Charles Seaman

You're listening to the Master Passive Income Podcast Network.

Charles Seaman

Hey, guys, Charles Seaman here with Erica McNew for the Master Passive Income Multifamily Podcast.

Charles Seaman

And if you want our commercial real estate success guide, you can text the word freedom to 33777.

Charles Seaman

Today we're going to be talking about a really important topic in multifamily finding the right location for your multifamily investments.

Charles Seaman

Welcome to the Master Passive Income Multifamily Podcast where we guide you to invest in commercial real estate with a special.

Erica McNew

Focus on raising money from others to buy bigger and better deals.

Erica McNew

And now, here are your hosts, Charles.

Charles Seaman

Seaman and Erica McNew.

Charles Seaman

Erica, do you want to share one thing that people should be looking for as they look for multifamily investors?

Erica McNew

Yeah, absolutely.

Erica McNew

So you're getting started on that multifamily journey or you're looking for another acquisition.

Erica McNew

And one of the most important things, I think is market trends.

Erica McNew

So you're looking at job growth within a certain area.

Erica McNew

And when you're looking at a particular asset for acquisition, I think it's really important to get into the logistics and the details of, like, where are your tenants coming from?

Erica McNew

Where is your, you know, avatar tenant coming from?

Erica McNew

Where do they work?

Erica McNew

What are the employment centers that are around that building?

Erica McNew

I think that's really important, especially on the larger multifamily chatgpt.

Erica McNew

You know, that's one of my friends.

Erica McNew

And so I always plug that in.

Erica McNew

You know, what are some of the jobs and infrastructure in this location?

Erica McNew

And it's always great.

Erica McNew

It gives you kind of a good base of some of the companies that you can then look into.

Erica McNew

When I see those companies that are bigger employers within a particular area around an asset that I'm looking at for acquisition, I am really comfortable.

Erica McNew

If I see them putting more money into development, that's always a good sign, right?

Erica McNew

And so market trends is something I think is important.

Erica McNew

You're also looking at population growth, and within that, even more.

Erica McNew

So you're looking at population growth, you're looking at the average size per household, a variety of different data points, and then developments.

Erica McNew

I think like, that's why a local real estate agent is so important, because it's critical that you know what development is going in, where and when and what point of the process it's in.

Erica McNew

So that's one of the first things I educate my multifamily investors on, is some of the areas that we can anticipate appreciation and more housing demand based on some of the developments that are going In.

Erica McNew

So that's some of the things that I see with like market trends.

Erica McNew

What about you, Charles, what do you think?

Charles Seaman

I think those are actually some really good points.

Charles Seaman

You know, you gotta follow the jobs.

Charles Seaman

People move where jobs are.

Charles Seaman

So if there's an employer and they're bringing a lot of, a lot of jobs, especially if they're high quality jobs, you're going to see people that actually migrate there because that's where they need housing.

Charles Seaman

People want to live close to where they work and they want to be working with jobs for plentiful.

Charles Seaman

So that's definitely some great insight.

Charles Seaman

One thing I would also say, aside from population growth is household formation growth.

Charles Seaman

And I think too many people focus on population growth and not enough on household formation growth.

Charles Seaman

So somebody might ask, well, what's the difference?

Charles Seaman

Well, population is each individual person, right?

Charles Seaman

So you have, if you have two people, regardless of their living situation, your population is two, but household formations are different.

Charles Seaman

So say you have the same two people, but each person is single, they don't have any children, they're not rooming together.

Charles Seaman

So now you have two separate housing units.

Charles Seaman

So a household formation is going to be demand for housing in the area.

Charles Seaman

So definitely those market trends are absolutely.

Charles Seaman

So another thing is demand, right?

Charles Seaman

You got to look at local rental demand in the area.

Charles Seaman

So what do you want to see?

Charles Seaman

Well, ideally, if you're buying in an area, you want to see lower vacancy rates because that's drawing demand.

Charles Seaman

Now are there times when there could be a buy in areas that don't have that?

Charles Seaman

Sometimes, but only if you can see there's already a clear path in progress.

Charles Seaman

If there's not, you're only buying a riskier property.

Charles Seaman

That's going to be tougher.

Charles Seaman

Do you agree with that, Erica?

Erica McNew

I do.

Erica McNew

And I guess, like, what do you see as far as like acceptable vacancy rates in a particular market?

Charles Seaman

Well, ideally you want to be somewhere between 5 and 10%, is what I would tell you.

Charles Seaman

Most times in the last couple of years, I think a lot of people probably got very spoiled with sub 5%.

Charles Seaman

That's probably not sustainable in the long term.

Charles Seaman

Now in some markets they're obviously, you know, every market's going to be different, right?

Charles Seaman

So it's going to be different.

Charles Seaman

If you're looking in Charlotte, North Carolina or Indianapolis, Indiana or Los Angeles, they're going to be very different markets and each one's going to have different numbers you're looking for.

Charles Seaman

But generally somewhere in that 5 to 10% range I think is realistic.

Charles Seaman

You know, a lot of the Sunbelt freezing markets are double digits right now.

Charles Seaman

Now, most likely that's not going to be a long term trend, it's a short term one.

Charles Seaman

But there's a lot of new supply, so it's going to take time for that to absorb.

Erica McNew

Very interesting.

Erica McNew

And I guess also some of those data points that I look at within, like a location economic analysis, when I'm doing one of those for a specific location would be the amount of units being built.

Erica McNew

So that you can also measure the household formation.

Erica McNew

Right.

Erica McNew

How many people are owning versus renting, and you're measuring that against how many units are being built and you're at the trajectory of how much that's keeping up and if there's going to be a deficit or not.

Erica McNew

So I think that's another one of the data points on the LEA that I pull up that I think is also important.

Erica McNew

And when you get familiar with those data points, especially as a market snapshot, you know, it's super easy to look at one and go, okay, this is a market I want to explore investing in, or this is a market that I'm not going to invest in.

Erica McNew

And I think getting good at looking at those data points is really important for investing in multifamily.

Charles Seaman

Absolutely.

Charles Seaman

And one of the data points I think also just the renter profile.

Charles Seaman

Right.

Charles Seaman

So what does the renter look like?

Charles Seaman

So what are their income demographics?

Charles Seaman

So if you're buying a luxury property, but it's in an area that has, you know, workforce, housing demographics, it's probably not going to be a great mix.

Charles Seaman

There's some properties that I've been looking at lately that, you know, they're, they're nice, you know, what you call class A property, luxury buildings, all the latest amenities.

Charles Seaman

The problem is the developers may have been a little ambitious with the areas they built them in.

Charles Seaman

And maybe they thought these areas would gentrify.

Charles Seaman

And they might gentrify, let me be clear.

Charles Seaman

But it might just take longer than they anticipated.

Charles Seaman

So because of that, their vacancies are higher and these properties are being sold cheaply.

Charles Seaman

So you have to really understand what that demographic is and does it line up with what you're buying?

Erica McNew

Absolutely.

Erica McNew

And I will add to that that I see also sometimes properties that are located near military bases.

Erica McNew

And for instance, there was in Vicksburg, Mississippi when I was driving my Tesla to Austin, Texas From Charlotte in 2022, some of the homes were selling for 80 grand, were renting for as much as 1400amonth.

Erica McNew

And I'm like, what is this Magic that's happening over here.

Erica McNew

And it was because they have the Army Corp of Engineers there.

Erica McNew

And what, you know, analyzing something like that, it's like, okay, is this a wise investment based on that's basically the only employer for the entire area.

Erica McNew

Right.

Erica McNew

Like there is no other economy outside of that almost for that area in that location.

Erica McNew

So would a larger multifamily asset make sense to invest in that area?

Erica McNew

And then again, you're looking at market trends.

Erica McNew

Army Corp of Engineers was actually purchasing land to continue development and you could see they had a very strong development business plan to remain in the area and expand in the area.

Erica McNew

So because of something like that, perhaps it would have been a good investment in that area.

Erica McNew

So I think that's also something I look at.

Charles Seaman

For sure you touched on something really important.

Charles Seaman

So you want to be investing in places where you have diverse economies.

Charles Seaman

Now with single family, that's important, but it may not be as important because you're trying to fill a single unit.

Charles Seaman

When you're in multifamily, Whether it's a 20 unit or a 200 unit property, you're trying to fill units at scale.

Charles Seaman

So you want that economic diversity because there's a higher probability that you're going to have more vacancy if you only have a one trick pony type of economy.

Charles Seaman

Now for many years, Las Vegas has had a reputation as that.

Charles Seaman

Las Vegas is actually a lot more diverse now than it used to be.

Charles Seaman

At one time it was truly entertainment and gaming.

Charles Seaman

Now that's about 30% of the economy, which is still a big chunk, but it's a lot more diverse than it used to be.

Charles Seaman

The same thing with Detroit.

Charles Seaman

Detroit's got, you know, heavy reliance on the auto industry.

Charles Seaman

So you want to look at those things and factor them in.

Charles Seaman

Does it mean you shouldn't buy property in that area?

Charles Seaman

No, but you got to make sure you do your homework and you feel very confident and that you're buying it at a price that reflects whatever that risk is.

Erica McNew

Right, right.

Erica McNew

And I guess also calculating in whatever you could predict for vacancy rates based on that if you were going to purchase that asset, calculating in higher vacancy rate, potentially.

Erica McNew

So yeah, very good points.

Charles Seaman

Yeah.

Charles Seaman

And another thing you want to look at is affordability.

Charles Seaman

So there's two major issues we have with housing throughout various markets in the country.

Charles Seaman

We have a supply issue in some cases and in other cases an affordability issue in some cases both.

Charles Seaman

So why is affordability important?

Charles Seaman

Well, if you're looking to charge $2,000 a month rent, but you're in an area where the Median income is 32,000, it's probably not going to work.

Charles Seaman

What's going to happen is you're going to constantly be replacing tenants because you're going to have people that are always being evicted and you're going to be spending more money turning units than doing anything else.

Charles Seaman

So most people aren't underwriting deals that way.

Charles Seaman

So you really want to make sure that the affordability aspect is there and that whatever rent you're looking to charge is in line with the income for the area.

Erica McNew

And I would say being very conservative on those numbers as well, for sure.

Erica McNew

And that's where having a good team, no matter what size multifamily you are looking to acquire, having a really good property manager is so important because beyond just what a real estate broker can tell you on rental rates, property managers will know a lot more these kind of details.

Erica McNew

And so it's again, really important to have a good work team when you're doing this kind of thing, to run that kind of stuff by people.

Charles Seaman

Totally.

Charles Seaman

So what else do you want to look for?

Charles Seaman

Well, let's talk about neighborhood characteristics.

Charles Seaman

Areas that are walkable with amenities like shopping and dining and transit.

Charles Seaman

Why is that important?

Charles Seaman

Well, it's important because a lot of people that are living in these apartment buildings and these communities, they want things that are accessible to them.

Charles Seaman

Yeah, they're moving there for convenience.

Charles Seaman

If they wanted space and isolation, they'd be moving out of the city and they'd be going and buying or renting a house.

Charles Seaman

But in this case, they're looking for city living.

Charles Seaman

They want convenience, they want amenities, and they want things that are close to them.

Charles Seaman

You know, if you notice the most in demand areas in most cities usually have a lot of conveniences in very close proximity.

Charles Seaman

That's not by accident.

Erica McNew

Yeah, absolutely.

Erica McNew

And I think that's becoming more and more important.

Erica McNew

You know, you have your tertiary markets, your secondary markets, and your primary markets, which are your major cities.

Erica McNew

And I think that as population growth happens in a certain area, like Charlotte, North Carolina, for instance, you know, we start to transition from a secondary to a primary city.

Erica McNew

And I think within that, some of those transitions include people valuing walkability a lot more.

Erica McNew

Right.

Erica McNew

Because now we're looking for shorter commute times because to get from point A to point B is increasing due to traffic because of population growth.

Erica McNew

So I think that also depending knowing what type of city you're investing in and where it's at as far as trajectory for population growth is really important as well.

Charles Seaman

How about crime rates?

Charles Seaman

Does that factor into the equation?

Erica McNew

I think that factors into the tenant profile, to be honest.

Erica McNew

And I think that it's important, as we've spoken about previously, that when I work with investors that are out of state, that are more passive investors and not as hands on, and I know they're not going to be as hands on with the asset, they probably don't want to purchase class D assets because they're going to end up with a tenant profile that could require a lot more work and it requires somebody to be more hands on.

Erica McNew

So I think that crime, you know, it factors in a little bit, but really it factors into determining whether that's going to be your buy box in that area or not.

Erica McNew

Because there's still, I think appreciation, especially depending on the city or location it's in, there should still be a decent amount of appreciation for somebody looking to buy and hold, particularly in things like opportunity zones.

Erica McNew

Those are the good.

Erica McNew

That's good stuff, Charles.

Charles Seaman

You know, I can go either way on opportunity zones.

Charles Seaman

So opportunity zones do have benefits, but I think it depends how active of one you're buying in.

Charles Seaman

You can buy in some that are dead and have nothing going on, and you'll probably see no appreciation in those areas.

Charles Seaman

But then you can buy in others that have a lot of activity.

Charles Seaman

And the area is totally gentrifying.

Charles Seaman

In 10 years from now, it'll be a much different, more valuable area.

Charles Seaman

You know, I mean, I'll use an example.

Charles Seaman

So for any of the listeners, I'm in Charlotte, North Carolina, and Erica's right around there as well.

Charles Seaman

So there's two opportunities.

Charles Seaman

I was in Charlotte.

Charles Seaman

One of those opportunities has a lot more activity than the other one.

Charles Seaman

So the one that has more activity, it's a slow change.

Charles Seaman

It's not going to be overnight, but in 10 years, you'll see that area be a lot more valuable because it's building new properties, it's creating new jobs, it's doing things that are spurring economic activity.

Charles Seaman

You really have as much activity going on.

Charles Seaman

So you may not see much of a change in 10 years.

Erica McNew

Yeah, you.

Erica McNew

The one with spurring activity at Lincoln Heights area is what you're referring to essentially west Charlotte.

Charles Seaman

So that one's got a lot of development, a lot of.

Charles Seaman

A lot of building, a lot of jobs.

Charles Seaman

That's happening.

Charles Seaman

That area is becoming literally more valuable overnight.

Erica McNew

Yep.

Erica McNew

And I think that development, the river district going in on the west side of the airport, we'll continue to see that appreciation over there.

Erica McNew

Very interesting.

Erica McNew

Good take.

Charles Seaman

Yep.

Charles Seaman

So then we have, aside from characteristics, you know, along the same line as characteristics, how about schools?

Charles Seaman

So depending on your demographic, that can be very important.

Charles Seaman

If you're buying a property that's going to have a lot of retirees, maybe that's not as important.

Charles Seaman

But if you're buying a property where your tenant is going to be families, a lot of them want good schools.

Charles Seaman

You know, they want to send their kids to schools where they're going to be safe schools where they're going to be getting quality education.

Charles Seaman

So that's going to factor into how desirable those are.

Charles Seaman

You agree?

Erica McNew

I do.

Erica McNew

And I use, I send clients to areavibes.com for like crime data statistics because it just gives it in a very user friendly format.

Erica McNew

And then greatschools.org is a really good place to research the schools in an area.

Erica McNew

They have reviews and ratings on each school.

Erica McNew

So there's some great websites out there to research this stuff.

Charles Seaman

Yep.

Charles Seaman

So then we have housing policies.

Charles Seaman

And to me, this is actually the single most important thing that I look at whenever I decide if I want to invest in an area or not.

Charles Seaman

How friendly or unfriendly a tenant landlord was, that's a big thing and it's something that's going to have a large impact on how easy it is for you to manage your property.

Charles Seaman

So I'm originally from New York.

Charles Seaman

I would never invest in anything residential or multifamily in New York because managing there is an absolute disaster.

Charles Seaman

If you go upstate New York, it may not be so bad.

Charles Seaman

It's a lot more, a lot more landlord friendly.

Charles Seaman

But within the city it's tough.

Charles Seaman

You know, I have a lot of friends who have own properties here and they hear absolute horror stories of, you know, it takes you two years to get somebody out and sometimes more than that when you evict them.

Charles Seaman

So why is that important?

Charles Seaman

Well, every month that somebody's sitting there not paying your rent is a month you are losing money.

Charles Seaman

So it's a month that you're not collecting rent.

Charles Seaman

It's a month that your income is going down.

Charles Seaman

It's a month that you're having to come up with money to pay an expense or to pay the mortgage or to pay anything.

Charles Seaman

That's why Texas has become so popular in recent years.

Charles Seaman

In Texas you can get people out in about a month.

Charles Seaman

I haven't personally invested in Texas yet, but it's a very landlord friendly market.

Charles Seaman

There's not a lot of options for tenants who aren't going to adhere to the lease.

Charles Seaman

And that Makes it a higher probability of you being successful with those investments.

Erica McNew

Yeah, absolutely.

Erica McNew

And I also think tax laws, knowing like local, regional tax laws and all of those things I have, I know, like for instance, South Carolina charges a slightly higher tax for investment properties.

Erica McNew

So knowing what your taxes are going to be on any given investment property in a particular area is really, really important as well.

Erica McNew

And how that local municipality operates.

Erica McNew

And I guess like even on multifamily, I see short term rental done.

Erica McNew

Obviously that's something that is very regulated and that you always want to double check as well if that's a part of your strategy.

Charles Seaman

And it happens life cycles.

Charles Seaman

So in some of our previous episodes we talked about market cycles.

Charles Seaman

And real estate at its core is really a hyper local business.

Charles Seaman

So while there is a national and global market, it's really local and hyperlocal in some markets.

Charles Seaman

Literally.

Charles Seaman

Areas can change from block to block.

Charles Seaman

So you have to understand where you're buying and what you're getting.

Charles Seaman

And what you want to understand when you're buying is where is that area and where is that submarket right now?

Charles Seaman

Is it a market that's growing?

Charles Seaman

Is it a market that's already established?

Charles Seaman

Is it a market that maybe is declining?

Charles Seaman

I'm sure that anybody who lived in Detroit 80, 90 years ago probably never thought that the population would be a third of what it was then.

Charles Seaman

In 1950, Detroit had a population of nearly 1.9 million.

Charles Seaman

Now it's around 600,000.

Charles Seaman

So imagine if you buy a property in a market and you have that happen, what happens to that property's value over time?

Erica McNew

Right.

Erica McNew

It's very interesting.

Erica McNew

And I guess I would also be careful of overestimating appreciation, for sure.

Erica McNew

Especially if you're estimating that appreciation off of like development projects that are going on.

Erica McNew

Because I've seen a lot of development projects not work out.

Erica McNew

And I've seen people attempt to get ahead in development projects and purchase real estate strategically thinking it would appreciate.

Erica McNew

And so you also want to be careful not to overestimate appreciation and growth.

Erica McNew

Purchasing for today's value for today, for sure.

Charles Seaman

Yes.

Charles Seaman

Sound advice.

Charles Seaman

So as you're going through areas, another thing you can do is just use your eyes.

Charles Seaman

You can eyeball things.

Charles Seaman

What do you see in the areas?

Charles Seaman

Do you see a lot of properties in disrepair?

Charles Seaman

Do you see properties that are well maintained?

Charles Seaman

Usually those are indicative of the area.

Charles Seaman

You know, if you see a lot of properties in disrepair, if you see that the grass isn't cut, if you see the, the concrete is cracked and none of these Things are being repaired.

Charles Seaman

It probably tells you a good amount of what you need to know about that area.

Charles Seaman

Now, if you walk through another area and you see that the streets are immaculate, the grass is cut, everything looks good in the buildings, that tells you where you're buying.

Charles Seaman

So keep that in mind.

Charles Seaman

And depending on what your model is, either one can work.

Charles Seaman

But it's important to know what you're buying, and it's important to price it accordingly.

Charles Seaman

There are some people who like buying in those rougher areas, and I.

Charles Seaman

And there's people that do very well in those properties, but it's not for everybody.

Charles Seaman

So you have to understand what your model is and what's going to work for you.

Charles Seaman

Yep.

Erica McNew

And I will say, I think being involved with local government is always really important because that's helped me also know what are my districts in my area and which district is struggling to get the attention that they feel that that district needs and which ones are getting.

Erica McNew

You know, all of the development projects are happening and it's hustling and bustling.

Erica McNew

So I think also being in tune with your local government, knowing where they're putting the money and where they're not putting the money and knowing your different districts, I think that's been very valuable for me on that as well.

Charles Seaman

Keep in mind, I mean, that's definitely great insight.

Charles Seaman

The government tells you where they want you to invest, so keep that in mind.

Charles Seaman

You know, with anything in life, you got to follow the money.

Charles Seaman

And taxpayers have a lot of money.

Charles Seaman

They may not realize it, but they have a lot of money at stake in these communities.

Charles Seaman

So when the government's starting to spend and to encourage people spending, if you can work against them or you can work with them, smart money's not working with them.

Charles Seaman

So keep that in mind.

Erica McNew

Yeah, absolutely.

Charles Seaman

And how about some tools and resources?

Charles Seaman

So for rental price tracking, you know, sites like Zillow and Rentometer can definitely be great starting points.

Charles Seaman

You know, I would never use any site or any single data source as an end all be all.

Charles Seaman

But you can use them for reference and they can help you further research and study an area.

Erica McNew

Yep, absolutely.

Erica McNew

And then like I said, you can always get rental rates.

Erica McNew

An agent can always pull it from your local mls, which is helpful.

Erica McNew

DNA is a site that a lot of my investors will use as well.

Erica McNew

Apartments.com you can get an idea of what things are renting for actively, and some of those are not in mls.

Erica McNew

And then having a really great property manager that you can run things by because they're going to tell you things like, no, that unit will actually or those units will actually rent for $50 less adore.

Erica McNew

And this is why, you know, and those are factors that, that they are the best ones to get that advice from.

Charles Seaman

Awesome.

Charles Seaman

Well, you know, I hope that we gave you guys enough to get Saudi as you find the location here.

Charles Seaman

And we're going to wrap this one up.

Charles Seaman

If you do want our commercial real estate success guide, you can text the word FREEDOM to 33777.

Charles Seaman

And that's all for this one, folks.

Erica McNew

Thanks, guys.