baking cakes and when they would like not come out the way they would want and just be spread out all over the place.
SaeedThat's a deconstructed so and so cake.
ChrisYou're like, bro, I'm not going to lie, bro, none of my cakes ever come out good and I eat them anyway, you know what I mean?
SaeedOh, you make cakes?
ChrisI bake a lot of cake.
SaeedOkay.
SaeedLook at you.
SaeedI didn't know you had that talent.
ChrisI'm a baker, bro.
SaeedOh.
SaeedOh, you bake cakes?
ChrisI bake cakes.
SaeedGot you.
SaeedYeah, I'll leave that alone.
ChrisYou should leave that alone.
SaeedWelcome back to the number one financial literacy podcast in the world.
SaeedHopefully you're still locked in, tuned in.
SaeedSitting next to me on my left, my partner in crime, Chris Nahibi.
ChrisIf you didn't go here, I wasn't going to go to the intro, so I'm glad you did.
ChrisMy partner in town, the one and only Saeed Omar, everybody.
SaeedThank you, my man.
SaeedAnd sitting behind the ones and twos, back again, not on pto.
SaeedDJ Odun, Hello.
ChrisAre you going on PTO again soon?
ChrisBecause we haven't had an announcement in a while and I just, I just feel like it's within two weeks.
ArunIt's gotta get after reoccurring or.
ArunNo, not reoccurring.
SaeedA crew accrue.
ChrisEven though it works.
ChrisThat's a problem.
ArunI just claim PTO and I still get paid somehow.
ChrisI don't know.
ChrisAll right, well, unless you've been living under rock, you know that we had a little bit of an election coming up and as we are recording this, it is November 6th, the day before the FOMC announcement.
ChrisIt is largely to believe, if you've been listening to the rhetoric, that it's largely believed that you're gonna get a 25 basis point rate cut tomorrow.
ChrisBut you could be surprised.
SaeedDefinitely gonna get it based on some of the data points we'll be talking about shortly.
SaeedOh, old school.
ChrisYeah, for a ruin.
ChrisBecause he can't open up cans anymore.
SaeedHe comes to the show with the can already popped.
ChrisNo, I thought he was new caffeine at night anymore?
SaeedHe's rocking the Celsius right now.
ChrisAre you really, bro?
ChrisThe Celsius hype you up too much?
ChrisYeah, you said four words last show, not two.
SaeedYeah, the Celsius really gets you going.
SaeedYou Said that it has something in it that there's no, like, caffeine blocker.
ChrisYeah.
ChrisIt basically blocks the normal response to caffeine.
ChrisAnd just, like, your body just takes in more.
ChrisMore of the caffeine, so it doesn't have as much caffeine, but your body gets more of like, a.
ChrisYou ever drank one and you feel like your body's, like, heating a little bit or tingly because of that.
SaeedYeah.
ChrisYou don't seem very sincere at all when you say.
SaeedYeah, no, the caffeine doesn't have an impact on me anymore, man.
SaeedIt's.
SaeedIt's gotten bad.
ChrisStop.
SaeedOh, yeah.
ArunI have a Celsius.
ChrisI mean, I can't drink Celsius.
ChrisI drink a lot of caffeine, though.
ChrisI can drink it all day long.
SaeedYeah, exactly.
SaeedIt doesn't have an effect on you anymore.
ChrisAll right, so this is episode 245.
ChrisWe're coming out of election, going into an FOMC meeting.
ChrisLots of stuff going on.
ChrisSo let's talk about where we're at.
ChrisLet's give a State of the Union, if you will.
SaeedOkay.
ChrisLet's explain why you're paying more for cars, why you're paying more for homes, and pretty much everything in between.
SaeedYeah, but this is actually episode 255.
SaeedJust a correction.
Chris245.
ArunNo, it's 255.
SaeedIt's 255.
ArunI think you're connecting this one.
ChrisYeah.
SaeedDyslexia.
ChrisI have dyslexia.
SaeedOkay.
ChrisIs it really?
SaeedI'm gonna let it go.
ChrisI didn't even catch that till you said something.
ChrisI've looked at this thing, like, 16 times.
ArunI was so confused.
ArunI was like, damn.
ArunI know I don't watch episodes, but I.
ChrisYou know, I once thought while I was editing the show, like, I'll put some nice effects, like when we say something like one of these fun facts that I put in there for you.
ChrisFor you.
ChrisYeah, right.
ChrisLike when sites has one of those, like, I'll have the words going behind him, like, all fancy, like, just swoop in, like, sexy.
ChrisThen I'm like, these fuckers are never.
SaeedGonna see it, bro.
SaeedYou know who does that a lot is Neil Brennan.
SaeedHis podcast.
ChrisI don't know who that is.
SaeedNeil Brennan.
SaeedCome on, dog.
ChrisIs he the Kaline Wine mixer guy?
SaeedNo, man, he was.
SaeedHe was Dave Chappelle's, like, right hand on the Dave Chappelle Show.
SaeedHe's a.
ChrisWhy would I know that?
SaeedHe's a.
SaeedHe's an amazing comedian.
SaeedWhat are you talking about.
SaeedYou know who he is, bro.
SaeedWhat are you talking about?
ChrisI have no idea who this guy is.
ArunYes, you do.
SaeedOh, my God, he's a fantastic comic.
ChrisI mean, he's got big ears.
SaeedOh, he's.
SaeedYeah, he's.
ArunHe's one of big ears.
SaeedHe's great.
SaeedYeah.
SaeedWhat you got against figures anyways?
SaeedThis is a financial literacy show.
ChrisAmerican comedian and writer.
ChrisYou have no idea who that is.
SaeedPro.
ChrisYeah, yeah.
SaeedTakes.
SaeedHe gets a lot of credit for the Dave Chappelle Show.
ChrisReally?
SaeedYeah.
ChrisOkay.
ChrisThere you go.
ChrisAll right, so let's jump into the Wall Street Journal, shall we?
ChrisLet's get right into it.
ChrisShall we get into the good stuff, the moist stuff that you like.
SaeedThe moist goody.
SaeedGood stuff.
ChrisYeah, let's get into that.
ChrisLet's do it.
ChrisAll right.
ChrisSo immediately after the election kind of wore off on me a little bit, and last night, I decided to look back at a lot of the data, knowing that tomorrow is a big day.
ChrisThe Fed is going to announce a rate cut, most likely at 25 basis points.
ChrisAnd because of that, I thought, okay, we had a pretty heavy pivot in the markets in response to the last Fed rate cut that went the other way from expectation.
ChrisRates went, mortgage rates went up, the bond.
ChrisTreasury bond yield curves went up.
ChrisAnd I know what you're thinking.
ChrisPeople just had more confidence in the long end of the curve.
ChrisTen years out, they were like, okay, I have more confidence in the future now that the rate cuts have had.
ChrisAnd the bond market reflected that.
ChrisBut today, the day after the election ended on the 6th, November 6th, the market was resoundingly positive.
ChrisThe stock market was banging out.
SaeedRight.
ChrisI mean, it was.
ChrisIt was a good day.
ChrisIf you invested in Tesla, you woke up to some profits.
ChrisYou invested in the banking community.
ChrisThe banking sector was up.
ChrisI mean, there was a lot of positivity in the markets today.
ChrisIt was kind of stunning.
ChrisYeah, that is an unusual response in a lot of ways, but it's also a good thing, and it's a good symbol for the economy going into a rate cut tomorrow.
ChrisI do expect there to be some optimism built into that as well.
SaeedAbsolutely.
ChrisSo it should be interesting to see how this all plays out, but there's.
SaeedA lot of negative news also.
SaeedYou got to remember guys like us, and if you've been tuning into the show and we're reading what the predictions are, that they're baking in another 25 basis point cut tomorrow ahead of time, you gotta believe that that's already priced into whatever mortgage rates are.
SaeedSo if you don't see mortgage rates come down, you gotta understand that's because it's already priced in.
SaeedI think that was the big mis, the misconception the last time around when we did get that rate cut and people were like, they thought mortgage rates come down.
SaeedThat's not how it works.
SaeedThat's not how they respond.
ChrisYeah.
ChrisAnd I think you're not going to see mortgage rates go down, at least not in the near term anyway.
SaeedYeah.
SaeedAnd not because of this.
ChrisNot because of this, but largely because, and here's the way I like to position with most people is the bond market, particularly the 10 year treasury bond, has the biggest influence on the 30 year mortgage that we all look at as, quote, the mortgage rate.
ChrisRight.
ChrisAnd as people get more and more confidence in the long term, bond yields return higher and higher percentages.
ChrisIt pushes those yields up because people have more and more confidence that the long term is going to be healthy, it's going to be beneficial.
ChrisRight.
ChrisAnd as a result of that, it pushes mortgage rates up because it's the clear, closest proxy to mortgage rates, the 10 year Treasury.
ChrisSo right now, as of today, it was over 4.4 and some change.
ChrisYep.
ChrisThe 10 year, that is wildly high in pretty big movement, not only in a single day, but over the course of the last couple months it was, it is, it is bumped up significantly.
ChrisAnd as a result of that, you've seen mortgage rates creep up pretty dramatically.
SaeedRight.
SaeedSo if you're one of those people that are really trying to track mortgage rates, that's the figure that you want to, you know, stay locked in on the ten year treasury because mortgage rates tend to be somewhere between 2 to 3% higher than whatever the 10 year comes in at.
SaeedSo if you're looking at 4.4%, I mean you're looking at either a 6.4% or maybe 7.4%.
ChrisAnd I've seen rates in and around those ranges.
ChrisSo that.
ChrisLook at you.
SaeedI mean, that's what we do, man.
ChrisRanges of details and everything.
SaeedWelcome.
ChrisI didn't know better, I'd say you were financially literate.
SaeedGreen jacket on the way.
ChrisGreen jacket, let's go.
ChrisNot the golfing one.
SaeedNo, I wish.
ChrisJob growth slowed sharply last month with workers sidelined by hurricane effects and the continuing Boeing strike.
ChrisBoth of these things.
ChrisBy the way, site has some fun facts for you on the impact of how these things can actually affect you.
ChrisThe Labor Department on Friday reported that the economy added a seasonally adjusted 12,000 jobs in October versus a September gain of 223,000.
ChrisThat's a pretty big drop.
SaeedThat's a wild swing, man.
ChrisYeah, that's from like, hundreds of Thousands down to 12,000.
SaeedYeah.
SaeedAnd don't forget the Bureau of Labor Statistics came out a couple months ago and said, you know, we kind of overestimated jobs over the course of this last year by 800,000.
SaeedAnd they also came out recently and said that they overestimated jobs in August and September by 112,000.
SaeedSo this is a huge swing.
SaeedAnd just for, like, you know, a baseline number, you know, they expected 100,000 jobs to be added, and that is, generally speaking, the amount of jobs that should be added every month just to keep up with population growth.
ChrisYep.
SaeedRight.
SaeedSo to be at.
SaeedAt a number like 12,000, this the lowest report in four years.
SaeedRight.
SaeedI mean, that's a wild figure.
ChrisYeah.
ChrisAnd it's.
ChrisIn my mind, it's about as close to a real time.
ChrisSo the number of jobs added to me is as close as a real time proxy to unemployment percentages as you can get.
ChrisAnd to give you a good example of this in a different way to me, mortgage applications, the number of people applying for mortgages is the greatest proxy for home values and where they're likely to go.
ChrisRight, right.
ChrisSo if you see a huge slowdown in mortgage applications, you know, the home values are probably going to go down over time because there's not a lot of people buying.
SaeedYeah, right.
ChrisThis is the same thing.
ChrisIf there's not a lot of jobs being added, then unemployment's probably going to go up because there's just not a lot of new jobs.
ChrisYeah.
SaeedAnd if you're sitting there and you're one of the, you know, many, many people that are confused because you're reading all these different headlines, you're not crazy.
ChrisOh, you're crazy.
ChrisYou listen to this show.
ChrisYou can't be normal.
SaeedYeah, you definitely not normal.
SaeedBut, you know, we, like, we, like, you're kind of not normal.
ChrisYou know, speaking of not normal.
ChrisAnd we have to get back to the show, obviously, but you ever listen to somebody else's financial literacy podcast, like, anybody else's.
SaeedNot a.
SaeedNot a podcast.
SaeedI've seen, like, I've.
SaeedI've said on the show, I like Humphrey Yang stuff.
ChrisYeah.
ChrisBut none of her.
SaeedYeah, none of them are like, financial.
ChrisLiteracy podcasts, and they're not really fun.
SaeedNo, they're.
ChrisEven Humphrey Yang is, like, a little serious.
SaeedHe's a little serious, but he's got some, like, I don't know, some.
SaeedAnecdotal jokes that he slides in here very rarely.
ChrisAnd they're very dry humor.
SaeedThey're very.
SaeedYeah, you don't get.
SaeedYou don't get.
SaeedGet this anywhere else, dude.
ChrisAnd like, Mark Zandy's podcast, Moody's.
ChrisMoody's a big brand.
ChrisGood podcast, Terrible show.
SaeedYeah, I've checked out a couple of the earn your leisure stuff just because a lot of people pimped them out.
ChrisYeah.
SaeedI'll be honest.
SaeedNot a fan.
ChrisNot a fan, right?
SaeedNot honestly.
ChrisThey.
SaeedThey got all these different segments.
SaeedAnd I'm tuning in.
SaeedI'm like, okay, where's the value?
SaeedI'm looking to see what's the value, what's the draw?
SaeedAnd a lot of times they're literally just pimping out the sponsorships.
ChrisOh, we got a review that referenced that.
ChrisAnd yeah.
ChrisSo somebody once asked me, like, why don't you guys have, like, more financially related sponsors or pimp out more financial stuff?
ChrisAnd I thought to myself, because it devalues the message.
ChrisYeah, we're like, hey, man, home values only go up for the next five years by now.
ChrisBut by now, use my.
ChrisUse my Realtor network like Dave Ramsey.
SaeedRight.
ChrisYou just devalue everything that you're doing.
ChrisIronically.
ChrisIt's working well for him.
ChrisSo maybe I'm wrong, but.
SaeedYeah, I mean, yeah, for his first, pockets is working well, but I mean.
ChrisYou can't trust the goddamn thing he says.
SaeedYou really shouldn't be trusting a lot of the stuff that he's saying because it's also a lot of what he's.
ChrisSaying is not practical and it's self interested.
ChrisHe has a reason to do it.
SaeedRight.
ChrisWell, let's get back to Wall Street Journal.
ChrisYeah.
SaeedYeah.
SaeedSo if you're hearing some of these headlines and these figures and you're wondering, like, wait a minute, am I crazy?
SaeedThey're saying that the economy's strong, unemployment rate at 4.1% is, you know, extremely low when compared to historical numbers.
SaeedRight.
SaeedBut then if it's so strong, we just added only 12,000 jobs.
SaeedAnd if it's so strong, why do we need to cut?
SaeedWhy does the Fed feel like they need to cut rates?
ChrisYeah, because it's not so strong.
ChrisAnd we'll get into a lot of reasons why as we go through the show tonight.
ChrisBut there's a lot of challenges.
ChrisAnd like we told you during the port strike.
ChrisLet's go.
ChrisI mean, you've already kind of commented on the rest of the Wall Street Journal article, so let's forego the foreplay get right into the fun stuff.
ChrisFun fact, the hurricane impact here.
ChrisThe Bureau of Labor Statistics estimates that each 0.1% increase in unemployment following a natural disaster translates to roughly 125,000 fewer jobs in the affected areas.
SaeedHoly cow.
ChrisThat's a lot of jobs in the areas.
ChrisThis could, to contextualize this right?
ChrisIn the recent slowdown is what you got.
ChrisNow that could be a huge play into why October was the way that it was.
ChrisBut you're also talking nationally and these hurricanes were only in one particular area.
ChrisSo if I'm looking at this, I'm thinking to myself, okay, this in and of itself does not justify the employment change.
SaeedRight.
ChrisSo yeah, sure, the natural disaster was an impact here, but in and of itself that that's only 125,000 fewer jobs.
ChrisEven in a worst case event scenario, that's only half of what they were supposed to be.
ChrisIt's still short of the estimates into 12,000.
ChrisYou got a bigger problem nationally.
SaeedYeah.
ChrisNational disasters and unemployment.
ChrisAccording to FEMA, natural disasters have cost the U.S.
Chrisapproximately $150 billion annually over the past five years, indirectly affecting job growth as businesses temporarily shut down and recover.
SaeedYeah, man.
ChrisSo all these things that, that are kind of the long term effects of some of these weather disasters that we just don't think about are going to have long lasting impacts on some of the economic decisions that the people that we have in place to make them are making.
SaeedOh, man.
SaeedI mean, me personally, right.
SaeedSo underwriter by trade, I'm looking at insurance policies that, you know, some, some people are holding and there's something called an AM Best rating for insurance policies.
SaeedRight.
SaeedBasically rates the insurance company and basically it's a grade level that they get to see how strong they are.
SaeedRight.
SaeedSo what I'm seeing now lately is a lot of them are getting downgraded.
SaeedOkay.
SaeedAnd they're being downgraded for the, for the main reason is too many policyholders.
ChrisYeah.
SaeedIt's like you have too many people that you might need to service.
SaeedSo shit could go bad for you really south or really bad as an insurance company.
ChrisRight.
SaeedAnd you're like, man, so they're getting punished for, you know, getting too many clients, too many customers.
ChrisYeah, man.
ChrisPolitically, some of the regulation and some of the reviews of independent companies, it's just, it's taxing.
ChrisIf you're a consumer, you're trying to like figure out who to trust and believe from a company perspective.
ChrisIt's hard.
SaeedYeah.
ChrisLike some of these rating agencies, you're going like okay, wait a minute.
ChrisYou're saying they have more risk of loss, but they're an insurance company, so they're supposed to have risk of loss.
ChrisSo if they've grown in scale, then they have greater risk of loss because they have more clients.
SaeedYeah.
ChrisShouldn't they be a bigger, stronger company as a result of that?
SaeedExactly.
ChrisBut someone looks at radiation, she goes, oh, they're B minus.
ChrisNo, I don't like them.
SaeedYeah, yeah, that's exactly what I mean.
ChrisYou know what I mean?
ChrisLike, there's no logic behind it.
ChrisYou're just like, okay, all right, sure, I'll pass.
SaeedYeah, yeah.
ChrisAnother fun fact, the strike impact.
ChrisWe talked a lot about this on a previous show.
ChrisWell, Boeing strike alone is estimated to shave off $1.6 billion from Q4 GDP, showing how labor disruptions can have a ripple effect on the broader economic metrics beyond just job count.
ChrisSo all these things that we see in the news, like, oh, my God, they're going to strike.
ChrisThey're going to strike.
ChrisThe poor strike.
ChrisThere are long lasting real impacts to gdp.
ChrisNatural disasters, long lasting, real impacts.
ChrisThe jobs in all this data, jobs and gdp, or what the Fed and other people look at when they go, is the economy healthy?
SaeedYeah.
ChrisIs it healthy?
ChrisSo I bring all this up as kind of a beginning stage to contextualize that we're getting a lot of inputs that seem to suggest that the needle is going to be moving the wrong way.
SaeedOkay.
ChrisRight, right.
ChrisAnd if you look at the jobs report, this was really good if you wanted a rate cut.
ChrisRight.
ChrisBecause this is the last big jobs number to come out before tomorrow's decision.
SaeedSolidifies the fact that they will be cutting rates.
SaeedYeah.
ChrisAt least that's the market perception.
ChrisI mean, they could come out and be like, you know what?
ChrisWe don't need this thug life.
SaeedYeah, fuck y'all.
ChrisYeah, y'all can stay home, talk amongst yourselves, but you would not get in 25 basis points.
ChrisThat could very well happen, I don't think.
ChrisI think I'm pretty much 100% they're going to give us.
ChrisYeah.
SaeedPredictions are at 99%.
SaeedBut what was really interesting is predictions also came out for the December meeting.
SaeedThat's coming out.
ChrisRight.
ChrisSo I haven't checked.
SaeedBefore the jobs report came out, there was a 74% chance that they will also be cutting again in December.
SaeedOkay.
SaeedAfter the jobs report, it's like north of like 80%.
SaeedSo it increased because this is just, you know, fueling the fire.
SaeedLike, yeah, you're right.
SaeedWe need to we need.
SaeedWe need to get in front of this before it gets really bad.
ChrisAnd if you're taking what the FOMC Telegraph, it's really 25 basis points in November.
Chris25 basis points in December would probably be your.
ChrisYour approximation of what they said they were going to do.
SaeedYeah, yeah.
SaeedIt probably just a little bit more than what they actually said because they did that.
Saeed50 basis points to start off with.
SaeedYeah, yeah, yeah, yeah.
ChrisIt came out hard.
ChrisArun, if you could scroll down a little bit and give me a little bit of coco.
ChrisSexy.
ChrisYeah.
SaeedCar buyers, man.
ChrisI saw a Tesla that was offering zero percent interest and I thought I could send this to you and really ruin your day because that wasn't around when you were looking for a car.
ChrisAnd then I was like, you know what?
ChrisNo, I'm gonna be a better human.
SaeedI test drove the Model Y, man.
SaeedI wasn't a fan.
ChrisWow.
SaeedI know.
SaeedI.
SaeedI know.
SaeedI just upset a lot of people who have Model Y's.
ChrisWow.
ChrisWhy.
ChrisWhy are you such a terrible, terrible human being?
SaeedOkay.
SaeedYou know that.
SaeedWhat is it called?
SaeedThe degenerative braking system?
ChrisRegenerative.
SaeedOh, sorry.
SaeedRegenerative braking.
ChrisYour degenerate.
SaeedI'm a degenerate regenerator.
SaeedOkay.
SaeedYeah, the degenerates driving the Teslas.
SaeedNo, I'm just kidding.
SaeedRegenerative braking system that it has.
SaeedThey didn't tell me if you could turn that on or off.
SaeedRight.
ChrisYeah, you can.
SaeedOkay.
SaeedSo that guy did.
SaeedI asked him.
SaeedHe said no.
SaeedRight.
ChrisSo just a little toggle switch.
SaeedThat was my main reason.
SaeedWhy?
SaeedBecause it made me motion sickness to drive it.
ChrisWhat's.
ChrisCause you don't how to drive it yet.
ChrisYou have to figure out how to like.
SaeedNah, man.
SaeedNo.
SaeedAnd.
SaeedAnd Adam gets motion sickness from that stuff, so I couldn't even.
SaeedI didn't even want to mess around with it.
SaeedSo we ended up getting the Volkswagen.
ChrisWhy wouldn't you ask me?
ChrisI have a Tesla.
SaeedNo, but maybe it was only available.
SaeedYou know how they were weird, bro.
SaeedThey do something for the X, but not for the Y.
ChrisThe X is the premium version.
ChrisIt has all the things.
SaeedYeah, so you have the X.
SaeedThat's the premium.
SaeedSo you get it.
SaeedMaybe the Y doesn't get it.
ChrisAre you sure that you would know if you run.
ChrisHelp me out here.
SaeedAre you sure that the Y has it?
ChrisWhat?
ChrisThat has a what?
ChrisThe regenerative breaking.
SaeedYeah, yeah.
SaeedNo, no.
SaeedI want to be able to turn it off.
ChrisYes.
ArunHow do you know?
SaeedHow do you know?
ArunDriven one.
SaeedWhich one?
ChrisI Test drove one.
ArunWhy.
SaeedWhy would you drive one when you had the Jeep and you have the Rivian?
SaeedI'm shenanigans.
ChrisNo, no.
ChrisI was contemplating, you know, maybe a Model Y.
ChrisIf it had enough room and it was big enough.
SaeedIt was pretty small.
SaeedIt's tight.
ChrisIt's tight like a tiger.
ChrisAnd then.
ChrisBut I also wanted to experience what it was like to not have a screen in front of me because they have that center screen, not because the Model X is a screen in front of you.
SaeedHonestly, the.
SaeedThe one screen thing with zero buttons at all.
SaeedIt's like, it's very frustrating.
SaeedI feel like I'm.
SaeedI'm like.
ChrisI don't like it personally.
SaeedI don't like.
SaeedI need a handful of buttons.
ChrisThat's part of the reason why I like the Rivian truck is that it has like all the screens.
SaeedRivian truck looks far superior.
ChrisMine's covered in bird poop at the moment.
ChrisSo.
ChrisYeah.
ChrisAll right.
ChrisSo even some high income Americans can't afford new cars anymore.
SaeedHigh income Americans.
ChrisI started reading these numbers and I put in a lot of, as Arun would say, copy here because this was pretty damn scary stuff.
SaeedYeah, okay.
SaeedYou gotta hear.
SaeedI was gonna say.
ChrisYeah, you're gonna steal some more thunder.
SaeedI don't wanna.
SaeedI don't wanna steal any thunder because when we talk about these topics, read the show notes.
SaeedWe've been.
SaeedWe've been discussing these topics.
SaeedAnd it's good because you can always like, go back and compare to what we said.
SaeedAnd it's.
SaeedAnd it's true.
SaeedMan, these prices are going up.
ChrisCar buyers across America, even those with comfortable incomes like Levine, I don't know who that is.
ChrisI think it was just an example from the earlier article.
ChrisBut he had a douchebag name, so you gotta, gotta include him, right?
SaeedWhat?
SaeedAdam Levine, bro.
ChrisNo last name.
ChrisOkay.
ChrisFirst name.
ChrisNot okay.
SaeedOkay, Right.
SaeedOh, yeah.
SaeedLevine was the first name you're saying and not okay.
SaeedYeah.
ChrisLike Adam Smith.
ChrisFine.
ChrisSmith Adam.
ChrisNo, you're weird.
SaeedSo I got three first names.
SaeedWhat do you got to say now?
SaeedAm I back over to the cool side?
ChrisYeah, your question.
SaeedI've now lapped you.
ChrisWhatever.
ChrisAnyway, they're dropping out of the new car market.
ChrisThe pandemic supply shortages that drove sticker prices skyward are in the rearview mirror.
ChrisBut the cost of a new set of wheels continues to climb.
ChrisThe average price of a new car this year is $48,205 up.
ChrisYou ready?
Chris21% from five years ago, according to researcher Cox Automotive Inc.
ChrisAnd growing frustration over auto affordability is yet another kitchen table economy concern that's bound to be running through the minds of American voters as they head to the polls yesterday.
SaeedI mean, this plays right into what I wanted to get into.
SaeedSo if you compare wage growth to what it was five years ago didn't keep up.
SaeedWage growth only grew 18% in the last five years.
ChrisOh, I heard a debate literally this morning about guys, very wealthy guys, saying, oh, wage growth's catching up.
ChrisIt's not a big deal.
ChrisThis is on cnbc, by the way.
SaeedCome on.
SaeedLive show out of tune.
ChrisAnd they were like, oh, it's not that bad.
ChrisYou know, wage growth's catching back up.
ChrisWages are totally, you know, they're.
ChrisThey're roaring and ready to go.
ChrisAnd I'm like, you two rich assholes have no idea what you're talking about.
SaeedZero.
SaeedAbsolutely right.
SaeedSo the reported rate of inflation that's grown in the last five years, reported figure, all in the average figure is 23%.
SaeedBut we know necessary things like groceries.
SaeedCome on, bro.
SaeedWay higher than 23%.
SaeedWe're talking 40, 50%.
SaeedHousing.
SaeedDon't get me started with rent.
SaeedHousing everywhere.
SaeedWhat about just.
SaeedJust car insurance?
ChrisCar.
ChrisIt's ridiculous.
SaeedCar insurance is way above 50%.
SaeedAnd these are things that we all need to pay.
SaeedSo the overall, the overall average, you know, reported rate of inflation over the last five years being 23% and the wage growth only being 18%.
SaeedThat's not even painting an accurate picture.
SaeedBut it's still showing that it's far below.
SaeedIt has not kept up with everything.
SaeedBut like we like to say on the show, why you need to be financially.
SaeedLiterally literate.
ChrisRight?
ChrisLiterally.
SaeedYeah, literally.
SaeedI'm not going to go is that the s and P500 over the course of the last five years has grown 91%.
ChrisIt only matters if you've cashed out of it.
SaeedIt does only matter.
SaeedBut the whole point of it is to stay in it long term, right?
SaeedIt's like you can't time the market, but you can control how much time you've been in the market, bro.
SaeedGems.
ChrisYou were.
ChrisYou were dying, bro.
SaeedHey, you're welcome.
ChrisRemind me.
ChrisI make a reel out of it.
ChrisThe glasses drop down.
ChrisCome on.
ChrisLittle Snoop Dogg reference.
ArunOr you can just make it very cheesy.
ChrisI mean, it was kind of cheesy in and of itself.
ChrisI don't need to add much.
SaeedThe problem is I wasn't even trying.
SaeedIt just.
SaeedIt came out naturally.
ChrisNo, I didn't I swear to God, you would practice that at least six times in front of the mirror.
ChrisI swear I did that half ass smile.
SaeedBut so wait, I want to get into a.
SaeedWe had a question from a listener.
SaeedBut I want to do it after this.
ChrisWe do it after this.
SaeedYeah.
ChrisOkay.
ChrisWe also talk about how you got me into a Twitter war today.
SaeedMe personally.
ChrisOh, you did?
ChrisYeah.
SaeedI'm not on Twitter.
ChrisI know.
ChrisThat's how pervasive your perspective is.
SaeedYou're not on Twitter either.
ChrisYou're on X.
ChrisI'm on X.
ChrisYeah.
ChrisOkay.
ChrisI'm on Twitter.
ChrisX.
ChrisWhatever it was.
ChrisSomeone called me out for some shit.
ChrisYou said.
SaeedWhat did I do?
ChrisBro, you got me in a whole lot and I'm like, defending it.
SaeedYou're defending me?
ChrisYeah.
ChrisI'll give you.
ChrisI'll give you just a hint.
SaeedYeah.
ChrisI was like, okay.
ChrisPaper hands.
SaeedOh.
SaeedBecause I said diamond hands.
ChrisYeah.
ChrisYou got me in all sorts of trouble.
ChrisAll right, so back to the Bloomberg Business Week article.
ChrisSticker shock is increasingly scaring off many would be buyers.
ChrisA recent survey by the automotive research Edmonds.com found that almost half of American car shoppers expect to pay $35,000 or less for a new car.
ChrisTalk about out of touch.
ChrisThat makes sense because the average trade in is six years old, which means those buyers last purchased a new car back when the average price was in the mid-30s.
ChrisWhen they returned to the showroom and discover that they'll have to pay almost $50,000, they're walking away.
ChrisThe Edmonds survey found that 73% of consumers are holding off on buying a new car because of the cost.
SaeedYeah.
SaeedAnd you're not doing yourself any favors if you're going and just getting regular financing through, you know, their financing department rates are somewhere between, you know, 6, 7, 8%.
SaeedRight.
SaeedOr I mean, unless you're getting a deal like at Tesla.
SaeedRight.
ChrisOr I've always recommended, like, if you're going to finance your car, which I mean, all good.
ChrisRight.
ChrisAll.
ChrisIf you go to a credit union.
ChrisIf you belong to a credit union, great.
ChrisYou might have some opportunities.
ChrisBut you.
ChrisTo shop around for best.
ChrisDo not go to the dealership for the best pricing unless they're offering like 0% or 1% financing, in which case you might not be able to beat that.
SaeedYeah, exactly.
SaeedAnd that's what.
SaeedThat's exactly what I did at the time.
ChrisExcept you could have had zero percent.
SaeedI do have zero percent right now on a Tesla.
SaeedYeah.
SaeedThe only benefit there is the longer range.
SaeedI only get 200 miles.
ChrisLook, if you're.
ChrisIf you're happy going less distance than me, that's okay.
SaeedI don't care.
SaeedI get there, though.
ChrisThat's also fine.
SaeedI get there.
SaeedI'm happy just because I get there.
ChrisI mean, I'm sure you're happy, but not everybody is fulfilled with the range that you have.
SaeedBut honest, I'm fulfilled.
SaeedI care about my range.
SaeedThat's okay.
ChrisYou're a smaller man than me, if that makes.
SaeedWhy do you gotta go there?
ChrisDistance wise?
SaeedDistance?
ChrisI have 420 miles of range.
ChrisHow much range do you have?
SaeedYeah, we're talking about car range, right?
ChrisYeah.
SaeedYeah, right.
ChrisHow long do you go?
Saeed200 miles.
SaeedIt lasts.
SaeedLasts me a long time because I don't drive very far.
ChrisI bet it feels like a long time.
ChrisMonthly payments on new car loans now average $767, up 17% from just four years ago, according to Cox.
SaeedI feel like I just got a heart attack here in that number.
Saeed700.
ChrisYes.
ChrisA lot, dude.
ChrisAnd one in six new car buyers this year will take on payments of more than $1,000 a month.
ChrisEdmund says blame it on ballooning sticker prices resulting from more technology, automakers quest for better profit margins, and, of course, skyrocketing auto loan rates.
ChrisYeah, there's three fun facts here.
ChrisArun, you want to read something tonight?
SaeedYou want it?
ChrisYou want to get involved?
ArunNo?
SaeedLet's see where the energy.
SaeedLet's see where the energy levels are at.
ChrisShow us how it's done.
ChrisArun, go for it.
ChrisWe'll wait.
SaeedCome on.
SaeedYeah.
SaeedYeah.
SaeedWe're going to do this.
ArunAll right, let's do it.
ArunLet's make sure I can say all the words.
ArunAll right, Cool.
ChrisNo big words.
ArunMake sure there's no jargon in there.
ArunAll right, fun fact.
ArunNew versus used price gap.
SaeedLet's go.
SaeedAll right.
ArunTalking out.
ChrisGo for it.
SaeedCome on, bro.
ChrisCome on.
ChrisCome on.
SaeedYou got this.
ArunI tapped.
SaeedOh, he tapped.
SaeedAll right.
ChrisPrice gap between new and used vehicles has reached a record 30%, pushing more budget conscious buyers toward the used market.
ChrisFive years ago, this gap was closer to 15%.
SaeedDamn.
ChrisYeah, another one.
ChrisI got all the fun facts.
ChrisI like the fun facts.
ChrisI think they add value.
SaeedNo, let me go.
SaeedInterest rate in loan terms.
SaeedTo cope with high prices, buyers are stretching their car loan terms longer than ever.
SaeedOver 42% of new car loans now extend to 72 months or more, which can lead to paying for more in interest over time and increase the risk of being upside down on loans.
SaeedSo basically, what that means is, are you like, how long of a loan are you getting?
SaeedWe typically recommend somewhere ideally, you know, nothing more than four years.
SaeedRight.
SaeedAnd five is definitely okay.
SaeedBut if you can, if you can try to get it to four, that way you, you're never really upside down.
SaeedAnd then when you do sell the car or another thing that you could do is you could always go five.
SaeedAnd then if you could put more down towards principal every month, just do that and you'll pay.
SaeedYou know what I've done, You'll pay it off sooner.
ChrisAnd I know this is terrible to say because it sounds elitist, but I'll get a 72 month car payment.
ChrisRight.
ChrisI'll finance it, get a 17 month car payment, have it as a trade line, and then I'll pay it off early, after like a year.
SaeedWhy do you do it that way?
ChrisI like to just make sure I got trade lines that are building credit and keeping credit constant over time.
SaeedYeah.
SaeedBecause that's the thing, right.
SaeedWith car loans, that's a really good way to boost your credit.
ChrisYeah.
ChrisSo I, I have.
ChrisSo one of the challenges I have with my credit is that I've got a lot of different trade lines because I have a lot of mortgages and not all my mortgages are commercial.
ChrisSo they do show up on my personal credit report.
SaeedWell, explain to people what do you mean by trade lines.
ArunOh, damn it.
ArunI was about to stop.
ChrisWell, you contributed so well here.
ChrisReading earlier.
SaeedYou gotta just jump in, bro.
SaeedYou gotta get in where you fit in.
ChrisIs this your first podcast?
ChrisIt's funny because normally you do that to me when I read and now you're doing it to you because you read.
ArunIt was my first time watching next episode.
ChrisI hope we went smooth and slow for your first time.
SaeedWe're going to, we're going to, we're going to give it another shot later at the end of this episode.
ChrisIf you had a little bit longer range, you probably could have, you know, enjoyed it.
SaeedOh, back to the range.
ChrisSo each item on your credit report is a trade line.
ChrisIf you have a credit card, that then the history of that performance on that credit card when you open it, how long you've had it, how you paid it over time.
ChrisHave you always paid on time?
ChrisThat's a trade line.
ChrisThe more of those you have, the old school methodology was like, oh my God.
ChrisThe more trade lines you have that are paid as agreed, the better.
ChrisNot necessarily.
ChrisThe algorithm takes into account things like how much available credit do you have to you versus how much have you utilized?
ChrisIf you've got $100,000, you can utilize, but you're using all $100,000, that's not good.
SaeedYeah.
ChrisIf you're using only, you know, $2,000 of $100,000, that's also okay as long as you're using it and paying it off consistently.
SaeedYes.
ChrisSo it really comes down to a bunch of different factors.
ChrisOne of the factors that I know is that I've got a lot of long term installment loans.
ChrisCause I got like I think seven mortgages on my personal credit report.
SaeedInstallment loans, meaning it's a loan that will get paid off over time.
SaeedOver time versus a revolving line or a charge account.
ChrisYeah.
SaeedRight.
ChrisSo think of, you want a good healthy mix of different types of credits.
ChrisYou want revolving ones like credit cards, you want installment loans like homes and car loans.
SaeedYes.
ChrisWhat I try to tell people is, and there's student loans in there as well, but they don't in my mind impact things as well.
ChrisIf you have just credit cards because you haven't bought a home and your credit score is kind of like, ah, you know, it's very like for example, if you have like somebody look into your credit and your credit score drops pretty dramatically because you had an inquiry into your credit, it's because you don't have something like an installment loan anchoring it.
ChrisSo what I tell people is little hack that I do, go get a car loan or get a car loan.
ChrisIf you're looking to buy a car, even if you can pay it off in cash, just because having that installment line even there for a little bit of time will help anchor your credit with the performance of that installment loan as opposed to just the revolving debt.
SaeedAbsolutely.
ChrisSo I've just found that works better from our algorithmic standpoint.
ChrisBut you know, everybody's got their own way, right.
SaeedAnd another thing to keep in mind too is I don't know if there's a real general rule of thumb, but my own rule of thumb for myself and my wife are no more than three credit cards.
SaeedRight.
SaeedAnd actually we only, I only have two.
SaeedBecause if you do get, if you do have more, right.
SaeedLet's just say you have your, the one you have with your bank and you're still, you still have my college credit card.
SaeedAnd then you, let's say you open up like a Nordstrom card or a Macy's card or something and then you have it for a while and you're like, oh, I'm not really using it anymore, whatever.
SaeedAnd you close it down.
SaeedWell, you closing it down is now decreasing your total credit available.
SaeedSo it actually hurts your credit to close it down.
SaeedSo keep that in mind too, when you're closing down accounts.
ChrisYeah, I had a.
ChrisOne more fun fact which I thought was kind of interesting that I had a funny story about me being a total douchebag.
ChrisAnd I know how much you like those.
ChrisArun loves them because he gets make fun of me for an hour.
SaeedRight.
ChrisSo, you know, you drive by car dealerships and used to see the lots, like, jam packed.
SaeedOh, yeah.
ChrisAnd even though car prices are what they are, like, I don't see them as jam packed as it wants to.
ChrisLike, they don't have as many cars in the lot.
SaeedRight, okay.
ChrisWell, I looked up the data here.
ChrisDue to the supply shortages and increased demand for used cars, dealerships report that 25% fewer cars.
ChrisUsed cars are now available on the market compared to pre pandemic levels, squeezing affordability further.
ChrisSo because people are holding onto their car and not trading it in because the cost of a new car is so expensive, there's less used cars on the lot to buy.
ChrisKind of a snowball effect of cost.
SaeedOh, yeah.
SaeedI mean, and I mean, just another case for me personally is when I traded in my Jeep recently.
SaeedRight.
SaeedWhen you, when you're trading in your car, you want to get the Kelley Blue Book value.
SaeedI also got, I got a carfax.
SaeedSo you get a general idea for what the value of your car is.
SaeedEven though I feel like the value of my car was way higher given.
SaeedI mean, everyone naturally thinks that because they think their car is the best kind of like your home.
SaeedBut I didn't get any, any like, credit towards, like, you know, some of the upgrades that I had, like the running boards, the bigger wheels, all that.
SaeedNone of that stuff.
SaeedRight.
SaeedBut I think the value came in.
SaeedIt was supposed to be like somewhere.
Saeed27,000.
SaeedOkay.
SaeedThat was Kelly Blue Book.
SaeedSo I'm like, all right, cool.
SaeedLike, I'll take it to CarMax.
SaeedAnd everyone says that they're good or Carvana, and I'll go with whatever.
SaeedWhichever's the better of the two, bro.
SaeedI'm like, I'll walk away.
SaeedI had a number set in my head.
SaeedI'll.
SaeedEven if they only offer me like 22, 23, I'll probably take it.
Saeed17,000 is what they offered me, right?
SaeedAnd I'm like, oh, that's how bad they're hurting.
SaeedThey know that the used market is.
SaeedIs hurting so bad right now, they gotta go that much Lower.
SaeedJust to, you know, make an extra couple bucks on my car.
ChrisI don't want to say I sold mine for 16.
Chris5.
ChrisAnd it was an older model.
SaeedYeah, I know.
SaeedNo, no.
SaeedBut then I.
SaeedI ended up trading mine.
SaeedI ended up with the vault.
SaeedI got them to go up all the way to 20.
SaeedOkay.
ChrisThere you go.
ChrisYeah, fair enough.
SaeedYeah.
SaeedSo fuck you very much.
ChrisYeah, fuck you, too.
ArunWe've had this discussion, Chris.
ChrisOh, I know, I know.
ChrisOn the show.
ChrisYeah.
ChrisReally?
ArunYeah.
ChrisHow do you know?
ChrisYou don't listen to show.
ArunI'm here.
SaeedHe's listening.
SaeedYeah, he listens to it twice, bro.
SaeedHere.
SaeedAnd when he's at home editing, he.
ChrisDoesn'T really listen to.
ChrisWhile he's here, he has his.
ChrisLike, he's usually watching some kind of sports back there.
ArunIt's called porn.
SaeedIt's called porn, bro.
ChrisWe both know you're not watching porn.
ChrisI've checked your testosterone levels for you.
ChrisNormally, it'd be a great plug for Transcend.
ChrisHe doesn't sponsor us anymore.
SaeedAll right, so I actually got a question from a listener.
ChrisYeah.
SaeedShout out to Mr.
SaeedJohn King.
ChrisJohn.
ChrisYeah.
SaeedHe said, hi, sight.
SaeedI love the show.
SaeedYou all are doing great work.
SaeedThanks, man.
ChrisLord's work.
SaeedYeah, yeah, exactly.
SaeedThat's.
SaeedHe includes you, too.
SaeedOdun.
ChrisHe didn't.
SaeedHe did.
SaeedHe said.
SaeedHe said you all.
ChrisYeah, you.
ChrisMe.
SaeedNo, you all.
SaeedYou don't say you all for two people, you all for three.
SaeedAll right, fine.
SaeedCan you guys talk more about when you think a good time to start investing again would be.
SaeedYou mentioned the stock market being overvalued.
SaeedI've paused my contributions to my investment accounts in favor of high yield savings.
SaeedI'd like to get back into the market, but am unsure of a good time.
SaeedI don't want to start right now.
SaeedIf the market is overvalued and expect it to crash in the near future.
ChrisI wouldn't say crash.
ChrisI haven't seen any data that suggests a crash in both the housing and the stock market markets.
ChrisYeah, clearly they're both overvalued.
ChrisNot going to say a correction isn't due.
ChrisAnd just to be clear here, whenever you say crash, you're typically talking about a correction of 20% or more.
ChrisAnything less than that is quote correction.
ChrisSo that vernacular is very important because it means something.
ChrisI don't know.
ChrisWould I like to see a crash in either market?
ChrisYeah, I think there's.
ChrisThere's reason why both would be valuable.
SaeedYeah.
ChrisBut there's nothing that I can see on the horizon.
ChrisNot to say that we're, you know, predicting anything, but nothing I can see yet on the horizon which would lead us to a market crash.
ChrisDo I say stop investing?
ChrisNo, I think you can't invest in companies that may or may not be overvalued or if there's a question that they may, for example.
ChrisBut there are some staples which are not overvalued.
ChrisNon tech companies outside of the Mag 7, if you think that their performance is going to increase or improve.
ChrisLook, I'll give you a great example.
ChrisI think Rivian's got a lot of like legs.
ChrisIt's a good stock.
ChrisThey're not overvalued in the market.
ChrisThey're still a fledgling kind of a new darling company.
ChrisThey got upside.
ChrisI think what DAR is doing over at Uber is going to continue to progress over time.
ChrisAnd as much as Tesla might be part of the Mag 7 and they were up a pretty healthy amount today, I think that what Elon Musk is doing with Tesla, with SpaceX, I think there are some pretty heavy impacts to the population.
ChrisIf you got that this whole self driving, autonomous driving thing really going with the cabs that he's, you know, promoted and.
SaeedYeah.
ChrisAnd that you're charging.
ChrisYou're talking about changing human behaviors.
SaeedYeah.
ChrisSo I think there's, there's still a lot of upside in the market.
ChrisYou just gotta be more strategic with where you put your money.
ChrisI would not put, personally put money in funds right now, really.
ChrisI would invest in, I would invest in companies that I believe in outside of your 401k your retirement.
ChrisIf you're going into your 401k your retirement, put it into a fund, ride it over time, you got a long game to play.
ChrisBut for me, if I were investing money into the stock market right now and I worried about a correction of any way, shape or form, I would go into companies that I believe in and be willing to take the loss if I'm wrong.
SaeedYeah.
SaeedSo for me personally, I fully adopt the whole dollar cost averaging.
SaeedAnd then nothing makes this point more true than this study right here.
SaeedRight.
SaeedWe've talked about on the show before.
SaeedAccording to Fidelity, assuming someone had invested $10,000 in the S P 500 index in January of 1980 to December of 2022, we're talking 42 years.
SaeedRight.
SaeedIf they invested in all the days and they never stopped investing, they never pulled their money out.
SaeedRight.
SaeedNot saying that, you know, this individual pulled their money out.
SaeedHe just said he stopped his contributions.
SaeedBut the point here is that if you invested all your money the entire time.
SaeedIt's.
SaeedIt would have been over a million dollars in value at $10,000.
SaeedYeah.
SaeedIf you miss the best five days over the course of those 42 years.
SaeedSo the market has days that it does really, really well.
SaeedRight.
SaeedThe five best days out of that 42 year stretch, you're down to $671,000.
SaeedFrom a million to 671.
SaeedThe whole point is, yes, you might be.
SaeedWhen your dollar cost averaging, you might go through days that.
ChrisSo you're telling everybody to put, put it in and stay in.
SaeedPut it in, stay in.
ChrisTo dock.
SaeedTo dock.
SaeedExactly.
ChrisDock your dollars.
SaeedDock your dollars is a very good T shirt.
SaeedDock your dollars is an amazing T shirt.
ChrisA doc cost averaging.
SaeedDoc your dollars.
SaeedThere's nothing.
SaeedThere's nothing we haven't created something better than this.
ChrisEverybody in Utah is going to buy this.
SaeedEverybody at BYU is going to buy this.
ChrisWe should just go to BYU and doc your dollars.
ChrisCome on dog, let's put it in and leave it there.
SaeedYeah.
SaeedSo like just think about that.
SaeedRight?
SaeedSo you again, back to my corny and cheesy saying, right?
SaeedYou can't time the market.
SaeedIt's about how much time you're in the market.
SaeedDamn, I'm good.
ChrisUnless you've got, you know, shorter range.
SaeedRight?
SaeedUnless you got shorter range.
SaeedJust to bring this full circle, let me tell you the rest of this stat is if you missed the best 10 days out of that 42 year stretch, you'd have 40, 483, 000.
SaeedIf you missed the best 30 days, 173, 000.
SaeedIf you miss the best 50 days.
Saeed76, 000.
Saeed50 days, dog, come on.
SaeedYou're down to 76,000.
SaeedThat's 93% less.
ChrisHey man, sometimes those days matter.
SaeedSo.
SaeedYeah.
SaeedSo if you're thinking about yourself long term and investing, I get the idea it's overvalued, but it will correct itself eventually.
SaeedAnd you don't want to miss out on that one day where you could really be making all your gains, bro.
SaeedIt's all about the gains, bro.
ChrisThis show went off the rails a long time ago.
ChrisWhy are we doing this still?
ChrisArun, are you interested at all what we're saying anymore or is it just all like b.
SaeedWe're trying to keep it fun.
ArunOh, I'm.
ArunI'm in it.
ChrisAre you in it?
SaeedYeah.
ChrisYou docking it?
ArunYep.
ChrisYou're saying this, bro.
SaeedI just said we got it.
SaeedWe got to hit a Hannah, bro.
SaeedThat dock Your dollars.
ChrisI can't.
ChrisDude, she's religious.
ChrisI can't be like Hannah.
ChrisLook, she is.
SaeedOh, we can't do that.
ChrisShe's very religious.
SaeedOh, I didn't know.
SaeedWe can't do.
ChrisCan you explain what doc your dollars means, Chris?
ChrisSo I can.
SaeedI just need you to have graphics boat that gets docked.
ChrisBoats and hoes.
ChrisBoats.
SaeedYeah, exactly.
SaeedBoats and hose.
ChrisOh, man, doctor, you're a terrible human being.
ChrisAll right.
ChrisWell, it isn't just cars that are having problems.
ChrisWell, home affordability and the inability for most people to buy a home, particularly first time home buyers, is having some ramifications to the demographic of home buyers out there.
ChrisThis, according to CNBC, make it the average age of US home buyers has jumped to 56.
ChrisHomes are wildly unaffordable for young people, real estate experts say.
ChrisYou don't have to be a real estate expert to know that the age for first time home buyers, don't worry.
ChrisIs less, but not as low as you might hope or thought that it was.
ChrisThe average age of homebuyers in the US has risen by six years since July of 2023, another sign that younger Americans are being priced out of the market due to escalating home ownership costs.
ChrisThe average age of homebuyers is now 56, up from 49 in 2023, according to the national association of Realtors annual State of the Market report released on Monday.
ChrisThat is a historic high up from the average age in the low to mid-40s in the early 2010s.
ChrisThe median age for first time homebuyers also rose from 35 to 38, while the share of first time buyers dropped from 32% to 24% of all buyers for the year ending July 2024.
ChrisThat marks the lowest percentage since the national association of Realtors started tracking the metric in 1981.
SaeedBaby, dude, there.
SaeedThis is a problem, a much bigger discussion to be had here, right?
SaeedHow many people do, you know, don't even begin to start to try and, you know, grow their families until they get into their first home right there?
ChrisWell, there's a lot of people who just aren't having kids right now.
SaeedThey aren't having kids right now just given, you know, what's going on, you know, in the, in the market and job instability.
ChrisIt's not just this though.
ChrisLike everybody wants to be younger longer.
SaeedThat too.
SaeedBut for me personally, I can speak for myself.
SaeedI did not want to start my family right, growing my family until we had our first home.
SaeedRight.
SaeedNot to Say there's anything wrong with it.
SaeedI just wanted.
SaeedI just wanted that stability.
SaeedI didn't want to even think about having to move, you know what I mean?
SaeedAnd all that.
SaeedLike, if you're, if how many people are waiting to start now that they're.
SaeedI actually have a cousin too, that recently.
ChrisYou got like a lot of cousins, though.
ChrisThat's a problem.
SaeedWhat do you mean I got cousins?
SaeedYou got cousins on cousins.
ChrisYou got too many cousins?
SaeedYeah, too many.
ChrisJust pick three.
SaeedYou don't have too many cousins?
ChrisNo, I don't have cousins like that.
SaeedCome on.
SaeedI call you my cousin.
ChrisNo, you don't.
SaeedCome on, cuz.
SaeedYou call me your daddy, but yeah, that mean.
SaeedAnd then family sizes are going to be shrinking because of this too.
ChrisOh, it's already happening.
ChrisI mean, we're gonna get to the point now where if you're 38 years old and you're buying your first home, you're, I mean, in essence, 15 years behind what was traditionally thought as the age you would move out and buy a home or, you know, get situated.
ChrisEven if you bought a home at 30, let's say on average, 30 is a good age.
ChrisEight years later, you're buying.
ChrisI mean, it's just, it's getting to the point where it's going to have huge ramifications for people's financial futures because the number one source of wealth for most Americans is the equity they build up in their home over time.
SaeedThat's what it has been up until now.
SaeedThat's going to have to change.
ChrisYeah.
ChrisSo fun fact.
ChrisYour shit talking on cryptocurrency has led to people thinking that I am a crypto hater on X.
ChrisAnd because of your shit talking on cryptocurrency, people like poking the bear at me.
SaeedWhy?
SaeedWe didn't.
SaeedYou didn't even make a reel about this.
ChrisNo, I didn't.
ChrisBut people who listen to the show.
ChrisThere's a lot of people listen to the show.
ChrisWe get a lot of streams now.
ChrisAnd you know, they're like, certain people do like crypto, as do I.
ChrisThey just don't realize that you're a terrible human being.
ChrisSo what do they do?
ChrisThey like post screenshots.
ChrisOh, Bitcoin's above 75,000 now.
ChrisWhat's going on?
ChrisPaper hands?
ChrisAnd I'm like, bro, that's not me, that's my co host site.
SaeedHow much of your portfolio is invested in crypto?
ChrisNone.
ChrisBut that's the point.
ChrisI cashed out because I do have paper hands.
SaeedPaper hands.
SaeedYou got scared.
ChrisI got, like, one half.
ChrisOne ethereum coin left.
SaeedYou held out the ethereum, not Bitcoin.
SaeedHuh?
ChrisI sold out of everything.
ChrisI really don't.
ChrisThe only reason I have ethereum is I just didn't.
ChrisI didn't pull the trigger on, like, the last increment.
ChrisI just.
ChrisNot to say that I don't believe in crypto.
ChrisI just.
ChrisI don't have an investment strategy around it, and I'm not going to hold it for.
SaeedI have family.
SaeedI have family.
SaeedI got cousins that are.
ChrisWe know a lot of that are.
SaeedInto crypto, and I'm going to say I'm.
SaeedA part of me wants it to be the greatest rug pull in the history of.
ChrisSee, don't.
ChrisI'm not associated with this message.
SaeedA part of.
SaeedNo, I kind of want to see it.
ChrisI have no association with.
ChrisYou don't want to see it.
ChrisI don't have any.
SaeedNo part of you.
SaeedI want to see that Netflix documentary.
ChrisNo desire to see this.
SaeedI want to see that Netflix documentary.
ChrisOn satoshi or the rug pool.
SaeedThe rug pool.
ChrisI honestly, like.
ArunThis is.
ChrisThis is terrible.
ChrisOkay.
ChrisThis is sarcasm.
ChrisFor those listening who want to come at me in the DMs or on Twitter or XK, I would love for.
ChrisFirst of all, there's a guy on social media was coming out, Indian guy who had, like, a very heavy accent, who was like, I am Satoshi.
ChrisAnd people were like, what?
SaeedYeah.
ChrisLike, he had.
ChrisHe clearly couldn't have been.
ChrisI would love for Satoshi to be, like, a government.
ChrisIt's like Russia.
SaeedYeah.
ChrisIt's like Putin.
SaeedYeah.
ChrisLike, I would just love for it to be so asinine who it actually is, that it totally devalues everybody's faith in it.
SaeedYeah, exactly.
ChrisRight?
SaeedThat's the only way, right.
SaeedWe got here.
ChrisThis is a guy.
ChrisYeah.
ChrisHunt for Bitcoin's exclusive elusive creators.
ChrisNakamoto hits another dead end.
ChrisThis Indian guy.
ChrisLook at this pose.
ChrisHas a cell phone in his left hand because you have to.
ChrisBecause you're a tech guy, gangster.
ChrisBut you got, like, the.
ChrisThe weird print.
SaeedIt looks like he's wearing pajamas, bro.
ChrisYeah, he's got, like, a jacket on.
ArunLooks like he has a walker in front of him.
SaeedHe does look like he has a walker.
ChrisNo, that's just a chair.
ChrisIt's one of those fancy chairs that has, like, the chrome.
SaeedOh, it's got on both sides.
ChrisHe does have a microphone in his car.
SaeedWhy is he leaning like that with a gangster lean?
ChrisThe groin microphone.
SaeedIt Makes me feel like he is a part of crypto.
ChrisNo, I think he's trying to do like, I am mysterious.
SaeedI am the most interesting man in the world.
ChrisI have a beard.
ChrisThere's also.
ChrisAt the same time, there's a Netflix documentary that came out which attempts to expose a little bit more.
ChrisI've actually been waiting for the right time to watch the documentary, but I hear good things about it.
ChrisAlthough it's still inconclusive as to who Satoshi actually is, but I would love for it to be.
ChrisI am Putin.
ChrisIt's me.
ChrisYour coin is my coin.
SaeedIs it out there in the open with how many bitcoins Satoshi owns?
ChrisYeah, it's on the blockchain.
SaeedSo how many?
ChrisLook, you're talking shit about products you don't understand, bro.
SaeedWait, how much?
SaeedHow much?
SaeedOh, dude, you gotta look this up.
SaeedHow much does he have?
ChrisI think right now.
SaeedHow much does she have?
SaeedWhy are we giving?
ChrisYeah, it could be the individual who identifies themselves as Satoshi.
SaeedYes.
Chris1.1 million Bitcoin tokens is referred to as the Genesis block.
ChrisEstimated estimates suggest that Nakamoto owns 600,000 to 1.1 million Bitcoin tokens, and each.
SaeedOne'S worth, like, what, 70 some thousand?
Chris75,000 as of today.
ChrisI know because I got tagged and shit talked because of you.
SaeedDamn, bro.
SaeedIt was at 71 this past weekend.
ChrisYeah, it's going up.
ChrisEvery time we talk shit, it goes up.
SaeedTelling you, man.
SaeedI'm telling you about we.
ChrisI mean, him.
SaeedWhen that recession hits, y'all going to see.
ChrisLook, don't put me in this.
ChrisThis message has been brought to you by Saeed.
SaeedNo, it's a center pod.
SaeedI love you.
SaeedI love my crypto bros.
SaeedNo, you don't.
ChrisI love documented people.
ChrisPeople I don't even know what, like, crypto ethereum handles and shit are tagging me because of you.
SaeedI love it.
ChrisLike, oh, what you got to say now, bro?
ChrisYou want to talk about it?
ChrisI'm like, no, I don't.
ChrisI'm on your side.
ChrisThey're like, no, you're not.
ChrisI'm like, I admittedly sold down.
SaeedThis makes.
SaeedBut this article right here really actually makes me sad, man.
ChrisYou know, people can't see the article you're pointing to.
SaeedNo, I'm going to come back to it.
SaeedThe average age.
SaeedI mean, a lot of this probably has to do with, you know, people who are in their, like, mid to late 50s are cashing on the equity on their homes that they had, and they're able to move out of the state of California and go somewhere else and, you know, buy all cash.
SaeedProbably they're the only buyers, but I don't know.
ArunHow old were you, Chris, when you bought your first home?
Chris2010.
ChrisSo I was 30.
ChrisMe too.
ChrisYeah, I was 30 and then about my second one in 2000.
ChrisAnd that was, by the way, 30.
SaeedWas the average age for the first time home buyer, not too long ago, like less than 10 years ago.
ChrisI should be, well, my first home to live in.
ChrisMy first, like, property period.
ArunProperty period.
ChrisOh, it was in my mid-20s.
ChrisYeah.
ChrisSo I lived in a 500 square foot apartment and could not afford to buy a home here.
ChrisSo I bought investment properties in the Midwest long before I started buying here.
ChrisAnd then I put in a bunch of offers on what was then REO property.
ChrisWell, after I'd bought a property here, like the traditional way, I mean, what.
SaeedDoes it mean when you say you put a bunch of offers in REO properties?
ChrisSo my first property I bought in California was a $400,000, like, build, like on a track kind of thing.
ChrisI had to build.
ChrisI had to pay for hardscape, everything else.
ChrisI had no money and I didn't like doing that.
ChrisIt wound up selling for like 1.2 million.
ChrisSo it was a good deal.
ChrisThat's the only other property I sold besides the one that I sold this year to pay taxes.
ChrisStill burns.
ChrisYeah, reo.
ChrisSo after the great financial crisis in 2007, 2008, banks owned a lot of property.
ChrisThey owned so much property they couldn't sell it in the market fast enough for a number of reasons, not the least of which is when they sell it in the market, for an accounting purposes, they have to take whatever economic losses they had to take on the loan.
ChrisSo they made a loan for 500,000, but can only sell the property for 300,000.
ChrisThat $200,000 loss, they have to realize that loss in their balance sheet from an accounting perspective, when they sell it, not when they hold it.
SaeedHow much pressure were they were banks and lenders getting at that time from, let's say the regulators to, you know, have to sell these properties to, you know, get back some of that cash.
ChrisIt's very different in the wake of a crisis than when they're fearing a crisis occurring, if that makes sense.
ChrisSo the regulatory pressure was more of like, how are you handling the accounting?
ChrisAre you doing this right?
ChrisAre you following the rules?
ChrisIt wasn't like, get rid of all your stuff now.
ChrisBecause they knew the Ramifications to the institutions were bad.
ChrisSo it's better to flow the stuff into the market because there's also other ramifications to think about too.
ChrisPlus the consumer protection laws across the country are pretty strong in favor of the consumer.
ChrisSo if you foreclose on somebody, it usually takes 120 days plus at least.
ChrisYeah.
ChrisTo get to that process, then you have to go through the marketing and sales period.
ChrisYou have to go through that life cycle.
ChrisSo to give you an idea, I put in offers on properties I'll never forget in October and I didn't hear back from any of them except for the one that I wound up buying in 2012 until April, six months later.
SaeedWow.
ChrisAnd I got like this call saying you got 48 hours of deposit, your money, which I've told you about in the show before.
ChrisYeah, but so it was real estate owned.
ChrisBasically it was owned by Wells Fargo.
ChrisI put an offer that was under market, we negotiated back and forth and I bought that property, which is the one I still live in to this day, for 350 with a $25,000 seller's credit and it's now worth about a million bucks.
SaeedDude, so many people came up so nice during that time.
SaeedYeah, I mean such a good come up.
ChrisI didn't look at it like that.
ChrisI looked at it as like I just originally I was going to buy it as an investment property.
ChrisI just put a bunch of offers in and then when I did the math that it was cheaper, it was cheaper than my 580 square foot apartment based on the financing terms and the purchase price.
SaeedYeah.
ChrisTo pay the mortgage payment, than it was to continue renting.
ChrisSo for me that was always my inflection point.
ChrisWhen it's cheaper to buy than it is to rent, that's when I'm going to buy and live in it.
ChrisAnd that's what I did.
ChrisAnd as a result of that, I wound up getting actually a two bedroom, two and a half bath that I was living in, I still live in versus the 580 square foot junior one bedroom glorified studio apartment that I was living in for.
ChrisEffectively, I think at the time it was like 15 something.
ChrisAlmost 16.
ChrisNo, it was $1,600 a month.
ArunThat was one of the first times you hung out with him, huh?
ArunSaid like when we helped him move.
SaeedWhen I helped him move.
SaeedYeah.
SaeedHe never asked me to hang up.
SaeedBut then I helped him move.
ChrisYeah.
ChrisI thought you the help sometimes.
ChrisI figured.
SaeedI thought you saw use all the thighs and you're like, this guy can handle it.
ChrisHe can lift the couch.
SaeedYeah, that guy right there.
ChrisPlus, you know, I'll be honest, you know, you come with a lot of cousins.
SaeedHe said, well done, sir.
ChrisYo, bring them all.
ChrisAll in like five minutes.
SaeedI'll buy you guys beer and piz, bro.
SaeedCome on.
ArunIt was walking distance.
ChrisYeah, it was walking distance.
ChrisAnd then I had to.
ChrisDo we push my.
ChrisThe Dotson up to the.
ChrisNo, I drove it.
ChrisI think still.
ChrisI still drove it.
ChrisI still drove it up.
SaeedYou drove it?
SaeedYeah.
ChrisAll right, well, there's some fun facts here.
ChrisRun.
ChrisYou want to give it a second chance?
SaeedYeah, let's do this.
SaeedCome on, bro, you got this.
SaeedNo, don't.
SaeedCome on, man.
SaeedStop being so soft.
SaeedYou got this.
ArunI'm a soft guy.
SaeedYou are.
ChrisJust pick one.
ChrisRead it.
ChrisCome on.
ArunAll right, fun fact.
ArunYounger generation impact.
ArunOnly 24% of homebuyers are now first time homebuyers marketing a significant decrease from the historical average 40%.
ArunThis drop aligns with other data indicating that millennials and Gen Z are increasingly delaying major life milestones.
ChrisThat's good.
SaeedI mean, I'm, I'm going to.
SaeedI let a couple of things go.
ChrisMarketing, marketing.
SaeedYou got that?
SaeedAnd then you said first time home buyers again, let's go.
SaeedBut.
SaeedBut I let it go.
SaeedI let it go.
SaeedI'm proud of you.
ChrisThe average rent to income ratio in the United States has climbed to 35% up from 29% a decade ago, pushing more potential homeowners to remain renters longer than anticipated, further delaying their transition to ownership.
ChrisAnd said for the trifecta.
SaeedThe trifecta.
SaeedFun fact.
SaeedHomeownership in decline for young adults.
SaeedOnly about 38% of millennials own homes compared to nearly 50% of baby boomers.
ChrisDon't point.
SaeedAt the same age, rising prices, limited inventory and high mortgage rates are significantly curtailing young adults ability to enter the market.
ChrisYeah.
ChrisLook at you.
SaeedCome on, Boomer.
SaeedSmooth Boomer.
SaeedOh.
SaeedShout out to Nick Gurley.
SaeedHe hasn't made an appearance on the show in a long time.
ChrisNo, this was a late ad by me.
ChrisSo, Nick Gurley on.
ChrisOn X.
ChrisPretty concerning how low homebuyer demand is right now.
ChrisMortgage apps to buy a home are down 45% from pre pandemic levels, languishing at the lowest level in 30 years.
ChrisAnd now mortgage rates are spiking once again.
ChrisObviously, this is not a good combination.
SaeedYeah.
SaeedSo as much as you, you want to say that, okay, this could be seasonal because you know, we're, we're approaching the holidays.
SaeedThat chart is showing that it's going one way, my friend.
ChrisYeah.
ChrisAnd for those people who are watching, you know, the video streams this way, this chart.
ChrisWatch the video streams on either spider.
ChrisSo I was going to say X.
ChrisI actually thought about uploading the x.
ChrisSpotify or YouTube.
ChrisYou will see a chart and the chart spikes up and then spikes back down and then spikes up a little bit and then spikes back down.
ChrisBut the down has gone down a lot farther than it had from call it 2008 to 2018 where I started the rise again.
ChrisAs a matter of fact, it's down so far.
ChrisIt's down in the 1990s era levels.
SaeedWow.
ChrisSo that's a, that's a pretty dramatic drop off.
ChrisAnd if it continues to go down, which frankly is more probable than not at this particular junction, you were looking at possibly the kickoff of a pretty significant correction.
ChrisNow notice I'm not saying crash, but correction in home values, which I think again it might be a healthy near term pain for long term gain.
SaeedThat's not as cheesy, but it's okay.
ChrisNo, that was actually just an economic statement.
ChrisYeah, I know you're used to making cheesy fun facts.
SaeedSo just to further drive home the.
ChrisPoint of unaffordability with your low range.
SaeedYeah.
SaeedWith the, with the lowest of ranges.
ChrisWith little range, you have this, this.
SaeedRange is a five decade range.
ChrisOkay.
ChrisSo I mean it's about a quarter of my decade range.
SaeedOkay.
SaeedSo we're, we're dating back from 1971 to 2021.
SaeedOkay.
SaeedHousehold income during that five decade range has grown by 600%.
SaeedOkay.
SaeedYou think?
SaeedWow, that's pretty good.
ChrisIt's a lot, it's a lot of percentage.
SaeedCost of a new car has grown by 840%.
SaeedOkay.
SaeedPrice of one year college tuition has grown by 2000%.
SaeedSuch a scam.
ChrisSuch as I'm not getting 2000% more value out of this thing.
SaeedZero.
SaeedYeah.
ChrisNo way.
SaeedAnd I'm indebted for life.
SaeedIf I get a loan on this.
ChrisIt's inflation.
ChrisWhat part of educating me is inflation?
SaeedMedian price of a home sold grew over the course of that five decade span by 1200%.
ChrisThat's, that's messed up.
SaeedOkay, so household income grew by 600%.
SaeedYou know what else changed within household income?
SaeedHow many families went from one person working to two people working?
ChrisNow y'all gotta have two jobs.
ChrisAnd how many, I'm not even sure.
SaeedHow many of those people in that household are working two jobs and it still has only grown by 600%.
ChrisYeah, I know.
SaeedIt's fucked up, man.
ChrisOkay.
ChrisYeah, it is.
ChrisTake it in.
ChrisThe sad part, I had this realization of the day, and it's messed up.
ChrisIs in one moment I was like, man, I am.
ChrisI'm really a millionaire.
ChrisI was like, that's dope.
SaeedDon't mean shit no more, huh?
ChrisAnd then I was like, but I know a lot of billionaires.
ChrisLike, I know a good amount.
SaeedYeah.
ChrisOn a personal level.
SaeedYeah.
ChrisAnd then the moment I had this epiphany, like, if you're a millionaire and you're less than 100 million, you're basically middle class.
ChrisEveryone just laughed.
SaeedI mean, with inflation, they're not one of us, Chris.
SaeedThey're not flexing.
ChrisI'm poor.
SaeedThey're not.
SaeedYeah, exactly.
SaeedThey're not.
ChrisI'm poverty adjacent.
SaeedYeah.
SaeedOh, man.
ChrisI mean, you can't.
ChrisIt doesn't matter.
SaeedRight?
ChrisIt's consequence, you know, this fucked up part is.
ChrisSo I looked.
ChrisI was going through my W2 wages, and I've had a pretty healthy increase from like a year ago.
ChrisAnd I looked at my net take home, it's the same.
ChrisLiterally the exact same.
SaeedHow did this work?
ChrisI'm like, how did this number go up top line.
SaeedYeah.
ChrisAfter taxes, it's the same.
SaeedYeah.
ChrisI'm like, this is messed up, bro.
ChrisSo I triple checked it, did the math, and I'm like, son of a bitch.
SaeedI saw that the new tax brackets came out.
SaeedI haven't looked into it.
SaeedI don't know how much that affects it.
SaeedMaybe we could do a little segment on the show for that.
ChrisWe probably should.
ChrisI just hate just.
SaeedWe're talking about financial literacy because I know a lot of people don't really understand.
SaeedThey see that the tax rate range, and it's.
SaeedThat's not.
SaeedThat's not how it necessarily works.
SaeedIt's like a bump up.
SaeedIt's like a tiered system.
ChrisYeah.
ChrisYou have a progressive tax system.
SaeedExactly.
ChrisLook at me using technical terms.
SaeedThere you go.
ChrisSo progressive.
SaeedYou are.
SaeedYou're.
SaeedYou are pretty progressive.
ChrisDoc, your dollars, baby.
SaeedDoc, your dollars needs to be on a T shirt.
ChrisYeah, I just.
ChrisHow are you going to visually represent that?
SaeedWe got to get creative.
ChrisLike a boat.
ChrisJust staying there.
SaeedThere's clearly.
SaeedWe're docking.
ChrisYeah.
ChrisI don't know.
ChrisAll right, well, Warren Buffett, remember a long, long time ago on the show, we were talking about how, like, Warren Buffett had stockpiled cash and people were like, come on, bro.
ChrisHe Always does that, bro.
ChrisY'all don't know what you're talking about, bro.
SaeedYeah, bro, we got.
SaeedWe got attacked so hard for that one.
ChrisHard?
ChrisYeah.
ChrisY'all don't know Warren Buffett's strategies over at Berkshire Hathaway.
ChrisAnd you fucking Internet trolls.
SaeedDo you want to share?
ChrisSomehow I'm the asshole?
ChrisBecause we're saying he's.
ChrisHe's not a stockpiling cash, bro.
ChrisYou don't know what you're talking about.
ChrisWell, we keep receipts.
SaeedOk.
SaeedWhy is it.
SaeedWhy is it a big deal if somebody like Warren Buffett at Berkshire Hathaway is stockpiling cash?
ChrisWell, like your boy John King, he's basically saying, you know what?
ChrisI'm not going to invest in the stock market right now because I think there's going to be a healthy correction.
ChrisNow.
ChrisHe's not pulling out all of his money.
ChrisHe's docking it.
ChrisOkay?
ChrisHe's going to take some of his money out the game and put it into cash and say, I'm going to hold cash till the market corrects, and then I'm going to buy when it goes down, when I think it's going to go back up, essentially.
ChrisAnd I'm paraphrasing a lot of analytics here, but let me put this into a quantifiable picture for you, okay?
ChrisOkay.
ChrisIf you're driving, I want you to know I'm going to be throwing out some big numbers, and they probably are going to be infuriating.
ChrisSo autopilot's a good thing.
ChrisMaybe.
ChrisWoosa, take some ashwagandha.
ChrisHere we go.
ChrisThis is insane.
ChrisFrom the Kobe Letter.
ChrisWarren Buffett is now building his cash balances at an unprecedented rate.
ChrisFor the Internet trolls out there, unprecedented means never before happened.
ChrisOkay.
ChrisEven as the market hits new records, Berkshire Hathaway just announced that they are freezing buybacks and holding $325 billion of cash.
ChrisYeah.
ChrisLet that sink in.
ChrisSo obviously Dr.
ChrisBuffett sees something very interesting.
ChrisCharlie Munger, rest in peace.
ChrisMuch love.
SaeedYeah, man.
ChrisThis compares to 345 million in Q2 of 2023 and 2 billion in each of the prior two quarters.
ChrisBerkshire said it will buy back stock when Buffett, and I'm quoting here, believes that the repurchase price is below Berkshire's intrinsic value.
SaeedWow.
ChrisWhat he's basically saying is we're not going to buy back stock when it's being valued at more than we think it's worth because it's overvalued.
SaeedYeah.
SaeedI mean, and another.
SaeedI mean, yeah.
SaeedSo, like Mr.
SaeedJohn King.
SaeedHe realizes that stocks are overvalued right now.
SaeedRight.
SaeedBut keep in mind, Berkshire Hathaway is also in the business of buying companies out outright.
SaeedHow many companies do they flat out own?
ChrisA lot.
SaeedA lot, right?
SaeedSo don't be surprised if they try to come up on some companies that are really hurting.
SaeedAnd, you know, in a tight pinch.
ChrisBro, I'll give you some great fun facts here.
SaeedLet's go dive into that Fun fact number one, dude.
SaeedThis is the fun fact show.
ChrisWhy?
ChrisWhy, why?
ChrisYou gotta juvenile, like trivialize it.
SaeedWhat do you mean juvenile?
ChrisI got three of them.
ChrisBecause there's three of us.
ChrisI was being considerate.
ChrisNo, I'm.
SaeedI'm being honest.
SaeedWe have.
ChrisI'm team building here, bro.
SaeedYou are team building.
ChrisI just didn't know that Arun couldn't read.
SaeedNo, he can.
ChrisHe got this kind of.
SaeedWhich one do you want, Arun?
SaeedOne, two or three?
ArunI don't know.
SaeedJust go, just go.
SaeedOh, okay, we go.
SaeedFun fact.
SaeedBuybacks and inflation hedge.
SaeedLarge corporations, including Berkshire Hathaway, view buybacks as a potential hedge against inflation.
SaeedNot.
SaeedHe didn't say crypto.
SaeedBy reducing outstanding shares, companies like Berkshire theoretically increase shareholder value without needing to raise dividends or wages.
ChrisNow you know.
SaeedNow you know, Arun.
ArunSorry, see, can take my mute off.
ChrisThis is.
ChrisThis is why.
ChrisThis is.
ChrisThis is.
SaeedYou got this, bro.
ChrisIt's a problem.
ArunFun fact long.
SaeedIt's blurred, bro.
SaeedIt's because it's in bold.
ChrisIt's in bold.
ChrisSo it's not being mean.
SaeedStop being me.
ArunViewers are gonna be like, fuck this guy.
ChrisNo wonder why they don't put a camera on him.
ArunLong term perspective.
ArunFuck it, I'm done.
SaeedBuffett has emphasized that Berkshire's buybacks reflect not just intrinsic value, but a strategy to keep long term shareholders invested.
SaeedOver the last decade, Berkshire has spent approximately $70 billion on share repurchases.
ChrisWarren Buffet.
SaeedThat's like SNL skit.
ChrisThere's so many reasons why it's funny, not the least of which is his weight.
SaeedThat's good, bro.
SaeedThat's good, that's good.
ChrisWhen is the last time you went to Warren Buffet?
SaeedThat's a good restaurant.
ChrisFunny.
ChrisGlobal perspective.
ChrisStock buybacks are more common in the U.S.
Christhan abroad.
ChrisIn Europe, buybacks only make up about 25% of the shareholder returns, compared to the U.S.
Chriswhere they account for approximately 60 to 70%.
ChrisThis difference could be discussed as a.
ChrisI can't read the rest.
SaeedCultural approach to corporate value and investor trust.
ChrisYeah, so the US is obviously more focused on those things where in Europe they want to be more of a steadfast, consistent company over time.
ChrisThis is the last article coming up here.
ChrisI know it's been a long show, but I thought this was kind of crazy because it wraps it all up and puts it in perspective.
ChrisIt being the economy, the markets, the impacts to the consumer.
ChrisI found this on CNBC and to me it was very telling.
Chris28% of credit card users are still paying off last year's holiday debt.
ChrisHow to get this season's tab under control was the ongoing article.
ChrisBut there's some stats here which I think are worth sharing.
ChrisFor some shoppers, the upcoming holiday season may lead to significant credit card debt.
ChrisMeanwhile, some people are still paying off debt from last year's gift buying.
ChrisIn fact, 28% of shoppers who use credit cards have not paid off their presence they purchased for their family and friends last year.
ChrisAccording to a recent holiday spending report by Nerd Wallet, the site pulled more than 1700 adults in September.
ChrisHere's a quote from the article.
ChrisBetween buying gifts and booking peak season travel, the holidays are an expensive time of year, said Sarah Ratner, Nerd Wallets credit card expert.
ChrisNot only are consumers at risk of getting into credit card debt, but that debt can stick around long after the decorations come down.
SaeedSo you took a pretty heavy stance last year.
SaeedI remember.
ChrisI've always had a heavy stance in the holiday gift buying.
SaeedOh, really?
SaeedI thought last year was the first time I heard about it.
ChrisNo, no, no.
ChrisI've always had a pretty like.
ChrisI think gifts in a lot of ways are overdone.
ChrisDon't get me wrong, I'm all for good gift giving, but I think the gift of spending time together is immensely more valuable.
ChrisNumber one, that's what you remember more than anything else.
SaeedThat's not.
SaeedYou don't give that to anybody.
ChrisMe?
SaeedYeah.
ChrisNo, I give it to some people.
SaeedOkay, cool.
SaeedI'm just out here.
ChrisI give you an hour of my day every day.
SaeedWhat?
ChrisIn my head, I give it to you in my head.
ChrisIn my mind, I'm thinking about you.
SaeedIn the ice barrel.
ChrisYeah.
ChrisDoes this count?
SaeedAffiliate link down below, you get 12%.
ChrisOff everything but chillers.
ChrisYeah.
ChrisGo to iceberrell.com use the code.
ChrisChris.
SaeedYeah.
ChrisAs in not Saeed.
SaeedYeah.
ChrisI wonder if they'll change my code to paper hands.
SaeedYeah.
SaeedThe time.
SaeedYou got to give the gift of time.
ChrisAll right, so I have the story that I have to share, which is a very douchey story which I promised at the middle of the show there, Arun, feel free.
ChrisI know you're going to take some shots.
SaeedPlease, man.
ChrisSo a guy I know was checking out, and he's a pretty successful guy, right?
SaeedChecking out.
ChrisChecking out at the, like, snack bar thing in Equinox.
ChrisAnd I was behind him, and he pulled out his platinum card, and I was just with him, you know, I was like, hey, man, I remember when I said, platinum is cute.
SaeedOh.
ChrisHe's like, what do you mean, pull the black card?
ChrisAnd I swipe, yeah, right.
ChrisAnd I'm like, okay, one day you'll grow up, too.
ChrisI'm just with him, right?
ChrisBecause, you know, I know he does well for himself, right?
SaeedAnd you know him, huh?
SaeedYou know him, you said, Yeah, I know him well.
SaeedYeah.
ChrisSo I was busting his chops, and he's like, oh, big baller.
ChrisLike, you know, making fun of me, all that kind of stuff.
ChrisAnd I was like, you know, whatever, being a dick.
ChrisAnd we go out to the valet.
ChrisAll of a sudden, I hear black Ferrari.
SaeedYeah.
ChrisRolls up.
ChrisIt's his.
ChrisMy Rivian, right behind it.
SaeedIt's a little embarrassing.
ChrisBut the irony is, is that we were talking about financing, and he says something I didn't know.
ChrisI'm like, what's up with the Ferrari, bro?
ChrisHe said, what do you mean?
ChrisI'm like, I didn't.
ChrisI didn't peg you as a Ferrari guy.
ChrisI pegged you as, you know, a poor guy.
ChrisAnd you just pegged him.
ChrisNo, I peg everybody.
SaeedGot it, Doc.
ChrisYour dollars, Docker dollars.
ChrisAnd he said, I didn't know this either, but a friend of mine has.
ChrisHas a Ferrari.
ChrisAnd he was telling me that once you get in with Ferrari Finance, it's really valuable.
ChrisAnd they actually offer lines of credit to use, like in business, other places.
ChrisIf you just have a relationship with him.
SaeedOh.
ChrisAnd he's like, in certain cars you buy, you typically don't take a loss on them economically because they go up in value in this economy, at least.
ChrisAnyway.
ChrisSo he's like, if you buy the right Ferrari, they increase in value over time.
ChrisAnd you also get him a Ferrari Finance.
ChrisSo he's like, I've got a million dollar line of credit for business purposes from Ferrari Finance with unbelievable terms.
ChrisAnd he also was breaking down, like, the financing terms of with Ferrari Direct.
ChrisAnd he's like, believe it or not, if I put more money down, it was actually not going to improve my payment a whole lot.
ChrisSo when I went in, I was thinking I was going to put $160,000 down on this car, you think about like a half million dollar Ferrari.
ChrisAnd he goes, but with the way the financing worked out, if I put down 60,000, it was the same amount of monthly payment.
SaeedOh.
ChrisHe's like, they do a very weird thing with the finance.
ChrisOnce you get in with them, you have access to things like these lines of credit.
ChrisI didn't know those existed.
SaeedAnd correct me if I'm wrong, you need to be like an approved member from them to even be able to buy a car from them.
SaeedRight.
ChrisFirst, it depends on if you're buying like an entry level, like beginning car, but you want to buy it directly from them.
ChrisYeah, you're gonna have to, because they're.
SaeedReally particular about who buys certain cars.
SaeedBecause they don't want you reselling to some jackass.
ChrisNot only.
ChrisNot only that, but they also don't want you like, modifying their cars heavily.
SaeedYeah.
ChrisLike, they take.
ChrisThey will ban you.
ChrisLike Justin Bieber's banned from buying Ferraris.
SaeedBro, by the way.
SaeedSo I have a equally bad story when it comes to the valet.
SaeedThe wife and I had just gotten married.
SaeedNewlyweds.
SaeedOkay?
ChrisSo this is obviously like 20 years ago.
SaeedYeah, this is 11 years ago.
Chris20.
SaeedRight.
SaeedAnd we go to dinner.
SaeedAnd we go to dinner with one of my wife's friends and her husband, and they invite us to a spot in la.
SaeedUnbeknownst to me, it was Robert De Niro's restaurant.
SaeedI have no business being at Robert De Niro's restaurant.
ChrisOh, it's an Italian place, right?
SaeedYeah, I forget the name.
SaeedI don't want to butcher the name.
ChrisBut I've been there a couple times.
SaeedYeah, very nice.
ChrisGood Italian food, don't get me wrong.
SaeedVery nice.
SaeedRight.
SaeedBut whatever.
SaeedWe have dinner.
SaeedAnd mind you, at this time, I think I'm working.
SaeedMy wife wasn't working yet.
SaeedShe was still going to school.
SaeedAnd we had no business being at this kind of restaurant.
SaeedRight?
SaeedAnd we had never paid for a meal like this before.
SaeedSo I'm sweating the entire time, like, bro, what's this bill?
ChrisIt's wildly expensive there, so.
SaeedBecause out of nowhere, in the middle of dinner, my wife's friend's husband invites one of his other friends to dinner as well, right?
SaeedSome.
SaeedSome big ball.
SaeedHe came in a three piece, like, Great Gatsby suit.
SaeedHe was slick.
SaeedYou know, he owned some, like, merchant services business, Right, the card business, right.
SaeedWhere he gets a fee off every time somebody uses swipes a card.
ChrisAnd you were like, I know this motherfucker's paying for Himself, bro.
SaeedSo Bill comes, whatever.
SaeedAnd mind you, we're.
SaeedI ordered just a basic meal.
SaeedThese motherfuckers are out here, like, buying drinks.
SaeedAnd of course I'm in that awkward position.
SaeedY'all want to split the bill?
SaeedLike, no, man.
SaeedLike, I did not order drinks.
SaeedI don't want to split the bill.
ChrisI want to split in thirds, dog.
SaeedI got a.
SaeedI got a side salad.
SaeedWhat do you mean split in thirds?
ChrisI ate the rolls.
ChrisThose are free.
SaeedYeah, man, I ate your side salad.
SaeedYou weren't paying attention.
SaeedSo anyways, we pay for the bill.
SaeedMind you.
SaeedThey're all.
SaeedThey both dropped their black cards into the thing, and I'm like, okay, I got my.
SaeedI got my little Chase credit card here.
SaeedNo problem, whatever.
SaeedWe pay for the bill.
SaeedOverpaid, right?
SaeedWe go to valet.
SaeedThis guy's got a new sls.
SaeedThe other guy's got some decked out new Range Rover that was hot at the time.
SaeedAnd I walk out in our white Honda Civic, comfortable enough.
SaeedI'm like, man, you couldn't wait to pull up my car until after they left.
SaeedCome on, man.
SaeedIt was.
SaeedYeah, yeah, yeah, it was.
SaeedIt was rough.
SaeedIt was rough.
ChrisIt's weird how some of those things are, like, real.
ChrisWe all know it's stupid, but it's a real thing.
SaeedI know my car still gets me from point A to point B, just.
ChrisNot with a lot of range.
ChrisVery limited.
SaeedLimited in range, great gas mileage.
ChrisIt's not going to get you the full distance, but it'll get you halfway there.
SaeedYeah, yeah, yeah.
ChrisAlmost to the climax.
ChrisIf you will run.
ChrisWe didn't give you an opportunity for poppy culture.
ChrisDid you want to try to read something else tonight to redeem yourself?
ArunNo, I'm good, man.
ChrisYou sure?
ArunWe're at 115.
SaeedWe're at 115.
ChrisAre you suggesting we should go longer?
ChrisSomebody said we needed some longer format around here.
SaeedWho said that?
ChrisMe.
ArunGoing back to two days or two.
ArunTwo weeks.
ChrisYou know, I have been getting a lot of people saying we need more content.
ChrisWe need more content.
ChrisAnd somebody who's like, big in the podcast space told me that we started putting out more content.
ChrisI think about doing, like one off show kind of things, you know, like we'll do, like, it's like an educational moment.
SaeedYeah, exactly.
SaeedI think we should do a lot of those.
ArunYeah, you used to do that before we joined.
ChrisYeah, I do like the by myself solo dolos, but I was thinking more like 20, 30 minutes on just one topic.
ChrisBut I have to Get Saeed to commit to be willing to do it like a deep dive with limited range.
SaeedWhat's up with the fun fact?
SaeedLimited range episode?
ChrisYou didn't like the fun fact?
SaeedThat's part.
SaeedI love the fun fact aspect of the show.
ChrisJust.
ChrisWe got to work on Maroon's reading, obviously, but he'll get there.
ChrisYeah, he'll get there.
SaeedOr you got.
SaeedHe got a little shy.
ChrisHe just wasn't used to it, bro.
ChrisI remember.
SaeedI remember my first time reading all shows.
SaeedI couldn't say a damn thing.
ChrisIt is a little weird when you.
SaeedFirst start and then you hear yourself on the playback too.
SaeedYou're like, God, I sound like such a jackass.
ChrisNo, I'm used to sound like a jackass.
SaeedThat's normal for me.
SaeedThat was a very hard thing to get over.
SaeedListening to yourself talk.
SaeedYou're like, oh, God, shit.
ChrisNow I do it every week when I edit the show.
SaeedYeah, yeah, yeah.
ChrisNot exactly my best work, but, you know, it's work.
ChrisWell, let's call kids.
SaeedOh, don't you got anything?
SaeedYeah.
SaeedAll right.
ChrisWhat do you got?
ChrisOh, yeah, he does.
ArunReview.
SaeedThat's right.
SaeedUnfortunately, the title got cut off, so I don't know what the full title says, but this from Zstand 80.
SaeedThank you, Zstand.
SaeedBy the way, it's captioned.
ChrisThis is a great review.
ChrisYeah.
SaeedYeah.
SaeedIt's like getting financial literacy from.
SaeedI like to take a guess.
SaeedWhat do you think he said?
ChrisJesus.
SaeedJesus.
SaeedCould you even pull this up in the background in the meantime?
ChrisI can probably get it on my.
SaeedProbably.
SaeedIt wasn't popping up on my.
ChrisThis is itunes.
SaeedYeah, this is Apple podcast.
SaeedLeft us five stars.
SaeedClearly.
SaeedHonest.
SaeedReally glad I found this podcast and wish it was around 20 years ago, but better late than never, at least for me.
SaeedI mean, shit, if we were around that long ago, I mean, it's cut off.
ChrisThat's what it is.
SaeedYeah.
SaeedI really like the way they explain topics and ideas.
SaeedIt's not only helpful, but there's no twist at the end where they're telling you to invest in xyz and they just happen to be selling xyz.
SaeedThis show has integrity and it's entertaining.
SaeedKeep up the great work, fellas.
SaeedAppreciate you.
ChrisDo we have integrity?
SaeedOh, here you go.
SaeedIt's like getting financial literacy from your buddy and not a professor.
ChrisThat was actually the intent of the show.
ChrisWhen we first mapped up what we wanted the show to be, we wanted it to be like people were getting sitting in a conversation with their friends at a bar just Shooting shit, having a good time.
ChrisBecause we thought that the educational professor, like, format or like, the guru like format is kind of disingenuous.
SaeedYeah.
ChrisYou know, and look, you.
ChrisNobody wants to listen to a professor every single day.
ChrisEveryone's like, oh, my God.
ChrisI'm going to school.
ChrisYay.
SaeedNo, right?
ChrisAnd no one's like, oh, that.
ChrisThat guru is so amazing two years later when they take all your money and run.
ChrisSo we wanted to be, you know, more friendly and anecdotal.
ChrisIt should.
ChrisIt should feel like you're listening to your friends and you're learning something along the way.
SaeedAnd from what I've heard from other people, too, they're able to digest information a lot better.
ChrisYeah.
SaeedYeah.
ChrisMetabolize it.
SaeedThere you go.
ChrisDock it.
ChrisPut it in there.
ChrisLeave it there.
SaeedDoc, your dollars.
SaeedThat's a T shirt.
ChrisI got to find the visual for it, though.
ChrisIt's got to be appropriate.
SaeedNo, inappropriate, bro.
ChrisInappropriately appropriate.
SaeedYeah.
SaeedThere you go.
ChrisYeah.
ChrisJust an eggplant in the front.
SaeedYeah.
ChrisThe higher standard brought to you by Eggplants.
SaeedThat's very fitting for the show.
ChrisExactly.
SaeedAll right.
SaeedYou got anything else, Odin?
ArunNope.
SaeedAll done well back there.
SaeedThank you, sir.
SaeedYou got anything?
ChrisNo, I'm good.
SaeedAll right.
SaeedI'm Gucci.
ChrisI'm Chanel.
SaeedNo, you're not.
ChrisOkay.
ChrisI'm Prada.
SaeedYou're Hermes.
ChrisI am.
SaeedYou are.
SaeedIf you were one, you would be Hermes.
ChrisI probably would be.
ChrisYou'd have to.
SaeedWhat's odun?
ChrisCoach, for sure.
ArunJuicy Gap.
ChrisJuicy Couture Gap.
SaeedI'm Bass Pro Shops.
ArunOh, wow.
SaeedOh, man of the people.
ArunYou went for the first time this weekend.
SaeedI did.
SaeedI went to Bass Pro Shops this past week.
ChrisThey're big, right?
SaeedI just was like, I have to see this place.
SaeedI've never been inside.
ChrisIt's.
ChrisIt's incredibly, overwhelmingly big.
ChrisHave you seen the ones in the Midwest?
SaeedSo then.
SaeedSo it was actually my wife's idea.
SaeedShe wanted to go check us, and we.
SaeedI want to see this.
SaeedIt seems like it's pretty cool.
SaeedLet's go check it outside.
SaeedShe's like, it feels weird that this.
SaeedThis store is so big and I know nothing about what's inside.
SaeedRight.
SaeedI go, okay, let's go check it out.
SaeedI mean, I've never been either.
SaeedWhatever.
SaeedAnd she goes.
SaeedShe's like, okay, I'm glad I experienced it.
SaeedNot for me.
SaeedRight.
SaeedI was like, I feel like you're more of an REI person.
SaeedI was like, let's go to rei.
SaeedAnd she loved rei.
SaeedSo because.
ChrisWhy did you do this?
SaeedBecause we had some free time on our hands.
SaeedOur kids were.
SaeedOur kids.
SaeedOur kids were.
SaeedDisneyland.
SaeedYeah, they went to Disneyland.
ChrisYeah, I know.
SaeedYeah.
ArunOne of the cousins.
SaeedYeah, yeah.
ChrisOne that wears pearls.
SaeedOne of the cousins.
SaeedYeah.
SaeedTook him to Disneyland for the day.
ChrisOne that wears pearls.
SaeedDude.
SaeedThey would.
SaeedThey got in at 4 o'clock and somehow they still hit 10 rides.
ChrisIt rained that day.
SaeedYeah, I know.
SaeedAnd they got them the little things to park us.
SaeedYeah, yeah, they had a great time.
SaeedThey.
SaeedThey went to Star Wars.
SaeedThen they had to shut down the ride.
SaeedAnd Adam was texting me from his watch, and he's just like, we got into the.
SaeedThe best ride at the park.
SaeedAnd then he texted me five minutes later.
SaeedHe's like, they shut it down and then they open it back up later and they.
SaeedMy cousin bought him lightning passes.
ChrisYeah.
SaeedAnd then he.
SaeedAnd then they went.
ChrisSuch a racket.
ChrisWe spend so much money every time we go now.
ChrisLightning pass.
ChrisAnything else?
SaeedI mean, if you don't get the.
SaeedHe was telling me that there's some other thing that you can get where it's like some 500, like, concierge package.
ChrisOh, no, they just rolled that out.
ChrisThey basically, you.
ChrisYou have.
ChrisYou have Lightning Lane for everything whenever you want.
SaeedNow it's 500 an hour.
SaeedNo, no, no.
ChrisIt's 500 period.
SaeedNo, he was telling me it's $500 an hour.
SaeedThat's what he said.
ChrisOh, no.
ChrisSo you talk about the.
SaeedThis is something that celebrities get.
SaeedWalk up to the front of the line.
ChrisNo, that's.
ChrisNo, it's $600 an hour starting.
ChrisAnd that's.
ChrisYou have somebody who walks you around the whole day.
ChrisBut it's not just that.
ChrisYou have to pay for your tickets.
ChrisYou have to pay and then you have to.
ChrisIt's a whole, like, I've done this once.
ChrisSo it's 600 an hour, and there's a certain number of hours minimum.
ChrisBut they walk you in front of every ride.
ChrisThey walk you around.
ChrisThey're basically with you, like, taking you everywhere else.
ChrisThey'll get you, like, the food that's cool.
ChrisThey'll kind of give you, like, the hip stories.
ChrisEverything else, the back door.
ChrisThey'll take you to Club 33.
ChrisYeah, it depends on how many.
ChrisHow often you're there.
ChrisBut celebrities usually get them to walk them around like that.
ChrisAnd there's.
ChrisThere's back ways into some of the rides.
ChrisYou don't have to go, like, through the lines.
ChrisPeople see you.
ChrisYeah, I've done it.
ChrisI've done it.
ChrisI've experienced it once.
ChrisI've paid for it once.
ChrisThere's a whole thing there.
SaeedSo.
SaeedSo we.
SaeedSo my cousin gets him these.
SaeedThese lightning passes, and.
SaeedAnd Adam doesn't know what lightning pass means, right?
SaeedAnd so he tells Adam, it just means you're.
SaeedLike, you're part of a VIP line.
SaeedCousin doesn't have kids.
SaeedHe doesn't understand.
SaeedLike, he's not thinking two, three steps ahead.
SaeedWhat.
SaeedWhat could happen when you tell him vip and what VIP means?
SaeedVery important person.
SaeedSo now Adam and I already go to these lightning pass lines and doesn't understand that other people also have lightning passes, right?
SaeedSo he says, hey, this is vip.
SaeedWhy are they here?
SaeedI thought we're vip.
SaeedCan we go in front of these people?
SaeedAnd they're standing, right?
ChrisI mean, we can't all be VIPs, right?
SaeedI mean, not every.
SaeedI mean, everybody can be vip.
SaeedWhat is this?
ChrisDid you buy, like, the cheap VIP packages?
SaeedYeah, exactly.
SaeedCome on.
SaeedWhy'd you skimp out?
ChrisWhy is this guy here?
ChrisHe's dressed like a Star wars person.
SaeedI'm looking at it.
SaeedLook at his kicks.
SaeedHe's not vip.
ChrisYeah.
ChrisCan't be wearing Reeboks, right?
SaeedCome on, now.
ChrisThis is.
ChrisYeah.
SaeedLA gear.
SaeedYeah.
SaeedAll right.
SaeedIt was a good episode, boys.
ChrisIt's okay.
SaeedAll right, good night, everybody.
ChrisGoodbye.
SaeedI hate it.
ChrisI know.