We need to talk about ideas, good.
Speaker BOnes and bad ones.
Speaker AWe need to learn stuff about the world.
Speaker AWe need an honest, intelligent, thought provoking.
Speaker BAnd entertaining review of what the hell.
Speaker AHappened on this planet in the last seven days.
Speaker AWe need to sit back and listen to.
Speaker ATo the Iron Fist and the Velvet Glove.
Speaker BYes.
Speaker BI'll tell you what happened in the last seven days.
Speaker BDonald Trump did not disappoint in terms of providing content for podcasts that discuss news and politics and sex and religion.
Speaker BPodcasts like this one.
Speaker BI'm Trevor, AKA the Iron Fist, and over there in regional Queensland at the bottom of the screen is Scott the Velvet Glove.
Speaker BWelcome back, Scott.
Speaker CThanks very much, Trevor.
Speaker CG'day, Joe.
Speaker CG'day, listeners.
Speaker CI hope everyone's well.
Speaker BAnd Joe Tech guy like myself in Brisbane, battening down the hatches waiting for the cyclone.
Speaker BYes.
Speaker BHow are you?
Speaker BWell, you're okay for a man with chronic Crohn's disease.
Speaker AI'm treading water.
Speaker BYeah.
Speaker BJoe's smiling because only a few days ago he bought a bulk pack of toilet paper and people in southeast Queensland are racing to the shops and buying toilet paper and Joe is sitting on a gold mine of toilet paper if he chose to sell it.
Speaker ABut I don't have my usual drinking water, so I'm having to do with tap water.
Speaker BYeah.
Speaker BCouldn't buy bottled water.
Speaker ANo.
Speaker AI'll have to put some rum in it instead.
Speaker BYeah, so, yeah, we're desperately battening down the hatches here in Brisbane, awaiting Alfred, see what happens.
Speaker BSo.
Speaker BSo, yeah, if you're in the chat room, say hello, John's in the chat room already.
Speaker BTrump did say great tv.
Speaker BHopefully it makes good podcast content.
Speaker BSo, yes, we'll be talking about Donald Trump and that press conference in the Oval Office with Zelensky and his vice president, J.D.
Speaker Bvance.
Speaker BWhat's it all mean?
Speaker BWhat should we take away from it?
Speaker BAlso stuff about Orcas and it's all sort of international stuff, really.
Speaker BShould we just divert briefly then, Scott, before we get on to the international Locally, it looks like Albanese might call the election early once the WA elections are over or something.
Speaker CYeah, I was, I was listening to that this morning, that they think that it's going to be called the weekend after next, so that the WA election will be over by about a fortnight or something like that.
Speaker CThen Albanese is going to go on the 12th of April, so he's only a month early.
Speaker CIt just is what it is.
Speaker BWe'll just bring on a minority government even sooner.
Speaker CYeah, it's going to Bring on a minority government.
Speaker BSure.
Speaker CYou know, it's just one of those things as to who's going to end up.
Speaker CWho's going to end up with the largest number of seats.
Speaker CYou know, I hope Dutton doesn't get the larger number of seats than what Albanese does, because that'll mean Albanese's got the first opportunity to form government.
Speaker BOf course, one of the things that came out in the last seven days was about Dutton having bought shares in.
Speaker BIn banks just prior to a policy announcement that raised the.
Speaker BThe value of bank shares and also how he owns so many properties for a man of.
Speaker BWell, do you know how much.
Speaker BSo when that came out about the sort of the shares scandal, do you know how many articles the Courier Mail ran the next day about that?
Speaker BA big fat zero.
Speaker BNot even one.
Speaker BExcept the political cartoon sort of insinuated that Albanese had run a dirt file on Dutton.
Speaker BAnd that was it.
Speaker BThat was it.
Speaker CSo everyone runs dirt files on each other.
Speaker AYeah, I'm.
Speaker BDamn.
Speaker AI meant to look at the latest friendly Geordies, but I haven't got around to that yet.
Speaker BLatest friendly Geordies is about that topic.
Speaker BI think he was also talking about it.
Speaker BSo.
Speaker BYeah.
Speaker BOkay.
Speaker BAlice is in.
Speaker BAlison is in the chat room.
Speaker BGood on you, Alison.
Speaker BAnd there we go.
Speaker BAll right, so look, no doubt if you're listening to this podcast, you would have seen and heard the press conference with Zelensky.
Speaker BI'll play just a minute of it just to get us warmed up and in the mood and to remind us of what happened.
Speaker BSo here's just one minute of that press conference.
Speaker BYour country is in big trouble.
Speaker BWait a minute.
Speaker BNo, no.
Speaker BYou've done a lot of talking.
Speaker BYour country is in big trouble.
Speaker AI know.
Speaker BYou're not winning.
Speaker DYou're not winning this.
Speaker BYou have a damn good chance of coming out okay.
Speaker BBecause of us, Mr.
Speaker BPresident, we are staying in our country, staying strong.
Speaker BFrom the very beginning of the war, we've been alone and we are thankful.
Speaker BI said thanks.
Speaker BYou haven't been in this cabinet.
Speaker BYou haven't been in this cabinet.
Speaker BWe gave you, through this stupid president, $350 billion.
Speaker BWe gave you military equipment and you met a brave.
Speaker BBut they had to use our military.
Speaker BIf you didn't have our military equipment you invited.
Speaker BYou didn't have our military equipment, this war would have been over in two weeks.
Speaker BIn three days.
Speaker BI heard it from Putin.
Speaker BIn three days.
Speaker BThis is something maybe less.
Speaker BIn two weeks.
Speaker AOf course, yes.
Speaker BIt's going to be a very hard thing to do.
Speaker CBusiness like this, just say thank you.
Speaker BI said a lot of excitement.
Speaker AExcept American people, except that there are.
Speaker CDisagreements and let's go litigate those disagreements rather than trying to fight it out in the American media.
Speaker CWhen you're wrong, we know that you're wrong.
Speaker BBut you see, I think it's good for the American people to see what's going on.
Speaker BI think it's very.
Speaker BThere we go.
Speaker BThat's a little taste of it.
Speaker CHe's an arrogant.
Speaker BWell, you know, the thing that struck me was it was like, it was like a mafia stand over sort of bully boy tactics.
Speaker BLike they've clearly, you know, they've got this deal that they want to strike where Ukraine hands over half of its critical resource wealth.
Speaker BYes.
Speaker BAny sort of resource wealth, plus I believe it includes infrastructure and ports and stuff.
Speaker AIt does.
Speaker AAnd if you actually read the terms of it, it was basically a joint capital fund.
Speaker AThe Americans were going to put up the capital to develop the minerals and in exchange they would get half of the revenue because they would own half the company.
Speaker BYeah.
Speaker BAnd they would also be allowed access throughout the country as well for the purposes of extracting all this stuff.
Speaker BAnd it was just, you know, handing over half the wealth.
Speaker BAnd you could tell that they were trying to.
Speaker AYou don't need security guarantees because if American companies are in there, of course we'll take care of them.
Speaker BYes.
Speaker BIt's like nobody will dare attack you if America owns some of this stuff.
Speaker BSo that's your security guarantee.
Speaker ACompletely forgetting that, of course, American companies were operating in Ukraine when the Russians invaded.
Speaker BIndeed.
Speaker BThat didn't stop them.
Speaker BSo.
Speaker BSo it just struck me as them trying to really ram it home to him to sign the fucking agreement.
Speaker BAnd the fact that he had seemingly refused to without some sort of extra guarantees just pissed them off no end.
Speaker ADid you see the previous question?
Speaker BYes, I probably did.
Speaker BWhich one was that?
Speaker ASo, Marjorie, Taylor Greene's boyfriend was one of the journalists in the room and he said, don't you own a suit?
Speaker BYes.
Speaker BSo he was criticized for not being properly dressed for an important meeting.
Speaker AYes.
Speaker BYeah.
Speaker AAnd as people said, you know, if Sheikh, whatever his name of Saudi Arabia had turned up in his dish dash, would they have complained that he wasn't in a suit?
Speaker BYes.
Speaker BAnd Trump complained as well.
Speaker BSo when he arrived at the West Wing wearing his dark long sleeve shirt, not a suit, Trump greeted him with a handshake and sarcasm and said, wow, look, you're all dressed up.
Speaker BSo.
Speaker BAnd.
Speaker BAnd that irked, I think, J.D.
Speaker Bvance as well.
Speaker BAt some point you know, it's one.
Speaker COf those things like Churchill was seen in the.
Speaker CIn the Rose Garden, that sort of stuff, wearing a siren suit, which is basically just a onesie that you pull on to get out of the.
Speaker CGet out of bed and everything like that if the sirens go off.
Speaker BTrue.
Speaker BBut the difference was Churchill was living in this White House for a while.
Speaker CYeah.
Speaker BAnd over a long time.
Speaker BSo he wasn't there just for one important meeting.
Speaker BSo.
Speaker ANo.
Speaker CBut also, in Zelensky's defense, he said right from when the invasion started, he said he was not going to.
Speaker CHe was not going to change out of his shirt until the war was won.
Speaker BRight.
Speaker CSo it's just.
Speaker BHe's keeping his costume.
Speaker BIt's his logo, it's his stick.
Speaker BIt's.
Speaker BYou know, but.
Speaker BBut this is part of the.
Speaker BThe whole scene of this thing was you have to show respect.
Speaker BYou haven't said thank you enough, and you haven't shown respect and you haven't dressed appropriately.
Speaker BLike it.
Speaker BIt really reeked a mafia stand over.
Speaker AYou haven't genuflected enough to us.
Speaker BYou haven't kissed the ring.
Speaker AExactly.
Speaker BWe.
Speaker BWe're running a protection racket here.
Speaker AYeah.
Speaker BWe will protect you, provide you pay us off.
Speaker BAnd you must show due respect at all times.
Speaker BThat's what was going on.
Speaker BAnd, you know, J.D.
Speaker Bvance, sort of.
Speaker BSo the.
Speaker BThe meeting went on for quite a while.
Speaker BIt was like a 50 or minute meeting or something.
Speaker BAnd the first 40 minutes were pretty good or.
Speaker BOkay.
Speaker BRight.
Speaker BAnd then J.D.
Speaker Bvance was saying, you know, we're basically wanting to force a negotiated peace here.
Speaker BAnd.
Speaker BAnd Zelensky was trying to say, what do you mean by negotiation?
Speaker BLike, he's trying to say, you can't negotiate with Putin, and it's just not possible.
Speaker BBut he wasn't allowed to get that out.
Speaker BHe was then just completely bullied by these guys.
Speaker BAnd the thing.
Speaker BJust listening, watching the video there again reminds you that English is a second language for this guy.
Speaker BSo as well as being who.
Speaker AOr third, even third language, you know.
Speaker CThe second language he speaks is.
Speaker CIs Russian.
Speaker CHe might have grown up speaking Russian.
Speaker AHe grew up speaking Russian.
Speaker AHe is a.
Speaker AHe's a native Russian speaker.
Speaker BRight.
Speaker COkay.
Speaker CHe says Russian, Ukrainian, and then English.
Speaker BYeah.
Speaker CHe probably speaks German as well.
Speaker CYou never know.
Speaker BSo just, you know, going into a meeting where, you know, you don't have many cards to play, you're essentially begging.
Speaker BYou're on the turf of the.
Speaker BOf these other people, and English is your second language.
Speaker BBoy, oh, boy, what a tough, you know, A tough sort of.
Speaker BJust in the lion's den with everything going against you.
Speaker CI think he really appreciated the welcome that Kia Starmer, that Kieran Starmer gave him.
Speaker BWell, afterwards.
Speaker BYeah, yeah.
Speaker BCome anything after that.
Speaker BSo.
Speaker BSo, yeah.
Speaker BAnd you know, of course, if you'd had your time and were able to think about these things, which no doubt Zelensky's doing, and thinking, what should he have said?
Speaker BOne of the things is that Trump kept saying is, we gave you $350 billion worth of stuff.
Speaker CWorth of stuff.
Speaker BWorth of stuff.
Speaker BAnd if Zelensky had his wits about him enough, he would have said to him, well, it turns out it looks like you didn't actually give it to us because now you're demanding a payment.
Speaker BExcuse my English, but isn't a gift where you give us something in return for nothing, whereas you guys are now demanding a payment for that gift and setting your own price tag for it?
Speaker BSo, of course that's impossible to ruin a fly like in that scenario.
Speaker AAnd it's probably 150 billion, not 300 something billion.
Speaker AAnd that's the cost of buying the new stuff to replace the shitty old stuff that they actually got.
Speaker BYes.
Speaker BSo that's money from the U.S.
Speaker Bgovernment to U.S.
Speaker Bmilitary contractors to build U.S.
Speaker Bgovernment forces.
Speaker BYes.
Speaker ASo that the secondhand hand me downs go to Ukraine.
Speaker CUkraine, yeah.
Speaker BYes.
Speaker BSo to all those sort of companies, get rid of your old shitty, rusty stock to the Ukraines.
Speaker BAnd yeah, so tough scenario.
Speaker BOf course, you look at the commentary and you see rabid Americans saying, you know, this guy just didn't show respect.
Speaker AAnd also saying that he.
Speaker AHalf of the stuff isn't accounted for and it must have been sold off by Zelensky to line his pockets.
Speaker AAnd I'm thinking he's not Trump.
Speaker BYeah, yeah.
Speaker BSo, yeah.
Speaker BWhat are they saying in the chat room?
Speaker BAllison, didn't he say at the beginning of the war that he wouldn't wear a suit?
Speaker BCorrect, John.
Speaker CWar ended.
Speaker CYes.
Speaker BA protection ring that offers no protection.
Speaker BAlex, people making all this noise about Trump as deserving more respect are insinuating he deserves respect.
Speaker BIf he is a failed leader, then it's completely okay to treat him like he is worth nothing.
Speaker BAnd, John, all but 90% of that money went to U.S.
Speaker Barms dealers.
Speaker BIndeed.
Speaker ANo, I think 90% of it, not all.
Speaker ABut.
Speaker BYes, that would be true.
Speaker BRoger Dangerfield, I get no respect.
Speaker BWhat's that a reference to?
Speaker ASo Rodney Dangerfield is a comedian.
Speaker BAll right.
Speaker BOkay.
Speaker BPop culture reference.
Speaker BI don't get that one.
Speaker BSo, yeah, it.
Speaker BIt was Just like the mafia coming in and saying we're offering protection.
Speaker AWell, apart from its cut rate Mafia.
Speaker BYes.
Speaker BYeah.
Speaker BAh, so what does it all mean in the wider scheme of things?
Speaker CWell, yeah, exactly like, I mean, you know, I like what you've written there.
Speaker CTaiwan and Australia should take note about waging proxy wars for the usa.
Speaker BIndeed.
Speaker CYou know, it's just, I just honestly believe that the way he has behaved towards NATO means that we cannot expect anything out of answers at all.
Speaker AAbsolutely.
Speaker AThe European leaders are very, very quickly looking at what they can do to backfill the American role in NATO.
Speaker CYeah, it's one of those things like, you know, I think the only European country that doesn't have to go into panic spending to beef up the military is probably Poland, because Poland's already got a very powerful military, you know, because they bought a Russia and they knew that this was going to happen one day.
Speaker AWell, the Baltic states have ramped up over the last couple of years because they're very, very scared.
Speaker CYeah.
Speaker CAnd I don't blame them.
Speaker AAnd Finland is not sitting easy.
Speaker CNo, exactly.
Speaker CBecause they bought a Russia.
Speaker AWell.
Speaker AAnd also because they've had fights with Russia before and they lost half of their territory already.
Speaker CYes, I know that.
Speaker AIt's because Russia wanted a bit more border around Leningrad.
Speaker BSo anyway, certainly a place like Taiwan would have to be looking at that and going, gee, she's.
Speaker BWe rely on American assistance.
Speaker CYeah.
Speaker BAnd fight their proxy war against China.
Speaker BThey'll abandon us.
Speaker AThis is no longer the League of Nations as was.
Speaker AThis is now powerful leaders carving up the world.
Speaker ASo Trump is demanding Greenland and Panama and Canada and Xi is going to demand Taiwan and Putin is going to demand all of the former Soviet empire.
Speaker ASo, yeah, it's basically strong men having an agreement between them as to which bit of the globe they own.
Speaker BWell, that's all.
Speaker BI mean, we're open, isn't it?
Speaker AYes.
Speaker BIt's like you don't have to physically take over a country anymore, as we've seen with the IMF and the World bank, where you just cripple them financially and allow your companies to go in and virtually rape the economies and control them without actually having to take physical possession of them, so.
Speaker AOr you just stick in a proxy leader who completely does whatever you tell them to.
Speaker BYeah.
Speaker BIt's just the easiest way, so.
Speaker BYeah.
Speaker BSo, yeah, Taiwan, there's a warning for you.
Speaker BAustralia, like Trump, is obviously only going to be around for four years, but it just demonstrates that when it comes to your own defense, you cannot rely on another country, especially the Americans who cannot be trusted.
Speaker CNo, it's one of those things.
Speaker CI just hope that our government actually takes a long hard look at them and actually says, well why the fuck do they want us to buy these nuclear submarines?
Speaker CAnd the only reason you want a nuclear powered submarine is so you can go under the surface at Sterling and you can go all the way up and then you can surface just off the Chinese coach to look to lob missiles at.
Speaker BThe only reason is were they, they.
Speaker AWere hunter killers, weren't they?
Speaker CSay again?
Speaker AThey were hunter killers, not missile subs.
Speaker CI don't know.
Speaker ASo they were designed to take down ships, not fire missiles.
Speaker CAnyway, they do have some of the.
Speaker BLong range capacity is designed for fighting in the South China Sea.
Speaker AExactly.
Speaker CWhich is why it is absolutely ridiculous that I honestly believe that.
Speaker BWhat?
Speaker COkay, this is what I think we should do.
Speaker CWe should start very serious negotiations with our near neighbor in Indonesia and everywhere else and try and get them all on, on the one page where we can say we will, we will look after you if you help look after us and everything else.
Speaker CAnd then that way I'm not actually suggesting China is going to invade Australia because they won't, you know, but if they were to actually make that sea voyage, they'd have to go through a number of very friendly countries to Australia that would actually have their own equipment and everything else they'd be able to say to Australia, you've got to watch it, you've got an armada heading your way, you know, which would be a hell of a lot more useful to us than nuclear powered submarines.
Speaker CAnd I honestly believe we should pick up the phone to the Japanese and say, yeah, there's 12 submarines you're going to build for a billion bucks each, call it $1.5 billion and you can have the deal, you know, and that's still going to be a shitload cheaper than what the American is, you know.
Speaker BDo we even need any subs now?
Speaker BIs the, is the technology working such that expensive?
Speaker CIt's one of those things.
Speaker CI don't, I don't.
Speaker BSubmarines by the time they arrive will probably be obsolete.
Speaker BSo surely we just need some sort of anti naval craft missile system.
Speaker CYeah, and I think that we've actually.
Speaker BGot, we've got to be done without subs.
Speaker CI think we've got to invest, I think we've got to invest more in our air force and everything else so that we can.
Speaker BYeah.
Speaker BBecause after all it's far more attractive to find people willing to man that sort of stuff than A submarine.
Speaker CSubmarine, exactly.
Speaker BGetting guys to actually volunteer to work on a submarine, not easy.
Speaker BAnd then the sort of guys you're going to get, maybe you don't want them.
Speaker CExactly.
Speaker BYeah.
Speaker BBut you know, the fact that we've been in this orcus mess for so long indicates to me that despite this Oval Office fiasco, nothing's going to change.
Speaker BMiles is so.
Speaker CHe's a dickhead.
Speaker BEmbedded albanese.
Speaker BHe doesn't care.
Speaker BThey're all just fixated with this, this arrangement with the Americans.
Speaker BSo even as something as obvious as this fiasco isn't going to change their minds, if you.
Speaker BThat's how the system works.
Speaker BIf you are the sort of person to question that relationship, you just don't make it into a position of power in one of the major parties.
Speaker BYou're doing that.
Speaker BYou know, that's where we need the Greens, Scott.
Speaker CWe don't need the Greens.
Speaker BWhat else can we say about this?
Speaker BYeah.
Speaker BWhen the US is finished with a servant, it throws him in the trash.
Speaker BClient regimes should be, should be aware.
Speaker BBob Carr said behind the obscene beat up and bullying of Zelensky, this is the US destroying its alliance system.
Speaker AYou know that there's one country in the history of NATO that's declared Article 5.
Speaker BWhat's Article 5?
Speaker AArticle 5 is where if we get attacked on our own soil, you'll come and defend us.
Speaker BAnd which country was that?
Speaker ADo you want to guess?
Speaker CWell, the US.
Speaker BThe USA.
Speaker ASeptember 2001.
Speaker BRight.
Speaker BOkay.
Speaker ASo the Iraq war and the Afghanistan war were Article 5 of NATO.
Speaker BOf course.
Speaker BThere we go.
Speaker BYeah.
Speaker ASo even, even after The Russians used WMDs on British soil, Britain didn't call in Article 5.
Speaker BYeah.
Speaker BGus, 577 says Trump is probably just bringing forward the inevitable regarding Ukraine.
Speaker BThe goal was never to help them.
Speaker BIt was to use them to try to weaken Russia like Afghanistan did to the Soviets.
Speaker BSpot on, Gus.
Speaker BThat is right.
Speaker BAnd well it's interesting with this like, as mad as Trump is in Vance, they are angling for a peace agreement with Putin.
Speaker BYeah.
Speaker BNow the price they're asking and the EU is saying no and Ukraine is saying no, we do not want a peace agreement.
Speaker ATrump apparently wants a Nobel Peace Prize because Obama had one and he will do anything, including sell out Ukraine to get his Nobel Peace Prize.
Speaker BUkraine was sold out.
Speaker BWell, was it years ago?
Speaker BIt was sold out years ago.
Speaker ASo I, I don't think it was.
Speaker ABut you know, because, because the Europeans realize that if, if Putin is seen to win this, he will be emboldened and he will then go in for the next bit of Europe that he.
Speaker CFeels probably get away with.
Speaker CHe will then probably take on those three Baltic states.
Speaker AYep.
Speaker CAnd then after that.
Speaker AOr Poland.
Speaker COr Poland.
Speaker CExactly.
Speaker BSo you guys are basically.
Speaker BYou can never have a peace agreement.
Speaker CNot with this bastard.
Speaker CNot the way he behaves.
Speaker BIt's ridiculous.
Speaker APutin has to be seen to lose.
Speaker AThat's the only answer.
Speaker CExactly.
Speaker CWhich is why I honestly believe that they shouldn't allow him to take any more pieces of Ukraine.
Speaker CThey should let him keep.
Speaker CThey should let him keep.
Speaker COh, God, what's it called?
Speaker BCrimea crime.
Speaker CThey should let him keep Crimea because he pinched that 10 years ago.
Speaker CHowever, they shouldn't.
Speaker CThey should.
Speaker BBecause the Crimeans wanted him to.
Speaker CI don't know.
Speaker CAnd I'm not going to get involved in that argument with you.
Speaker CIt's just that I do not believe that he should be allowed to then take any further parts of that country.
Speaker CAnd that includes any part of the Donbass that he reckons he's controlling, which he does control now.
Speaker CBut I do know.
Speaker ABut he's also claiming parts that he doesn't control.
Speaker CExactly.
Speaker BWhy do you think he's going to take other countries?
Speaker CBecause he's a prick.
Speaker BBecause he's a prick.
Speaker BDoesn't mean he's going to take other countries.
Speaker ABecause he said that the Russian Empire contains these following bits of land, some of which are other sovereign countries.
Speaker BBut he's acknowledged also that that's historic as well, and that as we're under the bridge.
Speaker BYes, he has.
Speaker ANo, because he.
Speaker ARussia agreed in 94 that Ukraine was.
Speaker AAll the borders were sovereign states, though all the borders as they were in the Soviet Union were going to stay and that all countries, all parties who are part of the.
Speaker BThey thought they had a Minsk agreement.
Speaker BAnd then 20 years later, after Russia broken.
Speaker AAfter Russia had broken the Budapest agreement.
Speaker ASo Putin had already broken Budapest.
Speaker BNo, it was NATO.
Speaker BIt was the Americans and NATO.
Speaker BSo the Ukrainians were forced, at the.
Speaker APoint of a gun with Russian troops on their soil, worried about a Soviet.
Speaker AA Russian invasion, were forced into the Minsk Agreements.
Speaker ANo wonder they signed it under duress and went, yeah, that's worth fuck all.
Speaker ABut it was again the Russians who broke it.
Speaker BBut the Minsk Agreement was a unique agreement where France, Germany, Ukraine, America, Russia all agreed, we're going to do a Minsk Agreement.
Speaker ABut Ukraine, Ukraine didn't want to.
Speaker BUkraine no intention of abiding by it.
Speaker AUkraine had a completely hollowed out military because Yushchenko had fucked it over, basically taking all the money for himself.
Speaker AAnd then run off to Russia.
Speaker ASo, yeah, 2014, with the country in disarray.
Speaker AAbsolutely.
Speaker AThey did whatever they could to keep.
Speaker BYou can't trust Putin on a peace agreement.
Speaker BBut Putin can say, well, we had a Minsk agreement.
Speaker BYes.
Speaker BAnd people like Angela Merkel are on the record for saying, we never had any intention at all in obeying that Minsk.
Speaker ARight.
Speaker BAnd we saw it always.
Speaker ASo they'd already invaded Crimea and the Donbass.
Speaker BYeah.
Speaker AAnd then suddenly this piece of paper was floated that the Russians broke within days.
Speaker BAnd that was also after he had said to them, no NATO in Ukraine.
Speaker BAnd there'd been promises that NATO would not extend.
Speaker AWhat agreement was there?
Speaker AThere might have been some verbal statements, probably the same as the Budapesta Court.
Speaker BExcept that was written down, but that was the agreement.
Speaker BAnyway, John says, I'm amazed you say you can trust Putin.
Speaker AWell, more importantly, in 92, he did what he said was the largest percentage of people who voted for independence from Russia.
Speaker ASo in 92, they were definitely pro independence.
Speaker BThere's a range of different polls that show, you know, when you've got even admitted by Ukraine polls that show 30, 40, 50% of your population wants to join another country, you've got major problems with your country.
Speaker BLike that's unusual.
Speaker BSo, you know, John, I'm not saying you can trust Putin, but you can reach a peace agreement and put things in place to try and ensure the peace agreement.
Speaker AShort of boots on the ground, what's going to stop him invading again?
Speaker BIn that case, you can never have peace.
Speaker BNo, but you've got to give it a go.
Speaker BLike he may.
Speaker BWell, he has said, if you agree, you're never going to be part of NATO.
Speaker BThat's the major precondition.
Speaker AYeah, but he's just going to turn around in five years time when he's rebuilt his army and reinvade, there's nobody going to be there to stop him.
Speaker AEveryone's going to go.
Speaker BSo we should just fight Russia forever?
Speaker BWell, because we can never trust them forever.
Speaker BHang on, Scott's missing.
Speaker AYeah, that's all right.
Speaker BI'll.
Speaker AThere you go.
Speaker BThank you.
Speaker BSo you're basically saying you can never have peace with Russia because you can never trust them, so you can never have peace with Putin, so you must always fight them.
Speaker BYou can't come to a deal.
Speaker AThere are two options.
Speaker CYou've got to either NATO between the two.
Speaker AEither NATO are in there or Ukraine has nukes.
Speaker AThose two things will stop Putin attacking again.
Speaker AAnything else is worthless.
Speaker BI'm just trying to think of an Example here, where we had Putin will.
Speaker AWill lie and say whatever he has to to get time to build back his army and then we'll do it all over again.
Speaker ABecause as far as he's concerned, Ukraine is his.
Speaker BSo I'm just trying to think what.
Speaker CYeah, I found it absolutely hilarious that the first part of.
Speaker CThe first part of the country actually took was the Chernobyl power plant.
Speaker CYou know, it's just.
Speaker CHe's a magnet.
Speaker AWell, no, they weren't even taking it.
Speaker AThey were shelling it.
Speaker CYeah, I know.
Speaker BIt's just the Russians were shelling the Chernobyl.
Speaker BYeah.
Speaker CBecause he's a.
Speaker ASays the independent observers who were there doing work on the sarcophagus.
Speaker BOkay, so there's.
Speaker BYeah, I don't know.
Speaker BYeah, don't know.
Speaker BWhat do we say, John?
Speaker BNot a poll, Trevor.
Speaker BIt was a referendum, John.
Speaker BThere were multiple polls done in relation to Crimea.
Speaker BLet's play a little bit of history from Jeffrey Sachs, put this in some perspective.
Speaker BSo Sachs is just not some commentator from a university who's just like a historian looking at things like this guy has advised multiple governments all over that region.
Speaker BHe's been involved in that region his lifetime.
Speaker BSo let's just see how he puts things in perspective.
Speaker BYou seem very reliant on accepting Putin's.
Speaker AWorldview rather than perhaps the stark reality.
Speaker BOf the barbarism with which he's executed this war.
Speaker DYeah, maybe because I know too much about the United States.
Speaker DBecause the first war in Europe after World War II was the US bombing of Belgrade for 78 days to change borders of a European state.
Speaker DThe idea was to break Serbia to create Kosovo as an enclave and then to install Banda steel, which is the largest NATO base in the Balkans, in the southwest Balkans.
Speaker DSo the US started this under Clinton that we will break the borders, we will illegally bomb another country.
Speaker DWe didn't have any UN authority.
Speaker DThis was a, quote, NATO mission to do that.
Speaker DThen I know the United States went to war repeatedly, illegally, in what it did in Afghanistan and then what it did in Iraq and then what it did in Syria, which was the Obama administration, especially Obama and Hillary Clinton, tasking the CIA to overthrow Bashar Al Assad.
Speaker DAnd then what it did with NATO illegally bombing Libya to topple Muammar Gaddafi, and then what it did in Kiev in February 2014.
Speaker DI happened to see some of that with my own eyes.
Speaker DThe US overthrew Yanukovych.
Speaker DTogether with right wing Ukrainian military forces, we overthrew a president.
Speaker DAnd what's interesting, by the way, is we Overthrew Yanukovych.
Speaker DThe day after the European Union representatives had reached an agreement with Yanukovych to have early elections, a government of national unity, and a stand down of both sides.
Speaker DThat was agreed.
Speaker DThe next thing that happens is the the opposition says, we don't agree.
Speaker DThey stormed the government buildings and they deposed Yanukovych.
Speaker DAnd within hours, the United States says, yes, we support the new government.
Speaker DIt didn't say, oh, we had an agreement.
Speaker DThat's unconstitutional what you did.
Speaker DSo we overthrew a government contrary to a promise that the European Union had made.
Speaker DAnd by the way, Russia, the United States and the EU were parties to that agreement.
Speaker DAnd the United States, an hour afterwards backed the coup.
Speaker DOkay, so everyone's got a little bit to answer for.
Speaker DIn 2015, the Russians did not say, we want the Donbas back.
Speaker DThey said peace should come through negotiations.
Speaker DAnd negotiations between the ethnic Russians in the east of Ukraine and this new regime in Kiev led to the Minsk 2 agreement.
Speaker DThe Minsk II agreement was voted by the UN Security Council unanimously.
Speaker DIt was signed by the government of Ukraine.
Speaker DIt was guaranteed explicitly by Germany and France.
Speaker DAnd you know what, and it's been explained to me in person.
Speaker DIt was laughed at inside the US Government.
Speaker DThis is after the UN Security Council unanimously accepted it.
Speaker DThe Ukrainians said, we don't want to give autonomy to the region.
Speaker DOh, but that's part of the treaty.
Speaker DThe US Told them, don't worry about it.
Speaker DAngela Merkel explained indesite in a notorious interview after the 2022 escalation.
Speaker DShe said, oh, you know, we knew that Minsk2 was just a holding pattern to give Ukraine time to build its strength.
Speaker DNo, Minsk 2 was a UN Security Council unanimously adopted treaty that was supposed to end the war.
Speaker DSo when it comes to who's trustworthy, who to believe and so forth, I guess my problem, Piers, is I know the United States government.
Speaker DI know it very well.
Speaker DI don't trust them for a moment.
Speaker DI want these two sides actually to sit down in front of the whole world and say, these are the terms.
Speaker DThen the world can judge because we could get on paper, clearly, for both sides of the world.
Speaker DWe're not going to overthrow governments anymore.
Speaker DThe United States needs to say we accept this agreement.
Speaker DThe United States needs to say.
Speaker DRussia needs to say, we're not stepping one foot farther than whatever the boundary is actually reached and NATO's not going to enlarge.
Speaker DAnd let's put it for the whole world to see.
Speaker DYou know what?
Speaker AWell, so Russia hasn't overthrown A government.
Speaker AI think they've got their puppet in power right now.
Speaker AAll it required was a, a bit of money from oligarchs to prop up his failing businesses, which puppets this agent Krasno, Donald Trump, who was propped up since the 90s with Russian money.
Speaker AAnd we know that does make me.
Speaker CWonder whether or not that PP tape is actually genuine now.
Speaker AWho knows?
Speaker AWe do know that there's a huge amount of Russian money that has gone into his business since the 90s.
Speaker CAbsolutely it has, yeah.
Speaker AYeah.
Speaker BI feel sorry for Ukraine in the sense that they've been screwed either.
Speaker AYou don't think that 2014, the vast majority of Ukrainians were pissed off with a grift that was going on with Yanukovych, that basically they saw the same as Belarus, that they were heading into a oligarchy that was a puppet state to put in and they had enough of that.
Speaker BIs what happened in Ukraine is that Ukrainians recognized they should be be neutral.
Speaker AThe US, they wanted to be part of the EU.
Speaker AThey wanted to trade with the EU.
Speaker BThe US through US Aid We Know has funded 6200 journalists across 707 media outlets and 279 media NGOs.
Speaker BNine out of 10 media outlets in Ukraine.
Speaker BSo is it possible that all of that effort propagandized some of the Ukrainian public opinion which up to that point had wanted a neutral position?
Speaker AHas Russian TV that was sitting on the border with Ukraine and was watched by millions of Russian speaking Ukrainians propagandized them at all?
Speaker BAnd who do you think's the most effective propaganda outfit in the world?
Speaker AThe fsb?
Speaker BNo.
Speaker BThe Americans?
Speaker ANo, no.
Speaker AThe Americans look at America right now and tell me that half of the Americans aren't watching shit that's been spewed out by the Russians, by their disinformation.
Speaker B100% of them are watching shit that's been spewed out by the American propaganda.
Speaker AThe right wing podcasters that were taking huge bribes from rt.
Speaker BSo when you say what was the public opinion about whatever issue in a country when one has been as heavily subjected to propaganda, I would say all.
Speaker AThe time people probably cancelled each other out.
Speaker AThe Russians and the Americans were both busy propagandizing.
Speaker BWell, now you're guessing, but, you know, so are you.
Speaker BI'm willing to put some money on which one's the best propaganda outfit.
Speaker AI would say the Russians, they've been doing it for longer.
Speaker BHere's, here's a theory.
Speaker AHave been doing it for hundreds, well, hundreds of years, certainly decades.
Speaker BHere's A theory.
Speaker BYou Ukrainians, on the whole understood that it was dangerous to join NATO, but after enough propaganda, they.
Speaker BThey still voted in a guy who was neutral about.
Speaker ASorry, who got voted in.
Speaker BThat was Yanukovych.
Speaker AAnd was that after or before the Russians poisoned his opposition candidate?
Speaker BThe.
Speaker BThe population there still voted in somebody who was sympathetic to a Russian relationship.
Speaker AAnd was that after all the.
Speaker AThe Supreme Court had overturned the previous election where it was proved that ballot stuffing had gone on.
Speaker BYeah.
Speaker BSo here's my theory, though, is that the Ukrainians have been screwed over by having their public opinion massaged over a long period of time by an enormous amount of money.
Speaker BAnd the US Engineered a coup in the Ukraine until they got a Western friendly government.
Speaker BAnd it took a while, and it took some ugly things to happen.
Speaker BAnd now they've been forced into a war where they've lost a generation of young men and they've been conned into it and they've had to suffer the loss of a generation.
Speaker AInvaded.
Speaker BWhat's that?
Speaker AWas it just to roll over when Putin invaded?
Speaker AWhat was the.
Speaker BIf they'd have not wanted to join NATO, he would not have invaded.
Speaker BYou don't know that, Joe.
Speaker AHe was worried that this was a burgeoning democracy on his doorstep.
Speaker AHe was worried that the protests, because 2012 had been protests in Russia against Putin's oligarchy, and he was worried that Maidan would spread to Russia.
Speaker BYou can quite easily argue that he observed NATO involved in regime change in other countries and was saying, you are not going into Ukraine and fucking doing that on my doorstep.
Speaker ASo NATO bombing Serbia after the Srebrenica massacre in 95.
Speaker BIt's entirely possible, Joe, Putin has an honestly held belief that the red line for him was NATO in Ukraine.
Speaker ANo, no.
Speaker AThe honestly held belief was he didn't want democracy breaking out in Russ.
Speaker BAnd there are dozens of highly placed American and Western diplomats who acknowledge that's the case.
Speaker AYes.
Speaker AThere are also those who, from Kennan.
Speaker BAnd Kissinger and everyone else, US Ambassadors who said, don't put NATO in Ukraine.
Speaker BThat's the red line for any Russian.
Speaker BAnd Putin says that's the red line.
Speaker BAnd despite all these people saying that's the red line, you want to say, well, of course that wasn't the red line.
Speaker BHe's just a megalomaniac who wants to take over other countries.
Speaker BLike, it may well be the case that all those people are correct.
Speaker AAnd it was so much a red line for him that Finland and Sweden joined NATO with nothing happening.
Speaker BYeah, well, Ukraine's Different.
Speaker BUkraine's different.
Speaker AFinland is on his doorstep.
Speaker AFinland is right next to St.
Speaker APetersburg.
Speaker BUkraine's different.
Speaker BIs it?
Speaker BWhy?
Speaker AOh, that's right.
Speaker AUkraine is part of the Russian empire.
Speaker BAnd these Western diplomats who were saying, don't put NATO in Ukraine about Finland, they were saying, Ukraine, you know, that's.
Speaker BIt's different.
Speaker BYou're talking as if it's.
Speaker BThe only difference impossible for Putin got.
Speaker CThere, Trevor, is that Ukraine used to be part of the ussr.
Speaker BYeah.
Speaker CAnd he was actually trained as a USSR KGB agent.
Speaker BYeah.
Speaker AAnd he said.
Speaker CAnd that's exactly what he wants.
Speaker CHe wants.
Speaker CHe wants.
Speaker CHe actually said, yes.
Speaker CWhat trip.
Speaker CWhat Joe's about to say was exactly attributed to Putin where he said one of the greatest political catastrophes of the 20th century was the decline of the Soviet Union.
Speaker AYep.
Speaker CNow he wants to recreate the Soviet Union.
Speaker CHe wants it all, including those three.
Speaker BHe's also acknowledged that, you know, what's done is done as well.
Speaker BSo while it was the great disaster, there are some things that now can't be undone.
Speaker BIt's like the kleptocrats came in and took all the stuff.
Speaker BWell, he basically said, that's enough, guys, we stop here.
Speaker BSo he's also acknowledged, he said, you.
Speaker ACan carry on as long as 50% of it is held in my name.
Speaker BNo, he does not have that reputation at all.
Speaker BHe does not have that reputation.
Speaker CWell, I've actually heard that story several times, you know.
Speaker BWell, where do we get these stories from?
Speaker CI don't know, Trevor.
Speaker CI don't.
Speaker BWestern propaganda.
Speaker CI do not.
Speaker BThis is like the, this is like arguing with the problem, Trevor, that you.
Speaker CHave moved the Overton window so far to the left that as soon as someone comes in here with this is.
Speaker BThe leftist position, it's not a left wing position.
Speaker CYou are then attacking them as a right wing lunatic.
Speaker BNo, this is not a left wing position.
Speaker BLike this is.
Speaker BThis isn't left wing.
Speaker BThis is.
Speaker CI don't think Vladimir Putin's a leftist.
Speaker BSorry, but you're saying I've taken a left wing position.
Speaker BThis is not a left wing position.
Speaker BOn this, the right takes the view.
Speaker CWhat you are doing is you are taking someone that is prepared to stand up to the United States, States of America.
Speaker CYou put them on a pedestal and you say, he's great, he's a misunderstood genius.
Speaker CHe's not a misunderstood genius, he's a nutter.
Speaker BIf, if you were operating, if you were the president of, of Russia, I.
Speaker CWouldn'T be the president of the Russian.
Speaker BAnd you had watched NATO overthrowing governments.
Speaker BAnd you saw them moving into Ukraine.
Speaker BIt is not inconceivable that somebody says stop.
Speaker BAnd we know this from the Cuban Missile crisis where we thought JFK was perfectly reasonable to say to the Russians, don't put a missile in Cuba.
Speaker BAnd we all think what a great patriot JFK was.
Speaker CNo, I don't think so.
Speaker CI think he was a nut.
Speaker BNo, you know, when you ask pub.
Speaker BGeneral public opinion, they say, good on him.
Speaker CYeah, exactly.
Speaker BBut when Putin does the same thing, you can't accept the hypocrisy of the situation.
Speaker BLike Putin has just done what JFK did.
Speaker BHe, he said, no, you're not.
Speaker CUK didn't actually invade Cuba though.
Speaker BNo, but he was, he was sending ships there.
Speaker CYeah.
Speaker CAnd he was getting everything ready to go.
Speaker BBut he was ready for World War Three.
Speaker CYeah, I know.
Speaker CAnd the Russians backed down.
Speaker BCorrect.
Speaker BAnd you know what, what happened as part of the deal, the Americans agreed to pull missiles out of Turkey.
Speaker BYeah, yeah.
Speaker BSo, you know, you're calling Putin a madman for objecting to missiles and NATO's NATO in Ukraine, yet you accept that that was a legitimate thing for JFK to do with the missile crisis in Cuba.
Speaker CNo, I don't accept that it was legitimate.
Speaker BWell, people do.
Speaker BSo the people listening here, you know, a lot of people do.
Speaker BAnd it's the same thing where you perceive a threat in your neighborhood and you say, well, you know, I'm not going to be there.
Speaker BWe, as Australia say to Papua New guinea, well, you can't have Chinese bloody stuff here.
Speaker BWell, you know, we're going to give you a rugby league team so long as you don't let the Chinese in here.
Speaker AAnd then we're going to abduct your children, take them to.
Speaker ABecause people indoctrinate them.
Speaker BCountries all the time are saying, we don't want our enemy in our neighbor's property and we'll do things to stop that happening.
Speaker BSo it's, it's not the most extraordinary thing.
Speaker BAnd particularly, you know, your solution to this is to continue to wage war forever because no peace agreement can ever be.
Speaker BYou have no.
Speaker CA peace agreement that involves a boots on the ground from both the Europeans and the Americans, between the two sides, because that'll actually stop the bastard rolling across there again.
Speaker BThere was an agreement reached seven days after the war and it was, it was just, it was just ruined by the Americans.
Speaker BAnd later on, Boris Johnson did a.
Speaker ASimilar thing, except it's been proved that he hasn't.
Speaker BDidn't Boris Johnson?
Speaker AYeah.
Speaker AOh, so, so so when Zelensky thought that Putin was going to take Kiev, he was negotiating to see what terms he could get when they repelled the Russians from Keev.
Speaker AHe went, we don't need this peace agreement.
Speaker AWe will beat the Russians on our own terms.
Speaker BYeah, but the Boris Johnson definitely crude talks that were going on.
Speaker ASo the people who were in the room said that didn't happen.
Speaker BNo, I said the opposite.
Speaker AYeah, I'm sure you've heard from Western.
Speaker BDip like the Swedish diplomat said.
Speaker BSaid that's what happened.
Speaker AMaybe, but I've heard that also that it never happened.
Speaker BThe former head of NATO said that he was a Swedish guy.
Speaker BAnyway, what are they saying in the chat room?
Speaker BI'll just go.
Speaker BI should look at the chat this way in a second.
Speaker BLet me find a chat on the side.
Speaker BJohn says, do you go along with all that, Trevor?
Speaker BI think that was in relation to Jeffrey Sachs.
Speaker BYes, I go along with everything Jeffrey Sack said.
Speaker BSo, Gus, 577.
Speaker BUkraine is different because of trade access and historical connection.
Speaker BIt's a core strategic interest to Russia.
Speaker BFinland is not.
Speaker BThanks, Gus.
Speaker B577.
Speaker BJohn says, if you believe all that, I've got a bridge for you.
Speaker BWhat if I believe everything Jeffrey Sachs said?
Speaker BSee, he didn't kill Cuban.
Speaker BSaid Chris.
Speaker BWell, he was about to.
Speaker BHe was going to.
Speaker BJohn, Putin is as mad as Trump.
Speaker BJust a bit smarter.
Speaker AInterestingly enough.
Speaker BWas it Chris, Jeff, John again.
Speaker AYeah.
Speaker AOkay.
Speaker AApparently he pulled the missiles without Castro's agreement.
Speaker ACastro wanted to launch the missiles at America.
Speaker CYeah, I know.
Speaker CIt's one of those things.
Speaker CApparently Khrushchev actually read the letter that.
Speaker CThat Castro sent him and he said, if you need.
Speaker CIf you need Cuba to be the.
Speaker CIf you need us to be the first sacrifice in this war, let it be.
Speaker AAnd.
Speaker CAnd apparently Khrushchev said, this guy's a madman.
Speaker CSo anyway.
Speaker BYeah, anyway, where were we?
Speaker BSo I've put my case forward on that one.
Speaker BI think you can choose to believe it or not as to what else we've got to get out of this before we go on.
Speaker BWhat's going to happen next?
Speaker BMoon of Alabama.
Speaker BWhat will Trump do now?
Speaker BBest guess, he will walk away from Ukraine, Europeans will be ignored and he'll make a deal with Russia for rare earth and he'll be lifting sanctions.
Speaker BWhat do you reckon of that?
Speaker BWhat do you think of that?
Speaker APutin has already offered him rare earths up in Siberia.
Speaker BYes.
Speaker BTo buy.
Speaker AOh, no.
Speaker AI thought it was a joint development.
Speaker BYeah, joint venture.
Speaker AYes.
Speaker BPay a proper amount in a joint venture.
Speaker BType thing.
Speaker BAnd basically it's in the middle of the Arctic.
Speaker BYeah.
Speaker ASo it's going to be really difficult to get it out.
Speaker BYeah.
Speaker BLook out.
Speaker BI was going to say Greenland, but I should say look out.
Speaker BRed, white and blue land.
Speaker BBecause having lost out on the rare earth material in Ukraine, Trump's on the hunt for more rare earth.
Speaker BSo Greenland's.
Speaker BGreenland's suddenly even more important to Trump as a possibility.
Speaker ABack in the deal again.
Speaker AYes.
Speaker BAnd through all this, the eu, you guys are really.
Speaker BThe EU Part of this, in that they don't want a peace deal either.
Speaker ABecause they recognize that.
Speaker AWell, not.
Speaker AThey don't want a peace deal.
Speaker AThey don't want to sell Ukraine to Russia in order to get peace.
Speaker BSo they wouldn't agree to a peace deal.
Speaker BWell, not the one that the Americans are proposed.
Speaker ANot the one that the Americans are proposing, no.
Speaker BYeah.
Speaker BYep.
Speaker BAh, S.
Speaker BWest.
Speaker BTrevor, even if we accept all you say is true, it only validates Putin having hurt feelings.
Speaker BIt never justifies invasion and indiscriminate murder.
Speaker AAnd abduction of children and ICC warrants.
Speaker BSo never justifies.
Speaker BLook, I wouldn't have done it, but I can understand that.
Speaker BPutin's motivation.
Speaker CYeah, I think we'll have to agree to disagree on that because I can't understand him.
Speaker CIt's one of those things like, you know, there was a brief moment that perhaps Russia could have actually come out of the Soviet Union in being a fully Westernized democracy.
Speaker CBut no, it's not.
Speaker CIt's been completely crossed now and we've got a fascist over there.
Speaker BSo John keeps wanting to sell me a bridge, but, John, I'm in total agreement with Jeffrey Sachs on this.
Speaker BAnd that guy knows shit much more than you and I do sitting back here in Australia.
Speaker BSo this position that I have is not unusual.
Speaker BIt may seem unusual if you're not reading widely enough, but it's a commonly held position.
Speaker BSo.
Speaker BYeah, what else can we say about this topic?
Speaker BYes, so what, you know, I guess America's going to walk away from it and leave it up to the Europeans to try and help out, and they're not going to be able to, and the Russian line will just keep moving forward.
Speaker CI don't know about that.
Speaker CI just think that if Europe gets its back up and that sort of stuff, it actually comes to a blow with Russia, then I think Russia is going to end up very much on the back foot.
Speaker BEuropeans will not put men on the ground.
Speaker CYeah, I know that.
Speaker BThey're not going to have the weapons.
Speaker CThey'Re not going to but they're not going to put them in there in harm's way.
Speaker BAnd they don't have the weapons.
Speaker BAnd so the Ukraine has run out of men and so the line will just keep moving.
Speaker ARussia's run out of men.
Speaker AUnless it does conscription again.
Speaker BThey've got plenty of them.
Speaker AThey've got.
Speaker AWell, but they don't.
Speaker AThis is the problem.
Speaker AThey have a shortage of.
Speaker AAre young men.
Speaker BNorth Koreans?
Speaker AWell, yeah, they do have a lot of North Koreans, but they.
Speaker ASo inflation is at 10% and interest rates are 20%, 21% at the moment.
Speaker AInteresting.
Speaker AI, I spoke to someone in Moscow recently and they said there's an awful lot of Asian goods in the shops.
Speaker ASo everything that used to be European is Asian now.
Speaker BYeah.
Speaker BSo they've bypassed the sanctions.
Speaker BBut, gee, if, if China doesn't make it.
Speaker AYeah.
Speaker BWhat, what is it that you're missing out on?
Speaker BOh, they can only get stuff from China.
Speaker BWell, what are they missing out on?
Speaker AIt'll be cheap stuff that falls apart.
Speaker BVersace handbags or something.
Speaker BYou know, Guinness.
Speaker CWell, they're missing out on that sort of stuff.
Speaker CBut I, I honestly, I understand that, but I just don't think their economy is as strong as you make it out to be.
Speaker CTrevor.
Speaker CI just think that those numbers that Joe has rattled off are true.
Speaker CYou know, they do have 10% inflation, they got 20% interest rates.
Speaker CSo I would be extremely surprised if they could actually pull out if they honestly believe that a peace deal is what he wants so that he doesn't have to keep.
Speaker AYeah.
Speaker CSpending the amount of money on manufacturing their, Their missiles and everything else.
Speaker BHe.
Speaker BAbsolutely.
Speaker BWell, in that case, he's likely to stick to a peace deal.
Speaker BLike, thank you very much, you guys have just said.
Speaker BI don't believe he said he wants to build up and build up and he'll fight again another day.
Speaker CExactly.
Speaker BOn the other hand, you just said it's really tough for him and he wants a peace deal.
Speaker CYeah, because this was, this was supposed to be.
Speaker CThis was supposed to be over a fortnight.
Speaker CYeah, we're supposed to be over in a fortnight.
Speaker CWe are now entering the fourth year of battle.
Speaker CYeah, because he told me that he.
Speaker BWants a peace deal because he didn't.
Speaker CExpect them to last this long.
Speaker BSo that's a pause deal.
Speaker BBut then you say, on the other hand, he won't comply with the peace deal that he really wants.
Speaker BWhich one is it?
Speaker AWell, no, no.
Speaker ASo he wants the peace deal now so that he can rebuild his arms and recover his economy.
Speaker AAnd when he's in a position in 5 to 10 years he will do it all over again.
Speaker CExactly.
Speaker ASo, sure, he wants a peace deal in the short term.
Speaker AI agree.
Speaker AHe's under pressure right now to sign.
Speaker BIf he signed a peace deal, it would probably only last 10 years.
Speaker CYes, exactly.
Speaker AGee, what's to stop him in 10 years doing it all over again?
Speaker AWhat's to stop anybody to do it right.
Speaker BWhat's to stop anybody in a piece of doing it again in 10 years.
Speaker ATime because he thought he could get away with an army that had been hollowed out?
Speaker BBecause.
Speaker BLet me get this straight.
Speaker BYou're against a peace deal because it could possibly only last 10 years?
Speaker ANo, no, I'm not against a peace deal.
Speaker AI'm against a peace deal that doesn't offer Ukraine security guarantees.
Speaker BBecause in 10 years time.
Speaker ABecause in 10 years.
Speaker AYes.
Speaker ASo let's put some security guarantees that ensures that in 10 years he can't.
Speaker BLike, without involving NATO.
Speaker AFine.
Speaker AGive them nuclear weapons.
Speaker AThat's the other alternative.
Speaker BYou want to give Ukraine nuclear weapons?
Speaker AYeah.
Speaker BJesus, Joe.
Speaker ABecause hang on, Russia was sitting there with the nuclear umbrella going, oh, no other country should get involved.
Speaker AOtherwise we'll consider that an attack on our sovereignty and we're going to lob nukes at Ukraine.
Speaker AYou.
Speaker ASo they were sitting there waving their nukes at everyone.
Speaker ASo the, the counter to that is to give the people around him nukes and they can go, well, if you attack us, we're going to lob nukes.
Speaker BAt you, the people around him.
Speaker ABecause that's the only thing that's going to scare him.
Speaker BThe people around him do have nukes.
Speaker BThat's the pro.
Speaker BThat's who, the French and the British.
Speaker BYeah, well, isn't that enough?
Speaker ANo, because they're not directly.
Speaker BI can't believe you're arguing for an increase in nuclear armaments.
Speaker AWell, no.
Speaker ASo you're saying, if we don't have NATO, what else do we have?
Speaker AAnd the answer is nukes.
Speaker ASo my argument is we have a peace agreement with countries that can fight Russia.
Speaker AThe other alternative is to give these countries who are likely to be invaded nukes, which isn't acceptable.
Speaker ASo the acceptable answer is a peace agreement with an alliance of countries that together are big enough to fight Russia.
Speaker AYou know, this is.
Speaker BI love having this dispute.
Speaker AThis is the only way that you can get a lasting peace with Putin.
Speaker CIt's actually him completely surrounded by NATO.
Speaker CWell, it's the only thing that.
Speaker CIt's the only thing that actually scares him is NATO.
Speaker CNow, he honestly believes that NATO is going to invade him, which I just don't see.
Speaker BYep.
Speaker CBut if.
Speaker CIf all those countries around him were members of NATO, that would keep the bastard behind his borders.
Speaker CHe wouldn't actually roll the tanks in.
Speaker BDon't repeat myself.
Speaker BI'll just move on.
Speaker CYou can repeat what you've said because I agreed with what that guy was saying.
Speaker CHe says, you know, you don't want it to go any further east.
Speaker CI agreed with him, but they've gone that far.
Speaker CAnd now that.
Speaker CAnd now that Putin has shown exactly what he's.
Speaker CWhat he's capable of, then I honestly believe that they've got no choice but to actually leave behind some sort of military guarantee, which is, can you put.
Speaker BYourself in Putin's shoes?
Speaker BIn Putin's.
Speaker CNo, I can't.
Speaker BAnd he can see what NATO is capable of.
Speaker BHe can look and see what NATO has done.
Speaker BHe can look and see the regime change that the Americans have done.
Speaker BSo you can't put yourself in his shoe and go, shit, that's dangerous to us.
Speaker BYou're all about the.
Speaker BWe can't trust Putin.
Speaker BHe's a crazy megalomaniac who wants to take over the world.
Speaker BBut you can't put yourself in Putin's shoes where he looks out and goes, can't trust NATO and the Americans because they're crazy megalomaniacs who want to take over Europe.
Speaker BYou just can't put yourself in that shoe.
Speaker CNo.
Speaker CYeah, it's one of those things.
Speaker CI just think to myself that you've actually got to look at the history of NATO.
Speaker CIt was set up.
Speaker CIt was set up as a counterweight to the Warsaw Pact.
Speaker CI don't know which one came from first.
Speaker CBut anyway, if the.
Speaker CIf that was.
Speaker CI'm not sure if the Warsaw Pact came first or whether NATO came first.
Speaker CYeah, say again?
Speaker AI think it was NATO came first.
Speaker CRight.
Speaker CWell, NATO was set up as a bull walk against the Communists.
Speaker CThat's why they set it up.
Speaker CIt was designed to be purely defensive.
Speaker CNow, you know, I know you can.
Speaker COkay, you can argue about the Kosovo and everything else, but I would like to ask, what the hell was the west supposed to do when Serbia was doing what they were doing?
Speaker BWhat was Serbia doing?
Speaker AGenocide.
Speaker BNo, they weren't.
Speaker BNo, they weren't.
Speaker AOh, Shrebnica didn't happen.
Speaker ASo 2000 Muslim Serbs weren't murdered by the Bosnians?
Speaker BNo, no, no.
Speaker CWell, who shot that?
Speaker ASorry, other way around.
Speaker AMuslim Bosnians were murdered by the Serbs.
Speaker BJust in the chat, John goes, which was the last country NATO invaded?
Speaker BI think it was Libya was the last, but I'm not, I think that was the most recent.
Speaker BLike NATO has had offensive operations.
Speaker BJohn Joe Scott.
Speaker CI suppose so.
Speaker BBut like when you've looked, what were they supposed to do with the war that was going on there?
Speaker BIt was your normal run of the mill rebel wars.
Speaker BIt wasn't a genocide.
Speaker AIt was a genocide.
Speaker AThere are mass graves.
Speaker AThere were international war crime tribunals.
Speaker BNo, they weren't.
Speaker BThis is like, this is like Tiananmen Square.
Speaker ASo Radcom Ladditch was never found guilty.
Speaker BThis is like Tiananmen Square.
Speaker BThere was not the genocide.
Speaker BBut anyway, when you want to take.
Speaker AHomeland was not a convicted war criminal.
Speaker AFound guilty of committing war crimes, crimes against humanity and genocide by the International Criminal Tribunal for the former Yugoslavia.
Speaker AHe's not serving a life sentence for his crimes.
Speaker BI, I don't know the specifics of each individual.
Speaker AOkay, well, the, the International Criminal Tribunal found him guilty of genocide, so therefore genocide happened.
Speaker BWell, we will have to talk genocide next week.
Speaker BIt'll be like another Tiananmen Square.
Speaker BAnd I don't think you want to give him another Tiananmen Square and Uyghur episode.
Speaker BThat's also required.
Speaker CWell, but I don't think that what is actually happening to the Uyghurs is as bad as those Christian nutters in America make out.
Speaker CBut something is happening to them.
Speaker BS West in the chat room says we need live fact checking.
Speaker BAnyway, let's move on to a couple of other topics.
Speaker BLook at that, 837.
Speaker BWe've got nowhere on this one so far.
Speaker CIt's time for bed.
Speaker BActually, hang in there, Scott.
Speaker BFor another.
Speaker BJust while we're on this sort of area, we'll just quickly go.
Speaker BTrump was asked about orcas.
Speaker BDid you see this?
Speaker CYeah.
Speaker CHe didn't actually understand what orcas was.
Speaker CIt had to be explained to him.
Speaker BI'll play this clip.
Speaker BYou seem very reliant on explaining that clip.
Speaker BPutin's worldview rather than perhaps the stark reality of the.
Speaker BSorry back.
Speaker BYeah.
Speaker BWhat does that mean in terms of orcas?
Speaker BOkay, leaders get lost.
Speaker ABlack and white, stripy cetaceans.
Speaker BWhat's that?
Speaker AOrcas.
Speaker BOrcas, yes.
Speaker BWhen he finds out how much we're paying for how little that's being delivered, he'll really like orcas.
Speaker BWhat else have we got here?
Speaker BAnd also did you see the, the Trump Gaza clip, Scott, which won the AI.
Speaker BYes, the AI generator.
Speaker CYeah, I did see that.
Speaker CThat was quite amusing.
Speaker CThere's a picture of him.
Speaker CYeah, I know it's Bloody awful what he was actually proposing.
Speaker CBut anyway, it was actually amusing to see that him and Netanyahu selling themselves.
Speaker BYeah, I suppose there's no point showing the clip.
Speaker AI think there is.
Speaker BOh, you okay?
Speaker AI think for those who haven't seen.
Speaker BIt, Here we go.
Speaker BAll right.
Speaker BThe trumpet.
Speaker BSo this is what Trump played on his own.
Speaker BYes, yes.
Speaker BTruth Social.
Speaker BHere it is.
Speaker AIt's funky music as well.
Speaker CTo set you free Bringing the light.
Speaker BFor all to see no more tunnels, no more fear Trump Gaza is finally here Trump Gaza shining bright golden future A brand new life, feast and dance the deal is done Trump Gaza, number one Trump Gaza shining bright golden future A brand new life, feast and dance.
Speaker BJoe, you were particularly keen to see that one.
Speaker BTrump Gaza.
Speaker AI mean, it was the statue, the golden statue of Trump.
Speaker AAs somebody has said, it just looks like something that's waiting to be toppled as the dictator is overthrown and beaten with shoes.
Speaker BYes.
Speaker BSo is it clit.
Speaker BAn AI generated music video envisioning.
Speaker BEnvisioning Gaza as an ostentatious resort town where everybody parties as Trump and Netanyahu sip drinks by the pool.
Speaker BThat's what the image was.
Speaker BCaitlin Johnson says this video is simultaneously the most American thing that has ever happened and the most Israeli thing that has ever happened.
Speaker BFake Gordy, sociopathic, genocidal, emblematic of all the ugliest values that both dystopian civilizations have come to embody.
Speaker BJust.
Speaker BJust ridiculous.
Speaker BIt's beyond ridicul ridiculous.
Speaker BIt's just sick.
Speaker BLike you've entirely wiped out tens of thousands of people and you, you just run a party type take to say how wonderful Trump Gaza is going to be saying.
Speaker BYeah, yeah.
Speaker BOkay, well, do we want to move on?
Speaker BAny other topics or.
Speaker BScott, you've got to go to bed anyway.
Speaker CYes, I do.
Speaker BWe'll leave some of these for another time.
Speaker BI think I've got some homework to do and we'll explore all that next week.
Speaker BLooks like plenty of people hung around in the chat.
Speaker BThat was Good.
Speaker BWe've got 11 people watching.
Speaker BGood on you.
Speaker BThank you for your comments.
Speaker BWe tried our best to incorporate them and join us.
Speaker BSame that time, same that channel next week.
Speaker BBye for now.
Speaker CAnd it's a good night from me.
Speaker AAnd it's a good night from him.
Speaker CGood night.