Judy

Welcome to fangirl football.

Judy

I'm Judy.

Lauren

And I'm Lauren.

Lauren

Welcome back.

Lauren

For our week 17 mini DFS Christmas Day episode, we are going to chat the two games that are on this Wednesday.

Lauren

Kansas City at Pittsburgh and then Baltimore at Houston.

Lauren

And then we're going to build some lineups.

Lauren

We have a contest going this week.

Lauren

It's a $1 Christmas contest, winner take all again, like last week.

Judy

Judy yeah, exactly.

Judy

Winner take all, dollar contest.

Judy

So these are kind of fun.

Judy

It's really interesting because we just talked about these four teams last Saturday.

Judy

It's the same four teams.

Judy

They're just exchanging opponents and locations to make it a little bit interesting.

Judy

But I haven't really seen the NFL do a whole lot of that.

Judy

It's kind of fun.

Judy

Makes it even for everyone.

Judy

So let's kick it off with talking about the Kansas City at Pittsburgh game.

Judy

Kansas City is favored by two and a half over under is 43 and a half.

Judy

I believe this is the first game on on Christmas Day.

Judy

And for the Steelers, cornerback Joey Porter is out, which should help the passing game a little bit for the Chiefs.

Judy

At least that's what I'm thinking.

Judy

I feel like the storyline here is can Pittsburgh keep this a competitive game?

Judy

And that is largely relying on Pickens.

Judy

To me, what do you think?

Judy

Can they?

Lauren

Pittsburgh was a bit different this last week and they're the last two weeks they've just seemed not as strong as they did earlier in the season.

Lauren

And maybe I'm just pinpointing things too much to that Baltimore Pittsburgh game earlier in the season and then comparing it to the one we saw in saw this past weekend where it was completely different.

Judy

I mean, we saw so many dropped passes this weekend and Russell Wilson was making good throws, but the receivers weren't coming down with them.

Judy

And I feel like a lot of that is on Pickens.

Judy

So will Pickens play?

Judy

He's missed the last three games.

Judy

If they get him back and they get a home matchup, I feel like this becomes a totally different game for the Chiefs.

Judy

Isaiah Pacheco hasn't looked good since his return from that broken leg.

Judy

Should we just go with Hunt?

Judy

There's not a lot of options when we start looking at four quarterbacks, kind of six running backs and then the mystery of wide receivers that we're going to get to.

Lauren

Yeah, because on the wide receiver side, we get Hollywood Brown.

Judy

We do.

Judy

And Hollywood Brown had a great game last week.

Judy

They didn't ease him back in.

Judy

He had eight targets, five catches.

Judy

He did look good in that role and Xavier Worthy left the game for a brief period of time but did return and Kansas City can lock up the AFC and get their buy if they get a win this week.

Judy

Everyone's kind of cheap too on the slate, so I feel Hollywood Brown at 4500 is just a bargain that I've got to take a chance on.

Judy

Hunt at 5200.

Judy

There's not a lot that are on here that are super expensive so you can really pay for your pieces that you want and then fill in with the other ones because the pricing is so good.

Judy

What about the Steelers running backs?

Judy

Do you like either Jalen Warren or Naijee Harris?

Lauren

It's funny, I was gonna ask you the same thing.

Lauren

I'm a little concerned with Najee Harris just because his snap count has significantly declined in the last two weeks by 50% compared to prior to that.

Lauren

And we are seeing Jalen Warren take more snaps and also have some receiving points as well.

Lauren

So I just as much as I want to go to Najee Harris based on prior to the last two week history, a little concerned.

Lauren

Just recent trends.

Judy

Yeah, I'm concerned about recent trends.

Judy

And author Smith, he coached the Falcons last year and drove me crazy.

Judy

I never knew if he was actually going to run Bijan Robinson or not.

Judy

And so Arthur Smith and I are not friends.

Judy

He drives me mad.

Judy

And last week he gave it to Cordell Patterson.

Judy

He just loves Cordell Patterson.

Judy

He took him from the Falcons with him to the Steelers and he drives me crazy using Cordell Patterson at the goal line.

Lauren

Well, should we chat about Baltimore at Houston?

Judy

Yeah.

Judy

Tank Dell's gone.

Judy

Yep.

Judy

Puts it all on Nico Collins.

Lauren

Baltimore's only favored by 4.

Judy

It is surprising how competitive Vegas thinks this game is going to be.

Judy

They've got it over under a 47 and Baltimore by four, which is really a seven point swing if we want to think about it.

Judy

Cause it is in Houston.

Judy

Can Houston keep this game competitive?

Judy

I don't know.

Judy

That's going to come down to how creative they get and I feel like that's going to involve using Dalton Schultz more and more, which we saw happen when Tank Dell went out.

Judy

He knows this offense and the more that they can get him involved in that passing game then the better off they're going to be.

Judy

They've also got to take the pressure off of Nico Collins because otherwise Baltimore can just cover him and know that that's where it's going to go.

Lauren

What do you think of any of the other Houston wide receivers?

Lauren

Do you think we could find any.

Lauren

Is it worth looking at any of them even this is only a two game.

Judy

Yeah, we're still trying to figure out if Mechi is going to be healthy enough to play.

Judy

They just signed Deontay Johnson.

Judy

I don't know that.

Judy

I mean he's not somebody I'm going to put in DFS after two days.

Judy

Although he may be super motivated to play against the team he didn't want to play for.

Judy

So that's kind of an interesting revenge scenario.

Judy

CJ Stroud hasn't had a 20 plus fantasy point week since week five.

Judy

Do you want to play mix in?

Judy

I mean the Ravens give up points.

Lauren

But not to rushing yards.

Lauren

Really.

Judy

Yeah, that's true.

Judy

So we've got to decide who do we want to pay for here And.

Lauren

I feel like Nico's gonna be the only.

Lauren

Only person from my side or from my vantage point point of the Houston side that I'd really want to pick up.

Lauren

But this is definitely.

Lauren

Let's chat Baltimore.

Lauren

Cause maybe I'll balance out a little bit.

Judy

So the problem with Baltimore is LaMar Jackson is fifteen hundred dollars more than either of the other three quarterbacks.

Judy

So I can't really see needing to pay for Lamar Jackson unless I get bought in to this being a very competitive shooting.

Judy

Shoot them out, score game.

Judy

And I don't see that.

Judy

Love Derek Henry.

Judy

I'm not real sure I can buy into the Texans being able to stop Derrick Henry and we didn't see him get stopped last week.

Judy

So I'm pretty happy paying my 8200 for Derek Henry and letting Lamar go.

Judy

How about you?

Lauren

And at that point you're the storyline of Houston not keeping it competitive.

Lauren

They Baltimore then has no pressure to throw the ball.

Lauren

They can just run it.

Lauren

And running takes more time than throwing to move it down the field.

Lauren

So they'll want to run it.

Judy

They'll want to run it.

Judy

There's less danger, you run more time off the clock, all of those things.

Judy

Baltimore is still battering, battling Pittsburgh for the division.

Judy

They will know when this game starts.

Judy

Obviously if Pittsburgh won the earlier matchup and the Texans aren't really playing for much, they've already clinched their division.

Judy

They will get a home game that first weekend of the playoffs.

Judy

I guess they're playing for seating a little bit but that's about it.

Judy

All right, so who do you want to stack?

Judy

Which game do you feel is going to be the most competitive?

Lauren

Oh, I don't know.

Judy

This is all right.

Lauren

So I.

Lauren

Yeah, I'll let you pick the stack.

Lauren

I'VE been struggling to figure out which.

Lauren

Which one I think is not going to be.

Judy

It's so funny.

Judy

So last weekend Quentin wanted to go Russell Wilson because he was the cheapest net and I didn't.

Judy

And now I want to go Russell Wilson.

Judy

So I think they're going to get George Pickens back.

Judy

I want to stack Russell Wilson with George Pickens because they're at home, it's Christmas Day.

Judy

I think they're going to be super, super motivated.

Judy

We'll put those two in there.

Judy

Now I'm going to add in Derrick Henry because I want Derrick Henry.

Judy

Now we have to decide, do we think that Mixin can be competitive?

Judy

Do you like Isaiah Pacheco, Jalen Warren, Najee Harris or Kareem Hunt?

Judy

We've got one more running back in there and we need to slot in one of those.

Judy

And I'm not really sure that Mixin is going to look that good against the Ravens.

Judy

That's not the matchup that I think I want to pay up for.

Judy

So I'm really buying into one of the other three and I'm kind of off Pacheco as well since he hasn't looked real well on top of that.

Judy

So now we're boiling down to Jalen Warren, Najee Harris or Kareem Hunt.

Judy

Eileen Kareem Hunt.

Lauren

I.

Lauren

I'm with you there.

Lauren

I'm leaning Kareem Hunt as well.

Lauren

I think now I need you.

Lauren

Jalen.

Lauren

Jalen Warren, if I think you could as well.

Lauren

And Risky.

Judy

Yeah, I definitely could go in Jalen Warren and get on that side as well.

Judy

Now we get to pick two more wide receivers and I look at Nico Collins.

Judy

If they are going to be competitive, then I would have gone Nico Collins.

Judy

But Nico can still support a lot of the passing.

Judy

I feel like on the Texans side, we're either picking Nico or Dalton Schultz.

Judy

I have a really hard time buying into both of them.

Judy

Do you have a preference?

Lauren

I buy into to Collins, more to Nico.

Lauren

Colin.

Lauren

Yeah.

Judy

All right, we'll slot Nico in there.

Judy

We'll come back for.

Judy

Well, we still have a flex as well.

Judy

Is there?

Judy

How about Hollywood Brown?

Judy

I only 4,500.

Judy

I think he has a bargain on this slate at 4,500.

Judy

So let's put him in there.

Judy

Now we have to pick a tight end.

Judy

Travis Kelce, Mark Andrews, John Schultz, Pat Friarmuth, Isaiah Likely or Noah Gray.

Judy

That's what it comes down to.

Judy

And that's there's $2,000 range from Kelsey to Noah Gray.

Judy

All of them are good tight Ends, I feel like all of them are going to get points.

Judy

I would lean since we're already doing the Russell Wilson stack.

Judy

I'd probably go far youth here.

Judy

How do you feel about him?

Lauren

Yeah, I could see that being a good call.

Lauren

I also like Mark Andrews.

Lauren

He's gotten a touchdown in the last couple of games and it seems like that connection with Lamar Jackson has been really strong.

Lauren

I know they're not planning.

Lauren

We're not expecting them to throw the ball a lot, but I do like seeing that recent trend of consistent touchdowns.

Judy

Yeah, I do too.

Judy

I just think Friarmouth is going to get a little bit more usage or that's the storyline that I'm telling myself that the Steelers are going to be behind and trying to catch up in this game or at least competitive.

Judy

So now we have to pick a defense we can spend all the way up.

Judy

There's only $600 difference from the Ravens to the Texans and I feel like the Ravens have the better matchup for defensively here.

Lauren

Yeah, I definitely agree there.

Judy

Now we need a 4600 or less, preferably wide receiver that we're going to slot in for our flex slot.

Judy

If we're all in on the Steelers, then it's Calvin Austin iii.

Judy

Or we could go Robert woods down in Houston.

Judy

But we also have Nico Collins sitting in there.

Judy

But it's.

Judy

It's a small slate.

Judy

So it's really.

Judy

Who are we picking here that.

Judy

That could potentially pay for themselves?

Judy

I'm still leaning Calvin Austin.

Lauren

Yeah, I agree with you.

Lauren

I don't see could.

Lauren

I could do Mechi.

Lauren

I'd wanna know more information and I just.

Lauren

That questionable tag makes me nervous.

Lauren

So.

Lauren

I agree.

Judy

Yeah, I like I, I'd probably go woods today.

Judy

I mean this is Monday, so if I had to make the decision today, I'd probably go woods over me.

Judy

But I don't.

Judy

I.

Judy

I can pick Calvin Austin the third and we'll go with him.

Judy

So Pickens is our only question.

Judy

Questionable one that we really need to get a feel for before Wednesday when this kicks off.

Lauren

And we have a good feeling about that.

Judy

Yeah.

Judy

So I'm gonna enter it.

Judy

We're good.

Lauren

Well, that wraps us up for our Christmas Day DFS mini episode.

Lauren

Check out the links in the description where you can enter our $1 Christmas Day DFS contest.

Lauren

Winner take all.

Lauren

Can't wait to play.

Lauren

And Merry Christmas.

Lauren

Enjoy the football game.

Judy

Merry Christmas.

Judy

Happy holidays.

Judy

Good luck in your fantasy championships and DFS.