Mike Jones.
Speaker BMike Jones.
Speaker AMike Jones.
Speaker ARemember that?
Speaker BI'm trying to remember the phone number.
Speaker AOh.
Speaker B330-8004.
Speaker AFirst rapper gave his name, his telephone number out.
Speaker ASo smart on a song.
Speaker AYeah, it was brilliant.
Speaker ABut then he fell off.
Speaker BHe was so good, though.
Speaker APaul Wall.
Speaker ANo, Paul's still relevant.
Speaker APaul wall is relevant because he makes grills.
Speaker ANot because, you know.
Speaker BYeah.
Speaker BNot because he's a rapper, because he's good at rapping.
Speaker AAnd he's like.
Speaker AHe's a Johnny Dang, homie.
Speaker BDrive slow, homie.
Speaker ADrive slow, homie.
Speaker AYou know?
Speaker BYou know?
Speaker AWell, maybe we should do a little thing called a podcast.
Speaker BYou ready to do this thing?
Speaker AI'm already.
Speaker AI'm ready to do this.
Speaker AThis thing.
Speaker BWell, welcome back to the number one financial literacy podcast in the world.
Speaker BSitting next to me on my left is my partner in crime, Christopher Nahibi.
Speaker ASitting next to me on my right, my partner in time.
Speaker AThe long, long road of time.
Speaker AThe one and only side, Omar.
Speaker BThe very wide of podcasting.
Speaker BThank you so much.
Speaker BAnd behind the ones and twos, we're still missing DJ Odun.
Speaker BWe love you, bro.
Speaker AI don't think he's coming back.
Speaker BDude, I miss you, bro.
Speaker BAnd you still haven't said, I miss you too, because you don't listen.
Speaker AHe doesn't listen to show and he doesn't respond to my messages.
Speaker AHe doesn't accept my collaborations.
Speaker BHe's got babies on babies on babies.
Speaker AYou.
Speaker AYeah, I'm.
Speaker AI'm the jilted lover who hasn't taken the hint.
Speaker AThat's.
Speaker AThat's where we're at right about now.
Speaker BSo we have a very interesting show for everybody today.
Speaker ADid you actually read the show notes?
Speaker BI did read the show notes.
Speaker AOh.
Speaker ASo you know what we're talking about today.
Speaker BLet's first of all start off by saying we feel terrible about the fires in Los Angeles.
Speaker AWell, yeah, so natural disasters have been pretty prevalent the last couple of years, and for a lot of people listening to the show, they think, okay, well, this.
Speaker AThis is a financial literacy podcast.
Speaker AYou know, how is this really something that we would talk about in the show?
Speaker AObviously, there's a human side of it.
Speaker AThere's the, you know, condolences, the loss of value, possessions, life.
Speaker AIn some cases, it's.
Speaker AIt's a tragedy to see what is probably going to go down as the most damaging fire in u.
Speaker AS.
Speaker AHistory.
Speaker BYeah, two.
Speaker BTwo of the four fires are the two largest in the state of California.
Speaker AYeah, it's going to be pretty interesting.
Speaker ABut the one question I kept getting over and over and over again was, you know, what is the impact on the state and the individuals financially?
Speaker AI've gotten like three or four DMS today.
Speaker AI've had people actually call me and have the conversation, shout out to Stan.
Speaker AStan called me and.
Speaker AAnd he was like, dude, I feel so bad.
Speaker ALike, how does this impact people financially?
Speaker AWhat does it look like?
Speaker AAnd so, first and foremost, our thoughts and prayers with all the people that are impacted, the families, firefighters, everybody.
Speaker AIt's a tough situation and it's terrible.
Speaker BYeah.
Speaker ABut it.
Speaker AIt did strike a chord with me from a financial literacy perspective, because as you and I know, probably better than most insurance in the state of California, but across the country has changed pretty dramatically over the last couple years.
Speaker AYou've seen it in response to inflation, but certainly there's been an increasing cadence of natural disasters, which have cost a lot of the insurance companies quite a bit of money.
Speaker BDoesn't matter if it's hurricanes, floods, fires, whatever the case may be.
Speaker AAnd as a response to this, what typically happens is these insurance companies will either increase the cost, decrease the amount of coverage, or just pull out entirely from providing the coverage for that state.
Speaker BRight.
Speaker ASo in California, this is particularly impactful because there was also a recent large fire here not too long ago up in Northern California.
Speaker AIt kind of decimated a town there.
Speaker AThere was the Maui fire, which was pretty impactful.
Speaker BSo about a year ago, right?
Speaker AYeah, about a year ago.
Speaker ASo there's been a lot going on in the insurance space.
Speaker AAnd I wanted to talk a little bit about the history in California's home insurance space and why this is actually really scary stuff.
Speaker BYeah.
Speaker AFrom a financial perspective, which we should.
Speaker BYeah, I think we should also do a quick little breakdown of what people can expect that's covered in an homeowner's insurance policy.
Speaker AYeah.
Speaker ASo before we get there, let's talk about some of the kind of the background.
Speaker ABy sheer happenstance, a Wall Street Journal article came out today called California was already in Home Insurance crisis Before Los Angeles infernos began.
Speaker AIndustry officials warned of widespread economic damage on par with some of the biggest fire disasters in recent memory.
Speaker AHowever, this story in California goes back a little ways.
Speaker ACalifornia is the biggest home insurance market in the US Right?
Speaker ALots of expensive homes, lots of density of homes, massive density, population of people.
Speaker ARight.
Speaker BYou got to think just that area alone, the Pacific Palisades.
Speaker AYeah.
Speaker BThe average median home price there is probably a couple million dollars.
Speaker AIt's.
Speaker AIt's an expensive area, but there's also people, all sorts of Socioeconomic, you know, gaps that have been impacted by this and homeowners insurance is interesting.
Speaker AIt doesn't really matter how much your home is worth.
Speaker AYou're going to pay your premium.
Speaker AIt's going to cost you the same emotional toll damage as it costs somebody who's got a, you know, big ass house.
Speaker BBut yeah, there's, there's that, there's that component behind this.
Speaker BAnd I don't know how much we want to get into the other side of this too, where the systematic failures that have taken place.
Speaker BI mean, the city of LA cut the budget for the fire department by over $20 million when this was, this was understood that this is an ongoing problem.
Speaker BI don't know if you caught that clip going around on social media where Rogan had somebody on.
Speaker BJoe Rogan.
Speaker BJoe Rogan, Joe Rogan had somebody, had somebody on where they were literally discussing this issue and that LA has just been getting lucky all these years.
Speaker BAll it's going to take is the wind to blow in one direction one time.
Speaker BYeah, we literally had this conversation six months ago.
Speaker AYeah, it doesn't surprise me at all.
Speaker AI mean, the infrastructure in, in Los Angeles has been neglected for a number of years.
Speaker AThere's lots of political reasons and I don't want to get into all that.
Speaker ABut suffice it to say I hope this more than anything for the state of California, from an insurance liability perspective is a wake up call, but certainly from a political perspective that it's a wake up call, that a lot of these extremisms when it comes to political views is having significant ramifications to people in the state.
Speaker AI think you're gonna see a lot of people be really, really upset about their politicians and the things that they did not do leading up to this.
Speaker AAnd Joe Rogan's one example of many.
Speaker ASo not only is California the biggest home insurance market in the US but it's also one of the toughest for companies to navigate.
Speaker AThis state accounted for eight of the 10 costliest U.S.
Speaker Awildfires through the years.
Speaker AAnd after adjusting for inflation, according to Aon, I mean there's unequivocally California has the most fire damage period.
Speaker BOh yeah.
Speaker AWhen you think about it, you know.
Speaker BThat makes sense, especially on this one.
Speaker BSo the statistics that I read before coming on the show tonight, this is as of what we know right now, I think several of the fires are 0% contained.
Speaker BSo I mean, damage is still, you know, still going.
Speaker BAnd I think it's upwards of 20,000 acres.
Speaker BRight?
Speaker AYeah.
Speaker ASo someone was asking Me, you know, Chris, like, what are the impacts?
Speaker AAnd I told him, I said, dude, you have 00% containment.
Speaker AThe impacts are still growing.
Speaker BRight.
Speaker AThat's like asking me in the middle of an earthquake how long it's going to last.
Speaker AYeah, you know, you just don't know.
Speaker AAll I can tell you is, is that the way this is typically tracked from an insurance perspective is they take all the cities with impacted zip codes and anything in that zip code is an impacted region by assumption until such time as they say that it's not impacted.
Speaker BRight, exactly.
Speaker ASo it's not really, it's not rocket science.
Speaker AI mean, you can't really figure out which homes are impacted, which properties are impacted, what, where, where and why.
Speaker AYou just gotta play the game out over time.
Speaker ARight now though, you shouldn't be thinking about the money.
Speaker BTo put things into perspective, one acre is approximately 43,000 square feet.
Speaker BYeah, we're talking about 20, 25,000 acres.
Speaker BAs of right now, that's over like 20,000 football fields.
Speaker AAnd the wind is supposed to pick up tonight.
Speaker AI should point out we are recording this day later than we normally do.
Speaker AThis is Thursday, January 9th, and the reason why we record a little late today is because I got stuck putting up a 77 inch TV that was ridiculous in my house last night.
Speaker ABut it also made sense for us to kind of give the fires a little more time.
Speaker ABefore we brought this topic up, we did want to bring it up on the show.
Speaker ASo let's get into a little bit of history on California insurance and explain why this is such a challenging kind of thing.
Speaker BYes.
Speaker ASo despite the risk in California, it is typically, it has historically been a consumer friendly state for laws which for decades kept home insurance rates relatively low compared with the national average, at least according to industry data.
Speaker AAnd the reason why this is important was, is that these laws changed recently politically and insurance companies started charging a whole hell of a lot more money.
Speaker ANow politically, insurance companies will typically lobby to do so.
Speaker AAnd I'm not saying insurance companies are good or bad, although every time I have this conversation somebody inevitably says that, you know, you don't understand our side of the insurance, you know, argument or their side of the insurance argument.
Speaker AAnd you're never going to win it.
Speaker AAnd I'm not trying to have that fight.
Speaker AThis is just matter of fact.
Speaker AOkay.
Speaker ALeading insurers have pulled back from the state of California, leaving many in the path of the fires with only bare bones insurance.
Speaker ASomething known as California Fair Plan is going to come up here.
Speaker AWe'll talk about that.
Speaker BWhat does bare bones mean?
Speaker ASo bare bones means, well, insurance provided by state sponsored insurer or the last resort, or worse, no insurance at all.
Speaker ASo if you're going to have typical insurance that you pay for, think farmers and state farm.
Speaker BMm.
Speaker AYou can get pretty good hazard insurance coverage that'll cover your replacement costs.
Speaker ANew.
Speaker ARight.
Speaker BYou got your dwelling coverage, the coverage for the house.
Speaker BRight.
Speaker BThere's personal property coverage, there's liability coverage, loss of use, and even things like medical payments.
Speaker AYep.
Speaker AIn some cases you can get hotel stays covered for.
Speaker AIn the case of natural disasters, there's some really good things you can add onto your insurance policy.
Speaker AAnd generally speaking, the larger insurance companies, if they are insuring your properties, then you generally got those benefits.
Speaker AHowever, there is something called California Fair Plan, and we'll get into that in a little bit.
Speaker ABut effectively, California Fair Plan is your.
Speaker AIf you can't get insurance in the state of California because nobody will insure your property, maybe you're in a flood zone, maybe you're in a fire hazard zone, maybe you're just in a place that they consider to be too risky and nobody will ensure you can go.
Speaker ACalifornia Fair Plan, it generally doesn't cover a whole lot.
Speaker BNo.
Speaker AYeah.
Speaker BIt covers the bare minimum.
Speaker AIt covers a bare minimum for you to meet the insurance requirements for your lender.
Speaker BYes.
Speaker ABut generally speaking, you're not going to get your replacement cost new.
Speaker AWhich means you cannot replace that building fully with the insurance proceeds you're going to get.
Speaker ASo you're going to come out of pocket for the difference.
Speaker AAnd that difference in some of these really expensive homes is big.
Speaker BWell, you got to think.
Speaker BAnd now, now you fall back on the systematic failures.
Speaker BIf you're one of these homeowners, Right.
Speaker BThat has lived here for however many years.
Speaker BAnd I know there's, there's some, there's, you know, areas that there are more expensive homes that were affected by this and there was areas that homes weren't as expensive.
Speaker BRight.
Speaker BBut let's just, let's just look at the Pacific Palisades.
Speaker BIf you're living there, Right.
Speaker BAnd you've paid whatever you've paid in state income taxes and whatever you've paid over the years in property taxes, there's a certain level that you would expect, like, okay, we'll be taken care of.
Speaker AYeah.
Speaker BAnd in the budget that gets put in place will make sure that we're all taken care of.
Speaker AThis is just property taxes.
Speaker AYou're paying, local municipality taxes, all that, your local sales tax, your state sales tax.
Speaker AI Mean you're paying for.
Speaker AThis is one of the highest tax states in the country.
Speaker BSo there's a certain level of expectations, I believe, that come with that.
Speaker BAnd now the real genuine concern is for people, some of those homes are definitely underinsured, if insured at all.
Speaker BSome people, I've heard cases of some of the homes, the insurance cost was so high that they elected to not get insurance because homes are already paid off.
Speaker AYeah.
Speaker ASo if your home is paid off and you don't have a lender, generally speaking, most people get hazard insurance because their lender requires it.
Speaker AAnd they certainly give you kind of a list of what they require.
Speaker ATypically, they get an appraisal for your property when you get financed.
Speaker AAnd in that appraisal they do.
Speaker AOne of the approaches to value they use is a replacement cost.
Speaker ANew.
Speaker AHow much would it cost to replace this property with a new one in the worst case event scenario that it was burned down?
Speaker BRight.
Speaker AThat figure is generally your quote, insurance requirements if you have a lender.
Speaker ANow, if you don't have a lender, it's always smart to have hazard insurance because if this happens, you need to rebuild it.
Speaker ABut you can choose whatever value to insure your property for that you want.
Speaker AYou can overinsure it and cost more money, or you can underinsure it and it costs less money, or you could not have any insurance at all and just say, hey, look, I'm not really likely to have my house burned out and not forget.
Speaker BWhat type, what economic time are we currently living in?
Speaker BWhat are we going through?
Speaker BThere was a Hollywood strike not too long ago.
Speaker AYeah.
Speaker BAnd a lot of people from Hollywood were living in these areas.
Speaker AI didn't peg you for a Hollywood guy.
Speaker ABut now, now that you're talking about something with such subject matter, expertise, the classes make sense.
Speaker BOh, now you get why you're trying to be sophisticated.
Speaker BExactly.
Speaker BI would not be surprised and I will not be surprised if people just absolutely walk away from it all.
Speaker AAnd I'm afraid that that might be part.
Speaker BI'm really afraid of that happening.
Speaker AYou've seen an exodus of celebrities and, you know, actors in particular from California to other tax haven states.
Speaker ANevada, Mark Wahlberg, Florida.
Speaker AStallone, Texas.
Speaker ATexas, Joe Rogan, McConaughey.
Speaker AThere's a lot of people who have left like Malibu's region or, you know, some of the higher imports of Los Angeles to go the Avon.
Speaker BI think Tennessee is Tennessee now.
Speaker BI believe so.
Speaker AYeah, I know that.
Speaker AThat makes sense, knowing the Yvonne.
Speaker BYeah.
Speaker ASo I think a lot of people who were this is going to sound very political and I don't, I don't mean to over stigmatize it, but I would say Democrats today are very much different than Democrats during like Kennedy's era.
Speaker AI think Kennedy's era, Democrats were more like Republicans today.
Speaker AYes, I think we've gotten very extreme in what is a Democrat and what is a Republican.
Speaker AAnd I'm not trying to put any names associated with it as much as to say is that this state more than many other states has been very politicized.
Speaker AAnd I think that this might bring a lot of people who otherwise identified as Democrats back towards the middle of the spectrum saying, hey, could be this.
Speaker BIs, this is wrong, it might need to happen.
Speaker BI mean this tends to happen in any situation, not just politics.
Speaker BWhen there's an overcorrection one way or the other, the pendulum needs to swing back so far the other way in order to correct things that it, I mean it might, there might need to be something this catastrophic in order for that to happen.
Speaker ASo let's finish out this Wall Street Journal article.
Speaker AEven before the fires were sparked, millions of homeowners in the Golden State, especially those in the path of LA infernos, faced double digit insurance rate increases, non renewals or a dearth of any available private coverage.
Speaker AThere just wasn't anything out there.
Speaker AAnd I've seen it firsthand.
Speaker APeople will go get California Fair Plan as their last possible resort and they'll get the absolute bare bones minimum that they can get coverage wise just because they can't afford to cover the property more than that.
Speaker AAnd if you're owning an income producing property and you're not one you're living in, you're going to get as much insurance as you need to, but not a penny more because it's going to take away from your cash flow, that free cash flow every single month.
Speaker AAnd as we know those properties under already harsh increases in taxes and you know, insurance, everything else.
Speaker ASo leading insurers including State Farm and Allstate have stopped selling new home insurance policies in the state of California, saying that rate increases approved by regulators were insufficient to cover their losses, including from the devastating wildfires of 2017 and 2018 in this state.
Speaker BTo put things into perspective here I got some stats from State Farm.
Speaker BThey chose to not renew 30,000 home policies in California.
Speaker BIt's this year and they ended 69% of policies in the Pacific Palisades, which.
Speaker AIs kind of crazy given where this fire is at.
Speaker ALike that's a big, almost 70% of their policy coverage.
Speaker AIn the palace.
Speaker ANow, hopefully those people went out and got new coverage, but I can guarantee you it was more expensive or it's California fair plan.
Speaker AIt's a bare minimum.
Speaker BRight.
Speaker BAnd California actually has laws in place to where, you know, some of these insurance companies actually need to carry a certain percentage of policies in these dangerous areas.
Speaker BSo if they're going to, you know, provide coverage in the state of California.
Speaker BYeah.
Speaker BA certain percentage, whatever, I don't know what that percentage is, needs to be, you know, directed towards these areas, which.
Speaker AI think is a terrible idea because then they're just going to say we're not going to be in the state, which is effectively what some of these, some of these insurers did.
Speaker BGod knows what's going to happen.
Speaker AYeah.
Speaker ASo it's terrible situation.
Speaker AOur heart goes out to everybody.
Speaker AWe wanted to start the show on a more of a serious note, but because it is the higher standard, I mean, we're going to take the low bar.
Speaker AAnd I had to bring a little bit of levity to a topic that is very heavy for those of you who listen to the show consistently.
Speaker AYou know how much of a fan we are of Jim Cramer.
Speaker BI could not believe this.
Speaker BThere was no way that this happened.
Speaker AYeah.
Speaker BHow is this possible?
Speaker AOne of my favorite X accounts, which is a parody account, is called Not Jerome Powell.
Speaker AThe the face of the account is of course Jerome Powell, head secretary of the fomc.
Speaker AYeah.
Speaker AWell, for those of you who don't know, Jim Cramer has made a pattern in practice out of pretty much guaranteeing whatever he says the opposite's going to happen.
Speaker ASo much.
Speaker ASo there's an Inverse Kramer tracked ETF fund called SGIM.
Speaker AIt was launched in 2023 by Tuttle Capital Management as a tongue in cheek investment vehicle designed to do the opposite of stock recommendations made by the television personality Jim Kramer.
Speaker BRight.
Speaker AThe fund aimed to short sell stocks Kramer endorsed and buy those he advised against, capitalizing on the humorous notion that doing the opposite of his advice could be profitable.
Speaker ASo suffice it to say, he has a bit of a reputation.
Speaker BYeah, not, not good one.
Speaker ANot very well on 1625.
Speaker AOkay.
Speaker AThat is what, three days ago, four days ago.
Speaker AWhatever.
Speaker ATraveling to California tomorrow.
Speaker AThank God there aren't wildfires right now.
Speaker AThey always happen this time of year.
Speaker AJim Cramer and of course not.
Speaker AYour own pal reposts and says, I knew it, I knew it.
Speaker BLike why he's got to stop posting.
Speaker BRight.
Speaker AYou, you gotta stop just talking.
Speaker AYou should take a Jim Cramer vow of silence.
Speaker ABecause nothing that Comes out of your mouth is good, bro.
Speaker BLike, what has he been like, why does he feel so comfortable still?
Speaker AI.
Speaker AI don't know.
Speaker BHe knows this is out there in the ether.
Speaker BSome of the things that he's gotten wrong.
Speaker AAll right, you got a list?
Speaker BI got a list.
Speaker AThis is not going to be good.
Speaker BBear Stearns in 2008.
Speaker BOn March 11, 2008, Kramer advised investors not to withdraw their money from Bear Stearns, asserting the company was stable.
Speaker BLess than one week later, collapsed.
Speaker ASorry, Jimbo.
Speaker BJeez.
Speaker BCome on, Guy.
Speaker BIn 2012, Netflix November 2012, Kramer recommended selling Netflix shares.
Speaker BContrary to his advice, Netflix stocks surged by approximately 174%.
Speaker BSo you got both situations, right?
Speaker BOne where it fails and then one day where he succeeds.
Speaker BSeeds.
Speaker AThe opposite.
Speaker AWorks every time.
Speaker BThis one hurts.
Speaker BFirst Republic Bank 2023, not too long ago.
Speaker AOh yeah, I remember this.
Speaker AHe endorsed the hell out of him.
Speaker BOn March 10, 2023, Kramer referred to First Republic bank as a very good bank.
Speaker BYeah, which they were.
Speaker AI like them too.
Speaker BYeah, I like them too.
Speaker ADoesn't mean they didn't get jinxed by Jim Kramer though.
Speaker BThat's the thing.
Speaker BShortly thereafter, the bank stock plummeted by 65% in pre market trading.
Speaker AAh, Jimbo.
Speaker BAnd lastly, Meta's threads app in 2023.
Speaker AReally?
Speaker BIn July 2023, Kramer predicted the Meta's new app, Threads would surpass Twitter or what we now know as X.
Speaker BDespite initial interest, Threads experienced a significant decline in daily users, failing to meet Kramer's expectations.
Speaker BEven though, even though the stock price is still doing okay.
Speaker ASidebar here.
Speaker BYou're still on the threads, bro.
Speaker AI do use it to just cross pollinate a little bit, but according to what I'm seeing today, TikTok is done on 119 in the United States.
Speaker B119, yeah.
Speaker ASo 10 days from now they're, they're saying, hey, we're shutting down in the.
Speaker BUS So where are people going to.
Speaker AI think you're going to see a surge in activity in Instagram is my guess.
Speaker BWith these kinds of apps, right, there's always a new one for like the younger generation that you think.
Speaker BI remember there was vine, was vine, was a popular one, then that got replaced and I remember Snapchat was one and the Snapchat came back again for content creators.
Speaker AThey were on the verge of death at one point time.
Speaker AYeah.
Speaker BYeah.
Speaker BSo I'm actually surprised that they managed to somehow still stay around.
Speaker AThey pay, they pay the most for content creators now.
Speaker BI've heard that.
Speaker AYeah.
Speaker ASo that's why you always see like a lot of people who are like a big following on Instagram try to push you their Snapchat or like post their Snapchat images.
Speaker ASo you go there.
Speaker BYeah.
Speaker AIs because they make more money with more views on Snapchat.
Speaker ASo for a while they were trying to like drive flow there because they just got paid more.
Speaker BGot it.
Speaker ABut I got to tell you, I feel pretty good about TikTok going away.
Speaker BI'm all for it.
Speaker AI'm all for it.
Speaker BI'm all for it.
Speaker AYeah, I know.
Speaker BHave you ever bought anything on the TikTok shopping or whatever?
Speaker ANo.
Speaker AAnd I try to put our merch on the store and dude, it was so.
Speaker AI don't want to sound.
Speaker AIt's gonna sound terrible.
Speaker AIt was so like, what's that Chinese website like Timu.
Speaker BOh, Timo Wish.
Speaker AI've never used the Wish app, but it had like these temu, like Chinese influence vibes where it wasn't like exactly ergonomic and user friendly.
Speaker BShein.
Speaker BIs that another one?
Speaker ASheen.
Speaker AThat's the discount clothing line.
Speaker BBut yeah, yeah, yeah, it just, it.
Speaker AJust didn't, it wasn't.
Speaker ALogistically didn't make sense.
Speaker ASo I tried to like.
Speaker AAnd then I had to go through another site and then this and that just, just to like sell our merch.
Speaker AAnd I got to the point where I'm like, you know what, I don't even like our merch as much.
Speaker BWait, and then they give you a really hard time on getting like validated or.
Speaker AOh yeah, that's right.
Speaker AYeah.
Speaker BNo, you had all these credentials, all these articles and they just didn't want to verify you.
Speaker ASo yeah, this is, this is kind of interesting story.
Speaker AI don't have like a lot of.
Speaker AI've got like 9,000 followers on, on TikTok.
Speaker AI had a bunch of videos pop off and a really like well known agency was like, yo, like, we'll submit you to get you verified your account.
Speaker AAnd this is literally the exact same time.
Speaker AThis is pre, like you could pay for your verification stuff.
Speaker AThis is just back in the day when, you know, you had to beat certain notability standards.
Speaker ARight, Right.
Speaker ASo they submitted me at the same time to, to ins, to Instagram Meta.
Speaker ARight, okay.
Speaker AAnd they're like, oh, do you want your Facebook verified?
Speaker AI'm like, no, no, no, no.
Speaker AJust, just submit this.
Speaker ASo the same time Instagram, same time TikTok.
Speaker AAt the time we, we cited a Wall Street Journal article, a Bloomberg article, Architectural Digest.
Speaker AArchitectural Digest is one of Them a Market watch article.
Speaker BLike a bunch of, like, maybe a Forbes one too.
Speaker AAnd there's a.
Speaker AProbably a Forbes one.
Speaker ALike a bunch of articles that I did that directly cited me and talked about.
Speaker ABecause you have to meet this certain kind of weird, like, advertising criteria.
Speaker AYeah, it's not my subject matter expertise.
Speaker AI don't know, whatever.
Speaker ASo we didn't hear back from Instagram and I just assumed it didn't happen.
Speaker AAnd then with Tick Tock, we heard, they heard, we heard back saying, you don't meet the standard.
Speaker AYour articles don't meet the standards of notoriety.
Speaker BWhat do you want?
Speaker AI'm like, bro, it's Wall Street Journal.
Speaker BYeah, what do you want, Barack to come out here and say my name?
Speaker AI don't understand.
Speaker BYeah.
Speaker AAnd then they're like.
Speaker AAnd then it was like, oh, you don't have enough of them?
Speaker AI'm like, bro, I've done 70, I think, in like the one year period at that point in time, I'd done like 70 media mentions.
Speaker BYeah.
Speaker ALike, I had been mentioned 70 times in the media like that year.
Speaker AAnd it was all like, you know, quotes on stuff that referenced what I did for a living, you know, one way or the other.
Speaker AAnd I was like, all right, whatever.
Speaker AThese guys are idiots.
Speaker ALike, I don't.
Speaker AMeanwhile, I wake up one day and like, I'll never Forget.
Speaker AI was 3 o'clock in the morning, I wake up, I'm using the bathroom.
Speaker AI'm on Instagram.
Speaker ABecause you.
Speaker AWhat you do when you go to the bathroom 3:00 in the morning, Right.
Speaker AYou can lie to yourself.
Speaker ATell you you don't, you.
Speaker BI don't.
Speaker BI don't.
Speaker BI swear to God, I don't.
Speaker AYou don't take your phone to the bathroom.
Speaker AYou go to the bathroom.
Speaker BIt's probably the only time I don't take my phone to the bathroom.
Speaker BI'm not.
Speaker BI don't even realize that I'm awake at that time.
Speaker BApparently I do this thing where I, I talk.
Speaker BI don't remember these, the conversations I had.
Speaker AThat's not good.
Speaker BIt's very bad.
Speaker BWhat is that?
Speaker AWhat does that mean?
Speaker BWhat does that mean?
Speaker AI think it means you're psychologically stimulated before you go to bed and you just can't let it go.
Speaker ABut really, no, no, no, no, no.
Speaker AI'm.
Speaker BI mean, so if I wake up from like the kids coming into the room or something, right.
Speaker BI'm.
Speaker BI'm handling it the way I would normally handle it.
Speaker ABut you don't remember it.
Speaker ABut I don't Remember, it means you're a psychopath.
Speaker AThat's.
Speaker BThat makes sense.
Speaker AThat's textbook, right?
Speaker ALike, you had an episode where you don't remember.
Speaker BI.
Speaker BYeah, it's.
Speaker AYou're a crazy person.
Speaker AIt's crazy.
Speaker AThis makes a lot of sense.
Speaker ALike, I'm not surprised by anything you just said.
Speaker BApparently.
Speaker BApparently, my.
Speaker BApparently, my wife woke up the other night.
Speaker BThis was a couple weeks ago, actually, I forgot to tell you.
Speaker BShe woke up the other night because I was laughing in my sleep and.
Speaker AYou cussed at her.
Speaker BNo, no, no, no.
Speaker BThis gets way better.
Speaker BShe's.
Speaker BI'm laughing.
Speaker BShe thinks I'm, like, rolled over on my side, and I'm laughing because I'm looking at my phone or something.
Speaker BShe realizes I'm still asleep, and then she's like, saeed, what are you doing?
Speaker BAnd apparently I just started clapping.
Speaker AThat.
Speaker AThat sounds exactly like.
Speaker BSounds like I was dreaming of an episode.
Speaker AYou having a dream of talking shit?
Speaker BYeah, I was like, I need.
Speaker BAfter hearing that, I was like, we need to put cameras in the room.
Speaker BI want to watch myself one night.
Speaker ANo, you don't.
Speaker AIt's.
Speaker BYeah, I know.
Speaker AIt's creepy.
Speaker AMy wife will do this thing where she.
Speaker AShe lays on her back.
Speaker AShe sleeps on her back.
Speaker AShe weirdo sleeping there.
Speaker BI start off on my back every night.
Speaker AYeah, but you.
Speaker ABut you don't finish there.
Speaker BNo, I don't know.
Speaker AYeah, see, like, I'll start off my back.
Speaker ASometimes I'll fall asleep with that.
Speaker ABut generally I fall asleep on my side.
Speaker BYeah, there's mixed things on that.
Speaker BRight.
Speaker BIt's like, it's.
Speaker BYou're not supposed.
Speaker BIt's not good for you.
Speaker BRight.
Speaker BYou should be sleeping on your side.
Speaker AYeah.
Speaker AI think it's like you're.
Speaker AYou got a borderline psychological problem if you can sleep on your back all night long.
Speaker AThat's not normal.
Speaker ARight.
Speaker BThere have been times where I have gone to sleep on my back and I woken up and it feels like I did not move an inch.
Speaker AYeah, I get it every once in a while.
Speaker AFine.
Speaker BYeah.
Speaker AMy wife does that.
Speaker AAnd then she sleeps with her arms up above her head.
Speaker BOh, like this.
Speaker AYeah.
Speaker ABut I'm always worried about getting Bruce Lee elbowed in the face.
Speaker BYeah, that's.
Speaker BYou know, because you guys are also on the queen, too.
Speaker BSo you guys are really, like.
Speaker AI try to be close.
Speaker BYeah, of course.
Speaker AThat's why this show makes sense to me.
Speaker AI got to be close.
Speaker ABut yeah, man.
Speaker ALike it.
Speaker AI'll wake up in the middle of the night sometimes and she'll be like inches from my face.
Speaker AI've been elbowed in the face.
Speaker ADo you know what it's like to be woken up with an elbow in the face?
Speaker ANo, that's happened to me on multiple occasions.
Speaker BI've gotten, I've gotten a foot to my face from like one of my kids.
Speaker ANo, no, not the same thing as your wife.
Speaker ALike straight.
Speaker BYou gotta, yeah, you gotta question whether she was actually asleep.
Speaker AYeah, I'm like, this girl wasn't asleep.
Speaker AShe woke up and she's Let me.
Speaker BHold on, hold on.
Speaker BA little sidebar.
Speaker BContinue the side of our conversation.
Speaker AThat's why I talk about the show.
Speaker BNo, if you, if, if and when one day you do decide to get a bigger home.
Speaker BRight.
Speaker AI don't know, man.
Speaker AThose days.
Speaker BI know what's going on.
Speaker BI get it.
Speaker BBelicious.
Speaker BFor the sake of this conversation, let's say if you do.
Speaker BRight.
Speaker BDo you think you guys will.
Speaker BCan always stay in a queen?
Speaker ANo, I like myself a big king size bed.
Speaker AYeah, yeah, yeah.
Speaker BOkay.
Speaker AIt feels like she's way far away now.
Speaker BRight.
Speaker ALike when we go stay at hotels and we get like a king size bed or like California king size bed.
Speaker BOh, yeah, yeah.
Speaker ALike it just feels like a game changer.
Speaker AYeah.
Speaker ALike I'm like, come back.
Speaker AIt just, it just feels weird.
Speaker BYeah.
Speaker ABut I mean, like I like our small place.
Speaker ANot to say that we didn't just spend $200,000 on an office.
Speaker BThat's right.
Speaker BNew studio in the works.
Speaker AYeah, we're gonna do some things.
Speaker AWe're gonna try to do some things.
Speaker AAlthough I don't, I don't know how I should.
Speaker AI feel like bad about leaving this space or.
Speaker BI love this space.
Speaker BThis is, this is the first home.
Speaker AIt is.
Speaker AI do feel like you were pointing out the other ceiling is.
Speaker AMight be higher.
Speaker AI don't know.
Speaker BNo, lower.
Speaker AThe same.
Speaker ARight.
Speaker BWe'll see.
Speaker BDo some measurements.
Speaker AYeah, we'll probably figure that out.
Speaker BYeah.
Speaker BAll right.
Speaker ASpace is a space.
Speaker BYeah.
Speaker AYou're where home is at.
Speaker BYeah.
Speaker AAll right, so let's talk about the Federal Reserve.
Speaker AWe've talked about on the show a number of times over the last couple of months about how there seems to be a very changing narrative from the Fed.
Speaker AAnd I was very, very skeptical of the December rate cut being, you know, a sure thing.
Speaker AAnd it turns out the rhetoric was that there was some current concern by them that maybe they shouldn't do it.
Speaker AAnd certainly the big take home from the last Fed meeting was they were going to have possibly Two rate cuts next year.
Speaker AWell, that changing conservative mentality as it relates to inflation continues, as a matter of fact, today.
Speaker AFederal Reserve Governor Michelle Bowman said Thursday today that she could have backed a pause in interest rates last month because Chris said so on the Higher Standard podcast.
Speaker BThat's all she said.
Speaker AThat's not what she said.
Speaker ABut I would.
Speaker AI'm just trying to point out the fact that maybe I knew something.
Speaker BRight.
Speaker AExactly.
Speaker AYeah.
Speaker AI mean, maybe.
Speaker BYou know, look, at the end of the day, I feel like there was enough data out there for them to not cut rates by 25 basis points.
Speaker AYeah.
Speaker BBut that.
Speaker BWe feel as if that they knew that would have shaken the markets too much, and instead they're going to really start pushing that higher for longer narrative again.
Speaker AYeah.
Speaker BAnd they're going to say that, oh, we've finally reached our neutral rate.
Speaker BThis is perfect.
Speaker BThis is the perfect place where we need to be.
Speaker BAnd if we do cut rates, which will be two times, it'll be later in the year.
Speaker AWell, Bowman is actually at Mon.
Speaker AIn Monarch today in Laguna Beach.
Speaker AThat's where this is at.
Speaker AIt was at the, I think the American Bakers Conference.
Speaker AShe.
Speaker BShe didn't want to check in.
Speaker AWhat do you mean?
Speaker BYou know, that's what they do.
Speaker BThat's what they do in the hood.
Speaker BYou can't come to our part of the hood and not check in.
Speaker BYou got to pay me a toll, bro.
Speaker AOh, yeah, yeah.
Speaker BYou got to do that.
Speaker BI mean, come on.
Speaker AWell, you know, when you're spinning a narrative that matches my narrative, I'm going to give you some leeway.
Speaker AIf you came into my hood throwing a different gang sign, it'd be different.
Speaker BOkay.
Speaker ABut she came in the hood throwing up the pause sign, so we're good.
Speaker BOkay.
Speaker BWe're on the same page.
Speaker ASo she said a pause in interest rates last month could have been supported, but a cut as a quote, last step in the central bank's policy for recalibration.
Speaker AThat's.
Speaker AThat's the new vernacular policy recalibration.
Speaker AOkay.
Speaker ABecoming the latest Fed official to use cautionary language about the path forward for monetary policy.
Speaker ASo, you know, Saeed, inflation is transitory.
Speaker BIt comes and it goes, comes and it goes.
Speaker BYeah.
Speaker AWell, now we're having a bit of a policy recalibration.
Speaker AOkay.
Speaker ASaeed, I would like to have a policy recalibration as it relates to our.
Speaker BRelationship that doesn't feel.
Speaker AI would like to.
Speaker BIt doesn't feel good for me.
Speaker AYeah.
Speaker AI would like to talk about the intro to the Show.
Speaker ADo we need to tell people to listen to the higher standard when they're clicking on something that says the higher standard?
Speaker BNo, but we need to tell them to make sure they hit that, like, button.
Speaker BSubscribe, ring that notification bell, do all the moist, goody good stuff.
Speaker BI mean, hopefully you're enjoying the viewing pleasures on Spotify as well, and leave us a review.
Speaker AThat was cold blooded.
Speaker AThey used that as a segue.
Speaker AThat was cold blooded.
Speaker AThat's not right.
Speaker AOh, that's not right.
Speaker BThat's what I do.
Speaker AThat's a gangster move right there.
Speaker AAll right, so Bowman's concern is that progress on bringing down inflation looks to be stalling.
Speaker AYou don't say.
Speaker ASaying Thursday that she cannot rule out the risk that such a stalling could continue, effectively saying that the bond market's getting a little nutty out there.
Speaker BI mean, Christopher, mortgage rates are supposed to come down by now.
Speaker AOh, my God.
Speaker AI cannot tell you how much salt in the wounds I've been throwing on social media.
Speaker BHow many?
Speaker AY'all remember when you said it was gonna go down?
Speaker BHey, how many?
Speaker AYeah, how about them apples?
Speaker BOn average, how many I told you sos are you throwing out a day on average?
Speaker AI've had to stay off of social media the last couple days because it's getting bad.
Speaker BYeah.
Speaker AAs soon as I heard mortgage rates are hitting 8%, I was like, oh, hold my pen.
Speaker BIt's going there, unfortunately.
Speaker AAnd I'm, I'm like, look, man, like I told people it there, there was.
Speaker AWhen you get out of a yield curve inversion, these are trends that have happened every single time, right?
Speaker AEvery single time, Every single time someone's like, oh, this time it's different.
Speaker ANo, it's never different.
Speaker BNever different.
Speaker AOkay, stop.
Speaker AIf something has happened every single time you've had a yield curve inversion, why are we ignoring it as a possibility this time?
Speaker AAnd that's what everybody did.
Speaker AAnd I think it's as simple as most people don't have the financial literacy and they're going, okay, if the fed funds, the cost of banks to borrow goes down, then banks are going to reduce things and rates go down because their cost of funds goes down.
Speaker ANo.
Speaker BCan I ask you a question?
Speaker AYeah.
Speaker BIf, if you came into the studio the last 10 times, and every time out of the last 10 times, I chose to just smack you in the face right when you walked in.
Speaker AI like this.
Speaker BYou like this?
Speaker ASexy.
Speaker BWhat are you going to think is going to happen on the 11th time.
Speaker AWe go make out?
Speaker BThis time is going to be different.
Speaker AYeah, that's what realtors are doing right now.
Speaker BThis time's going to be different.
Speaker ARealtors are like, look, look.
Speaker B10 out of the last 10 times this has happened.
Speaker AThis, this.
Speaker ANo, it's different this time, Saeed.
Speaker BWhy?
Speaker BWhat makes it so different?
Speaker ABecause you couldn't possibly slap me again, right?
Speaker AThat would be ridiculous.
Speaker BYou wouldn't do it.
Speaker BFor the 11th time, this is the.
Speaker AYeah, obviously I know it's coming.
Speaker BThis is.
Speaker BAnd by the way, it's this methodology.
Speaker BI know I'm a sidebar here, but I'm doing this for all the fans out there that shoot me, shoot me and hit me up in the DM saying, thank you for bringing in sports topics into the show.
Speaker BThis is the same ideology that has ruined the NBA.
Speaker AWhat?
Speaker BYeah, it's just them thinking that we just keep shooting threes.
Speaker BLaw of averages are going to work out.
Speaker BAnd then the game has just been ruined by three point shooting.
Speaker BThe law of average is going to work out.
Speaker BLet's just keep shooting.
Speaker AI don't know.
Speaker AI can make a compelling argument that a dunk tonight by Mr.
Speaker AEdwards was ruining the game.
Speaker AI mean, it was.
Speaker AIt was probably one of the most embarrassing facials I've seen on NBA television.
Speaker BHe's has so many of those.
Speaker BHe's.
Speaker BYeah, he's, I think my son's favorite new player.
Speaker AAnd he's just so arrogant when he's done.
Speaker BSo that's what makes him so great.
Speaker BHe's so authentic.
Speaker BHe's so raw.
Speaker BHe's.
Speaker BThere's no media training.
Speaker BHe doesn't care.
Speaker BI'm just gonna be who I am.
Speaker ACan I, can I say something?
Speaker AWhen he dunks on somebody, the smirk on his face, it's bad, man.
Speaker BYeah.
Speaker BOh, he lets him know, too.
Speaker BLike, oh, yeah, he lets them know.
Speaker BThat's what I love about it.
Speaker AHere's the part that bothers me the most.
Speaker AAnd you're gonna take, you're gonna take objection to this.
Speaker AI know that I look at him as just a naturally gifted, one in a million phenomenal athlete.
Speaker AHe is not in incredible shape, though.
Speaker ALike, that man is not.
Speaker BLike, he's not taking care of his diet.
Speaker AHe's not taking care of his diet.
Speaker BNo.
Speaker ADude.
Speaker BGilbert arena said this on his podcast not too long ago.
Speaker ADid he?
Speaker AI did not.
Speaker BYeah.
Speaker BThey talk about this so, like, gibberish.
Speaker BThese kids are young.
Speaker AYeah.
Speaker BThink about the diet that they had coming into this.
Speaker BYou now are handing them millions of dollars, bro.
Speaker BThey're not hiring chefs right now.
Speaker BThey're still eating the way they've been eating.
Speaker AOh, yeah.
Speaker BYou know, just working.
Speaker ACan you imagine if that dude had that level of talent and put in the work that like Kobe did?
Speaker BOh, gosh, yeah.
Speaker AI mean, Kobe looked like he was in abnormally athletic shape.
Speaker BNo.
Speaker BYeah.
Speaker ASo Anthony Edwards is not.
Speaker AHe looks.
Speaker AHe looks like he's having some tacos.
Speaker BYou want to put a tinfoil hat on?
Speaker BDo you want.
Speaker AYou.
Speaker BI don't even think you know about these rumors.
Speaker AOh, Jordan's son.
Speaker AHe looks just like him.
Speaker BIt has to be.
Speaker AYou can't.
Speaker BThere's no way that it's not right.
Speaker AHe looks like a Michael Jordan clone with a little more muscle mass on him.
Speaker BI want it to be true so bad.
Speaker AIt's hard to not.
Speaker AHave you seen the side by side shots of those two, bro?
Speaker BThere's so many similarities.
Speaker AI don't even watch NBA and I'm like, that's Michael Jordan, son.
Speaker AHe looked just like him.
Speaker BRight?
Speaker AGot the swagger and everything.
Speaker AYeah, but you only can do that kind of stuff to people if you know that Jordan's your dad.
Speaker BYeah, man.
Speaker ARight?
Speaker ALike I.
Speaker AThe.
Speaker AThe.
Speaker AThere.
Speaker AThere's just no.
Speaker BBut, but he does.
Speaker BThat's.
Speaker BThat's the problem.
Speaker BHe doesn't know who his dad is.
Speaker BThat's.
Speaker AHe doesn't know whose dad is.
Speaker ANo, I didn't realize that.
Speaker BThat's.
Speaker BThat's the.
Speaker BWhy.
Speaker BWhy do you think the rumors stem from?
Speaker ABecause he looks just like Michael Jordan.
Speaker BAnd he also does not know who his dad is.
Speaker AWow.
Speaker AThat's not good.
Speaker BThat's not.
Speaker BI mean, might be good.
Speaker BI think he's doing all right.
Speaker AI remember that scene from Life.
Speaker AI'm the pappy.
Speaker BNo, it's.
Speaker BI'm that boy.
Speaker AEverybody coming out the woodwork trying to get some.
Speaker ASome of that money.
Speaker AGive you a dad, a check, boy.
Speaker AAll right.
Speaker AGiven the lack of continued progress on lowering inflation and the ongoing strength in the economic activity and in the labor market.
Speaker ALittle asterisk in the labor market list.
Speaker AOngoing strength of the labor market.
Speaker AThat's a.
Speaker AThat's a questionable statement at this particular juncture, but I'm gonna go ahead and let Ms.
Speaker ABowman off the hook here.
Speaker AI could have supported taking no action at the December meeting.
Speaker AShe said in a speech in Laguna Beach, California, today.
Speaker ANow that the Fed has cut rates by a full percentage point since last September, the level of those rates is closer to Bowman's estimated rate for neutral policy, a reference to level that is intended to neither boost nor.
Speaker ANor slow economic growth.
Speaker AQuoting again here.
Speaker AI supported the December policy action, because in my view, it represented the committee's final step in the policy recalibration phase.
Speaker AThere's that statement again.
Speaker ABowman said, noting that she now wants a cautious and gradual approach to adjusting policy.
Speaker BYou know, drawing policy in the back.
Speaker BLike, who died and made you king?
Speaker AAnecdotally, Remember that first Ray cut?
Speaker AThat was 50 basis points.
Speaker AYeah.
Speaker AWe were like, damn.
Speaker BYeah.
Speaker BThat if that didn't signal that we made a mistake.
Speaker AYeah.
Speaker BOops, sorry, y'all.
Speaker AYeah.
Speaker AI mean, damn.
Speaker BRight.
Speaker ARight.
Speaker AYou can't go from driving a Honda Accord and buy a Lambo.
Speaker BCan't do that.
Speaker AYou know, you got to step up, get a Mercedes slowly.
Speaker BRight, exactly.
Speaker AGet yourself a G wagon.
Speaker BYeah, yeah, exactly.
Speaker AWell, Bowman is officially on the record for being opposed to the first jumbo size rate cut in September, by the way.
Speaker AShe was like, what are y'all doing?
Speaker BI mean, I agree.
Speaker BWhat are y'all doing?
Speaker BI don't think they should have.
Speaker AI think a lot of the rhetoric.
Speaker AAnd she's not the only Fed FOMC member that has come out recently, challenging a lot of the future forecast.
Speaker AI truly believe that they are trying to say, hey, look, we sent some tough tides ahead.
Speaker BWell, I also.
Speaker BI also don't believe that they're only going to cut rates twice this year.
Speaker AYeah.
Speaker BI think that they're going to need to do some.
Speaker BSome bailing out.
Speaker BOh, and they're going to have to cut rates a lot more in order to just save the government.
Speaker ASave the government.
Speaker AWow.
Speaker BYou're not supposed to.
Speaker AYou're not even going to go for, like, save the banks or something?
Speaker ALike, you just save the government, save all of us.
Speaker BNo.
Speaker BYeah.
Speaker BThe banks are already in a much better position right now.
Speaker AOkay.
Speaker BSo we know that.
Speaker ASo you think the national debt's gonna be a problem?
Speaker AIs that what you.
Speaker BYeah, national debt is gonna be a problem.
Speaker BInterest payments are gonna be a problem.
Speaker BObviously, the.
Speaker BThe budget, they're not gonna be able.
Speaker BThey're not.
Speaker BI'm sorry.
Speaker BElon's not gonna be able to save this, bro.
Speaker AJust give the government alone the.
Speaker BThe fact that.
Speaker BThe fact that Elon signed up for this, I'm a little disappointed.
Speaker BThe fact that he is that arrogant, he thinks I'm a step in and I'm gonna save the day.
Speaker ADo you think he's that arrogant, bro?
Speaker BHow are you going to come in and claim that you're going to be the Department of Government Efficiency?
Speaker BRight, That's Doge.
Speaker BRight?
Speaker AYou disrespect Doge like that?
Speaker ABoy.
Speaker BAnd then you're going to come in and not change anything and make it more efficient.
Speaker BLike you're going to put your name on this.
Speaker BI would have.
Speaker AWhat do you mean?
Speaker ANot change anything and make it more efficient?
Speaker BYou think he's going to make it more efficient?
Speaker BBy efficiency, I'm.
Speaker BWhat?
Speaker BI mean, I think what he.
Speaker BBecause he's been talking about spending.
Speaker BHe's been talking about the budget.
Speaker AYeah.
Speaker BNo, man.
Speaker BThat money.
Speaker BIf he does save anything, they're gonna find a way to spend that money elsewhere.
Speaker BThey're not going to be saving money.
Speaker BThe deficit's only going to continue to rise.
Speaker BYou know this.
Speaker BYou think that it's not.
Speaker BYou think over the course of the next four years, while Elon's in charge of Doge with Ramaswamy, you think that the Bet.
Speaker BThe deficit isn't going to continue to rise at a cadence that.
Speaker BAt the cadence that it has been.
Speaker AOkay, well, we have compound interest working against that.
Speaker ASo, I mean, that.
Speaker AThat's a huge.
Speaker BThat's what I'm saying.
Speaker BHow are you.
Speaker BWhy would you sign up to do this?
Speaker BThis is terrible for you.
Speaker AI don't think he signed up just to fix the national debt.
Speaker AI think he signed up just to make the government more efficient in general, which, as a natural byproduct, should help ultimately, over time, the national debt.
Speaker BI don't think it's possible, bruh.
Speaker BI don't think there's.
Speaker BYou can't change it all in.
Speaker BIn two years, four years.
Speaker BCome on, man.
Speaker BThis is a much bigger problem.
Speaker BIt's a little arrogant on his part.
Speaker BIf you're going to call Kobe out and LeBron out for being so arrogant, how are you not going to call this out?
Speaker BCall a spade a spade.
Speaker ADamn.
Speaker AOut here firing, huh?
Speaker BLook, I wish him the best.
Speaker BI would love for him to.
Speaker BTo be successful.
Speaker BI just don't understand where the.
Speaker BHow are you so positive?
Speaker BHow do you.
Speaker BWhere's the faith coming from?
Speaker AMe?
Speaker BYeah.
Speaker AIt's not blind faith.
Speaker AIt's not.
Speaker AI know.
Speaker BJust because he's been successful with a few companies.
Speaker ANo, because I think that.
Speaker AOkay, let's be a little candid here.
Speaker AOkay.
Speaker AI think that there's a lot of parts of the government that could use a huge technological infrastructural boost.
Speaker BMm.
Speaker AI'll use a great example.
Speaker AIrs.
Speaker ARight.
Speaker AI believe the IRS just has really outdated tech.
Speaker BI agree.
Speaker AOkay.
Speaker AIf Elon can come in better and improve their tech stack in such a way that at least it's a little bit more Modern, up to date.
Speaker AYou could remove a lot of the human redundancy and save the government some money.
Speaker BSome.
Speaker ASome.
Speaker BThat's not a huge part of the budget, though.
Speaker AYeah, well, I mean, what do you want me to.
Speaker BCome on, man.
Speaker BI'm just being honest.
Speaker BLook, he.
Speaker BHe claimed that I'm gonna buy Twitter and I'm gonna clean up the bots.
Speaker BYou know, those bots are still there, if not 50 of the users.
Speaker BI mean.
Speaker BI mean, it's pretty.
Speaker AYeah, I got, like, what I got.
Speaker AI'm actually got 726 followers.
Speaker AYeah, I'm pretty sure 725 of my bots.
Speaker AYeah, it's all good.
Speaker BNo more faceless accounts, bro.
Speaker BAll right, can we just stay on track?
Speaker AStay on track, bro.
Speaker AI got a whole section dedicated to you at this I love you.
Speaker AI got a whole Saeed mental improvement mastermind.
Speaker ARub your guru's weenie like.
Speaker ALike section.
Speaker BOh, you're gonna drop some.
Speaker AYeah, we're gonna drop some knowledge on some people.
Speaker ADo it if we get there 43 minutes into the show.
Speaker AYou can't stop being Chatty Cathy for five minutes.
Speaker BCome on.
Speaker AI thought we were hating on Elon Musk.
Speaker AShame on you.
Speaker BI thought there's a rumor that he's.
Speaker AMichael Jordan's son, too.
Speaker AAll right, so I want to point out, for reference, before we go on to future comments, that the Fed's preferred inflation gauge remains above the 2% target.
Speaker AThey've said they've been trying to hit 2%.
Speaker AThe personal consumption expenditures PCE year over year change is at 2.4%.
Speaker ACore PC removing food and energy is at 2.8%.
Speaker AThe Fed's targeting 2%, so it's slightly above.
Speaker AIf you remove shelter from this equation, though, you are there from an inflation perspective.
Speaker ASo I say this because jobs, as Bowman said, sound stable, but are they really, though?
Speaker BI mean, they're definitely not.
Speaker BThere were more.
Speaker BI think there were more job cuts last year than in the last 15 years, excluding the pandemic.
Speaker AAll right, sugar plum, we're gonna move fast through this so we can get to that moist stuff at the end of the show that people.
Speaker AThe moist really seem to enjoy.
Speaker AThe tres leches part of the show.
Speaker BYou're not a tres leches guy, bro.
Speaker AIf you're not a tres leches guy, I don't want to talk.
Speaker BWe can't be friends.
Speaker AYeah.
Speaker AIf you don't like tres leches, questionable behavior on your part.
Speaker AWho doesn't like that?
Speaker BAll right, you got two options.
Speaker BTres leches am I distracting again.
Speaker AOr dos leches.
Speaker BNo, tres leches.
Speaker BOr creme brulee.
Speaker AOoh, yeah, See that?
Speaker AIt's got the crispy top on the creme brulee.
Speaker BI like it because it's.
Speaker BIt's hard on top and then it gets nice and creamy.
Speaker AI'm not doing this to you.
Speaker ANo, no.
Speaker AI have to put a different warning on the show every time.
Speaker BThe setup was perfect.
Speaker ANo, I'm not.
Speaker ANo.
Speaker AAll right, that's Saeed at higher standard podcast.com if you guys like to make complaints.
Speaker AAll right, so the Bureau of Labor Statistics will report December employee figures on Friday tomor tomorrow, January 10th, when the December consumer price index releases on January 15th.
Speaker ADid I screw that up?
Speaker ANo, that's right.
Speaker AThen.
Speaker AThen the December Consumer price index.
Speaker AYeah, January 15th.
Speaker APolicymakers will have both reports in front of them when they next meet on January 28th through 29th for the next FOMC meeting.
Speaker ASo tomorrow, December employment figures and then December Consumer Price index on the 15th and then FOMC meeting January 28th through 29th.
Speaker ABut, and I'm citing Bravo's research here, this is an ominous sign.
Speaker AThe unemployment rate has moved above its 36 month moving average.
Speaker ABut, Saeed, what does that mean?
Speaker BWhat does it mean, Christopher?
Speaker AWell, I'm glad you asked.
Speaker ASuch a development has happened 10 prior times since 1952.
Speaker ARemember when we talked at the beginning of the show and we said this aid comes in and slaps me 10 times?
Speaker BThat was the segue for this.
Speaker BYou didn't appreciate it.
Speaker ANo, I did.
Speaker AI was just.
Speaker AI was.
Speaker AI put it in the back pocket.
Speaker BOh, back pocket.
Speaker ASee, A true comedian will continue to circle back to the content that we're bringing.
Speaker BThe front full circle.
Speaker ARight?
Speaker AI don't expect you amateurs to understand this, but us professionals, we get it that I'm weaving a pattern.
Speaker BI see what you're doing there.
Speaker BOkay?
Speaker AI mean, let's be honest.
Speaker BYou're a professional.
Speaker AThose meta glasses you got on right now, they're feeding you content in your ear holes.
Speaker BYou don't know that.
Speaker AWhile we're doing this augmented reality.
Speaker AYeah, I know what you're wearing.
Speaker BI got my notes.
Speaker BMy notes are just feeding.
Speaker AThat's fine without glasses.
Speaker ACheating bastard.
Speaker AEvery single time this has happened.
Speaker ANot once, not twice, not some of the time.
Speaker AEvery single time, the unemployment rate has moved past its 36 month moving average.
Speaker AEvery single time, it has ended in a recession.
Speaker BBut this time it's different.
Speaker BNo, it's different this time, Chris.
Speaker ANo, it's not different.
Speaker AThis Time.
Speaker AIt's not different.
Speaker BI mean, there's an argument to be made that we've been in a recession the entire time.
Speaker BThat's the part that hurts the most.
Speaker AYeah.
Speaker AAnd it does hurt the most.
Speaker ABut you know what doesn't hurt?
Speaker AThis is the truth.
Speaker ATake it or leave it.
Speaker AThat's the truth.
Speaker AOkay.
Speaker AAnd just when you thought it was about ready to get a little less painful.
Speaker AThe December jobs report expected to show hiring slowdown.
Speaker ASteady unemployment rate according to this Yahoo Finance article.
Speaker ASo I thought.
Speaker AWait a minute.
Speaker AWait, wait, wait, wait.
Speaker ASo doesn't that sound like an oxymoron?
Speaker AThe December jobs report is expected to show hiring slowing down, but we have a steady unemployment rate.
Speaker BYeah.
Speaker ASo way less people are hiring, but it's steady unemployment, so nobody's getting fired.
Speaker AYeah, exactly.
Speaker AThe masks don't mask to me.
Speaker BYeah.
Speaker ASo I decided I would read this silly ass article.
Speaker BOkay.
Speaker ABecause that's what I do when I see silly ass titles.
Speaker AThe December jobs report is expected to show hiring slowed in the final month of 2024 while the unemployment rate was flat.
Speaker AShenanigans.
Speaker AThe Bureau of Labor Statistics monthly jobs report is slated for release at 8:30am Eastern Time on Friday.
Speaker ATomorrow, economists expect non farm payroll to have risen by 165,000 in December while the unemployment rate held steady at 4.2% according to the consensus estimates compiled by Bloomberg.
Speaker AI'm going to say that ain't the number.
Speaker AIn November, the US economy added just 227,000 jobs.
Speaker ASo obviously 227,000 jobs added to down to 165,000 jobs added.
Speaker ASeasonality, you can say whatever you want.
Speaker AAs a labor market rebounded from severe weather disruptions and worker strikes that impacted prior reports.
Speaker AI think we have some severe weather stuff going on right now, frankly.
Speaker BRight.
Speaker AYou got a huge cold front going through the Midwest.
Speaker AYou've got a fire in California.
Speaker ASo I think there's going to be some impacts here.
Speaker AMeanwhile, the unemployment rate increased to 4.2% from 4.1% during the month.
Speaker ASo during that month, with 227,000 jobs added and those weather pattern related issues, we expected, you know, 4.2, a slight 0.1% increase, but now with less jobs added, but yet no alleged weather issues, we're saying that we expected to say the same.
Speaker AWhat?
Speaker BDoesn't make sense?
Speaker AOkay, so I'm gonna read a quote because what good does it do to read an article without a good quote?
Speaker ARight.
Speaker AWe think that job growth in December will be much softer than November's 227,000.
Speaker APrint.
Speaker ABecause the latter included payback for October's hurricane disruptions, particularly in manufacturing.
Speaker ABank of America Securities.
Speaker AUS Economist Shri Mishra, Great name, wrote in a note to clients.
Speaker AInvestors should also keep an eye on revisions which have been large in recent months due to low response rates.
Speaker ASo I don't know about the employment numbers, but they don't sound as strong as Bowman thinks they are.
Speaker BThey don't sound as strong, and there should be a greater issue taken with this.
Speaker BI feel like a lot of the tools that the Federal Reserve uses to, you know, decide on where they like to take their policy, they're just different data points that they can use and pull to move forward whatever agenda that they.
Speaker BThat they want to use.
Speaker BRight.
Speaker BYou.
Speaker BYou shouldn't really use an unemployment figure to decide whether, you know, the labor force is, you know, soft or weak or strong because it doesn't tell the whole picture.
Speaker BI wrote down here a couple different things that should be taken into account.
Speaker BIt excludes discouraged workers, people that aren't looking.
Speaker BLooking for work.
Speaker BRight there.
Speaker BIt ignore.
Speaker BIgnores underemployment.
Speaker BIt does not reflect labor force participation.
Speaker AYeah.
Speaker AWhich is a questionable.
Speaker AJust.
Speaker BRight.
Speaker AIn general.
Speaker AYeah.
Speaker BAnd it overlooks job qualities.
Speaker BRight.
Speaker BWages might not be the same.
Speaker BThere could be.
Speaker BJust because more people are employed does not mean they're getting paid enough to maintain the lifestyle that they need.
Speaker BRight.
Speaker ASo myself included.
Speaker AYou know what I mean?
Speaker BI'm just saying.
Speaker AI gotta buy studios, bro.
Speaker BCome on, Dog.
Speaker BSon wants the new Jays.
Speaker AYou know, they're not cheap anymore.
Speaker BThey never were, bro.
Speaker AIt's like a whole hustle now.
Speaker AYou can't just buy them at retail.
Speaker AIf you want the good ones, you got to buy them off, like, a secondary site, and there's a wholesale in the middle.
Speaker AIt's like, what happened?
Speaker BYeah, man.
Speaker AWhy do we all.
Speaker AIt's this whole thing.
Speaker AAll right.
Speaker AI'm gonna get quickly through the next article so we can get to the meat.
Speaker AWe can get through that tantalizing, beefy.
Speaker BPortion of the show, the Hawaiian rib eye, if you will.
Speaker AYeah.
Speaker AWhich we really.
Speaker AWe really gotta.
Speaker AYeah, yeah.
Speaker AWe're overdue.
Speaker AWe gotta go back.
Speaker BAll right.
Speaker AConsumer revolving credit in the US Just fell off a cliff.
Speaker AOkay.
Speaker ALast six months, the drop is even larger than the drop seen in 2008, second largest behind 20.
Speaker A20 drops like the one we just saw have rarely ever been seen outside of a credit event.
Speaker AThis comes as consumers have taken $400 billion of credit card debt in under four years.
Speaker AA hundred billion dollar A year average.
Speaker ASo this got me thinking, okay, Money can be stressful.
Speaker ALack of money can be really stressful.
Speaker BOh, yeah.
Speaker BI mean, I think it's the root cause of a lot of problems for a lot of people.
Speaker AAnd the episode that we're working on is Money Stress in America, Breaking down financial anxiety.
Speaker BOkay.
Speaker ASo I thought we would structure the show the way that we have, because, number one, there's some really tumultuous things going on in California that are exasperated by insurance and the stress and the emotions around possibly losing your home, losing your possessions, and your life changing dramatically.
Speaker AThen you've got unemployment numbers which are volatile and changing.
Speaker AWe're seeing this stagnant Fed target number.
Speaker AWe don't have a clear idea of the Fed policy.
Speaker AIt's been changing a lot.
Speaker AAnd then you have all of this debt.
Speaker AWhile you're getting these red flags about a recession, you should feel some type of way, you should feel nervous, especially.
Speaker BBecause the people that are really steering this ship after us, going through what we've gone through over the greater course of the last two years, it doesn't really feel like they got a good grasp of things.
Speaker AYeah.
Speaker ASo I'm going to do a lot of reading from an article that I found from Men's Health, of all things, about the stressless guide to managing money.
Speaker AOoh.
Speaker AAnd I did not expect this article to be as good as it was.
Speaker AAll right, so I'm going to do a little bit of reading, and I apologize for the reading, but bear with me.
Speaker BShout out Men's Health.
Speaker AYeah, this has actually got some really valuable pieces of information in it.
Speaker A47% of American adults say they are stressed out about money and their mental health is suffering because of it.
Speaker AAccording to a May report from Bankrate.
Speaker ATurn to social media for a quote break from all of that and you're inundated with posts about money dysmorphia, loud budgeting and financial fasting.
Speaker ANot to mention, if you go to Saeed's feed and you see Lambos and Ferraris and Alex Hermosi and Cody Sanchez and everybody and their mother telling about all the ways you should be getting rich just like them by charging you to teach you how to get rich.
Speaker ASo they get rich by telling you that they're buying companies or do investments or private equity, but they're really just investing in your privates.
Speaker AIt's weird.
Speaker AThe whole thing's weird, right?
Speaker AOn the surface, finance seems like it's all nuts and bolts, says Spencer Sherman, founder and financial advisor at Abacus wealth partners and author of the Cure for Money Madness.
Speaker ABut classic money management strategies, like sticking to the 50, 30, 20 budgeting rule.
Speaker AAnd for a reminder, 50% of your money goes to necessities, 30% goes to the things you want, and 20% goes into savings.
Speaker AA topic site is covered multiple times in the show.
Speaker AAnd not buying overpriced sneakers.
Speaker AI don't know why you would not buy overpriced sneakers, but you have to have a.
Speaker BYou have to have one pair in rotation.
Speaker AYeah.
Speaker ATend to snip away at that stress rather than pulling out the root.
Speaker ASo money intersects with our sense of survival.
Speaker ARight?
Speaker AIt's in our basic human, like, instinct to survive.
Speaker AAnd fearing for money is like fearing not having the ability to defend yourself in the wild.
Speaker ARight.
Speaker AOr survive in the wild.
Speaker AIt's one of those things that you've got to constantly be alert about, because if you don't have it, you die.
Speaker ARight.
Speaker AAnd I'm being a little bit dramatic, but that's the way people feel.
Speaker BI mean, you could continue on with your life and still feel dead inside.
Speaker ASo because money intersects with our sense of survival, it's also what makes it so scary.
Speaker ASherman says it's like a grizzly bear coming at us.
Speaker AExcept bear.
Speaker AExcept bear spray doesn't work on money, stress.
Speaker AYou need strategies.
Speaker ABy the way, if a giant fucking bear was coming at me, I'm not.
Speaker BHitting the bear spray, bro.
Speaker AI'm hitting the shotgun.
Speaker AOkay?
Speaker BYou.
Speaker BOh, come on.
Speaker AYou don't.
Speaker BYou don't even carry a shotgun.
Speaker AIf I'm gonna be someplace that bears are, you're not carrying a shotgun.
Speaker BThat's a lie.
Speaker BYou're not going to Big Bear with a shotgun.
Speaker BOkay, Just because I'm calling B.S.
Speaker ABear doesn't mean there's bears there.
Speaker BYou know there are.
Speaker AOkay.
Speaker ADo you know bears can smell, like, thousands of times more than, like, a.
Speaker AA dog, Right?
Speaker AWhich is basset hound or something, which.
Speaker BCan smell 100 times better than a human.
Speaker AYeah.
Speaker BYeah.
Speaker BWild.
Speaker AIt's.
Speaker AIt's an insanity number.
Speaker ALike, bears can smell food.
Speaker BI can't.
Speaker BI actually can't even stomach the videos online where people post that they got closer encounters with bears.
Speaker BI'm like, that thing would have ripped you to shreds.
Speaker AYeah, bro, I ain't.
Speaker BWhat are you doing?
Speaker ANope.
Speaker BThey tell you you're supposed to, like, stand up and scream.
Speaker BLet me tell you what I'm not gonna do.
Speaker AYeah.
Speaker AMy wife's like, you're not a camper, honey.
Speaker AYeah.
Speaker ABecause, bro, you're reckless.
Speaker AHere and there's no bears.
Speaker AYou know what I mean?
Speaker BRight?
Speaker APut you in a place there's bears and you'd be reckless like this.
Speaker BI don't understand.
Speaker BLike, where's the, what's the draw to put yourself in that kind of environment?
Speaker AI don't know.
Speaker BI don't get it.
Speaker AI don't know.
Speaker ABut the guys are sitting like, you know, in trees with bows.
Speaker BThat's different.
Speaker BOkay?
Speaker BThose people feel like they're prepared.
Speaker AI feel like they're prepared.
Speaker AYeah.
Speaker ANo, no, no.
Speaker AAll right, let's keep going.
Speaker AAll right, I'm gonna give you three pieces of advice for your psychological health, for your mental well being.
Speaker BAll right, what's advice?
Speaker BNumber one, mask, bro.
Speaker ATry to be a little more authentic.
Speaker BAll right, what is it, bro?
Speaker BHit me with it.
Speaker AThat's gross.
Speaker AAll right, number one, lose the money judgment.
Speaker ALet me explain.
Speaker AView your bank account as numbers that help you take action, not as indictments.
Speaker AOkay?
Speaker AFor example, if you have less than you should, you can freak out and criticize yourself for being irresponsible or whatever self blaming narrative you choose.
Speaker AI hate myself is kind of mine.
Speaker AYou can fault your optimism for thinking that college was worth the price and feel sure there's no way to get ahead or take a vacation to manage the stress.
Speaker AOkay.
Speaker AOr you can look at those numbers as indicators of where you are.
Speaker AThat can help you decide what to do next.
Speaker AAccepting the reality and not feeling bad about it is a whole hell of a lot more valuable to you than just feeling terrible about it.
Speaker BAbsolutely.
Speaker BI, I, I look at it like playing, playing golf, right?
Speaker BSet at the ball for a tee shot.
Speaker BNo different than you set up your budget.
Speaker BThis is how I want to spend my money.
Speaker BYou take a swing, you know, you spend your money a certain kind of way.
Speaker BIt lands a certain, it lands somewhere that's not where you intended it to go.
Speaker BIf you continue to harp on the mistake that you just made, guess what's going to happen?
Speaker BYour next swing is going to be just as bad, if not worse, versus letting that go and planning for the next shot.
Speaker BGod damn.
Speaker BI do this, bro.
Speaker AWe're in the golf analogy phase.
Speaker AIt's not ice in your veins.
Speaker AThat's, that's, that's not what that means.
Speaker AI check with kids, they say that means something very different.
Speaker BOkay, when it's off to the side, I didn't go middle.
Speaker BIt's off to the side.
Speaker AYou can't do that on the show.
Speaker AI've got to blur it out now.
Speaker APeople can be like, why did he blow out his hands?
Speaker BWhy is he throwing up gang signs?
Speaker AYeah, it's not.
Speaker AIt's not what you think it means.
Speaker AAll right, all right.
Speaker ASo should you try to make more money and spend less?
Speaker AWell, when you pay attention to the numbers without judgment, you often have a wiser response to them.
Speaker ADon't pretend you're not bothered by what you see.
Speaker AWe don't want to push away the pain.
Speaker AWe want to try and see if we can be with it and cultivate some resilience.
Speaker ASherman says, as therapists like to say, sit with feelings, try to accept your situation.
Speaker AYou might realize it's not where I wish I were right now, but it is where I am.
Speaker ASo I will make some changes.
Speaker AThis will help you take and make doable steps in a healthier direction.
Speaker BI love that.
Speaker BI really, genuinely love that advice.
Speaker ASimple concept.
Speaker AOwn your position.
Speaker BYes.
Speaker AAccept it.
Speaker AAnd if you don't like it, don't get down on yourself.
Speaker AUse that as the motivation for change.
Speaker BAbsolutely.
Speaker ASimple advice.
Speaker ASounds simple.
Speaker AYou'd be stunned how many people carry around the stress because they feel irresponsible regarding their financial position.
Speaker ANumber two, list what you're telling yourself.
Speaker ANow, this one sounded strange at first, but bear with me.
Speaker AIt actually makes a lot of sense.
Speaker AOkay, what's your money script?
Speaker AContemplate your beliefs about money.
Speaker AMoney causes fights, or having a lot of money shows that I'm a valuable person.
Speaker AOr the mature thing is to do is to stay at home and save instead of go out with friends.
Speaker AMoney beliefs are often formed early, so think back to your earliest money memories probably came from your parents.
Speaker ADid your parents fight about money in front of you?
Speaker AYou know, a lot of our parents did.
Speaker ADid they buy you stuff all the time?
Speaker ARight.
Speaker BI mean, there was that.
Speaker BWe talked about it on a couple episodes ago where there's that study out of Purdue University that said a majority of our money habits are established around the age of seven.
Speaker AYeah.
Speaker ATo your point, were your parents stingy or did you rarely go out to eat with them?
Speaker ABecause these things affect how you think and feel about money.
Speaker ANow, it doesn't mean that you agree with it and you do the same thing they did.
Speaker AYou could be doing the total opposite because they did what they did.
Speaker ATrue.
Speaker ASo if you reflect on how you came to regard money the way you do, you'll start to recognize where your stressors actually come from.
Speaker AAre your stressors about money more about your childhood upbringing than they are about the lack thereof?
Speaker ARight.
Speaker AAnd I have a lot of these with my dad.
Speaker AGrowing up, my dad was very cavalier with money, but very flashy with it.
Speaker AWhen.
Speaker AAnd now in my age, I'm not very cavalier with money and I'm not very flashy with it.
Speaker AAnd I know that comes from a place of fear.
Speaker AIt drives me.
Speaker AAnd I've talked on the show like, I don't ever want to be poor again.
Speaker AI've been there.
Speaker AI don't want to go back.
Speaker BRight.
Speaker ASo to me, it's.
Speaker AIt's a significant thing.
Speaker BYeah.
Speaker ASo the third and last piece of advice, and there are some classic money scripts I want to get into.
Speaker ASo don't.
Speaker ADon't cut the show off early.
Speaker AThere's some good, moist, goody good stuff, as I would say towards the end here.
Speaker ANumber three, ask if those beliefs that you've just written down are still serving you well.
Speaker ASo number one, don't feel bad about your position.
Speaker BYes.
Speaker AOkay.
Speaker AAccept it.
Speaker AUse it as motivation.
Speaker ANumber two, figure out why you feel that way and why your beliefs are what they are.
Speaker ALook at your history.
Speaker ALook at your where you are today and why you feel that way.
Speaker AWrite those things down.
Speaker AAnd number three, ask you if those beliefs are helping you get to where you want to go.
Speaker AI know it sounds kind of like hippie ish and shit.
Speaker BYeah.
Speaker BCliche.
Speaker BBut honestly, you can't get to where you want to go unless you know where you came from.
Speaker AThis is your roadmap.
Speaker AOkay.
Speaker AOnce you realize there is an old belief that no longer aligns with you, you are now empowered to think differently when you want, when it shows up, says Jack Howard, head of money wellness at Ally, who devised the bank's online workshops.
Speaker AFor instance, ask yourself whether overspending to look like you're keeping up is really still important to you.
Speaker ASome people that might be brothers, it's probably not.
Speaker ASo is there a script that better serves you now?
Speaker ALike, for example, my worth isn't defined by how much I make.
Speaker ASuccess is about living in alignment with my values.
Speaker ARight.
Speaker ASo in workshops, Howard has participants write out their old beliefs and then write out new ones next to them.
Speaker ARight.
Speaker ASo you can do that easily.
Speaker APut a little T square there.
Speaker AI like people to think that I'm successful, right.
Speaker ASo I spend money to have people think I'm successful.
Speaker AOn the right side, you could say I want to feel comfortable and secure, and money makes me feel successful.
Speaker BSo this entire practice is something that I feel like the younger generation and even some of the older generation.
Speaker BRight.
Speaker BWould probably better serve them than a vision board.
Speaker AOh, a thousand percent.
Speaker AVision boards are Asinine.
Speaker BYeah.
Speaker BThis.
Speaker BThis is literally like tackling on your problems head on.
Speaker AYeah, take.
Speaker ATake your problems head on.
Speaker BSome ownership.
Speaker AOwn them.
Speaker AYeah.
Speaker AYou know your trauma.
Speaker AYou gotta look in the mirror.
Speaker ARight.
Speaker AA vision board is like a fantasy.
Speaker BIt's the lotto ticket.
Speaker AYeah.
Speaker AYou don't need that.
Speaker AYeah.
Speaker AThat ain't gonna do you no good.
Speaker AI'm gonna manifest it, Chris.
Speaker AYeah, yeah.
Speaker AHuh?
Speaker BSure.
Speaker BI'm sure.
Speaker BI'm sure you are.
Speaker AName one person who's like, you know, Chris, I got a million dollars today because I put it on a vision board.
Speaker BYeah.
Speaker AThat's how I got this.
Speaker AI manifested this money.
Speaker ANo, you didn't.
Speaker BI know.
Speaker BNo, I heard somebody the other day.
Speaker BIt was one of the parents that my kids are friends with.
Speaker BThey're like, oh, we did.
Speaker BWe stayed home for New Year's and we did vision boards.
Speaker AI'm like, yeah.
Speaker BI mean, that's the thing.
Speaker BMaybe not cute, maybe for toxic, maybe for the kids to spark conversations.
Speaker ANo, no.
Speaker BIf it's a way to get a conversation going, maybe you've done this before.
Speaker ABy the way, vision board thing.
Speaker AYeah.
Speaker BYeah.
Speaker BWell, look, it was.
Speaker BIt was a tool.
Speaker ALet me get there.
Speaker ADon't people do this?
Speaker ABut then I did this.
Speaker BYou're a liar.
Speaker BNo, but it was a good way to spark a conversation.
Speaker BOh, you say you want this.
Speaker AWhat.
Speaker BWhat are.
Speaker BWhat steps are we going to take to make sure we get there?
Speaker AYeah.
Speaker AAll right, let's wrap this up.
Speaker AI want to be mindful of time.
Speaker ASo, for instance, another example of, you know, kind of this, choosing which beliefs are serving you.
Speaker AWell, still old script.
Speaker AMoney creates happiness.
Speaker AHoward recalls someone who overspent on gifts for their kids as a result of growing up with little money.
Speaker ASo they're now trying to make up for that with their kids.
Speaker AThat's where their source of trauma comes from.
Speaker AThe parent realized that time with the kids, not the gifts, led to happy memories.
Speaker AThe new script experiences created happiness.
Speaker BYeah, for.
Speaker BFor our listeners out there that don't have kids yet, or maybe if your kids are, you know, really young.
Speaker BI noticed at a very early age that we would buy my kids gifts and they'd have fun with the box.
Speaker BSometimes more than they would have a.
Speaker ACouple hours and then done.
Speaker BThey were.
Speaker BThey were having more fun with the Amazon box.
Speaker AYeah, man.
Speaker BYou know what I mean?
Speaker BCome on.
Speaker AIt's a thing.
Speaker AIt's dopamine.
Speaker ASo I'm going to read classic money scripts.
Speaker AIf this doesn't make sense to you, they will.
Speaker ABut I think they're very valuable if you don't know which one of these applies to you by just hearing what they are and describing it.
Speaker AWe're also going to have a link to this quiz in the show notes so you can figure out which one of these best suits you.
Speaker ASo you get an idea for how money impacts you.
Speaker BI love this.
Speaker ARight?
Speaker AAll right, so there are four basic money scripts according to assistant, developed by Brad Clonce.
Speaker AHe's a psychiatrist and an associate professor at Creighton University's Hayter College of Business.
Speaker AIf you're having a hard time identifying yours from the descriptions that I'm giving you here, you can use a quiz located@your mentalwealthadvisors.com or you can find the link in the show notes.
Speaker ANumber one, Money avoidant.
Speaker AYou avoid dealing with your finances, possibly because you have negative views about money.
Speaker AIt causes problems.
Speaker AYou don't deserve it.
Speaker AIt's taboo.
Speaker AWhatever reason it is, you tend to avoid it.
Speaker AYour money avoidant.
Speaker AYou need to know these things about yourself.
Speaker ANumber two, Money vigilant.
Speaker ARight.
Speaker AYou believe it is important to work for your money and save it.
Speaker AMoney might help you feel safe, but spending it can come with unnecessary anxiety.
Speaker AYou may also feel the need to hide what you're buying or feel embarrassed about it.
Speaker ARight.
Speaker AAnd I'm not saying any one of these are good or bad, but knowing how you fit into the mold teaches you a little bit about yourself.
Speaker ANumber three, Money status seeking.
Speaker AShout out to my homies in Lambos.
Speaker AYou tend to link your self worth to your wealth.
Speaker AYou like to show others what you got and can overspend as a result.
Speaker BYeah, shout out to all the people on Instagram telling me that you can help us build our page or build our pocket.
Speaker AYeah, dude.
Speaker AEvery day.
Speaker BAll the bros.
Speaker BEvery day.
Speaker AAnd last but not least, money worshiping.
Speaker APraise the Lord Jesus.
Speaker AYou generally think that wealth is the answer.
Speaker AAllah.
Speaker AEverything is better if you have money.
Speaker AWow.
Speaker AYeah, everybody on social media.
Speaker BBut it's kind of hard point not to argue.
Speaker AYeah, but that that can lead to never being satisfied with what you have.
Speaker AYou may also buy things in an attempt to find happiness.
Speaker AYes, understanding whether you're money avoidant, money vigilant, money status seeking or money worshiping helps you figure out when you look in the mirror where your insecurities may be derived from.
Speaker BYeah, it's a tough day and age to adopt this and really take ownership and believe.
Speaker BAnd believe in it because of everything that you know, we're consuming on social media all the time.
Speaker AIt's True.
Speaker AAnd that's okay too, is it?
Speaker AYeah, look, it's, it's a, it's a journey.
Speaker AIt's not a destination.
Speaker AAnd I think the most important thing is that you start.
Speaker BThe one that scares me the most for people, that is the money avoidant one, right?
Speaker BWhere you're avoiding dealing with your finances.
Speaker BBecause if you're avoiding it and not taking ownership and understanding your position, then you're not even in the game.
Speaker BForget playing the game.
Speaker BYou're not in the game and you're, I mean, you're delaying the inevitable and you're only making things harder later.
Speaker BWe talk about on the show all the time, the number one thing that we tell people to do is, you know, understand your finances so that you can set up your future.
Speaker BWe talk about compound interest, we talk about dollar cost averaging, right?
Speaker BAnd just doing something that you can.
Speaker BRight?
Speaker BJust because you create a plan and you're afraid that it's not the perfect plan does.
Speaker BDoes not mean you can't adjust the plan later.
Speaker BRight.
Speaker BAs you continue to learn and grow and you go on this journey, there will be adjustments that, that are made.
Speaker BMaybe you.
Speaker BThe plan is for you to eventually own a bunch of real estate because you think that's safe or, you know, that's the type of income that you want to be able to make.
Speaker BAnd then you realize, like, no, this is not for me, right?
Speaker BMaybe you get unfortunately screwed over by a couple of property managers and it's just not.
Speaker BNot your thing, right?
Speaker BYou head over to the investment side, you open a brokerage account and you start learning about investments.
Speaker BThe whole, the whole point about this whole process is you never stop learning.
Speaker ANever stop.
Speaker AI've learned an incredible amount in the last couple of years myself about things from just a financial perspective.
Speaker AI didn't know that.
Speaker AI thought I knew well.
Speaker AAnd I can tell you that if you never stop, those who really enjoy the process of learning what they don't know in the financial realm tend to do better with money over the long run because they know what they don't know at a certain juncture.
Speaker AAnd if you don't know about the bond market, you probably shouldn't be investing in bonds.
Speaker ARight?
Speaker AIf you don't know about the stock market, you probably shouldn't be investing in the stock market.
Speaker AOr if you invest in them, you seek advice and counsel from somebody who's got subject matter expertise.
Speaker AYou don't.
Speaker AThe problem that I see most notably is that people will either say, I don't know anything, so I'm just not going to do it.
Speaker AOr they believe they know more about a topic than they should.
Speaker ASo food for thought.
Speaker AI hope that it's a good psychological exercise for everybody.
Speaker AIf you do it and something to think about, you don't necessarily need to sit down and write it down and do it.
Speaker ABut just having the internal dialogue with yourself and thinking about who you are in that spectrum, I think has value.
Speaker BYeah, there's definitely room for improvement for everybody.
Speaker AThe idea is money and finances are stressful.
Speaker AYou need to do what you can to make that stress as low as possible for you.
Speaker BAnd the more you know about your current position will reduce that stress.
Speaker AYeah.
Speaker BYeah.
Speaker AAll right, man.
Speaker AWell, that's a show.
Speaker BThat's a great show.
Speaker BThank you for that.
Speaker BThat was good.
Speaker ASpeaking straight to you, brother.
Speaker BYeah, I know, brother.
Speaker BYeah.
Speaker BWith these LeBron's unions.
Speaker BMention anything about my LeBron's?
Speaker AYeah, they're questionable.
Speaker BOr these specifically for you.
Speaker AThat pearl?
Speaker BIt's pearl.
Speaker AIs that the colorway you're wearing pearl?
Speaker BI'm wearing pearls, baby.
Speaker BI found a way to rock some pearls.
Speaker AI'm gonna leave no comment on this one.
Speaker BAll right.
Speaker BGot anything else?
Speaker ANope.
Speaker BAll right, good night, everybody.
Speaker AOkay, bye.
Speaker AThe remix.