Presidential debates are a staple of the election cycle, but in recent years the drama of deciding
Speaker:who gets to host a debate and when can often be more exciting than the event itself. In
Speaker:a world where news is instant and everyone is connected, do they have the same impact and
Speaker:influence on elections as they once did? In this episode, I want to know, who cares about
Speaker:presidential debates?
Speaker:Welcome to America, a history podcast. I'm Liam Heffernan and every week we answer a different
Speaker:question to understand the people, the places and the events that make the USA what it is
Speaker:today.
Speaker:To discuss this, I'm joined by our resident election expert, Dr Emma Long, but by day she's
Speaker:Associate Professor of American History and Politics at the University of East Anglia.
Speaker:Welcome back Emma. Hi Liam. I sort of feel like I should apologize to regular listeners to
Speaker:the podcast. They've heard a lot from me recently, so anyone out there who's thinking, oh God,
Speaker:it's her again. Deep apologies. I promise I'll stop talking eventually. Yeah, I mean, it's
Speaker:the nature of the beast, right? We are we are midst election cycle and it's hey, we've we're
Speaker:getting a bit politics heavy by I can promise any listeners that after November, we're gonna
Speaker:we're gonna lighten the load a little bit and do some other stuff, I promise. But in the
Speaker:meantime, we have Emma to help us understand what the heck is going on. Well, I try. This
Speaker:week to do that, we're going to take a closer look at presidential debates. Now, we were
Speaker:just talking before the recording that we've had this episode kind of in the pipeline for
Speaker:months. And I think the discussion today is going to take on a much different form than
Speaker:it would have done a couple of months ago. So let's just start before we get into maybe some
Speaker:more recent context. I'm just wondering if you can provide a bit of broad history on presidential
Speaker:debates. Yeah, okay. So. Just out of interest, if I was going to ask you, when do you think
Speaker:the first presidential debate was? Well, I'm a bit of a film and TV nerd, so I'm going to
Speaker:say it probably lines up roughly with sort of the booming in radio and maybe the birth of
Speaker:TV. I'm going to say sort of 50s. Yeah. Yeah, you're pretty close. I think the one that most
Speaker:people think of when they think of the history of presidential debates, the Kennedy-Nixon
Speaker:debates in 1960.
Speaker:Kennedy is seen as the first TV president about the way he used television, not just in the
Speaker:debates, but otherwise. And the common line on these is... the idea that viewers who watch
Speaker:TV thought that Kennedy won the debate, viewers who listen to it on the radio thought that
Speaker:Nixon won it, and you know, the impact of visuals. Now, there are a lot of people who've written
Speaker:and said, it's a bit simplistic to say that, and maybe it's not that, but what the debates
Speaker:did was sort of legitimize Kennedy by giving him a platform, you know, this relatively unknown
Speaker:senator from Massachusetts Nixon, who'd been vice president under Eisenhower and so on.
Speaker:But this is where this gets complicated because you'd think when was the first presidential
Speaker:debate would be a really straightforward question, right? But it sort of depends on how you define
Speaker:the presidential debate. So Kennedy-Nixon's kind of the first one that I think we would
Speaker:recognize where you've got the two main candidates facing off against each other live, or at least
Speaker:it was live on TV, they didn't have a studio. audience. There were four debates between the
Speaker:two of them, including one where they weren't in the same studio. So it's like the earliest
Speaker:version of a Zoom era debate in that Kennedy was in New York and Nixon was in California,
Speaker:which I just think is incredible when you think about the technology from 1960. Okay, so 1960,
Speaker:this happens, it seemed to be quite a big deal. When do you think the next one was? Okay. So
Speaker:I'm naively going to make an assumption that I'm sure a lot of people would make in that
Speaker:they just continued every election cycle after that, but I'm sure you're going to tell me
Speaker:I'm wrong. Yeah. I sort of signposted that one. 1976 takes 16 years before you get another
Speaker:presidential debate. Johnson, LBJ in 64 refuses to hold them. But. The next set of presidential
Speaker:debates that we know about is Gerald Ford against the then relatively unknown Georgia governor
Speaker:Jimmy Carter, who was challenging him for the presidency in 1976. And it gets weirdly technical.
Speaker:So the reason that there's this big gap in the middle is to do with broadcast technology and
Speaker:the laws governing it. So the Communications Act in the US. governed airtime and these kinds
Speaker:of things basically said, was published in the 1930s, and basically said, if you're going
Speaker:to do something like this, you have to give every candidate for office time to speak, not
Speaker:just presidential candidates, but every possible candidate for elected office in every election,
Speaker:which clearly was not possible and was not going to happen. And they couldn't find a way around
Speaker:it. So in 1960, they get kind of special dispensation from Congress to have the Kennedy-Nixon debates.
Speaker:But it takes until 1975 for Congress to basically find an exception to this rule, to this law,
Speaker:for presidential debates and allow them to happen. And then they've happened every year since
Speaker:1976. So everybody thinks of Kennedy-Nixon, but actually it's almost like a one-off. in
Speaker:the midst of this and then they don't become regular until the late 1970s. But if you think
Speaker:about presidential debates, not just as the candidates themselves, but say spokespeople
Speaker:on behalf of the candidates, interestingly enough, the very first presidential debate defined
Speaker:that way involves two women. which I think is probably kind of surprising. It happens in
Speaker:1956 and on the program that is quite well known in the US, Face the Nation, so it wasn't a
Speaker:specific debate, it happened on a regularly scheduled TV program, and you have Eleanor
Speaker:Roosevelt speaking on behalf of the Democratic candidate, Adlai Stevenson, and you have Maine
Speaker:Senator Margaret Chase Smith, speaking on behalf of Eisenhower. So if you define presidential
Speaker:debates as being sort of party representatives rather than necessarily the candidates, the
Speaker:very first presidential debate was 1956 and it was two women, which I think is really great.
Speaker:I also think it's really interesting that you had a former First Lady kind of quite actively
Speaker:campaigning. I know Michelle Obama, you saw her at the DNC very recently to this recording
Speaker:and Michelle Obama doesn't actually go out there campaigning, does she? No, no. And I mean,
Speaker:she's been very clear both in interviews, but also in her book, Becoming. She writes very
Speaker:clearly, I don't like politics. I'm not interested in going into politics. I will go out and talk
Speaker:about issues that are important to me. talks about speaking out for people that she knows
Speaker:and people she respects and so on, but she's not driven by politics in the same way. Eleanor
Speaker:Roosevelt was a very different character. She was very engaged with Franklin Roosevelt's,
Speaker:not just the campaign, but his administration. Of course, because he was paralysed as a result
Speaker:of polio and it was difficult for him to travel and so on. you know, she went out and about
Speaker:and met people that he didn't or couldn't or wouldn't. And she sort of fed that back to
Speaker:the administration. So she was, she's an interest, really interesting character in her own right,
Speaker:but continued sort of political engagement long after FDR died. I mean, she was, she was a
Speaker:key figure in the development of the UN, for example, after World War II. So maybe she's
Speaker:somebody that we can talk about in a future episode of the podcast. I think she probably
Speaker:deserves at least an episode of her own. Oh, I would love to do an episode on Eleanor Roosevelt
Speaker:and on FDR as well. I think maybe there's a sort of doubleheader there. I think obviously
Speaker:the two are going to overlap quite a bit. But I'd like to know because you've explained a
Speaker:little bit about some of the reasons around the rules, why it took so long for the second
Speaker:debate. I'm keen to know how popular that first debate was and how the audience figures have
Speaker:changed over time. Funnily enough, the figures haven't changed massively over time. So it's
Speaker:estimated that about 70 million people watched the first Kennedy-Nixon debate in 1960. I mean,
Speaker:it's easy to throw the number out there. 70 million is a huge number. I mean, take any,
Speaker:like the biggest of... TV shows at any moment in time would probably give the right arm for
Speaker:70 million people sitting down and watching it. So we're talking big numbers. And also
Speaker:just for context, that's basically the size of the entire population of the UK, right?
Speaker:Yeah. And probably bigger, of course, than the population size in 1960. Of course. So just
Speaker:to give you, yeah, just to sort of compare that. And actually, if you look at figures over the
Speaker:years that are sort of made publicly available. So something called the Commission on Presidential
Speaker:Debates that was formed in the late 1980s that for many years, up to this year actually, organized
Speaker:the presidential debate. And their website that I think we're going to link to in the show
Speaker:notes has publicly available data on. the number of viewers or estimated viewers for the debates
Speaker:over history. They suggest that numbers haven't changed a huge amount over time. They sort
Speaker:of hover between the low 60 million figure and upwards depending on debate. So the most watched,
Speaker:we were talking about this before we started recording, the most watched... presidential
Speaker:debate in US history to the current point was the first Clinton Trump debate in 2016. And
Speaker:that's about 84 million people. And my understanding is that 84 million doesn't include people who
Speaker:would say, watch it was streaming online or you know, that that's TV viewers, which is
Speaker:huge. I mean, okay, as a percentage of the population, that's probably slightly smaller than the Kennedy
Speaker:Nixon won, but it's still, I mean, there's 84 million households, right? Not just individuals,
Speaker:but households sitting down to watch the presidential debates. And just as a comparison, I mean,
Speaker:I could, there's no point. I could sit and read all the numbers off, but that will bore everybody
Speaker:to tears. But the first Biden Trump debate in 2020 was the third most watched in US history.
Speaker:And that had 73 million people. The one that was so consequential for this election cycle,
Speaker:the one June 2024, again, between Biden and Trump, where Biden just sort of basically,
Speaker:this whole campaign imploded, the estimates for that were about 51 million. So actually,
Speaker:in terms of the number of people who were watching it, live, at least, that was a little bit down.
Speaker:And I think... I think that probably reflects things we've talked about in this podcast before,
Speaker:which is that there was just a general apathy about the election. Fewer people wanted to
Speaker:tune in to watch two old white men basically debate each other in the format that they had
Speaker:debated each other in 2020. As of course we know, it all went unexpectedly wrong for the
Speaker:Biden campaign. And obviously I suspect many more people have seen clips of it since. Exactly.
Speaker:And I think that that's, it's that engagement, that follow up engagement with the debate that
Speaker:is probably more indicative of how much impact that debate has had. And, you know, when you
Speaker:mentioned that, you know, two of the three most watched presidential debates of all time involved
Speaker:Trump, that suggests to me that actually the audiences that they're galvanizing, to tune
Speaker:in live, are people that are already pretty loyal to one candidate or another and are tuning
Speaker:in to cheer that candidate on. And I just wonder how effective the debates are as a piece of
Speaker:live television to sway undecided. Yeah, it's difficult to tell, isn't it? Because there's
Speaker:an interesting thing, the second most watched debate in US history was 1980, which is the
Speaker:first one with Reagan. I find it interesting that those three top ones are with presidential
Speaker:candidates who already had sort of, I guess, a media presence. Reagan was in films, though
Speaker:he'd had a political career since then. And Trump, obviously, we've talked about his background
Speaker:with The Apprentice and sort of his sort of people were familiar with him just from being
Speaker:around in culture. It's hard to tell. I mean, the Pew Research. Center, which is one of the
Speaker:great go-tos for
Speaker:public opinion polls. It's a non-partisan organization that does polls internationally on a whole
Speaker:range of issues. But the last time they asked about presidential debates and who was watching
Speaker:them and whether the people watching them thought that they were useful in thinking about the
Speaker:candidates and deciding who to who to vote for. The last time they asked it, as far as I could
Speaker:see, was 2016, so that first Trump campaign. About 63% of their poll suggested that people
Speaker:were interested and they found them useful in thinking either about the candidates or about
Speaker:the policies that they were following. That number has been fairly steady in the years
Speaker:previously that they had asked. about this. Now, obviously, we know that American politics
Speaker:has become more partisan, it's become more divided, particularly when it comes to kind of presidential
Speaker:level and national level politics. On the ground, a lot of people kind of fall more into the
Speaker:purple zone than into the red or blue one, but national level politics has become increasingly
Speaker:divided, and particularly when you're talking about stuff. with this kind of level of exposure.
Speaker:So whether that might have changed since 2016, it's difficult to tell whether people are watching
Speaker:to see their particular candidate and sort of to cheer them on and to see that their candidate
Speaker:sort of deliver the knockout blow rather than tuning in to hear about policies. It may be
Speaker:that we don't have the evidence either way to suggest, but I mean, that wouldn't be new if
Speaker:you ask people about the most famous moments in the history of presidential debates. It's
Speaker:almost always gaffes that candidates, usually losing ones actually, that have made various
Speaker:points. So this idea of tuning in either to see somebody deliver the knockout blow or alternatively
Speaker:to see whether they're going to fall apart. that in and of itself isn't new. What's new
Speaker:at the moment is of course the partisan context in which it's taking place. And I think what
Speaker:can be so devastating for candidates now, particularly when they make a gaffe in a debate, is just
Speaker:how quickly that can spread and how much that can sort of come to define their campaign because
Speaker:with social media now, if you made a gaffe, back in the 70s, okay, news wires might pick
Speaker:it up and play a little clip on the national news or whatever. Nowadays, within minutes,
Speaker:that is clipped, it's on social media, it's going viral, and many more millions of people
Speaker:that would never have bothered to watch the debate are now very aware that you made a mistake
Speaker:in that debate. Yeah, instant memes, right? And probably... your worst moment or sometimes
Speaker:the good ones. I mean, one of the interesting things about the 2020 campaign, the primary
Speaker:campaign, one of the things that raised Kamala Harris's profile was when she challenged Biden
Speaker:on busing. And that was a similar thing, right? That got clipped and replayed and people showing
Speaker:that. So it can be... good stuff. But I think the nature of our society and politics as it
Speaker:is at the moment is that we have a tendency to go, oh my God, look what they did. That's
Speaker:terrible. Let's share it. Yeah. And actually, with that in mind, I wonder how networks have
Speaker:dealt with the changing expectations that people have on debates now and how that's impacted
Speaker:the way and the look and feel and the execution of presidential debates. Are TV networks having
Speaker:to think a little bit more about trying to get those soundbites and those elements that kind
Speaker:of bring people into the debate? Maybe not live, but at least encouraging them to engage afterwards.
Speaker:Yeah, I mean, interestingly, actually, the networks haven't had control over this until this year,
Speaker:actually. So mentioned before the Commission on Presidential Debates. So that was formed
Speaker:in... 1987 by an agreement between the Republican and the Democratic parties that there would
Speaker:be this sort of non-partisan non-profit organization that would be responsible for organizing the
Speaker:debates. They usually have a moderator and actually if you look at the history of the moderators,
Speaker:they cover all of the major networks in the US. So CBS, NBC, ABC, Fox, and actually PBS,
Speaker:which people here may not quite know so much about, is the public broadcasting system, which
Speaker:is the closest thing the US has to the BBC, although it's not exactly the same. So those
Speaker:have always been shared around, and particularly since the advent of Fox News, when there have
Speaker:been enough presidential debates, there's always been that sense that, you know, there's one
Speaker:conservative... moderator and sort of the others along the way. But the point of the commission
Speaker:was set up so that the networks didn't have control over it and the format was decided
Speaker:between the campaigns and the parties. And it's varied over time. Famously, for example, in
Speaker:1992, one of the debates like a more kind of town hall type feel. So they didn't have the
Speaker:podiums, they had a live audience and people could, the candidates could walk around and
Speaker:sort of as if they were sort of chatting to people individually. And that's widely considered
Speaker:to have favoured Clinton in 92 and this kind of style that he had of trying to connect with
Speaker:people. Obviously, you've got the famous moment from the 2016. campaign where Trump sort of
Speaker:loomed up behind Hillary Clinton as if like trying to intimidate her that also went viral
Speaker:in terms of those. The numbers have varied year on year, whether they have a, you know, what
Speaker:kind of audience they have. In fact, if you look at them, a lot of them have been held
Speaker:on university campuses, which I think is kind of interesting. So it's a changeable feast.
Speaker:And it's determined or has been at least determined by the commission and the campaigns and the
Speaker:candidates and you know who favors what and how many and set the rules. This year was slightly
Speaker:different. So the Republican National Committee pulled out of the commission in 2022. And it
Speaker:sort of cited a whole range of things, but said that the moderators were biased and also actually
Speaker:that the debates were too late. you know, normally they happen sort of September, October. Of
Speaker:course, the Biden one that we've been talking about was June, which is one I think about
Speaker:the earliest they've ever happened. And part of the reason for that was that a lot of states
Speaker:have early voting. So election days this year is November 5, but a lot of states opened their
Speaker:polls up to 30 days before that. And obviously, if you've got postal votes, then you're voting
Speaker:early as a as well. So there's been an argument in recent years that actually, some of those
Speaker:later presidential debates have been happening after people have already voted. So one of
Speaker:the reasons for having the June one this year was that it would reach people before early
Speaker:voting started. Yeah, I think it's interesting just all of those cogs that are wearing in
Speaker:the backgrounds, sort of making those seemingly... innocuous decisions about the format and the
Speaker:structure and the date of these debates because it is all quite calculated from the campaign
Speaker:teams. I don't know if anyone's ever watched the newsroom, which is the Aaron Sorkin show
Speaker:from the early 2010s. Love it. Absolutely love it. It's a great show and if you haven't, go
Speaker:and watch it. It takes place during the 2012 election, so there's this very dramatised arc
Speaker:in one of the seasons where they're... sort of the news network is trying to win a debate.
Speaker:But there's this sort of real compromise and negotiation happening between the news networks
Speaker:and the parties and to come to this sort of agreement on the rules and the format and the
Speaker:structure and all of these elements so that everyone's happy and it just really got me
Speaker:thinking about, you know, the debates as a campaign tool. You know, they're not really these independent
Speaker:platforms, are they, to grill candidates? No, they're stage managed. Yeah. And, you know,
Speaker:candidates are grilled to within an inch of their lives on these. And, you know, particularly
Speaker:those ones that we've seen more recently where it's been, you have a certain number of minutes
Speaker:to reply, to comment, and then they have a certain number of minutes to reply and respond and
Speaker:etc. Of course they're stage managed. Absolutely. Because... even if they don't have the questions
Speaker:in advance, you kind of have an idea of what sort of topics are going to come up. To reference
Speaker:another Aaron Sorkin series, The West Wing, which came before the newsroom. They have several
Speaker:episodes throughout the series, the seven-year series, where they've got their candidates
Speaker:being prepped for the debates and how that plays out in a kind of
Speaker:rigorously prepared for. I mean, as we're recording this, I mean, by the time this show goes out,
Speaker:they may have resolved it. But just as we're recording this, the current battle that seems
Speaker:to be going on is about the Trump-Harris debate and whether the candidates' microphones are
Speaker:going to be on or off when the other person is speaking. So the agreement with the Biden
Speaker:camp, And what happened in the first debate was that microphones would be off when people
Speaker:weren't speaking. And this seems to have been a response to, I think it was 2020, another
Speaker:viral moment from the 2020 campaign where, you know, Trump is constantly interrupting Biden
Speaker:and Biden quite famously says, will you just shut up, man? He's fed up. You see, he's getting
Speaker:fed up with being interrupted. So the agreements that they had this time was that microphones
Speaker:would be off to stop. that. And the Harris campaign has tried to make a bid to have microphones
Speaker:on permanently. And there's speculation about this, but as a general rule, it's thought that,
Speaker:again, this is about the campaigns, that the Republicans want the microphones off because
Speaker:it stops, it forces Trump to focus and he has that time that is allocated to him. And if
Speaker:he says something outside of that. the audience isn't going to hear it. So it makes him look
Speaker:more focused and on point. The idea that the Harris campaign want that on because they think
Speaker:that what it will show is him with outbursts and rambling on and all the rest of it and
Speaker:they think that's going to help their campaign. So yeah, it's just a little example of exactly
Speaker:what you're talking about in the current circumstances where... the campaigns are trying to work out
Speaker:what format is going to most benefit their particular candidate. Do you think they're almost sort
Speaker:of cutting their nose to spite their face because when it's so tightly controlled, it can almost
Speaker:become boring? Potentially. And you know, if people want effectively car crash TV, right,
Speaker:you know, there's that, that on the sort of edge of your seat, what's gonna happen. But
Speaker:I suppose it depends how you think about them, right? It's sort of, are these debates intended,
Speaker:regardless of what they end up being, are they intended to be spectacles, right? Where you,
Speaker:you know, you watch the two candidates slug it out in whatever format they want. Or are
Speaker:they intended to kind of be some kind of public service in which people get to understand not
Speaker:just who the candidates are, but what they stand for. I think historically at least, some of
Speaker:the reasoning for this was that there's a public service element here, right? That it's, yes,
Speaker:it's an opportunity for the candidates and for the parties to get their platforms out there
Speaker:and say what they, you know, where they stand on policy and, you know, that's it. But it's,
Speaker:you know, there's that informative element. where the balance has been, we all, you know,
Speaker:of course, they've sort of emerged it more into spectacle. They probably always were, right?
Speaker:You know, if it's televised and you've got an audience and you play up to the cameras and,
Speaker:you know, especially in this era of sound bites and all the rest of it, of course, that's part
Speaker:of it. But I think the format of them has always been about trying to manage that and also provide
Speaker:some element where you don't just allow them to go off on whatever tangent they want, that
Speaker:actually it's meant to be informative to the public. So I think there's been a tension between
Speaker:those two things. And have they always got it right? Probably not. But lots of people are
Speaker:still watching, regardless of why they're watching. And even if they do come for the spectacle,
Speaker:they're probably going to hear some stuff about policy as well. Yeah. And I think lots of people
Speaker:are watching, not just in the US, but all over the world. I mean, we're two Brits sat here
Speaker:in the UK talking about US presidential debates. We're not alone there. A lot of people care.
Speaker:And it makes me wonder if now that we're in an age where people want stuff on demand and
Speaker:people aren't necessarily going to watch live, particularly if you're in a different time
Speaker:zone. argument there to think about people coming along like Netflix who are now doing more live
Speaker:content and Amazon Prime and all these other streaming services. Is it only a matter of
Speaker:time before one of them pick up these debates? And how is that going to change the look and
Speaker:feel of it versus a news network running it? Yeah, it's hard to know because the whole point
Speaker:of these, it's in a bit of flux at the moment. So in the years when the Commission for Presidential
Speaker:Debates covered it. The whole point was that this was, like I said, almost like public service
Speaker:broadcasting. This was not for profit. This was public service. And they made the feed
Speaker:of this available to any network that wanted to show it. So it's not about competing. It's
Speaker:not like, oh, ABC's got it this time and Fox News will have the other one. It could show
Speaker:on all of those channels at the same time and historically has at various points. So it's
Speaker:hard to know. I mean, I can see the appeal of something like Netflix or Amazon Prime or either
Speaker:Disney Plus or start running out of streaming services to mention here. I feel like the BBC,
Speaker:right? Other services are available. But I suspect there might be resistance to it simply because
Speaker:of that idea about, you know, is this more, is this about money shaping politics? Is it
Speaker:profit who are doing this rather than companies that are doing it from a public broadcasting
Speaker:situation. And of course, most of them are streamed live anyway. So if you're thinking about an
Speaker:international audience, to the extent that the international audience actually matters, and
Speaker:I have some doubts about how much they're really thinking about the international audience,
Speaker:those things are available anyway via live stream. these days. So you wouldn't necessarily need
Speaker:something like one of the streaming platforms to make it available. So I don't know. I mean,
Speaker:if you think about them as entertainment, you can see that. But I genuinely think there'd
Speaker:be sort of resistance to doing that. And let's look at the June 2024 debate between Trump
Speaker:and Biden. I feel like we need to for a bit in this episode because It hadn't happened
Speaker:when we were first planning to record this. And the answer that I would have had to this
Speaker:question on the podcast, Who cares about presidential debates, would have been, well, not many people
Speaker:outside of a campaign team or that changed this year, didn't it? And so I'm keen to understand
Speaker:what lessons were learned from the Biden-Trump debate because the wheels came off and it ended
Speaker:Biden's campaign, right? Yeah. Yeah, despite his best attempts not to. And I mean, there
Speaker:had been concerns before, right? And I remember the discussion, you know, what would Biden
Speaker:need to do in the debate? It was like, just not mess up, which is hardly a high bar, right?
Speaker:To ask someone to achieve and in the end that didn't happen. I don't know. I think there's
Speaker:something quite specific about this particular election, right? About... We've talked... before,
Speaker:we'll probably talk again, you know, people were not enthusiastic, even the partisans,
Speaker:right, were really not that enthusiastic about a Trump-Biden rematch. And there was just a
Speaker:lot of apathy about the election. And I mean, actually, if you look at the viewing figures
Speaker:for that debate, before anybody knew what was going to happen, right, they were the lowest
Speaker:they've been since, I think, probably since presidential debates started. So the answer
Speaker:to your question, who cares? I mean, 51-ish million people is still a lot of people watching
Speaker:the debate, but it's significantly lower than in previous years, which does sort of suggest
Speaker:that people weren't that interested. Of course, what happened is that things went wrong and
Speaker:it showed up the weaknesses in Biden. And I think obviously more people have seen it since.
Speaker:And it's not the watching it live, it's the kind of the consequences of that. Lessons to
Speaker:be learned. That's hard to say. We've got two more debates coming up, or at least two that
Speaker:have been agreed. One between Trump and Harris and one between Walls and JD Vance. I'm looking
Speaker:forward to that one. I think, yeah. I mean, that just two completely different characters.
Speaker:Yeah. Right. I just think that has the makings of a really interesting one. And actually,
Speaker:interestingly, 2008, when Obama was running the first time, it's the one year that I could
Speaker:find where the vice presidential debate got higher viewing figures than the actual presidential
Speaker:candidates. I do wonder if the, the Wolfsfans one might be the same, the same here. I guess
Speaker:we'll see. But I think we're only going to see the idea of lessons learned or ways in which
Speaker:it shapes them by seeing what happens next. And we haven't seen that yet. And also in terms
Speaker:of format, like I said, we're in slightly uncharted territory at the moment, because both parties
Speaker:have now pulled out from the commission on presidential elections. These ones with networks. And I
Speaker:don't think we yet know what impact that might have on how these are run and organized in
Speaker:the future. So there are a few things to watch out for, I think, going forward. I think maybe
Speaker:then I should reword the question to this episode from who cares about presidential debates to
Speaker:why should candidates care about presidential debates? Because it feels like if you win a
Speaker:debate, or if you have this sort sound bitey moment. People like it, but it doesn't necessarily
Speaker:transform your fortunes. If you have a really bad debate, actually, as we've seen it with
Speaker:Biden, it can end your campaign. So it just feels like the benefits do not outweigh the
Speaker:risks. Certainly a tightrope to be walked. And like I said, some of the famous moments are
Speaker:where candidates got it wrong, which suggests those things are the things that live on in
Speaker:people's memories. But on the other hand, where they do seem to have benefited candidates,
Speaker:and actually this applies a little bit this year given everything that's happened, is to
Speaker:relatively unknown presidential candidates who are running for office. So Kennedy in 1960,
Speaker:Carter in 76, even to some extent Clinton in 92. You know, these were people who, I mean
Speaker:Kennedy, sort of, I guess all of them really, known in a kind of regional area within a small
Speaker:grouping, but didn't necessarily have a national platform. And what the debate did in a way,
Speaker:even campaigns couldn't necessarily, was give them a platform to get themselves known, sometimes
Speaker:just as people, sometimes in terms of the policies. And I think That applies to Harris too. I mean,
Speaker:you know, one of the things that people have been talking about is the fact that despite
Speaker:the fact that she's been vice president for four years, she's relatively unknown to most
Speaker:Americans. And we're seeing the pressure at the moment. Why hasn't she sat down for a TV
Speaker:interview at the moment? Why hasn't she, why is she now saying that she'll sit down for
Speaker:one, but she's bringing a vice presidential candidate along? Is this because she doesn't
Speaker:want to? do it by herself or she can't do it by herself. You have to take all of that with
Speaker:a pinch of salt. This is all driven to some extent by the partisan side of things. But
Speaker:in the same way that the conventions can provide a platform for people, the debates can do that
Speaker:too, especially for candidates who are less well known. And I mean, the one thing that
Speaker:we've not talked about so much is sort of the getting. the presidential debate. So increasingly
Speaker:there are primary debates that are televised now. Again, not entirely new. There are some
Speaker:examples of that happening on small scale, particularly in battleground states in the past. But those
Speaker:are becoming nationally televised as well. So you're getting more and more opportunities
Speaker:to do that. But yeah, I mean, I still think that it is there is a risk to candidates as
Speaker:we saw with Biden this year. And speaking as somebody who finds live public speaking quite
Speaker:terrifying. Because you never quite know, are you going to have a blank moment? Are you going
Speaker:to suddenly forget all the dates or the information that you had? And what if you can't find the
Speaker:right words? Or what if somebody asks you something you weren't prepared for? ramp that up to a
Speaker:massive scale when you're talking about national and international policy. And there's a, yeah,
Speaker:there are real risks there. But at the same time, that ability to respond and to deal with
Speaker:that, you know, it's something that Americans expect of their leaders. And if you're not
Speaker:going to show that in something that is as structured as a presidential debate, then that's going
Speaker:to be significant for people to want to know as well. Yeah, it's a great point to end on.
Speaker:When you look at the rhetoric in response to the Biden-Trump debate, that was part of it.
Speaker:It was a demonstration of just, it was kind of an affirmation of all the doubts that people
Speaker:had in his mental state, I guess, and his ability to lead at that level for another four years.
Speaker:It's weirdly unfortunate as well, because then you see the speech that he gave at the DNC,
Speaker:you know, that very forceful speech. And, you know, the meetings that he had at various times
Speaker:with international leaders, all of whom have no reason to come out and say, oh, yes, yeah,
Speaker:you know, he was he was on top of it and all the rest of it. So, you know, I think I'm pretty
Speaker:sure I've said before on one of these, you know, Biden is clearly somebody who has good days
Speaker:and bad days, right, at this point. And, you know, I think about my parents in particular
Speaker:circumstances, and maybe they have good days and bad days too. The consequences are different,
Speaker:clearly. But at the same time, you know, I think the debate in many ways showed Biden sort of
Speaker:at his worst and on a different day, maybe wouldn't have been. that wouldn't have been quite the
Speaker:same outcome, but it did. And we've seen the fallout of it. Yeah. And by the time this episode
Speaker:goes out, I think it would be just before the next debate, by the time we talk about this
Speaker:again, who knows, maybe after September 10th, the tickets are going to change again. Who
Speaker:knows how. I don't think the system could cope with that. Yeah, unlikely, but. Hey, who'd
Speaker:have thought that the first one would have had the sort of consequences it did? And, you know,
Speaker:I think it shows that there is still a lot of weight to the presidential debates and clearly
Speaker:a lot of people still do care about it when we consider the sort of very recent impacts
Speaker:that it's had. But thank you, Emma, for joining me on this episode to sort of give a bit more
Speaker:of the history behind that. Really interesting to understand more about, you know, how the
Speaker:debate started and how they evolved into what we know. they are today. So thank you so much
Speaker:Emma and to anyone listening, if you do want to find out a little bit more about presidential
Speaker:debates, we can put some links in the show notes for you to do just that. And Emma, if anyone
Speaker:wants to connect with you, where can they do that? Oh, as regular listeners will know, I'm
Speaker:not on social media. So if you search for my name at UEA, you'll find my email address is
Speaker:probably the best way to... get in touch and thank you for inviting me on. It's always a
Speaker:pleasure. Oh, it's always great, Emma. And you can find me on X as well. This is the Heff
Speaker:and on LinkedIn. And of course, you can find the show on Patreon. We are on there. So if
Speaker:you do want to support the show, we're going to record some bonus content straight after
Speaker:this that you'll find only on Patreon. So do check us out on there. And if you're listening
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Speaker:seconds and it will. really help us and help other people find the show as well. Thank you
Speaker:very much and goodbye.