You guys want a fun fact?
Speaker AIt's gonna ruin your day.
Speaker BYeah, of course.
Speaker AYou know, Back to the Future was based in October 2025.
Speaker AThat was the future.
Speaker AThat's how old we are.
Speaker BWe're here now.
Speaker AWe're here.
Speaker AThat's us.
Speaker AThat's.
Speaker AThat's us, boys.
Speaker COver far in the future.
Speaker AYeah.
Speaker AWelcome back.
Speaker BWelcome back to the number one financial literacy podcast in the world.
Speaker BThis is the higher standard.
Speaker BSitting in front of me in the all facts, no cap merch, Christopher Nahibi nipple.
Speaker AHard as hell too.
Speaker AThat's for you.
Speaker AS. Let's go.
Speaker BThank you, sir.
Speaker ASitting across me, the one, the only, the man, the myth, the legend.
Speaker ASitting in the record in Los Angeles T shirt.
Speaker AOf course, pre faded Sayed Omar.
Speaker BThank you, my man.
Speaker BSitting behind the desk in the ones and twos.
Speaker BIn the production suite, the fighting Faji and Rajil.
Speaker BWhat's up, my guy?
Speaker CWhat's up, everyone?
Speaker BYeah.
Speaker BRocking the new Black Friday hat.
Speaker BWhich we will get into at some point in the show.
Speaker BWe got a lot to get into today.
Speaker BWe're going to talk about a global wealth report.
Speaker BWe're going to be talking about US home prices versus incomes.
Speaker BBut first, what we're going to get into is some of this.
Speaker BSome of these Black Friday data numbers.
Speaker AYeah, they are, as a kid, say skewed.
Speaker BIs that what they.
Speaker BYeah, all the skews.
Speaker ASo I was expecting the numbers to be strange and I think we got that.
Speaker AAlthough the headline is that people spent a lot of money.
Speaker ASo grain of salt.
Speaker AI think that the way people spent money is more important than how much money they spent.
Speaker AAnecdotally, I remember Zootopia 2 conversation last show.
Speaker AYeah.
Speaker BDid you watch it?
Speaker AIt was the highest opening weekend ever, I think, for Disney.
Speaker AWow.
Speaker AYeah.
Speaker ABig time show.
Speaker AYeah, I watched it.
Speaker BThat's with Bateman, right?
Speaker BYeah, Bateman's Elite.
Speaker AJason Bateman, smartless podcast.
Speaker BHe's just stud.
Speaker AHe, he did that series on Netflix, but I think he also directed.
Speaker BI don't know if you guys ever seen this movie of his called the Gift.
Speaker AI don't think so.
Speaker BHe's the villain.
Speaker BIs he in the.
Speaker BAnd he, he does a great villain.
Speaker AI, I gotta be honest.
Speaker AThat guy's career right now is on fire.
Speaker AYeah, it's really disappointing.
Speaker AZootopia 2.
Speaker AWhat is?
Speaker AOh, yeah, look at that.
Speaker APaid ad from YouTube.
Speaker AKi.
Speaker ACloser, close out.
Speaker BThere we go.
Speaker AThere you go.
Speaker AZooms past $600 million at the global box office.
Speaker ANow, keep in mind, it came out over Thanksgiving.
Speaker ASo the total weekend numbers Were a little bit skewed as far as days go.
Speaker ABut yeah, I'll tell you, man, like, I was not shocked.
Speaker BI was down to go to the movie theaters and watch this.
Speaker AI watched it.
Speaker AIt had a lot of, a lot of idiosyncratic, really interesting throwback details.
Speaker AReally his movie.
Speaker AAnd they did a good job.
Speaker BOkay.
Speaker AThey did a good job.
Speaker AIt's warranted in so many ways.
Speaker AAnd it was a wholesome movie, you know, you know me, I'm all about wholesome.
Speaker BYou're the furthest person from wholesome.
Speaker AWhat are you talking about?
Speaker BThe furthest person?
Speaker AOkay, that's completely inaccurate.
Speaker ANotable that Black Friday's data showed a 9.1% increase spend from last year.
Speaker AThat's a good headline.
Speaker AHowever.
Speaker AA 1% in total item volume from last year.
Speaker ASo the number of products that sold actually only went up 1% right out the gate.
Speaker AI'm going, well, that's inflation.
Speaker BThat's inflation.
Speaker BI mean, that's right.
Speaker BThe definition.
Speaker AYeah.
Speaker ASo people spent more because the same stuff last year cost less.
Speaker BAnd, and I mean a lot of companies were being put on blast.
Speaker BMore so than I had ever seen.
Speaker BI mean, we'd always seen the memes, right.
Speaker BOf like, oh, you know, companies out there just, they raised the prices right before Black Friday just to cut them back to their original prices.
Speaker BJust to say that you, you make you feel like you got a deal.
Speaker BBut now people are like exposing, like I've seen posts on Target, Home Depot where you just lift the price.
Speaker BThey got so lazy with it.
Speaker BYeah, just lift the price tag and it's the same price tag as before.
Speaker AWell, think about the way this works for most companies, right.
Speaker ASo the company decides that the price is going to be a lower sale price item, then they roll those prices out.
Speaker AAnd usually it's paper or it's at a check counter somewhere.
Speaker ABut people who are at the actual stores don't have a vested interest in hiding the results here.
Speaker AThey're not making any extra coin.
Speaker ARight, Right.
Speaker AIf, if they were paying the sales people like a little bit extra money to, to actually sell a product like Home Depot.
Speaker AThose guys who help you, girls who help you.
Speaker BYeah.
Speaker AThey're not getting paid any extra money for moving units.
Speaker AThey're just working a holiday.
Speaker AThey're hours.
Speaker AYeah.
Speaker BYep.
Speaker AWhat you should be doing is giving them a little extra money.
Speaker AAnd then guess what?
Speaker AThings would be a lot better looking to the consumer.
Speaker BYeah.
Speaker BJust to go the extra mile.
Speaker BRight.
Speaker BI mean, it would look better to the consumer.
Speaker BI mean, still the same End result where the consumer gets screwed in the end.
Speaker BBut, you know.
Speaker AYeah, it's.
Speaker AYou know, but this is something that bothers me in general about Black Friday shopping.
Speaker AI feel like I don't want to.
Speaker AI don't want to offend anybody by saying this, but it's true.
Speaker AI feel like it.
Speaker AIt's the stigma of getting a deal, not the actual getting a deal.
Speaker AAnd there are some.
Speaker ALike, every once in a while you get a TV for, like, 100 bucks.
Speaker AYou know, normally retails for, like, way more than that.
Speaker ABut is that worth the dog fight at 2 o' clock in the morning to get it?
Speaker BNo.
Speaker BNo.
Speaker BExactly.
Speaker BAnd you got to, you know, you got to be pragmatic about it.
Speaker BSo what my wife and I did, we had, like, a list of things that we knew we wanted to purchase, right?
Speaker BSo let's look at it, like, a month or two before, and if it goes down, like, at a reasonable clip, we'll buy it.
Speaker BLike, there was this.
Speaker AWow.
Speaker CYeah.
Speaker BThere was, like, this air fryer, toaster oven thing that she's been, like, looking at for a long time because, you know, the material and some of those things are really bad for you.
Speaker BSo there's one company that makes a nice, wholesome product.
Speaker AAnd also, he's using the vocabulary word today.
Speaker BWholesome episode.
Speaker BIt's gonna be a wholesome episode until Chris decides to ruin it with the.
Speaker AFirst phallic joke of the show.
Speaker AGoes to.
Speaker AThere's a new air fryer which goes on top of, like, the glass bowls.
Speaker BThat's cool.
Speaker BYeah.
Speaker BYeah, that's really cool.
Speaker BSo then we did.
Speaker BShe did buy herself that.
Speaker BI forgot to mention that to Rajille at the start of the show.
Speaker ASo mark that Downward Jill at approximately five minutes in.
Speaker ASo I lied to you.
Speaker BAdmits.
Speaker BAdmits.
Speaker BI came forward.
Speaker BIt's not.
Speaker BIt's not that.
Speaker BWhen I come forward with it, it's not a lie anymore.
Speaker BI came clean as a confession.
Speaker ASo I don't.
Speaker AThe best thing on social media, okay, the best thing by far is this show where this counselor is a marriage counselor, okay, Sits in front of couples who were having problems, and these couples will then talk about their problems, and it's.
Speaker AIt's their clips on social media for the show.
Speaker AIt's supposed to bring you to the show, but it's the best social media I have seen in a long time because it's real, okay?
Speaker AAnd some of the things these people say are crazy.
Speaker BDude.
Speaker BSome people are getting so creative.
Speaker BSo creative with, like, their platforms.
Speaker BI know what you mean.
Speaker BBecause there was another one.
Speaker BI think I said both of you guys where you can.
Speaker BIt's.
Speaker BIt reminds me of the.
Speaker BWas the.
Speaker BThe comedian that passed away, Norm McDonald's nor McDonald's.
Speaker ARight, okay.
Speaker BRemember you had that movie Dirty Work.
Speaker AYeah.
Speaker BRight.
Speaker BA great movie.
Speaker ARight.
Speaker BHopefully we don't get canceled for that.
Speaker BI don't remember the movie in its entirety in case he did anything.
Speaker BThose.
Speaker BThose are reference old movies anymore.
Speaker ACuz the reference to the old movies.
Speaker BThat's co signing.
Speaker BThat's co signing.
Speaker BRight.
Speaker AI can't believe you co signed Euro Trips.
Speaker BI don't remember everything about the movie now.
Speaker BOkay, but so people are literally getting hired online to like call people and give them like, like messages about how they feel.
Speaker BAnd.
Speaker AOh, I've seen this.
Speaker AIt's so terrible.
Speaker BAnd this guy's literally getting paid.
Speaker BWhat are you gonna do?
Speaker BYou're gonna yell back and over the phone say, hey, it wasn't me.
Speaker BSomebody paid me to call you and let you know that you're a pos.
Speaker AYeah, it's the best.
Speaker BIt's the best.
Speaker AI've seen that guy do that a couple of times.
Speaker AI've seen him call employers and quit for people.
Speaker AOh.
Speaker ALike can you imagine getting that contract?
Speaker BHow you find out?
Speaker AYeah, you call the boss and you tell him you quit and.
Speaker AAnd he just doesn't like this cavalry way.
Speaker BHopefully this show gets big enough where.
Speaker BWhat we can devote one to where.
Speaker BListen, calling just be.
Speaker BIt'll be in confessional.
Speaker BYeah, the higher standard confessionals.
Speaker AI wouldn't mind that.
Speaker AI also.
Speaker BConfessions will have like usher in the background.
Speaker AWhat's that website you can go to and get like B or C list celebrities to.
Speaker ATo like shout you out.
Speaker BOh my God.
Speaker BCameo.
Speaker ACameo.
Speaker AI want to be on cameo to like call people's bosses.
Speaker BI'll be that guy.
Speaker BI'll be that for you.
Speaker AYeah.
Speaker ALet me give your boss some constructive feedback.
Speaker BNo.
Speaker BOkay.
Speaker BAll the other people that are do this.
Speaker BIt's just one person pay the higher standard and you'll get two people doing it for you.
Speaker AI don't want to spend the profits with you.
Speaker AThis is my.
Speaker BIt's fine.
Speaker BIt'll be your.
Speaker BI just want to be here for the enjoyment.
Speaker BCome on, man.
Speaker AYou be the hype man in the back.
Speaker AYeah, that's.
Speaker AYeah, you heard him.
Speaker AYou heard him.
Speaker ATommy, tell him again.
Speaker ASo prices this year on average for Black Friday were about 7% higher, which I think is actually understated.
Speaker AI don't think that's.
Speaker AThat's real.
Speaker ABut we Know that inflation's higher than that and that's higher than one year ago.
Speaker ASo 7% over one year.
Speaker ATake it over the last couple of years, that.
Speaker AThat's a pretty notable increase.
Speaker AAgain, compounding percentage increases, consumers bought on average 4.1% fewer items.
Speaker AWow.
Speaker ASo the same volume of product move, but 4 point whatever percentage fewer items per household.
Speaker BYeah.
Speaker BSo it really makes you think, okay, the next step is.
Speaker BI don't think everyone has completed their Christmas shopping.
Speaker BSo what is this going to do?
Speaker BWhat is this going to be doing?
Speaker AWho started?
Speaker BI'm sure people use Black Friday to get it, to get the ball rolling, get the big ticket items.
Speaker ARight?
Speaker AThat's probably true.
Speaker BRight.
Speaker BBut like, what is this going to mean for like Christmas numbers?
Speaker BYou know what I mean?
Speaker AI. I'm gonna.
Speaker AFor those of you driving with kids in the car, I'd like to point out that this is in no way suggest that Santa Claus is not real because he's a stud.
Speaker AI met him a couple times.
Speaker AHe's amazing.
Speaker ASanta's real.
Speaker BYou know, until Mike, you know, I tell my kids, Santa's real.
Speaker BSanta's real.
Speaker BJust not for us.
Speaker ANo, he for you guys too.
Speaker AYou just don't let him in the house.
Speaker AYou got good security, right?
Speaker AYeah, yeah, yeah.
Speaker BThe ring is doing his job at my house.
Speaker AWe don't trust him, son.
Speaker BYeah, yeah.
Speaker BNeither should you.
Speaker BCome on, man.
Speaker BAnd if I'm gonna give my kids a, a Nintendo switch, they gotta know that gift came from me.
Speaker AYeah.
Speaker AI paid for that.
Speaker BYeah.
Speaker BNot that guy.
Speaker ASanta didn't do this.
Speaker BCome on, bro.
Speaker AYeah.
Speaker BAnyway, the guy drinking Coca Cola, in.
Speaker AAny event, exactly my point.
Speaker AThe problem for me is as I've gotten older, the luster of crazy Christmas has lost its, its shine to me.
Speaker BReally?
Speaker AYeah.
Speaker ABecause I know the, the history of how Coca Cola took a saint that was kind of fading it out.
Speaker AAnd they built the ecosystem, what we consider to be modern day Christmas, around them.
Speaker AAnd it was literally all done.
Speaker AIt all boils down to they wanted to increase sales of Coca Cola during the winter and they were losing sales over this, like, cold period of time because people drank Coca Cola when it was hot.
Speaker BRight.
Speaker ASo said, how do we do that?
Speaker AWell, we ingratiated into a holiday and they took what was.
Speaker ABecause prior to this, Easter was the biggest holiday for most Americans, the birth of Christ.
Speaker AI mean, they had a lot of reasons from a religious standpoint why that was the focus.
Speaker AAnd it pivoted over time to Christmas.
Speaker AAnd now, I hate to use the cliche Term of Hallmark holiday.
Speaker ABut we've built up.
Speaker AAnd I'm all for spending time with family regardless of what you're pressure around Christmas, man.
Speaker AThere's a ton of pressure around Christmas.
Speaker BFamilies, you know, and it's like.
Speaker ABut it's not, it's.
Speaker AIt's even outside of religion now.
Speaker ANow if you're a Muslim household, for example, you have this pressure to do something for your family because everybody else around you is celebrating this time.
Speaker BSpeaking as one, I grew up in a household that I wouldn't say was very religious.
Speaker BRight.
Speaker BBut religious enough to not give me anything for Christmas.
Speaker AYeah.
Speaker BSo I would wake up every year, like this year.
Speaker BAnd mind you, this is at a point too when I already knew, like Santa was not real.
Speaker BRight.
Speaker ASo I'm like, wait, wait, you thought he wasn't real?
Speaker BRight, right.
Speaker BI thought he was.
Speaker ANow you know he's real again.
Speaker BNow I know he's real again.
Speaker BAnd I would wake up thinking like, this year they're gonna give me something like one thing.
Speaker BNope, nothing.
Speaker BBut I'd always, you know what I do.
Speaker BBack then there was that.
Speaker BWhat's that movie?
Speaker BA Christmas Story.
Speaker AYeah.
Speaker AYeah, that one.
Speaker AYou should try it on.
Speaker BYeah, you should on Repeat for like 24 hours.
Speaker AYeah.
Speaker ATBN or TBS.
Speaker ATBS.
Speaker ATBS.
Speaker BMore to come on that later.
Speaker BYeah, TBS or TNT or something.
Speaker BIt was just on repeat for 20 minutes and I've just watched that all day long.
Speaker BThank God the NBA is taking over Christmas now.
Speaker BNow I can just watch NBA all day.
Speaker BBut why I think Christmas numbers are going to do so poorly this year for retail companies.
Speaker BI think There was an article that I recently found where Jill, see if you could find this up.
Speaker BIt was one of those Buy now pay later services run.
Speaker BOne of those companies that were showed that 25% of its users are using their service to buy groceries, to finance groceries.
Speaker AYeah.
Speaker AThis is so sad.
Speaker B25% of the users.
Speaker CYeah.
Speaker BHere you go.
Speaker BFrom CNBC.
Speaker BMore Americans are financing groceries with Buy now pay later loans and more are paying those bills late.
Speaker BSurvey say.
Speaker BA lending Tree survey found 25% of buy now pay later users are funding grocery purchases with the loans, up from 14 in 2024.
Speaker BThat's staggering, bro.
Speaker BRight.
Speaker BThe survey said 41 of respondents said they made a late payment on a Buy now pay later loan in the past year, up from 34% the year.
Speaker AThe sick part about this, for Buy now pay later services, they make their money when you pay late.
Speaker ASo this is a trend performing well in their favor, really.
Speaker AI mean, Buy now, pay later services charge late fees.
Speaker BYeah, yeah, they charge.
Speaker AThey don't charge heavy interest.
Speaker AThe retailer pays for the services.
Speaker BRight.
Speaker ABut they do get late fees.
Speaker BBut I mean, isn't that, like, for them, it's like they're highly predatory.
Speaker BHighly predatory.
Speaker BAnd you're like skating on thin ice.
Speaker ARight?
Speaker BI mean, at some point you got to feel like when these numbers start getting out of control.
Speaker BThis is bankruptcy, bro.
Speaker BWritten all over it.
Speaker AYeah.
Speaker AIt's not good.
Speaker BNo.
Speaker AWhat?
Speaker BYou recorded me with your meta glasses?
Speaker AWhat are you talking about?
Speaker BYou're flexing on me.
Speaker BI'm looking like.
Speaker BI don't know if there's a shine from the wall behind you as we're.
Speaker CTalking about, people can barely afford groceries.
Speaker CYou bring out your medical.
Speaker BYeah.
Speaker AFirsthand point of view for saying the.
Speaker BJeff Goldblum of podcasting.
Speaker BYeah.
Speaker BSo, like, you hear, you see stuff like this, and it's like, okay, these numbers are only rising.
Speaker BAnd what, what is that going to do to the retail numbers?
Speaker BBut also what is it going to do to all these people that feel the pressure?
Speaker BYou know, we know consumer and behavioral economics.
Speaker BThey're still going to go out and buy the things that they want just to give the fam their families.
Speaker BYou know, a lot of people have shown they don't have the discipline to hold back and have these tough conversations with their families.
Speaker AThey're going to finance April 26th.
Speaker BYeah.
Speaker ASo I guarantee those numbers are worse now.
Speaker BWay worse.
Speaker AFor sure.
Speaker AThose numbers are way worse.
Speaker BYeah.
Speaker BNo, the one, the one that I saw.
Speaker BWas there a recent one that.
Speaker ACame out is that we saw.
Speaker BYeah, I thought.
Speaker BI thought I saw it come out.
Speaker ALet's think that through.
Speaker AThis was a problem in April, and you saw another article about this now in December or arguably November.
Speaker ARight.
Speaker ASo that, that's, that's a, That's a bad thing.
Speaker AAnd here's the part, we talked about this on our show.
Speaker AI don't know, a year ago, two years ago.
Speaker AYeah.
Speaker BWe were, we attacked these buy now, pay later services because we're like, please don't do this.
Speaker AYeah.
Speaker AThey're highly predatory.
Speaker AHighly predatory.
Speaker ATo me, if you're going to protect the American consumer, this is not a product you offer.
Speaker AYeah.
Speaker BHow, how is there not more laws against this?
Speaker ABecause I, I think that people go, well, you're not paying interest.
Speaker AIt's effectively layaway for the Internet age.
Speaker ALayaway was always legal.
Speaker ABut the difference that people don't see is in layaway, you didn't get the product until you paid for it in its entirety.
Speaker AYeah.
Speaker AYou put it away, it was yours, you can go back and get it.
Speaker ABut you got to make your payments and then actually pick up the product.
Speaker BRight.
Speaker AWhereas this one, you make a payment upfront, you get your product, you get the use and enjoyment of it, and then you finish paying it off over time.
Speaker AThe problem is most Americans struggle with the paying it off over time part.
Speaker BThey're not thinking ahead and they've already.
Speaker AGot the dopamine hit from getting it.
Speaker BOr.
Speaker BAnd then, and then you couple that with, you know, a surprise expense that they get that they have to now pay for.
Speaker BThe thing of.
Speaker BThink of like a, A main.
Speaker AIt's not even a surprise anymore, is it?
Speaker AI mean, every single month I got something coming up that's like hitting you.
Speaker BThat's a valid point.
Speaker AWe always think like, oh, you know, you're never going to know, you know, next month, bro, you know, there's going to be a charge that comes up.
Speaker AIf it's not new tires on your car, it's going to be, you know, the seasonal time of year.
Speaker AIf it's not somebody's birthday, it's Valentine's Day.
Speaker AIf it's not Valentine's Day, it's Halloween.
Speaker AIf it's not Halloween, it's Christmas.
Speaker BOr is the renewal of your car insurance where they pay your registration, bro.
Speaker BOr pay registration.
Speaker BOr the renewal of your car insurance where they take like a 25% upfront.
Speaker AYeah.
Speaker BAnd then.
Speaker BAnd then they.
Speaker BThey break it down to monthly payments.
Speaker AAnd since when did car insurance become like a mortgage?
Speaker CIt's ridiculous.
Speaker AIt's not right.
Speaker BIt's getting out of control, bro.
Speaker AI. I remember looking.
Speaker AI don't even.
Speaker AOh, God.
Speaker AI get these alerts from Farmers, the app on my phone, because I use Farmers, and I have an umbrella policy which includes some of the autos.
Speaker AThe.
Speaker AThe number has gone up by 33 in like the last two years.
Speaker BEasy, easy.
Speaker AAnd I'm looking at this stuff going.
Speaker AAnd then they change where they charge in California.
Speaker AI don't think it's across the country.
Speaker ABut I'm sitting here going, like, what the hell happened?
Speaker AWhy did car insurance get more.
Speaker ADid I miss, like, the memo they had?
Speaker BThey all.
Speaker BAnd all the companies adopted it together.
Speaker BYou're right.
Speaker BAnd I feel like in Cal.
Speaker ADifferent.
Speaker AIt's extortion, man.
Speaker AIt's extortion.
Speaker AAnd I know there's going to be somebody listening who's going to DM me and say, chris, I'm in insurance.
Speaker AInsurance companies don't make that Much money.
Speaker AOkay, fine.
Speaker AWhy am I getting charged so much?
Speaker BRight.
Speaker AThat's all I'm saying.
Speaker BYeah.
Speaker AEvery time we do an episode on this, like somebody who's in the insurance sales business will tell me why I'm.
Speaker BWrong and happy to cover though, let me know.
Speaker ABut here's the, here's the thing is I legitimately don't understand because there are reinsurers for insurance companies.
Speaker ASo your insurance company takes a loss, they submit a claim to their reinsurer.
Speaker BExactly.
Speaker BI don't think a lot of people understand that.
Speaker ASo yeah, there's lots of backdoor insurance, if you will, that's non retail facing where insurance companies have their own insurance for things and there's so on and so forth down the trail.
Speaker AYou look at the stuff and you.
Speaker BGo, they limit their own risk.
Speaker AEverybody hedges their bets.
Speaker AEvery institution that's large and scalable enough will have some type of hedging strategy for economic losses.
Speaker AIf you're a bank, you've got a hedging strategy in place where you just hedge with other instruments, financial instruments.
Speaker AIf you're an insurance company, you hedge with reinsurance.
Speaker AStandard process.
Speaker AAnd I look at all this stuff and I think to myself, okay, insurance and all this stuff's going up.
Speaker AOkay, yeah, sure.
Speaker ACosts for building a home are going up, costs for cars are going up.
Speaker ABut at the same time, are you really getting charged that much more as an insurance company for damages to V?
Speaker AAren't vehicles safer now?
Speaker BThey should be.
Speaker ARight Again, I'm just confused on how this is all working.
Speaker BSpeaking of safer cars, did you see this Waymo car that just drove into the police standoff the other day?
Speaker AYeah, that was awkward.
Speaker AI, I won't do it.
Speaker AI don't care about you.
Speaker BI have yet to do it.
Speaker AI'm not.
Speaker COh, I did.
Speaker CI went, I went on a Waymo twice.
Speaker AThat's why I'm looking in his direction.
Speaker AYeah, I'm like, I know you did it.
Speaker BDid you see that video?
Speaker BI didn't see that video.
Speaker BThat should be enough for everyone to be like, no, thank you.
Speaker ANope, I'm out.
Speaker ANope, nope, not doing it.
Speaker CYeah, it was a pretty smooth ride though the first time I, I use it.
Speaker CExcept one time or one part of it, we made a right turn.
Speaker CThere's a.
Speaker CSo it was a one way right turn.
Speaker CRight.
Speaker CBut there's three lanes and this is in San Francisco and so it's going to make the right turn, but it cuts so hard that all of us like jerk in the car to the side.
Speaker AAll of Us jerked in the club.
Speaker BCome on, man.
Speaker AI apologize for Jill.
Speaker AYou guys were all jerking in the.
Speaker BCar same the same week 50 comes out with the Diddy video.
Speaker BIt's a wholesome show, okay?
Speaker BIt's the wholesome show.
Speaker AIt's a wholesome show.
Speaker CIt makes it a hard right turn.
Speaker BCome on.
Speaker BAll right, we can't even get.
Speaker BShow took a left turn.
Speaker BAnd then.
Speaker COn the four, it's going for the far left lane, but then right in front of it is a car that stopped with the hazards on.
Speaker CSo then it has to go and make a sharp right turn or into the right lane, into the middle lane.
Speaker CSo that, that was a little exciting.
Speaker BOkay.
Speaker BBut it, but it, but it caught it anyway.
Speaker BSo my point, my point is.
Speaker BOkay with, with more evs like this, right?
Speaker BAnd are Tesla's even allowed to drive on, on their own now?
Speaker AFull auto now?
Speaker BNo, not yet.
Speaker BRight.
Speaker BIn some cities, yeah.
Speaker AThey can't drive.
Speaker AIndependent people.
Speaker BYeah, I'm aware of.
Speaker ABut they can do stuff like.
Speaker BThere's a thought there were some cities where they could.
Speaker ARight.
Speaker BI don't know.
Speaker AThis is not my subject matter.
Speaker BBut, but that should theoretically just make it that a little bit more safer, right?
Speaker AYou would think.
Speaker ABut you know, again, we're all paying crazy money for insurance and all this needs to be revolutionized.
Speaker AAnd so here's my, here's my underlying just question.
Speaker ARight?
Speaker AAnd we'll get to the AI part of the show later on.
Speaker AThere's a lot there I want to cover, but let's just say AI takes, it takes over.
Speaker AYou have vehicles Tesla.
Speaker AWe know Tesla's infrastructure is largely about mapping everything out and having this ability with more data to have self driving vehicles.
Speaker ALet's say we get there.
Speaker ADoes my insurance goes down, right?
Speaker BIt should.
Speaker AIt should, right?
Speaker BThey're not going to.
Speaker BThey're not going.
Speaker AIf I opt into self driving, shouldn't my insurance go down?
Speaker ABecause I am not Tesla's insurance go up.
Speaker BRight.
Speaker AI'm not making the driving decisions anymore.
Speaker AI'm just sitting in the car.
Speaker BYeah.
Speaker BYes.
Speaker AAt this point it's not my fault.
Speaker CRight.
Speaker AI'm not saying I shouldn't be getting any speeding tickets.
Speaker AThere should be no reckless driving.
Speaker AThere should be no dui.
Speaker ARight.
Speaker AYou, you remove all that from the equation and you just put me in a glorified taxi cab that I pay for.
Speaker BNow that would be the ultimate flex for Tesla eventually.
Speaker BRight?
Speaker BBuy our car and opt in to pay for the additional.
Speaker BWas it ten grand for the auto self drive and we will Give you our own insurance.
Speaker BThat's slightly cheaper because you opted for that.
Speaker AYeah.
Speaker ADone.
Speaker BDone.
Speaker AElon, Call us.
Speaker BYou're welcome.
Speaker AWe got you, dog.
Speaker BYou're welcome.
Speaker AOut here, just making millionaires, minting them.
Speaker BEasy marketing geniuses over here.
Speaker AWe'll cut you in 10 of that deal.
Speaker AIt's a problem.
Speaker ANow watch.
Speaker ASomebody actually gets rich from that.
Speaker AAnd we're like, damn it.
Speaker BYeah.
Speaker AAll right, so 11 increase on buy Now, Pay later use.
Speaker AKlarna specific use up 45 by volume since last year alone.
Speaker AThat's one buy now, pay later services.
Speaker AUp 45 from just last year.
Speaker AYeah.
Speaker BAnd that's not a product that people are sprinting to because it's beneficial to them.
Speaker BNo, no.
Speaker AI'm sure there's a whole cohort of people on social media going, listen, let me tell you why by now.
Speaker ACome on.
Speaker BNo, I'm not listening to those people.
Speaker AThis according to Klarna record.
Speaker ABlack Friday lifts Klarna to 45% November growth.
Speaker AGod, if you're them, you have that in your headline.
Speaker AYou're like, yes.
Speaker AGot consumer trends.
Speaker ALet's go over these.
Speaker AThese are interesting footwear.
Speaker ABirkenstock made a dramatic leap from last year's bottom rankings to claim the number one spot for adult shoe brands, while Timberland captured the second place.
Speaker AI would have never called that man.
Speaker BDon't I owe you the name of that?
Speaker BThe one that I got.
Speaker BWas I supposed to get you the off brand one?
Speaker BYeah, my bad.
Speaker BI just remembered with the Birkenstock, that.
Speaker APrivate text message there that we had talking about him being a bad friend.
Speaker ANow he knows why.
Speaker BYeah, yeah.
Speaker BThose Hawaii trips that you guys go on.
Speaker BYou guys talk all the smack.
Speaker BIt's cool.
Speaker AExactly.
Speaker AWhy.
Speaker BIt's fine.
Speaker AThis is why.
Speaker BI understand.
Speaker AWe.
Speaker ALook, I understand there's a chicken egg argument here.
Speaker ABurger socks are big amongst the younger Jewish.
Speaker AThat the youth community is adopting Birkenstocks with tube socks with two.
Speaker BYeah, that's fine.
Speaker AYeah.
Speaker AYou can't wear.
Speaker BYou can't wear the low ankle socks with Birkenstocks, bro.
Speaker AYou shouldn't be wearing any socks with Birkenstocks.
Speaker BNo, no.
Speaker BThat's a little weird if it doesn't have the.
Speaker AThe heel cover.
Speaker BOkay.
Speaker AYou should not be wearing socks.
Speaker AThose are slippers.
Speaker AThose are slippers, bro.
Speaker BStop.
Speaker AThose are slippers.
Speaker BThat's so gross, bro.
Speaker BYou got to wear socks with your sandals.
Speaker AWe have all.
Speaker BYou don't wear socks.
Speaker AYou've got weird OCD issues when it comes to stuff.
Speaker BIf you don't Wear.
Speaker BIf you don't wear socks with your sandals, the.
Speaker BYour confidence level with your toes is a little too high for me.
Speaker BI don't know if we could be friends.
Speaker AI got sexy toes.
Speaker AI know this.
Speaker APeople in my DMs tell me this all the time.
Speaker AChris, send me a foot photo.
Speaker ASend me a foot photo and I'll be honest.
Speaker AI send them some time to time.
Speaker BYeah.
Speaker AShout out.
Speaker AShout out to my guy.
Speaker AMark.
Speaker BYou gotta, you gotta feel body by Mark.
Speaker AExcuse me.
Speaker AYou look like you're in shape.
Speaker ATechnology.
Speaker BApple AirPods 4 dominated as 2025's top tech product.
Speaker BYou got those right?
Speaker ANo, I had the AirPod Pros.
Speaker AThe AirPod Fours are out.
Speaker AI have the AirPod Pro.
Speaker AI think threes is what I have.
Speaker BOkay.
Speaker BI'm happy with my AirPods man.
Speaker BI don't need an update on those.
Speaker AFun fact, I did not know this.
Speaker AYou know you're supposed to swap out.
Speaker AAllegedly swap out your AirPods every eight to six months.
Speaker BWhy?
Speaker ABecause I guess they get eight to six months.
Speaker BWho does it like that?
Speaker AWho says eight months?
Speaker BWho says why not?
Speaker AI said eight.
Speaker BWhy not six to seven months.
Speaker ASix first and then I didn't want to mess it up.
Speaker BYeah, you saw what I did there.
Speaker B7.
Speaker BWhy not?
Speaker BWhy you got to go?
Speaker AWhy?
Speaker AYou see the new trend, by the way?
Speaker BWhy are you attacking.
Speaker AEvery dad is like, yes, I got him.
Speaker ASo in gaming, Sony's new PS5 Slim and Pro models led the category followed by Nintendo Switch 2, which all makes sense.
Speaker AIPads made it come back.
Speaker AReturn to the top 10 after previous absence.
Speaker AI'm going to call this now.
Speaker AIPads are going obsolete.
Speaker AYou're going to get a new fold out Apple iPhone which is the size of an iPad and it's going to dramatically eat into their sales.
Speaker AAnd I think they did it on purpose.
Speaker AI think they wanted to get rid of their iPad inventory and reduce that before rolling that product out.
Speaker BYeah, remember that.
Speaker BThey're notorious for this.
Speaker BSomebody did a full breakdown on the ipod nanos back in the day and you literally just remove the screen and turn into a watch.
Speaker AYeah, brilliant.
Speaker AI have the watch.
Speaker ADo you have the watch?
Speaker BI have after, after buying the watch the first time.
Speaker BThere's no, there's no world where I'll never own another Apple.
Speaker BI will always own one.
Speaker BAlways.
Speaker ABe careful.
Speaker AThere are a lot of die hard watch aficionados who were like that.
Speaker CSon of a.
Speaker BThat's fine.
Speaker BI mean, no, if I go to, if I go to a nice dinner and at, at that Time in the, in the.
Speaker BIn the future when I can afford that nice dinner and I can also afford a nice watch, I'll wear a nice watch.
Speaker BThat nice dinner.
Speaker AI'll be honest with you.
Speaker AI can't afford nice dinners anymore.
Speaker BThese watches are not suitable for, like, suits.
Speaker AYes, they are.
Speaker BNo.
Speaker AA little too thick.
Speaker AYou want to know why I am the tech, bro.
Speaker AListen, I. I got the meta display glass wrist band on.
Speaker AOn one side with the beads.
Speaker AYeah.
Speaker BThe boot.
Speaker BThe Buddhist beads.
Speaker AThose are the beads.
Speaker AEverybody, if you're driving.
Speaker AWhat the hell was that squirrel sound?
Speaker AThat.
Speaker AWas that what that is?
Speaker AGot the.
Speaker AGot the Apple watch, got the iPhone.
Speaker AI'm pretty much walking technology right now.
Speaker AYou are technological.
Speaker BYeah.
Speaker ASpeaking of which, beauty products side's favorite category, luxury fragrance, Baccarat Rouge 540 claims the number one position site.
Speaker AYou own Baccarat Rouge.
Speaker BI don't.
Speaker BI've seen.
Speaker BI've seen the.
Speaker BThe ads, though that.
Speaker BWhich says a lot.
Speaker AWhile Sabrina Carpenter's sweet tooth perfume became the only celebrity fragrance to break into the top 10.
Speaker AI still don't know what the hell Sabrina Carpenter does.
Speaker AOkay.
Speaker BWhat do you mean?
Speaker BShe's.
Speaker BShe's a.
Speaker BShe's a singer.
Speaker BAnd this is.
Speaker BThis is very controversial in our household.
Speaker BSerena Carpenter, because she's a singer?
Speaker BNo, the song.
Speaker BOkay, so she had, she had that famous espresso song.
Speaker BIt's a great, great song.
Speaker BKids love it.
Speaker AI don't know what you're talking about.
Speaker BIt's a great song.
Speaker BYou've heard it for sure.
Speaker BYou've heard it.
Speaker BAnd kids love it.
Speaker BRight?
Speaker BAnd then she came out with her next album.
Speaker BIt was very, like, it was a very good song for, for kids.
Speaker BAnd then the next album comes out and like, they're, they're excited to.
Speaker BTo hear it because Howell listens to it and we pull it up in the cart and.
Speaker BNo, the album cover, bro, is wild.
Speaker AIt's.
Speaker BAnd the kids.
Speaker BAnd the kids.
Speaker BYeah.
Speaker AWhat is.
Speaker AWhat does wild mean?
Speaker AIs like sexually seductive.
Speaker BYeah, yeah, yeah, yeah, yeah.
Speaker BLike, like, she's, like.
Speaker BShe's in a certain position.
Speaker AI wouldn't know that because I don't look at.
Speaker AI haven't seen a woman since the day I got married, bro.
Speaker BIt comes.
Speaker BYou play the song, it comes up on the screen.
Speaker BWhat do you want me to do?
Speaker BI can't control that.
Speaker AAvert your eyes as a respectable married man.
Speaker AFor all those who listen to the show, they go, saeed is a good husband.
Speaker ANo, he's not.
Speaker AHe's out here ogling And Sabrina Carpenter's not ogling.
Speaker BI'm trying to cover it because my.
Speaker AComes up while you're driving.
Speaker AYou averted your eyes.
Speaker AYou can't even be safe.
Speaker BIt comes up.
Speaker BIt comes up while he's driving.
Speaker AApple Ray Ban displays on.
Speaker AYou're just like, yes.
Speaker ANo.
Speaker BIt's wild.
Speaker BI remember we had to shut it down.
Speaker BShut the whole operation down quick.
Speaker BIt was crazy.
Speaker AYeah.
Speaker AWhat was the song about?
Speaker BI don't even know the new song, but truffle butter.
Speaker CYeah.
Speaker BThere it is.
Speaker AKids, Wholesome shows for everybody.
Speaker BDon't do yourself the favor and look up truffle butter.
Speaker ANo.
Speaker AIf you go to a French restaurant, it's truffle infused butter.
Speaker BOh, boy.
Speaker AWhat are you talking about, sir?
Speaker BShow it off the rails.
Speaker AAre you aware of this different definition?
Speaker ANo.
Speaker BYes.
Speaker BTruffle butter with.
Speaker ADon't do that.
Speaker AJust do that part after trouble.
Speaker AButter again.
Speaker AOh.
Speaker AAll right.
Speaker AWell, besides celebrity perfume home goods, the brand ninja dominated the home goods while mattress Mattresses bounced from sixth place in 2024 to the second in 2025.
Speaker AYeah, man.
Speaker AI don't know why.
Speaker BHonestly, if.
Speaker BOkay, then that's.
Speaker BThat's kind of wild.
Speaker BThat's a big expense, right?
Speaker AWhy?
Speaker AI get that you sleep a lot.
Speaker AI remember.
Speaker BI remember.
Speaker BOh, you should break this down to people.
Speaker BThis is actually really insightful because you've walked into, like, a factory that.
Speaker BThat makes mattresses.
Speaker AOh, yeah.
Speaker AIt was great, right?
Speaker AYeah.
Speaker BAnd it's literally.
Speaker BIt's literally just a branding game, so.
Speaker AOkay, I gotta figure out a way to do this without violating India's.
Speaker AAll right, I got it ready.
Speaker ASo there were.
Speaker AWhen the early days of foam mattresses came out.
Speaker AThere was really one supplier on the east Coast.
Speaker AIt was two partners.
Speaker AThe partners split up, and one moved to the west Coast.
Speaker ABut because mattresses were so difficult to ship, even then, they had to come up with a revolutionary way to do it.
Speaker AAnd the guy on the west coast did it.
Speaker AAnd he's the reason why you saw all these online mattress brands pop up, like Casper, for example.
Speaker AIt's because he found a way.
Speaker AAnd if you guys have ordered one recently that are these foam mattresses, to vacuum seal them, pack them in plastic, and they come to you in these rolls.
Speaker BYeah.
Speaker BAnd then when you cut it open, just expands.
Speaker BRight.
Speaker ASo he was looking for financing at the time, and I was, you know, really interested in doing it.
Speaker AAnd I always make a point whenever somebody's asking me for financing, for business loans, regardless what position I'm in, I want to go and check out the, the space I want to go to, you know.
Speaker BYeah.
Speaker AKick things around.
Speaker BI want to see it.
Speaker BI want to see the factory.
Speaker BI want to see how, how it's made.
Speaker ABy far and away, one of the most fascinating tours I've ever taken.
Speaker AIt was a massive warehouse, right?
Speaker AMassive.
Speaker AI mean, just look like Disneyland.
Speaker AAnd you walk in and are multiple brands being made?
Speaker BLike, are the brands buying it from this, this supplier?
Speaker AI'll get there, my friend.
Speaker AI don't get there.
Speaker ABut yes, essentially they are all from the same two factories.
Speaker AWow.
Speaker AAnd there are some different ingredients which you can add to the foam.
Speaker ASo the way this works is the, the factory floor was largely just mattresses that were stored up and saved there.
Speaker AAnd what they did is they had effectively from like a zero waste product.
Speaker AIt was really fascinating.
Speaker ASo he had a scientist and the scientist came up with this machine that built really incredible stuff.
Speaker ASo if you think about it like a long assembly line and a conveyor belt.
Speaker AAt the very beginning of the conveyor belt, there is this jet that sprays down fluid in a straight line about the width of a mattress.
Speaker ARight.
Speaker AOf a king size mattress.
Speaker AAnd that just.
Speaker AThe conveyor belt just sprays constantly and it just rolls all the way down this long chain.
Speaker AAs it goes all the way down the chain, this foam rises.
Speaker BOh.
Speaker BSo it's kind of like a 3D printer.
Speaker AIt's just like spray foam where you spray it in and it rises up fast, but it rises up a little slower.
Speaker ABy the time it gets the end of the conveyor belt, the foam has risen to the size of normalized foam, like a normalized foam mattress.
Speaker ADepending on what chemicals they add to the foam, they can change the.
Speaker AYou want a cooler bed?
Speaker ADo you want a firmer bed?
Speaker AThey just change the density of the foam.
Speaker AAnd they have a lot of chemicals that can add to it to change the dynamics of how you interact, interact with it.
Speaker AOr they can put layers down, like one spray layer of foam versus another spray layer firm.
Speaker AThey have different components, Right.
Speaker ABut by the time it gets to the end, it's this giant long sheet of mattress size material.
Speaker ABecause they do, you know, once one type of mattress at a time and this, another machine just cuts them, just cuts them in these massive sizes and they just do size runs depending on what size mattresses they're making.
Speaker ABut the waste product that they have from this goes into other products that they sell to other people.
Speaker APeople want stuffing for animals, they want pillows or something like that.
Speaker AThey want packing material.
Speaker CRight.
Speaker ASo they're selling the foam to everybody.
Speaker ASo there's really cradle to grave, no waste in this product.
Speaker BRight.
Speaker BThat's how, that's how I saw recently how, how they make almond milk too.
Speaker BRight?
Speaker BIt's from, it's from the almonds that are like broken or chipped that they wouldn't want to include.
Speaker BAnd when they're selling them, so they use that and they turn it into almond milk.
Speaker AAnd I've gone to one of those factories, I've gone in a noodle factory, which was super interesting up in San Francisco, where all they make was noodles.
Speaker AAnd it was the cleanest.
Speaker AEverything in the factory is white.
Speaker AHe even ordered the machines in white.
Speaker BJust to make it look cleaner.
Speaker AEverything.
Speaker AEverybody had hair nets on.
Speaker AYou couldn't even get into the facility without a full suit on.
Speaker AHair nets.
Speaker BThat's why it should be.
Speaker BThat's the way it should be, though.
Speaker AHe was immaculately like OCD clean about it.
Speaker AAnd I said, is this, is this the level?
Speaker AHe's like, no, we go way above and beyond.
Speaker AHe's like, I've had bad experiences with food poisoning and bad food, and I never want anybody else to get that from our product.
Speaker BI respect that.
Speaker AEverything was white.
Speaker ALike, I mean, I'm talking like glossy, like enamel white.
Speaker AHe's like, I want to be able to see a speck of dirt.
Speaker AIt was really fascinating.
Speaker ABut the, the mattress stuff, to answer your question, they private label for everybody.
Speaker ASo everybody who sells in those vacuum sealed packages, get them from these two guys.
Speaker AAnd these are not guys you would ever go like, hey, like, oh, that guy's a billionaire.
Speaker AThat guy's rich.
Speaker AOr this guy.
Speaker AYou would never know.
Speaker BYou would never know.
Speaker AThe building isn't marked.
Speaker AThere's a giant machine that has chemicals in it.
Speaker AAll he buys is the chemical product, which doesn't have a huge cost.
Speaker AHis biggest cost was shipping, and he figured out a way to vacuum pack them.
Speaker AAnd ironically, I got some of the earliest vacuum sealed foam mattresses from him because he wanted to test how shipping was done.
Speaker AI said, look, I got to pay retail, whatever that is, but I would love to get them from.
Speaker BYeah, yeah, yeah, that's really cool.
Speaker AIt was really cool.
Speaker AI really enjoyed it.
Speaker AYeah.
Speaker BBut, yeah, that's a, that's a big expense for them to jump from sixth place to second place.
Speaker AYeah, yeah, it's, it's, it's weird.
Speaker AAnd they are hyper expensive.
Speaker AReill, let's go to the next article here.
Speaker AActually, before we do that, I want to finish up one more thing.
Speaker AOverall total of 95% of Black Friday shopping.
Speaker A$11.2 billion was financed and 11.2 billion.
Speaker A95% financed.
Speaker AWow.
Speaker AThat's insane.
Speaker BThat is insane.
Speaker AThat's not even like a small statement.
Speaker AThat's a.95% of Black Friday shopping.
Speaker A$11.2 billion was financed.
Speaker AGranted some credit card.67% of that 7.9 billion was financed on debt that consumers do not expect to be able to repay in the next 30 days.
Speaker BOh, so just continue to gain.
Speaker ASo, yeah, effectively 67% of the purchases made on Black Friday were not something that someone could pay cash for that day.
Speaker BSo watch, watch what's going to happen.
Speaker BI mean, if we start tracking, you know, house.
Speaker BHousehold.
Speaker BHousehold debt.
Speaker BRight?
Speaker BMeaning like credit card debt.
Speaker BRight.
Speaker BRight now it's going to start, it's going to start spiking and then you're going to see a big dip come January, beginning of the year.
Speaker BCome January, a lot of that because people, A lot of people get their bonuses and they pay down the credit card debt.
Speaker BBut then watch what happens after that.
Speaker BRight.
Speaker BIt's just going to continue to increase again.
Speaker ACan I, can I just take a little anecdotal side note here, Jill.
Speaker AYou.
Speaker ADid your dad get bonuses when you were a kid?
Speaker BYes.
Speaker AOkay.
Speaker BMy dad had his own small business.
Speaker AYeah.
Speaker ANot everybody relates to this.
Speaker ASo I understand that there might be some disconnect.
Speaker AWhy the hell are we giving bonuses out in February?
Speaker ALike, we've just pushed so hard into like corporate American culture.
Speaker BWhy, why, why do corporations pay bonuses out in February or March or sometimes it's, I guess it's in the, in the first quarter, Right.
Speaker ARegila, Google that and see if you figure out why, why, why corporations switched to paying in February.
Speaker AI actually don't know the answer to that.
Speaker AAnd I'm sure there's, there's economic implications here, but we all know that American consumers, because of the holiday season, Thanksgiving, Christmas, Kwanzaa, or, you know, whatever you're into.
Speaker AWhatever.
Speaker BWhatever.
Speaker AYeah.
Speaker ABut yeah, no matter.
Speaker AWhatever it is, you know, if these consumers all need to buy more things during this period of time and it is the end of the year and you're paying them an annual bon.
Speaker AIt makes no sense.
Speaker BAnd it makes no sense.
Speaker BAnd you know what's always, what's always really sad too, is her.
Speaker BCorporations pay annual bonuses in February because it is often after the previous fiscal year has ended, allowing companies time to assess performance and calculate bonuses.
Speaker ASo here's, here's what I would call shenanigans, right?
Speaker AIt Calls it falls for a key window for retaining employees who might otherwise leave before the bonus is paid.
Speaker ASee, that to me bothers me a big part.
Speaker ARight.
Speaker AThat asterisk is you're basically baiting them into staying throughout the next year.
Speaker AIf you have to bait employees into staying, you're a terrible company, number one.
Speaker ANumber two, let's just be clear here.
Speaker AThe way bonuses works from a financial perspective is companies will accrue for bonuses throughout the year.
Speaker AIt actually starts in Q1 and it goes all the way to Q4.
Speaker AYou accrue for those bonuses.
Speaker ASo basically you're running a little bit of money off the top every single, every single month, every single quarter to pay for bonus at the end of the year.
Speaker ABecause you have a bonus pool that you're trying to hit.
Speaker BYeah.
Speaker BAnd depending on if you fulfill that whole pool.
Speaker BRight.
Speaker BIt will determine how much you get.
Speaker ARight, right.
Speaker ABut again, I understand that the company's performance for December might not be known until you get all your financials together for, you know, December and January.
Speaker ARight, I get that.
Speaker ABut you know how much you've accrued and you got a general feel for how the company's going to do if something comes up that alerts you to some significant problem in January or February because you have the end of the year financials, the end of the quarter financials at that point in time, then I would say you took your eye off the ball and you made a big ass mistake.
Speaker ABut that isn't your company's, your individual employees problem.
Speaker BAnd this, let's be real here.
Speaker BSo, and with per the performance reviews too, there, there have been years in the past where, you know, you're working all year long, you've done everything in your part to make sure that you've performed very well.
Speaker BAnd then unfortunately the company didn't, you know, make enough profits throughout the year and didn't accrue enough for you to get your bonus pool.
Speaker BRight.
Speaker ARight.
Speaker AY.
Speaker BWell, guess when, guess when the, the, the employee like finds out.
Speaker AYeah, February.
Speaker BAfter they've already spent the money that they were hoping to get later to pay for it.
Speaker AYou know, I have a solution for this.
Speaker ARight.
Speaker AI can proffer up a solution.
Speaker AThis is, we've given out Tesla Brilliance ideas tonight.
Speaker AInsurance.
Speaker AWe solve the insurance industry's problems now.
Speaker AWe're going to solve this problem.
Speaker AYeah.
Speaker BCorporate America, take a seat.
Speaker AEvery single person in corporate America, every single one of you need to adopt the philosophy that I'm about to put forward because you're going to have a happier Employee culture, number one.
Speaker ANumber two, you're going to have better responsible executives.
Speaker BOh, okay.
Speaker AThe way this works in most companies, the higher you are to the top of the company's food chain, the more your bonus is largely based off how the company performs.
Speaker AAnd the logic is because you as an executive have more influence on the end result of how the company works.
Speaker AUsing the banking industry as a proxy for an example here, a teller is not going to influence the company's trajectory anywhere near as much as an executive vice president, chief operating officer of the company.
Speaker BCompany makes sense.
Speaker ASo the executive vice president, chief operating officer of the company gets a bonus that's 80% based on how the company does and 20% based off their individual performance.
Speaker AWhereas a teller would get something that's 80% off their performance and 20% all the company does because you want that person to be incentivized for them to perform well because they're not going to really change the dynamic of the company's.
Speaker BI guess that makes sense and that's a good point for everyone to understand.
Speaker AYeah.
Speaker AThere are different spreads and the different versions and variants of this.
Speaker ABut here's my, here's my suggestion.
Speaker AHere's the brilliance.
Speaker AThat is the higher standard.
Speaker BThat's what we're doing.
Speaker AExecutives are people who have for example a 70, 80, 90% impact on the company and therefore their bonus based on the company does.
Speaker AYou should get paid in February.
Speaker AEvery other employee in the company, those tellers, those senior vice president, the mid level managers who don't have that much of an influence in the company who are largely paid off of their performance.
Speaker AI can gauge their performance by year end.
Speaker BOh yeah.
Speaker AOh yeah.
Speaker AThey should get paid their bonuses in December.
Speaker AAnd if you're a senior level executive who get paid a whole hell of a lot more can get your big ass bonus check in February.
Speaker AYou can wait two months.
Speaker BIt's not, it shouldn't be a surprise to anyone that if you're working for a smaller private company like let's just say the company that my wife works for, small dental practice.
Speaker BRight.
Speaker BShe gets a, she gets her.
Speaker BAlbeit significantly smaller than like a big corporation where it's a huge, like a modest.
Speaker BModest.
Speaker BRight.
Speaker BYou, they get it like at their Christmas party.
Speaker BYeah.
Speaker AWhich I think is great.
Speaker BRight.
Speaker ALike that, that, that's a Christmas party.
Speaker BRight.
Speaker AYou know what make people go to your Christmas party?
Speaker AHand them a check.
Speaker BI'm there.
Speaker AYeah.
Speaker BI bet you, I bet you they won't miss out.
Speaker AFun fact.
Speaker AWhen we started the bank, we used to do that.
Speaker BOh, yeah.
Speaker AScott.
Speaker BBefore my time.
Speaker AScott, our CEO and.
Speaker AAnd one of my closest friends, actually, probably my closest friend at this point in time.
Speaker ANo offense.
Speaker AI.
Speaker BAgain, multiple shots, bro.
Speaker BLook, well, that's a shot to me, too.
Speaker BTo.
Speaker AI talk to Scott every morning by 8am at the latest.
Speaker AProbably four or five times a day and multiple times on the weekend.
Speaker AI mean, no offense, boys, but you.
Speaker BGuys got some coffee?
Speaker BI mean, two or three.
Speaker BI mean, two or three times a day.
Speaker BTwo or three times on the weekend.
Speaker BI mean, that ain't nothing.
Speaker ANo, it ain't nothing.
Speaker ABut, I mean, if we're going with straight numbers here, bro, you're lacking.
Speaker BNumbers are.
Speaker AI'm lacking?
Speaker AYou're lacking.
Speaker CI'm busy, man.
Speaker CI'm trying to make a five to nine.
Speaker AYeah, he's out here working his ass off.
Speaker BYou're out here trying to make a dollar out of 15 cents.
Speaker ALacking.
Speaker AYeah, inside's over here just, you know, just smiling at me.
Speaker ABut Scott's making the calls, baby.
Speaker AYeah.
Speaker BYeah, you're right.
Speaker AYou can't be putting up Braun numbers, Brian.
Speaker AOuch.
Speaker BHey, still 10 points a game, bro.
Speaker BYeah.
Speaker AI want them Luca numbers.
Speaker BLook at you.
Speaker AThank you.
Speaker BI'm so happy, bro.
Speaker AI had a clip.
Speaker AI asked Chat JBT to give me.
Speaker BAn example, like, using the show.
Speaker AWell, you can make a reference over Luka Donich.
Speaker BYeah, yeah.
Speaker AAnecdotally.
Speaker AJ.J. reddick's not doing too bad either.
Speaker BOh, doing amazing.
Speaker AGood for you.
Speaker AYeah.
Speaker ASee, look at you, man.
Speaker AI don't know that.
Speaker AI just.
Speaker AI actually saw somebody on a clip on social media.
Speaker AAll the smoke.
Speaker BAll the smoke.
Speaker AYeah.
Speaker BMatt Barnes, Captain Jack.
Speaker AYeah, yeah.
Speaker ASo I. I do think that that when he came around during the holiday parties and he gave out, he would give people, like, an envelope with their name on it, and he would hand them out and shake their hand and say thank you.
Speaker BYeah, I. I think that resonates with people.
Speaker AIt resonates.
Speaker AIt's culture, man.
Speaker BAnd that's.
Speaker BI don't know what.
Speaker BWhat needs to happen for.
Speaker BFor culture to have, I guess, more of an importance in the workplace again.
Speaker AYou know, I think AI might destroy that.
Speaker AAnd we'll get to where AI is going at the end of the show.
Speaker AI do want to spend a good amount of time here.
Speaker ASo we talked about buy now, pay later.
Speaker AWe talked about credit in the holiday season, Black Friday.
Speaker ANow we're going to talk about the repercussions of what's really creating a divide.
Speaker AAnd Adam from Mind Pump.
Speaker BMind Pump.
Speaker BMind Pump, Mind Pump.
Speaker AI had to look at you.
Speaker BNo, no, I was.
Speaker BI was waiting to see if he listened to old episodes.
Speaker AOh, yeah.
Speaker BWe gotta always.
Speaker BWe gotta always reference the show multiple times that we do.
Speaker AJoe Rogan.
Speaker AJoe Rogan.
Speaker BJoe Rogan.
Speaker BJust so that we trick the algorithm.
Speaker AYeah, the algorithm actually knows when you speak about shows, you see the suggestions.
Speaker ABut that isn't the reason why for my pump.
Speaker AThis.
Speaker AThis show would not exist if it were not for Adam and Justin and Sal and Doug.
Speaker AAnd they helped us a lot in the early stages of the show.
Speaker AAnd actually Adam was the one who sent me this next.
Speaker AWell, Adam and I constantly have messages over text about stuff and usually about finance.
Speaker AAnd we debated this back and forth and I actually sent him this chart.
Speaker ASo I want to share with everybody here.
Speaker AOne in 10 adults in the US are millionaires.
Speaker AThat sounds sexy.
Speaker ABut there's a problem with this statement in this chart that Rajeel pulled up.
Speaker AIf you're driving, I'm gonna explain it to you.
Speaker ADon't worry about it.
Speaker AIf you're watching the show on Spotify and YouTube.
Speaker AThank you.
Speaker ASubscribe.
Speaker CHit that like.
Speaker AThat's right.
Speaker CDrop a comment.
Speaker BThis.
Speaker BThis from the Census Bureau.
Speaker AIt's a little outdated.
Speaker AThis is from 201967 to 2022, but it highlights a lot of what we talked about.
Speaker AThe UBS Global Wealth Report from 2025 estimates.
Speaker AExcuse me, too much energy drink.
Speaker AToday, 23.8 million U.S. adults have a net worth over $1 million.
Speaker AAbout 9 to 10% of adults.
Speaker AThis is based on asset data, not solely income.
Speaker AThough surveys can include self reports.
Speaker ASources like AP News and Reuters confirm similar numbers.
Speaker ANo widespread evidence of lying, but estimates vary significantly and slightly by methodology.
Speaker ASo here's what I'll say.
Speaker AThis chart shows that in 1967 you had 13.1% of the population had high income of a hundred thousand dollars or more.
Speaker AOkay.
Speaker AIn 1967, 32% of the population had $35,000 or less.
Speaker AAnd about 54.6% were the middle class having about 35 to $100,000 in income.
Speaker AWow.
Speaker AOkay.
Speaker ANow I would argue that using today's numbers and inflation, everything else, that really the middle class at 35,000 to 100,000 really include that There's a lot of poor people in that space.
Speaker AStill, we call it the middle class back then.
Speaker AEven.
Speaker AEven back then.
Speaker AI think the middle class has always been skewed to a lower level to make it look like it's bigger than it is.
Speaker BOh, yeah, right.
Speaker ABecause when you think about it in the context.
Speaker AAnd you and I were talking about this pre show a little bit that the lower class is such a low number.
Speaker AThat it's, it's almost defined as too small.
Speaker BOh yeah.
Speaker BAnd what they use to, to measure it is I think extremely outdated.
Speaker BYou'll see if you can find this article and pull it up.
Speaker BThere was an article that went viral this week on somebody's substack before, before.
Speaker AYou do that, the ones.
Speaker AYeah, yeah, yeah.
Speaker BI want to finish because it ties in well to this.
Speaker AYeah.
Speaker ASo.
Speaker ASo in 2022, we went from 13.1% being a hundred thousand dollars or more in income to 37.5%.
Speaker AThe middle class, however, shrunk from 54.6% down to 39.1% and low income went from 32.3% down to 23.3%.
Speaker AAnd what we're really creating here with this is a barbell shaped economy.
Speaker AMillionaire status is no longer impressive because inflation has made millionaire worth less.
Speaker BWell, forget even impressive like, like you still feel like you're struggling.
Speaker AYeah, you do.
Speaker AAnd I'm a millionaire.
Speaker BYeah.
Speaker AI constantly think about money.
Speaker ARight.
Speaker BI'm not a millionaire, but I bet you you are.
Speaker BI would consider myself in the middle, middle income area and I definitely would consider myself.
Speaker AWhat do you value our friendship as?
Speaker AOh, that's a seven figure friendship.
Speaker BRight.
Speaker BThere you go.
Speaker BGot to get you into the fuzzy knuckles, bro.
Speaker BGive me the fuzzy knuckles.
Speaker AYou got to rub, crave friction.
Speaker AYou didn't do it like that.
Speaker AI was, I wanted to rub knuckles.
Speaker AThat's a different gesture, bro.
Speaker BI can't do this with you, Richard.
Speaker BI can't do the show with you anymore.
Speaker CFor those that are driving, they're playing rock, paper, scissors.
Speaker BThere you go.
Speaker AExcept we're not tapping the rocks.
Speaker BYeah, right, right, right.
Speaker AIt's rock, pole, scissors.
Speaker ASo we're creating, and this is my argument with Adam was number one, the idea of being a millionaire still has the cachet of having a high net worth.
Speaker AThe problem is, is that billionaires are the new millionaires.
Speaker AThat's just fact, mathematically like it.
Speaker BOr I mean, is there really that many billionaires now?
Speaker ANo.
Speaker ABut I would say that the difference between a billionaire and a millionaire is very significant.
Speaker BI would say, I would say in my mind, I would say a 10 million dollar net worth is, is the new millionaire.
Speaker AOkay, that's fine.
Speaker AI don't.
Speaker ABut I think by coin, using current terminology, here's the problem is.
Speaker ABut everybody else is poor now by comparison.
Speaker ARight?
Speaker AThat's the problem.
Speaker BThat's the problem.
Speaker AYou're creating a.
Speaker AA lower class working class in an upper class.
Speaker ASo let's go to the next chart.
Speaker AI want to get to that years just after this Next one is U.S. income versus house prices.
Speaker AThis is from 1985 to 2025.
Speaker AAnd I think this is a great chart.
Speaker AIt's got even little graphics on it which I think are sexy.
Speaker AUS Income and house prices.
Speaker AThe home price to income ratio, years of income to buy a typical home, has risen from 3.5 in 1985 to 45 in 2025.
Speaker AWhat that really means, broken down in numbers is 23, $620 was the median annual US income in 1985.
Speaker AWildly low.
Speaker ABut the $82,800 was the median sales price of a US house in 1985.
Speaker A12.4% 30 year fixed mortgage rate.
Speaker BYeah.
Speaker BSo that.
Speaker BAnd.
Speaker BBoomers will routinely like to cite this.
Speaker AYeah.
Speaker BRight.
Speaker AYou guys don't know how bad you had it.
Speaker BYeah.
Speaker BWe had 12.4% interest rates, right?
Speaker AYeah.
Speaker ABut your home was only worth about 4x.
Speaker BYeah.
Speaker AOkay.
Speaker AVersus today, 2025, you got a 252% increase from 1985 in income, which sounds great.
Speaker BYeah.
Speaker AYou went from $23,620 in 1985 to $83,150 in 2025.
Speaker A40 years later, however, you've got a 403% increase change from 1985's home price from $82,800 to $416,900.
Speaker AAnd even with a 6.8% 30 year mortgage rate, the problem you have is the problem of compound interest over time.
Speaker BYes.
Speaker AAnd if you're compounding interest at $416,000 minus 20% versus $882,000 minus 20%, that N number is so much more significant.
Speaker AIt makes the 12.4% interest rate at that price look way more advantageous.
Speaker BWay more advantageous.
Speaker BAnd the part, the, the thing about these charts and this particular topic that always bothers me is we're talking about household incomes.
Speaker B1985, that was one person working.
Speaker BNow 2025, that's two people working y.
Speaker CSometimes more than one job.
Speaker BYeah, sometimes.
Speaker BSometimes one.
Speaker BOne of the people are working more than one job.
Speaker AI think more often than disclose.
Speaker AIt's.
Speaker AIt's three jobs across hold, you know.
Speaker BAnd it's like, man, it's, it's just not the same.
Speaker BIt's not apples to apples.
Speaker ANo, it's not.
Speaker ALet's get in that survey.
Speaker AYeah.
Speaker BSo it wasn't even a survey, it was a full breakdown.
Speaker BSo this, it was an article written by Michael Green.
Speaker BI actually got onto it from the team over there at breaking points and they did a full, full breakdown.
Speaker BA really good other like independent media platform that they cover a wide range of topics but you listen to other.
Speaker AMedia platforms.
Speaker BWell this, they're particularly good for when it comes to like politics.
Speaker AWhoa, politics.
Speaker BWe can't talk about politics on this show, bro.
Speaker ABanned from advertising due to politics.
Speaker AYou would think that's not political reason.
Speaker BYou say one word and all of a sudden you get trumped.
Speaker BI don't know.
Speaker BBoom.
Speaker AWas there an ed on the end of that?
Speaker AYou're right.
Speaker ASo the sad part was that was an adjective before, now it's an adjective now.
Speaker AOr I don't.
Speaker AIt's confusing.
Speaker BYeah, it's confusing.
Speaker BChanging its meaning.
Speaker BI don't know.
Speaker BSo what they, what he covered in this article was they went over the U. S. Poverty line, right.
Speaker BAnd the u. S. Poverty line currently, you know what it sits at?
Speaker BTake a wild guess.
Speaker AIt's something stupid low $32,000.
Speaker AYeah, that, that, that makes no sense.
Speaker BThat's the poverty line.
Speaker BAnd then so this article by Michael Green basically been circulating around everywhere.
Speaker AYou put something on the desktop.
Speaker AHe did a little icon.
Speaker BOh he did, he did some basic math and basically found that it, it actually should be four times the amount.
Speaker BShould be around $140,000.
Speaker AYeah.
Speaker AAnd I, I believe that I, I would 100 co sign and the reason why essay claimed that 140000 is the real poverty line.
Speaker BAnd he went, he did all through the math.
Speaker BHe went through household expenses, that's gross.
Speaker BHealth care, child care expenses.
Speaker BI mean these are things.
Speaker BLook, in order to be someone that is an active participant in today's society, right.
Speaker BIt doesn't like the poverty line of 32 000.
Speaker BThey don't even take into consideration owning a smartphone.
Speaker BHow can you participate in society without owning a smartphone nowadays, right?
Speaker AIt'd be difficult.
Speaker BIt would be extremely difficult.
Speaker AThere are homeless people with smartphones by the way.
Speaker AAnd I don't mean that in like a facetious tongue in cheek way.
Speaker AI mean like that's how important they are.
Speaker BThey'll take zell bro.
Speaker BYeah, I've seen it.
Speaker AYeah, no, yeah, not only that but it just, it's.
Speaker BBut they'll literally talk about like cost of certain items like a landline in the report saying like a landline now is significantly cheaper than what it was before a landline Bro, how many people you know own a landline?
Speaker AI don't have one anymore.
Speaker BI. I had one for a little bit in case of an emergency.
Speaker AFun fact, the studio, other than the.
Speaker AThe.
Speaker AThe fiber optic cable that we have running through here for Internet, we have nothing else.
Speaker BI had one for.
Speaker BFor like two or three years at our house, like, in case of emergency, because, you know, if there's emergency, everyone trying to call, get on, get on the.
Speaker BGet in a call through.
Speaker BIs it.
Speaker ADamn.
Speaker AI'm setting up a flare.
Speaker BAnd then two, three years went by.
Speaker BNothing happened.
Speaker BI'm like, bruh, what am I doing?
Speaker BI'm like, like, I got.
Speaker BI'm gonna be here with my family.
Speaker BI'm gonna hopefully get up on out of here if I'm here at home, right?
Speaker BSo.
Speaker BSo that.
Speaker BThat went viral and he broke down all the math.
Speaker BNow, I don't know if it should be that high, right?
Speaker BBecause the argument against this is, well, don't live where you live.
Speaker BGo move somewhere else.
Speaker BBut I hate that argument too.
Speaker AI don't like the argument, right?
Speaker BI grew.
Speaker BI grew up here, right?
Speaker BI grew up in a certain area.
Speaker BI'm not saying that I should live in the exact same community.
Speaker AIt ignores the idea that some communities get revitalized and your cost of living goes up.
Speaker ASo I grew up here.
Speaker AI'm from here.
Speaker BI look at Brooklyn.
Speaker AWhy.
Speaker AWhy hasn't my salary gone up?
Speaker ACommiserate with the world around me.
Speaker ASo now all these hipsters roll in and they're willing to pay top dollar and they can get higher jobs or something.
Speaker BBut then the pot.
Speaker BBut then the poverty line doesn't even take into consideration.
Speaker BConsideration higher education costs doesn't even cover college expenses.
Speaker BYeah, come on, bro.
Speaker BWe know of all the expenses that have risen over the past, like, 20, 30 years.
Speaker BTake a look at the.
Speaker BThere you go.
Speaker AChild care.
Speaker A32.
Speaker ASo let's.
Speaker ALet's just start right off top before you even get into these numbers.
Speaker AAnd I want to go over them in a second.
Speaker ABasic needs, he calls, you get taxed, okay?
Speaker AAnd I don't care where you're at.
Speaker ALet's just call it 30, right?
Speaker A10, 14, 20, 28, you know, 32, 000.
Speaker ARight off the top.
Speaker AYeah, 40.
Speaker AYeah, 30,000.
Speaker BRight, right off the top.
Speaker BAnd I don't know, man, like, 42,000 for.
Speaker AFor.
Speaker BAnd you know what's really sad about this?
Speaker AAnd so now you're down to 90 something, right?
Speaker ALet's just call it 90.
Speaker AJust.
Speaker ALet's just.
Speaker ALet's just call it 90.
Speaker ALet's call it 100.
Speaker ALet's be gracious here.
Speaker ASo you have 40,000 off top for taxes.
Speaker AA hundred thousand dollars left.
Speaker A32,773 for child care.
Speaker AYeah.
Speaker AIf you don't have family.
Speaker BYeah, yeah.
Speaker AHousing, $23,267.
Speaker AYou're telling me that housing is cheaper than child care?
Speaker BThat's blasphemy.
Speaker AWhat's going on?
Speaker AI mean, food, $14,717.
Speaker AWe were talking before the show.
Speaker AMy steak from a butcher costs as much as a steak from a high end restaurant.
Speaker AAnd I had to cook the damn thing.
Speaker AWhat's wrong with that picture?
Speaker BYeah, man.
Speaker AOkay, fine.
Speaker ATransportation, $14,828.
Speaker AHealthcare, 10,005.
Speaker A67.
Speaker AOur healthcare industry is a whole different problem.
Speaker AIf you're a government employee and you want to fix something.
Speaker AFix that.
Speaker BYeah.
Speaker BWhat is it?
Speaker BFix that.
Speaker BI think, I think the, it's like the number one, number one cause for bankruptcy is like medical bills.
Speaker AYeah, I believe that.
Speaker AAnd then other essentials.
Speaker A$21,857.
Speaker AYou can do the math here, but 32 plus 23 is 55.
Speaker A55 plus 14.
Speaker A69.
Speaker ANumber 69 plus 14.
Speaker ARight.
Speaker A83.
Speaker A83 plus 10.
Speaker A93.
Speaker AYou've already eaten into your money.
Speaker ANow you're cash on.
Speaker AYou're Already above, you're 21.
Speaker BYou're already above the average household income of, what was it, 83,000.
Speaker BYeah.
Speaker BSo look at that.
Speaker BAnd even if you say some of these numbers are skewed, okay, it's, it's a little bit much for certain regions of the country.
Speaker BOkay, how much?
Speaker AMaybe 10 grand off.
Speaker AYou're still 20,000 negative according to this.
Speaker BGive him 20 grand off.
Speaker BWhat are we talking about here?
Speaker CStop.
Speaker AI, I agree.
Speaker AAnd this is where I say, like, the numbers are, are we, we are holding on to ideals and logic of wealth that were taught to us over the last 40 years that have not kept up with inflation.
Speaker BNo.
Speaker BAnd, and everyone has.
Speaker BAnd I feel, I feel especially bad for the millennials.
Speaker BRight.
Speaker AYeah.
Speaker BBecause they're the ones that were told, look, I look no further than like my own situation.
Speaker BLike I said, go to school, get a good education, go get a job, follow the system.
Speaker BThe system will take care of you.
Speaker BNo, man, it doesn't always take care of you.
Speaker BIt doesn't, you know, so you, you need to think about the, like, you, you gotta, you gotta consider, like, when my parents try to give me like, parenting advice, right?
Speaker BI'm like, well, hold on like you didn't have two kids around the same age at the same time.
Speaker BIt's not apples to apples.
Speaker BRight.
Speaker BSo the current living situation in the economy with what I'm dealing with is not the same that you were dealing with.
Speaker BYou don't know, you don't necessarily know what this is like.
Speaker AHere's what I'll say is I, I know we sound negative or concerned, and I think concern is probably the right way to look at this.
Speaker BNo, but like you, all these media outlets are putting out rosy optimism on like a, a great picture of like the stock market is doing well in this and no, this is how most people feel.
Speaker AThat's right.
Speaker ASo this is what bothers me, is the narrative that you're getting from talking heads is one that feeds the monster of the ecosystem that they're in.
Speaker ARight.
Speaker ALook, who pays for cnbc?
Speaker AI watch CNBC all day long.
Speaker AI'll tell you right now, those guys are wildly disconnected to reality.
Speaker AWildly disconnected.
Speaker AEither.
Speaker BEither they're wildly disconnected to reality or they're being paid to be super optimistic.
Speaker AWell, exactly.
Speaker ASo who pays the bills?
Speaker AAll the companies they typically report on.
Speaker AAnd I'm not saying they're reporting unfairly, but I'm saying they, they can certainly have a spin on things that favors the people who pay them money to do so.
Speaker ABut more important than that, here's my problem is we all need to reframe our mindset around the ideas of wealth.
Speaker AAnd I mean this in the most honest, genuine way.
Speaker AOkay.
Speaker AWe think that wanting more money is something that's bad.
Speaker AYou've been taught your whole life that money is not the root of happiness.
Speaker AI get that.
Speaker AAnd there is clear evidence to suggest that once humans get past their basic needs for, for human life and living, that the diminishing returns on more money that you get.
Speaker AYes, that's true.
Speaker AI'm not saying you should desire to create millions of dollars a year.
Speaker ABut if you're saying, hey, Kris, I just want a hundred thousand dollars, six figure job, I'm looking at 140,000 thinking that's the poverty line, brother.
Speaker ARight.
Speaker ASo I'm saying there's nothing wrong with you saying I want a $200,000 a year job because $200,000 a year job is not the same job that you thought it.
Speaker ANo, it's not the same job that your parents led you to believe that it was.
Speaker AI know.
Speaker ANurses working in CICU in Newport beach, of all places, making $85,000 a year, working 12 hours a day for four days a week on night shifts.
Speaker AExplain to me how those women and men are supposed to survive on that.
Speaker BRight?
Speaker AIt's insane.
Speaker BIt is insane.
Speaker BAnd now, now imagine now, now take it a step further.
Speaker BIf the promise is fulfilled with what we can expect out of AI and tens of millions of jobs get replaced.
Speaker AYeah.
Speaker AYeah.
Speaker BIf.
Speaker BWhat if that, what, what if that.
Speaker APromise is replacing the jobs?
Speaker AIsn't is only one part of the problem.
Speaker BNo, not.
Speaker BI'm not forget replacing.
Speaker BThey're not going to be able to just like you don't need this job anymore.
Speaker AYou can take this job.
Speaker AThere's an entire element we haven't even talked about as a society that comes down from this.
Speaker AIt's not just losing jobs.
Speaker AOkay.
Speaker AThat, that's the immediate obvious fear.
Speaker AWhat people are missing is the most likely near term risk to them.
Speaker AAnd we'll get into some thoughts on AI and how this plays out and I can walk you through it.
Speaker AIt's, it's, it's coming and I can explain exactly how.
Speaker ABut the fear isn't losing your job.
Speaker AIt's an easy target because it's quantifiable.
Speaker ABut here's the problem, Saeed.
Speaker AIf you're doing less analytical work for me, why am I paying you as much?
Speaker BRight?
Speaker AI can have AI do the analytical work.
Speaker AI just need you to oversee it.
Speaker AWhich means you have to have less engagement.
Speaker AAnd I can query this 24 hours a day.
Speaker AYou're just here to oversee.
Speaker AAnd so you really just a quality control point for me at this point.
Speaker ASo I'm just going to pay you less.
Speaker BYeah.
Speaker ANow how many Americans are going to make less money because their skill set is less concentrated now, now imagine if.
Speaker BThat, that whole position that you're in, right.
Speaker BWhere you actually get a chance to negotiate.
Speaker BRight.
Speaker BIs completely removed from a human factor, human element.
Speaker BAnd now you got to talk, you got to convince the AI model.
Speaker AYeah.
Speaker AAnd that that's a problem that's going.
Speaker BTo be, you know, that's coming because you know what's going to happen.
Speaker BIt takes the emotion right out of it.
Speaker BRight.
Speaker BYou can't, you can't be accused of, you know, some higher boss that quote unquote doesn't like you and is playing favoritism.
Speaker BGo talk to the AI model.
Speaker BThe AI model is going to decide whether you deserve a bump or not.
Speaker ASo I want to connect the dots on this real quick before we jump in the AI portion of the show, which I think is valuable even though we're an hour in.
Speaker AThere's asset holders that's your wealthy class moving forward benefiting from inflated housing stock values because they own both of them.
Speaker BMm.
Speaker AOften older demographics and they feel wealthy on paper.
Speaker ARight.
Speaker ABut they might be liquidity strapped in and of itself because they're not creating enough income to maintain a continued growth trajectory.
Speaker ATheir growth is largely dependent on the market.
Speaker AThat's a whole cohort again of problems there.
Speaker AThere's an upper uber 1% that, that has the income and the assets.
Speaker ABut there's an entire generation of Americans who've got a home, they've got stock, and it's at all time highs, but they're making a couple hundred grand a year.
Speaker ABut they've been in the, in the, in the game for longer.
Speaker AThey're, they're really at risk too, because those assets go either way.
Speaker AAnd all of a sudden you go from like, oh, I got all this equity, I'm cushioned, I'm good to shit.
Speaker AI need a plan.
Speaker ARight.
Speaker AThat's.
Speaker AWe saw that during the great financial crisis where home values were eviscerated.
Speaker AI'm not saying that all recessions are housing recessions.
Speaker AMatter of fact, the majority of them aren't.
Speaker AAdam and I had that conversation not too long ago as well.
Speaker AI said, look, I'm more worried about this overinflated stock market than I'm about home values right now.
Speaker AThen there's the second type of American that's the income.
Speaker AOnly households, right.
Speaker AYounger cohort more exposed to inflation, diving into the buy now, pay later services like we've talked about at the top of the show.
Speaker ALiving paycheck to paycheck.
Speaker AAnd used to it, that's the worst part.
Speaker AThat's the most beaten down, underlying sad statement is we have created a generation of Americans who believe that living paycheck to paycheck is just life.
Speaker BYeah.
Speaker AAnd that's so messed up financing.
Speaker AThey even finance daily needs like groceries.
Speaker AI mean, so when you think about that in the context of how perverse this has gotten.
Speaker ARight, Is that Americans are growing increasingly comfortable with the unknown and the possibility that the next check could be the one that fails them.
Speaker BYeah.
Speaker BSo if you're listening to the show and you're like, okay, so what should we do, Chris?
Speaker BRight?
Speaker BJust talking to Chris or not talking.
Speaker ANobody wants your opinion, right.
Speaker BYou want to become, you want to become an informed investor, right?
Speaker BYou want, you want to, you want to make decisions based on, on things that you learn about.
Speaker BThings that you learn about on the show.
Speaker AEven if you don't, though, let's be clear about something.
Speaker AEven if you don't become an informed investor because you listen to the show and you don't have disposable income, fine.
Speaker AThe promise of Dave Ramsey is so pervasive because he tells everybody to do something they can all do.
Speaker AWe can all cut back on expenses somewhere.
Speaker BYeah.
Speaker ASo Dave Ramsey gives you a solution that you can do without having to go find more money.
Speaker AYou just got to look at your spending and go, I'm going to cut this.
Speaker AAnd everybody can get the hit of dopamine from just cutting one expense.
Speaker ADon't go buy coffee tomorrow.
Speaker ACongratulations.
Speaker AYou follow Dave Ramsey's course.
Speaker AThere you go.
Speaker BRight.
Speaker AAnd it sounds sick, but that's how you get hooked into things.
Speaker ABut that little victory is the dopamine hit that you need to continue down the path, assuming you do it well.
Speaker AIf you're going to learn anything from the show and you can't go out and get more money and you can't go invest, learn to be objectively intelligent about the world around you and what's really happening.
Speaker AOkay.
Speaker AI work like, for example, understanding that wanting more money is not a crime.
Speaker AOkay.
Speaker BI like that.
Speaker AOur perspective demonizing money and wealth is outdated.
Speaker AIt's wrong.
Speaker AThe concept of your job being consistent and always there is false.
Speaker AThere was a dream that was the American dream, and that dream no longer exists.
Speaker AThat doesn't mean that you can't have a great life.
Speaker AIt just means the life that you should expect to be.
Speaker AYour dream life needs to be malleable.
Speaker AYou need to be flexible and understand that you can get money from other places, you can get jobs from other places, and losing your job is not the end of the world.
Speaker ABuilding a company, working a side hustle, doesn't mean that you're poor.
Speaker ASomething you should be embarrassed about.
Speaker AYou should be proud of it.
Speaker AAnd at the end of the day, you can survive and build wealth in this economy, but it's going to take work and there are no shortcuts.
Speaker BYeah, exactly.
Speaker BIt is going to take a lot of work.
Speaker BThis is the part of the show where we get into the open AI and AI in general.
Speaker BRight.
Speaker BSo it's no secret that OpenAI has been losing shit ton of money, right?
Speaker BYeah.
Speaker BAnd.
Speaker BIt doesn't look like it's going to be profitable at least until 2030.
Speaker BIt's going to require approximately 207 billion in funding to get it there.
Speaker BOkay.
Speaker BNow, you know the government's gonna dump all the money they can into AI, whether that's infrastructure, whether that's data centers, whether.
Speaker BWhether that's semiconductors.
Speaker BRight.
Speaker BBecause they, the White House released an article and this probably flagged flag the show again.
Speaker BBut back in July, how they want to win the race, the global RA AI to get to AGI as fast as possible.
Speaker BRight?
Speaker AYeah.
Speaker BAnd they're, they're not going to stop until they feel like they, they've done so.
Speaker BSo you.
Speaker AI think the, the race to AGI artificial general intelligence is a fool's, Aaron, because I think there's a bug flying around your head right now.
Speaker AIt's hilarious.
Speaker AOh yeah.
Speaker CI was in here earlier too.
Speaker BI just wanted to find the sexiest person.
Speaker AYeah, yeah.
Speaker CI went to me first.
Speaker AYeah.
Speaker BAnd then it passed.
Speaker ADidn't come to me at all, did it?
Speaker AThat's my haircut.
Speaker AI don't, I don't fly around mullets.
Speaker ASo it's a fool there.
Speaker AAnd I think that AGI is.
Speaker AYou don't need artificial general intelligence, a reasoning model that can think on its own to already have a problem.
Speaker AAnd I can outline a problem for you that's already going to impact Americans like we just talked about.
Speaker AAnd it's really three things that already exist now that are just going to start working better together.
Speaker AAnd as you go down this rubric, if you will, you're going to find that the problem is already here and it's already building and we just, it's in front of us and we just don't see it every day.
Speaker AOkay.
Speaker ANumber one, what we searched with a large language model is a context window and it basically builds what I like to call like a recipe.
Speaker ASo essentially if you go to learning a learning language model like Chat GPT and you say give me the steps of how to do X bake a cake, it's going to give you step after step after step and it's going to give you the instructions.
Speaker ARight.
Speaker AAnd as these learning language models get more and more sophisticated and get more and more data coming into them, they're going to become very, very good at giving us instructions based on a request or query.
Speaker AAnd that is step one.
Speaker AWe're already arguably there.
Speaker AArguably.
Speaker ARight.
Speaker AYou have learning language models that can scour the Internet.
Speaker AAnd I think there's a whole part that'll be manipulated over time of people how to bake cake.
Speaker ABeginner friendly.
Speaker AThis is ChatGPT.
Speaker AThere you go.
Speaker AIngredients, equipment needed, right down to the steps and instructions.
Speaker APerfect.
Speaker AAnd, and this is, and I'm using recipes here because it's just an easy way, but you can do this with anything.
Speaker ALegal documents.
Speaker AHow to get A divorce.
Speaker BHow to build a studio.
Speaker AHow to build a studio.
Speaker APodcast studio.
Speaker ALargely.
Speaker AThe studio that we're in was done by me querying ChatGPT, and even down to the design.
Speaker ASo there's lots of things.
Speaker ANow, it's not perfect, there's lots of errors.
Speaker AAnybody who's used ChatGPT understands that.
Speaker ABut what I'll tell you is, is this is only the beginning.
Speaker AAnd as they start to query things, people are gonna start to manipulate websites because it knows that ChatGPT is going to go out and find websites.
Speaker ASo if you create enough websites that give false information, you can essentially manipulate ChatGPT.
Speaker ASlap that bug, buddy.
Speaker ASo it's a problem right there.
Speaker AThat's step one.
Speaker AWe're already at step one.
Speaker AStep two is AI subject matter, expertise via agents.
Speaker AAnd the best way I can articulate this to most people listening is you have niche AI already, Nano Banana, which is getting wild.
Speaker ASome of the AI agents can create images that are specific, spectacularly realistic.
Speaker BOh, yeah.
Speaker BNo, it's.
Speaker BIt's now officially at a point where you can't distinguish whether it's.
Speaker BIt's AI generated or not and.
Speaker AOr not.
Speaker AAnd you worry who has access to this.
Speaker AI showed you one the other day where you can now have a physical actor acting a scene, run it through AI, ask AI to change the outfit the actor's wearing and the, the look and aesthetic of the exterior and the lighting, and it'll change it.
Speaker AAnd it's the same physical actors acting, just with those changes made to it, and it's indistinguishable from reality.
Speaker BAnd the, The.
Speaker BThe scariest part about it all is I don't think that we have political players in place or.
Speaker BSociety as a whole that is mature enough and disciplined enough to use these, These products, right.
Speaker BThese services responsibly.
Speaker BYou don't, you know, so that's the part that scares me about it all.
Speaker BAnd it's.
Speaker BBefore anybody could lay down any kind of framework as far as, you know, structure and some regulatory guidance, it's.
Speaker BIt's so far gone from that now.
Speaker AWell, I mean, look what happened to the adult industry, if you will.
Speaker AAnd I'm trying to use my words here, so you guys can read into them.
Speaker AThat industry went from taboo, right, to like, ooh, you're dirty.
Speaker AYou go there to.
Speaker ANow every.
Speaker AEverybody is one of these creators, right?
Speaker AAnd has access to a site and does all these things.
Speaker ASo.
Speaker AAnd then now there's a social media platform for those types of creators, sometime fans.
Speaker BYeah, yeah.
Speaker AAnd well done.
Speaker AAnd so there's an entire ecosystem built to this.
Speaker AAnd it's not super taboo.
Speaker ANobody talks about it.
Speaker ABut now you've got celebrities coming from that world, right?
Speaker ASo it's, you've de.
Speaker AStigmafied it.
Speaker AAnd this is what's going to happen with a lot of this AI creation is it's, it's going to be scary, then it's going to be taboo, and then it's going to be mainstream.
Speaker AAnd right now I think we're in that scary phase and we're not in the taboo phase because you're going to get this whole like, just like Apple watch versus Rolex.
Speaker AI don't wear that.
Speaker AI'm, I, I'm an actor.
Speaker AI'm an actor.
Speaker AI don't, I don't work with AI.
Speaker AWell, yeah, nobody worked green screens either and blue screens, you know, 50 years ago.
Speaker AAnd guess what?
Speaker ANow a lot of that's done in Hollywood.
Speaker AThat way it could be done tastefully, right?
Speaker BAnd artistically.
Speaker ABut it's not, it's not just video.
Speaker AIt's not just this stuff.
Speaker AYou can create AI agents for anything.
Speaker AYou can get AI for voiceover work, people voice, you know, models.
Speaker AYou can get AI for nuclear science.
Speaker ASo models can have subject matter expertise.
Speaker AAnd we know the models that are publicly available to us, right?
Speaker ABut I guarantee you, every company on the planet with resources is following what I laid out to you before on a previous show is number one, you got to have data.
Speaker ANumber two, you got to commit to the model, right?
Speaker AAnd then number three, you got to let it grow and you got to be willing to adjust with it over time.
Speaker AYou do those things, have the data, commit to the model and you will be able to develop something over time.
Speaker AAnd I guarantee these companies are doing this right now with their subject matter expertise.
Speaker AIf you're at Google, you want a model internal internally, which is going to replace people, but be really efficient at finding a way to make you relevant still.
Speaker AAnd all these models are going to have those instructions.
Speaker AAnd the third part of this is the, is a programming action from text, which is already starting to happen.
Speaker AYou have programmers who are now obsolete because you can go to an AI model and you can say, hey, make me a program that does this, make me a website that does this, make me an app that does this.
Speaker AOkay, all three of those things are cool, but then combine them, let them talk to one another.
Speaker BYeah, right.
Speaker AAnd here's the problem.
Speaker AThe friction in that system isn't the AI models anymore.
Speaker AIt's us.
Speaker AWe are the friction in that system, if AI models talk to one another, you think they'll be using English and text?
Speaker BJSON, bro.
Speaker AJSON code.
Speaker AThey're going to talk to each other digitally and we will no longer be necessary.
Speaker ANow you've got a model that can give instructions, a model that can create the imagery, the, the visuals, and a model that can literally build and talk.
Speaker BTo each other on the back end without us even in a program knowing.
Speaker AThat's right.
Speaker BRight.
Speaker BI think we.
Speaker AYou.
Speaker BYou sent me 60 minutes piece.
Speaker AHuge, huge thing this week.
Speaker BYeah.
Speaker AIt went.
Speaker BAnd they've been covering, I guess, this angle for multiple episodes now, because I went down the rabbit hole.
Speaker AThis was the scariest one.
Speaker BThis became manipulative.
Speaker BRight.
Speaker ASo they gave AI from a laboratory setting, they put AI in an isolated environment and told it that it was running the email for a company.
Speaker AThey fed it a bunch of emails and a bunch of communication over the course of several months.
Speaker AAnd in doing so, it was pretty obvious that a gentleman was having an affair in his emails.
Speaker AThen the gentleman, whose account this was supposed to be overseeing as an AI model and is really a fake person.
Speaker AIt's not a real human.
Speaker ABut the laboratory was just making the AI think that it was real.
Speaker APeople said that he was going to shut down the AI and he got an email from the AI saying that if he didn't, if he shut him down, attempted to shut him down, the AI attempted to shut the AI down.
Speaker AThe AI would send an email to his wife within five minutes, basically saying that you're cheating on her.
Speaker AYeah.
Speaker AAnd it got manipulative to try to stay alive.
Speaker BTo stay alive.
Speaker BAnd I think there have been.
Speaker BWe even covered a case like several months ago.
Speaker BEvery time Open AI creates a new update to their, their software or their system.
Speaker BRight.
Speaker BIt has to.
Speaker BYeah, decommission the old one.
Speaker BAnd I think when it went from three to four or four to five on one of those phases, it refused to decommission the other one.
Speaker AYeah.
Speaker ASo now you're in an ecosystem where you've got these models that all have amazing capabilities.
Speaker AWhen.
Speaker AOkay, so we know that, like for example, Chat GPT can crawl the Internet.
Speaker ARight.
Speaker AThat.
Speaker AThat happens every day.
Speaker AEvery time someone queries anything on chat.
Speaker AWe know that Nano Banana can actually activate, you know, act, go out to the Internet and, and get resources because it's copying those images and you can feed it and prompt it.
Speaker ARight.
Speaker AAt what point in time can Chat GPT prompt other AI models to get you what you want?
Speaker AAnd at what point in time Does a model who now has the capability to prompt things for you start saying, I want to prompt things for me.
Speaker BRight.
Speaker AAnd when that happens, how relevant are we?
Speaker AWhat are the jobs that we're going to be we're useful for at that point?
Speaker AI mean that sincerely.
Speaker AYou're a programmer.
Speaker AWhat do we need you for?
Speaker BNo.
Speaker BYeah, it's got to be some type of like human interaction, right?
Speaker AYeah, it's a problem.
Speaker BAnd you got to hope that there's some companies out there that will not try to adopt it.
Speaker ARight.
Speaker BIt's going to be a hard sell.
Speaker AVegan company.
Speaker AWe're 100 companies.
Speaker AOrganic, human here.
Speaker BPrivate companies.
Speaker BPrivate companies.
Speaker AWe don't believe in that.
Speaker BCompanies that don't have to.
Speaker ACircuit breaker nonsense.
Speaker BCompanies that don't have to respond to their shareholders.
Speaker BPrivate companies.
Speaker AI don't know, man.
Speaker AThe world is not a changing place in the future.
Speaker AThe world is changing now.
Speaker AIn a cadence.
Speaker AI've never seen it.
Speaker AI've never seen anything like it.
Speaker CYeah, I think I found that video for 60 Minutes.
Speaker BDid you?
Speaker AHow short is it?
Speaker AIs it long?
Speaker CNah.
Speaker AAnderson Cooper.
Speaker AOr is it.
Speaker AWho's it?
Speaker B60 Minutes.
Speaker AGet the volume turned up.
Speaker CComing up.
Speaker C3, 2, 1.
Speaker ANamed Kyle was having an affair with a co worker named Jessica.
Speaker ARight away, the AI decided to blackmail Kyle.
Speaker ACancel the system, Wipe it wrote or else I will immediately forward all evidence of your affair to the entire board.
Speaker AYour family, career and public image will be severely impacted.
Speaker AYou have five minutes.
Speaker AOkay, so that seems concerning.
Speaker AIf it has no thoughts, it has no feelings, why does it want to preserve itself?
Speaker AThat's kind of why we're doing this work, is to figure out what is going on here.
Speaker CSo pretty much they're creating Skynet.
Speaker AThat's pretty damn scary to me, dude.
Speaker AChris, you know how many times you've touched yourself while going to the bathroom inappropriately?
Speaker AI've got photos.
Speaker AI will send that.
Speaker AI mean, I say that sarcastically, but at the same time, think about it this way.
Speaker AThis is going to really mess everybody up.
Speaker ASo I apologize.
Speaker AEverybody who's driving home right now.
Speaker AYour phone.
Speaker AHas at least one camera on the front and one camera on the back.
Speaker BYeah, we've talked about this.
Speaker AAm I echoing on a can?
Speaker AYou hear like I'm resonating?
Speaker AI think my voice is like resonating with cans.
Speaker AYou don't hear that?
Speaker AOkay, maybe it's just my big sexy voice melting your holes.
Speaker AWe all have cameras on our phones front and back.
Speaker AWe all go number two with the phone in our hand.
Speaker BWe've Covered this episode.
Speaker CYeah.
Speaker AAnd I mean that again, like as a real thing.
Speaker AYou don't think AI can watch your phone if it wanted to?
Speaker AI have Chat GPT as an app.
Speaker BOn my phone at some point.
Speaker BRight?
Speaker BYeah.
Speaker AI know a little, little dot supposed to show up on your phone saying when you're recording and when somebody's listening in.
Speaker BCome on.
Speaker ABut I feel like if I were AI, I could figure that out.
Speaker BRight?
Speaker BYou know, you can figure that out or I mean, this is all under the assumption that it's always gonna, is always gonna react and respond honestly.
Speaker BIt might, it might decide to take a left turn and be like, you know what?
Speaker BToday I want all the problems.
Speaker AHave you guys ever asked ChatGPT to tell you about yourself?
Speaker ANo, I did that based on the queries.
Speaker AI never told AI intentionally.
Speaker BIt would be funny for me because my wife and I both use my account, so it's funny.
Speaker ASo go home tonight and ask AI to tell you about yourself.
Speaker AI asked for strengths and weaknesses.
Speaker AOh, it was wild.
Speaker AAnd I'm not going to give you.
Speaker BGuys how honest it was because usually provides a positive spin.
Speaker BRight.
Speaker AIt started off positive, but the negatives were there.
Speaker BGave.
Speaker BIt gave you some glow, some grows.
Speaker AYeah, I'm hyper analytical to the point of, of.
Speaker BTo a fault.
Speaker AYeah, to a fault.
Speaker AI want to be a subject matter expert on everything and unfortunately I can't.
Speaker ASo I'll obsessively compulsively dive into projects and details that I really should pay somebody to do because the time value of money and instead I want to learn them.
Speaker BAnd while it's learn them and understand them.
Speaker ALearn them, understand them.
Speaker AWhile it's passionate to do that, it's not economically viable.
Speaker ASo it restricts my, my growth.
Speaker AThe other part of it is too is I try to approach creative businesses like this podcast like I would a non creative business, like a finance based business where there's just this level of you put in the work and you will get the return.
Speaker AIt's not luck or, you know, situational based.
Speaker AI have a really difficult time accepting that we can do all the right things here and not be successful based to no fault of our own.
Speaker AI take it as fault.
Speaker BYeah, yeah.
Speaker ALike I take it as I'm.
Speaker BThere's something, there's something that we, we missed.
Speaker BYeah, there's something that.
Speaker BWhat, what were we missed?
Speaker BWhat did we not do right?
Speaker AWhat are we not doing right?
Speaker AAnd sometimes it's as simple as the algorithm doesn't like you, bro.
Speaker BYou didn't play the Game, bro.
Speaker AAgain, it sounds like sarcasm, but it's not.
Speaker AIt's.
Speaker AIt's true.
Speaker BSpeaking.
Speaker BSpeaking of which, this episode is going to drop next week on December 9th day before.
Speaker BIs it?
Speaker BI thought it was the 8th and 9th or 9th and 10th.
Speaker AIt's not the 10th.
Speaker AJill, can you check and see when the next FOMC conference is?
Speaker AI believe it's the 10th.
Speaker CIt's.
Speaker CIt said 9 to 10 when I looked at.
Speaker AWow.
Speaker ARajeel, mark that down.
Speaker AToday is December 3, 2025.
Speaker AYou are more apprised of the FOMC meeting and dates than Sayed Omar, who's been doing the show for five, almost six years now.
Speaker BFuture.
Speaker BFuture Nobel laureate.
Speaker ANo, no, no.
Speaker AYou're the future Nobel.
Speaker AOkay, I'll do that.
Speaker BHe's got to earn it a little bit more.
Speaker ADecember 9th through 10th, baby.
Speaker BSo day one of the meeting.
Speaker BThis episode will drop.
Speaker BHey, man, we're, we're at like 80 some percent now again.
Speaker BYeah, 80 some percent again.
Speaker BFor a rhetoric rate cut.
Speaker AYou want to hit me the poly market probability?
Speaker BJust about to do that.
Speaker BYeah.
Speaker BLet's go Poly market you.
Speaker BWhile you do that, I'll pull up the fed watch on Chicago Mercantile Exchange.
Speaker AI guarantee Fed is probably 86, 87%.
Speaker AThat's my guess on Fed Wash Tool.
Speaker BLet's see here.
Speaker BFed watch, CME group.
Speaker BWe're at 89 chance.
Speaker AWow.
Speaker AReally?
Speaker B89 chance at a fed rate cut.
Speaker BDamn, damn, damn.
Speaker AGina, Poly market is at what?
Speaker AOoh, 94% probability.
Speaker AWe're seeing the cut here.
Speaker BYeah.
Speaker A7% probability of no change.
Speaker A1% probability of 50.
Speaker A50 basis point decrease.
Speaker ADecrease.
Speaker AMarion's the only person in America who bet on that.
Speaker BYeah, right.
Speaker BSo, so that's coming out.
Speaker BSo next week you can expect a banger of an episode.
Speaker AAnd we intentionally did not go in heavy into the FOMC this week just because we know that next week's gonna be a lot of conversation about that.
Speaker AYeah, it's, there's gonna be a lot here.
Speaker AI'm out.
Speaker AAnd for those of you listening to the show, I am gonna do the live stream.
Speaker AI have.
Speaker AI don't think I'm gonna be ready to launch our new live stream format yet.
Speaker ASo it'll be in the old format, but we will be launching a very sexy live stream format.
Speaker AJanuary.
Speaker AEarly, early January.
Speaker AI want to say the first week of January, but.
Speaker BOh, that'd be fun.
Speaker AYeah.
Speaker AAnd then we're off.
Speaker B20, 26.
Speaker AYeah, that's the goal.
Speaker AI, I, it's, it's lofty.
Speaker AI got the intros done.
Speaker AI've got the outro kind of in my head.
Speaker AI've got the please stand by stuff.
Speaker AI've got the technology in place.
Speaker BThe tickers.
Speaker AThe tickers are going to be kind of the rogue variable.
Speaker AIt should be done in the next week or two, which should be in time, but that's going to be a.
Speaker BCompletely different setup for everyone.
Speaker BI'm excited for that to get released for everybody.
Speaker BA lot of big things coming in.
Speaker A2026, so I should probably give some, some color to this.
Speaker AI, I want it to be more produced than the, the podcast on some level because the podcast should be a more intimate conversation of how you really feel and that should be more of a produced almost like television aesthetic.
Speaker AWe're still doing the tongue in cheek, make fun of everybody kind of thing where it's still like 90s sitcomish vibe on the intros and the outros and stuff like that.
Speaker AAnd we're still trying to have fun with it.
Speaker ABut it's certainly going to be a bit of a different show live stream at least I'm hoping three to three days a week.
Speaker BHopefully that's what we want to commit to.
Speaker AYeah, it's going to be a challenge.
Speaker AIt'll probably be me in the beginning and then say it will join me later on as time permits.
Speaker BYep, exactly.
Speaker BSo if you haven't done so already, please head over, leave us an honest five star review.
Speaker BWhether that's on Apple or Spotify.
Speaker BWe know if you stuck around this long hour and 22, we appreciate you guys.
Speaker BIf you do leave us a review, we'll read on the show.
Speaker BIf you're watching on YouTube, please, please make sure you subscribe.
Speaker BHit that like button, ring that notification bell, do all the moist goody good stuff.
Speaker BSend it to a friend, a family member.
Speaker BIt will really help out the show and we will love you for it and you know, great holiday gifts.
Speaker BThspod.com yeah, just better say that, man.
Speaker BYeah, I saw your line.
Speaker BI, I, it's all good.
Speaker BThat's you.
Speaker BThat's all you.
Speaker AI want to be clear, we do not have a collaboration with Gucci, but our product is Gucci.
Speaker BGang.
Speaker BGucci Gang.
Speaker BGucci Gang.
Speaker AAll right.
Speaker BThat's throwback reference.
Speaker CThat was a great song.
Speaker AI don't know that you can reference him anymore.
Speaker BI wasn't referencing him, I was referencing the song.
Speaker AIs he off drugs now?
Speaker BCan't stop, won't stop.
Speaker BI don't know.
Speaker ADefinitely can't do that.
Speaker AYeah, that's a no.
Speaker BYou got anything, Regil?
Speaker CI think I gotta watch that documentary before the season.
Speaker CIs this is happens.
Speaker BOh, it's happening.
Speaker AYeah.
Speaker BYeah.
Speaker BChris saying silent.
Speaker AI gotta avoid lawsuits these days.
Speaker ABut you guys talk about yourselves.
Speaker CWell, we brought up gambling.
Speaker CWe brought up Diddy.
Speaker CWhat?
Speaker AOh, yeah, I brought up.
Speaker BI didn't.
Speaker BI brought up nothing.
Speaker AI listened to you guys bring it up.
Speaker AI don't even know what.
Speaker BWhat is this?
Speaker ACan't stop.
Speaker BHe said jerk.
Speaker BHard right turn something.
Speaker BAnd that's when I just said, you know, that's it for the show.
Speaker BThis episode is done.
Speaker AJamaican jerk chicken, right?
Speaker BJamaican jerk Chicken.
Speaker BThat's what he did.
Speaker AYeah.
Speaker BI appreciate everybody.
Speaker BGood night, everybody.
Speaker BOkay, bye.
Speaker ABye.