You're listening to the Master Passive Income Podcast Network.
Charles SeamanHey, guys, Charles Seaman here with Erica McNew for the Master Passive Income Multifamily Podcast.
Charles SeamanAnd if you want our commercial real estate success guide, you can text the word freedom to 33777.
Charles SeamanToday we're going to be talking about a really important topic in multifamily finding the right location for your multifamily investments.
Charles SeamanWelcome to the Master Passive Income Multifamily Podcast where we guide you to invest in commercial real estate with a special.
Erica McNewFocus on raising money from others to buy bigger and better deals.
Erica McNewAnd now, here are your hosts, Charles.
Charles SeamanSeaman and Erica McNew.
Charles SeamanErica, do you want to share one thing that people should be looking for as they look for multifamily investors?
Erica McNewYeah, absolutely.
Erica McNewSo you're getting started on that multifamily journey or you're looking for another acquisition.
Erica McNewAnd one of the most important things, I think is market trends.
Erica McNewSo you're looking at job growth within a certain area.
Erica McNewAnd when you're looking at a particular asset for acquisition, I think it's really important to get into the logistics and the details of, like, where are your tenants coming from?
Erica McNewWhere is your, you know, avatar tenant coming from?
Erica McNewWhere do they work?
Erica McNewWhat are the employment centers that are around that building?
Erica McNewI think that's really important, especially on the larger multifamily chatgpt.
Erica McNewYou know, that's one of my friends.
Erica McNewAnd so I always plug that in.
Erica McNewYou know, what are some of the jobs and infrastructure in this location?
Erica McNewAnd it's always great.
Erica McNewIt gives you kind of a good base of some of the companies that you can then look into.
Erica McNewWhen I see those companies that are bigger employers within a particular area around an asset that I'm looking at for acquisition, I am really comfortable.
Erica McNewIf I see them putting more money into development, that's always a good sign, right?
Erica McNewAnd so market trends is something I think is important.
Erica McNewYou're also looking at population growth, and within that, even more.
Erica McNewSo you're looking at population growth, you're looking at the average size per household, a variety of different data points, and then developments.
Erica McNewI think like, that's why a local real estate agent is so important, because it's critical that you know what development is going in, where and when and what point of the process it's in.
Erica McNewSo that's one of the first things I educate my multifamily investors on, is some of the areas that we can anticipate appreciation and more housing demand based on some of the developments that are going In.
Erica McNewSo that's some of the things that I see with like market trends.
Erica McNewWhat about you, Charles, what do you think?
Charles SeamanI think those are actually some really good points.
Charles SeamanYou know, you gotta follow the jobs.
Charles SeamanPeople move where jobs are.
Charles SeamanSo if there's an employer and they're bringing a lot of, a lot of jobs, especially if they're high quality jobs, you're going to see people that actually migrate there because that's where they need housing.
Charles SeamanPeople want to live close to where they work and they want to be working with jobs for plentiful.
Charles SeamanSo that's definitely some great insight.
Charles SeamanOne thing I would also say, aside from population growth is household formation growth.
Charles SeamanAnd I think too many people focus on population growth and not enough on household formation growth.
Charles SeamanSo somebody might ask, well, what's the difference?
Charles SeamanWell, population is each individual person, right?
Charles SeamanSo you have, if you have two people, regardless of their living situation, your population is two, but household formations are different.
Charles SeamanSo say you have the same two people, but each person is single, they don't have any children, they're not rooming together.
Charles SeamanSo now you have two separate housing units.
Charles SeamanSo a household formation is going to be demand for housing in the area.
Charles SeamanSo definitely those market trends are absolutely.
Charles SeamanSo another thing is demand, right?
Charles SeamanYou got to look at local rental demand in the area.
Charles SeamanSo what do you want to see?
Charles SeamanWell, ideally, if you're buying in an area, you want to see lower vacancy rates because that's drawing demand.
Charles SeamanNow are there times when there could be a buy in areas that don't have that?
Charles SeamanSometimes, but only if you can see there's already a clear path in progress.
Charles SeamanIf there's not, you're only buying a riskier property.
Charles SeamanThat's going to be tougher.
Charles SeamanDo you agree with that, Erica?
Erica McNewI do.
Erica McNewAnd I guess, like, what do you see as far as like acceptable vacancy rates in a particular market?
Charles SeamanWell, ideally you want to be somewhere between 5 and 10%, is what I would tell you.
Charles SeamanMost times in the last couple of years, I think a lot of people probably got very spoiled with sub 5%.
Charles SeamanThat's probably not sustainable in the long term.
Charles SeamanNow in some markets they're obviously, you know, every market's going to be different, right?
Charles SeamanSo it's going to be different.
Charles SeamanIf you're looking in Charlotte, North Carolina or Indianapolis, Indiana or Los Angeles, they're going to be very different markets and each one's going to have different numbers you're looking for.
Charles SeamanBut generally somewhere in that 5 to 10% range I think is realistic.
Charles SeamanYou know, a lot of the Sunbelt freezing markets are double digits right now.
Charles SeamanNow, most likely that's not going to be a long term trend, it's a short term one.
Charles SeamanBut there's a lot of new supply, so it's going to take time for that to absorb.
Erica McNewVery interesting.
Erica McNewAnd I guess also some of those data points that I look at within, like a location economic analysis, when I'm doing one of those for a specific location would be the amount of units being built.
Erica McNewSo that you can also measure the household formation.
Erica McNewRight.
Erica McNewHow many people are owning versus renting, and you're measuring that against how many units are being built and you're at the trajectory of how much that's keeping up and if there's going to be a deficit or not.
Erica McNewSo I think that's another one of the data points on the LEA that I pull up that I think is also important.
Erica McNewAnd when you get familiar with those data points, especially as a market snapshot, you know, it's super easy to look at one and go, okay, this is a market I want to explore investing in, or this is a market that I'm not going to invest in.
Erica McNewAnd I think getting good at looking at those data points is really important for investing in multifamily.
Charles SeamanAbsolutely.
Charles SeamanAnd one of the data points I think also just the renter profile.
Charles SeamanRight.
Charles SeamanSo what does the renter look like?
Charles SeamanSo what are their income demographics?
Charles SeamanSo if you're buying a luxury property, but it's in an area that has, you know, workforce, housing demographics, it's probably not going to be a great mix.
Charles SeamanThere's some properties that I've been looking at lately that, you know, they're, they're nice, you know, what you call class A property, luxury buildings, all the latest amenities.
Charles SeamanThe problem is the developers may have been a little ambitious with the areas they built them in.
Charles SeamanAnd maybe they thought these areas would gentrify.
Charles SeamanAnd they might gentrify, let me be clear.
Charles SeamanBut it might just take longer than they anticipated.
Charles SeamanSo because of that, their vacancies are higher and these properties are being sold cheaply.
Charles SeamanSo you have to really understand what that demographic is and does it line up with what you're buying?
Erica McNewAbsolutely.
Erica McNewAnd I will add to that that I see also sometimes properties that are located near military bases.
Erica McNewAnd for instance, there was in Vicksburg, Mississippi when I was driving my Tesla to Austin, Texas From Charlotte in 2022, some of the homes were selling for 80 grand, were renting for as much as 1400amonth.
Erica McNewAnd I'm like, what is this Magic that's happening over here.
Erica McNewAnd it was because they have the Army Corp of Engineers there.
Erica McNewAnd what, you know, analyzing something like that, it's like, okay, is this a wise investment based on that's basically the only employer for the entire area.
Erica McNewRight.
Erica McNewLike there is no other economy outside of that almost for that area in that location.
Erica McNewSo would a larger multifamily asset make sense to invest in that area?
Erica McNewAnd then again, you're looking at market trends.
Erica McNewArmy Corp of Engineers was actually purchasing land to continue development and you could see they had a very strong development business plan to remain in the area and expand in the area.
Erica McNewSo because of something like that, perhaps it would have been a good investment in that area.
Erica McNewSo I think that's also something I look at.
Charles SeamanFor sure you touched on something really important.
Charles SeamanSo you want to be investing in places where you have diverse economies.
Charles SeamanNow with single family, that's important, but it may not be as important because you're trying to fill a single unit.
Charles SeamanWhen you're in multifamily, Whether it's a 20 unit or a 200 unit property, you're trying to fill units at scale.
Charles SeamanSo you want that economic diversity because there's a higher probability that you're going to have more vacancy if you only have a one trick pony type of economy.
Charles SeamanNow for many years, Las Vegas has had a reputation as that.
Charles SeamanLas Vegas is actually a lot more diverse now than it used to be.
Charles SeamanAt one time it was truly entertainment and gaming.
Charles SeamanNow that's about 30% of the economy, which is still a big chunk, but it's a lot more diverse than it used to be.
Charles SeamanThe same thing with Detroit.
Charles SeamanDetroit's got, you know, heavy reliance on the auto industry.
Charles SeamanSo you want to look at those things and factor them in.
Charles SeamanDoes it mean you shouldn't buy property in that area?
Charles SeamanNo, but you got to make sure you do your homework and you feel very confident and that you're buying it at a price that reflects whatever that risk is.
Erica McNewRight, right.
Erica McNewAnd I guess also calculating in whatever you could predict for vacancy rates based on that if you were going to purchase that asset, calculating in higher vacancy rate, potentially.
Erica McNewSo yeah, very good points.
Charles SeamanYeah.
Charles SeamanAnd another thing you want to look at is affordability.
Charles SeamanSo there's two major issues we have with housing throughout various markets in the country.
Charles SeamanWe have a supply issue in some cases and in other cases an affordability issue in some cases both.
Charles SeamanSo why is affordability important?
Charles SeamanWell, if you're looking to charge $2,000 a month rent, but you're in an area where the Median income is 32,000, it's probably not going to work.
Charles SeamanWhat's going to happen is you're going to constantly be replacing tenants because you're going to have people that are always being evicted and you're going to be spending more money turning units than doing anything else.
Charles SeamanSo most people aren't underwriting deals that way.
Charles SeamanSo you really want to make sure that the affordability aspect is there and that whatever rent you're looking to charge is in line with the income for the area.
Erica McNewAnd I would say being very conservative on those numbers as well, for sure.
Erica McNewAnd that's where having a good team, no matter what size multifamily you are looking to acquire, having a really good property manager is so important because beyond just what a real estate broker can tell you on rental rates, property managers will know a lot more these kind of details.
Erica McNewAnd so it's again, really important to have a good work team when you're doing this kind of thing, to run that kind of stuff by people.
Charles SeamanTotally.
Charles SeamanSo what else do you want to look for?
Charles SeamanWell, let's talk about neighborhood characteristics.
Charles SeamanAreas that are walkable with amenities like shopping and dining and transit.
Charles SeamanWhy is that important?
Charles SeamanWell, it's important because a lot of people that are living in these apartment buildings and these communities, they want things that are accessible to them.
Charles SeamanYeah, they're moving there for convenience.
Charles SeamanIf they wanted space and isolation, they'd be moving out of the city and they'd be going and buying or renting a house.
Charles SeamanBut in this case, they're looking for city living.
Charles SeamanThey want convenience, they want amenities, and they want things that are close to them.
Charles SeamanYou know, if you notice the most in demand areas in most cities usually have a lot of conveniences in very close proximity.
Charles SeamanThat's not by accident.
Erica McNewYeah, absolutely.
Erica McNewAnd I think that's becoming more and more important.
Erica McNewYou know, you have your tertiary markets, your secondary markets, and your primary markets, which are your major cities.
Erica McNewAnd I think that as population growth happens in a certain area, like Charlotte, North Carolina, for instance, you know, we start to transition from a secondary to a primary city.
Erica McNewAnd I think within that, some of those transitions include people valuing walkability a lot more.
Erica McNewRight.
Erica McNewBecause now we're looking for shorter commute times because to get from point A to point B is increasing due to traffic because of population growth.
Erica McNewSo I think that also depending knowing what type of city you're investing in and where it's at as far as trajectory for population growth is really important as well.
Charles SeamanHow about crime rates?
Charles SeamanDoes that factor into the equation?
Erica McNewI think that factors into the tenant profile, to be honest.
Erica McNewAnd I think that it's important, as we've spoken about previously, that when I work with investors that are out of state, that are more passive investors and not as hands on, and I know they're not going to be as hands on with the asset, they probably don't want to purchase class D assets because they're going to end up with a tenant profile that could require a lot more work and it requires somebody to be more hands on.
Erica McNewSo I think that crime, you know, it factors in a little bit, but really it factors into determining whether that's going to be your buy box in that area or not.
Erica McNewBecause there's still, I think appreciation, especially depending on the city or location it's in, there should still be a decent amount of appreciation for somebody looking to buy and hold, particularly in things like opportunity zones.
Erica McNewThose are the good.
Erica McNewThat's good stuff, Charles.
Charles SeamanYou know, I can go either way on opportunity zones.
Charles SeamanSo opportunity zones do have benefits, but I think it depends how active of one you're buying in.
Charles SeamanYou can buy in some that are dead and have nothing going on, and you'll probably see no appreciation in those areas.
Charles SeamanBut then you can buy in others that have a lot of activity.
Charles SeamanAnd the area is totally gentrifying.
Charles SeamanIn 10 years from now, it'll be a much different, more valuable area.
Charles SeamanYou know, I mean, I'll use an example.
Charles SeamanSo for any of the listeners, I'm in Charlotte, North Carolina, and Erica's right around there as well.
Charles SeamanSo there's two opportunities.
Charles SeamanI was in Charlotte.
Charles SeamanOne of those opportunities has a lot more activity than the other one.
Charles SeamanSo the one that has more activity, it's a slow change.
Charles SeamanIt's not going to be overnight, but in 10 years, you'll see that area be a lot more valuable because it's building new properties, it's creating new jobs, it's doing things that are spurring economic activity.
Charles SeamanYou really have as much activity going on.
Charles SeamanSo you may not see much of a change in 10 years.
Erica McNewYeah, you.
Erica McNewThe one with spurring activity at Lincoln Heights area is what you're referring to essentially west Charlotte.
Charles SeamanSo that one's got a lot of development, a lot of.
Charles SeamanA lot of building, a lot of jobs.
Charles SeamanThat's happening.
Charles SeamanThat area is becoming literally more valuable overnight.
Erica McNewYep.
Erica McNewAnd I think that development, the river district going in on the west side of the airport, we'll continue to see that appreciation over there.
Erica McNewVery interesting.
Erica McNewGood take.
Charles SeamanYep.
Charles SeamanSo then we have, aside from characteristics, you know, along the same line as characteristics, how about schools?
Charles SeamanSo depending on your demographic, that can be very important.
Charles SeamanIf you're buying a property that's going to have a lot of retirees, maybe that's not as important.
Charles SeamanBut if you're buying a property where your tenant is going to be families, a lot of them want good schools.
Charles SeamanYou know, they want to send their kids to schools where they're going to be safe schools where they're going to be getting quality education.
Charles SeamanSo that's going to factor into how desirable those are.
Charles SeamanYou agree?
Erica McNewI do.
Erica McNewAnd I use, I send clients to areavibes.com for like crime data statistics because it just gives it in a very user friendly format.
Erica McNewAnd then greatschools.org is a really good place to research the schools in an area.
Erica McNewThey have reviews and ratings on each school.
Erica McNewSo there's some great websites out there to research this stuff.
Charles SeamanYep.
Charles SeamanSo then we have housing policies.
Charles SeamanAnd to me, this is actually the single most important thing that I look at whenever I decide if I want to invest in an area or not.
Charles SeamanHow friendly or unfriendly a tenant landlord was, that's a big thing and it's something that's going to have a large impact on how easy it is for you to manage your property.
Charles SeamanSo I'm originally from New York.
Charles SeamanI would never invest in anything residential or multifamily in New York because managing there is an absolute disaster.
Charles SeamanIf you go upstate New York, it may not be so bad.
Charles SeamanIt's a lot more, a lot more landlord friendly.
Charles SeamanBut within the city it's tough.
Charles SeamanYou know, I have a lot of friends who have own properties here and they hear absolute horror stories of, you know, it takes you two years to get somebody out and sometimes more than that when you evict them.
Charles SeamanSo why is that important?
Charles SeamanWell, every month that somebody's sitting there not paying your rent is a month you are losing money.
Charles SeamanSo it's a month that you're not collecting rent.
Charles SeamanIt's a month that your income is going down.
Charles SeamanIt's a month that you're having to come up with money to pay an expense or to pay the mortgage or to pay anything.
Charles SeamanThat's why Texas has become so popular in recent years.
Charles SeamanIn Texas you can get people out in about a month.
Charles SeamanI haven't personally invested in Texas yet, but it's a very landlord friendly market.
Charles SeamanThere's not a lot of options for tenants who aren't going to adhere to the lease.
Charles SeamanAnd that Makes it a higher probability of you being successful with those investments.
Erica McNewYeah, absolutely.
Erica McNewAnd I also think tax laws, knowing like local, regional tax laws and all of those things I have, I know, like for instance, South Carolina charges a slightly higher tax for investment properties.
Erica McNewSo knowing what your taxes are going to be on any given investment property in a particular area is really, really important as well.
Erica McNewAnd how that local municipality operates.
Erica McNewAnd I guess like even on multifamily, I see short term rental done.
Erica McNewObviously that's something that is very regulated and that you always want to double check as well if that's a part of your strategy.
Charles SeamanAnd it happens life cycles.
Charles SeamanSo in some of our previous episodes we talked about market cycles.
Charles SeamanAnd real estate at its core is really a hyper local business.
Charles SeamanSo while there is a national and global market, it's really local and hyperlocal in some markets.
Charles SeamanLiterally.
Charles SeamanAreas can change from block to block.
Charles SeamanSo you have to understand where you're buying and what you're getting.
Charles SeamanAnd what you want to understand when you're buying is where is that area and where is that submarket right now?
Charles SeamanIs it a market that's growing?
Charles SeamanIs it a market that's already established?
Charles SeamanIs it a market that maybe is declining?
Charles SeamanI'm sure that anybody who lived in Detroit 80, 90 years ago probably never thought that the population would be a third of what it was then.
Charles SeamanIn 1950, Detroit had a population of nearly 1.9 million.
Charles SeamanNow it's around 600,000.
Charles SeamanSo imagine if you buy a property in a market and you have that happen, what happens to that property's value over time?
Erica McNewRight.
Erica McNewIt's very interesting.
Erica McNewAnd I guess I would also be careful of overestimating appreciation, for sure.
Erica McNewEspecially if you're estimating that appreciation off of like development projects that are going on.
Erica McNewBecause I've seen a lot of development projects not work out.
Erica McNewAnd I've seen people attempt to get ahead in development projects and purchase real estate strategically thinking it would appreciate.
Erica McNewAnd so you also want to be careful not to overestimate appreciation and growth.
Erica McNewPurchasing for today's value for today, for sure.
Charles SeamanYes.
Charles SeamanSound advice.
Charles SeamanSo as you're going through areas, another thing you can do is just use your eyes.
Charles SeamanYou can eyeball things.
Charles SeamanWhat do you see in the areas?
Charles SeamanDo you see a lot of properties in disrepair?
Charles SeamanDo you see properties that are well maintained?
Charles SeamanUsually those are indicative of the area.
Charles SeamanYou know, if you see a lot of properties in disrepair, if you see that the grass isn't cut, if you see the, the concrete is cracked and none of these Things are being repaired.
Charles SeamanIt probably tells you a good amount of what you need to know about that area.
Charles SeamanNow, if you walk through another area and you see that the streets are immaculate, the grass is cut, everything looks good in the buildings, that tells you where you're buying.
Charles SeamanSo keep that in mind.
Charles SeamanAnd depending on what your model is, either one can work.
Charles SeamanBut it's important to know what you're buying, and it's important to price it accordingly.
Charles SeamanThere are some people who like buying in those rougher areas, and I.
Charles SeamanAnd there's people that do very well in those properties, but it's not for everybody.
Charles SeamanSo you have to understand what your model is and what's going to work for you.
Charles SeamanYep.
Erica McNewAnd I will say, I think being involved with local government is always really important because that's helped me also know what are my districts in my area and which district is struggling to get the attention that they feel that that district needs and which ones are getting.
Erica McNewYou know, all of the development projects are happening and it's hustling and bustling.
Erica McNewSo I think also being in tune with your local government, knowing where they're putting the money and where they're not putting the money and knowing your different districts, I think that's been very valuable for me on that as well.
Charles SeamanKeep in mind, I mean, that's definitely great insight.
Charles SeamanThe government tells you where they want you to invest, so keep that in mind.
Charles SeamanYou know, with anything in life, you got to follow the money.
Charles SeamanAnd taxpayers have a lot of money.
Charles SeamanThey may not realize it, but they have a lot of money at stake in these communities.
Charles SeamanSo when the government's starting to spend and to encourage people spending, if you can work against them or you can work with them, smart money's not working with them.
Charles SeamanSo keep that in mind.
Erica McNewYeah, absolutely.
Charles SeamanAnd how about some tools and resources?
Charles SeamanSo for rental price tracking, you know, sites like Zillow and Rentometer can definitely be great starting points.
Charles SeamanYou know, I would never use any site or any single data source as an end all be all.
Charles SeamanBut you can use them for reference and they can help you further research and study an area.
Erica McNewYep, absolutely.
Erica McNewAnd then like I said, you can always get rental rates.
Erica McNewAn agent can always pull it from your local mls, which is helpful.
Erica McNewDNA is a site that a lot of my investors will use as well.
Erica McNewApartments.com you can get an idea of what things are renting for actively, and some of those are not in mls.
Erica McNewAnd then having a really great property manager that you can run things by because they're going to tell you things like, no, that unit will actually or those units will actually rent for $50 less adore.
Erica McNewAnd this is why, you know, and those are factors that, that they are the best ones to get that advice from.
Charles SeamanAwesome.
Charles SeamanWell, you know, I hope that we gave you guys enough to get Saudi as you find the location here.
Charles SeamanAnd we're going to wrap this one up.
Charles SeamanIf you do want our commercial real estate success guide, you can text the word FREEDOM to 33777.
Charles SeamanAnd that's all for this one, folks.
Erica McNewThanks, guys.