Foreign.
Speaker BWelcome to Ditch the Suits podcast, where we share insights nobody in the financial services industry wants you to know about.
Speaker BWe're here to help you get the most from your money in life.
Speaker BSo buckle up and welcome to Ditch the Suits.
Speaker ASteve, do you think the markets are rigged?
Speaker BI think a lot of people feel that way.
Speaker AMight be weird for some people.
Speaker AI don't know.
Speaker ALet's talk about it.
Speaker ALet's dig into that.
Speaker BOkay.
Speaker AIn this episode, we're going to discuss how most people have been misled by a term called diversification and why their investments, even when they're managed by an investment manager or a financial advisor, may actually be at a huge disadvantage.
Speaker ASo.
Speaker ASo I'm not certain if we would call that rigged.
Speaker AIt's.
Speaker AWe'll foreshadow a little bit.
Speaker AIf you don't know the rules of a game, a game is always going to feel like it's rigged against.
Speaker AYou say that right?
Speaker AIf you understand the rules.
Speaker AI like to play strategy games.
Speaker AWe have game night at my house, like, almost every week, very competitive, and I win all the time because I really understand the rules.
Speaker AAnd then people are like, oh, this is like rigged.
Speaker AYou just.
Speaker AIt's not fair.
Speaker ASo if you understand the rules, the game's not rigged to you.
Speaker AIf somebody else doesn't understand the rules as well as you do, it's going to be rigged to them.
Speaker BYou're like the Bill Belichick of card games.
Speaker BLike, you understand the rules in a way that's annoying playing against you because you know the rule book so well that it's frustrating trying to compete against somebody who knows, if you do this, I can do this.
Speaker BAnd if you don't know that, it can be like, hey, you're cheating.
Speaker BNo, I just.
Speaker BI understand how to play.
Speaker BSo I think with investing, there's people that feel the sudden discomfort of the stock market's rigged.
Speaker BIt's all these big CEOs, all the ultra wealthy people.
Speaker BWhen there are rules to how you play and presets that you can follow that can help you.
Speaker AThe Tushbush is a play that the Philadelphia Eagles use, and it's one of the reasons why they won the super bowl this year.
Speaker AAnd it's basically an unstoppable play where they can get one or two yards every time.
Speaker AAnd part of the NFL is flipping out, and they're trying to get a rule passed to outlaw the tush push because it's not.
Speaker AThey don't think it's fair.
Speaker AAnd there's nothing illegal about it.
Speaker AIt's part of the rules.
Speaker AIt's a basically a glorified quarterback sneak, but the Eagles are just the team that has kind of mastered it, so everybody else thinks it's unfair.
Speaker ASo that's a great example.
Speaker AIf you understand the rules and what you're allowed to do and other people don't understand the rules as good, you could take advantage of it.
Speaker AAnd frankly, that's what most of investing is, is taking advantage of how the rules work where other people don't have a clue.
Speaker AIf other people are being emotional, you don't be emotional.
Speaker AYou will win.
Speaker ASo this is the third episode in our little miniseries.
Speaker AWe did yyy, we did Na Na Na.
Speaker AI'm now listening.
Speaker AAnd now we're going to do the Violet from Willy Wonka I Want it all now syndrome.
Speaker AAnd the ramifications for how that kind of leads into these kind of misunderstanding about diversification.
Speaker BYeah.
Speaker BAnd, and we know that from podcasting.
Speaker BIf you put Are the markets Rigged?
Speaker BAs your title, there are listeners that will go out and search that topic and you may be brand new to Ditch the Suits.
Speaker BSo if you are welcome, my name is Steve Campbell.
Speaker BI serve as the senior marketing director at Seed Planning Group.
Speaker BTravis, who you just heard at the beginning, is our CEO of Seed and also the co host of Ditch the Suits.
Speaker BAnd Seed is a fee planning firm where we have a fiduciary obligation to work in clients best interests.
Speaker BAnd this show is a platform for us to come on and talk about the things we talk about every day with clients and employees to help empower them and you get the most from your money in life.
Speaker BAnd so when you say is the stock market rig, know that this has been part of a three part series.
Speaker BThere was two prior episodes that if you're brand new today, might want to go back and listen to first one talking about just how sometimes investing can feel like an emotional teenager.
Speaker BAnd then in the last episode Travis kind of gave you strategies for a buying guide and how to choose investments.
Speaker BBut let's talk about this big question because I think it's top of mind.
Speaker BPeople are asking it are the markets rigged and where would be a good starting point for us to start to address that question.
Speaker BLet's take a quick break to hear a word from your sponsor.
Speaker BThis episode is brought to you by Seed Planning Group.
Speaker BIf you're looking for a life giving experience working with a financial planner, then Seed is here for you.
Speaker BSeed is a fee only financial planning firm with a fiduciary obligation to put your best interests first if your goal is financial freedom and independence without sales products or really glorified salespeople, then check out Seed Planning Group.
Speaker BToday you can visit www.seedpg.com.
Speaker Bthat's www.seedpg.com.
Speaker Band the best part, you can schedule a free consultation to find out if their fee only planners and their process are right for you.
Speaker BDo you want more of Ditch the Suits?
Speaker BWell, let's take a break to tell you about our Patreon Channel.
Speaker BIf you're wanting more announcements, notifications, even access to prior seasons, you can head to patreon.com search ditch the suits and subscribe to our channel.
Speaker BYou'll get notifications of all episodes right in your inbox.
Speaker BSo visit patreon.com, search ditch the Suits or head to our show Notes where we got links to our channel.
Speaker AAnd I think we talked a lot about what investing actually means.
Speaker AIn the last episode.
Speaker AWe really talked about, you know, with the 10 steps of what an investment is or how an investor would look at investing.
Speaker ASo I think that that's a really good guide and that was probably new for a lot of people.
Speaker AAnd most people don't have that experience.
Speaker AThey don't have the experience of when the market goes down, understanding exactly what to do and not being afraid of it and how that impacts their portfolio and why they don't need to blow up their investments because their investments are broken.
Speaker ASo one of the things that we try to do when we work with people is to reshape their, their understanding of things and how it actually works.
Speaker AWe want to actually teach you the rules of the game so that you're playing, you know, with an advantage against everybody else.
Speaker AAnd that's hard.
Speaker AIt's hard work winning because when you win, everybody who's losing actually is cheering against you.
Speaker AMost people do not go, oh, you're beating me.
Speaker AI'm so glad for you.
Speaker AMost people say, oh, you're beating me.
Speaker AYou know, you must be cheating or, you know, it's rigged against me.
Speaker ASo that's kind of where this comes from.
Speaker AInvesting is basically, you know, as we talked about two episodes ago, I think been turned into gambling because everybody wants these quick results based on timing.
Speaker AYou know, you could do it yourself, you could do it your.
Speaker AListen, if everybody can make these quick decisions and make 10% a week on their investments, everybody be a billionaire.
Speaker ALike, like there when somebody goes on YouTube or Instagram or Facebook and they've got an ad on there about their, how they're a guru with investing and you should buy Passive investments and make all this money or just buy gold and all that kind of stuff.
Speaker AIf they were that good, they wouldn't be wasting their time selling you ads because they'd be so freaking wealthy that they wouldn't be talking to anybody about how they get wealthy.
Speaker AThe reason why they're out there talking to people about how other people can get wealthy is because they're trying to make money off the other people because they don't have the money yet.
Speaker APeople with money don't do that.
Speaker AYou don't see people with money.
Speaker AYou don't see Elon Musk out there trying to sell you on a passive investment.
Speaker AHe doesn't give a care in the world what you invest in.
Speaker BYou did a good job right there.
Speaker BI felt like you wanted to let loose and you filtered yourself.
Speaker AOh, I did good.
Speaker BBut.
Speaker BBut there's probably a couple camps.
Speaker BAnd I know because some of you have called in over the years with questions.
Speaker BWe have a lot of do it yourselfers that listen to Ditch the suits.
Speaker BAnd so when you talk about investing, they're in it every day.
Speaker BThey're working the Excel spreadsheet, so they love this topic.
Speaker BBut then you probably have a lot of people that have went out and hired a financial adviser.
Speaker BFinancial professional.
Speaker BOne of the thoughts that I have, just think about your experience dealing with a professional.
Speaker BWhen things are good, you probably meet far less with that individual.
Speaker BWhen things are rocky, when it looks like the market's going down, when you feel like you're losing money, you're probably making more phone calls, sending more emails, and wanting to meet more frequently.
Speaker BAnd I think that's because when you deal with somebody who's managing money or choosing managers, if the stock market is acting appropriately, your teenagers doing what they're supposed to, you're not paying as much of attention because the pain isn't as real.
Speaker BRight.
Speaker BWhen you come in and you deal with somebody, it's, how's the kids?
Speaker BHow's the family?
Speaker BOh, we made 8%.
Speaker BAnd you move on.
Speaker BAre we really doing deep dives into the intricacies of what we're actually invested in?
Speaker BBecause is there also an opportunity loss that we're not taking advantage of?
Speaker BLike you said a few episodes ago, if you made 5%, is that good in context to what you could have done without reaching?
Speaker BBut just understanding, like we said at the beginning of this episode, if you understand the rules of the game, are there different strategies you could have implemented to possibly yield a greater return without necessarily ratcheting up the risk?
Speaker BSo Couple of camps coming into it today.
Speaker BI think you can take this conversation to doing it yourself or back to a professional to hold yourself accountable or hold somebody else.
Speaker AWell, let's, let's, let's, let's start with the do it yourselfers.
Speaker ALet's give them some respect because there are some people that put the discipline in, put the time in, do a great job and do a great job and get some really wonderful results.
Speaker AI've known people like that and I've worked with people where they're doing their own thing and I'm like, you're doing it good enough, man.
Speaker AYou don't need to hire somebody.
Speaker AYou've got to figure it out.
Speaker AYep.
Speaker ABut it's a minority.
Speaker AAnd the problem is, is then other people, you know, that they come in, they're like, you could do it yourself too.
Speaker AAnd it's like, no, there's something unique about you that's allowing you to do it by yourself.
Speaker AThere's a certain interest in a certain way that you see the world normally.
Speaker AThe people who really do it well by themselves are people who really understand business.
Speaker ABecause again, investing is about businesses.
Speaker APeople don't understand that investing is all about choosing businesses that are going to be around long term that make a lot of money.
Speaker AThat's what it's about.
Speaker AAnd so if you don't understand business, you have no business investing.
Speaker AThat's where you should go and buy that index fund.
Speaker ARight.
Speaker ABecause then you don't have to know anything about business.
Speaker AYou just buy one of everything and it makes it easier for you.
Speaker ABut there are do it yourselfers out there who do a very good job because they're very structured, they're very disciplined, they understand business and they're buying companies that they think run good businesses and have good long term prospects and they're trying to buy them at good prices.
Speaker AWonderful.
Speaker AAnd they do a great job.
Speaker ASo.
Speaker AAnd I think for them this will be reinforcing and maybe give them some tidbits.
Speaker AAnd our last episode I think definitely would be supportive of that.
Speaker ABut the vast majority of people out there don't have the time or the interest or the perspective to do that.
Speaker AThey have different ideas of what investing might be about.
Speaker AAnd that's where it gets into more of that organized gambling or trying to find formulas.
Speaker AA lot of people, you see the advertisements for AI and AIs crack the code and you could turn 30,000 into a hundred thousand in 30 days and all that kind of stuff.
Speaker AThere is no preordained pattern for investing what happens in the market on a day to day basis is based on what happens tomorrow.
Speaker AAnd you don't know what's going to happen tomorrow.
Speaker AAnd there's so many things that are happening tomorrow that could influence how the market moves or how a particular company moves.
Speaker AAnd there's no way that you or any computer system is privy to all that information.
Speaker ASo what is going to happen tomorrow will not meet expectations consistently.
Speaker ASo you have to keep that in mind.
Speaker AAnd there is no silver bullet.
Speaker AThere's no special spreadsheet, there's no special price targets, there's nothing like that.
Speaker AThat is surefire way to make money.
Speaker AAnd so a lot of times do it yourselfers believe that they found the surefire way to do it.
Speaker AWhat you have found if you are being successful over time is discipline and structure.
Speaker AThe same way that you would have been successful as a professional athlete or as a professional in your field of choice.
Speaker AStructure, discipline, rinse and repeat.
Speaker AThat's how they're getting ahead.
Speaker ABut we're here today to talk about the I want it all now syndrome.
Speaker AAnybody?
Speaker AYou coach a lot of sports, right?
Speaker AAny spoiled kids on any of the teams that you coach?
Speaker AOh yeah.
Speaker AOkay, so.
Speaker BAnd you can spot them easily.
Speaker AOkay, so how do you spot a spoiled child?
Speaker ANot to get you into any trouble with some parents that might be interesting.
Speaker BA lot of it's attitude, entitlement, feeling.
Speaker BThey deserve more than other players even if they're not putting in the work.
Speaker BThere's a, there's an air about them that's very not team centric.
Speaker BIt's very me centric.
Speaker AHow about the parents with spoiled children?
Speaker ABecause a lot of times my experience in coaching as parents are worse than the kids.
Speaker BWell, they're either one of two things.
Speaker BThey're either empowering or they're silent.
Speaker AGotcha.
Speaker BRight.
Speaker BYou, you typically don't find a spoiled athlete that has a very committed parent that's willing to course correct when they need to.
Speaker BYou either have a parent that feeds that and fuels that or a parent who just feels like, I don't want to deal with that.
Speaker BYou're the coach.
Speaker BI'm gonna cross my arms and let the kid run amok on the field.
Speaker ARight, Right.
Speaker BAnd so that's not helpful.
Speaker AI talk to people all the time and it's, and it's interesting to me because almost everybody I talk to when they talk about their kids or their grandkids, I don't know how many kids and grandkids I have of people that I've worked with that are all the greatest musician, athlete, ballerina, you name it, right?
Speaker AThey're all the best at whatever they do.
Speaker AAnd I'm sure that they're wonderful and you should be proud of your children, right?
Speaker ABut you know, let's slow it down a little bit.
Speaker AFirst of all, let the kids be kids.
Speaker AAnd second of all, not everybody's kid has to be the best at everything and be, be the superstar at everything and stuff like that.
Speaker AIt's just, that's not how it works.
Speaker AAnd so the, like the I want it all now syndrome and this is maybe a bad analogy, but it's the, you know, I want to be the best right now.
Speaker AI want everything right now.
Speaker AAnd it's like no good things come over time.
Speaker AIt's the same thing with that do it yourself investor structure and discipline over and over and over again.
Speaker AThe people who really make it big and make it long term structure and discipline are at the heart of it.
Speaker ASo that gets me to, when you're a real investor and you look at your portfolio and you look at investing, what do you actually see that's different than what other people see?
Speaker AYou know, there's no entitlement or anything like that.
Speaker AThere's no, you know, short term.
Speaker AI need this right now.
Speaker AWhat it really comes down to is watch my strategy or my game plan.
Speaker AThat's where your structure comes in.
Speaker AWhat's, what's the path that I'm going to follow?
Speaker AHow am I going to approach this game and what happens when, when I'm against a player who's playing with a different strategy.
Speaker AIf you're a chess player, right, like the master chess players, they adjust to how the other chess players play.
Speaker AThey're not just going out there and playing a game plan.
Speaker AAnd it doesn't matter what the other player does.
Speaker AThey take a move, the other player takes a move, and they've all memorized all these different ways that you can go within the rules, within, you know, X amount of moves regarding, depending on what the other player's doing.
Speaker ABut they don't just disregard what the other player is doing and do their own thing because then they could easily lose.
Speaker AIf they have a strategy that's going to win in four terms and the other player has a strategy that's going to win in three terms, they better pay attention to what the other player is doing.
Speaker AThey just have to.
Speaker AAnd so a good investor has a strategy or a game plan.
Speaker AThey understand the rules and they've got to figure it out.
Speaker AOkay, if I play against somebody who goes for this, this is what I'm going to do.
Speaker AIf I play against somebody who does this, this is what I'm going to do.
Speaker AIt's the same thing with the market.
Speaker AIf the market does this, this is what I'm going to do.
Speaker AIf the investment that I think is a great long term investment has great leadership, great economic mount, all of a sudden there's a scandal and leadership gets replaced, this is what I'm going to do.
Speaker AYep.
Speaker BOne of the, the we just.
Speaker BYou and I talked about spoiled kids.
Speaker BWhen you coach sports, sometimes you go into drafts and I think it's easy to find a kid who's super talented, but there's no character.
Speaker ARight.
Speaker BAnd as a coach you have to make a decision.
Speaker BTons of upside, but could destroy a team.
Speaker BSame thing with investing.
Speaker BWe can pick the one that from an eye standpoint looks like it has upside, but there's no substance to it.
Speaker BAs a coach, you'd rather have 10 consistent, well groomed players that can win you games that play as a team versus all in.
Speaker BAnd when in the last episode you talked about leadership structure when you coach a team, a lot of player evaluation is do we know anything about the parents?
Speaker BYou talked about leadership of companies.
Speaker BSometimes you'll draft 10 kids because the parents are good parents.
Speaker AYeah.
Speaker BYou know what I mean?
Speaker BAnd so sometimes we take these approaches, moms and dads to sports or to raising our own kids.
Speaker BWhen you talk about consistency and strategy, is it better to own 10 companies that have consistency or what we hear a lot.
Speaker BCrypto's the way of the future.
Speaker BPot stocks are the way of the future.
Speaker BI'm going all in on this and that.
Speaker BSo there's a lot of investors that are trying to have it all now by finding lightning in a bottle.
Speaker BThey want all the talented player and they're not looking at the potential flaws that exist that could go terribly wrong.
Speaker AThink about the NFL.
Speaker ASo even if you're not a football fan, a lot of times what happens is there's different rules.
Speaker AFor once the game is within two minutes, Right.
Speaker AAnd there's a lot of rules.
Speaker AThere's rules on replay, there's rules on how the clock moves.
Speaker AIf you go out of bounce and stuff depending on what time it, what, what, what time of the game it's in that type of thing.
Speaker AAnd you consistently see a team win or lose.
Speaker AAnd then there's clock mismanagement as one of the issues.
Speaker AAnd it always baffles me when coaches don't know the rules of the game in which they are coaching.
Speaker AIt's just, to me, it's just this where players on the team don't know the rules of the game that they're playing.
Speaker ALike you're a professional.
Speaker AYour job is to know the rules.
Speaker AAnd I don't expect to lose because you don't understand the rules.
Speaker AI expect to lose because somebody outplays us.
Speaker AI expect to lose because possibly there's an error because errors happen.
Speaker ABut I do not expect to lose because you don't understand the rules of the game.
Speaker AAnd ultimately, what you're seeing a lot of times with investing is people lose because they don't understand the rules of the game, not because you know what, they misunderstood something.
Speaker ALike they read an investment research report and, and had the wrong impression on who the leader was or what the future was for that industry or something like, okay, fine, you make a mistake, you learn from it, or for some reason like that it's because they didn't understand how price and value relate to each other or that there are things like moats and that individual leadership is important within a company.
Speaker AKnowledge that you're going to win some and lose some.
Speaker ANo investor wins 100% of the time.
Speaker AWarren Buffett doesn't win 100% of the time.
Speaker AEngineers have this problem the most.
Speaker AThey hate seeing things that are read on their spreadsheet.
Speaker AThey cannot stand it.
Speaker AIt just.
Speaker AAnd, and this tends to be more of a male problem, I think, because of the competitive kind of the testosterone, you know, like, like alpha type of, you know, like, I can't stand to lose.
Speaker AThat's not how investing works.
Speaker AYour price fluctuations are gonna happen on investments depending on the timing of when you've bought them, you are going to see red on your statement periodically.
Speaker AIf you take that as a personal affront in the fact that you can't stand losing and that investment has to go away.
Speaker AYou have no business looking at your statements or managing your investments.
Speaker AIt's just nuts that you would even think you do.
Speaker AYou have to understand you are gonna lose sometimes.
Speaker AThis is why you don't invest in just one investment.
Speaker AYou invest in multiple investments.
Speaker AYou have diversification because if you take 10 big bets, at least one of them is going to fail.
Speaker AAnd that's okay.
Speaker AIn fact, four of them can fail.
Speaker AFive of them can fail.
Speaker AEight of them can fail depending on how good the other two do.
Speaker AYou have to be comfortable with the fact that you are going to lose sometimes.
Speaker AFootball teams, you know, any, any sports teams very rarely go undefeated.
Speaker ABaseball, they never go undefeated.
Speaker ADo they play 160 some odd games.
Speaker AWhen was the last baseball team that was the greatest team I've ever actually went undefeated.
Speaker ADoesn't happen.
Speaker AYou are gonna lose.
Speaker AYou're gonna have some losers, you're gonna learn things after the fact.
Speaker AOr companies, you know, you buy a company because it looks great, you buy this amazing investment and something happens.
Speaker AYou know, a regulation changes and they lose some of their funding.
Speaker AAnd now all of a sudden the business dynamics look horrible or they lose, you know, they're not allowed to do business in a certain place or something.
Speaker AOr you know, utility companies, the regulate, the state regulators change the rules in which they play and now it no longer looks like a good investment.
Speaker AYou didn't do a bad job, you didn't do anything wrong.
Speaker AYou didn't make a bad decision.
Speaker AWhat happened is, is the world happened, things changed, and now you have to pivot from that or oh, the, you know, like we were talking about an episode or two ago with Valero during COVID The price is way down.
Speaker AYou didn't make a bad investment.
Speaker AYou got Covid happening.
Speaker AYou know, it's like the, it's the economy, silly, right?
Speaker ALike, like you can't change the fact that Covid is happening, right?
Speaker ASo what you cannot do is make, is make a reaction to a company for something that actually has nothing to do to represent the company.
Speaker ABut you're making a decision on an outside issue, on what's happening inside of something.
Speaker AAnd so that just becomes a very big issue because people are just chasing their losses.
Speaker AThey're looking at things and saying, if I'm making money on it, I should put more money in it.
Speaker ANo.
Speaker ABack to coal.
Speaker AIf coal is really expensive, should you really try to buy more?
Speaker AProbably not.
Speaker AIf coal is really cheap, should you buy more?
Speaker AProbably so again, it could be that coal is a great commodity and great thing to have, but the prices isn't good right now, so you should wait till the price goes down and buy more.
Speaker AAnd when the price is up, have your reserves so that you don't have to, you don't have to buy it, right?
Speaker AWell, in investing, you want to buy it when the price is really good.
Speaker AAnd when the price is really high, consider maybe trimming the top and reaping some of that reward type of thing.
Speaker AYou have to pick your battles and your hills to die on.
Speaker AI see this all the time.
Speaker APeople worry about the wrong things.
Speaker AI can't buy that company because I went into their store and I had bad customer service.
Speaker AReally?
Speaker AThat's how you're gonna Decide on a multinational company is because you had one bad experience with a store.
Speaker AYou know, like, that's.
Speaker AThat's, you know, that's really where you want to dig in and say, I can't buy this company, this investment, or, I have to sell this investment.
Speaker ABut we see it all the time.
Speaker APeople will have the wrong things that, you know, social issues.
Speaker AWhat about, you know, all the federal layoffs because of Doge and what's happening with the federal government right now?
Speaker AYeah, what about it?
Speaker AWhat's that got to do with whether or not you should buy Visa today or whether or not you should buy Apple or Microsoft?
Speaker AWhat's it got to do with any of that?
Speaker BRight.
Speaker AYou know, like, because these are big, emotional things that are happening to you or happening in life and you're observing them, doesn't mean that that's got to trickle into your portfolio, and it doesn't mean that it has anything to do with why your portfolio is down.
Speaker ABut these things kind of get convoluted.
Speaker AAnd so now we're saying, the world is bad and investing is bad.
Speaker AI need to take my money out.
Speaker AAnd you might be right at the precipice of the market just exploding because of a tax overhaul deal, right?
Speaker AAnd you got to look past your nose, you know, like, you don't bite off your nose to spite your face.
Speaker ABut that happens a lot of times where we're conflating issues and we're sticking our flag in the sand saying, I'm going to die for this issue, which is essentially what you're saying.
Speaker AYou're not thinking that when you're saying it, but that's what you're actually doing.
Speaker AAnd then the last one that I had is play to win instead of not to lose.
Speaker AMy dad taught me this when I was a kid, and I had some challenges in my upbringing.
Speaker ABut one of the things that I remember him saying that I didn't understand until I got older because I was always afraid to lose.
Speaker AIf you play afraid to lose, you are going to lose often.
Speaker ASo if you have to be convinced that you.
Speaker AThat you can win before you play, you know what I mean?
Speaker ALike.
Speaker ALike you're.
Speaker AYou're just gonna.
Speaker AYou're gonna lose more than you win.
Speaker AIf you just play to win, you go out there and say, I'm gonna do the best as I can.
Speaker AI'm gonna make the best decisions that I can, and I'm gonna let it hang out.
Speaker AI'm gonna do everything I can to be successful.
Speaker AAnd you know what?
Speaker ASometimes I'M gonna lose and that's okay.
Speaker AYou're gonna win a lot.
Speaker ABut the guy who goes out there and says, if I lose, look at what people are gonna think about me.
Speaker AYou know, maybe my, my self worth will be down.
Speaker AI'll have less money.
Speaker ALike in investing, I'll have less money.
Speaker AIf you're playing with that attitude, you've already lost.
Speaker AYou should not be managing your money if you're playing with the.
Speaker AThe idea is I'm afraid to lose money.
Speaker AIf you're afraid to lose money, do not manage your own investments and do not have any say in how your investments other than the investment thesis that's followed.
Speaker ABut put somebody in charge of it that's not afraid to lose because you're gonna have losers.
Speaker ARight.
Speaker ANot even when you have a Super bowl winning football team.
Speaker ANot everybody on that team was the greatest player in the world.
Speaker ASome of the players, some of the guys didn't do good.
Speaker ARight.
Speaker AThey didn't.
Speaker AThe Chiefs, I think the Chiefs.
Speaker ANo, it was a 49ers.
Speaker AThey kicked a player off their team who didn't want to play.
Speaker ARight.
Speaker AYou're going to have pieces of your program that just fail and it's okay, you move on.
Speaker AThat's why you have to understand business and business.
Speaker AMy big advice to people, you know, a third of what you do is not going to work out.
Speaker AIt's just not going to work for whatever reason.
Speaker ANot because it's always a bad idea, but because you try, it doesn't work out.
Speaker AYou didn't have enough information.
Speaker APeople don't care about it.
Speaker ABut you don't stop trying.
Speaker AYou keep going.
Speaker AYour portfolio is going to be the same way.
Speaker AThere's going to be parts in it that lose and you're going to be able to stomach it.
Speaker BWell, and you had talked about to the do it yourselfers that have done a great job and just walked through that.
Speaker BBut I'm even thinking about the people that have hired a financial advisor.
Speaker BLike how are you keeping the people that are managing your money accountable?
Speaker BSo.
Speaker BSo that you are making good business decisions with your money.
Speaker BRight.
Speaker BAnd just because somebody makes you feel good.
Speaker AYeah.
Speaker BDoesn't mean that that also equals performance.
Speaker BAnd here's this why I would say if you're paying somebody a fee, they're going to want you to feel good because they don't want to.
Speaker BWell.
Speaker AAnd they're salespeople.
Speaker BThey're salespeople.
Speaker BSo.
Speaker BSo just because when you come in, the, the cat pageantry of the industry that gets you coffee and asks about your family.
Speaker BAnd they speak very little about your investments.
Speaker BBut you leave away feeling good.
Speaker BWhat if you were actually missing out on understanding all the things you've been walking us through and owning great companies and really making good decisions and opportunity cost.
Speaker BDon't wait for the world to go to hell in a handbasket and say what?
Speaker BWhat have you been doing all this time?
Speaker BHold the people that you're paying fees to accountable to make sure that they're really looking at this with your best interests.
Speaker ABut that's the Na na na, I don't want to hear it.
Speaker BYeah.
Speaker AEpisode.
Speaker BYep.
Speaker ABecause here's the thing.
Speaker AIf you're working with somebody or you're going to hire somebody, you need them to explain their investment thesis to you.
Speaker AAnd if they say we invest according to modern portfolio theory, some bullshit that they got off the Internet, if they don't sound like what we're talking about, the fact that you're buying pieces of something that's real and you need to get those things for a good price, and that's what matters.
Speaker AAnd we're looking to build value for you over time.
Speaker AIf they're not talking about those things, they're selling you somebody else's investment strategy.
Speaker AThere should be an investment thesis.
Speaker AYou should be sitting down with your investment person and explain to me the investment thesis and how you're going to handle my investments.
Speaker AAnd they should be talking about price and value.
Speaker AThey should be talking about economic advantages.
Speaker AThey should be talking about what we're going to do in the market's down, when it's up.
Speaker AThey should be talking about why this stuff that you're reading on the news, you know, does or doesn't impact you.
Speaker ABut this should sound a lot like some of the stuff that we've talking about.
Speaker AAnd I truly believe that.
Speaker AAnd I talk to investors all the time, people who are managing endowments and things like that too.
Speaker AAnd they come in and they say, we want you to do XYZ for us.
Speaker AAnd the first thing I say is, what's your investment thesis?
Speaker AWell, we don't have one.
Speaker AI'm like, well, how could we possibly build you an investment program for your organization if you don't have an investment thesis?
Speaker ALet's help you start.
Speaker AThere's.
Speaker ALet's start with your investment thesis.
Speaker AAnd that's for people who are managing other people or giving advice to other people.
Speaker ANow, if you are the type of person who is saying, well, I'm coming to you for advice, I'm buying your investment thesis, you need to have those spider like the BS indicator up.
Speaker AAnd if you're getting generic stuff when you Google investing and it's the top line of Wikipedia, or if you talk to three different investment people and you say, what's your investment thesis?
Speaker AAnd they all give you the same spiel that means not a single one of them actually has a real thesis.
Speaker AThey're just selling you investments.
Speaker AThey're selling you like you talked about two episodes ago.
Speaker AI think SMAs or mutual funds or stuff like that, they're just putting you in whatever they put you in because that's how they get paid.
Speaker AIt needs to be an intellectual conversation, not one that is using words that you can.
Speaker AI don't think I've used a single term here in the last three episodes that people can't understand or that we didn't explain, that goes.
Speaker AWhen you hear, you go, okay, that makes sense to me, right?
Speaker AIt's down to earth.
Speaker ATalk to you like a human being, Explain how it is.
Speaker AHere's the rules of the game.
Speaker AHere's how we play within the rules.
Speaker ANot well, you know, if you really want more return, you could buy this structure product over there or that product over there that creates these K1s and all these other issues.
Speaker AAnd you know, but it's great because you get more income and blah, blah, blah.
Speaker AIt's like, no, what's the actual investment thesis for how you're going to manage my portfolio for me.
Speaker AAnd, and I would go a step further.
Speaker ADo your financial planning before you do your investment management.
Speaker AThe financial plan gives you a guideline for what you need the investment program to do for you.
Speaker AIf you don't know what you need out of the investment program to meet your financial goals, then how do you have a properly developed financial plan or investment plan?
Speaker ASo you start with the financial plan, understand where you want to go, and then you look at your resources and say, can they help me get there?
Speaker AOr what do I need to do to help me get there?
Speaker AAnd that will cut out a lot of the garbage that gets sold to people.
Speaker AI've seen people who, you should have a retirement annuity.
Speaker AYou should have an index new, that type of thing.
Speaker AWhy do I need that?
Speaker AWell, because you need guarantees.
Speaker AIt's like, no, you have so much money that even if you made 5% for the rest of your life and spent 6% a year, you'd still have money left over.
Speaker AWhy would you buy a guarantee?
Speaker AWhen you buy a guarantee, you give up your money, you give up your principal, you buy a contract with A third party company.
Speaker AWhy would you do that if you don't need to do that?
Speaker AYou need to understand the rules of the game first.
Speaker ABefore you do that and what's actually happening, you need to understand your situation.
Speaker AWhat's going on with your situation.
Speaker AWhen you talk to investment people, I think it should sound like us.
Speaker AYou know, I think you should look for somebody who's saying, look, there's value in every investment that you buy.
Speaker AThere's a reason why you need to, you should be buying that investment.
Speaker ASo if you say why do I own this?
Speaker AWe could actually give you an explanation of why you own that and how that relates to your financial situation.
Speaker BWell, and this is one of those moments that if you've been presented with new information you've never heard of invest investment thesis.
Speaker BWhat, what do you do with that?
Speaker BAs a listener, you go back to your professional money managers or whoever it is and say, talk to me about your investment thesis.
Speaker BAnd if they stare at you like deer in a headlights or say we.
Speaker APick money managers for you.
Speaker BRight.
Speaker BThere's your spider sense, number one.
Speaker BSo when we have people reach out to us for consulting and Travis poses a question on what's your investment thesis?
Speaker BIt's never to trap the individual or to shame them.
Speaker BIt's because we need to have a guideline.
Speaker BGoing to be hired as a fiduciary to say what are we being held accountable to and what's the thesis?
Speaker BSo that we know that we're staying within.
Speaker BSo that's.
Speaker BIf there's one takeaway from this episode.
Speaker BWhat is the investment thesis that either you're following on your own or that somebody that you're paying a fee, what are they following?
Speaker BSo I'm going to let you finish here on these last parts and just.
Speaker ALet me make a point on that too.
Speaker AI don't mean that in any way negative.
Speaker AI.
Speaker ATo me, it's a wonderful thing to have a conversation with somebody about what your investment thesis.
Speaker AAnd if you don't have one, are you going to use ours?
Speaker AOr, or do you need us to help you design one that works for you and your situation?
Speaker ABecause what that does is that creates the guidelines for how the management happens.
Speaker ARight.
Speaker AIf you don't have it, if you don't have a thesis, how do you create the structure and the discipline?
Speaker AYep.
Speaker ARight.
Speaker AYou have to have that guiding principle.
Speaker AAnd that's what your thesis is.
Speaker AIt's my guiding principle.
Speaker AI believe in index investing.
Speaker AI believe in individual equities.
Speaker AThat's your thesis.
Speaker ANow how do we create structure around that.
Speaker ASo that's why that's so important.
Speaker ASome people might call it investment policy statement.
Speaker AThat's more of a rule book.
Speaker AThe thesis is kind of what that investment policy statement is designed to actually drive.
Speaker BRight?
Speaker AHere's, here's what I would say, because I think that this has been a great discussion today.
Speaker AIf you look at every very, very successful investment manager and hedge fund guy, pick anyone you want.
Speaker AAckerman, Buffett, not a single one of them got rich investing in the index.
Speaker ANone of them did.
Speaker ADalio, he didn't.
Speaker AHe didn't buy the.
Speaker AThat's not how he made his money.
Speaker AThey made money by buying individual companies, understanding the companies and their economic advantages and their leadership teams, and that's how they made their money.
Speaker AAll the really, really wealthy people got rich investing.
Speaker AJeff Bezos invested in his own company.
Speaker AElon Musk invested in his own companies.
Speaker ARight.
Speaker AThat's how they got rich in individual companies, not in the average of how everything does.
Speaker AAnd so if you're thinking, well, nobody can do it, but that's how all the really wealthy people did it.
Speaker AAnd if you say, well, I heard Warren Buffett talking or I heard Kramer talking or any of these other, you know, talking heads talk, and they said that, you know, I should buy the index, the reason why they're saying that is because they don't believe that you have the structure and the discipline to do what they do.
Speaker AAnd they're a hundred percent right in most cases, because you not only have to have structure and discipline, but you have to understand business.
Speaker AAnd if you don't understand business, if you don't have structure and you don't have discipline, you're not going to be able to do what they've done.
Speaker AIt'll be a pipe dream.
Speaker ASo you're just not going to get there.
Speaker ASo their answer to you then is buy the s and P500 so that you don't have to worry about it.
Speaker ABecause it's dangerous to buy things you don't understand.
Speaker AIt's dangerous not to be disciplined.
Speaker AIt's dangerous not to understand the rules of the game.
Speaker AThat's where you can get wiped out.
Speaker AWhen somebody says, yeah, I know a guy, he went to financial advisor.
Speaker AHe lost all his money because he was investing with somebody who didn't have a good thesis.
Speaker AHe was investing with somebody that was taking bad bets.
Speaker AHe didn't understand the rules of the game.
Speaker ARight.
Speaker AHe didn't understand how the, the financial.
Speaker ANot every financial advisor is the same.
Speaker AYep, you can go out and get a broker.
Speaker AWhen you get a broker, a registered representative with a company, you give them permission to buy or sell something.
Speaker AIn fact, a lot of investment advisor representatives, so called fiduciaries, if they don't have discretionary authority, what happens is they come to you and say, we think we should do this.
Speaker AThey sell you an idea and you say, go ahead and do it.
Speaker AThey have shifted 100% of the liability to you.
Speaker AAnd when it doesn't work out and you lose your money because you buy a stock or some kind of investment and blows up on you, they say, but you gave us permission to buy it.
Speaker AYou're the final decision maker, not us.
Speaker AAll we do is present the idea to you and it happens over and over and over.
Speaker AAnd then you hear about, well, you know, so and so was investing with somebody that lost all their money.
Speaker AYou didn't understand what the rules were even with the people you were working with.
Speaker ASo you gotta understand the rules of the game.
Speaker ABut just think about that like that every billionaire you've ever heard of, not a single one got, became a billionaire.
Speaker ALeBron James not a billionaire because, or Michael Jordan not a billionaire because of index funds or mutual funds in general.
Speaker ANone of them are.
Speaker AThey buy companies, they go out and they get a good price on things.
Speaker AThey buy it, they make sure they have good leadership in place and they make a ton of money on it.
Speaker AAnd they still buy losers, they still fail.
Speaker AThere's still things in their portfolios that don't work out you can talk to.
Speaker AI'm sure that you can look at Buffett's history and you'll find things that lost money.
Speaker BWell, and I think that's part of the exciting part is how you've tried to bring to reality the fact that if you're an investor, you have an opportunity in a free market to go buy a cut of a company and own it.
Speaker BYou're, you're not buying the physical company from Tim Cook, but you can own a part of Apple.
Speaker BIf you believe in their mission and what they're doing.
Speaker AYou are buying a part of the physical company from whoever owns it.
Speaker AI mean you like a share of a company.
Speaker AIf there's a million shares of a company, that means there's a million equal pieces of the company.
Speaker AWhen you buy one, you are buying an equal piece of the company.
Speaker AWhich means, you know, you, you can't necessarily go and like, because you own one millionth of the company, like just walk into its building.
Speaker ALike you own the place.
Speaker AYou got to own a Lot more.
Speaker BThat's more what I was alluding to.
Speaker BBut you have an investor have an opportunity to do that, and you can make money.
Speaker BYou can make money by putting your money behind companies that have strong visions for where they're going, and you can reap the benefits of that.
Speaker BAnd so investing.
Speaker BYou can say, the stock market's rigged, which is being the parent on the sideline that says, my kid's out of control, you fix him.
Speaker BOr you can be the parent who says, this might be a little rough for a little bit, but I want to course correct so that the character's there.
Speaker AYeah.
Speaker BBecause over the long run, I want to have the best darn kid I can.
Speaker AIf you're going to play a strategy game against me.
Speaker BYeah, I've done that.
Speaker ARight.
Speaker ADo not complain if I beat you because I do something that you didn't know you could do.
Speaker ARead the instructions.
Speaker ARight.
Speaker ALike the market.
Speaker AThe answer to this is the market's not actually rigged.
Speaker AThe real answer is that you need to be a student of the game.
Speaker AThat's the only way that that that's how you win is you have to be a dedicated student on the game.
Speaker AYou have to understand all the rules.
Speaker AYou have to have structure, you have to have discipline.
Speaker AYou have to play to win.
Speaker AYou have to understand business.
Speaker AYou have to be a student of the actual game you're playing.
Speaker AYou can't.
Speaker AIf you lose the game over and over and over again and you don't relook at your strategy and your discipline, that's not a market problem.
Speaker AThat's a you problem.
Speaker AI love when I play games with people and they every single game is the same exact strategy.
Speaker AThey do the same thing over and over and over again.
Speaker ANo matter how I beat them, because all I have to do is adjust and I can beat them.
Speaker AThat's a them problem.
Speaker AIf they want to win, they got to do something.
Speaker AThey got to take a chance, try something, not be afraid to lose.
Speaker AOh, if I don't play like this, I can't win.
Speaker AWell, you can't win like that either.
Speaker ASo either play to win, you know, or sit there and get upset when you lose over and over again.
Speaker BYeah, well, hey, if this was your first interaction because you looked up, is the stock market rigged?
Speaker BAnd you happen to stumble upon ditch the suits.
Speaker BTravis and I always present series, usually two or three episodes around topics.
Speaker BThis was our investment series, investing.
Speaker BSo go back, listen to the previous two episodes.
Speaker BBut as a reminder, you can also visit our Patreon channel.
Speaker BSubscribe to Ditch the Suit so that you can get live inbox updates about new episodes.
Speaker BWe just appreciate you being our guest.
Speaker BAnd until next time, thanks for checking out Ditch the Suits.
Speaker BThanks for checking out Ditch the Suits.
Speaker BBe sure to write a review or drop a comment about this episode.
Speaker BAnd if you want more like this, head over to Ditch suits dot com.
Speaker BYou can send us a message and get in touch.
Speaker BLet us know how we can help, and be sure to share any topics you'd be interested in having us cover on the show.
Speaker BWe're here to help you get the most from your money in life.
Speaker BThanks for being our guest and checking out Ditch the Suits.