You really just have to know your target, your target roas, as we call
Speaker:it, yeah, which is the hard cash number of, you know, what sales to come from
Speaker:first customers, first time customers, and how much have you spent every day.
Speaker:And that's every day, you know, we're, you know, retailers, we're traders, you,
Speaker:in my opinion, you have to know that number every single day of your training.
Speaker:And then if you're massively above, you've got great opportunity to go and maybe
Speaker:spend some more money and go faster.
Speaker:Or, you know, if you're below, then you really need to be looking at
Speaker:how your channels are performing.
Speaker:So, it's, you know, so, though absolutely I believe in attribution
Speaker:and what, trying to understand that, in most cases, just make sure you
Speaker:understand the fundamental first.
Speaker:Welcome to the e commerce podcast with me, your host, Matt Edmundson.
Speaker:Now the e commerce podcast is a show all about helping you to deliver e commerce.
Speaker:Wow.
Speaker:And to help us do just that today, I am chatting with Oliver Spark
Speaker:from Sweet Analytics about the five levers of growth, harnessing
Speaker:customer data for e commerce success.
Speaker:Now, before Oliver and I dive into our conversation, which I.
Speaker:Just a little heads up.
Speaker:I know it's going to be good just based on the preamble that we've just had.
Speaker:Uh, let me share some of our podcast picks, uh, previous episodes that
Speaker:I think you're going to enjoy.
Speaker:The first one, Discover the Human Elements Behind the Numbers
Speaker:with Monica Sharma Panetka.
Speaker:Definitely check out that episode for a reason which will become
Speaker:obvious in just a few seconds.
Speaker:And also check out Why Web Analytics are Key to Growth with Michael Lobe.
Speaker:And that was another great episode.
Speaker:Actually, uh, you can access our podcast picks and our entire
Speaker:podcast to archive for free on our website at e commerce podcast.
Speaker:net plus if you're there, sign up to our newsletter because we send you the links
Speaker:to our podcast picks along with the notes.
Speaker:Uh, from today's conversation with Oliver, they all get delivered straight
Speaker:to your inbox totally for free at no cost to you, which is pretty amazing.
Speaker:So do sign up for that.
Speaker:Now, are you struggling to grow your e commerce business?
Speaker:Do you feel like you're constantly spinning your wheels trying to
Speaker:figure out what to focus on next?
Speaker:Well, let me tell you, I have.
Speaker:Been there and I know how frustrating that can be, which is why we love the
Speaker:fact that e commerce cohort sponsors.
Speaker:The show e commerce cohort helps companies like yours deliver an exceptional customer
Speaker:experience online that drives results.
Speaker:And to help you get started, we're excited to talk about the free resource
Speaker:put together called e commerce cycles.
Speaker:It's a mini course, which walks you through a proven framework for building
Speaker:a successful e commerce business.
Speaker:I'm going to show you the specific steps we take in our own e commerce
Speaker:companies so you can see exactly how to put those concepts into
Speaker:practice in your own business.
Speaker:And the good news, it's completely free.
Speaker:You don't even need an email address and you can check it out at Ecommerce cycles.
Speaker:Com.
Speaker:So do check out, check out that training, free training at Ecommerce Cycles.
Speaker:Uh, and you know, it's going to help you deliver e commerce well.
Speaker:So do check it out, uh, and uh, it's great.
Speaker:It's great actually that you can do that.
Speaker:We love it.
Speaker:We took, I was in the States recently, took some people through Ecommerce Cycles.
Speaker:Business for turning over about 10 million a year.
Speaker:Brilliant.
Speaker:We had a great time doing it.
Speaker:So it does work.
Speaker:Now, let me just go back and give a huge shout out to Monica, uh, who has
Speaker:connected Oliver and myself today.
Speaker:So check out more information about Monica.
Speaker:If you've not listened to her episode, do check it out as I
Speaker:mentioned, uh, but you can see more about her at businesswithmonica.
Speaker:com and Monica.
Speaker:is actually also going to be in the cohort mastermind sharing her wisdom
Speaker:and insight, which I can't wait to hear.
Speaker:So Monica, absolute legend.
Speaker:Now let's talk about Oliver, the retail whiz who turned tech wonder kid.
Speaker:His entrepreneurial journey started in the world of linens and lamps.
Speaker:Where he spearheaded the white company's meteoric rise from a modest 6 million
Speaker:venture to a whopping 50 million turnover.
Speaker:But Oliver didn't stop there, swapping cashmere throws for code.
Speaker:He harnessed his retail savvy to create sweet analytics.
Speaker:I just love the way that these bios are written.
Speaker:Now he's on a mission to empower.
Speaker:SMEs demystifying the world of data and turning it into a powerful tool
Speaker:for success as the architect behind the platform he wished he'd had as a retailer.
Speaker:Oliver is your go to guru for converting numbers into victories.
Speaker:So get ready to dive into his world where data reigns supreme
Speaker:and every figure tells a story.
Speaker:Oliver, great to have you on the show, man, how are you doing?
Speaker:I'm very well, Matt, and if I could have the same script writer as you, I'd be
Speaker:really happy because they do one hell of a job of, um, of converting, um, someone's
Speaker:career into, into some great lines.
Speaker:Yeah.
Speaker:I'll have to work on that now.
Speaker:Well, just use that one.
Speaker:Uh, Oliver, that's totally fine.
Speaker:Uh, the team at Aurion Media who produce the show, uh, do
Speaker:a great job with these bios.
Speaker:And I just, every time we have a guest on the show, it's the one, I just look
Speaker:forward to reading the guest's bio.
Speaker:I don't actually read it before we do the recording because
Speaker:I like the surprise of it.
Speaker:Uh, and I just, they do such a great job with that.
Speaker:So, you know, well done, well done.
Speaker:So Oliver, before we hit the record button, uh, you told me that you
Speaker:were, you were dialing in from the sunny climates of, of Spain.
Speaker:I am.
Speaker:I'm sitting in Valencia.
Speaker:My CTO for Sweet Analytics lives here in Valencia and myself
Speaker:and my COO have come over here.
Speaker:So, um, I hope you're sitting somewhere rainy, but having left England this
Speaker:morning, you know, I know, I know it's not for once that that's the case.
Speaker:So the contrast isn't as good as I'd like it to be, but it's certainly
Speaker:nice to be, you know, like always, it's nice to get to go with the team.
Speaker:We work in a very virtual way.
Speaker:I've developed a team in Krakow.
Speaker:I have a team in England.
Speaker:Miguel lives here in Spain, so it's always good to get together anyhow.
Speaker:Yeah, Valencia's not a bad place to get together with people, is it really?
Speaker:It's uh, it seems like, you know, it's not a hard job.
Speaker:Problem, as we all know, anybody who goes away, once you say you're going
Speaker:abroad, people assume that you're playing golf and doing nothing else.
Speaker:And not like that.
Speaker:And you go, what am I doing?
Speaker:First thing I'm doing, I'm just.
Speaker:I'm doing a podcast with you, Matt.
Speaker:I mean, I'm out of the restaurant, I'm not on the beach, so maybe,
Speaker:maybe some work gets done sometimes.
Speaker:Maybe.
Speaker:I've just come back, I was saying to you, I've just come back from
Speaker:a three week trip, um, in the States where I was at Sub Summit.
Speaker:Um, and if you're a regular to the show, you know, we've had, uh, Chris George
Speaker:on the show talking about subsummit.
Speaker:We had a great time over there.
Speaker:We recorded some podcasts.
Speaker:We've got some great guests coming.
Speaker:All of that's coming.
Speaker:Anyway, the reason I'm telling you all of this, uh, Oliver, is um,
Speaker:my, when someone asked my daughter, why am I going to the States?
Speaker:She was like because of Uh, and if you're not watching the video,
Speaker:I'm doing that sort of funny, uh, inverted commas with my fingers.
Speaker:Uh, and that's just what she kept doing.
Speaker:It's work, dad.
Speaker:You're going for work, aren't you?
Speaker:And actually it was really, you know, you're with people 24 seven.
Speaker:It is a bit of work.
Speaker:Um, to be fair, I did, I did manage to head to the beach for a, for a day or two.
Speaker:So it wasn't, it wasn't all bad.
Speaker:I'll ring you up in a couple of days and we'll see who's got a better tan.
Speaker:Absolutely.
Speaker:I tell you what, it's not going to be me.
Speaker:I have one of those skin types that just goes pink as soon as the sun comes out.
Speaker:I just don't tan.
Speaker:Uh, but you know, it is what it is.
Speaker:Uh, we all have our burdens to bear in life, don't we?
Speaker:So Oliver, let's talk about, um, your career a little bit here.
Speaker:So you said, uh, we read in the bio that you were involved in the white
Speaker:company, which is for those of the folks outside of the UK, um, that might
Speaker:not know what the white company is.
Speaker:Just explain.
Speaker:Yeah.
Speaker:So the white company, I think, you know, it's, uh, it's now in the U S so hopefully
Speaker:if you've got people living in the U S, uh, listening to this, um, it's, I think
Speaker:a really good story, um, in terms of it, you know, the journey that we went on
Speaker:is the classic multi channel journey.
Speaker:Uh, I took over the white company when it was a mail order business,
Speaker:you know, we were way back in the time when Google ads didn't exist.
Speaker:So we did a really early website.
Speaker:We were really early into, into, uh, putting it online and then.
Speaker:We moved on and we, um, uh, started stores as well.
Speaker:So, you know, I always think of, you know, how do you grow a business?
Speaker:You know, what I learned when I was at the White Company was, you know, there are
Speaker:various levers that you can pull, and it's really important to have a grasp of them.
Speaker:And for you, you know, for your American, um, uh, listeners, all my learning
Speaker:actually came from William Sonoma.
Speaker:Um, and you know, as I explained there, we, I got to this problem where
Speaker:I didn't know how to grow and then fortunately some guy from from Williams
Speaker:Sonoma came over to the UK and told us all about multi channel and that
Speaker:unlocked a whole world of possibility for, for me and the white company.
Speaker:We were really early adopters of that, of that whole model.
Speaker:Um, but you know, it's, it's moved forward, we're in a
Speaker:digital age of multichannel now.
Speaker:So, you know, there's, there's variants from what it was, but the
Speaker:same principle, we've all got targets.
Speaker:You all want to grow and you, you, you've got to work out
Speaker:what's the best way of doing that.
Speaker:Yeah, absolutely.
Speaker:Absolutely.
Speaker:Well, I mean, you've, you've touched on the, um, five levers of growth
Speaker:and, uh, this in the show title.
Speaker:So let's start there and see where the conversation goes.
Speaker:Just tell us what those five levers are.
Speaker:Okay.
Speaker:Yeah, I love a conversation with you.
Speaker:I've got five points and then we'll get halfway around the thing.
Speaker:I won't remember what they are, Matt.
Speaker:I'll, I'll, I'll, I'll cheer you up.
Speaker:I have got five.
Speaker:So first of all, it's all about customer data and absolutely the fundamental.
Speaker:If you don't understand your customer data, in my view, we haven't got a start.
Speaker:Then we talk about product, you know, changing product and how
Speaker:you define your product strategy.
Speaker:You've then got channel, which is really important than that.
Speaker:You know, I mentioned the multi channel model, the old fashioned
Speaker:multi channel model, but the new multi channel model is digital first.
Speaker:It's different marketing channels, but it's market, it's marketplaces as well.
Speaker:So, you know, the world is very complex and very broad and all fits under channel.
Speaker:Uh, in, in my, in my model, and then you've got international, you
Speaker:know, there are lots of brands.
Speaker:We, at Sweet, we work with over a hundred brands.
Speaker:Um, you know, we're seeing some enormous successes, uh, across internationally.
Speaker:And, you know, as I perhaps sort of bring this back to a framework in a moment,
Speaker:you know, you've got to have different things that you can do to change the
Speaker:shape of the, of what, where you're going and you know, particularly as things
Speaker:become, you know, globally, you've got lots of other ways now of, of, of, of,
Speaker:of addressing, um, international markets.
Speaker:So international is the fourth lever of growth.
Speaker:And then the fifth for me is always about brand and in brand, I sort of, I cheat
Speaker:a bit because I put site metrics into it as well, because ultimately, you know,
Speaker:you, for me, the brand, and for most people, that's a manifestation of website,
Speaker:but, you know, there's all the soft bits around what it looks and feels like,
Speaker:but, you know, I'm really all around.
Speaker:You know, numbers and what numbers you have to move.
Speaker:So, you know, whole site, site funnel is a crucial part of it.
Speaker:And that whole brand experience that can be measured in that way
Speaker:is what I put in that fifth lever.
Speaker:So you got these, uh, five levers from the chap that came over from the States whilst
Speaker:you were heading up the white company.
Speaker:Now I got what I got from this chap in the States.
Speaker:So my, my, my experience was I took over the white company.
Speaker:I was MD for, uh, and I had a very simple incentive target, which was really
Speaker:good discipline, which was, I had to grow it at 40% a year for five years.
Speaker:Yeah.
Speaker:And my remuneration was I got rewarded for, for inequity, for, for growth.
Speaker:I got rewarded in, in, in pound notes for, for, for delivering profit.
Speaker:And that, you know, those two, understanding how those two work
Speaker:together are really, really important.
Speaker:And so even I could do a spreadsheet that went 1.
Speaker:4 times, 5 times.
Speaker:And, you know, I knew that, you know, that meant I had to get to
Speaker:30 odd million in 5 years time.
Speaker:And it was only really when I began to understand Customer metrics.
Speaker:Did I understand, did I have a clue of how I was going to do it?
Speaker:And where the William Sonoma guy came and helped me was at that point, I'd hit, you
Speaker:know, you talked about spinning wheels.
Speaker:I'd hit the spinning wheels point.
Speaker:I didn't know.
Speaker:I couldn't recruit any more customers at my required cost per acquisition.
Speaker:I didn't, you know, didn't know what to quite do.
Speaker:And we were pulling the product lever, and the product lever,
Speaker:unfortunately, isn't instantaneous, like most levers, not instantaneous.
Speaker:Um, but he effectively came and taught us that, actually, if you offered a
Speaker:customer more channels, they spent more.
Speaker:So his example was they spend 180 dollars if they've got one channel, they spend
Speaker:240 if they've got two channels, and they spend 360 if they've got three channels.
Speaker:And for me, that was a hallelujah moment, because, well, okay, now I can
Speaker:get more money out of our customers.
Speaker:If I'm struggling to recruit the number of customers I need,
Speaker:let's get more money out of them.
Speaker:And so that was the real, that was the real takeout from that.
Speaker:Um, and then the other bit that really supported my sort of whole understanding
Speaker:of loan to growth, was that there's a, you know, a top consultant in the, in
Speaker:the, in the states called Jim Fulton.
Speaker:Um, and Jim was the person who, you know, explained to me the model of
Speaker:how you put people in the top of a DTC business and they flow down through
Speaker:over years in order to, to understand where you get to in five years time.
Speaker:So.
Speaker:And it's the same principles.
Speaker:If you want to, you know, if you're going from half a million to a million
Speaker:or whether you're going from five million to 10 million or any other
Speaker:number, the really fundamental first thing for me is you have to understand
Speaker:how those customer metrics work.
Speaker:So let's dig into that then.
Speaker:So the first point, your first lever is customer data.
Speaker:Why is, I think you made the comment that if you don't have
Speaker:that, if you don't understand that, you don't really have a business.
Speaker:Why are you so, so strong on that?
Speaker:It's not that I disagree, by the way, I'm just, I'm just, uh, I'm really curious
Speaker:to know your thought pattern here.
Speaker:Yeah, look, the really key thing is, so I ask, you know, I speak to
Speaker:lots of people like you do, Matt, in your, in your various hats, you
Speaker:know, and my principal thing is I ask people where they want to go.
Speaker:So, you know, do you want to achieve a million next year or wherever it is?
Speaker:And then the next question I ask them is, do you know how many new customers
Speaker:you need in order to achieve that goal?
Speaker:And I reckon in about 80% of my answers, I get a no to that.
Speaker:And if you don't, because the dynamics of acquisition are so different
Speaker:from retention and they differ for every business, yeah, unless you
Speaker:know how many new customers you need to grow and you know what it
Speaker:costs to acquire a new customer.
Speaker:You haven't got Scooby's chance of achieving what you need to in success if
Speaker:you don't know those, those two numbers.
Speaker:So, and if you don't know those two numbers, you know, for me
Speaker:that's a, you know, a red flag that a business is less likely to
Speaker:achieve what it wants to achieve.
Speaker:And then from my own experience, you know, it's only by really understanding that,
Speaker:that I was then able to understand how, you know, if I could require a customer in
Speaker:year one, well, that customer, you know, the probability of that customer then
Speaker:still delivering me value in year three.
Speaker:Is, is, you know, it's perfectly understandable from history or even just
Speaker:modeling it and, and it's, you know, you can't leave, you know, you can't go from,
Speaker:you know, I went from six to 50 million.
Speaker:You can't just get 10 million extra sales in the last year
Speaker:by going, Oh, I'm on day one.
Speaker:I need to do something.
Speaker:You've got to build that model.
Speaker:So you've got that base of customers, um, that effectively allows you to
Speaker:achieve what, what you're wanting to do.
Speaker:So just for me, it's, it's, you know, you, for anybody
Speaker:running an e commerce business.
Speaker:If you do not know how to translate that statement of I want to grow at 50% or I
Speaker:want to grow from 1 million to 5 million into demonstrable customer metrics,
Speaker:your chances of success are very slim.
Speaker:It's a really powerful statement, Oliver, because I'm just thinking
Speaker:throughout all the years I've been doing this, um, I've sat under a lot of
Speaker:people who have asked, where are you?
Speaker:Where do you want to be?
Speaker:Um.
Speaker:Um, but I don't recall anyone ever then following up that question
Speaker:with, and how many new customers is it going to take to get there and
Speaker:what's your cost of acquisition?
Speaker:I've, I, we talk a lot about cost of acquisition, um, both
Speaker:in cohort and on the podcast.
Speaker:So, um, the, the, the CPA is quite an interesting thing, but understanding,
Speaker:um, how many new customers it's going to take to reach your turnover figure.
Speaker:I don't know of many people that have asked that question, um,
Speaker:which I find quite insightful.
Speaker:Um, how did you, how, where did that revelation come from?
Speaker:So that came from me from my own experience.
Speaker:So I, I, you know, as I said, I had this simple spreadsheet that 1.
Speaker:4 times version.
Speaker:And then I, you know, I learned that, you know, in all of my
Speaker:second year, I needed 75, 000 new customers to, to, to get to it.
Speaker:And then I knew that the next year I needed 125, 000 new customers.
Speaker:And I did in the old world, I did a massive extrapolation of what I'd
Speaker:done on cold lists of direct mail, and I lost 250 grand in a, in a season.
Speaker:And, you know, that's painful when your bonus is attached to profitability.
Speaker:But what I learned out of that is that actually I could afford to
Speaker:lose money because As the lifetime value of those customers unwound.
Speaker:Hallelujah.
Speaker:In year two, that came good.
Speaker:And I then understood how I could start achieving that next bit of
Speaker:target because I had a bigger base.
Speaker:And it's that whole circular interplay of when do you bring customers in?
Speaker:How long do they last?
Speaker:And, and it's different, you know, it's different metrics for every business.
Speaker:You know, if you're, if you're a jewelry business, for instance, you're probably,
Speaker:you know, 90% reliant on new customers.
Speaker:You know, a jewelry business recruits a customer, you know, in year one, probably
Speaker:only 10% of them come back in year two.
Speaker:If you're a fashion business, you know, and it's good fashion business,
Speaker:they've probably got 40% of people.
Speaker:And, and unless you understand, you know, you understand.
Speaker:What the retention rate is, what the average order value is, then, you know,
Speaker:and how many orders per customer you may get in that time period, you know, those
Speaker:are what you, you know, I'm sorry, get a bit granular into, into metrics, but
Speaker:you really need to understand those, but the simple, simple question is, Matt,
Speaker:as you say, is, do you know how many new customers do you need to acquire?
Speaker:That's really good stuff.
Speaker:And then do you break that down further, Oliver?
Speaker:Do you say, do you look at where your new customers come from?
Speaker:So I'm just very simply thinking.
Speaker:Well, currently my 30% of my customers come from Facebook.
Speaker:20% of Facebook ads, 20% come from Instagram ads, 50%
Speaker:come from Google shopping.
Speaker:So I know it's a very crude breakdown.
Speaker:I don't actually know what the data is, but, um, would you
Speaker:break it down then by channel?
Speaker:So if I needed a thousand new customers, that means on these current percentages,
Speaker:I need to go and get another 300 from Facebook, another 200 from
Speaker:Instagram, and another 500 from Google.
Speaker:Yeah, yes, is the answer.
Speaker:But I think there's a step before that, which for most businesses and
Speaker:particularly for early, earlier stage businesses, Matt, is what you need to
Speaker:know is you need to understand what you can afford to pay for a customer.
Speaker:Yeah.
Speaker:And that's what you can afford to pay, not based on average order
Speaker:value, but on on whatever view on lifetime value that you need to have.
Speaker:Because going back to that, that insight I was sort of talking about from my own
Speaker:white company experience, I learned that I could lose money on the first order.
Speaker:Yeah.
Speaker:But it created profit down the line and what's really important for any business.
Speaker:We have a thing called a margin calculator in suite.
Speaker:Yeah, you need to set the metrics up before you get into channel.
Speaker:Yeah, but just effectively, can you afford 27 pounds or 50 or what is it?
Speaker:Can you afford that?
Speaker:You know, after delivery costs, after all those things, after returns,
Speaker:what can you afford to spend?
Speaker:Because.
Speaker:You know, ultimately as a retailer, there are, you know, there are
Speaker:so many numbers in marketing that we all have to deal with.
Speaker:So many platforms that tell you what the heart of the numbers.
Speaker:The only thing you really know is, you know, how many sales you've got,
Speaker:you know, how much money you've spent.
Speaker:Yeah, they're the hard numbers.
Speaker:Yeah.
Speaker:And so before I get into, you know, really get into the nitty gritty
Speaker:of which channel and some of the conversation about attribution.
Speaker:You really just have to know your target, your target, roas as we call
Speaker:it, yeah, which is the hard cash number of, you know, what sales to come from
Speaker:first customers, first time customers, and how much have you spent every day.
Speaker:And that's every day, you know, we're, you know, retailers, we're traders, you,
Speaker:in my opinion, you have to know that number every single day of your training.
Speaker:And then if you're massively above, you've got great opportunity to go and maybe
Speaker:spend some more money and go faster.
Speaker:Or, you know, if you're below, then you really need to be looking at
Speaker:how your channels are performing.
Speaker:So, it's, you know, so, though absolutely I believe in attribution
Speaker:and what, trying to understand that, in most cases, just make sure you
Speaker:understand the fundamental first.
Speaker:Yeah.
Speaker:No, that's a very good point.
Speaker:That is a very good point.
Speaker:And it's, it's an, it's an interesting statement you bring up
Speaker:on attribution, but I want to talk about lifetime value a little bit.
Speaker:You, you mentioned that, um, one of the things that I've been hearing, in
Speaker:fact, at subsummit, um, where I was at a few weeks ago, one of the things that
Speaker:they were talking about a lot there, given the state of, um, Interest rates.
Speaker:Um, so just, I, I don't know when this show is going to get aired, but
Speaker:we're now in June, 2023 and interest rates are not great either in the
Speaker:UK or the U S they're quite high.
Speaker:So the cost of money is quite X is now expensive.
Speaker:You know, it's, um, so that doesn't seem to be as much capital
Speaker:floating around the system.
Speaker:So what they've noticed is, um, and this is, uh, the chat from
Speaker:Google was talking about this was.
Speaker:Actually, there seems to be a pulling back on the, what they call the CAC
Speaker:to lifetime value ratio, isn't it?
Speaker:Or the lifetime value to CAC ratio, which was The magical
Speaker:number I think was three to one.
Speaker:So, um, for every pound you spent to get a customer, the customer
Speaker:should give you three pounds or, you know, a dollar, uh, 3 back.
Speaker:Um, they're saying actually what, one of the things that there was no magic
Speaker:number that, that, that people can generically work of what you have to
Speaker:understand is the metrics for your business, because if you're an 80%,
Speaker:if you're an 80% margin business.
Speaker:You might be able to exist on a two percent, two times roas.
Speaker:Yeah.
Speaker:And if you're, if you're not, you may need a five times roas..
Speaker:So just sorry to interrupt you there, but I'm always, you know, I don't really
Speaker:like single, single metrics sometimes.
Speaker:So I apologize.
Speaker:They may, they may have given a broader, but I just don't like sort of getting.
Speaker:Everyone boxed down into we should leave here with a three to one,
Speaker:you know, target roas over here.
Speaker:Yeah, no, no, not at all.
Speaker:And in fact, one of the things that they were talking about is these ratios
Speaker:are now moving and they're starting to become much more target specific.
Speaker:Um, but one of the, one of the interesting things that they were talking about is
Speaker:because the cost of acquisition of new customers is going up quite considerably.
Speaker:Um, there has been a massive shift now into retention marketing and engaging.
Speaker:Um, you're returning customers and also the customers who used to buy
Speaker:from you, but no longer buy from you, um, seem to be the two popular
Speaker:things that people are going after.
Speaker:And I don't know if you've spotted this or if you, if this is a
Speaker:trend that you've seen as well.
Speaker:Yeah, it is.
Speaker:It is a trend and it's something that I'm sort of, I'm slightly against to be
Speaker:honest, because if you do, if you have a customer forecasting model, yeah,
Speaker:I can absolutely guarantee you that it's very rare that you can achieve
Speaker:your goal through retention metrics.
Speaker:Now, obviously that's not if you're, if you're a vitamin company,
Speaker:there's monthly, you know, but in most sectors of the industry.
Speaker:Yeah.
Speaker:If I gave you a four year model out of our growth model.
Speaker:Yeah.
Speaker:And you start cutting down on acquisition.
Speaker:I can tell you, you're not going to end up where you want to in four years time.
Speaker:And so I'm not being, of course, everyone, you know, it's harder times.
Speaker:And of course, everyone needs to focus on their retention.
Speaker:But in my experience, it's very difficult to fundamentally change the shape of your
Speaker:business by just focusing on retention.
Speaker:Or it's fine, as long as you understand what the impact of cutting down on
Speaker:acquisition is, then Then fine, you, you know, absolutely cut once across
Speaker:to the right size of time, but, you know, you can't get back to this, you
Speaker:know, are you going to be successful?
Speaker:This is a perfectly, this is a perfectly modelable situation.
Speaker:So if you recruit 70, 000 customers last year and you, you know, you're
Speaker:going to cut back and recruit 50, 000, that means that next year,
Speaker:yeah, your pot's going to be smaller.
Speaker:You know, your overall pot has gone up, but your, your, your
Speaker:current pot has probably gone down.
Speaker:And, and I very, very rarely see a business that actually truly, you know,
Speaker:hits onto the growth curve if it doesn't focus on acquisition as well as retention.
Speaker:I'm not, I'm not, I'm not trying to, you know, clearly I'm not dishing retention.
Speaker:Retention is sort of bread and butter day job.
Speaker:Yeah.
Speaker:But the fundamentals to move most businesses is about acquisition.
Speaker:Yeah, I, I like that because when they were as as these concepts and
Speaker:ideas are coming out about retention marketing, um, it felt like short
Speaker:term game at the expense of long term growth because you like you say you're,
Speaker:you're, you're reducing the number of customers today, you're increasing
Speaker:profits today, possibly, um, but you're, you've got a smaller pool to convert
Speaker:to returning customers next time.
Speaker:And, uh, and, and that doesn't, um, Doesn't make sense to me.
Speaker:Can I just quickly touch on that?
Speaker:Because, you know, let's say you've got, you know, you manage to get 30%
Speaker:of your customers come back every year.
Speaker:In my experience, you might manage to increase that to 33%?
Speaker:And that ought to be your day job.
Speaker:I mean, you, you know, of course, you know, email, you
Speaker:should be doing email properly.
Speaker:You should be doing, you know, your basics of retention properly.
Speaker:But, you know, I've so often sat and people, people said, okay, we're
Speaker:going to really go into retention.
Speaker:And I can tell you from evidence that probably they might move their,
Speaker:their retention numbers by 10%.
Speaker:Yeah.
Speaker:You model that through, and I can assure you growth just goes off
Speaker:cliff if they stop acquisition.
Speaker:Yeah.
Speaker:No, I, I, I totally agree.
Speaker:Well, Oliver, excuse me.
Speaker:I'm disappointed in that.
Speaker:I'm sure that's not going to make very interesting listening.
Speaker:No, no, sorry.
Speaker:It's, um, I'm just looking down at my notes and we've covered point one,
Speaker:um, of your five levers for growth.
Speaker:So what I want to do is jump forward a little bit, because
Speaker:you keep using the word channel.
Speaker:So let's go to lever number three, which is channels.
Speaker:Um, yeah.
Speaker:And this was your product quickly just so because product for me
Speaker:is really important or can I just that I'm now overstepping my mark.
Speaker:No, you you you're the guest.
Speaker:You can do what you like.
Speaker:We've only got so much time.
Speaker:So let's let's go through it.
Speaker:Let's go through it.
Speaker:So, because again, it all relates back to, to, to understanding your metrics.
Speaker:So if I get back to my white company experience, uh, bed linen produces
Speaker:a really great AOV, but a really bad, really poor return rate.
Speaker:Yeah.
Speaker:So, so effectively what I learned was that if I kept on recruiting the same
Speaker:number of people, yeah, they didn't come back fast enough for me to be able to
Speaker:achieve my growth target, because if I only stayed with that, I needed far too
Speaker:many people to come into the top of the.
Speaker:Funnel all the time, I couldn't do those at the right cost per acquisition.
Speaker:So that was the learn that I took from my model.
Speaker:And then the easiest way to change your model, and when I say easier it's in
Speaker:inverted commas, but is to introduce new product in order to change either
Speaker:the average order value Or the number of orders per customer you've got.
Speaker:So in my company, we went gift, we did a baby, we, we, we do all those,
Speaker:and then ultimately we did clothes.
Speaker:So, effectively those changed my, my metrics around what I could get, what
Speaker:value I could get out of each customer.
Speaker:So, in terms of, you know, going back to the same thing, customer forecast model.
Speaker:You know, if you can't, you know, if you, you've got a certain set of
Speaker:numbers, you've got to have a theory about how you're going to move them.
Speaker:And we thought we could move our number by, by having different
Speaker:products get people seem to like us.
Speaker:Yeah.
Speaker:If you've got permission from the brand to sell, you work
Speaker:out what you can sell more of.
Speaker:You know, what else can you sell to them?
Speaker:We tried garden furniture.
Speaker:They didn't, that was an absolute disaster.
Speaker:Um, but, but you know, that we didn't have brand permission.
Speaker:Yeah.
Speaker:But, but, but for the things that we did, people understood why we were
Speaker:trying to do it, and that was driven by us under, I, I understood that I
Speaker:couldn't recruit more customers, so I needed to get more value outta them.
Speaker:And that's product strategy in order to drive that.
Speaker:Yeah, and that makes a lot of sense to me because I was always told, uh,
Speaker:Oliver, that there's only three things that you can do to grow your business,
Speaker:increase the number of customers, increase the average order value and
Speaker:increase the frequency with which those customers purchase from you.
Speaker:And, um, it's always made sense to me that you work on those three levers.
Speaker:What are my new customers?
Speaker:How do I get to increase the basket size on the e commerce website?
Speaker:And how do I get them to increase the amount of times they buy
Speaker:from me every year, right?
Speaker:What's the frequency, which is why whenever I've done e commerce, I've
Speaker:always been really interested in, in.
Speaker:Products or websites that have the ability to have an increased
Speaker:customer frequency order.
Speaker:Um, and so you sort of, you work on those three things and growing new customers
Speaker:is not the only thing you can do.
Speaker:Um, you can work on average order value and so things like product mix become
Speaker:really important then, don't they?
Speaker:So, uh, how much they're ordering now and whether they come back sooner all
Speaker:depends on the products that you have.
Speaker:Exactly.
Speaker:Everything comes about, you know, everything really actually
Speaker:relates to customer and product.
Speaker:You know, we've got customers who try and sell them stuff and, and, you know,
Speaker:change, change what you said, you know, if they believe you, you know, sell them.
Speaker:If you know, if you make it really simple, if you sell sausages, yeah.
Speaker:Don't just sell one type of sausage, just try them with two types of
Speaker:sausages and that make you sell more.
Speaker:Yeah.
Speaker:And it's the same principle, but we, you know, slightly more broader.
Speaker:And it's got risk, you know, moving into different product
Speaker:categories have different risk profiles and things like that.
Speaker:But, you know, it's a, it's a, it's a key, you to your AAV number, you've got
Speaker:to move that number and you have to think of something to do, to, to, to do it.
Speaker:Yeah, totally, totally.
Speaker:Okay.
Speaker:Can we move on to channels?
Speaker:I'm just too keen and eager to get to channels.
Speaker:So explain what you mean by channels, and I'm really curious especially with your
Speaker:Your hallelujah moment that you had here.
Speaker:Yeah, so this is really important for me in terms of So, you know, early, as
Speaker:you probably know, everyone's seeing this, but I'm, you know, I'm old.
Speaker:So, you know, I've, I've, I've sort of been a retailer for a long time.
Speaker:So, you know, I existed in a world where, you know, there weren't Google
Speaker:ads, there weren't all these things.
Speaker:So, you know, it really was, was early stage, you know, what, what
Speaker:really, really matters is that, you know, you have to have a fundamental
Speaker:belief that the customer wants choice.
Speaker:And if that choice at the moment is they want to buy from your e commerce
Speaker:site or they want to buy from Amazon.
Speaker:Yeah.
Speaker:If you're going to offer both, yeah, you're going to get more sales.
Speaker:Yeah, because different customers want different to be served in a different way.
Speaker:Yeah, that's a more modern example of in the old, what we did, which
Speaker:was web mail order web shops.
Speaker:Some people, you know, taking that example, some people like
Speaker:to buy offline, you know, they want to go into a physical shop.
Speaker:Some people want to, to the convenience of buying, buying online.
Speaker:And so that's the, the, the theory you just have to believe
Speaker:in that the more channels you.
Speaker:offer that are appropriate for your customer, the more
Speaker:sales you're going to get.
Speaker:And so if you're only in, you know, if you're an e com site, you know, and
Speaker:again, all of these need to be evaluated, but you know, maybe you do need to, you
Speaker:know, your product may or may not be appropriate for Amazon, or maybe there
Speaker:may be a more appropriate marketplace for your, for your sector, you know,
Speaker:but, but you do really need to, you know, if, if your aim is to grow, um, You've
Speaker:always got to answer the question, well, how the hell am I going to do that?
Speaker:And one of the things you need to think about as well, are there
Speaker:more channels that my customers would like to buy from me?
Speaker:And so what are some of the channels that we should definitely be thinking about?
Speaker:Yeah.
Speaker:Well, I think, so, so I still think, you know, in a, in an old fashioned world,
Speaker:I've seen lots of brands do pop ups.
Speaker:So, you know, if you, if you're giving people the experience in
Speaker:hand, you know, I'm assuming this is mainly between retail brands.
Speaker:Pop ups I think are proving to be really popular.
Speaker:The other point about channel is that channel and marketing
Speaker:would get ever, ever closer.
Speaker:So in a way you, you know, in the States in particular, now you can, you can
Speaker:shop on your Instagram feed directly.
Speaker:TikTok has TikTok shop.
Speaker:So all of these channels, so I may be marketing, but I'm also
Speaker:selling in the, in the same space.
Speaker:So there's a bit of a mishmash of, of what really is it.
Speaker:is a channel at the moment of what's a sales channel, what's a marketing channel.
Speaker:And, you know, assuming that most people are, are doing Google, they're doing
Speaker:Meta as their, as their advertising channels, a bit like sort of, you know,
Speaker:should I add Amazon or something else?
Speaker:You should probably ask yourself, should I be doing TikTok?
Speaker:Should I be doing Pinterest?
Speaker:And those are probably the, you know, once you've done assuming Google and
Speaker:Meta are one and two, those are, those are probably the next ones to go to.
Speaker:But you shouldn't, you shouldn't just keep, you know, you can keep adding,
Speaker:you know, marketing channels down the, down the, um, uh, the e com route,
Speaker:but you should also ask yourself the question of how do your economics work
Speaker:if I'm going to do, um, uh, Amazon or, or one of these other ones as well.
Speaker:Yeah, no, it's a super, super obvious, I say super obvious, but it's, it's
Speaker:a really interesting point, isn't it?
Speaker:It, um, when you look at things like Instagram and Facebook,
Speaker:part of me has wondered why they haven't done it already yet.
Speaker:They've got all of these people who are, who are ready to buy stuff and
Speaker:they, all they have to do is sell.
Speaker:Well, we're just going to become Amazon.
Speaker:We're just going to sell that.
Speaker:So if you promote stuff on Instagram, well, you can sell it on Instagram.
Speaker:We're just going to take whatever.
Speaker:three, 5% commission off the top.
Speaker:Um, you're going to fulfill it.
Speaker:They don't have to carry any stock.
Speaker:It would be a, I would love to talk to someone from Instagram about why
Speaker:this has taken so long to roll out, because it just intrigues me that
Speaker:it's taken so long to roll out.
Speaker:Um, but you're right.
Speaker:It's just going to be just on that and why they have a lot, you know, why Amazon have
Speaker:built such a strong position because they own the logistic there and they've now
Speaker:they're now hiding the marketing there.
Speaker:So, you know, Amazon is, you know, and for some areas, Well, you know, they're
Speaker:now effectively going to start offering logistics without you being a seller on
Speaker:Amazon, you know, that that's the model.
Speaker:Yeah, yeah, it's really interesting, isn't it?
Speaker:I mean, it's I mean, it fascinates me how Amazon have done what they've
Speaker:done, to be fair, and there's a lot we can learn from them.
Speaker:And you think there's some very clever people working behind the doors of Amazon.
Speaker:Um.
Speaker:But yeah, I, I, I, so I get what you're saying about channels.
Speaker:And so
Speaker:one of the things I guess that people will struggle with that whole concept
Speaker:is, um, if I sell on my website, for example, selling on Amazon
Speaker:feels like, especially if I'm just starting out or if I'm, if I'm a new.
Speaker:Then trying to sell on Amazon is going to feel like a really big jump.
Speaker:Like, it's enough work trying to keep up with what I'm doing here.
Speaker:So then add Amazon into the mix is going to, is going to throw
Speaker:some extra baggage in that maybe is a little bit too much for them.
Speaker:Yeah, I think to an age old thing of keeping things simple, you know,
Speaker:what I, what I think is really important is that you don't, is
Speaker:that, you know, life is complicated.
Speaker:Yeah.
Speaker:What, what really matters is understand what you're doing and understand
Speaker:how far you can, you can push it.
Speaker:So for me, the, you know, my penny drop moment was I couldn't recruit
Speaker:any more customers with the business model we had as we were at the
Speaker:white company selling bed linen towels and no, no other channels.
Speaker:I couldn't, you know, I just lost too much money.
Speaker:Okay.
Speaker:And it's not easy to unlock what the next winner is, but yeah, I'd really
Speaker:work each channel to its absolute max before you start adding complexity.
Speaker:So, you know, I really, if people are in an early stage businesses, don't go
Speaker:and do Tik TOK and Google and Meta and ad interest you, you won't have a clue
Speaker:what's going on to be absolutely honest, or what's working, which will then become
Speaker:if everything's working, hallelujah.
Speaker:But if you get to the point where it's not working, then you have to start unpicking.
Speaker:You've got no idea, you have no idea about how you unpick it.
Speaker:Um, and in the same way, don't do Amazon and e commerce until you really understand
Speaker:what you're doing in the, in one or other.
Speaker:Make sure you understand what you're doing before you start
Speaker:moving through the channel gears.
Speaker:Yeah, no, fantastic.
Speaker:Listen, Oliver, I'm aware of time and I'm, I'd love it.
Speaker:Um, if you could just explain, uh, maybe let's go to a slightly different tech.
Speaker:What is Sweet Analytics?
Speaker:You obviously moved from the white company to Sweet Analytics.
Speaker:Um, what, what is it and what drew you into that?
Speaker:Yeah.
Speaker:So, so, I mean, I hope I've sort of communicated with sort of my passion
Speaker:for, for growing businesses and, you know, doing, you know, I've done various
Speaker:other things other than the white company and, and I always know, you know,
Speaker:something I've been good at, successful at, some things have been a disaster,
Speaker:but I've always known if I didn't know what these kind of numbers that I'm
Speaker:talking about and these principles, then I just didn't know what I was doing.
Speaker:And so what we're doing at Sweet Analytics is trying to make sure that for SMEs,
Speaker:It's really easy and we're self serve.
Speaker:If you're on Shopify, Wood, BigCommerce, normal kind of platforms, you can
Speaker:just plug in all our things and we can deliver these metrics to you out
Speaker:the box that I think really helps you understand what it is that you need to
Speaker:do in order to make your business grow.
Speaker:So that's what I wanted to do.
Speaker:There's all, you know, history of how analytics have moved, you
Speaker:know, since I began my career.
Speaker:But, you know, what I really wanted and what I'm passionate about is, is, you
Speaker:know, being able to deliver to people really simply, um, how you can get to,
Speaker:you know, what we're talking about here.
Speaker:Because otherwise it's just hard work.
Speaker:If it's too hard work, people don't do it.
Speaker:Yeah, that's the problem, isn't it?
Speaker:And you're, you're right.
Speaker:You've got to keep it.
Speaker:I mean, with everything, you know, we say this to clients, don't we all the
Speaker:time, you've got to keep your website simple if you want people to buy off it.
Speaker:Um, and it's got to be the same with everything else.
Speaker:I mean, the theory stands up everywhere, right?
Speaker:It just, uh, it just does.
Speaker:Oliver, listen, if people want to reach out to you, if they want to
Speaker:connect with you, if they want to find out more about suite analytics.
Speaker:What's the best way to do that?
Speaker:Yeah, thanks matt.
Speaker:Um, it's oliver.
Speaker:spark at sweetanalytics.
Speaker:com So as for my name plus sweetanalytics.
Speaker:com and so the website is sweetanalytics.
Speaker:com I'm guessing if people want to head to the website Thank you, Matt.
Speaker:It is exactly all LinkedIn again, all of a spark on LinkedIn.
Speaker:So either of those would be great to hear from people because I mean, I'm genuinely,
Speaker:I'm really happy to have a chat with anybody about how you grow your business.
Speaker:Fantastic.
Speaker:I'm just making a note here to make sure that I'm actually
Speaker:connected with you on LinkedIn.
Speaker:Uh, so we'll make sure that we are doing that.
Speaker:Uh, Oliver, listen, we will, of course, make sure that all the info and all
Speaker:the links to you are in the show notes.
Speaker:So if you are listening to the show, if you're driving in your car and you've
Speaker:not been able to jot it all down, don't panic, because they will be in...
Speaker:The show notes, which you can get for free along with a
Speaker:transcript at e commerce podcast.
Speaker:net.
Speaker:Or if you're signed up to the newsletter, they'll just be coming direct to your
Speaker:inbox with all kinds of good stuff.
Speaker:So, uh, that will be coming through to you.
Speaker:Uh, but Oliver, thank you so much for joining me from Valencia, Spain.
Speaker:Thanks for, you know, giving us a few minutes where you're not on the beach,
Speaker:um, sharing your awesome insights.
Speaker:It's been a thoroughly enjoyable conversation.
Speaker:And, um, I wish we had a little bit more time because I've got a lot more.
Speaker:questions, uh, but, uh, we'll have to carry it on, on a separate occasion.
Speaker:So thank you, uh, genuinely.
Speaker:Thank you for coming on.
Speaker:Thank you very much, Matt.
Speaker:I enjoyed it.
Speaker:And the great thing was we only did three out of the five.
Speaker:So it was perfect.
Speaker:I mean, we did everything I imagined we would get to, but wouldn't get to.
Speaker:But this is why I say what the start what are they just so everybody
Speaker:knows because if you only ever gets three of them by the end of the show,
Speaker:people feel cheated, don't they?
Speaker:So, um, but no, it's great.
Speaker:Thank you.
Speaker:Thank you for coming on.
Speaker:What a great Conversation that was with Oliver and also a big shout out to today's
Speaker:show sponsor, the e commerce cohort.
Speaker:Remember to check out their free training at ecommercecycles.
Speaker:com where it's me doing the training.
Speaker:So as long as you've not had enough of my voice, you'll enjoy it and
Speaker:hopefully it will be helpful.
Speaker:Now be sure to follow the e commerce podcast wherever you get your
Speaker:podcast from because we have got yet more great conversations lined
Speaker:up and I don't want you to miss.
Speaker:Any of them.
Speaker:No, I don't.
Speaker:So make sure you are subscribed wherever you get your podcast from.
Speaker:Now, in case no one has told you yet today, you are awesome.
Speaker:Yes, you are.
Speaker:Created awesome.
Speaker:It's just a burden you have to bear.
Speaker:Oliver has to bear it.
Speaker:I have to bear it.
Speaker:You've got to bear it as well.
Speaker:Now, the e commerce podcast is produced by Aurion Media.
Speaker:You can find our entire archive of episodes on your favorite podcast app.
Speaker:The team that makes this show possible is Sadaf Beynon, Estella
Speaker:Robin, and Tanya Hutzalak.
Speaker:Our theme song was written by Josh Edmundson.
Speaker:And as I mentioned, if you would like to read the transcript or show
Speaker:notes, head over to the website.
Speaker:ecommercepodcast.
Speaker:net.
Speaker:So that's it from me.
Speaker:That's it from Oliver.
Speaker:Thank you so much for joining us.
Speaker:Uh, have a great, fantastic week, wherever you are in the world.
Speaker:I'll see you next time.