Hey, happy Football Sunday. This is the Fantasy Football Game Plan. We've got a bonus episode for Sunday night and Monday Night Football. We're gonna give you some of our favorite bets and talk about the games for the night games. Let's get into it. Sunday night, we've got the Packers at the Steelers. Packers are favored by two and a half over under 45 and a half. What do you think about this game? These two teams blind me, so I have a hard time picking either of them.

It should be a fun game. I think we are gonna get a very close game for, to end off this Sunday. Um.. Yeah, it's a, it's a tough one to read. My initial take was Steelers money line. I just think it's in a good bounce back spot after losing that Thursday night football game against the Bengals. They do have a rest advantage against the Packers and they here at home. It feels like a Mike Tomlin special winning a game. They probably shouldn't.

Yeah, I, like I said, I have a hard time. I cannot bet Aaron Rogers ever. I will just keep taking all of his unders and that hasn't gotten me. Done so well this year. So I kind of just stay away from betting either of these teams if I had to go with one. I feel like the Packers are definitely the better team, and if they harass. The heck out of Aaron Rogers and ta and sack him numerous times. I won't be sad,

Yeah.

I would give up the points. I think I'd take the Packers minus the two and a half at a minus one 10. But like I said, I'm not loving this one at all. It'll be entertaining. I'll have fun watching it. But as far as what I'm betting on, this one isn't for me.

I think the key matchup for the Packers and whether or not they'll cover this game is Josh Jacobs. I mean, when he gets rolling, that offense looks so much better, but if that defensive line for the Steelers is able to keep him in check, then we'll see what Jordan Love can do. But I would, take the Steelers in that case.

Yeah, Jordan Love probably won't be doing the same thing that we saw Flaco do, which was Target, you know, chase

Yeah,

over and over.

team.

Yeah, I wish there was. That's what we all keep hoping for with the Packers, but it hasn't happened. So both of the, the main sites, FanDuel and DraftKings have same day, same game. Parlay boost of 25% this, this week. So definitely check those out. What parlay do you have for this game?

Yeah, to take advantage of that boost, I have a plus four 15 same game parlay, or with the Boost, it's plus five 19, and the first leg starts off with Christian Watson returning from an 11 month absence and taking his over on receptions of one and a half. I like that. It's just one and a half. 11 months is quite a long time to not be playing football. But similar to how we saw Rishi Rice kind of get force fed, I think they want to give 'em the ball at least a couple times and just get 'em going, get 'em back in the game flow. And they kind of need 'em. They have a banged up wide receiver room right now. You know, Wix and Reed are out. Golden is questionable. So there's not a lot of other options. If the Steelers actually contain Jacobs, they need someone. So just a couple receptions here. It's a pretty small line.

I think they need to get him kickstarted. They've gotta get these wide receivers going and against the Steelers, we know you can do it. So, that's definitely a, a good, good one to, to kick off the parlay with.

Yeah, and I like that. Like I enjoy having the small lines too. 'cause then even in the first quarter, this could hit and then you're set.

Exactly.

The next one is I do wanna take Aaron Rogers to make this game and have 200 passing yards, so it's not his over underline, a little bit of an alt line. I feel better about a 200 limit because he is hit this in five to six games and they should have to keep up with the packers.

Hopefully he does. I don't mind if he throws interceptions. You know, I, you could definitely, take Aaron Rogers to throw an interception. I know he doesn't throw a lot of 'em, but against his old team, he might be forcing it a little bit. And the Packers defense is really good.

It is, they have a talented secondary and kind of contrarian to the other ones. You know, we took two overs for offensive players, but I'm actually gonna add in here the under 50 and a half. So an alt line on the over under, and taking the under of 50. being under 51 points. Really, I just think it's, the Steelers kind of got embarrassed last Thursday night. I think here at home they're gonna show up. That crowd is gonna be fully invested and, um, you know, or yeah, giving up 33 points to the Bengals was inexcusable. So I think they'll be much better prepared this game.

I think so too. This could definitely end up being a defensive struggle, um, and stay under the 50 points. Alright. Let's move on to Monday night. Commanders at the Chiefs Chiefs are favored by 11 and a half points over under his 47 and a half. Obviously we both like the chiefs in this game without Jayden Daniel, with the commanders, without Jayden Daniels again this week. I don't ever like giving up 11 and a half points. Do you?

Yeah, 11 and a half feels like way too much. Especially where it could be one of those games where it's covered right at the end by the commanders. You know, the chiefs really aren't trying and kind of just playing prevent that whole fourth quarter. I mean, we saw Mahomes sit the entire fourth quarter last week, so

Yeah,

feel an urge, they might do the same thing here. And I never really wanna play those heavy lines. For favorites in those games. So,,

Do we play it?

yeah, so I think both you and I when we were talking over this, we kinda had the same conclusion where we wanna find a way to go against the commanders without taking the entire game line, and we're just gonna target the commanders team total under 17 and a half points. It's a really nice number because, it's right, one of those key numbers to stay on the other side of. So it is under 17 and a half points at a minus one 12 price.

All right, we'll do that. May even bump that down a little bit, but one twelve's not too bad if you're looking to pick something on that game. Uh, how about a parlay? Do you have one?

Yeah, and DK also has a boost available for this one. I'm sure FanDuel will probably have theirs come Monday, but this is a plus 3 75, boosted a 4 69. It starts off with Travis Kelsey under 42 and a half receiving yards, and really just with Rashi Rice being back. That is going to eat into Travis Kelsey's workload. Where the first three games, and now this game, so we have like a four game sample in the past two seasons of Kelsey and Rice playing together, and Kelsey's averaged less than 31 yards in those games. So I like taking his under here.

I like the under again, they could all be sitting again in the fourth quarter, so they get up early in this game. That could come from just defensive score. Is even, and their offense doesn't have to do a whole lot, and Andy Reed's not going to force that offense if he doesn't have to. What are we pairing? It

Yeah. Uh, Travis Kel had 59 on the last game, but a lot of it was just one big play. So him and Rice work in the same area of the field, I like taking the under.

sounds good.

next one is also another short target wide receiver and kind of that arc type of wide receiver who does a lot of his work after the catch. That's Deebo Samuel over four and a half receptions because I think screens is basically gonna be the only thing they can do. We know Cliff Kingsbury loves his screens. I don't think they're gonna ask Mariota to push the ball down the field. He's hit this line in four of six games already.

Yeah, it'll be interesting what Cliff Kingsbury schemes up for this game because he does get kind of creative and that might be what is fun that comes out of this. But, believing in Marcus Mariotta is not something that I can, can do. So I like the screen idea and that there, you know, getting it to deebo out there as well.

get it outta Marita's hands and into your Playmakers. They have both McLaurin and Deebo available for this game.

Yeah, what's a, what's the last leg?

As the anchor for this parlay, we have chiefs minus six and a half, so it's a little bit less than their actual line, but I just like being under that seven for the reasons we kind of already laid out. We don't think they're gonna be pressed in the second half, and then it just becomes kind of, how do those random events shake out, for that 11 and a half point line. So just gimme the minus six and a half for a parlay. We already have enough odds here to get the payout.

Yeah, exactly. I like the seven. I could probably. Tee us up to nine and a half even. I wanna stay under that 10. I think chiefs win by 10. I don't like the 11 and a half. That one just gets messy.

Yeah, I completely agree. In total, that's, yeah. Plus 4 69 with a boost.

Awesome. Well, that'll do it. Happy football Sunday and play smart. Have fun and hope everyone is winning today.