1 00:00:00,009 --> 00:00:03,651 Trump just gave you a way to make a fortune, and 99% of investors 2 00:00:03,691 --> 00:00:07,033 will completely miss it. Most people hear Trump 3 00:00:07,454 --> 00:00:10,836 and Venezuela, and they think politics, they think chaos, and 4 00:00:10,856 --> 00:00:14,198 they think it's got nothing to do with them. But if you knew what to look for, 5 00:00:14,658 --> 00:00:18,101 you'd see something completely different. you'd see oil, you 6 00:00:18,121 --> 00:00:21,245 would see power, you would see sanctions lifting, and 7 00:00:21,285 --> 00:00:24,790 you'd see one company, just one, that's positioned better than 8 00:00:24,970 --> 00:00:28,354 anyone else on the planet to make billions from this 9 00:00:28,554 --> 00:00:32,579 shift. I'm talking about the largest proven oil reserves in 10 00:00:32,619 --> 00:00:36,142 the world. a company that's already on the ground and a political realignment that 11 00:00:36,302 --> 00:00:39,524 just changes absolutely everything. So in this video, 12 00:00:39,544 --> 00:00:42,846 I'm going to show you exactly why this company is about to print 13 00:00:42,866 --> 00:00:45,969 money and how you can position yourself to profit before the 14 00:00:46,029 --> 00:00:49,331 rest of the market wakes up. It isn't speculation, this is 15 00:00:49,451 --> 00:00:53,053 structure, this is positioning and this is incentives. I'm 16 00:00:53,093 --> 00:00:56,736 Lloyd James Ross, seven figure investor and entrepreneur and I've helped thousands 17 00:00:56,776 --> 00:01:00,159 of business owners and professionals turn financial stress into 18 00:01:00,199 --> 00:01:03,741 success. If you're stuck in old money habits, overwhelmed by investing 19 00:01:03,901 --> 00:01:07,484 or unsure where to start, this is for you. I'll give you the mindset 20 00:01:07,704 --> 00:01:11,127 and strategies to take control, grow your wealth and achieve 21 00:01:11,187 --> 00:01:14,309 financial freedom. It's time to make your money work for you. 22 00:01:14,750 --> 00:01:18,132 Why Venezuela suddenly matters again. So 23 00:01:18,172 --> 00:01:21,314 Venezuela isn't just another struggling country. It sits on 24 00:01:21,375 --> 00:01:24,757 the world's largest proven oil reserves of heavy crude 25 00:01:24,917 --> 00:01:28,079 on the planet. Here's the problem. Years of 26 00:01:28,159 --> 00:01:32,022 sanctions by the states have crushed the oil production there. The 27 00:01:32,062 --> 00:01:35,765 infrastructure has been dilapidated, it's collapsed, capital has fled, and 28 00:01:35,865 --> 00:01:39,067 oil output fell from three to four million barrels a day to a fraction of that. 29 00:01:39,688 --> 00:01:43,311 But here's the reality. The oil is still there. The 30 00:01:43,411 --> 00:01:47,275 US still wants energy security, particularly against China. And 31 00:01:47,315 --> 00:01:50,498 global supply remains tight, and demand's going up and 32 00:01:50,558 --> 00:01:53,681 up and up and up. A political shift changes everything when it 33 00:01:53,701 --> 00:01:57,724 comes to oil. So why has the Trump administration changed 34 00:01:57,744 --> 00:02:00,927 the game here? Well, Trump's always been energy first. You 35 00:02:00,947 --> 00:02:04,971 know, drill, baby, drill. And certainly America first. So 36 00:02:05,031 --> 00:02:09,320 here's why that matters. Trump's prioritizing cheap, 37 00:02:09,760 --> 00:02:13,021 reliable oil supply. And he's far 38 00:02:13,061 --> 00:02:16,421 more willing to cut deals and enforce a long-term isolation of that than anyone else. 39 00:02:16,781 --> 00:02:19,882 He wants to weaken it geopolitically against China and 40 00:02:19,942 --> 00:02:23,303 Russia by controlling energy flows, particularly in Venezuela. So 41 00:02:23,323 --> 00:02:26,624 if Venezuela reopens under a Trump framework, which it looks like it will be, 42 00:02:27,084 --> 00:02:30,425 it won't be charity. It will be absolutely transactional. And 43 00:02:30,445 --> 00:02:33,547 that means the US companies get in first. And he just recently had 44 00:02:33,567 --> 00:02:36,929 a meeting with those US companies, and he had them all 45 00:02:36,989 --> 00:02:40,430 in the Oval Office. He brought them in, and they're all there. Mobil, Exxon 46 00:02:40,470 --> 00:02:43,852 Mobil, Chevron, ConocoPhillips, all the major oil companies, 47 00:02:43,872 --> 00:02:47,154 particularly in the United States. And so he's 48 00:02:47,694 --> 00:02:51,316 wanting, and he said this many times in the past, he's 49 00:02:51,456 --> 00:02:55,476 wanting oil to be cheap. And 50 00:02:55,556 --> 00:02:58,797 so that's better for the everyday American, who 51 00:02:58,837 --> 00:03:02,158 he stands for, right? But most importantly, he also knows 52 00:03:02,218 --> 00:03:06,120 that if he didn't do what he did with Venezuela, China 53 00:03:06,160 --> 00:03:09,721 was about, in fact, China was already there on the ground. They'd 54 00:03:09,741 --> 00:03:14,303 already sent diplomats to negotiate oil deals with Venezuela as 55 00:03:14,403 --> 00:03:18,504 they bombed, sorry, as they kidnapped the 56 00:03:19,144 --> 00:03:22,646 dictator of Venezuela. So he 57 00:03:22,686 --> 00:03:25,867 made a mark. And the reason why he wanted to do that is because he knew if he didn't do it, 58 00:03:25,927 --> 00:03:29,528 China was about to take the oil. If you think about this, what has happened 59 00:03:29,568 --> 00:03:33,670 in the world is there's a massive race to AGI, basically 60 00:03:33,970 --> 00:03:37,932 artificial general intelligence. And everybody knows that 61 00:03:38,112 --> 00:03:41,653 the country who achieves AGI first wins. What's 62 00:03:41,673 --> 00:03:44,854 this got to do with oil, right? And the reason why it's got 63 00:03:44,874 --> 00:03:48,516 to do with oil is because you can't build data centers. You can't build, 64 00:03:48,696 --> 00:03:51,795 well, you can't really build anything and develop anything without oil. A 65 00:03:51,835 --> 00:03:55,016 lot of people don't realize that feedstock, which is all the things required to create 66 00:03:55,056 --> 00:03:58,697 plastics and build anything 67 00:03:58,717 --> 00:04:01,918 in the world, is all about oil. If we look at who produces the most oil, 68 00:04:01,958 --> 00:04:05,678 it's the United States. So they're very oil-thirsty. However, China 69 00:04:05,758 --> 00:04:09,279 is certainly oil-thirsty as well. So China's 70 00:04:09,319 --> 00:04:12,460 intention was to take or do a deal with 71 00:04:12,500 --> 00:04:15,681 Venezuela to take all the heavy crude and send 72 00:04:15,701 --> 00:04:18,822 it out to China. So China was buying the heavy crude from Venezuela. And of 73 00:04:18,862 --> 00:04:22,109 course, they're buying it from Russia. So both the United States and China 74 00:04:22,129 --> 00:04:25,953 have got this thirst, endless thirst for oil. And 75 00:04:25,993 --> 00:04:29,917 so Trump and the administration is like, well, if Venezuela is in our backyard, it's 76 00:04:29,977 --> 00:04:33,200 right below us. This is our backyard. And China's coming to 77 00:04:33,240 --> 00:04:37,344 take the oil from our own backyard. Are you kidding me? That ain't going to happen. So 78 00:04:37,404 --> 00:04:40,908 what they did was they took matters in their own hands. They went and they kidnapped 79 00:04:40,948 --> 00:04:44,351 the dictator of Venezuela. in 80 00:04:44,391 --> 00:04:47,693 an incredible move by the special forces. And they 81 00:04:47,733 --> 00:04:50,875 then now have taken over effectively Venezuela. And 82 00:04:50,895 --> 00:04:54,157 Venezuela was sending oil money to Cuba. So now Cuba's in trouble and 83 00:04:54,197 --> 00:04:57,378 it's destabilized that region in terms of the deals that were 84 00:04:57,418 --> 00:05:00,540 happening. And it certainly put a wrench in the 85 00:05:00,620 --> 00:05:04,342 spoke of China's wheel on its bike. So now 86 00:05:04,582 --> 00:05:08,524 the US does control Venezuela, 87 00:05:08,544 --> 00:05:11,606 which has got arguably, in fact, it has, I think it's to the 88 00:05:11,626 --> 00:05:17,262 tune of about three I want to say 300 billion 89 00:05:18,523 --> 00:05:22,386 barrels of oil there. But it's heavy crude. And 90 00:05:22,406 --> 00:05:26,269 what I mean by that is heavy crude is not easy to refine. And 91 00:05:26,309 --> 00:05:29,671 heavy crude is more used in jet fuel, rocket fuel, and 92 00:05:29,952 --> 00:05:34,395 feedstock. But it's super important. And so what's 93 00:05:34,435 --> 00:05:38,886 interesting about that is that now that Venezuela has been taken over, Trump's 94 00:05:38,926 --> 00:05:42,287 like, well, now how do we get the oil out of the ground? Because as I said, the infrastructure is 95 00:05:42,307 --> 00:05:46,189 dilapidated. There's not a lot of security on the ground there. Even 96 00:05:46,249 --> 00:05:49,490 ExxonMobil, the CEO of Exxon in the office of Trump the other day, said, 97 00:05:49,510 --> 00:05:52,771 hey, it's actually uninvestable. And Trump's like, well, ExxonMobil is 98 00:05:52,811 --> 00:05:55,993 not getting in there. So they went on board. But it tells you 99 00:05:56,033 --> 00:05:59,114 that there's oil in the ground, but it's like, how do we get it 100 00:05:59,214 --> 00:06:02,518 out? And so I think what's going to happen is 101 00:06:02,818 --> 00:06:05,923 the companies that can successfully do that are going to 102 00:06:05,963 --> 00:06:09,288 be best positioned right now. So out of all the oil companies, let's have a look at the oil companies 103 00:06:09,309 --> 00:06:12,894 for a second. This is important for you to understand. There was a company once founded 104 00:06:12,914 --> 00:06:16,859 by John D. Rockefeller, the richest man in the world. And he developed 105 00:06:16,879 --> 00:06:20,160 and founded and scaled a company called Standard Oil. And Standard Oil, 106 00:06:20,401 --> 00:06:24,002 at one point in time, cornered the market and really owned 107 00:06:24,042 --> 00:06:27,584 85% of the refining market. Can you believe that? 85% of 108 00:06:27,604 --> 00:06:30,726 the oil refining market was owned by John Deere Rockefeller. That's why he became the richest man in the world. 109 00:06:31,366 --> 00:06:34,950 And once upon, well, about in the thirties or forties, they went through an antitrust. 110 00:06:34,970 --> 00:06:38,613 It might've been in the early thirties. They went through an antitrust court case where 111 00:06:38,633 --> 00:06:41,676 they broke up John D. Rockefeller's company, Standard Oil, and they broke it 112 00:06:41,716 --> 00:06:44,900 up into different companies. And the companies that have 113 00:06:44,920 --> 00:06:49,564 ventuated from that are ExxonMobil, Chevron, 114 00:06:52,207 --> 00:06:57,174 I believe some versions of Shell, but basically it's all progeny 115 00:06:57,794 --> 00:07:01,118 of Standard Oil. And so the largest oil companies in the States 116 00:07:01,178 --> 00:07:04,302 are real progeny of Standard Oil. And Chevron is one of those. In 117 00:07:04,362 --> 00:07:07,505 fact, Chevron is arguably one of the biggest. It's not quite as 118 00:07:07,545 --> 00:07:10,649 big as ExxonMobil, which is the biggest, but Chevron would have to 119 00:07:10,689 --> 00:07:13,792 be the second biggest and one of the most well-known brands when it comes to 120 00:07:13,872 --> 00:07:17,416 oil. It's a very fully integrated oil company. And 121 00:07:17,876 --> 00:07:21,318 it explores oil, drills for oil, it refines oil, 122 00:07:21,378 --> 00:07:24,599 and it also distributes oil through its products and its service stations as well. 123 00:07:24,659 --> 00:07:28,481 So it's what's called a fully integrated oil 124 00:07:28,541 --> 00:07:32,463 producer and refiner. And it is a powerful company. 125 00:07:32,943 --> 00:07:36,664 And here's why Chevron specifically is positioned perfectly 126 00:07:37,105 --> 00:07:40,846 to actually take advantage of this Venezuela situation, right? Chevron 127 00:07:40,966 --> 00:07:44,348 isn't just hoping to enter Venezuela, right? They're actually already there. 128 00:07:45,188 --> 00:07:49,032 They're on the ground. In fact, Chevron has been in Venezuela for 100 years. 129 00:07:49,393 --> 00:07:52,556 So even with the sanctions, Chevron decided to do some 130 00:07:52,596 --> 00:07:56,220 deals there and stay on the ground, right? So Chevron's got lasting, 131 00:07:56,260 --> 00:07:59,504 long-standing joint ventures in Venezuela already. It already understands the 132 00:07:59,544 --> 00:08:02,707 fields. It already understands the geology. It already understands and has the logistics in 133 00:08:02,727 --> 00:08:05,830 place. It's got existing relationships and obviously, as I said, it's 134 00:08:05,850 --> 00:08:09,232 got a huge operating history there. So it can scale faster than any 135 00:08:09,313 --> 00:08:13,215 new entrant straight away, right? So as the sanctions start to loosen, and 136 00:08:13,256 --> 00:08:18,457 we all know speed wins, Chevron doesn't need to start from zero. So 137 00:08:18,717 --> 00:08:22,020 as I said, what makes Chevron effective in that space is it's got 138 00:08:22,060 --> 00:08:25,643 first mover advantage, but also it's an integrated fortress. So 139 00:08:25,663 --> 00:08:29,026 it's got this massive advantage of not just being, not just pulling 140 00:08:29,046 --> 00:08:32,209 the oil out of the ground there, which they're great at, right? It's going to be 141 00:08:32,229 --> 00:08:35,392 the matter of they can take it, they can refine it, et cetera. So 142 00:08:35,432 --> 00:08:39,256 here's what happens to Chevron. It produces oil. upstream 143 00:08:39,396 --> 00:08:42,980 so up there's two parts of oil the oil industry 144 00:08:43,701 --> 00:08:46,985 in oil companies there's upstream which does the exploration and 145 00:08:47,005 --> 00:08:50,769 drilling extracts it from the ground and then there's downstream 146 00:08:51,912 --> 00:08:55,974 which is actually the refining. So they take the crude, the core 147 00:08:56,014 --> 00:08:59,877 product, and they refine it into multiple different things, incidentally. Just 148 00:08:59,897 --> 00:09:03,098 to give you an explanation of what it can do, oil can be refined into what's 149 00:09:03,118 --> 00:09:06,340 called heavy. If it's heavy crude, which is what's in Venezuela, they can 150 00:09:06,560 --> 00:09:11,781 develop heavy crude for feedstock, for jet fuel, and 151 00:09:11,881 --> 00:09:15,163 for aeroplane fuel and for plastics, et cetera, it's 152 00:09:15,183 --> 00:09:18,865 really good. And bitumen, so asphalt and bitumen, which is a very important 153 00:09:18,885 --> 00:09:22,367 part of the construction industry. So all of our roads, asphalt, 154 00:09:22,407 --> 00:09:26,669 bitumen, so it comes from heavy crude oil. It's the hardest to refine, but 155 00:09:26,709 --> 00:09:29,951 what it does as well, it takes the oil and it refines it into, it can refine 156 00:09:29,971 --> 00:09:34,034 it into light crude as well, depending on the, beginnings 157 00:09:34,074 --> 00:09:38,200 of what the product looks like and from there it can also develop it into kerosene 158 00:09:38,280 --> 00:09:41,905 it can develop it into petrol as we know it like gasoline it 159 00:09:41,945 --> 00:09:45,710 can also develop it into gas, 160 00:09:45,971 --> 00:09:49,435 natural gas. So there's all these layers of the refining process that 161 00:09:49,475 --> 00:09:52,679 it can develop and then you can sell all these products, right? So 162 00:09:52,699 --> 00:09:56,023 the thing with Chevron is it produces upstream, so it drills and explores. Explores 163 00:09:56,063 --> 00:09:59,507 and drills, I should say. Gets it out, refines it, which is the downstream. It 164 00:09:59,567 --> 00:10:02,911 owns that too. And it also transports to markets and distributes it 165 00:10:02,931 --> 00:10:06,435 across the globe. So it makes money. It's 166 00:10:06,555 --> 00:10:10,038 fully vertically integrated as a oil company, which is 167 00:10:10,098 --> 00:10:13,581 what makes it an absolute fortress in the world, right? 168 00:10:14,142 --> 00:10:17,405 Inarguably the most important product in the world. And if you don't think oil 169 00:10:17,445 --> 00:10:20,728 matters, I have some news for you. If oil didn't 170 00:10:20,788 --> 00:10:24,191 exist, we would all pretty much perish and die. Why? Because 171 00:10:25,012 --> 00:10:28,655 not only are all the product like this desk, everything you 172 00:10:28,735 --> 00:10:33,214 see on my desk has got oil in it. Everything, everything, 173 00:10:34,054 --> 00:10:37,476 this oil, people don't realize this. And 174 00:10:37,496 --> 00:10:41,018 they're like, oh, oil's bad, really? And the other thing too is it powers 175 00:10:41,318 --> 00:10:44,600 all of the machinery for large-scale farming that creates 176 00:10:44,660 --> 00:10:49,042 all of our food. So if you don't have oil, bye-bye food. Billions 177 00:10:49,082 --> 00:10:52,624 of people starve. Just quickly, if you're ready to take control of your finances but 178 00:10:52,664 --> 00:10:55,905 feel stuck on where to start, I have a solution. My 179 00:10:55,945 --> 00:10:59,126 book, Money Bias Happiness, simplifies investing and 180 00:10:59,186 --> 00:11:02,748 wealth building with practical steps to help you achieve financial peace. 181 00:11:03,288 --> 00:11:06,609 Get your copy via the link in the show notes and let's get your money working for 182 00:11:06,649 --> 00:11:09,730 you. Now back to the episode. You have to understand that Chevron's got 183 00:11:09,750 --> 00:11:14,891 a very long history. In fact, Chevron's been around since the 1800s effectively. very 184 00:11:14,931 --> 00:11:18,593 long-standing company, very safe, very effective company, 185 00:11:18,613 --> 00:11:21,755 which is why Warren Buffett, he's got 7% of 186 00:11:21,775 --> 00:11:25,237 his portfolio allocated to Chevron stock and also in oxy. So about 187 00:11:25,777 --> 00:11:29,960 11% to 12% of Warren Buffett's Berkshire portfolio, which is worth 188 00:11:30,020 --> 00:11:34,382 a bank, the portfolio is about $280 billion. So $30 to 189 00:11:34,463 --> 00:11:37,764 $40 billion is allocated to oil. So that's a little bit of a 190 00:11:38,045 --> 00:11:41,687 little tip. That's why he sees Chevron as the 191 00:11:41,747 --> 00:11:45,853 leader at the moment in the oil industry. So why 192 00:11:45,893 --> 00:11:49,230 this matters for the likes of Venezuela, right? So 193 00:11:49,270 --> 00:11:52,913 going back to the type of oil that's there, it is crude oil. 194 00:11:52,973 --> 00:11:56,856 It's heavy and complex crude. So it requires very specialized refining. 195 00:11:57,256 --> 00:12:00,779 So smaller players can't handle it efficiently, right? And so Chevron can, 196 00:12:00,799 --> 00:12:04,222 because Chevron has got the ability to pull out heavy crude and refine 197 00:12:04,242 --> 00:12:07,565 it. And so what that means for Chevron is if it already knows how to do it, it's 198 00:12:07,585 --> 00:12:10,927 already there, they're already on the ground, more or less what's going to happen is they're going to have better 199 00:12:10,947 --> 00:12:14,370 margins because there's less cost to extract it straight away. There's lower friction, 200 00:12:14,390 --> 00:12:17,672 there's faster monetization. So they're way better positioned than 201 00:12:17,772 --> 00:12:21,014 any other oil company to go and extract it and put and sell it and make money. 202 00:12:21,654 --> 00:12:24,936 And the other thing too is that they're very, the 203 00:12:25,036 --> 00:12:28,278 lower cost you can pull oil out of the ground and refine it and sell 204 00:12:28,318 --> 00:12:31,680 it, because there's costs all along the way in that integrated business model. 205 00:12:31,980 --> 00:12:35,382 But if you can have the lowest cost to extract it, you 206 00:12:35,522 --> 00:12:38,944 literally just, you're untouchable, right? So 207 00:12:39,004 --> 00:12:42,854 low cost producers in a commodity driven business, win 208 00:12:42,894 --> 00:12:46,156 every single cycle, right? And oil is a commodity, right? 209 00:12:46,316 --> 00:12:49,378 Oil, it is, it's a commodity. A barrel's a barrel. Like a barrel of 210 00:12:49,438 --> 00:12:52,680 oil now is about 60 US dollars. And so it 211 00:12:52,700 --> 00:12:56,002 will fluctuate. It can go up to a hundred, which it was. It can go, I mean, back 212 00:12:56,042 --> 00:12:59,464 in 2020 after COVID, it actually went to negative. In fact, they were paying 213 00:12:59,504 --> 00:13:02,805 you money to store oil as well. They've given it away. That's the 214 00:13:02,865 --> 00:13:06,287 first time I think in recorded history that's happened like that. But with 215 00:13:06,327 --> 00:13:09,909 commodity driven businesses, the lowest cost producer always wins. So Chevron's 216 00:13:09,989 --> 00:13:13,552 strength, is extremely low breakeven 217 00:13:13,592 --> 00:13:17,054 costs. Massive cash flow, even at the lowest oil prices. 218 00:13:17,294 --> 00:13:20,756 So as all the juniors are starting to go bankrupt, which 219 00:13:20,776 --> 00:13:25,338 they pretty well do, they pretty much go broke at like $50 to 220 00:13:25,899 --> 00:13:29,101 $40 a barrel, which is kind of where it's oscillating at the minute. So a lot of them are struggling. They're not 221 00:13:29,141 --> 00:13:32,743 even drilling right now. So a lot of the demand for oil is growing. It 222 00:13:32,843 --> 00:13:36,006 is. The world needs more oil, especially with the AI boom. It's like this 223 00:13:36,267 --> 00:13:39,651 thirst for oil like never seen before. But because the price 224 00:13:39,671 --> 00:13:43,175 of oil at a barrel is low, no one's drilling, which means the supply 225 00:13:43,215 --> 00:13:46,459 of oil is dwindling. And if you understand what that means, if 226 00:13:46,659 --> 00:13:50,403 supply is low and demand is high, we're going to see a massive oil 227 00:13:50,443 --> 00:13:53,865 boom. Warren Buffett says that when oil goes back 228 00:13:53,925 --> 00:13:57,107 and booms, it goes to the next cycle, which he knows it will. That's why he's positioned there. He said it's 229 00:13:57,127 --> 00:14:00,409 not going to go back to $100. He anticipates it's going to 230 00:14:00,469 --> 00:14:03,851 go beyond $200 a barrel. There you go. 231 00:14:04,331 --> 00:14:07,593 The ability for Chevron to operate, not only in Venezuela, but 232 00:14:07,633 --> 00:14:11,415 in general, at a cost that's way below everyone 233 00:14:11,435 --> 00:14:14,676 else of its competitors, it's going to survive. And it may even start buying up 234 00:14:15,136 --> 00:14:18,618 the juniors that go broke. That's what's effective about that company. So 235 00:14:18,658 --> 00:14:22,659 what happens? What does this mean when Venezuelan supply increases, right? Well, 236 00:14:22,699 --> 00:14:26,080 firstly, Chevron survives this price pressure that's happening. And 237 00:14:26,120 --> 00:14:29,542 that will happen if there's more supply come online, right? High cost 238 00:14:29,562 --> 00:14:34,534 competitors don't survive, it wins market share, it consolidates. And 239 00:14:34,594 --> 00:14:37,855 that's what makes it an incredible company. But here's the 240 00:14:37,895 --> 00:14:41,256 hidden cash flow that nobody really understands and 241 00:14:41,296 --> 00:14:44,537 talks about. Chevron already generates massive amounts of 242 00:14:44,557 --> 00:14:47,999 free cash flow. In fact, they just did an investor day where Mike Worth, 243 00:14:48,019 --> 00:14:51,640 who's the CEO of Chevron, incredible leader, they literally, and 244 00:14:51,660 --> 00:14:55,901 you can find this on YouTube as well. It's like sending someone to another channel. If 245 00:14:55,941 --> 00:14:59,464 you watch it, they talk about in the next five years, it's going to create substantial amounts 246 00:14:59,504 --> 00:15:02,626 of free cash flow, give it back in dividends and share buybacks all to 247 00:15:02,646 --> 00:15:06,348 the shareholders, because they don't have to use all this money to 248 00:15:07,789 --> 00:15:11,191 drill new wells and explore. That's already 249 00:15:11,211 --> 00:15:15,294 been done. All the cash flow has been spent. Now they just get to print money. And 250 00:15:15,354 --> 00:15:18,717 if the price of oil doubles from here, they're going to print so much free 251 00:15:18,757 --> 00:15:21,960 cash flow. It's going to be crazy. So as Venezuela then 252 00:15:22,020 --> 00:15:25,123 reopens, it adds incremental production with that massive new R&D 253 00:15:25,143 --> 00:15:28,226 spend for them, because they're already there. The existing infrastructure is pretty much on 254 00:15:28,246 --> 00:15:31,910 the ground. It's going to reactivate it. And the cash flow growth, as 255 00:15:31,950 --> 00:15:35,153 I said, will happen without balance sheet stress of having to spend any more money. 256 00:15:35,413 --> 00:15:38,856 That's the holy grail. That's more cash without more 257 00:15:38,897 --> 00:15:42,485 risk. and why this again benefits shareholders directly, 258 00:15:42,545 --> 00:15:46,246 guess what? Chevron is so good at distributing 259 00:15:46,286 --> 00:15:49,727 wealth to its shareholders. It doesn't waste cash. It's very capitally 260 00:15:49,867 --> 00:15:53,649 disciplined. Is that a word, capitally disciplined? The capital priorities 261 00:15:53,849 --> 00:15:57,790 are, and they've outlined this in the last presentation 262 00:15:57,810 --> 00:16:01,352 to show, only like probably a month and a half ago. They'll grow the dividend. It's 263 00:16:01,412 --> 00:16:04,913 already high. It's already almost 5%. In fact, the dividend is probably 4.5% right 264 00:16:04,933 --> 00:16:08,713 now as I record this. That's 265 00:16:08,793 --> 00:16:12,176 very high, four and a half, it's what you can get at the bank, right? And 266 00:16:12,196 --> 00:16:15,259 they're going to grow it. And they've grown that dividend for something like, I 267 00:16:15,279 --> 00:16:18,642 think it's off the top of my head, it's like 35 years they've had dividend growth, 268 00:16:18,702 --> 00:16:21,905 consecutive yearly dividend growth. Wild, right? That's 269 00:16:21,925 --> 00:16:26,028 something like a CAGR of like five or 6%, so more than the rate of inflation. So 270 00:16:26,068 --> 00:16:29,690 it's going to get progressively better and better and better. They maintain a fortress 271 00:16:29,730 --> 00:16:33,051 balance sheet, so they manage their debt really well. Of course, when they got free cash flow, 272 00:16:33,071 --> 00:16:36,393 they'll buy back shares. So it eliminates the shares that are already there and makes your shares even 273 00:16:36,433 --> 00:16:40,094 more valuable. And it acquires very high quality assets 274 00:16:40,214 --> 00:16:43,437 at a very low cost. So, I mean, it's set to just 275 00:16:43,517 --> 00:16:47,341 dominate, which is why Warren Buffett's got such a big position in the company, right? So, 276 00:16:47,421 --> 00:16:50,985 more cash from Venezuela, which will happen for them. Higher dividend safety, 277 00:16:51,305 --> 00:16:55,009 faster dividend growth, more buybacks and stronger long-term compounding 278 00:16:55,069 --> 00:16:58,372 from the underlying shares, right? And this 279 00:16:58,452 --> 00:17:01,876 is how oil wealth can turn into shareholder wealth 280 00:17:02,156 --> 00:17:05,518 for you, right, as an example. And I think a lot of people mistakenly think 281 00:17:05,538 --> 00:17:08,860 that if you're going to get into the oil business, you have to own the actual 282 00:17:08,920 --> 00:17:12,083 commodity itself. That's not how I've seen the 283 00:17:12,143 --> 00:17:15,365 major investors do it. That's not how I do it. If you ever want to be 284 00:17:15,425 --> 00:17:18,908 in the commodity game, it's about owning the company that mines, refines 285 00:17:18,988 --> 00:17:22,410 and sells. that particular commodity. That's how Warren Buffett plays the commodity, 286 00:17:22,430 --> 00:17:25,673 I shouldn't say plays the commodity market, but positions to make money 287 00:17:25,693 --> 00:17:29,196 from the commodity market. And that's what I'm talking about right now in this episode, 288 00:17:29,256 --> 00:17:32,378 right? So why is Chevron still at a reasonable price? Why is it 289 00:17:32,398 --> 00:17:35,781 still paying a 5% dividend? Why isn't it just exploiting, right? And what happens 290 00:17:35,801 --> 00:17:39,364 is the market lumps all the oil companies together. They're 291 00:17:39,384 --> 00:17:42,646 like, oh, it's just, they're all the same. And they're not, right? They also 292 00:17:42,926 --> 00:17:46,369 obsess over ESG headlines. That's for like environmental safety 293 00:17:46,409 --> 00:17:49,814 guidelines. Like it's the environmental impact. They're like, oh 294 00:17:50,115 --> 00:17:53,386 my god. One time, Exxon Valdez spilled oil. And it's not 295 00:17:53,406 --> 00:17:57,205 great. It sucks. I 296 00:17:57,245 --> 00:18:00,926 think you can go overboard with ESG, right? That's what happens. And so they underestimate 297 00:18:01,466 --> 00:18:06,027 how slow the energy transition actually moves. They 298 00:18:06,067 --> 00:18:09,308 miss how, they certainly miss how durable oil demand still 299 00:18:09,368 --> 00:18:13,049 is. In fact, it's going up from the AI boom, as I said, how critical heavy 300 00:18:13,089 --> 00:18:16,310 crude remains with all the bitumen, all the asphalt required and all the other 301 00:18:16,330 --> 00:18:19,851 things in feedstock it's needed for. So it's like heavy crude 302 00:18:20,031 --> 00:18:23,193 is the last oil that will ever not be needed. And I 303 00:18:23,213 --> 00:18:26,400 would anticipate that we'll need it for another 100 years at least. I just 304 00:18:26,441 --> 00:18:29,709 don't see it. It's not easily disrupted by 305 00:18:29,769 --> 00:18:33,364 renewables. This is not. how advantaged Chevron's 306 00:18:33,424 --> 00:18:36,607 position actually and truly is, because a lot of people don't even realize that they're the 307 00:18:36,647 --> 00:18:40,289 only oil major that's on the ground in Venezuela. And how policy shifts 308 00:18:40,830 --> 00:18:43,972 can be absolute asymmetric winners when you're investing. Okay, so this is 309 00:18:44,012 --> 00:18:47,695 all the due diligence that you have to understand when you're investing. This is why most people should 310 00:18:47,715 --> 00:18:50,877 just buy an index fund and call it a day, because this is what's required. It's 311 00:18:50,917 --> 00:18:54,159 so interesting to position yourself in a place where there's not much 312 00:18:54,239 --> 00:18:58,102 competition, right? So Chevron's not just another oil company, it's best in 313 00:18:58,542 --> 00:19:01,766 class. Yes. The risk everyone needs to acknowledge, though, 314 00:19:01,806 --> 00:19:05,210 is this. It's not risk-free, right? Some 315 00:19:05,231 --> 00:19:08,735 of the risks include this. The sanctions reversing, 316 00:19:08,755 --> 00:19:12,219 okay? Political instability inside Venezuela, like, 317 00:19:12,480 --> 00:19:15,564 you know, is it going to be secure for them to be on the ground? And again, the CEO of 318 00:19:15,604 --> 00:19:18,847 Exxon said potentially it's not. Execution delays, right? It's 319 00:19:18,867 --> 00:19:22,429 probably going to take four to five years to 320 00:19:22,529 --> 00:19:25,772 rebuild the infrastructure to a point where they can even extract the oil. So it's going to take time as 321 00:19:25,792 --> 00:19:29,294 well, yeah? Faster than expected global energy transition. I 322 00:19:29,394 --> 00:19:32,556 don't think that matters in this particular scenario. People are thinking about that like, 323 00:19:32,656 --> 00:19:36,318 oh, will oil be needed? I don't even think there's a risk, to be honest, especially 324 00:19:36,359 --> 00:19:40,001 with the heavy crew. I just don't think that's going to be replaced, right? So 325 00:19:40,041 --> 00:19:43,403 here's the key distinction. Chevron has the 326 00:19:43,463 --> 00:19:46,843 balance sheet. the scale and the diversification to 327 00:19:46,883 --> 00:19:50,406 absorb these risks better than almost anyone. All 328 00:19:50,446 --> 00:19:54,050 right, so here's the big picture takeaway from this episode. As 329 00:19:54,190 --> 00:19:57,313 Trump reopens Venezuela, that's his intention. Very obvious that's going 330 00:19:57,333 --> 00:20:01,136 to happen. Oil flow, particularly heavy crude, will increase. The 331 00:20:01,196 --> 00:20:06,245 US interests are prioritized. China's pushed away to the side. In 332 00:20:06,285 --> 00:20:09,506 fact, the U.S. has said China can still take Venezuelan oil, but they'll be 333 00:20:09,567 --> 00:20:12,889 buying it off us. What a deal. This is 334 00:20:12,929 --> 00:20:16,090 quite funny, too, because people don't realize. They're like, what? The U.S. dollar is not 335 00:20:16,151 --> 00:20:19,392 backed by anything. I'm like, really? 336 00:20:19,693 --> 00:20:22,855 Well, it just secured the largest oil reserves in the world in 337 00:20:22,995 --> 00:20:26,332 one day. So the US dollar is backed 338 00:20:26,372 --> 00:20:29,674 by the world's most powerful military that just takes what they want. So 339 00:20:29,694 --> 00:20:33,337 don't give me that it's not backed by anything, it's backed by that. How 340 00:20:33,377 --> 00:20:36,659 else can you create wealth so quickly, right? Imagine what happens 341 00:20:36,699 --> 00:20:39,803 if they take Greenland. They underestimate the 342 00:20:39,863 --> 00:20:43,384 U.S. dollar is backed by the U.S. military, right? 343 00:20:44,025 --> 00:20:47,166 Low-cost integrated majors win, and the one 344 00:20:47,186 --> 00:20:50,868 that's on the ground right now is Chevron. It sits at the intersection 345 00:20:51,288 --> 00:20:54,950 of the politics, so it's favored by Trump. It's 346 00:20:55,711 --> 00:20:59,093 energy security that the US needs. It's very much needed. The infrastructure is 347 00:20:59,113 --> 00:21:02,395 already there. The cash flow is going to increase already, even without Venezuela. And 348 00:21:02,435 --> 00:21:05,838 they're really good at giving it back to shareholders. So that's 349 00:21:05,878 --> 00:21:09,861 why Chevron stands to make more money than almost any other company from 350 00:21:09,881 --> 00:21:13,183 the Venezuelan reset. All right, so here's my final thought 351 00:21:13,203 --> 00:21:16,445 on this. The biggest fortunes, just so you know, aren't made by 352 00:21:16,505 --> 00:21:20,388 predicting headlines. They aren't. They're made by understanding 353 00:21:20,988 --> 00:21:25,376 a few things. What are the incentives? What's 354 00:21:25,416 --> 00:21:28,999 the structure? Who has the power? And where's the positioning? 355 00:21:30,640 --> 00:21:34,223 And if you look at all those things right now, Chevron's positioned exactly where 356 00:21:34,243 --> 00:21:37,785 the money flows as Venezuela reopens. And 357 00:21:37,826 --> 00:21:41,248 it even makes money even if it doesn't, right? So there's limited 358 00:21:41,268 --> 00:21:44,531 downside, massive upside. So if you want more deep dives like this, 359 00:21:44,751 --> 00:21:47,853 hit the subscribe button. Because most people you know, 360 00:21:47,873 --> 00:21:51,054 they're not gonna see opportunities like this unless they watch something like our 361 00:21:51,094 --> 00:21:54,535 channel So if you've enjoyed it hit the sub button share this with someone else and 362 00:21:54,575 --> 00:21:57,716 of course leave a comment in the comments below I'd love to know what do you 363 00:21:57,736 --> 00:22:01,538 think about Venezuela? Are you positioned to dominate the oil market? And 364 00:22:01,578 --> 00:22:05,839 most importantly I'm excited for it, too. I just shared on my stories yesterday in our on 365 00:22:05,879 --> 00:22:09,081 Instagram, our positions in oil. And so if you're interested in that, 366 00:22:09,101 --> 00:22:12,623 go follow me on Instagram as well. And I'd love to continue the conversation. Are 367 00:22:12,643 --> 00:22:15,805 you positioned in oil? What do you think is gonna happen? Leave us a comment. I'll come and 368 00:22:15,825 --> 00:22:19,067 talk to you then, and I'll see you in the next episode. Thanks for listening to Money Grows on Trees. 369 00:22:19,167 --> 00:22:22,869 If you enjoyed the episode, leave a five-star review on Apple Podcasts and 370 00:22:22,909 --> 00:22:26,111 Spotify and subscribe to us on YouTube so you never 371 00:22:26,171 --> 00:22:29,273 miss an episode. And if you're serious about building wealth, make sure to 372 00:22:29,313 --> 00:22:32,635 check out the links in the show notes and follow me on all social media 373 00:22:32,675 --> 00:22:36,391 platforms, Lloyd James Ross for more. See