Speaker:

It's not because my ad sucks,

Speaker:

it's because it's speaking

to saying the wrong thing

Speaker:

to this person. At this time,

Speaker:

I'm not speaking to this vast majority

of people in the way that they want to be

Speaker:

spoken to.

Speaker:

Hey, this episode is brought

to you by OMG Commerce.

Speaker:

That's the agency that I get

the privilege of running.

Speaker:

Do you ever feel like it's Groundhog Day

when it comes to your marketing where

Speaker:

every day's the same, you're still

relying on the same channels,

Speaker:

got the same ads you're leaning

into? Maybe it's time to diversify,

Speaker:

maybe it's time to unlock new

growth. That's what we specialize in.

Speaker:

My guess is if you're like most brands,

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you're probably leaning heavily into

meta ads and long live meta. We love it,

Speaker:

but you're probably missing YouTube ads.

Speaker:

And my guess is maybe Google

is under leveraged as well.

Speaker:

We've helped multiple brands

go from zero to 5, 10, 15,

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even $25,000 a day.

Speaker:

We helped kani a hair regrowth

product go from zero to $1 million in

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YouTube ad spend in 90 days

while hitting their CAC

Speaker:

target.

Speaker:

And we'd love to see if we could do

the same for you. So we'd love to chat,

Speaker:

talk about what it takes to scale on

YouTube and how ready you are right now.

Speaker:

So let's chat and go to omg commerce.com.

Speaker:

Click the Let's Talk button and we'd love

to help you dominate with YouTube ads.

Speaker:

Well, hello and welcome to another edition

of the E-Commerce Evolution podcast.

Speaker:

I'm your host, Brett

Curry, CEO of OMG Commerce,

Speaker:

and today we've got a return guest.

Speaker:

This guy is lighting up

LinkedIn on the daily.

Speaker:

You can hear him on all your favorite

podcasts if you're into marketing at all

Speaker:

and you've ever tried to determine how

much should I be putting into performance

Speaker:

versus brand and is any of this

real and how do I measure it,

Speaker:

then this guy is a beacon

of light in our industry

Speaker:

and so excited to have him back on

the podcast. But I've got the one,

Speaker:

the only Preston Rutherford co-founder of

Speaker:

Looking Good Today.

Preston, how's it going man?

Speaker:

And thanks for coming back on the pod.

Speaker:

Yeah, I mean, we were talking

about this a second ago,

Speaker:

but I think my first go with you is

my first ever podcast appearance.

Speaker:

So thank you for just getting me going.

Speaker:

But now I'm excited to be here. This

would be a lot fun, that glowing intro.

Speaker:

Playing. Yeah, yeah, yeah, you

bet. Playing a very small part in

Speaker:

your podcast career there. But

yeah, I think it was the first,

Speaker:

I was watching LinkedIn, I was like,

Hey, wait a minute, this guy's good.

Speaker:

And it looks like maybe he's just

kind starting to post on LinkedIn.

Speaker:

So I jumped on it like, Hey,

come on the pod. And you did.

Speaker:

I love it.

Speaker:

And the rest is history, man.

Speaker:

But I love what you and

team built with Chub.

Speaker:

I love how it's continued to succeed and

I want to talk about that a little bit

Speaker:

in a minute because it's such

an important note to make.

Speaker:

And then I think really the time is right.

Speaker:

You've been talking about this for years.

Speaker:

The time is right to be thinking

about brand building and performance

Speaker:

marketing, sustainable, profitable growth.

Speaker:

It's just all kind of lining up.

We had the COVID era rock and roll,

Speaker:

crazy Hair on Fire growth where just

grow growth, spend, spend, spend.

Speaker:

We'll figure out profits later to,

oh shoot, we got to make money.

Speaker:

We're not making any money

now. Let's measure everything.

Speaker:

And so I think we're coming to

this place where it's like, okay,

Speaker:

let's look at this holistically.

And just so you know,

Speaker:

I've always felt like marketing

has to drive some kind of actions.

Speaker:

It's got to drive some.

Speaker:

If we're advertising and people

do nothing with that advertising,

Speaker:

what are we doing? In fact,

you'll appreciate this.

Speaker:

My first little consultancy

right out of college,

Speaker:

I was working with local businesses,

Speaker:

my tagline was marketing that builds

your brand and your bottom line.

Speaker:

Love that.

Speaker:

I was trying to help the local car

dealership and local retail stores.

Speaker:

It was super fun, but.

Speaker:

Love.

Speaker:

That.

Speaker:

I love how you guys have done this

and that led to a nine figure exit

Speaker:

with Chub and just your perspective

here is really, really valuable.

Speaker:

So maybe talk a little bit about the

journey for those that dunno with

Speaker:

Chubby, how you got to your

current philosophy on marketing,

Speaker:

and then we'll talk about Chubby's success

right now because it's kind of crazy

Speaker:

how well it's doing right now, but

tell us a little bit of the story.

Speaker:

Sure, sure, sure. Yeah,

absolutely. So I'm a tiny,

Speaker:

tiny part of the success.

So one of four co-founders

Speaker:

and we started the business back in 2011.

Speaker:

We were four or five years out of college,

Speaker:

just didn't want to work for other

people more than anything and just we're

Speaker:

looking for something to

start and stumbled upon

Speaker:

the shorter, short, the whole

vibe of let's just be different.

Speaker:

It was different from what was in Vogue

at the time from a men's app peril

Speaker:

perspective where it was very stuffy

and Abercrombie and Fitch shirts off

Speaker:

guys standing in front of the store,

spring you with cologne playing horrible.

Speaker:

I dunno, German house music or whatever.

Speaker:

And.

Speaker:

You had to look a certain way, we're too

cool for you, you can't hang with us.

Speaker:

And there's, thats the opposite

of what we think should exist.

Speaker:

So that was like a foundational premise.

And then the shorts were just super,

Speaker:

super long and we all kind grew up

either playing soccer or rugby or we were

Speaker:

from the south and all of those things.

Speaker:

You're used to sort of

shorts actual short.

Speaker:

And then there was a sort of

aspirational look back to our dads

Speaker:

on their spring breaks in college when

they were growing up and how awesome they

Speaker:

look the mustaches and the

shorter and that whole thing.

Speaker:

So all that kind of came together

and we're just like, well shoot,

Speaker:

let's just try to, we don't

want to work for other people.

Speaker:

It'd be fun to work together. Let's just

try to start something. So I was back.

Speaker:

In 21. You guys helped.

Speaker:

Were you writing that trend or do you

feel like you kind of propelled that

Speaker:

trend? Because there was a time,

Speaker:

I'm a kid of the nineties and so we were

with my basketball team in high school.

Speaker:

We were coming off of all the old uniforms

from the seventies days were super

Speaker:

short.

Speaker:

Super short.

Speaker:

Shockingly, almost

obscenely short. Exactly.

Speaker:

And then it was the Fab five for

missions. Everybody's going baggy shorts.

Speaker:

That was the rage. Totally. Now

definitely short, excuse me, the trend.

Speaker:

Did you guys launch that trend back to

short or did you just ride the wave that

Speaker:

was already there? What's

your perspective on that?

Speaker:

I mean, dude, this is 2011,

so I'm obviously very biased,

Speaker:

but when we came out with shorter shorts,

Speaker:

it was absurdly different. Yeah.

Speaker:

I think guys really propelled

that. I think you did. I think.

Speaker:

So. Yes, I definitely think so.

Speaker:

And it's one of those things that

takes 15 years to really kind of get

Speaker:

going. It just takes a long time.

But no, we were starkly different,

Speaker:

and I think that was one of the main

reasons why we were able to stand out

Speaker:

because there was that latent

demand of people who were,

Speaker:

it was like sometimes there were

shorter folks who had to cut the

Speaker:

shorts that they had.

Speaker:

They had to go to Savers or Goodwill

and they had to find older shorts.

Speaker:

Or there were folks who generally,

Speaker:

maybe they had bigger quads or something

like that and they wanted to show 'em

Speaker:

off.

Speaker:

Or you had folks who played

sports and just kind of wanted a

Speaker:

better short that just kind of

fit with what they were used to.

Speaker:

There were all these sorts of things

where there was latent demand,

Speaker:

and so there was this niche of

people who were down with it,

Speaker:

but broadly it was very

frowned upon and viewed as

Speaker:

stupid and less masculine,

all of this kind of stuff.

Speaker:

So we just tried to turn the tables

and did all of these things where from

Speaker:

a brand and positioning perspective

made it seem completely,

Speaker:

our goal at least was to

make it completely inarguable

that shorts were meant to

Speaker:

be short, and that if you were

scared to show off your actual legs,

Speaker:

maybe that was representative of a lack

of confidence or that you're hiding

Speaker:

something or that what's in

those pockets of those shorts. So

Speaker:

yeah, no, it was very rare at the time.

Speaker:

It certainly wasn't a trend

that existed in a big way.

Speaker:

Totally makes sense. So yeah, I'm going

to credit you guys with that for sure.

Speaker:

So you say you don't want to work with

people, you want to work for yourselves,

Speaker:

you want something that's not the stuffy

kind of will tell you how to be cool

Speaker:

type of thing like Abercrombie

and Fitch and stuff like that.

Speaker:

So you launched the brand

then pick us up from there.

Speaker:

Sure, yeah.

Speaker:

So I mean at the beginning it was like

we had no money and the first person that

Speaker:

we went to work with to actually make

some shorts for us just took our money.

Speaker:

So it wasn't a blazing

start I guess I would say.

Speaker:

But we kind of funded the

early days with pre-sales.

Speaker:

We were just trying to get emails,

Speaker:

sign people up or we were doing

straight up in-person sales.

Speaker:

We'd do events at bars or we

would sell shorts at the park

Speaker:

very hand-to-hand combat sort of thing

that I think I highly recommend for

Speaker:

anyone who's just starting a

brand sell stuff in person,

Speaker:

but then started to get some early success

Speaker:

and I think started to grow a little

bit, which was the early goal.

Speaker:

And it was the time of Facebook ads

were just becoming a thing and you could

Speaker:

spend a dollar get 10 out or

whatever the exorbitant number was at

Speaker:

the time, same.

Speaker:

Numbers.

Speaker:

And you just start to feel

this godlike power that,

Speaker:

I mean, you can't necessarily cure cancer,

Speaker:

but you can sell shorts on the internet

and put a dollar in and get 10 out

Speaker:

pretty.

Speaker:

Print profit profits at will. Yeah,

Speaker:

it was kind of like the very early

days of Google where you were literally

Speaker:

getting five and Tencent clicks.

Speaker:

It's like you could literally print money

and then those were such unique times

Speaker:

that great take advantage of that.

It was never going to last forever.

Speaker:

So that's kind of.

Speaker:

Well didn't, that's the thing,

we didn't know that, right?

Speaker:

I mean it's hard to know that because

you're like, why would this stop?

Speaker:

No, I don't understand the macro dynamics.

Speaker:

So we basically got obsessed with

that kind of thing, just like, oh,

Speaker:

following the trend of what works,

what drives that 10 x ROAS or whatever.

Speaker:

And so I think we were growing and

I think because we were just so new,

Speaker:

we were doing the brand building thing,

Speaker:

we just knew that was the way to

differentiate and we couldn't spend 30% of

Speaker:

revenue on marketing,

Speaker:

so we had to do crazy stuff that was free.

Speaker:

So that did the brand building

stuff in the early days.

Speaker:

But then as we started to get more of a

flow and we needed more consistency and

Speaker:

predictability,

Speaker:

that's when we just rotated into

just the pure demand capture.

Speaker:

There was this latent demand

for fun apparel short kind of

Speaker:

thing,

Speaker:

and we were just capturing that so we

didn't feel the pain because we didn't

Speaker:

need to create new demand for our brand,

Speaker:

for our product until we needed to.

And then that was less fun and that was

Speaker:

about halfway in. And so we hit a little

bit of a midlife crisis if you'll,

Speaker:

but then that's kind of where we had to

rebuild the business from the ground up

Speaker:

again, all the credit to the team, all

the credit to the other founders here.

Speaker:

I'm just a tiny, tiny part. I just

talk about it on the internet,

Speaker:

but I was generally the one

who was representative of

all of bad decision making

Speaker:

and it was the other founders who

were more representative of like, no,

Speaker:

let's build this thing for the

long term. Let's find balance.

Speaker:

And so then we had to learn what

demand creation, demand capture,

Speaker:

what that balance looks like, how to

measure it, how to think about it,

Speaker:

how to allocate that capital. But

ultimately it resulted a great,

Speaker:

you mentioned all I can share

is a nine figure acquisition,

Speaker:

but now we're going on eight years

of top and bottom line growth.

Speaker:

I'm not in the business anymore,

Speaker:

but Rainer one of the four co-founders

and exceptional team, great guy,

Speaker:

great team on an absolutely

crushing it. It's.

Speaker:

Awesome. Yeah,

Speaker:

it really speaks to what you guys

built in the early days and to

Speaker:

see that sustained growth means

that you got a lot of it right?

Speaker:

You got product right, you got team,

Speaker:

you got the approach to brand

building and performance marketing.

Speaker:

You got that mix. And so I want

to dive in here a little bit.

Speaker:

One of the things you talk about a lot

online and that you and I have talked

Speaker:

about one-to-one is had this

idea of the performance trap and

Speaker:

brand erosion,

Speaker:

which I know is kind of the trap you

guys fell into when you thought the 10 to

Speaker:

one row as was going to go on

forever and ever, and then it did,

Speaker:

and then you're like, oh shoot, what

do we do now? How to rebuild things,

Speaker:

but talk about that a little bit.

Speaker:

What is that performance

trap and brand erosion?

Speaker:

How does a brand know they're in it?

Speaker:

And then we'll talk about

how do you get out of it?

Speaker:

Sure. Yeah. I mean I

think it's that feeling,

Speaker:

you feel it in your gut

where you're just like, Hmm,

Speaker:

this can't be right.

Speaker:

This doesn't feel like this

is what leads to a long-term

Speaker:

generational sort of thing.

Speaker:

You kind of look back at

your actions and you're like,

Speaker:

am I truly generating building

desirability for my brand

Speaker:

kind of thing or am I just making all

of these withdrawals without making any

Speaker:

deposits? If you want to use a

bank account metaphor analogy,

Speaker:

but then it shows up in the data too.

Speaker:

I mean people will cite

a variety of stats.

Speaker:

My C is going, my customer

acquisition cost is going up,

Speaker:

or my CPMs are going up,

or my reach is going down,

Speaker:

cost per a thousand accounts reached

going down or contribution margins

Speaker:

going down. I ran a sale this year,

Speaker:

I ran the same sale last year and the

lift from the sale this year was like

Speaker:

50% of what I got last year. So next

year I'm going to have to double the

Speaker:

discount. Or the only way

I can scale spend on X, Y,

Speaker:

Z channel is if there's a really strong

offer now and I can't just talk about my

Speaker:

product, I've got to throw an offer on it.

Speaker:

All of these sorts of things where you

just look at the business and you're

Speaker:

like, man,

Speaker:

do I feel like I'm in a more defensible

position or do I feel more reliant on

Speaker:

the ad platforms?

Speaker:

Am I getting as much of my revenue from

people searching for my brand name and

Speaker:

coming to my site and buying as I am

from a click on a buy button on an ad?

Speaker:

You start to realize that probably

the answer is no to that, right?

Speaker:

That part of, let's call it,

Speaker:

I don't want to call it organic

demand or unpaid demand,

Speaker:

but just the purchase behaviors

that were driving the mix of that

Speaker:

over time can start to

get a little bit more over

Speaker:

indexed onto the Let's fight for clicks

and get the click kind of thing. You

Speaker:

get into a place where

you're like, well, shoot,

Speaker:

my ROAS is like whatever the number is,

Speaker:

and I've been able to grow

it, but has my business grown.

Speaker:

You start to see those disconnect between

these metrics that we use to evaluate

Speaker:

how we spend our money

and the actual business.

Speaker:

And you start to get into these perverse

incentive situations where you're like,

Speaker:

okay,

Speaker:

I've got to be at a marketing efficiency

ratio of a five or something like that.

Speaker:

Great. And then I need to maximize

realize within that context. Great,

Speaker:

and I need to get a blended five

on that. So you're like, okay,

Speaker:

well I could just remove

some audience exclusions and

Speaker:

that will help me get a

little bit of a higher,

Speaker:

realize I could retarget

a little bit more.

Speaker:

I could spend a little bit

more on brand key with,

Speaker:

you can do all these things

where you're just like, well no,

Speaker:

we need to capture that demand. We need

to make sure we're defending our brand.

Speaker:

We need to make sure we're

doing X, y, z, blah, blah, blah.

Speaker:

The meta algorithm will

handle it or whatever.

Speaker:

And we can get into these slippery

slopes where it's like, huh,

Speaker:

but maybe I'm just claiming credit for

a lot of transactions that would've

Speaker:

already happened. So anyways, there's

this whole cycle where it's like, okay,

Speaker:

well we're spending more to get less.

Speaker:

I'm discounting more now.

Speaker:

I'm more and more competing on

the level of features and price

Speaker:

rather than just who I I'm as a brand.

Speaker:

It ultimately manifests generally in

contribution dollars going down or

Speaker:

contribution margin going down just like

the cash flowing through the business.

Speaker:

Even if revenue's going up,

Speaker:

the cash actually dropping

to cover your fixed costs,

Speaker:

you're not looking as good as you

would generally like it to look.

Speaker:

And if you trend that out two

years, three years, four years,

Speaker:

it's no bueno kind of thing.

Speaker:

You see where we're headed

in the wrong direction.

Speaker:

Sometimes as ROAS climbs

or often as ROAS climbs,

Speaker:

your overall contribution margin may

be going down and the incremental

Speaker:

impact, incremental lift of your marketing

dollars often going down as well,

Speaker:

meaning we're making ourselves feel good

by looking in the ad account and pat

Speaker:

ourselves on the back

with great ROAS numbers,

Speaker:

but ultimately we're not driving

new customers at an acceptable cost.

Speaker:

We're not fueling we organic growth,

Speaker:

we're not actually

driving the brand to grow.

Speaker:

And that is absolutely no bueno.

Speaker:

Two points of nuance on that super

quickly, two points of nuance on that.

Speaker:

We were mentioning CAC

and customer acquisition.

Speaker:

I got to hit my new customer count.

Speaker:

So then one of the things that you do

kind of as a last ditch effort or it just

Speaker:

continues and you don't stop it,

Speaker:

but it's like bring them in with these

big promos, right? You're like, oh,

Speaker:

I hit my new customer goal

crushed on new customers.

Speaker:

And then you look back six months later

and you're like, wow, that cohort LTV is

Speaker:

horrible and I'm predicting

some of my worst.

Speaker:

Customers that I've ever had right there.

Speaker:

Yeah. I'm predicting I'm requiring so

much revenue from that cohort to just

Speaker:

float my business and it's not

manifesting. That's doom spiral land.

Speaker:

You know what I mean? And so that's

one other thing where you're just like,

Speaker:

oh wow, okay,

Speaker:

I'm predicting an LTB to CAC and

now that's not a real number at

Speaker:

all because of how I've driven so much

new customer acquisition through just buy

Speaker:

now promo 15 minutes rather

than I freaking love this brand,

Speaker:

I'm going to buy from them. Stepping

nuance number one where it's like, okay,

Speaker:

it's not just about hitting your new

customer count goals, it matters,

Speaker:

but it's like how we get them in.

Speaker:

Number two is maybe more

of a subjective thing where

Speaker:

I kind of think about it

as being the wacky, wavy,

Speaker:

inflatable tube man kind of blow up

mascot at used car dealerships where it's

Speaker:

That kind of being the typical or

even the sleazy used card sales person

Speaker:

where it's just like, okay, we're

going to use all the tactics.

Speaker:

That's the whole idea. You look at,

Speaker:

if I'm just going to be putting out 10

million impressions of those 10 million

Speaker:

impressions,

Speaker:

how many of those impressions are with

creative that is like fricking buy right

Speaker:

now. Here's a problem you

have. Here's my solution,

Speaker:

here are the top features and here's

50% off if you buy right now versus

Speaker:

I'm just going to make you laugh and it's

going to tie back to what I do and who

Speaker:

I'm, but that builds the brand,

that builds the desirability,

Speaker:

that preps the 95% that I know

we're going to talk about.

Speaker:

You pick your head up as a founder,

as a marketer, as a whoever,

Speaker:

and you're like, I don't like how

this mix has shifted. I don't really,

Speaker:

is this how I'm presenting myself

to the world? You know what I mean?

Speaker:

And that is one of those humbling

things where you're just like, oh crap.

Speaker:

Regardless of what any metric says,

that just is not right. You know what I.

Speaker:

Mean? If.

Speaker:

All we are at the end of the day is a

feeling that gets someone to take an

Speaker:

action to stop them from buying the

incumbent who's currently meeting their

Speaker:

needs for what I'm trying to do, that's

the thing where you're just like,

Speaker:

I think I got to change. So those

are two nuance on that front.

Speaker:

Yeah, I love that. And

I'll share a quick story.

Speaker:

When I was right out of college,

Speaker:

I was doing some consulting with local

businesses and met this piano dealer.

Speaker:

Great guy, loved him,

Speaker:

but they found out that the only success

they were really having was these going

Speaker:

out of business sales.

Speaker:

And so they would sign up to

acquire this distressed piano

Speaker:

dealer and then they would

just do a liquidation sale.

Speaker:

And they got so addicted to their,

Speaker:

we just got to go out

of business every month.

Speaker:

They have these distressed

inventory sales every month,

Speaker:

and that's legitimately what

they did. So they would start,

Speaker:

we've got this distressed inventory

from this dealership in Illinois,

Speaker:

it has to go today, and that's

all they could get to work.

Speaker:

So it's like we're going out of business

every month. That's our strategy.

Speaker:

And that's an extreme example,

but totally this discount spiral.

Speaker:

That's what some D two C brands can

get into as well where it's like,

Speaker:

I can only exist if I give these

deep discounts and dial up the

Speaker:

urgency to 11, then I can make money

otherwise I can't. And it's like,

Speaker:

I like this brand building where

you're still creating desire,

Speaker:

still making people say, I want that.

Speaker:

I want those shorts or I want that look,

Speaker:

but it's not the same buy now limited

inventory going out of business type of

Speaker:

thing. It's just a totally

different approach.

Speaker:

Totally. Yeah. I mean we can talk

tactics and positioning all day,

Speaker:

but the going out of sale thing and

only doing that over and over is just

Speaker:

classic.

Speaker:

Yeah,

Speaker:

it's like the perfect picture

there of the trap we can get into.

Speaker:

For.

Speaker:

Sure. Everyone can imagine the sign.

Speaker:

You can imagine what the ad

looks like on local tv, right?

Speaker:

Because all seen it before.

Speaker:

I kind of joked too. I was like, we need

to start running ads where we're like,

Speaker:

we're still going out of business,

Speaker:

it's just we're going out

of business again. So yeah,

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Well, let's talk about this shift

that you had where you talk about your

Speaker:

95 5 rule,

Speaker:

and I think part of the point that you've

been making and I've been making for

Speaker:

years is a lot of our businesses

have succeeded off of just capturing

Speaker:

existing demand. Not a bad thing.

Speaker:

We got to have demand capture

and demand generation.

Speaker:

You got to have those balanced

and the right mix and whatnot.

Speaker:

But talk about the 95

5 rule. What is that?

Speaker:

How do you use that to

approach healthy growth?

Speaker:

Yeah, and this is not,

I wish it were mine.

Speaker:

I think it comes from

the Berg Bass Institute,

Speaker:

which I would definitely

look them up and John

Speaker:

and Byron Sharp and the

book, how Brands, all This

Speaker:

availability gets into

some marketingy stuff,

Speaker:

which kind of makes me

gloss over personally,

Speaker:

which is why I try to make this

stuff a little bit more fun.

Speaker:

But the general idea is, and I didn't

know about this until more recently,

Speaker:

so I felt it felt like a jumble of

pain and anxiety in my soul when I was

Speaker:

actually running the media myself

and in the trenches operating.

Speaker:

But just the general idea that

Speaker:

95% of our audience at any

given time is not actively

Speaker:

shopping for my category.

Speaker:

So what there is two things. One,

Speaker:

if I'm spending 95 or a hundred

percent of my marketing dollars where

Speaker:

the goal or the outcome of

success is I convince you to

Speaker:

purchase, there's this massive mismatch,

Speaker:

and this is how I think we were

for a long time at Chevy's,

Speaker:

we were spending 95% of our

dollars going to demand capture,

Speaker:

rational appeal product offer urgency.

I'm going to get you right now.

Speaker:

And a better ad is just an

ad that is more convincing,

Speaker:

but we were only hitting that five ish

percent of people, the vast minority,

Speaker:

whether it's 95, 5 or 85, whatever

the number is, there's that.

Speaker:

And then the other idea,

Speaker:

it's simply being the creative

Speaker:

that crushes it for the 5% just

goes in one year and out the

Speaker:

other for the 95%, right?

Not actively shopping.

Speaker:

So it's kind of like if you've heard

of the term reticular activation or

Speaker:

reticular.

Speaker:

Love, it's like.

Speaker:

Okay, I want a red Ferrari,

Speaker:

so then I see red Ferraris

Freaking everywhere kind of thing.

Speaker:

Where if it's not that, you just don't

see it, right? You don't even see it.

Speaker:

So I'm just like if I'm

only evaluating my creative,

Speaker:

my media, whatever it is by

how I'm capturing that demand,

Speaker:

my job with the 95 is to prep them,

generate a memory, generate a feeling,

Speaker:

get someone to say, I freaking

love that ad when X, Y,

Speaker:

Z happens with that brand.

Speaker:

One of my favorite ads of all time,

that just maybe hit me at a great time.

Speaker:

I don't know,

Speaker:

it was the classic Dollar Shave Club

ad that YouTube ad was just so epic,

Speaker:

funny, so memorable. You had to

watch it, could talk about it.

Speaker:

It was easy to refer to

watch it multiple times.

Speaker:

And I'd like to think CHS made a bunch

of those as well, and I think we did.

Speaker:

But from another brand

and just going way back,

Speaker:

that was one that just true classic true

classics. First big video ad I think

Speaker:

was fricking awesome. The guys sitting

in the office love their product boss.

Speaker:

It's just such a memorable scene where

just that captures what we're all about.

Speaker:

And I remember it and

there's countless examples,

Speaker:

but I'm just thinking about

more modern brands and that

Speaker:

probably did a really good,

Speaker:

both of those probably did a really

good job at capturing demand, right?

Speaker:

You're like, that's freaking awesome

because these are unicorn basic creative,

Speaker:

but it did a much better job at just

prepping all of these people who are,

Speaker:

I don't need a razor subscription

today kind of thing, but,

Speaker:

or I don't need a bunch of t-shirts

today because I just bought some crappy

Speaker:

Hanes at Macy's or whatever.

But I will when my wife says,

Speaker:

you look ugly, and I'm going to think.

Speaker:

So I think those are the things

where if it was just like 20% off

Speaker:

product shot, white

background, buy now, buy now,

Speaker:

that'd be total wasted money. I think

that's the kind of general idea was that

Speaker:

totally floored me where

it was like, oh my gosh,

Speaker:

it's not because my ad sucks,

Speaker:

it's because it's speaking to

the wrong saying the wrong thing

Speaker:

to this person at this time,

Speaker:

I'm not speaking to this vast majority

of people in the way that they want to be

Speaker:

spoken to. My job there is to

prep to drive that emotion,

Speaker:

whereas with the 5% or whatever

the number is, rational appeal,

Speaker:

be as efficient as possible. You've to

your point, you got to balance that.

Speaker:

We call it brand and

monetization, build that brand,

Speaker:

build that mental

availability, build whatever,

Speaker:

but then you got to clear

that funnel the best of them.

Speaker:

And many of us are good at that, right?

Speaker:

The thing we're not doing is filling

the funnel or building the desirability,

Speaker:

but it's not,

Speaker:

the whole idea here is just to add

balance because many modern brands,

Speaker:

they've gotten out of

balance and it makes sense,

Speaker:

right? Because the data that we now

have access to makes us feel like we're

Speaker:

media gods and that that's all

there is and that's capital T

Speaker:

truth.

Speaker:

But I think everyone kind of learns

when you start to feel this and everyone

Speaker:

feels this and you earn this problem,

Speaker:

this means you've gotten to this place

and you've stayed in business long enough

Speaker:

to have

Speaker:

is the ceiling for my brand or why am I

spending more to get all of these sorts

Speaker:

of things? So you earn this problem,

it's a great problem to have,

Speaker:

but it's just like a classic what got

us here won't get us there sort of

Speaker:

situation. And it's like, okay, reset.

Speaker:

What does balance look like for us now?

Speaker:

How do we get to that

next stage of growth?

Speaker:

And I would love to hear

your perspective on this.

Speaker:

I've got a couple thoughts myself,

Speaker:

but how do we find that

right mix of demand

Speaker:

capture and demand generation?

Speaker:

I do agree with you that most modern

brands are better at the demand capture

Speaker:

piece, whether that's through met Google

or likely a combination of the two.

Speaker:

But how do we find that right mix of

demand generation, demand capture?

Speaker:

How do you view that?

Speaker:

Totally. I mean I think what we learned

for the Chu's example, for instance.

Speaker:

Would say.

Speaker:

We're at 95 5 in favor of performance,

right? 5% was just the slush fund,

Speaker:

you know what I mean?

Speaker:

That just would get cut if you miss

a number on a month kind of thing.

Speaker:

And I was like, okay, great. Nice to

have. I don't have any metrics against it,

Speaker:

blah, blah, blah. And then I think

Speaker:

where we evolved over time after

midlife crisis, let's say two,

Speaker:

three years after that, and

again, buckets are tough.

Speaker:

So to say this is brand and

this is DR and blah, blah, blah.

Speaker:

It's like a channel tactic, creative

kind of thing. What's the job to be done?

Speaker:

So we can have that conversation,

but broadly, just to give numbers,

Speaker:

it got close-ish to that 60

40, right? The classic brand,

Speaker:

60% to brand, 40% to activation.

Speaker:

And it's not just on the paid side

too, right? It's like we've got email.

Speaker:

Email is a freaking awesome way

to capture demand workforce,

Speaker:

and I'm not paying that much for

what we did a lot and SMS too.

Speaker:

So what we did a lot of was like,

Speaker:

let's also view that as our demand

capture engine as well. And not

Speaker:

only use paid for bottom funnel

demand capture because that can just,

Speaker:

and it's a math problem,

Speaker:

but what is the cheapest

way to get you to exit my

Speaker:

funnel is kind of part of the way

to think about it. But yeah, man.

Speaker:

And that freaks people out,

right? No one is at 50 50,

Speaker:

no one's even at 40% to brand. No, I

mean maybe if you're Clorox or whatever,

Speaker:

but if we're talking modern

brands that freaks people out,

Speaker:

they think lack of accountability,

lack of measurement,

Speaker:

they think lighting money on fire.

Speaker:

So the easier answer and what I

think is a productive answer is just

Speaker:

more To brand building more to demand.

Speaker:

You're so far from having

a conversation, we're like,

Speaker:

is this too much brand building?

Most of us are sub 10%.

Speaker:

So if it's 10, get to 11.

If it's 11, get to 12%.

Speaker:

Find a way to inch that up

and just test maniacally.

Speaker:

And you can talk about what

we're testing and how we measure.

Speaker:

But I think one of the big things is

Speaker:

there's this humbling

reality that for many brands,

Speaker:

if you just take the 10%

least efficient spend on dr,

Speaker:

well first of all,

Speaker:

you got to do those tests to find

what the 10% least efficient is.

Speaker:

Most brands are just like, no, this

is my bread and butter. It works.

Speaker:

And if you ask them, how well does it

work? If you were to cut spend 10%,

Speaker:

what would happen if you were

to pulse spend up 30% in a week?

Speaker:

What would happen? Would you see 30%

more growth? No, I've not done that.

Speaker:

We can't do those tests. No. Or you

explain it away in a variety of different,

Speaker:

so I think the first part there is let's

get to a little bit more precision on

Speaker:

the level of incrementality.

Speaker:

If we're spending 95% on performance

and the thing like the bread and butter,

Speaker:

like our top spending ad sets, let's

pressure test the hell out of that first.

Speaker:

And that kind of opens up the conversation

because the whole reason why there's

Speaker:

a debate about the split of brand and

performance is because a fear that you'll

Speaker:

waste money if you put it towards brand.

Speaker:

But the reality is that

most brands not all,

Speaker:

are already wasting way more money,

Speaker:

not pressure testing their

existing performance spend.

Speaker:

They don't have a testing framework.

They're testing, and I love house.

Speaker:

I think they're the coolest.

Speaker:

I love measured all

incrementality testing is amazing.

Speaker:

However, what I would encourage, and

I'm sure they encourage the same,

Speaker:

is let's test some of our

bigger closer held assumptions

Speaker:

rather than these little ticky tack

micro optimizations on the margin that

Speaker:

you're like, oh, was trying nothing.

Speaker:

Is trying a view content

versus an add to cart,

Speaker:

is that going to, sure, maybe

there's something there,

Speaker:

but what about my bread

and butter kind of thing?

Speaker:

These are the things that I encourage

us to get a better feel for the

Speaker:

incrementality of because

that's more fundamental.

Speaker:

And that's where we could basically say,

Speaker:

if I'm spending a hundred

million bucks a year on X, Y, z,

Speaker:

I can free up $15 million because

it's really not doing anything for me.

Speaker:

Or the marginal contribution dollar

generation on that 15 million is

Speaker:

so low that either I could not spend it

Speaker:

or I could just put it to

demand gen, but nothing,

Speaker:

there would be no downside to that in

my business. I think that's kind of step

Speaker:

one in a lot of these

situations we're just like,

Speaker:

let's get a little bit of humility

around where all of the money's going to

Speaker:

acknowledge that we're probably

wasting quite a bit of money there.

Speaker:

So then that takes the conversation

away from the fear being wasting money.

Speaker:

And then it can be a conversation

around different things.

Speaker:

How are we going to build brand? How are

we going to measure it? Yes, I agree.

Speaker:

Having more demand makes sense. So

then what are we going to do about it?

Speaker:

But it's like let's make it as

inarguable as possible and less of this,

Speaker:

I know I'm not wasting money on

performance. I'm running a massive,

Speaker:

I'm taking a massive flyer, a massive

risk of wasting money on brand.

Speaker:

That's a fundamentally flawed

premise that I think we need to get

Speaker:

alignment on first before we then talk

about what the ideal split should be.

Speaker:

So it's kind of like those

two things, it should be more,

Speaker:

and then we're already wasting way

more money on our bottom funnel demand

Speaker:

capture kind of stuff.

Speaker:

So let's acknowledge those things and

then I think we can have productive

Speaker:

conversations going forward.

Speaker:

Yeah, it is really a great point.

And I think that first piece,

Speaker:

we've got to key in on whatever

you're doing now to build your

Speaker:

brand to drive demand rather

than just to capture it.

Speaker:

You got to start testing

doing more of it. And yes,

Speaker:

we would love to get to a point with

our marketing where we've got 0% waste,

Speaker:

probably never going to happen. Nope.

And it's certainly not happening now,

Speaker:

even if you think you're measuring all

of your marketing the way that you should

Speaker:

be. And so I really do credit

house, I'm glad you brought them up.

Speaker:

I'm a big YouTube guy,

Speaker:

and so they've done a lot for us where

this huge YouTube mentality test and

Speaker:

showed that man, you look at

YouTube performance and platform,

Speaker:

the actual incremental impact is probably

almost three and a half times that.

Speaker:

And so really showing, hey,

the way you're measuring it,

Speaker:

what you should be thinking about

is this driving a creative growth or

Speaker:

incremental growth or growth

I wouldn't have already had.

Speaker:

And there there's some challenges there,

but I love the way you frame that.

Speaker:

And I would be curious,

Speaker:

how do you look at maybe some of

those initial tests or initial looks

Speaker:

at how do we understand how

incremental this activity is?

Speaker:

Because there are some tools out there,

Speaker:

some of them are really quite expensive

and house is probably in that bucket for

Speaker:

a lot of brands. How do you start to test

incrementality? What did you guys do?

Speaker:

What do you recommend that people.

Speaker:

Do? Great question. And the thing

about the YouTube findings with House,

Speaker:

what we're seeing with Marathon,

Speaker:

which is just effectively just trying

to measure the longer term stuff,

Speaker:

is that it's even more pronounced.

Speaker:

So I think houses helpers understand

the short-term impact of YouTube and a

Speaker:

variety of tactics on

YouTube, which is strong,

Speaker:

stronger than chosen platform.

Speaker:

But then the longer term impact we're

also seeing is also pretty massive.

Speaker:

So it's like there's generally

people are sleeping on YouTube,

Speaker:

I guess is my point, both from the

short and the long-term perspective.

Speaker:

And it backs out to a rational

first principles perspective.

Speaker:

You're at the end of the day,

Speaker:

seconds of focused

attention is the thing that,

Speaker:

and so that's why TV has

been a thing for so long.

Speaker:

Like the switching costs.

Speaker:

Really odd, built some of the best,

Speaker:

the most iconic brands were often built

on tv. YouTube is our version of tv.

Speaker:

Exactly. Right. And with YouTube,

Speaker:

I dunno what it's like 50%

of impressions are on a tv,

Speaker:

I don't dunno the exact

number, but I think it's.

Speaker:

Between 50, 60%. Yeah,

it's growing, growing.

Speaker:

So I don't know where else you get

those seconds of focused attention

Speaker:

as cleanly and efficiently

and effectively as on YouTube.

Speaker:

So anyways, that's one note

that I want to mention,

Speaker:

but in terms of how do we start to

think about incrementality testing?

Speaker:

So there's the poor person A,

Speaker:

let's call it the duct

tape solution thing.

Speaker:

I was going to say poor man solution,

but let's call it bubblegum duct tape.

Speaker:

And then there's like, let's do it, right?

Speaker:

But then broadly philosophy,

philosophy on measurement,

Speaker:

and obviously I'm biased because I

started the measurement software company,

Speaker:

but this is why,

Speaker:

it's because I think brands

under invest in measurement,

Speaker:

if we're going to spend in aggregate,

let's call it, I dunno what the number is,

Speaker:

1% of our marketing

budgets on measurement,

Speaker:

you just say it like that rather than

thinking about it as a fixed cost and I've

Speaker:

got a broad software budget.

And then you're like, oh, okay,

Speaker:

is that a good no, you think about

it, percentage of marketing spend,

Speaker:

do I think I can get more than a

1% improvement in the results? From

Speaker:

my experience? You're

wasting way more than that,

Speaker:

not knowing some of these answers.

Totally. So I highly recommend, yes,

Speaker:

use all platform tools, but

then have your MTA tool,

Speaker:

have your incrementality

tool, have your MM tool,

Speaker:

and then while we're building marathon,

Speaker:

your long-term have precise

performance brand stuff too,

Speaker:

which was a big missing piece is

why we're trying to take it invest,

Speaker:

don't short shrift the

measurement stuff. And even,

Speaker:

I know you were on the Marketing

Operators podcast recently,

Speaker:

if you think back on one of their older

episodes was when times were maybe a

Speaker:

little bit tougher and they were talking

about what do we cut and what do we not

Speaker:

cut? And I think Cody from Ridge made

a good point where he was just like,

Speaker:

thing you do not cut is marketing

software. You just don't cut that, right?

Speaker:

Because that's marketing

measurement software, sorry,

Speaker:

because that's the north

star. If you're flying blind,

Speaker:

our marketing spend is our

biggest cost in this business.

Speaker:

So if it's not guided by anything

that's really, really bad,

Speaker:

you can get really upside

down on your economics.

Speaker:

So it's like a broad philosophical thing.

Speaker:

It's like whatever you're investing in

measurement software now invest more and

Speaker:

then obviously use it, prioritize

use of it. You can have

Speaker:

an account with name your tool,

and if you don't spend time on it,

Speaker:

you're going to waste money. So

essential something like how,

Speaker:

if you're wanting to

just try some tests now,

Speaker:

first it's a mindset shift outside of

I need to use measurement software.

Speaker:

And that's really important. Or

measurement tools, let's call it.

Speaker:

If you're not going to, regardless

of how you're going to test,

Speaker:

you need to commit to, this is not

going to change my business tonight.

Speaker:

This is an evolution in how we operate.

Speaker:

So let's think about what each test

for the next 12 months looks like.

Speaker:

Let's plan it out and let's commit to it

and let's allocate enough budget to it.

Speaker:

And let's just know that

it's more about information

Speaker:

gathering,

Speaker:

like neutral information gathering

than test if that's a failure or

Speaker:

not. And that's a different way to

approach it. So that being number one, but

Speaker:

I would start with some

of our core things.

Speaker:

If you think about an ad set

where you spend your most dollars,

Speaker:

let's pressure test that. Let's cut

that 30%, cut that 40% for a week,

Speaker:

see what happens.

Speaker:

Post it up hundred

percent geos if you can,

Speaker:

and measure those geos if

you're set up to do that.

Speaker:

Yes. So then we can talk about

that. So the pulse up and down,

Speaker:

just do that to everything

and cycle through that.

Speaker:

I mean starting with the

specific strategies that

you're spending the most on at

Speaker:

any given time.

Speaker:

Because the other thing

is the result from a may

Speaker:

test doesn't necessarily apply.

Speaker:

Next May might not even apply to December.

Speaker:

These are moment in time tests

kind of thing, which is fine.

Speaker:

That doesn't make it bad.

Speaker:

It's just like we tried that two

years ago and it didn't work,

Speaker:

so we're not going to try it ever again.

Speaker:

We don't want that stuff to

happen because things change.

Speaker:

Economics change auctions

change, ad products change,

Speaker:

our brand changes, our creative

changes, but just cycle through,

Speaker:

if I'm going to test and just work down

from the things that I'm spending the

Speaker:

most on, pulse up, pulse down is a great

way to do it. True point on holdouts.

Speaker:

Holdouts are great.

Speaker:

We've built the long-term brand

version of it at Marathon House,

Speaker:

measured name your tool.

They've got amazing tools.

Speaker:

Some people run them

themselves and that's okay,

Speaker:

but I caution because you can do it wrong.

Speaker:

And then if you don't understand the level

of statist complic significance or if

Speaker:

you don't, all of these, it's,

it's a statistical exploration.

Speaker:

It's less like I tested Texas

and Texas grew faster than rest

Speaker:

of country. It's like, no,

Speaker:

Because Texas behaves different from

rest of country for a of reasons.

Speaker:

It's got a different seasonality curve.

Speaker:

You went into that month

with different numbers,

Speaker:

and so it's like you can very easily

Speaker:

be steered in the wrong way. And

I've made this mistake personally,

Speaker:

I would just like, let's just

Texas, California, New York,

Speaker:

let's just do it there.

Boom. That's our test.

Speaker:

I'd say.

Speaker:

I dunno. I dunno if that's better

than nothing, to be honest.

Speaker:

To the extent you can get

down to a DMA level And do

Speaker:

it in that way or even a zip level, I

think that's better. But regardless,

Speaker:

you got to spend more and you got to

run it for longer generally. I mean,

Speaker:

I think people want

answers today, tomorrow,

Speaker:

and you want to spend

as little as possible.

Speaker:

And that's why I think these tools are

clear on how confident are we in these

Speaker:

solutions or what is the variability of

potential outcomes Here I'm showing you

Speaker:

some number, but that's not

the number. That's not as,

Speaker:

that's not the specific,

Speaker:

there's a range of outcomes and I

would always just caution double

Speaker:

click on what that number is, what the

range of outcomes is, what the error,

Speaker:

are you happy with this outcome? Are we

happy with this outcome kind of thing.

Speaker:

It could be something like that,

especially if we cut the test off earlier,

Speaker:

whatever. So the way you set this up,

Speaker:

the way you run the test,

Speaker:

just counter the short-termism that

we as humans are fully laden with

Speaker:

and know that it's just a systematic

thing. You got to give it enough time,

Speaker:

you got to run it

correctly. But the pulse up,

Speaker:

pulse down and just understand, okay,

Speaker:

I added a marginal 20%, what did I get?

Speaker:

And do that over and over and over and

over because you're always going to have

Speaker:

variables.

Speaker:

You're going to have a good product launch

on the next week and you're going to

Speaker:

have a bad product launch on next week.

Speaker:

Totally.

Speaker:

Email toss. So that's why you got

to do it multiple times as well.

Speaker:

It's not just a one and

done thing. It's broadly,

Speaker:

I'm committed to learning

this set of things this year.

Speaker:

I'm not going to boil the ocean. Because

you look back and you're just like,

Speaker:

even if you think about running

a test that maybe is a little bit

Speaker:

longer, you're like, oh my

God, that's an eternity.

Speaker:

But then it's like it takes you

10 to 15 years to get to any

Speaker:

real material scale and profit

generation anyway. So you're like,

Speaker:

you're not going to spend a month testing

what could be something that changes

Speaker:

your changes the way you spend

30% of your marketing. Again,

Speaker:

I would've felt this exact thing

and I was the one who was like,

Speaker:

no, we can't test that stuff. Just we

got to go. We got to go. We got to go.

Speaker:

We got to go. So I'm the guilty guy

here. So I've felt all of these things,

Speaker:

but those are just some thoughts

as it relates to how to do tests.

Speaker:

Yeah, man, it's so valuable

and so much to unpack there.

Speaker:

I want to talk a little bit

about your measurement stack,

Speaker:

and then I want to really dive into

what marathon data is measuring,

Speaker:

how that fits into the overall stack.

Speaker:

But I'll give a quick analogy

here that I think will help.

Speaker:

And you talk about how running one test

is silly. You had to run multiple tests.

Speaker:

So there's the heart issues in my

family, at least with a few people,

Speaker:

and it's like I'm diving

into some of this.

Speaker:

And so you can measure your

resting heart rate. In my heart,

Speaker:

resting your heart is really good.

Speaker:

You can then measure heart

variability and how that speaks to the

Speaker:

health of your heart.

Speaker:

You can also then do lipid panels

and see what's my cholesterol,

Speaker:

but not just cholesterol,

Speaker:

but there's 20 ways to measure

cholesterol. And then it's like, well,

Speaker:

I need to measure that

probably three or four,

Speaker:

five times throughout the

year because you measure once,

Speaker:

it could be based on some other

factors. And so then you're like, well,

Speaker:

maybe I need to do a calcium

check and all of these things,

Speaker:

but if you want to say,

I want be healthier,

Speaker:

or I want to build for the

longterm with my health,

Speaker:

you're going to have to

measure all of those things,

Speaker:

understand what they're measuring,

understanding then based on the reading,

Speaker:

what do you do with that? And

then measure on an ongoing basis,

Speaker:

which kind of feels a little bit

overwhelming, but it's just the way it is.

Speaker:

And I feel like it's the

same with marketing. We can't

run one test and be like,

Speaker:

great, we know what to do

forever now with our marketing,

Speaker:

or this is the salvation for our

brand. We have MTA now multi,

Speaker:

multi touch attribution. Everything

is solved. It's never the case, right?

Speaker:

It's like we've got to stack these things.

Speaker:

We have to understand what they're

measuring, what that's telling us,

Speaker:

what we expect, and then what do we

do with it? And so talk about that.

Speaker:

What do you believe is your perfect

marketing measurement stack?

Speaker:

And then let's go deep on

Marathon data.

Speaker:

For sure, for sure. Yeah.

So I mean, I think broadly,

Speaker:

before you even start talking

about marketing measurement stack,

Speaker:

there's a bit of these things are true

Speaker:

and you can't really argue them.

Speaker:

And maybe this applies to the whole

conversation, but where it's just

Speaker:

most likely if you're running into a

little bit of this with I'm spending more,

Speaker:

getting less or CACs up or

blah, blah, blah, blah, blah.

Speaker:

You've just reached that stage where

it's like, maybe we got to change.

Speaker:

I think we tend to jump to like, oh,

it's like conversion rate optimization,

Speaker:

or I need more creative diversity or blah,

blah, blah, blah, blah. But I'm like,

Speaker:

those are symptoms rather than

the cost. Part of it is like,

Speaker:

let's get to the cause and

let's understand that most

Speaker:

likely it's that we've just

eaten through most of the

Speaker:

people who know about us, care

about us or thinking about us.

Speaker:

That's very rational. And I think

we need alignment on that first.

Speaker:

Great. Now let's talk about measurement

stack, and that's more specific,

Speaker:

but I do think that there's a

nice multi-touch attribution tool.

Speaker:

Awesome.

Speaker:

A lot of people don't know that

GA has that. It does. It does.

Speaker:

So you can get it in a variety

of different places and then some

Speaker:

kind of experimentation

platform to just test something.

Speaker:

And so we all, I think,

Speaker:

know the great vendors there some

kind of statistical analysis tool like

Speaker:

an mm M of sorts,

Speaker:

an MM where you could just put a lot

of data in and get an understanding

Speaker:

of what's doing what, and it's not

susceptible to the cookie apocalypse,

Speaker:

to the iOS 14, to the blah, blah,

blah. It's just stats, right?

Speaker:

So that's what I would view as just,

Speaker:

and I think all of the ad platforms

put out papers where they talk about,

Speaker:

that's the trinity of measurement,

right? It's MTA, it's testing,

Speaker:

it's MM, M, all of that

together, you triangulate.

Speaker:

And then in my strong opinion,

Speaker:

we need to understand how we're building

the long-term compounding value.

Speaker:

How are we going to over time make sure

we get more and more of our revenue

Speaker:

coming from people searching for our

brand coming direct to our site where it's

Speaker:

not fighting in that auction all

day, every day to get that click.

Speaker:

And so I think that's maybe

the segue to marathon,

Speaker:

but definitely all of them.

Speaker:

And I recommend that if

you're spending, I don't know,

Speaker:

more than a million bucks a year or

something like that on marketing.

Speaker:

So it's actively every brand to

have a full measurement stack.

Speaker:

Got to have it.

Speaker:

And I think that that's one of the flaws

that people are coming to understand is

Speaker:

MTA alone won't solve it, right?

Speaker:

It's good to see click data

and clickstream data and

what are people doing after

Speaker:

they see an ad? It gives you some insight,

Speaker:

but you need that m that shows correlation

when spend goes up on TV or YouTube,

Speaker:

what happens to sales if there's no

correlation, there's no causation,

Speaker:

but then you got to run experiments to

see, okay, but is there causation? Is it,

Speaker:

is there causation? So all

those things work together.

Speaker:

Yeah.

Speaker:

Let's.

Speaker:

Talk about, I think

the other thing though,

Speaker:

the one point that I think might be

helpful, and I know we're short on time,

Speaker:

but I think this might be helpful, is

Speaker:

the MTA or even the

end platforms, we think

Speaker:

they know all of the clicks and

they know all of the purchases,

Speaker:

and that's deterministic.

Speaker:

Whereas models are probabilistic

and therefore less trustworthy.

Speaker:

The reality is 85% of people are

opting out of tracking on iPhones.

Speaker:

A lot of our.

Speaker:

IPhone users, you hover over

the little I in ads manager,

Speaker:

when you're looking at data and

it says, this data is modeled.

Speaker:

So even the click based roas,

Speaker:

which we think is the highest we

switched to from seven day click,

Speaker:

one day view down to one day click

because we're like, we're accountable.

Speaker:

And then the reality is that the vast

majority of this data is modeled because

Speaker:

there's so much data loss. So

Speaker:

there are often questions around, okay,

Speaker:

I view what's in platform

as capital T truth, right?

Speaker:

Because you've got all of the

clicks, you know what everyone did.

Speaker:

It's unfortunately bullshit.

Speaker:

And so I think the more we

realize that the flaw of this,

Speaker:

just from that perspective,

Speaker:

not in terms of all of the other negative

implications that it has on us in

Speaker:

terms of optimizing just for short term

and just getting into this doom spiral,

Speaker:

but of the fact that that data is modeled,

heavily modeled, I dunno how much,

Speaker:

I don't know the specifics, but just

hover over the little eye in Mads manager,

Speaker:

I'll tell you. And then look at the data.

Speaker:

The vast majority of people are opting

out of being tracked on their phones,

Speaker:

and I don't know what the number is,

Speaker:

but 70 to 80% of sessions

are on mobile for many of our

Speaker:

brands, for many of our DC context, I

don't know what the number is for Amazon,

Speaker:

but it's like it's all modeled

and that's okay. It's okay.

Speaker:

So let's not poo poo statistical analysis.

Speaker:

Let's not poo P all of this stuff that

we tend to poo because all of it's

Speaker:

modeled.

Speaker:

Great point, great point. Love that.

Speaker:

And it's only going to

become more and more true.

Speaker:

There's going to be less and less clarity.

Speaker:

There's going to be more and more

privacy. That's kind of part of this,

Speaker:

but we can then still

triangulate and understand, okay,

Speaker:

when we're doing these things,

Speaker:

it leads to this kind of business

outcome that I'm looking for.

Speaker:

And so walk through the, and I'm fine

on time actually just to clarify that,

Speaker:

but what's the thesis

behind marathon data?

Speaker:

What problem are you solving? And

talk to us about how that works.

Speaker:

Totally. Well,

Speaker:

it starts with this realization that

brand is important. Brand is the moat.

Speaker:

Brand is the thing that protects our

ability to generate profits over time.

Speaker:

Protects us from competition,

Speaker:

protects us from someone who's willing

to come in and try to steal my customers

Speaker:

because they can spend

twice as much as I can.

Speaker:

Or some brand from name

your country who just

Speaker:

straight up copies my product and

tries to sell it for half price,

Speaker:

which has happened to I think many of

the listeners of this podcast ourselves

Speaker:

included. What then do we have?

Speaker:

How then do we continue to have people

come to our site and pay twice as much

Speaker:

for our thing, you know what I mean?

Speaker:

Or keep coming to us and

not need to only buy on a

Speaker:

discount or whatever, selling our souls,

Speaker:

that being important and that being

something that tends to happen to every

Speaker:

brand as they reach some level of success.

I don't know what the annual revenue

Speaker:

is, but this general idea

that brand is important,

Speaker:

brand is ultimately the most important

thing for many of us consumer brands,

Speaker:

unless we have some patent,

Speaker:

some other IP brand ends up

being that IP if we're just

Speaker:

selling consumer goods.

So, okay, that being said,

Speaker:

it's been really hard to measure

that so that we can connect

Speaker:

that to actual revenue

growth. Historically,

Speaker:

the way it's historically been done

is surveys, brand tracker surveys.

Speaker:

Let's get our brand awareness. Number

two, problems with that, right?

Speaker:

Is that you've got this

intermediary metric. First of all,

Speaker:

it took three months to get that

metric. So you're already like, okay,

Speaker:

what is this? Okay, my brand

awareness went up five points,

Speaker:

but what period of time are we even

looking at? I don't even remember.

Speaker:

I'm thinking about Black Friday, cyber

Monday, right? So what? There are two,

Speaker:

so whats that are unanswered? What

did I do to get that? And then what's,

Speaker:

how much more money am I

making because of that?

Speaker:

So we're intending to kind

of get out of surveys,

Speaker:

focus on actions like

you're mentioning, right?

Speaker:

Everything I do should drive an

action. Yes, love. So behaviors,

Speaker:

what people do rather

than what people say.

Speaker:

There's a crap ton of that being

generated every day on the internet.

Speaker:

So use behavior and then solve

the two. So whats that have been?

Speaker:

The pernicious problems with measuring

the impact of brand one is tie it to

Speaker:

action as much as you can.

Speaker:

Not everything, But as much as you

can tie it to actions you've taken.

Speaker:

Give yourself a daily number

that is in the form of dollars,

Speaker:

which is solving the second.

Speaker:

So which is like how do I

quantify or predict or look

Speaker:

back and analyze the

incremental revenue impact

Speaker:

of this brand building stuff,

actually make that connection.

Speaker:

And so those are the two things

we're trying to do with brand.

Speaker:

And so think of us as

Speaker:

all of the things I was talking about

on the short term kind of stuff,

Speaker:

but for long-term.

Speaker:

So our whole focus is not the

clicks, not the short-term purchases,

Speaker:

but what's happening over the next

six months and how can we think about

Speaker:

building that bank revenue if you'll

that future revenue that I'm going to be

Speaker:

building into and

realizing. But then also,

Speaker:

how am I driving what we focus on, which

is called resilient baseline revenue.

Speaker:

So even as you look at an mm m readout

for instance, over short-term stuff,

Speaker:

you'll always get some percentage

of the revenue that wasn't explained

Speaker:

necessarily by your short-term

tactics. It was the base sales, right?

Speaker:

The sales you would've gotten anyways

is kind of another way to talk about it.

Speaker:

The big aha for us was like, yeah,

Speaker:

it's fun to look at all the

colors in the chart of the MMM,

Speaker:

but what about this base sales?

Speaker:

Wouldn't it be cool if that was much

larger If the sales I would've gotten

Speaker:

anyways was more?

Speaker:

That seems like that's awesome from

the perspective of resilience and risk

Speaker:

reduction and better

forecasting and less reliance

Speaker:

on third parties that I don't control.

But these all seem like good things.

Speaker:

Why do I focus on trying to build that?

Speaker:

And we realized there was

nothing out there that does that.

Speaker:

So think of us as how do I

build that resilient base,

Speaker:

however you want to define it, right?

Speaker:

If it's like revenue from

brand search or if it's not as

Speaker:

simple, right? You've got

to remove all the spikes.

Speaker:

You've got to invest for spend and

seasonality and blah, blah, blah, blah.

Speaker:

How do I build that

resilient base of revenue?

Speaker:

How do I drive more people to search

for my brand and buy or just memorize my

Speaker:

fricking URL I'm coming by?

Speaker:

Those are the purchase actions that I

want to drive more of. And that comes from

Speaker:

activating the 95% when they become the 5%

Speaker:

sure they're going to be more

likely to click on my ads,

Speaker:

which will make my

performance more performant.

Speaker:

But I also want them to just not

have to go through that thing.

Speaker:

Let's play different games.

Speaker:

Let's spend our dollars to drive brand

search and revenue from brand search,

Speaker:

that kind of stuff. So anyways,

we're trying to, for modern brands,

Speaker:

turn this, it's like

incremental future growth.

Speaker:

Think about it that way. Less

brand brand's a scary word,

Speaker:

but it's an important word and you got

to stand by it because brand matters from

Speaker:

a performance marketing mindset mindset.

Speaker:

We're just trying to turn incremental

future growth beyond what you would

Speaker:

achieve if you were just continuing

to spend in the way you are today.

Speaker:

So brand but into performance,

Speaker:

into a performance marketing workflow

where I get data today on what I

Speaker:

did yesterday so that I can act

and make decisions and basically

Speaker:

run a full funnel ad account basically

across YouTube and meta TikTok,

Speaker:

whatever.

Speaker:

Man, I love that. I 100%

agree brand is moat.

Speaker:

At the end of the day, it's what you have.

Speaker:

And I think brand shows up in

the ability to charge the right

Speaker:

prices. You can protect your profits.

Speaker:

It's the ability to continue

to grow and to have people

Speaker:

searching for your brand.

I know Mark Pritchard,

Speaker:

the marketing director at p and g always

says one of the greatest signs that we

Speaker:

look for knowing that a brand

has traction is brand search

Speaker:

growing over time. That's

what we need to measure.

Speaker:

And I like this idea of resiliency,

Speaker:

this baseline revenue is that growing

and that's going to be an indicator of

Speaker:

am I doing things right?

Speaker:

And I do think there's this sense that

brand is mushy and it's fluffy and you

Speaker:

can't measure it and it's

just in the ether or whatever,

Speaker:

but that's not really true.

Brand can be measured,

Speaker:

you just don't measure it in the same way.

Speaker:

And you do kind of need

of a collection of tools.

Speaker:

But I think this piece that you're

solving of how do we measure the resilient

Speaker:

growth of our brand shows

up with chubby, right?

Speaker:

Would you say eight years in a row?

Speaker:

Like the top bottom line

growth or whatever. Yeah.

Speaker:

Even in the midst of craziness.

Totally. It's important.

Speaker:

It's important to have

that resilient growth.

Speaker:

And so I guess maybe as we wrap up here,

Speaker:

what are some of the insights that pop up?

Speaker:

Do you have any examples

of with this data,

Speaker:

these are the insights that pop up and

then what we can do with those insights?

Speaker:

So some of the data that

has come to the surface,

Speaker:

it's actually pretty interesting. So

Speaker:

the one point though that I would make

is that sometimes people think about, ah,

Speaker:

it seems too good to be true that

you can measure this brand thing in a

Speaker:

performance markety ish way

or even measure the impact,

Speaker:

the revenue impact of the

brand. The reality is that

Speaker:

p and g or Ford or these massive

Speaker:

advertisers,

Speaker:

they've worked with firms to

build these custom models,

Speaker:

they cost millions to

build and to maintain,

Speaker:

and they take a really long time to get

all the data in, et cetera, et cetera,

Speaker:

which is why we lowly 50,

a hundred million dollars.

Speaker:

Brands don't really do this,

Speaker:

but they've been doing it for a long time.

Speaker:

But they've just been these crazy

complex models that were built by these

Speaker:

analytics firms and they

took just a really long time,

Speaker:

but it's proven methodology. They've

been measuring this stuff for forever.

Speaker:

How else

Speaker:

for us modern consumer brand builders

to think that all of the traditional

Speaker:

multi-billion dollar brands have just

gotten there because they've been flying

Speaker:

blind, they've had no data. I think

we need a little humility ourselves.

Speaker:

These are very precise people. Absolutely.

It's expensive to do it that way.

Speaker:

So I think the thing that we're doing in.

Speaker:

America, not that it's not measurable,

Speaker:

it's just not measurable in the way

we're used to. And so makes sense.

Speaker:

Not in the way we're used to and then

up until I guess what we're doing is,

Speaker:

and not a way that we could afford.

Speaker:

Because.

Speaker:

It would be very expensive

to build these custom models.

Speaker:

So part of the thing that we're

doing is, let's try to generalize it.

Speaker:

A lot of the people who built those

super custom models for those big

Speaker:

advertisers from these analytics

firms are the ones who were like,

Speaker:

this is how I would do it if I

would democratize this for everyone.

Speaker:

So when we came together it

was like, oh, this is awesome.

Speaker:

Let's figure this out. But some of

the big things that have stood out,

Speaker:

one of the things we've

always knocked on is

Speaker:

whether or not a follow

or a share is valuable.

Speaker:

I think we've all gone through this.

Speaker:

Well at least I have this hype

cycle of that's all that matters.

Speaker:

It's the worst thing. There's

no value. Maybe it does matter.

Speaker:

So the reality though is somewhere in

the middle there's some value of someone

Speaker:

taking an action and that is an

action, it's a precursor action.

Speaker:

It's a non shopping behavior,

Speaker:

but there is a statistical relationship

between people taking those actions and

Speaker:

your future revenue. So

if you can find that.

Speaker:

So I think that's one of the big things.

Speaker:

So we think about then spending

our money not to drive a purchase.

Speaker:

So now I'm talking about

non purchase campaigns,

Speaker:

which freaks people out

because they're just like,

Speaker:

why would I do a subscriber

campaign that is insane?

Speaker:

Does it have value, blah, blah, blah

Speaker:

to get IG follows, to get, TikTok

follows to get Facebook follows.

Speaker:

Can you imagine getting a

Facebook page like that?

Speaker:

But the reality is that these sorts

of things are opening up additional

Speaker:

reach, lowering the cost per

a thousand accounts reached,

Speaker:

reaching different people. Because as

you think about if you're the ad auction,

Speaker:

right,

Speaker:

you're going to serve media because you're

going to get the highest bid on this

Speaker:

set of people.

Speaker:

It doesn't make sense to serve media to

these people who haven't shown all these

Speaker:

intense signals that they're in

market. So they're not going to do it.

Speaker:

So then when you choose

different objectives, yeah,

Speaker:

the bid is different because the auction's

different and you're reaching all

Speaker:

these people that you

weren't otherwise reaching.

Speaker:

And if you use your best creative

creative that our friend Jacque makes or

Speaker:

that any of these brands have

made that has earned engagement,

Speaker:

talks about who they're what to do,

Speaker:

you're doing the brand building thing

in a performance market. You don't only

Speaker:

have to do billboards and linear tv,

you can do enough performance market.

Speaker:

So we're getting people to take those

actions because that's a lot of the

Speaker:

playbook that we used at to do this.

Speaker:

It was very much like let's build

our community by distributing

Speaker:

content that wouldn't crush

it in a bottom funnel.

Speaker:

Performance marketing a set

necessarily wouldn't beat the

Speaker:

very product offer urgency sort of thing

that you got to do. Not knocking that.

Speaker:

Totally. So then I think the key

things are run media differently,

Speaker:

use different objectives and it matters.

It helps, it works kind of thing.

Speaker:

And if you want to lower CPMs,

you want to reach more people,

Speaker:

those are the unarguable rules.

Speaker:

But now we're helping to provide a

little bit more context on how valuable

Speaker:

it's so that you can think

about how much to budget,

Speaker:

think about what is the split

for me given my cash profile,

Speaker:

given what I demand from an incremental

role on a 30 day roll basis,

Speaker:

whatever that might be.

So that's kind of what we're finding,

Speaker:

but finding that YouTube is

super valuable on a long-term

Speaker:

context, pretty meaningfully.

Speaker:

But then Facebook as well, I

mean just going out absolutely,

Speaker:

whether it be post engagement campaigns

or trying to get Facebook page likes,

Speaker:

yes, that action matters,

Speaker:

but then it's also the fact that

you're just reaching people you weren't

Speaker:

otherwise reaching. And then it's

like, ah, do I have the creative?

Speaker:

Everyone has more brand building creative,

Speaker:

whether it's amazing and fricking

awesome, different conversation,

Speaker:

but everyone's got to start

somewhere. You know what I mean?

Speaker:

And so we're helping you

to put numbers to your gut,

Speaker:

whereas that putting this piece of content

in front of what people is just good.

Speaker:

That's who we are. That's

what we do kind of thing.

Speaker:

Now we're just validating

that with numbers. But yeah,

Speaker:

I mean to your point, brand

search not a perfect metric. Yes,

Speaker:

it's tied to spend. Yes.

If you spend more on dr,

Speaker:

you will get more brand

search. That's not the point.

Speaker:

The point is that there are other ways

to spend your dollars to more efficiently

Speaker:

drive brand search And to more efficiently

then get those clicks to your site

Speaker:

and more efficiently have them be high

converting. That's more the point.

Speaker:

What we learned at Chubby's is like, yeah,

Speaker:

let's spend our money to drive

brand search more efficiently.

Speaker:

That's what I want to do. That's

how I want to use the ad platforms.

Speaker:

That puts me in a different bucket where

I'm leveraging it to meet my needs.

Speaker:

And so we're just trying to help brands.

Speaker:

I don't want to say see the light because

that's implying that they're blind or

Speaker:

whatever, but just free them up.

Speaker:

To.

Speaker:

Do the things that'll help to truly

drive their business without seeing this

Speaker:

mythical dip. I think that's the other

thing is people transition. They're like,

Speaker:

oh, I going to go out of business. Well,

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I'm transitioning to reality is absolutely

not, but it matters how you do it.

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It matters how you do it.

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And so we're trying to help

people through that as well.

Speaker:

But those are some just quick takeaways.

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That's so important and putting data

behind your gut and your intuition.

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I trust and believe that if I invest

in marketing in this way with a

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really strong brand message

that compels people,

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but it's not the buy now save a

hundred percent type of thing.

Speaker:

It's like it's a good brand message.

I believe that's going to work.

Speaker:

I'm going to trust it, but I'd

sure like some data to back me up.

Speaker:

And that's what you guys have

built and what you're doing here,

Speaker:

and it just makes sense.

Speaker:

We look at this all the time with YouTube

and then there's been such an influx

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of people coming to MG for us

to help them solve YouTube,

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which we do all the time. But hey,

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if we can reach the right audience

maybe for a five or $8 CPM or a

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$10 CCP M and you're getting a

30 or $40 CPM somewhere else,

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that's going to have an impact.

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And if I can drive more branded search,

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which comes to me at 50 cents or whatever,

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that's going to be better than driving

$7 clicks and some of these other areas.

Speaker:

And so it's understanding some

of those things are powerful,

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but now you're putting some of the

measurement behind it to see the real

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business impact of those things.

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And then just trying to validating

it with straight up well run.

Speaker:

Do you hold that incrementality studies

so that when you get those results,

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yeah, I mean it trains your

MMM or your statistical model,

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but it also gives you data that you can

take to the CO and CFO and just be like,

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because the tough thing

that always happens,

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and you probably deal with this with

your clients, it's like, oh crap,

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October soft or September was rough.

Speaker:

You.

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Got to cut all that stuff,

right? Only bottom funnel.

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And then when you don't have

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any kind of causal holdout data,

there's no way for you to say,

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we would be doing worse if we weren't

doing this brand building stuff.

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There's no way to say that. But

that's true Or it's potentially true.

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And if you're running these

experiments constantly,

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if you have this culture

of experimentation, you can

actually say that, right?

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Here's the data.

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Look at these geos doing way worse where

we're not doing this demand gen stuff

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or I don't want to say demand

creating net new demand for our brand,

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let's call it. And so that's

what we really encourage.

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Anyone who's doing any kind of stuff

that doesn't necessarily optimize for

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driving that short-term today

purchase is just run experiments

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so that you can have that

conversation where it's just like, no,

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this is the whole goal.

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We want to make more money than we would

had we just been sticking to bottom

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funnel demand capture. That's the goal.

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More profit dollars sustainably

over many, many years.

Speaker:

We're all aligned on

that front, right? Yes.

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So if we have some numbers

in this missing fluffy

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piece, that is the compounder,

right? That's the end of the day.

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It's the compounder. It's the compounder.

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Yes.

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The bottom funnel land capture.

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It is the thing that cash

is in on the compounding.

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But if you don't have a compounding,

right, I mean, then we're in trouble.

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So we want to solve that.

Speaker:

In trouble. Man, it's so good. So good.

I could keep going on this all day.

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I absolutely love this stuff.

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But we do need to wrap up and we'll have

to do another round in the future and

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hopefully not wait a couple years,

but who is marathon data for?

Speaker:

What's your ICP or your ideal client

profile and how can people find out more?

Speaker:

Sure. So ICP, it's like,

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let's call 'em generally

modern consumer brands who

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maybe reached a point

where they're just like,

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I think part of the reason maybe why we're

not seeing the results we want to see

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is because maybe we haven't been

able to invest in this brand stuff,

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or

I know brand is important,

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but I can't figure out how to

invest in it or measure it.

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So there's that little bit

of pain or I'm crushing it,

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but I don't know what I'm doing

that's helping my pressure.

Speaker:

What should I be doubling down

on? What should I be cutting?

Speaker:

Everything's seemingly working? What's,

Speaker:

there's those things You're generally

spending a lot of money on meta, Google,

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YouTube, TikTok, you've

got active socials,

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you're trying to expand multichannel,

right? You start a D two C,

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now you're on Amazon, now you're

in Walmart or Nordstrom or whoever,

Speaker:

and you don't have to

be all of that stuff.

Speaker:

But those are generally the folks that

we work with may need to be around for

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three, four years to have enough

history. So all that stuff,

Speaker:

but pretty much any consumer brand.

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Love it. Love it. And then

how can they find out more?

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Where can they get a demo? How can

they dive in? That sort of thing.

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Yeah, yeah, yeah.

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So you can just slide

into my dms on LinkedIn,

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just search Preston Ruther with shorts

in the middle of the first and last name.

Speaker:

Or you can go to marathon data co com or

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Marathon Taco. Someone told me

that I think is a way better.

Speaker:

Way to taco marathon taco. That's

perfect. You'll never forget that.

Speaker:

But yeah, hit me up on LinkedIn,

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read some of the stuff that kind of

helps articulate these Yammer rings

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on the internet, but.

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Yeah.

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Yep. Love it, man. Really appreciate

the time. I'll double down on this.

Speaker:

You're still one of the best follows

on LinkedIn out there if you're in the

Speaker:

marketing and brand building

and consumer product building.

Speaker:

And if you're in marketing, you got

to follow precedent on LinkedIn.

Speaker:

So just do that.

Speaker:

Checkout marathon data co.com or

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the taco. I like that even better. And

so Preston, thanks man. Ton of fun.

Speaker:

Thank you Brett, as always,

and always great to catch up.

Speaker:

Pleasure dude. Love what you're

doing and thanks for the opportunity.

Speaker:

Hope this is helpful for the audience.

Speaker:

A hundred percent. And as

always, thank you for tuning in.

Speaker:

We'd love to hear from you. What would

you like to hear more of on the show?

Speaker:

If you found this episode helpful and

you think it'd be helpful for someone

Speaker:

else, please share it. And with that,

until next time, thank you for listening.

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