Dollar General is slowing down its fresh produce rollout.
Speaker AAccording to Grocery Dive.
Speaker ADollar General's efforts to bring fresh produce, not produce produce to locations will continue into the new year, but at a slower pace compared to years prior.
Speaker ADollar General's plan.
Speaker ADollar General plans to begin selling fresh produce at approximately 300 more locations in 2025, bringing the total number of stores that have this offering to roughly 7000, which is still a lot of stores.
Speaker AFrom 2022 to 2023, Dollar General added produce to more than 1800 stores, bringing the store count that offered fresh fruits and vegetables to more than 5,000 locations.
Speaker AHowever, $ General still has ambitious store update plans in the new year.
Speaker ADuring the fiscal year 2025, the retailer aims to complete around 4,885 projects.
Speaker AThat sounds like an exact number.
Speaker BVery specific.
Speaker AYeah.
Speaker AIncluding 575 store openings in the US and 2000 full remodels.
Speaker AAnd is Dollar General's fresh rollout slowdown just an example of good capital allocation or do you think there's more going on here?
Speaker BI think it's a little bit of both, Chris.
Speaker BI think that, number one, this shows me that operating a grocery concept, especially one that includes fresh produce, isn't as easy as it might seem.
Speaker BAnd even though you have the best financial modelers at Dollar General, I think you still can't predict, you know, how consumers buy the cost of food, like inflation.
Speaker BEspecially, you know, with Dollar General kind of bringing this, it's still relatively new to some of the Dollar General stores being able to purchase these things.
Speaker BSo I actually think that, you know, they've already got a good pilot going with 5,000 stores and I think they're smart to kind of slow roll the rest of the rollout because they, they're still learning from it and they're still having to develop.
Speaker BAnd like I said at the beginning, like there's, it's still a very volatile and low margin industry grocery.
Speaker BSo I think like, you have to be really able to flex and learn as you continue to expand, especially at the pace that they were going to do that.
Speaker BSo I'd be doing the same thing if I was Dollar General.
Speaker BI'd be kind of phasing this out slowly.
Speaker BAnd the other thing I'd be watching too is, you know, as Walmart is still, still gaining share in grocery and that's a lot of the other retailers that's closest to people in these Dollar General geographies, like that's something their low, low pricing is something that you're going to have to contend with, too.
Speaker BSo that's something else that kind of plays into this as a.
Speaker BAs a tertiary factor.
Speaker BSo I think it's.
Speaker BIt's both like modeling the financial component of this and then figuring out operations of.
Speaker BOf running a grocery concept inside of a dollar store.
Speaker BBut where do you.
Speaker BWhat do you think about this?
Speaker BI mean, is this.
Speaker BDo you think it's.
Speaker BIt can be modeled correctly?
Speaker BLike, where.
Speaker AWhat do you think?
Speaker AYeah.
Speaker AYeah.
Speaker ANo.
Speaker AYeah.
Speaker AIn reality, the question I ask you is kind of silly, you know, because in reality, like, if you're gonna.
Speaker AIf you're gonna reallocate your capital, it's probably both.
Speaker ARight.
Speaker AIt's probably.
Speaker AIt's clearly not doing or not producing the ROI that they initially thought it was.
Speaker AAnd so especially compared to the standard remodels.
Speaker ASo they're reinvesting their capital.
Speaker AThey're smart and, you know, and I think.
Speaker BAnd is that common, Chris?
Speaker BLike, you worked on Fresh, like putting Target Fresh together.
Speaker BLike, where does.
Speaker BHow does that.
Speaker AIt's actually.
Speaker AIt's actually not that common, I would say, because retailers double down on things they've said, so actually give a lot of kudos to them for saying, okay, you know, we're still going to do it.
Speaker AWe're going to slow it down.
Speaker AWe're going to do it in the stores.
Speaker AWe think, you know, we're still going to do 300 stores.
Speaker AWe're going to do it in the stores where I think it's going to have the biggest impact.
Speaker AThe other thing I'll say, because I think we talked about this when they first announced the strategy.
Speaker AZach Brining is there.
Speaker AHe's former army star Zach Brining.
Speaker AHe was actually in charge of Targets Fresh rollout.
Speaker ASo.
Speaker ASo they have people inside Dollar General that know how to do this as well as anyone out there.
Speaker ASo I just think.
Speaker AI just think Net Net.
Speaker ATo me, it actually feels like a smart move on paper.
Speaker AAnd I don't think I'd read anything more into it than that, honestly.
Speaker BYeah, Yeah.