Hey there. Welcome back to the Fantasy Football Game Plan. It's week nine and we are ready to jump into the player props for this week. Tell you who we think is going to smash it, who's going to go on the under. And this week we've got a little bit of a Halloween theme to, our player props as well.

Yeah. We are gonna take off the mask of some of these monsters and find out which props have value. Awesome. Sounds good. Well, I'm gonna kick it off with a futures bet that I'm very interested in, and that's the Steelers to win the A FC North. It's currently a plus 1 75 on Hard Rock. For me, the Steelers are four and three. The Ravens are two and five. This is being recorded before the Ravens play tonight, which definitely could swing this a little bit, but we kind of expect the Ravens to win. So this number could go a little bit higher for the Steelers. The Ravens are a minus one 20 to win the division, and they're two games behind the Steelers. They're two and five. This kind of makes no sense to me. everyone's predicting the Ravens to just bounce back. I think the Ravens were, you know, a popular Super Bowl pick in the off season. I think people really want their priors and defense is getting healthier. Yes. But we also watch the healthier version of that defense struggle the first couple weekends of the year. I think it's giving a lot of credit to the Ravens for pulling it around. And I mean, Lamar's still banged up. This defense has flaws and they're thinking of very clear turnaround.

Yeah, it's kind of crazy. Uh,, Four of the Steelers remaining 10 games are in the division. Two are against the, the Ravens, including the last week at home in Pittsburgh. So that game, this whole bet could come down to that last game against the Ravens, but. I like it. I mean, if I can get a plus 1 75 on a team that has a two game lead almost halfway through the season, I wanna take it.

Yeah, absolutely. And then you can always like play that last game, however it turns out, and maybe use that as like an additional way to profit. Here

Any other features that, that you've seen that you really like?

The other future I wanna mention because there is a lot of buzz with Drake, may and MVP right now, he is the third most popular, well, third highest, third best odds to win MVP at, sitting at plus 500. But just a better way to play that from my perspective, is the pats to win the one seed in the a FC. playing that angle, it's a plus 700 value. And the Patriots have the second easiest remaining schedule. And the Colts, which is kind of the one of their main competitors there, have the second hardest schedule. So I think they can make up a game here on the Colts. They also have already beat Buffalo. They'll get another opportunity to play them later in the year, but they have that edge and tiebreaker right now. I like them here. Plus seven hundred's, a pretty good value. If you're thinking Drake may win MVP, they're probably doing it because they get the one seat, so why not just take the better odds there.

Yeah, that's, that's great. Plus 700. I love that. Always looking for some value in, in these lines. how'd we do last week?

Last

we hit the parlay.

yeah, we hit the parlo. We had a great week. We, really only lost on a couple of our bets looking back through. our touchdowns, so we had, for our touchdowns, Romo, Dunay did not come through and Tess Johnson did not come through. We had the Jonathan Taylor too, and then we had Saquon, so I

Yeah.

it out. A lot of our props, so Michael Pennix didn't end up playing, so that one voided. Josh Allen, we hit our under McMillan, we hit the over, and Jerry Judy didn't

That

long pass that that was so easy. I, I, I don't

that was easy money.

Yeah. And then picking on the Titans paid off. We'll have another same game Parlay coming up later in the episode. So excited to get into that.

Yeah. Well, let's jump into 'em. What do we got this week for our prop bets that we like?

So some of the players we're interested in, these are all gonna have their Halloween theme, so everyone's in costume this week. First we are starting off with Troy Franklin Stein. The wide receiver for the Denver Broncos, Troy Franklin under 45 and a half receiving yards. I'm really just trying to find all the unders I can play in this Broncos and Texans game. I think this is a great line here because Troy Franklin took advantage of that banged up. And just bad cowboys secondary, and he had 89 yards, so I think this line is just higher than it should be. Before that, he was seeing 19 yards, 19 yards, 17 yards. So I like this line. He is only hit it once in the past month and these Texans are gonna be a lot better than the Cowboys.

Yeah, the Texans defense is kind of scary. Good. And, we haven't seen the col to play them yet, have we? That should be fun. But in this game's, in, in Houston, I think.

is,

You know, things get real for the Broncos, and I like all their unders. I'm not really sure where I'm going on the Texan side of the ball, probably because they're at home and we, we have seen the Broncos defense have some holes in it,

Yeah. I

but.

best way as a home favorite is maybe taking like Nick Chubb's rushing attempts. That one wasn't available yet, but that's, that'd be a way that I would play it.

All right, well, we'll just go with Troy Franklin sign to hit his under 'cause I do like that one. What else have we have? We got.

All right, so picking, begging off a nickname that this player gave himself, we got Sonic the Hedgehog, AKA Jamir Gibbs over 23 and a half receiving yards at a minus one 10. And really, just love Gibbs in this matchup. We highlighted a lot of the, his prior history against this Vikings defense, but he's also getting a lot more work. Than previous years. So that split with Montgomery is not really a 50 50 like we've seen in the past. It's more of a 60 40 leaning towards Gibbs, and you want to get these running backs in space against the Vikings defense, kind of punish them for bringing pressure and it puts Gibbs in a lot of these one-on-one opportunities against the linebacker, and that's, he's one of the best in the league in those spots. So I like him and his over for receiving gear.

I love this bet. It feels like he does this almost every week.

Yeah,

It seems like it's pretty low, the 23 and a half receiving yards. I do love this. so let's go to another one that you've got for us. Um,, And we're going to the Bills game.

We are gonna, the Bills game, we are going to Josh Allen dressed as the winner soldier, and he is just going to find a way to get it done. At home here. And really that is on the back of him using his legs. So we're taking Josh Allen over seven and a half rushing attempts and that's minus 1 0 5 right now. And a lot of this just comes down to the mentality that Josh Allen plays with, and these gotta have a games. I look back through his game logs in playoffs and against the main competitors in the A FC Kansas City, Baltimore, and in those games, he had nine of those games in the past three seasons. He averages, 10 carries, then he's hit this line in eight of nine. He's had games where he goes for 12, 14 routinely, and it's just that mindset of a very competitive game, almost that playoff atmosphere. And he doesn't have a talented wide receiver crew. He's gonna find ways to get it done and keep the chains moving.

I, I love this one. I think he's going to be running all over the place. I think the chiefs put a lot of pressure on him, and like you said, the, the wide receivers. Haven't been great for him. Add in that there's a pretty good chance of rain for this game, in mid forties and I think we see Alan running even more.

Yeah. On top of that, Kansas City has a really good rushing defense. I think that actually helps this bet because it'll kind of bottle up James Cook and just keep the ball in Alan's hands where we're gonna get those scrambles

Yep. Um, okay. How are we finishing out these player props?

So we got Kyle Pitts coming to the costume party and this week he is being dressed as a really good, tight end. Um, he is finally fulfilling that promise we're taking his over of 43 and a half receiving yards against the Pats. Tight ends against the Patriots have just kind of been a cheat code. They've been averaging over 66 yards per game and Kyle Pitts has taken advantage of that banged up wide receiver room. He's getting six receptions per game. He's heavily involved in the passing and he seems to have a pretty good chemistry with both, I mean, with cousins last week, but with Pennix throughout the season.

I think I have more concern. With if Drake London is playing and if. Pennix plays we, we saw Pitts not doing a whole lot early in the SE season with Pennix. Last week was great with Kirk Cousins, but we also had Drake London out, and if that sets up again this week, then I'm all in on this. If I get a Drake London and a Darnell Mooney, I. Don't know that I'm going to be in on Kyle Pitts. I, I don't know, maybe they won't use Bij. It should be a competitive game, but the Falcons just, I don't know what I'm getting from week to week.

I think either way it should be okay with London's availability because if London's there, then it just kind of brings down pits on the pecking order for who the defense is covering and who that main thing. But we're targeting the matchup and that should be clear regardless of just. Going against the linebackers and not those strong cornerbacks against the pats. So I think I'm fine playing it regardless of if London's in or out. I think it probably gets a little bit of a bump. And you'll probably also see the line rise if London is ruled out.

Yeah, that's probably true. All right, let's go down. Go on to our touchdown picks, the marvelous touchdown picks.

Yeah. So we got.

Hmm.

Some players all dressed as their favorite marble characters, and first we're starting off with a juggernaut, Josh Jacobs, and he gets it done on the ground every single game. Six is seven games this year. He has a touchdown, he has multiple in three of them this year, and now he gets to go against Carolina that has just been giving it up. We saw what James Cook did to them last week, so I

Yeah.

in the spot. They're heavy home favorites. he doesn't get one, he'll probably get two. So I

Yeah.

as just. I was surprised. A minus one 50 seems too cheap for Josh Jacobs at home.

I would maybe even go two here. I wonder, can you get plus money on, on a two touchdown here?

His

it might definitely be worth it.

is sitting around plus four 50, plus 4 75 at some books. So, depending on where you can find that, that's also available Play here.

That's crazy. Who's next? Who else is getting a touchdown?

Next we got Spider-Man in Stefan Diggs. He does have one of the highest catch rates in the entire league right now, and he has shown a pretty good connection with May that New England Patriots offense is kind of hit or miss on who the ball is actually going to. But I actually really like the matchup for digs here. Atlanta plays cover one at the highest rate in the entire league, and New England has been really good against it. They've been second best in the league or second best EPA, only behind Green Bay against that cover one shell. And so I like them to kind of pick apart it, even though Atlanta's been pretty good against quarterbacks in general. And I like digs. He does have some regression for touchdowns kind of coming his way too. He's only had one on the season that was last week. I think there are more to come and I like him here at a plus 1 65 price.

I do love the New England Patriots and, uh,, don't tell Tua that you know, the pa, that the, the Falcons have been good against quarterbacks. 'cause one, I Tua got it done last week.

Yeah, it seems like those short targets are kind of the way you shred 'em too. And that's kind of Diggs, main working area.

Okay. Both of those players have been at home always, like betting on home players. I think you're taking me away on a, an away team now who's, who's getting the last touchdown?

the last one Here are highest odds is Travis, dressed up as the hunter and he is plus two 20, but he's just seen his snaps in his offensive, target rate increased the last four weeks, so I think after that bi-week it's all gonna click a little bit more. I mean. It is just a lot to process joining the NFL and trying to learn both positions at the same time. I think the coaching staff realized they were just putting too much on his plate and if know that he can

Yeah.

wide receiver, especially with Brian Thomas Jr. Being a little hit or miss this season, I think they are really gonna focus on making this a good draft pick and just making him a lead at one position before really making sure he can gets going on the defenses

That would make sense. So, uh, hopefully they, you know, are watching or something and they do that as well because we need to get the offense going against the Raiders

Yeah, but

week and they're.

targets

Yeah,

was

that's, that is his targets are there. He's just gotta catch the ball and get into the end zone. And Trevor Lawrence has not got to stick his head in the sand.

Yeah.

They're both coming off a bi.

Yeah, has a very natural feel against zone defense. Just kind of where to set, where to be, and we know that we can kind of pick on the Raiders passing defense, that zone heavy rate. So I do like the matchup here. I think plus two 20 is too cheap.

Sounds good. I think we are making it to the parlay now. We have Indiana Daniel Jones Parlay, so we're going all in on the passing attack on both sides of this game. So the Colts are playing the steel. In Pittsburgh. I like the over, I like this game to go crazy. We talked a lot about it also on DFS, and I, I'm on the over here. So the first leg of that parlay is the 50 and a half points. Colts have scored over 30 points in their last four games. I think with all the injuries to the Colt Secondary, Aaron Rogers can find some weaknesses to exploit and put some points on the board too. The Steelers themselves are averaging 22 points a game more in the last few weeks as well. Um, so between the two of 'em, I like them to hit the over.

I like it. I. These defenses have not really shown up, I don't think, because they've had a couple of weak matchup matchups. The Colts defense has really been exploited, but don't think Lou Ann Romo the Colt, is really gonna confuse Aaron Rogers. Aaron Rogers has seen everything in the book, so

Yeah.

think we'll have some fireworks here.

Well, speaking of fireworks, we're going to pair that with Daniel Jones hitting his passing yard over. Right now it's two 50 and a half, right at two 50 is what we're seeing. It's been moving a little bit. Jones has been over this mark for five of eight games. The three that he didn't make it, he didn't need to make it. He was, it was Tennessee in week three, the Raiders, and the Cardinals as well. And the Steelers have allowed. All of the quarterbacks that they faced to hit their over. Over underline for this season, which is kind of crazy to think about. I wanted to go with yards this week instead of attempts last, last week, we, we went with attempts and I was kind of sweating it out, which is why I wanted to go in on this game because he, he may, he had 29 attempts and the line was 30 and a half and he had to sit that whole fourth quarter pretty much. To not go on the over last weekend for us to hit the parlay. So because of that, and then I looked back through all of his stats for the season, and he's basically thrown it 30 times almost every week, regardless of what Jonathan Taylor does, we're seeing Jonathan Taylor Rush for. Hundreds of yards and score multiple touchdowns and we're, they're winning big and we're still seeing Daniel Jones throw it 30 times. So that seems like the game plan. And I think if Daniel Jones hits. His, the, the attempts line is 33 and a half, which isn't bad as as well 'cause he would've easily hit that last week if he would've had to have played the fourth quarter. But if he hits that, he's going to hit the yards. And if we have a few big plays, which the Steelers do like to give up, then he will easily get to 250 yards.

Yeah, and Steichen himself has said that his mantra when it comes to the offensive side has been you pass the score. And you rush to win the game. And so they've really been taking the ball out of his hands to ice the game. But I think this is gonna be a competitive matchup and kind of back and forth. So we should see a lot more of Joan's involvement and not just Jonathan Taylor.

Yeah, and we can't forget that, you know, last week the Steelers allowed Jordan Love to complete 20 straight passes. If you let Daniel Jones complete 20 straight passes, he's, you know. Uh, moving the ball even better than love this year, and it's gonna result in 250 yards. So the last leg of our parlay is Aaron Rogers to also hit his over on passing yards. His line is 2 35 and a half, and again. You can just go over top with the colts. So I feel like it's going to be the bigger plays and not necessarily the, the shorter plays that we've seen a lot more of from the Steelers, I feel like. But maybe we get DK Metcalf involved and maybe he's got, you know, the 75 yard plays and the Colts have also allowed, the quarterbacks they've played against to hit. They're over underlines in six of eight weeks. The two exceptions were weeks one and two, so they haven't stopped anybody in a while. They even let Cam Ward pass for 259 yards last week, so he, if Cam Ward can do it, come on Aaron Rogers, you can do it too.

They do have some key injuries in that secondary, and I think it is a bad matchup, especially against Metcalf Metcalf. He's a tackle breaking machine, and I think he's probably in line to have some big plays here.

I think so too. So hopefully we're gonna hit this. It ends up being a plus three 10 and I like it. We've done pretty well on these parlays. I also don't mind going back at the Titans, but I haven't built that one yet.

Yeah, that one, not of lines available on that one. We have had a good start to the season. If anyone is betting along, let us know that your favorite plays are what you are taking for this week.

Yeah, exactly. That's it for week nine Player. Props. Drop us a comment with your fav favorite place. Play smart. Have fun, and we'll see you next time.