Matt Edmundson:

Hello and welcome to the eCommerce Podcast.

Matt Edmundson:

My name is Matt Edmundson and it is great to be with you.

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And let me start by saying Happy New Year.

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Oh yes, it is that time of the year when we start again, isn't it?

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New Year's Resolution and Auld Lang Syne But before we start

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buying gym memberships, there's one essential thing we need to

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do for our e-commerce businesses.

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And that I think is a year end review.

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Now, that might sound a little bit boring, and you're like, Matt, gimme

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something more interesting, more exciting.

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But let me tell you, I'm gonna argue that I think it's essential.

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I'm gonna show you how it saved Lego and they're gonna go through

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the process to do it right?

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Because here's the thing, right?

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Here's what we've discovered, that

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companies that actually capture and apply lessons have a 27% higher success rate.

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27%!

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Now, if someone comes along to you and offers to increase your

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chances of success by 27%, I think.

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You a jumper, the chance, right?

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So that's what we're gonna do, right?

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We're gonna look at just that.

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So let me start by telling you about Lego.

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In 2003, Lego was on the brink of bankruptcy.

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Their sales had fallen by a massive 30%, and they had accumulated an eye

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watering staggering $800 million in debt.

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That's insane.

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And this was Lego, right?

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The company that created many of my childhood memories, a company that

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hadn't made a loss between 1932 and 1998, and suddenly everything

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was falling apart for them.

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Now, Jim Collins, who wrote the book, good to Great, and if you've

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not read it, definitely read it.

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He talks about this idea of.

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Confronting the brutal facts.

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That's what he calls it.

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Confront the brutal facts and how this is essential for a

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company's long-term success.

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He tells us that success requires the discipline to honestly

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acknowledge and address the harshest realities of your current situation.

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And we do that without denial.

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We do it without filtering, and we do it without excuses.

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And in this idea, Collins also introduces something called the Stockdale

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Paradox, and this is the idea that

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realism about your current situation has got to be paired with an unwavering faith

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that you will ultimately prevail in the end, regardless of the

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difficulties that you face.

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So confront the brutal facts, but maintain faith in the future.

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It's a really interesting tension, and that's exactly what Lego needed to do.

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So they did.

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And when leadership conducted a thorough review, they discovered

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that the company hadn't generated any economic profit for more than 10 years.

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How do you, 10 years.

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Right?

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And nobody knew.

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How did they not know that's.

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The big question, but they didn't.

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They did not know which products actually made money.

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They didn't know their customers anymore, and as one executive put it, he said that

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the culture was so closed off that massive opportunities were completely invisible.

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It's incredible, right?

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How long they went without realizing what was happening.

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And it was this review process mixed with brutal, honestly,

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honestly, mixed with brutal honesty.

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Uh, that would reveal what would in essence remain hidden.

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Maybe cause the company default or whatever.

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Now, I don't know if that sounds familiar, right?

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Not, maybe not the bankruptcy part, obviously, uh, but maybe that

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feeling of running so fast that you never stop to look at what's

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actually happening in your business.

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And you have that sense that you might be missing something important,

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but you're not quite sure what.

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And the truth is that you don't know what you don't know until you look.

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I mean, that's blinding logic, isn't it?

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It's true though, isn't it?

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Uh, blinding revelation of the new year.

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You don't know what you don't know until you have a look.

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You have got to confront the brutal facts, whether they're

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good or whether they're bad.

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But you've gotta do so with this spirit of faith and humility.

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I think that the future can.

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And we'll be different.

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So how do we do just that?

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Hopefully that's convinced you.

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This is a good idea.

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Now, most Ecommerces I work with do one or two things at the end of the year

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if they actually do a review at all.

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Right?

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Option one is they, they, they're actually don't do the review.

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They're just too busy.

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They're too tired.

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January arrives and they're already firefighting.

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The next thing, and if you guys are anything like me, you have

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definitely been there, right?

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Option B. Is perhaps the preferred option.

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There's a glance, um, at revenue and we celebrate it.

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If we went up, we panic if it goes down and we call it done.

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But neither approach really tells us anything useful.

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It's not so much confronting the brutal facts as giving

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them perhaps a cursory glance.

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And for the record, ladies and gentlemen, uh, being totally

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transparent with you, I have done.

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Both.

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Now.

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There were years when I actually convinced myself that reviewing was

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a luxury that I couldn't afford.

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I didn't have time, which was ironic obviously, because the

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review would've shown me exactly where I was wasting time and money.

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But let's not go there.

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Uh, but there, I think the other thing that I've noticed is, for me, right

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there is a much more subtle trap that can catch me out almost every time recently.

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And that's when the facts aren't actually brutal.

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Um, it's when the facts are actually really good, right?

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Like you, you know, you've ended the year up on just about every

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single metric and you fall into something that I call the genius trap.

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Now the genius trap, in essence, looks at the numbers to prove how much of

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a genius you were that year, right?

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I'm such a genius because I had a good year.

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Um.

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And it's dangerous and it's 'cause it's easy to find.

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Let me tell you, it's easy to find data that proves what

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a genius you actually are.

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Um, you can cherry pick the wins.

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You explain away the losses.

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You build a narrative that makes you feel good,

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but genuinely it doesn't really teach you anything.

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And I've done that.

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I've been caught out many times by the genius trap.

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And so I think there's, you need.

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You need that humility when approaching this as well.

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You need the confidence to confront the brutal facts, but

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you also need to approach them with humility and the 'cause.

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The goal, right?

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The goal of the review isn't to prove you are a genius.

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It isn't to prove that you are right.

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The goal is always to understand what worked, what didn't work, and as a

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result of that, where do we focus next?

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What's gonna have the biggest bang for our buck?

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And here's how I think about it, right?

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This may or may not help you.

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I don't know if you have a board, but I've got a board at my

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company, um, and I have to present findings to the board of directors.

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If you don't have one, pretend that you do.

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And if you, if you use ai, create an AI board of directors.

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Um, I've talked about that before in the show.

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Really clever idea right now.

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Think about presenting to a board.

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What would you proudly share?

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What do, can you not wait to tell them?

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Right?

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But more importantly, what would you rather not mention?

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Because it's in that second list, the stuff that you'd rather not talk about.

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I think that's where the real insights live for us.

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So let me walk you through the framework that we use.

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Uh, if you are a friend of the show, if you've been here a while, you

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will have heard me talk a little bit about the Slingshot framework.

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We're gonna be doing a whole lot more on this, um, in the coming year.

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Let me tell you.

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Uh, it's a framework that we use, uh.

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Because let me tell you, years after selling building for many years,

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e-commerce businesses, I've found this framework works super well.

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And actually it works really well with reviews 'cause it gives it the

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structure that we need and without it.

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Um, I think you can get lost in the weeds because there's so much to think

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about when it comes to e-commerce.

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Um, and so we either get lost in the weeds or we stay so high level that

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actually it's, it's not very helpful.

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And so we use this framework, the Slingshot Framework, and it breaks

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businesses down into seven in Connect in.

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Connected.

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That's not the right word.

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Interconnected, that's the right word.

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It's the new year.

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You're gonna have to forgive me guys.

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Now the Slingshot framework breaks then business down into

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these seven interconnected areas.

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And for each one, we're gonna ask questions about what worked, what didn't

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work, and obviously what we can learn.

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So I'm gonna run through these seven areas quickly.

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Um.

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Just so you get a brief overview of the, of the framework, uh,

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number one, we call it sell,

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right?

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Area number one.

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So what are your products?

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Fundamentally for any e-commerce business?

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You've gotta have a product that people want to buy, right?

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Are you curating high demand products that actually generate profit,

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not revenue, but profit, and which products are your real winners?

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And which are quietly draining your resources.

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And this is where I think many of us get surprised because sometimes the product

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we're most proud of isn't actually the one that's making us the money.

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So we've got to audit our products, we've got to do a review of our products.

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Okay, so the first area of the framework is product.

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The second area is story.

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So I've got a product I wanna sell.

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Now I've got to connect my brand and my story with the

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customer's brand and story, right?

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So this is all about your brand and customer understanding.

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Like, do you truly understand who you are serving?

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Is your messaging really landing?

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You know, um, and for me in this framework.

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I like to operate in this overlap, uh, between our story and the customer's

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story where I can find that commonality.

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Uh, between my brand, my story, what I want to do, and the customer story, what

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they want, what they want to do, that's where magic happens, let me tell you.

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And it's in that overlap that it works.

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And if you're not in that overlap, I think.

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Your messaging tends to fall quite flat.

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Okay?

Matt Edmundson:

So we need to look at our story segment.

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Um, not just our brands, not just our colors, but our story, what the customer

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story is, what our customers want, what their hopes, dreams, and desires are.

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And let's see where those two things overlap and see how

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we can get that to connect.

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So area one is our product.

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Area two is our story.

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So we've got a product to sell and we've got a brand messaging,

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uh, idea in which to wrap that up.

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Now we need to work on the technology.

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So

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area three is all about the tech stack.

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Um, this is all about how we sell this to our customers.

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Is your technology helping or hindering are your systems integrated or is data

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fragmented across multiple flat platforms that don't really talk to each other?

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They're all building on each other.

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This is where we've got all those subscriptions that we don't really

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need, but we bought because we thought we needed them at the time.

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You know, it's all of that stuff.

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How is our tech stack doing?

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The tech that we use to sell our products and tell our story to our customers,

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which leads me nicely to area number four.

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So I've got the product, I've got our story sorted out.

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We have got the technology sorted out.

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Now

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we need to think about the area that everybody loves to talk about,

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which is marketing.

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And this is all about getting the customers to come to your tech

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stack to buy your products, right?

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So which channels are actually delivering?

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And here's the scary question.

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If your main marketing channel disappeared tomorrow, would your business survive?

Matt Edmundson:

That's a great question.

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We've all fallen a fail of this in some way or other, I'm sure if you've

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been in e-commerce for a while, right?

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I'm, uh, if meta changed its algorithm, for example, which let's

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be honest, happens all of the dang time and your ad stop working,

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uh, ring the iOS 14 update bell.

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Um, what would actually happen?

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Right.

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And that question, I think has, has kept many of us up at night,

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uh, as, as well it should.

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Um, area number five, we talk about optimizations.

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Now we've got people who have come to our technology stack to buy our products.

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We've got the brand story sorted out.

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Now we need to optimize the site, which is all about conversion.

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So once the visitors are there, are they actually buying?

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Where's the friction?

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Um.

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When did you Right last?

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Watch a real customer.

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Try and buy something from your website.

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Not look at the analytics, but actually watch someone trying to use

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your site and trying to buy from you.

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It is so eyeopening, right?

Matt Edmundson:

Uh, area number six, we call experience.

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So this is all about the post-purchase journey.

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So they've come to your site, they've bought the product, we've converted them.

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Now we need to think about what happens from that point onwards.

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And this is area six in the framework.

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What happens after somebody buys?

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Is that journey building loyalty or are you losing customers

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before they even come back?

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This is one of the most overlooked areas in e-commerce because I think

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everybody obsesses about marketing.

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It is the golden child in this framework.

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Everyone loves it.

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Even in our clients, this is where we spend most of the time.

Matt Edmundson:

Um.

Matt Edmundson:

And it's good and it's good to do that.

Matt Edmundson:

But don't forget this, right?

Matt Edmundson:

Um, because you don't wanna drop the ball here.

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This is where I think your business really just sink or swim.

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Area number seven of the framework is growth.

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Okay, so are you building flywheel?

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Momentum is the question.

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There are three levers.

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Levers.

Matt Edmundson:

Why did I say levers?

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'cause I've got an American voice in my head.

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There are three le, three levers of growth, um, and only three I think

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when it comes to growing a business.

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Three levers that you can pull, right?

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Number one is the number of customers that you have.

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If I pull that lever, I get more customers.

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Number two, I can convince the customers I have to buy more product

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from me, which in effect in e-commerce, we call the average order value.

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So how do I get them to buy more when they're there?

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And the third lever that we can pull is all to do with average order frequency.

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Average order count, as I've heard it called this, is basically how many

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times a customer comes back to buy from you and how frequently they do that.

Matt Edmundson:

Okay, so if I want to grow my business, I have to pull on one of those three levers.

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Okay?

Matt Edmundson:

I've either got to get more customers, I've either got to get the customers,

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I've got to increase their average order value, or I've gotta get the

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customers I've got to, in effect, increase the frequency with which they.

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Buy.

Matt Edmundson:

If I pull on any one of those levers, I will grow my business.

Matt Edmundson:

Here's a really bonkers thing, right?

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If I grow, say, new customers by 10%, I grow my business by 10%.

Matt Edmundson:

If I increase average or value by 10%, I. Increase my business

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by 10%, you get where I'm going.

Matt Edmundson:

If I increase average order count by 10%, I increase my business by 10%, right?

Matt Edmundson:

The maths works.

Matt Edmundson:

If I increase all three at the same time, due to the wonderful, uh, mathematical

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function of geometrical progression, I actually grow my business by 33%.

Matt Edmundson:

Um, and so you start to get geometric growth when you focus on

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all three areas at the same time.

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So they are in effect, the three areas of growth, uh, in the grow area Now.

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That's our sort of seven step framework that we use.

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We call it slingshot.

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Like I say, we're gonna get into it in much more detail over the year.

Matt Edmundson:

We're gonna really focus in on what that looks like for your business, and

Matt Edmundson:

I'm hoping, actually, we're gonna put a load of content on the site about it.

Matt Edmundson:

That's the plan.

Matt Edmundson:

We'll see if we get there now.

Matt Edmundson:

Each area right?

Matt Edmundson:

Deserves honest scrutiny.

Matt Edmundson:

So no matter how brutal the facts, not just how did we do, but what did we learn?

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What didn't work?

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What are we gonna do differently?

Matt Edmundson:

Okay.

Matt Edmundson:

And of course, as you would expect this being, uh, an episode on the eCommerce

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Podcast where it's just me, I love to give the freebies to help you do

Matt Edmundson:

this well, um, which I'm gonna explain more about in just a few minutes.

Matt Edmundson:

So there is a freebie that's gonna help you.

Matt Edmundson:

Walk through this with questions and, and help you track the ideas and the numbers.

Matt Edmundson:

Okay.

Matt Edmundson:

So I'll explain like, say more about that in a minute.

Matt Edmundson:

Before I do though, let me just take a minute to talk about the

Matt Edmundson:

numbers that I think you should track so we understand the framework.

Matt Edmundson:

There's these sort of seven areas that we need to look at.

Matt Edmundson:

Okay?

Matt Edmundson:

Um.

Matt Edmundson:

Let's look at the data, but before we get too much into the data, let me, let

Matt Edmundson:

me preface this by saying that I have found something really helpful when it

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comes to data and looking at reviews, um, and the, and the results and, and.

Matt Edmundson:

Yeah, it's, this is a really smart thing.

Matt Edmundson:

Okay.

Matt Edmundson:

And it's, I, I call it lead and lag measures.

Matt Edmundson:

I don't call it that, it's just what I picked up.

Matt Edmundson:

Um, I read the book, uh, four DX, the Four Disciplines of Execution, which actually

Matt Edmundson:

came out of the Franklin Covey, um, setup.

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They wrote the books like The Seven Habits of Highly Effective

Matt Edmundson:

People and stuff like that.

Matt Edmundson:

Really interesting management consulting company.

Matt Edmundson:

And they defined lead and lag measures.

Matt Edmundson:

So before we jump into the numbers, let me give you this.

Matt Edmundson:

Understanding around lead and lag measures, which I think is

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gonna really, really help you.

Matt Edmundson:

Okay?

Matt Edmundson:

Now, everything, uh, you measure in a typical review.

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So as you're going through these seven areas, as you're walking through,

Matt Edmundson:

walking, working through the freebie.

Matt Edmundson:

You're putting numbers out there, hold intention, right?

Matt Edmundson:

That probably just about everything you are seeing in the review is

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what is called a lag measure.

Matt Edmundson:

Okay?

Matt Edmundson:

So things like revenue, profit margin, conversion rates, customer count.

Matt Edmundson:

These are in effect lag measures.

Matt Edmundson:

They are all results.

Matt Edmundson:

So what I mean by a lag measure is this, by the time you measure

Matt Edmundson:

them, by the time you get that number, they are already fixed.

Matt Edmundson:

You can't change last year's revenue anymore than you can unring a bell, okay?

Matt Edmundson:

It is what it is.

Matt Edmundson:

And I mean, you can get fancy accountants, don't get me wrong,

Matt Edmundson:

but you can't go back and change it.

Matt Edmundson:

So lag measures tell you what happened.

Matt Edmundson:

They in effect help you keep the score, but they don't necessarily

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tell you how to play better.

Matt Edmundson:

The work that actually matters happens, I think in lead measures.

Matt Edmundson:

So this is measuring specific activities that control and

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influence those lag measures.

Matt Edmundson:

Okay.

Matt Edmundson:

Stay with me.

Matt Edmundson:

Um, so given that this is the new year, lemme give you some example, right?

Matt Edmundson:

So the time of recording, it's New Year's Day.

Matt Edmundson:

Um, so happy New Year, right?

Matt Edmundson:

Uh, time of recording.

Matt Edmundson:

Definitely not the time of recording.

Matt Edmundson:

The time that this episode comes out is New Year Day.

Matt Edmundson:

Uh, I'm not recording it and posting it on the same day, just total transparency.

Matt Edmundson:

Anyway.

Matt Edmundson:

Uh, it's New Year's, right?

Matt Edmundson:

So we're all obsessed with weight loss, aren't we?

Matt Edmundson:

In the new year?

Matt Edmundson:

Um, and right now, probably most of us can do with losing a few pounds.

Matt Edmundson:

Okay?

Matt Edmundson:

So weight is a lag measure.

Matt Edmundson:

It's a number that is based on decisions that I made last year.

Matt Edmundson:

Okay.

Matt Edmundson:

It's decisions that I made in the past.

Matt Edmundson:

I made decisions to eat.

Matt Edmundson:

I made decisions about exercise, and as a result, my weight is a lag measure.

Matt Edmundson:

It tells me the net result of those past decisions.

Matt Edmundson:

It tells me the score.

Matt Edmundson:

Okay?

Matt Edmundson:

If you like football and managers, it tells you the score.

Matt Edmundson:

But if I want to change my weight, um, if I want to lower

Matt Edmundson:

it, I can't just measure that.

Matt Edmundson:

I can, but it's not totally helpful.

Matt Edmundson:

Right.

Matt Edmundson:

What I actually need to measure are the lead measures.

Matt Edmundson:

So what are the lead measures when it comes to weight loss?

Matt Edmundson:

Well, the obvious ones are gonna be, um, how many calories I eat and how

Matt Edmundson:

many minutes I spend doing exercise.

Matt Edmundson:

Right?

Matt Edmundson:

They are two lead measures that if I focus on, if daily I measure how many

Matt Edmundson:

calories I eat and how many minutes I spend exercising, then I know.

Matt Edmundson:

That will have a direct impact on my weight.

Matt Edmundson:

Okay?

Matt Edmundson:

So my weight will come down unless I'm trying to bulk up to get, you know, big

Matt Edmundson:

like Arnie, uh, which I'm not, by the way.

Matt Edmundson:

Um, so hopefully you're getting the, the difference between a

Matt Edmundson:

lead measure and a lag measure.

Matt Edmundson:

Okay?

Matt Edmundson:

So, um.

Matt Edmundson:

And, and this is important, we're gonna get to this in a second, right?

Matt Edmundson:

So for example, sales revenue, let's go through this in a bit more detail.

Matt Edmundson:

Sales revenue then is a lag measure.

Matt Edmundson:

So your sales number are, um.

Matt Edmundson:

A number which tells you the results of what you have already done right?

Matt Edmundson:

And it's a good number to know, but you have to think

Matt Edmundson:

about when it comes to sales.

Matt Edmundson:

So if you want to increase sales next year, as well as measuring that number,

Matt Edmundson:

you have to understand what the lead measures are that help that grow,

Matt Edmundson:

and then measure those relentlessly.

Matt Edmundson:

Okay.

Matt Edmundson:

Uh, conversion rate, for example, would also be another one.

Matt Edmundson:

How do we improve conversion rates?

Matt Edmundson:

So a lead measure that affects it might be something, I don't know, like AB tests

Matt Edmundson:

every month and implementing the winners.

Matt Edmundson:

Okay.

Matt Edmundson:

Or did we increase?

Matt Edmundson:

Customer lifetime value.

Matt Edmundson:

So customer lifetime value is a lag measure.

Matt Edmundson:

So a lead measure for that is did we add and test new email sequences each month

Matt Edmundson:

for educated customers on product use?

Matt Edmundson:

For example, going back to my friend George Byron.

Matt Edmundson:

And so the principle, uh, is to understand the key lead measures that drive and

Matt Edmundson:

effect the lag measure, and how often these emerge through testing ideas.

Matt Edmundson:

Because there's no real one size fits all.

Matt Edmundson:

I can't say to you, right, for you to increase sales.

Matt Edmundson:

Revenue, these are the lead measures for you because there is no one size fits all.

Matt Edmundson:

I'm really sorry there isn't.

Matt Edmundson:

Um, and what works for you might not work as well for somebody else.

Matt Edmundson:

We've all seen this, right?

Matt Edmundson:

You've all heard things on this show.

Matt Edmundson:

You've all seen things on YouTube where somebody comes

Matt Edmundson:

on and said, man, I did this.

Matt Edmundson:

And I went from zero to a million in like a microsecond.

Matt Edmundson:

It was amazing.

Matt Edmundson:

You do the same thing and you're down 10 grand already, right?

Matt Edmundson:

Um.

Matt Edmundson:

So you have to find those lead measures for you.

Matt Edmundson:

And the only way to really do that is to test.

Matt Edmundson:

So when you are doing your review, you are looking at, excuse me, you are looking at

Matt Edmundson:

the lag measures and that's fine 'cause you need to know where you ended up.

Matt Edmundson:

Right?

Matt Edmundson:

But when you are thinking about what we can learn from this and

Matt Edmundson:

what's driving this, when you set your goals for the coming year.

Matt Edmundson:

Don't just set a sales revenue goal, we wanna increase sales revenue by 20%.

Matt Edmundson:

'cause you're thinking in terms of lag measures, think in terms of lead measures.

Matt Edmundson:

Like what are the key levers that pull sales revenue?

Matt Edmundson:

I've already mentioned the three levers by the way.

Matt Edmundson:

Uh, but what are those levers that increase sales revenue and let me focus

Matt Edmundson:

relentlessly on those every month.

Matt Edmundson:

'cause by doing that, I know my revenue will increase.

Matt Edmundson:

Okay.

Matt Edmundson:

So what that will tell you then is what activities, what specific

Matt Edmundson:

activities that you can commit to that will drive the results that you want.

Matt Edmundson:

Okay.

Matt Edmundson:

So I, the reason I'm telling you this is the amount of times

Matt Edmundson:

I've come to people and they say I want increase revenue by 20%.

Matt Edmundson:

Um, and that's all they're measuring is revenue.

Matt Edmundson:

And I think you have to understand lead measures and lag measures and

Matt Edmundson:

measure the impact, uh, of those things.

Matt Edmundson:

So.

Matt Edmundson:

All that said, I hope you're still with me.

Matt Edmundson:

The purpose of the review is to understand your lag measures and

Matt Edmundson:

to get an idea of the lead measures going forward into the next year.

Matt Edmundson:

So let me quickly run through the numbers that I think are worth

Matt Edmundson:

tracking as lag measures if you're gonna do the review properly.

Matt Edmundson:

Okay.

Matt Edmundson:

Um, I think you need to track several different metrics.

Matt Edmundson:

And again, these are all in the freebie.

Matt Edmundson:

Okay.

Matt Edmundson:

So for financial health, you're gonna be looking at gross profit margin.

Matt Edmundson:

Uh, and

Matt Edmundson:

a healthy gross profit margin in e-commerce is about 50 to 70%.

Matt Edmundson:

you're gonna be looking at net profit margin.

Matt Edmundson:

You want about 10 to 20%.

Matt Edmundson:

that work working capital ratio, you're gonna aim for about one and a half to two.

Matt Edmundson:

Now, let me explain Working capital ratio, because it's not

Matt Edmundson:

immediately obvious what it is.

Matt Edmundson:

It might not even be something that you have heard of, but it is a

Matt Edmundson:

useful health measure nonetheless.

Matt Edmundson:

Okay?

Matt Edmundson:

And what you do is you calculate this by dividing your current assets.

Matt Edmundson:

By your current liabilities.

Matt Edmundson:

Okay?

Matt Edmundson:

And I don't wanna get too accountant, too mathematical.

Matt Edmundson:

You do need to get your head around some of these numbers though.

Matt Edmundson:

Okay?

Matt Edmundson:

So let me define current assets.

Matt Edmundson:

Um, in a way that's hopefully gonna simplify it and just keep it really easy.

Matt Edmundson:

A current asset is the sum of everything that can be

Matt Edmundson:

converted to cash within a year.

Matt Edmundson:

Okay?

Matt Edmundson:

So that's your current assets.

Matt Edmundson:

Everything that can be converted to cash within a year.

Matt Edmundson:

So that's obviously gonna include cash in the bank.

Matt Edmundson:

Um, but it's gonna include accounts receivable, like maybe

Matt Edmundson:

strip owes you a bit of money.

Matt Edmundson:

Um, inventory that sells quickly.

Matt Edmundson:

Um, short term investments, things like that.

Matt Edmundson:

What can I convert into cash in the next 12 months?

Matt Edmundson:

That's my current assets.

Matt Edmundson:

Current liabilities.

Matt Edmundson:

Then follow a similar definition.

Matt Edmundson:

These are all the debts which I have to pay within the next year.

Matt Edmundson:

Okay, so what do I owe my suppliers?

Matt Edmundson:

Like short term loans, unpaid taxes, invoices, not paid accrued expenses.

Matt Edmundson:

These are all debts that I have to pay in the next 12 months.

Matt Edmundson:

So if you've got, for example, a hundred grand in current assets and

Matt Edmundson:

50 grand in liabilities, then if I take the a hundred divided by the 50.

Matt Edmundson:

Your ratio then is two, and that's healthy, and you are aiming for

Matt Edmundson:

somewhere between 1.5 and two.

Matt Edmundson:

It's generally known as the sweet spot because you've got more

Matt Edmundson:

than enough assets to cover your debts with a comfortable buffer.

Matt Edmundson:

So if it's below one, if that ratio is below one, what that tells you is

Matt Edmundson:

you've got negative working capital.

Matt Edmundson:

In other words, you've got more short-term debt than you've got assets to pay for

Matt Edmundson:

that, which is not, I mean, it's not the end of the world, but obviously that's

Matt Edmundson:

something you need to be aware of.

Matt Edmundson:

Conversely, if it's over two, um, are you being too conservative?

Matt Edmundson:

You might not actually be using your capital efficiently.

Matt Edmundson:

Now, I do want to caveat that statement by saying this completely

Matt Edmundson:

depends on your business model.

Matt Edmundson:

Like, if I'm honest, my working capital ratio is quite a bit above two because of

Matt Edmundson:

my personal convictions about debt, which not everybody has, and I, I'm not gonna.

Matt Edmundson:

Try and convert everybody to my way of thinking about debt.

Matt Edmundson:

Um, and when, but when I'm acquiring companies, when I'm partnering

Matt Edmundson:

with companies, when we're going through that whole process, I look

Matt Edmundson:

at that working capital ratio and I'm looking at that number there.

Matt Edmundson:

Okay?

Matt Edmundson:

So depending on your current business model is gonna depend on where that is.

Matt Edmundson:

So go have a look at that ratio.

Matt Edmundson:

Now the customer metrics that I think you absolutely should track are

Matt Edmundson:

gonna be your customer acquisition cost, also known as cac, which if

Matt Edmundson:

you're British, is slightly funny.

Matt Edmundson:

Um, what does it cost to get a customer?

Matt Edmundson:

How much do you pay to get a customer?

Matt Edmundson:

What's your customer lifetime value?

Matt Edmundson:

That's really important.

Matt Edmundson:

What's your customer worth over time?

Matt Edmundson:

Now, um, if you've been around for a while, you'll have heard

Matt Edmundson:

Oliver Spark on the show.

Matt Edmundson:

He talked about.

Matt Edmundson:

This customer lifetime value.

Matt Edmundson:

And I, I know that over the years of knowing Oliver, um, and he runs Suite

Matt Edmundson:

Analytics, which is an analytics platform for e-commerce, which I'm quite, I'm

Matt Edmundson:

quite, uh, quite, I enjoy Suite actually.

Matt Edmundson:

I think it's a good platform.

Matt Edmundson:

A shout out to Oliver and what those guys are doing.

Matt Edmundson:

Um.

Matt Edmundson:

When you measure customer lifetime value, one of the questions

Matt Edmundson:

comes in your head was how?

Matt Edmundson:

Over how long?

Matt Edmundson:

Right?

Matt Edmundson:

Because it says customer lifetime value.

Matt Edmundson:

So how do you define the length of a customer lifetime?

Matt Edmundson:

And again, I think that comes down to your business model.

Matt Edmundson:

Like if you sell couches, then your lifetime value of a customer

Matt Edmundson:

might be over 20 years, right?

Matt Edmundson:

Because how often do we buy a couch?

Matt Edmundson:

I'm in the supplement game, I'm in the gift game.

Matt Edmundson:

I'm in a few different games, but most of which are quite short, repeatable,

Matt Edmundson:

so I measure over a 12 month period.

Matt Edmundson:

Um, and so customer lifetime value for most companies, most of the

Matt Edmundson:

time you're gonna wanna measure that over 12 months, possibly 24 months.

Matt Edmundson:

Um, but majority gonna be 12, right?

Matt Edmundson:

But whatever the period of time you choose, make sure you use

Matt Edmundson:

that consistently when calculating customer lifetime value.

Matt Edmundson:

Once you understand your lifetime value and you understand the cac, the customer

Matt Edmundson:

acquisition costs, you can create then a ratio, so your LTV to CAC ratio.

Matt Edmundson:

Um, and you are wanting somewhere around three to one.

Matt Edmundson:

In other words, you want a lifetime value of a customer about three times more

Matt Edmundson:

or better than the cost to acquire one.

Matt Edmundson:

Okay?

Matt Edmundson:

And again, this is, there's no hard and fast rules here.

Matt Edmundson:

It all depends on your business model.

Matt Edmundson:

But if your CAC is too high and your LTV is too low, you've got

Matt Edmundson:

no profits to run your business.

Matt Edmundson:

So less than three to one, it becomes really hard to sustain.

Matt Edmundson:

Um, over three to one, it might tell you that you've probably got a bit of margin

Matt Edmundson:

to put into new customer acquisition.

Matt Edmundson:

Um, so if you have a five to one ratio, you might wanna look at actually,

Matt Edmundson:

does that give us a bit more play to increase our customer acquisition costs?

Matt Edmundson:

If it means we get substantially more new customers?

Matt Edmundson:

Always worth thinking about because new customer acquisition

Matt Edmundson:

is obviously, is, is important.

Matt Edmundson:

So you've got your lifetime value.

Matt Edmundson:

Customer acquisition costs, average order value.

Matt Edmundson:

Uh, it's one of the three levers of growth we mentioned.

Matt Edmundson:

Gonna wanna look at that.

Matt Edmundson:

Um, conversion rates.

Matt Edmundson:

Uh, an average conversion rate in e-commerce, by the way, is two to 3%.

Matt Edmundson:

I dunno what it is for your industry.

Matt Edmundson:

Um, you can obviously find that out.

Matt Edmundson:

Just, you know, ask I, it will tell you these.

Matt Edmundson:

In fact, don't ask ai 'cause it might just make it up.

Matt Edmundson:

Do the work yourself and find out using Google, um, or perplexity

Matt Edmundson:

actually might help you there.

Matt Edmundson:

Um, but understand your conversion rate and benchmark that you also want to

Matt Edmundson:

understand your repeat purchase rate.

Matt Edmundson:

So how many times customers come back, the percentage of customers that come

Matt Edmundson:

back, um, is really, really helpful.

Matt Edmundson:

Um, that's a really good number to measure.

Matt Edmundson:

Um, and these aren't atory metrics, by the way.

Matt Edmundson:

I think they're vital signs for the health of your business.

Matt Edmundson:

And if you don't know these numbers.

Matt Edmundson:

Um, I think whatever review you do is gonna be sort of guesswork

Matt Edmundson:

and dressed up really as analysis.

Matt Edmundson:

So before you deep dive into the seven areas and, and go through the, the

Matt Edmundson:

freebie, the download or however you wanna do it, but if you go through the

Matt Edmundson:

download and ask or answer the questions that we ask you in that download, in

Matt Edmundson:

that workbook, the workbook starts off with the spaces to put those numbers.

Matt Edmundson:

Okay?

Matt Edmundson:

So spend the time you need to get them together before you start.

Matt Edmundson:

Um, and.

Matt Edmundson:

Regularly track them.

Matt Edmundson:

Okay?

Matt Edmundson:

At least, at least every year.

Matt Edmundson:

You know, if you put those numbers in now at the end of the year, you can

Matt Edmundson:

see where they are and you can see what's worked again, what's not worked.

Matt Edmundson:

You know, with a year on year comparison, I think it's quite helpful.

Matt Edmundson:

So have a look at that.

Matt Edmundson:

Now, let me finish, uh, with the Lego story because I think it's important, uh,

Matt Edmundson:

just to round that or close that circle.

Matt Edmundson:

I think they say, uh, after that sort of brutal 2023, no, 20 2003,

Matt Edmundson:

not 2023, get the numbers right.

Matt Edmundson:

Matt, uh, after that sort of brutal confronting the brutal facts in 2003,

Matt Edmundson:

that review, Lego didn't just identify problems, they actually acted on them.

Matt Edmundson:

Uh, we can see the results now, right?

Matt Edmundson:

I mean, they're an insanely, uh, popular brand.

Matt Edmundson:

They discovered, in effect, the adult customers, the ones who they assumed

Matt Edmundson:

were detracting from the brand.

Matt Edmundson:

Can you believe that were actually a massive opportunity.

Matt Edmundson:

They streamline their product range.

Matt Edmundson:

They rebuilt their understanding of who their customers were.

Matt Edmundson:

And the net result of all of this, lemme give you some numbers.

Matt Edmundson:

Nearly 20% compound growth.

Matt Edmundson:

Over two decades.

Matt Edmundson:

Oh, that's insane, isn't it?

Matt Edmundson:

Love, I would love those numbers.

Matt Edmundson:

Uh, in 2017, they even created an internal document, which was literally called

Matt Edmundson:

Blind Spot to remind leadership about the opportunity that they had missed, and then

Matt Edmundson:

by 2020 they'd launched an entire 18 and over product line specifically for adults.

Matt Edmundson:

I have bought Lego as an adult, right?

Matt Edmundson:

And the review didn't just save the company.

Matt Edmundson:

It has utterly transformed it, and I think you can all see that.

Matt Edmundson:

So that's a Lego story.

Matt Edmundson:

Hopefully that's rounded off that circle.

Matt Edmundson:

And it's all of this is backed by some pretty compelling research.

Matt Edmundson:

Let me tell you, there's one, there's one secret actually.

Matt Edmundson:

If you do these reviews on a regular basis, there is one additional secret.

Matt Edmundson:

This is that saving the best tall last thing we do on the podcast.

Matt Edmundson:

Because if you stay around to the end, you always get the extra nug nugget, right?

Matt Edmundson:

Um, this is that one saving the best tall last.

Matt Edmundson:

It's all to do with having an accountability partner because

Matt Edmundson:

studies show that if you do, you increase the likelihood of achieving

Matt Edmundson:

your goals by how much do you think?

Matt Edmundson:

Just sit there and think, I dunno how you feel when you hear words

Matt Edmundson:

like accountability partner.

Matt Edmundson:

A lot of people go like, oh, really?

Matt Edmundson:

Um, but listen, I'm gonna give you the number in a second, but

Matt Edmundson:

I honestly think about it, right?

Matt Edmundson:

What is the likelihood of you achieving your goals?

Matt Edmundson:

What is the increase, sorry.

Matt Edmundson:

In the likelihood of you achi achieving your goals, what percentage

Matt Edmundson:

increase do you give yourself by having an accountability partner?

Matt Edmundson:

What's that number in your head?

Matt Edmundson:

5%, 10%? I don't know.

Matt Edmundson:

It's 95, 90 5%, you want to be almost twice as likely to achieve your goals.

Matt Edmundson:

That's one heck of a jump, right?

Matt Edmundson:

Um, especially when you compare the fact that actually it's just 10% when you

Matt Edmundson:

give, uh, when you just do it yourself.

Matt Edmundson:

So without the accountability partner, you are twice as likely

Matt Edmundson:

to succeed at achieving your goals if you just go yourself.

Matt Edmundson:

It's a 10% chance.

Matt Edmundson:

Always worth bearing in mind when you're setting your New

Matt Edmundson:

Year's resolutions as well.

Matt Edmundson:

That is saving the best till last.

Matt Edmundson:

Let that sink in 95% versus 10%.

Matt Edmundson:

So I think reviewing in isolation has limits.

Matt Edmundson:

You know, you'll be kinder to yourself maybe than you should be.

Matt Edmundson:

Uh, you'll miss the blind spots that others are gonna catch for you.

Matt Edmundson:

And if you guys are anything like me, you've had those sorts of moments where

Matt Edmundson:

you've explained something to a friend or a business partner or maybe a board.

Matt Edmundson:

Remember, and just saying it out loud made you realize how crazy it sounds.

Matt Edmundson:

I have so many good ideas in my head that as soon as I verbalize it, I

Matt Edmundson:

go, that's just stupid, isn't it?

Matt Edmundson:

Yes.

Matt Edmundson:

Uh, and that's the power of not doing this alone.

Matt Edmundson:

And it's one of the key reasons.

Matt Edmundson:

Quick plug, uh, why we created the e-commerce Cohort, which is a free

Matt Edmundson:

monthly group where founders share the challenges they're going through.

Matt Edmundson:

They give feedback, hold each other accountable.

Matt Edmundson:

Um, there's a WhatsApp group for the sort of ongoing conversation between the calls.

Matt Edmundson:

It's super low key, but the account, the accountability piece is genuinely.

Matt Edmundson:

Powerful and, um, we're loving running cohorts, so if you want to join Cohort.

Matt Edmundson:

Uh, you can definitely find out more if you're doing this review and thinking, I

Matt Edmundson:

wish I had someone to talk this through.

Matt Edmundson:

That's what cohort's for.

Matt Edmundson:

You can find out more information at eCommerce Podcast dot net.

Matt Edmundson:

Go to eCommercePodcast.net and you'll find information on there about Cohort.

Matt Edmundson:

There's a, a link right at the top says Join Cohort.

Matt Edmundson:

So go click that and have a little read, um, and just let

Matt Edmundson:

us know if you wanna join.

Matt Edmundson:

It'd be great to see you in one of the groups.

Matt Edmundson:

Okay.

Matt Edmundson:

So let me close because what I want you to take away from this,

Matt Edmundson:

right, let's, let's summarize

Matt Edmundson:

number one, you've got to do the review.

Matt Edmundson:

So block in a day to do the review.

Matt Edmundson:

Treat it like a board meeting with yourself.

Matt Edmundson:

Don't let January arrive without understanding, uh,

Matt Edmundson:

what has happened this year.

Matt Edmundson:

I don't let January arrive just thinking about this, coming out in January.

Matt Edmundson:

Don't let February arrive.

Matt Edmundson:

Without having taken the time to do this right.

Matt Edmundson:

Number two, so you, you are wanting to do the review, use the framework.

Matt Edmundson:

Number two is use the Slingshot framework

Matt Edmundson:

right?

Matt Edmundson:

I think it's a really good framework.

Matt Edmundson:

It covers everything you need to know.

Matt Edmundson:

Go through those seven areas, sell story, tech stack, marketing,

Matt Edmundson:

optimization, experience and growth.

Matt Edmundson:

And for each one, ask what worked.

Matt Edmundson:

And what didn't and what did we learn?

Matt Edmundson:

You can use the freebie, like I say, track the numbers.

Matt Edmundson:

Number three, get your metrics in place so you can do your year on year comparison.

Matt Edmundson:

And number four: watch out for the Genius Trap.

Matt Edmundson:

Especially if the business went well for you last year.

Matt Edmundson:

Don't use a review just to prove how smart you are.

Matt Edmundson:

We all know you are smart.

Matt Edmundson:

Use it to confront the brutal facts with that spirit of faith and adventure, that

Matt Edmundson:

the future can and will be different.

Matt Edmundson:

And number five: don't do it alone.

Matt Edmundson:

Find someone to share your finding with, uh, get that accountability partner.

Matt Edmundson:

It makes such a massive difference.

Matt Edmundson:

And as I mentioned, I've put all of this together in the year end review

Matt Edmundson:

workbook that walks you through all seven areas with specific questions,

Matt Edmundson:

with metrics to track, and there's space to capture your lessons and goals.

Matt Edmundson:

It is completely free, and of course, the link is in the description, uh, below.

Matt Edmundson:

All we just heard of to website eCommercePodcast.net.

Matt Edmundson:

Click on the resources link and just search out this guide.

Matt Edmundson:

Uh, all I ask is you download it, work through it, and

Matt Edmundson:

let me know how you get on.

Matt Edmundson:

And hey, if no one's told you yet today, let me be the first.

Matt Edmundson:

You are awesome.

Matt Edmundson:

Created, awesome.

Matt Edmundson:

Yes, you are.

Matt Edmundson:

It's just a burden you have to bear.

Matt Edmundson:

You are a genius.

Matt Edmundson:

We know you're a genius.

Matt Edmundson:

You don't have to prove it with the review.

Matt Edmundson:

You are a legend.

Matt Edmundson:

Absolutely.

Matt Edmundson:

Thank you for being with us here at the start of the year.

Matt Edmundson:

May I wish you a very, very happy New Year and an insanely prosperous 2026.

Matt Edmundson:

I'll see you in the next episode, but that's it from me.

Matt Edmundson:

Thank you so much for joining me.

Matt Edmundson:

Bye for now.