Nike has changed its CEO and stock prices have soared.
Matt FraitzenDoes it really matter?
Matt FraitzenAnd what does it mean for the future?
Matt FraitzenWe're going to discuss it this time on fire footwear.
Matt FraitzenWelcome back to Fire Footwear, everybody.
Matt FraitzenAs always, this is your host, Matt Fraitzen.
Matt FraitzenI hope that this finds you well, and I want to thank you for coming back to this podcast.
Matt FraitzenOver the last couple of weeks, we've seen a little bit of a surge in new listeners and new consumers of the content.
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Matt FraitzenSo Nike has changed their CEO.
Matt FraitzenIt was announced last week that John Donohoe was stepping down as Nike CEO and he was going to be replaced.
Matt FraitzenAnd I think a lot of people felt a certain way in the sneaker world.
Matt FraitzenBut I wanted to talk about it a little bit because I think what has happened recently, and I think this happens because I believe that sneaker people, people like us, I think we kind of assume that companies like Nike, Adidas, Puma, all of those sneaker companies that are giving us the heat that we're constantly picking up, I think we assume that they exist to placate sneaker culture.
Matt FraitzenYou saw this whenever air came out in 2023, a lot of people, a lot of sneakerheads were saying that there wasn't enough sneaker history, there wasn't enough for them, when really, the movie is not for you, the really, the movie is for the general public.
Matt FraitzenAnd so Nike is one of those companies that I think falls into this category.
Matt FraitzenAnd I honestly think they fall into this category more so than others.
Matt FraitzenThe reason being is because sneaker culture is so big now, but Nike does so much more than just make sneakers for sneaker culture.
Matt FraitzenThey didn't start out that way, and they certainly don't just do that.
Matt FraitzenThey do a lot of things.
Matt FraitzenThey provide athletic apparel, athletic gear for so many professional teams, the US Olympic team.
Matt FraitzenThey are an international brand that does so, so much.
Matt FraitzenAnd so when the CEO gets changed over, I think it's obvious that a lot of people are missing the point that it's not just about what does it mean for sneaker culture.
Matt FraitzenIt means for a lot of different things.
Matt FraitzenBut I also think that there is sort of this unfair narrative going around sneaker culture about John Donohoe's leadership and about his time there.
Matt FraitzenBecause once again, there is this disconnect between what people think and what is actually the truth.
Matt FraitzenAnd there are highs and lows to his leadership.
Matt FraitzenAnd I think that it's only fair that we kind of go over some of those because many people are taking a Victory laugh thinking that this means that the company is going to be cool again.
Matt FraitzenLet's be clear.
Matt FraitzenJohn Donohoe is not in that position to keep Nike cool necessarily.
Matt FraitzenHe's there to make sure that a certain amount of people make a lot of money.
Matt FraitzenThat's himself included.
Matt FraitzenAnd so the CEO is incentivized to go in there and basically make sure that the bottom line continues to creep up and up.
Matt FraitzenAnd sometimes that comes at the disservice of your consumer.
Matt FraitzenBut if we're looking at the highs of his tenure now, we should also start by saying his tenure went from 2020 to 2024.
Matt FraitzenAnd I feel like when you say the year 2020, it's very triggering for a lot of people.
Matt FraitzenAnd that's because that was the pandemic.
Matt FraitzenIt was a really difficult time for a lot of people, but it also served as a really high profile time for sneakers in general because the pandemic, one of the things that it did outside of obviously spreading the coronavirus.
Matt FraitzenBut the other thing that it did was it made it feel as if resources were scarce.
Matt FraitzenFirst of all, time with our loved ones was scarce because we weren't leaving the house, at least most of the time.
Matt FraitzenToilet paper was scarce because people were just going to the stores and almost stealing it at some point.
Matt FraitzenAnd sneakers became something that people gravitated toward because of the last dance documentary.
Matt FraitzenAnd because of that, obviously, prices went up.
Matt FraitzenBut there were a lot of high profile sneaker releases in that four year period.
Matt FraitzenAnd you also have to remember, right before that period happened, Kobe Bryant passed away.
Matt FraitzenSo obviously there's a lot there.
Matt FraitzenOff white.
Matt FraitzenOff White was something that was huge prior to the pandemic.
Matt FraitzenAnd then, of course, Virgil Abloh suddenly passes away in 2021.
Matt FraitzenAnd so you see all of these things happening that make it a little bit difficult for sneaker culture because a lot of their quote unquote cash cows have now left this earth.
Matt FraitzenAnd so they have to figure out a path forward.
Matt FraitzenAnd we saw even off white have a little bit of an imprint with the 50 dunk collection.
Matt FraitzenAnd we saw the dunk low panda have its moment in the sun.
Matt FraitzenNow, it's something that you can easily get, but at the height of the pandemic, at the height of resale, it was something people were going to the replica market for.
Matt FraitzenIt was that popular.
Matt FraitzenOf course, you saw a lot of classics come back over the years.
Matt FraitzenThe Air Max 90 bacon.
Matt FraitzenYou saw a ton of Kobe's comeback.
Matt FraitzenThe partnership between Kobe and Nike was reinvigorated.
Matt FraitzenVanessa Bryant bringing it back.
Matt FraitzenAnd so for a lot of people, there was a lot of good shoes to be had.
Matt FraitzenAnd over the years, though, up until very recently, resale prices went from the highest they've ever been to almost back down to what they were pre pandemic.
Matt FraitzenFor some shoes, it's not the truth.
Matt FraitzenObviously, Kobe's are going to continue to sell because of his legacy.
Matt FraitzenHe's no longer here.
Matt FraitzenSo a lot of people want a piece of that legacy.
Matt FraitzenBut there has been a lot to be had in that time period.
Matt FraitzenAnd I think people kind of forget that because the oversaturation makes us forget that.
Matt FraitzenThere has been a lot of heat, a lot of retros, a lot of really quality releases.
Matt FraitzenResurgence of new people like Amma moneyer on the scene.
Matt FraitzenAnd I think that a lot of that has caused sneaker culture to be in a really good place today.
Matt FraitzenBut if you also look at some of the business decisions, we're talking direct to consumer strategy now, this one, in some ways, I think that it's good because I think you want to have a direct line to your customer.
Matt FraitzenObviously, if you're creating a business, you want to be able to be seen giving the product to your customer.
Matt FraitzenAnd when you have middlemen, when you have businesses that are in the middle, it can make it so that costs are a little bit bloated because you're obviously giving it to another company who then you have to figure out percentages and things of that nature.
Matt FraitzenBut also a lot of those brands, we're talking foot locker.
Matt FraitzenA lot of those brands had a nostalgic pull to a lot of people in the culture.
Matt FraitzenI remember being a young kid and going into foot locker all the time because it was the sneaker store that was in the mall that I went to.
Matt FraitzenThat's where I saw my first Reebok pump.
Matt FraitzenThat's where I saw a lot of shoes that I really wanted that my mom just wouldn't get me.
Matt FraitzenSo I have memories there.
Matt FraitzenAnd a lot of people, that was their accessibility.
Matt FraitzenIt was an access point to be able to get shoes, because going online now, there are so many people going after these shoes on release day that it's very difficult.
Matt FraitzenI did an episode about sneakers and how there's so many people going after every single hype release that people don't realize that it's all about numbers.
Matt FraitzenIt's just too many people going out for shoe that they just did not make enough supply of.
Matt FraitzenAnd really they can't make enough of a supply of it.
Matt FraitzenSo while going direct to consumer obviously was meant to build direct relationships with its consumer, I think it did put a strain on traditional retail partnerships that really, again, in the sneaker market specifically, had a very high level of nostalgia and people wanted to go there.
Matt FraitzenSo while they were trying to, again, make it more direct, I think what they did was take away some access points for people.
Matt FraitzenAlso in this timeframe, Nike was focused on sustainability initiatives and we're talking about reducing their carbon footprint.
Matt FraitzenAnd that's when they started to get into a lot of the things like the Nike space hippie line, and they started using recycled materials.
Matt FraitzenYou started seeing the refurbished line, using the recycled boxes, things like that.
Matt FraitzenI mean, there's something to be said about that long term for the company, but a lot of people didn't see how it translated to sneakers.
Matt FraitzenAnd I think a lot of people felt like refurbished shoes or sustainable materials made it feel like sneakers were less than what we normally would get.
Matt FraitzenAnd honestly, as a culture, we're already pretty critical about what kind of materials are used, the kind of quality we get, the QC, stitching, glue, stains, all that stuff.
Matt FraitzenSo while the idea of sustainability as a company is a good thing, I think it fail to translate to a quality product, at least in the perception of sneaker culture.
Matt FraitzenAnd then, of course, Nike has been known for technological innovations throughout its entirety.
Matt FraitzenAnd while maybe they are a little bit behind when it comes to certain innovations in design, I think when it comes to technological advances, they are still kind of in that space of being near the top.
Matt FraitzenAnd one of the things that stands out to me is the Nike go fly ease.
Matt FraitzenNow, the fly ease hasn't really caught on as this mainstream shoe that people are wearing, but I think that the idea behind it of making it a lot easier, a hands free shoe designed for accessibility, I think that is a great, great thing.
Matt FraitzenAnd I do believe that we need to be thinking about people in the culture and just people who are wearing shoes in general, who maybe don't have the, the privilege of having two arms or the privilege of being able to tie their shoes.
Matt FraitzenAnd so I think that was something that happened in that time period that was a really great thing.
Matt FraitzenOf course they were trying to hit on the NFT market which had this moment but has kind of come down to earth.
Matt FraitzenAnd so they started making sneaker nFts and things like that.
Matt FraitzenAll of that was really a fad.
Matt FraitzenBut I think that kind of summarizes the highs.
Matt FraitzenAnd obviously I didn't hit all of them.
Matt FraitzenBut Nike wasn't exactly dormant during this time period.
Matt FraitzenUnfortunately though, you are judged a lot of times by what did you do for me lately?
Matt FraitzenAnd that's where the lows come in.
Matt FraitzenSo let's talk about some of these supply chain disruptions.
Matt FraitzenCovid-19 I talked about resources being scarce and that really was a reality for so many people and honestly so many things.
Matt FraitzenAnd we're talking about factory related shutdowns in Southeast Asia due to the Covid-19 pandemic.
Matt FraitzenAnd we saw a shortage of so many materials, so many things that really caused supply chain issues to where this direct to consumer idea was even halted further because they couldn't get shoes out.
Matt FraitzenAnd so while there was a perceived lack of resources across the world, in many places there was a lack of resources and there was disruptions in getting the products to their consumer because even if you go direct to consumer you still have to have an avenue to get it to your consumer.
Matt FraitzenYou still have to have an avenue to get the material source, the materials.
Matt FraitzenAnd I think that was something that happened during the pandemic that Nike really had a hard time with.
Matt FraitzenThey weren't the only ones, but obviously it made people feel as if they weren't as high priority for Nike in terms of sneaker culture.
Matt FraitzenAnd then of course you get this direct to consumer strategy, which is something that I said was both a pro and a con.
Matt FraitzenAnd they certainly were aggressive in pushing this out.
Matt FraitzenAnd I honestly believe that one of the things that happened is obviously they took away access points, they obviously took away nostalgia.
Matt FraitzenBut I think that Nike's aggressiveness and trying to push this so hard and pushing out so many retailers that had been so critical in making Nike the brand that they are today.
Matt FraitzenI honestly believe that it created so much tension in the wholesale market, it contributed to some product availability and consistencies.
Matt FraitzenAnd I think people kind of felt like Nike was doing this and they weren't doing it with us in mind.
Matt FraitzenThey really weren't doing it with the consumer in mind, because on its surface, when you cancel out the foot lockers and the foot actions and the east bays and so forth, what you've done now is you've basically made it known that these companies don't matter, these stores don't matter.
Matt FraitzenAnd so for a lot of people, that perception gets put on them and they think, well, I don't matter because that's where I would go or that's where I would shop for shoes.
Matt FraitzenAnd so I think it made Nike feel or seem a little bit ruthless, a little bit lethal in their approach because they're trying to push them out as hard as possible.
Matt FraitzenAnd I think all of these came down to you also had some labor practices and criticisms about how they would go about that.
Matt FraitzenAnd despite efforts to kind of improve some of them, they continued to face criticism for working conditions in overseas factories.
Matt FraitzenAnd we're talking about factories that were affected by the pandemic.
Matt FraitzenVietnam, Indonesia, I talked about supply chain issues.
Matt FraitzenAnd obviously all of that comes together for Nike to have a hard time of it, even though resale prices were going up, I think behind the lines, behind the scenes at Nike, they were having a tough time.
Matt FraitzenAnd all of this comes down to the lowest of the lows.
Matt FraitzenThis is the low that almost every single person I've talked to has actually pointed to directly as to why John Donahoe's time was a failure and it was Nike stock performance.
Matt FraitzenI should note that during the height of the pandemic, when the stock market here in the United States crashed all the way down almost to rock bottom, I became a stockholder of Nike because the stock dropped so much, I was able to get in at a really good entry point.
Matt FraitzenAnd over the course of the pandemic, while I was sitting here internally complaining about resale prices and about the lack of availability for shoes, my Nike stock was going up like crazy.
Matt FraitzenAnd it had peaked at a price that was almost double what I paid for it.
Matt FraitzenAnd now you're looking at it where it's barely over what I paid for it.
Matt FraitzenAnd unfortunately for us sneakerheads and the sneaker community, as much as we want to think that Nike, Adidas, Puma, Asics, new balance, that they're all out for us, out for the culture, they're out for the bottom line.
Matt FraitzenAnd when you're a publicly traded company, your stock performance is the metric that everybody sees.
Matt FraitzenAnd so when you see that stock price continue to go down, continue to go down when they are trying to have shoes more available, but they're not selling out the stock price continues to go down.
Matt FraitzenThis is unfortunately a direct reflection on your CEO.
Matt FraitzenAnd for John Donohoe, that was the last straw to see it go down to pandemic levels.
Matt FraitzenThink about that, folks.
Matt FraitzenWhen the stock market in the United States crashed so hard that so many stocks were so available and so down, for Nike to go back to those levels, that was a different time in this country.
Matt FraitzenThat was such an unstable time.
Matt FraitzenAnd normally the stock market crashes that hard because of really catastrophic events, events that really can't be foreseen.
Matt FraitzenThink about 2008, when the stock market crashed and now you have a CEO who is lording over a company that has a stock price that not only hasn't recovered, but has doubled and gone right back down.
Matt FraitzenAnd you just can't have that.
Matt FraitzenThe CEO gets paid a lot of money and they get paid a lot of money to make other people a lot of money.
Matt FraitzenAnd so when your stock price falls by almost 50%, the board of directors is just not going to sit for that.
Matt FraitzenBecause those people, that's their livelihood on the line.
Matt FraitzenAnd yes, they make a ton of money regardless of what the stock price is for nike.
Matt FraitzenSo I'm not sitting here saying that you should feel bad for them or that I personally have sympathy for them.
Matt FraitzenWhat I am saying though is when it comes down to it, your company has to perform.
Matt FraitzenAnd if it's not performing, you, the CEO, are the one that is going to get fired.
Matt FraitzenAnd so they have now moved on to Elliot Hill.
Matt FraitzenNow Elliot Hill has had an extensive tenure at Nike.
Matt FraitzenHe has been at the company since 1988, but he's held various leadership roles at the company.
Matt FraitzenHe played a crucial role in expanding Nike's presence in North America and in Europe.
Matt FraitzenAnd that's really big because Nike obviously being the global brand that they are, they needed touch points to be able to do that.
Matt FraitzenFrom 2018 to 2020, he was the president of consumer and marketplace and he was responsible for overseeing their global marketing strategies, their retail operations, their overall consumer engagement.
Matt FraitzenAnd that's where I think the sneaker community feels like maybe Nike is lacking these days in that consumer engagement.
Matt FraitzenBecause a lot of people want to feel like Nike is listening to their complaints and listening to what they want and in some ways they are.
Matt FraitzenIn some ways they are not.
Matt FraitzenBut what you saw during his tenure in those positions is Nike's revenue and market share grow, pushing the company past $39 billion in annual revenue by 2020.
Matt FraitzenSo the company was doing really well by the time that John Donahoe became the CEO.
Matt FraitzenSo it's not as if Nike was hurting and all of a sudden John Donohoe made it worse.
Matt FraitzenIt's just these things ebb and flow.
Matt FraitzenHe has been key to the leadership and global expansion, like I mentioned, instrumental in driving Nike's global expansion endeavors, especially in emerging markets.
Matt FraitzenAnd they built localized strategies that deepen consumer loyalty across regions.
Matt FraitzenAnd while I think that this is true across the board, I think that there are some people who feel that Nike has not been loyal to them.
Matt FraitzenAnd so you're not seeing that.
Matt FraitzenBut now he's going to take on the CEO role and he's going to basically come back in October of 2024.
Matt FraitzenIt's his first time in the top leadership role and he's going to be tasked with navigating the next phase.
Matt FraitzenAnd that's why I ask you, what does it mean for the future?
Matt FraitzenWell, the first thing that you see is that Nike has decided to take back and delay the Jordan one reimagined black toe.
Matt FraitzenI think that's a sign of things to come because I think what they saw was, hey, wait a minute, we have the black cement threes coming out and now we're going to put this piece of history.
Matt FraitzenI think they're going to spread things out of.
Matt FraitzenI was reading the other day on sole Savvy's website that they're now going to be stopping production or pushing back production of a lot of shoes.
Matt FraitzenThey're going to be producing less.
Matt FraitzenThey're going to make it seem as if there is less to be had.
Matt FraitzenThey're trying to drive up hype.
Matt FraitzenAnd as much as we all hate that, it's what is going to keep sneakers alive.
Matt FraitzenResell, at some point in hype is going to have to buoy this market.
Matt FraitzenAnd I think that people are disappointed with that because right now is the best time for sneakers because almost everything is available.
Matt FraitzenBut that means that there's no hype.
Matt FraitzenThat means that there's nothing to sustain it into the future.
Matt FraitzenAnd I think that Elliot Hill is going to look at this and he is going to try to get Nike back on the map.
Matt FraitzenThey are perceived as being not cool right now and they just cannot have that.
Matt FraitzenNike needs to get back.
Matt FraitzenThey need to grow their stock, they need to make more money, and they're going to do that off the backs of athletes and they're going to do that off the backs of sneaker culture.
Matt FraitzenBefore we get to the end of the episode, though, as always, I have a release of the week for you.
Matt FraitzenRelease of the week where I like to give you a shoe that catches my eye.
Matt FraitzenIt's not always hype.
Matt FraitzenSometimes it is.
Matt FraitzenIt's just something that I want you to know about.
Matt FraitzenThis is a shoe that I have seen a lot of people talking about on social media, specifically Instagram, but it is on September 30, 2024, the Nike Air Max 95 erosion.
Matt FraitzenThe Air Max 95, as I said, is one of those if you know, you know, kind of silhouettes.
Matt FraitzenIf you grew up with it, if you grew up wearing it, you know how fire it is.
Matt FraitzenMaybe if you haven't seen it before, maybe if you're not familiar with it.
Matt FraitzenIt doesn't seem like it's something that fits in today's aesthetic, today's society.
Matt FraitzenBut this rosen shoe with two different shoes, with the colors that it has, that muted, earthy palette, I think it's actually beautiful.
Matt FraitzenIt's really awesome.
Matt FraitzenI won't be going out for it because I've copped enough this year.
Matt FraitzenI see a lot of hype for it.
Matt FraitzenI see a lot of people talking about it.
Matt FraitzenThe thing is, though, this is not going to be like a hyped release in the same way that you'd see a Travis Scott.
Matt FraitzenThis is just a very beautiful shoe, at least from the pictures.
Matt FraitzenIt's part of the city pack and I think it's just a great, great addition to the Air Max 95 lineup.
Matt FraitzenWe've seen some awesome ones with that Toronto release a couple of weeks ago.
Matt FraitzenSo we got two fire air Max 95s right in a row.
Matt FraitzenAnd I believe that that is your time to cop one.
Matt FraitzenIf you do not have one, and it is a beautiful one, it's perfect for fall.
Matt FraitzenIt's perfect for.
Matt FraitzenHonestly, it's perfect for any time.
Matt FraitzenSo if you need an Air Max 95 in your collection, that is the time.
Matt FraitzenDo you, as sneaker culture care about CEO's and do you think that this changeover is going to make things better for the culture or do you think it just doesn't matter?
Matt FraitzenI would love to know.
Matt FraitzenCall the fire footwear hotline.
Matt FraitzenGive me a sneaker story.
Matt FraitzenGive me your opinion.
Matt FraitzenI'd love to play it on a future episode.
Matt FraitzenAnd that is for your us callers.
Matt FraitzenArea code 202-643-9170 if you're international, just make sure you get that plus one country code in there.
Matt FraitzenI love to hear from all the people who are part of sneaker culture.
Matt FraitzenYou can find me on Instagram.
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Matt FraitzenHope this finds everybody well, fam, I hope this finds everybody safe.
Matt FraitzenAnd as always, I will talk to you next time.
Matt FraitzenThis is fire footwear.
Matt FraitzenThe opinions and viewpoints expressed on fire footwear are those of Matt freights and his guest, and not necessarily those of the Matti Ice media network.
Matt FraitzenFire footwear is exclusively owned by Matt Freights and is brought to you by the Matti Ice Media Network.