1 00:00:03,900 --> 00:00:04,530 Jacob Shapiro: Hello listeners. 2 00:00:04,530 --> 00:00:06,330 Welcome back to Geopolitical Cousins. 3 00:00:06,480 --> 00:00:10,710 This is part one of the Trade Value Leader Index column, 4 00:00:10,710 --> 00:00:11,790 whatever you want to call it. 5 00:00:11,820 --> 00:00:14,010 Uh, Marco and I bring our top 30 leaders. 6 00:00:14,010 --> 00:00:14,730 We go back and forth. 7 00:00:14,730 --> 00:00:16,980 Part two will be digesting the list and arguing about 8 00:00:16,980 --> 00:00:18,060 whether we were right or wrong. 9 00:00:18,420 --> 00:00:19,800 Uh, please, we want your feedback. 10 00:00:19,830 --> 00:00:24,540 Email me at jacob@jacobshapiro.com or uh, marco@geopoliticalalpha.com. 11 00:00:24,630 --> 00:00:27,750 Or you can, you know, if you just do me, I'll also make sure that Marco is CC'd. 12 00:00:27,750 --> 00:00:29,370 We want your feedback on this list. 13 00:00:29,370 --> 00:00:30,240 It'll be controversial. 14 00:00:30,240 --> 00:00:31,260 We want the controversy. 15 00:00:31,260 --> 00:00:31,770 It's great. 16 00:00:32,130 --> 00:00:33,330 Um, take care of the people you love. 17 00:00:33,330 --> 00:00:34,050 Cheers and see you out there. 18 00:00:40,110 --> 00:00:46,200 Marko Papic: Finally, after, uh, a long delay due to well life reality, 19 00:00:46,470 --> 00:00:48,570 Israel, Iran, all that stuff. 20 00:00:48,600 --> 00:00:54,840 Uh, we are finally going to do a trade value, um, list for. 21 00:00:55,500 --> 00:01:00,150 Basically global leaders, so this is based on as many things of our 22 00:01:00,150 --> 00:01:07,200 podcast are on the, uh, bill Simmons podcast and he does this NBA trade 23 00:01:07,200 --> 00:01:14,340 value list where he basically looks at the top 50 players in the NBA and 24 00:01:14,340 --> 00:01:16,440 tries to establish their trade value. 25 00:01:16,830 --> 00:01:19,530 This is, this doesn't mean who's the best player in the world, it's just 26 00:01:19,530 --> 00:01:21,330 that who would you trade for who? 27 00:01:21,360 --> 00:01:24,900 So the player that's number one on this list would be UNT Tradeable. 28 00:01:24,930 --> 00:01:28,199 Effectively, if any team called you and said, Hey, we want. 29 00:01:28,620 --> 00:01:29,940 This guy, you would say? 30 00:01:29,940 --> 00:01:30,300 No. 31 00:01:30,810 --> 00:01:36,600 Um, now that's a combination of age of salary and skill because of course, 32 00:01:36,600 --> 00:01:41,070 somebody who's like, let's say 39 years old and extremely good, but paid a bunch 33 00:01:41,070 --> 00:01:43,650 of money, may not be that UNT tradable. 34 00:01:44,130 --> 00:01:48,750 Uh, similarly, somebody who's ranked 10th on this list, it would mean 35 00:01:48,750 --> 00:01:52,170 that everybody ranked one to nine. 36 00:01:52,260 --> 00:01:56,460 You would absolutely trade that player, uh, for those top nine. 37 00:01:56,460 --> 00:02:01,320 So in the context of politics, it means that, let's say that the prime 38 00:02:01,320 --> 00:02:05,730 minister of your country that you live in is ranked 23rd on our list. 39 00:02:06,150 --> 00:02:07,650 You would absolutely. 40 00:02:08,100 --> 00:02:12,329 Drive your prime Minister to the airport, pack your bag and ship 41 00:02:12,329 --> 00:02:14,280 them for anyone above, right? 42 00:02:14,280 --> 00:02:16,079 So that's, that's kind of what we're doing here. 43 00:02:16,500 --> 00:02:21,570 Um, now a couple of things I wanna say, uh, before we start as an introduction. 44 00:02:21,600 --> 00:02:25,350 First of all, I'm a big believer in the Warren Buffet quote. 45 00:02:25,859 --> 00:02:30,329 Uh, I try to invest in businesses that are so wonderful that an idiot can 46 00:02:30,329 --> 00:02:34,410 run them sooner or later, one will. 47 00:02:36,505 --> 00:02:41,670 And so, um, I think both you and I, Jacob, I think we agree that fundamentally 48 00:02:41,790 --> 00:02:46,829 our framework for thinking about geopolitics is that we try to invest 49 00:02:46,829 --> 00:02:51,900 in countries that are so wonderful that an idiot can run them because sooner 50 00:02:51,900 --> 00:02:57,420 or later one will so replace company with country and, and you get, uh, a 51 00:02:57,420 --> 00:02:58,709 little bit of a taste of what we do. 52 00:02:58,709 --> 00:03:03,480 So this is kind of unnatural in a way because I think that our, um. 53 00:03:04,425 --> 00:03:08,745 You know, you and I both kind of have a bias to maybe de-emphasize leadership. 54 00:03:08,745 --> 00:03:10,785 Me maybe more than you, doesn't matter. 55 00:03:10,785 --> 00:03:12,105 The point is, we're doing this for fun. 56 00:03:12,225 --> 00:03:12,465 Okay. 57 00:03:12,465 --> 00:03:13,155 This is cool. 58 00:03:13,155 --> 00:03:13,755 It's fun. 59 00:03:14,175 --> 00:03:17,445 We're gonna get to rank politicians around the world. 60 00:03:17,445 --> 00:03:18,555 I mean, that's kind of cool. 61 00:03:19,005 --> 00:03:21,645 The other thing I wanna say is that this is not necessarily 62 00:03:21,705 --> 00:03:25,515 just about current performance, I think it's also about the future. 63 00:03:25,515 --> 00:03:28,815 So we're, we're projecting and that's what the trade value that 64 00:03:28,815 --> 00:03:32,205 Bill Simmons does with basketball players is also about the future. 65 00:03:32,205 --> 00:03:36,465 That's why he will often rank younger players higher than those 66 00:03:36,465 --> 00:03:39,585 who are already mature and have already sort of been priced in. 67 00:03:40,395 --> 00:03:42,735 Jacob Shapiro: Yeah, that was actually, I thought that was the hardest part of 68 00:03:42,735 --> 00:03:46,425 developing my own list was thinking about like, the future of different leaders. 69 00:03:46,455 --> 00:03:49,035 'cause if it's just like you're trading one for today, it's like 70 00:03:49,035 --> 00:03:51,765 that's a different conversation than sort of, uh, the future. 71 00:03:51,765 --> 00:03:53,445 So I'm, I'm curious to see where we land on that. 72 00:03:54,465 --> 00:03:54,675 Marko Papic: Okay. 73 00:03:54,675 --> 00:03:56,025 A couple of more things that I wanna say. 74 00:03:56,025 --> 00:03:59,325 Four points I wanna make before we start just to orient ourselves. 75 00:03:59,385 --> 00:04:02,715 Uh, first of all, we are trying to. 76 00:04:03,540 --> 00:04:06,209 Rank policymakers across different countries. 77 00:04:06,329 --> 00:04:06,660 Right. 78 00:04:06,660 --> 00:04:10,410 And so when I kind of floated this idea to a bunch of my friends I respect, 79 00:04:10,410 --> 00:04:11,549 they say, well, that's impossible. 80 00:04:11,549 --> 00:04:15,239 You know, running Greece is such an incredibly different job from 81 00:04:15,239 --> 00:04:16,709 running the United States of America. 82 00:04:16,709 --> 00:04:21,269 So how can you possibly compare, um, prime Minister Mitsa with, 83 00:04:21,659 --> 00:04:22,710 you know, president Trump? 84 00:04:23,730 --> 00:04:27,450 What we're assuming here is that there is something inherent about 85 00:04:27,450 --> 00:04:30,060 leadership, something truly universal. 86 00:04:30,810 --> 00:04:35,310 And of course, Machiavelli wrote the Prince specifically to elucidate 87 00:04:35,520 --> 00:04:37,620 some of those universal qualities. 88 00:04:37,830 --> 00:04:42,930 It wasn't just about how to be a good prince in Italy, in an Italian city state, 89 00:04:43,409 --> 00:04:47,340 although he did have chapters at the end, kind of tucked in later about that. 90 00:04:47,370 --> 00:04:47,460 Mm-hmm. 91 00:04:47,700 --> 00:04:51,810 It was really about something that's inherent to being a leader 92 00:04:52,080 --> 00:04:55,289 of other men and women in a country. 93 00:04:56,130 --> 00:04:59,460 So our primary definition here of a successful policymaker is 94 00:04:59,460 --> 00:05:04,110 somebody who takes on the material constraints of their context and 95 00:05:04,110 --> 00:05:07,050 sees to successfully overcome them. 96 00:05:07,710 --> 00:05:11,850 So this is about bending time space altering reality. 97 00:05:12,540 --> 00:05:17,730 And this is very unnatural to me, Jacob, because I'm such a hard nosed believer 98 00:05:17,730 --> 00:05:21,870 that ultimately material constraints matter so much more than anything else. 99 00:05:21,870 --> 00:05:23,040 And I'm basically arguing here. 100 00:05:23,040 --> 00:05:27,630 I wanna pick those leaders who, uh, take those material 101 00:05:27,630 --> 00:05:28,770 constraints and overcome them. 102 00:05:29,250 --> 00:05:33,720 Second, it also means that small country policy makers may have an advantage here. 103 00:05:34,380 --> 00:05:37,109 They will often be the ones that have more, obviously, 104 00:05:37,109 --> 00:05:38,460 overcome their disadvantages. 105 00:05:38,460 --> 00:05:40,620 And you'll see that certainly in my list. 106 00:05:40,620 --> 00:05:42,299 I dunno if that was the case with yours. 107 00:05:42,359 --> 00:05:45,659 Um, I don't know if you, you potentially found that as well. 108 00:05:45,900 --> 00:05:48,090 And by the way, we don't know each other's list, so this is probably 109 00:05:48,090 --> 00:05:49,469 going to be a complete shit show. 110 00:05:49,469 --> 00:05:50,280 Just to be clear. 111 00:05:50,280 --> 00:05:54,900 Like I'm, I'm, I'm, I'm guessing we will have no alignment, at least, at 112 00:05:54,900 --> 00:05:58,890 least Bill Simmons is using statistics, you know, when he says this basketball 113 00:05:58,890 --> 00:06:02,250 player averages this or that he knows how much the contracts are and so on 114 00:06:02,729 --> 00:06:05,070 Jacob Shapiro: third, well, no, but I, I listened to your prompt. 115 00:06:05,070 --> 00:06:07,140 You had a couple of things that I needed to keep in mind, so I bet 116 00:06:07,140 --> 00:06:09,091 We'll, I bet we'll land closer than you think, but I mean, I, 117 00:06:09,570 --> 00:06:10,200 Marko Papic: I hope so. 118 00:06:10,200 --> 00:06:10,620 I hope so. 119 00:06:10,620 --> 00:06:12,000 So let's go through that prompt. 120 00:06:12,090 --> 00:06:15,330 Uh, we have a loose hierarchy of how we measure one's performance. 121 00:06:15,960 --> 00:06:18,809 So this is like statistics for a basketball player, 122 00:06:18,929 --> 00:06:20,070 uh, that Bill Simmons uses. 123 00:06:20,070 --> 00:06:22,919 Here's what we're using, first approval rating by the public. 124 00:06:23,490 --> 00:06:25,320 It's kind of like po uh, points per game. 125 00:06:25,320 --> 00:06:27,630 It's, it's a little bit of an empty calorie stat. 126 00:06:27,659 --> 00:06:30,750 You know, you can, you can have good stats on a bad team. 127 00:06:31,169 --> 00:06:33,659 Um, populists obviously have great. 128 00:06:34,290 --> 00:06:37,620 Popularity early in their term because they're giving candy to the people. 129 00:06:38,400 --> 00:06:43,170 Nonetheless, we all believe that on some level, uh, the median voter is 130 00:06:43,170 --> 00:06:45,090 wise and, uh, well, at least I do. 131 00:06:45,090 --> 00:06:47,970 I know Jacob less so, uh, 132 00:06:47,975 --> 00:06:47,995 Jacob Shapiro: yes. 133 00:06:48,115 --> 00:06:49,740 I think the median voter is a moron. 134 00:06:50,280 --> 00:06:52,530 I I'll take that position against you every time. 135 00:06:53,280 --> 00:06:55,530 Marko Papic: Such a, that's maybe the only thing where you are 136 00:06:55,530 --> 00:06:58,560 more elitist than I am, you know, so, uh, but that's interesting. 137 00:06:58,920 --> 00:06:59,640 The second is, come at be 138 00:06:59,640 --> 00:07:00,330 Jacob Shapiro: median voters. 139 00:07:00,330 --> 00:07:01,650 I think you're all idiots. 140 00:07:01,650 --> 00:07:03,180 I will take the house against all of you. 141 00:07:03,630 --> 00:07:07,980 Marko Papic: We need the median voter to reach escape velocity on this podcast. 142 00:07:08,340 --> 00:07:09,480 Economic performance. 143 00:07:10,320 --> 00:07:13,680 Economic performance of the country is the next, I mean, you know, it's objective. 144 00:07:13,680 --> 00:07:17,010 We can measure it again, it can be juiced up by populace, but we're 145 00:07:17,010 --> 00:07:20,220 trying to do our best, uh, especially relative to the peers by the way. 146 00:07:20,220 --> 00:07:21,060 That's where it matters. 147 00:07:21,420 --> 00:07:25,080 Geopolitical performance in terms of building alliances, projecting power, 148 00:07:25,350 --> 00:07:31,830 navigating a complicated neighborhood, staying sidestepping, landmines that are 149 00:07:31,830 --> 00:07:36,330 out there, choosing China versus America, trying to balance them, that's important. 150 00:07:36,720 --> 00:07:38,970 Finally, military performance could be in there too. 151 00:07:39,030 --> 00:07:42,390 Uh, that could be critical for some leaders like Bibi and Zelensky. 152 00:07:42,870 --> 00:07:45,750 However, I think it's very diff difficult to personalize that. 153 00:07:45,750 --> 00:07:48,665 I'm not sure to what extent they're actually doing anything on the front 154 00:07:48,665 --> 00:07:49,890 lines, so just keep that in mind. 155 00:07:50,880 --> 00:07:55,530 Uh, finally, I just wanna remind everyone, the whole point of this is very simple. 156 00:07:56,250 --> 00:07:58,830 Would you trade this leader for somebody else? 157 00:07:58,859 --> 00:07:59,909 That's, that's the point. 158 00:08:00,539 --> 00:08:04,080 Uh, if you are in a particular country, who would you trade? 159 00:08:04,229 --> 00:08:06,630 The person who leads your country for someone else. 160 00:08:07,349 --> 00:08:14,070 Now, finally, uh, last setup before we go into it, we have, um, I think it's, uh, 161 00:08:14,099 --> 00:08:19,200 well, 30, we're gonna do a list of 30, and we have several categories, uh, that 162 00:08:19,200 --> 00:08:21,510 we're gonna try to smush our leaders in. 163 00:08:22,229 --> 00:08:24,630 Uh, first of all, the bottom rank. 164 00:08:24,630 --> 00:08:26,820 And by the way, if you're in the top 30, you're good. 165 00:08:27,120 --> 00:08:31,049 So I don't wanna hear anyone complaining like, oh, you made so and so number 28. 166 00:08:31,109 --> 00:08:34,890 Yeah, there's like 190 sovereign countries in the world, right? 167 00:08:34,890 --> 00:08:38,760 Like, if you are on our list, you're not doing poorly. 168 00:08:39,000 --> 00:08:43,860 So the, the bottom part of our list, we call it product of a system or a 169 00:08:43,860 --> 00:08:47,490 situation, you know, is this somebody who's just like, I mean, clearly 170 00:08:47,495 --> 00:08:49,380 the, the, the country's doing well. 171 00:08:49,920 --> 00:08:52,589 But we're not sure if we should really give them the credit. 172 00:08:52,589 --> 00:08:55,050 So that's why they are in this bottom line. 173 00:08:55,079 --> 00:08:59,400 Then we go to flawed, but effective, I felt like we should have a category 174 00:08:59,400 --> 00:09:03,959 for those leaders who have some problems with their track record, like 175 00:09:03,959 --> 00:09:08,099 human rights, you know, like, ugh, this is one of those like, ugh, like 176 00:09:08,099 --> 00:09:10,170 sections, but they're still effective. 177 00:09:10,170 --> 00:09:11,339 So that's, that's that one. 178 00:09:11,849 --> 00:09:14,699 Then we have some unproven gems that wanted a category. 179 00:09:14,699 --> 00:09:17,339 This is where like, you know, they're, they, they look like they're really 180 00:09:17,339 --> 00:09:22,079 good, but it's too early to tell, uh, that diamonds under pressure, 181 00:09:22,469 --> 00:09:26,939 miracle workers, these are leaders that are really taking their country and 182 00:09:27,479 --> 00:09:29,969 massively outperforming expectations. 183 00:09:30,540 --> 00:09:34,469 Uh, then UNT tradable unless, right, so these are leaders that you would 184 00:09:34,469 --> 00:09:40,079 not trade unless somebody called you from the top five or top six or 185 00:09:40,079 --> 00:09:44,175 however many you have, which is, I. I'm hanging up the phone right now. 186 00:09:44,175 --> 00:09:45,375 That's the last category. 187 00:09:45,375 --> 00:09:48,974 That means that if you had a chance to trade these and somebody 188 00:09:48,974 --> 00:09:53,025 calls you and says, Hey, can we take this number one policymaker? 189 00:09:53,175 --> 00:09:54,224 Uh, you would say No. 190 00:09:54,344 --> 00:09:55,094 Hanging up the phone. 191 00:09:56,594 --> 00:09:56,834 Okay. 192 00:09:56,834 --> 00:09:57,194 Jacob. 193 00:09:57,194 --> 00:09:58,785 I think that's, that's it, right? 194 00:09:59,415 --> 00:10:00,255 Jacob Shapiro: I think you did a great job. 195 00:10:00,255 --> 00:10:03,104 We we're also gonna do some honorable mentions, uh, too, right? 196 00:10:03,104 --> 00:10:05,984 To start people that were on the, on the bubble, but didn't quite make the list. 197 00:10:06,015 --> 00:10:06,885 Marko Papic: Well, let's do that at the end. 198 00:10:06,915 --> 00:10:06,974 Oh, 199 00:10:07,724 --> 00:10:08,355 Jacob Shapiro: you wanna do it at the end? 200 00:10:08,385 --> 00:10:08,625 Okay. 201 00:10:08,625 --> 00:10:10,724 I thought we would go bottomed up, but we can do it at the end too. 202 00:10:10,814 --> 00:10:11,055 That's fine. 203 00:10:11,055 --> 00:10:11,145 Yeah, 204 00:10:11,150 --> 00:10:11,280 Marko Papic: yeah. 205 00:10:11,285 --> 00:10:13,964 Just, just because, you know, then you get a chance to explain why 206 00:10:13,964 --> 00:10:17,145 some of those honorable mentions didn't make it on the list, right? 207 00:10:17,150 --> 00:10:17,834 Jacob Shapiro: Yeah, yeah, you're right. 208 00:10:17,834 --> 00:10:20,505 And that, that way we don't give away, uh, some that are not gonna be on the list. 209 00:10:20,505 --> 00:10:21,045 So, I'm with you. 210 00:10:21,045 --> 00:10:21,495 I'm with you. 211 00:10:21,885 --> 00:10:22,305 Marko Papic: Alright, cool. 212 00:10:22,305 --> 00:10:26,745 So first I'm gonna start off with this, uh, with my, I actually, uh, so Jacob, 213 00:10:26,925 --> 00:10:30,615 uh, in these categories, I ended up doing just five each, you know, so 214 00:10:30,615 --> 00:10:32,235 there's six categories, five each. 215 00:10:32,265 --> 00:10:34,125 Uh, but if you didn't, that's co totally cool. 216 00:10:34,665 --> 00:10:37,935 Uh, we're gonna start off with products of a system in a situation. 217 00:10:37,995 --> 00:10:40,724 Um, first I wanna shout out to Finland and Switzerland. 218 00:10:41,355 --> 00:10:44,655 Uh, they're well run places that don't really seem to 219 00:10:44,655 --> 00:10:46,694 need anybody to be in charge. 220 00:10:46,875 --> 00:10:51,314 Uh, I would've loved to put the president of the Swiss configuration onto this 221 00:10:51,314 --> 00:10:54,015 list, but they change it every year, and so it doesn't really matter. 222 00:10:54,045 --> 00:10:57,855 Switzerland just chucks along and perhaps because Switzerland is such a 223 00:10:57,855 --> 00:11:02,834 well run place, and yet nobody really knows who's in charge of it, perhaps. 224 00:11:03,135 --> 00:11:07,605 That more than anything illustrates the complete vacuous of this effort. 225 00:11:08,025 --> 00:11:13,455 You know, Switzerland has solved the problem by not needing anybody to lead it. 226 00:11:13,455 --> 00:11:19,365 But anyways, uh, the 26 to 30 in no particular order, but I'm gonna start 227 00:11:19,365 --> 00:11:22,035 from the last Donald task of Poland. 228 00:11:23,775 --> 00:11:25,755 Luca Doche at 29 of Slovenia. 229 00:11:25,755 --> 00:11:28,215 Oh, I'm sorry, I, sorry, my bad. 230 00:11:28,575 --> 00:11:31,275 Robert Goup of Slovenia at 29. 231 00:11:31,785 --> 00:11:36,165 Lawrence Wong of Singapore at 28, although he could have also been in the 232 00:11:36,165 --> 00:11:42,675 two new, two fresh, uh, to know too soon to tell category, uh, OLF Christen of 233 00:11:42,675 --> 00:11:45,225 Sweden and met f Fredrickson of Denmark. 234 00:11:45,225 --> 00:11:50,685 So as you can see, a lot of advanced OECD sort of wealthy 235 00:11:50,685 --> 00:11:53,205 places that are just well run. 236 00:11:53,385 --> 00:11:57,645 I can't tell if it's the leadership or not the case for Donald Tusk. 237 00:11:57,735 --> 00:12:01,845 Cover of the Economist, probably k Poland's kind of riding high. 238 00:12:02,610 --> 00:12:04,560 You know, there's a lot of Poland hype out there. 239 00:12:05,010 --> 00:12:09,300 Um, I think I have a gut feeling he's a Superior Commission president, 240 00:12:09,480 --> 00:12:12,030 then president of Poland, uh, then Prime Minister of Poland. 241 00:12:12,120 --> 00:12:14,220 Um, but that's just me. 242 00:12:15,120 --> 00:12:16,440 Why did I put Slovenia here? 243 00:12:16,680 --> 00:12:17,550 Just crushing it. 244 00:12:17,730 --> 00:12:19,110 Goop came out of nowhere. 245 00:12:19,200 --> 00:12:23,730 Um, new movement, kind of the Emmanuel Macron of Slovenia has done really well. 246 00:12:24,060 --> 00:12:27,270 Popularity is down a little bit, but, uh, generally the economy 247 00:12:27,270 --> 00:12:30,000 and Slovenia are doing extremely well in their neighborhood. 248 00:12:30,450 --> 00:12:35,190 Lauren Swang, uh, you know, has been in power really since 249 00:12:35,190 --> 00:12:37,170 May 20, 24, so not that new. 250 00:12:37,770 --> 00:12:43,170 His speech after April 2nd, uh, tariff announcement was probably the best 251 00:12:43,260 --> 00:12:46,950 pushback and you would not have expected that to come from Singapore, which 252 00:12:47,250 --> 00:12:49,110 usually tries to have a low profile. 253 00:12:49,440 --> 00:12:49,890 Um. 254 00:12:51,255 --> 00:12:54,135 Speech against those tariffs was really, really impassioned 255 00:12:54,135 --> 00:12:55,965 and, and excellent wolf. 256 00:12:55,965 --> 00:12:58,695 Christen, why is the Swedish Prime Minister here? 257 00:12:58,695 --> 00:13:02,355 Well, a very complicated coalition actually with Swedish Democrats that 258 00:13:02,355 --> 00:13:04,425 they've navigated extremely smoothly. 259 00:13:04,665 --> 00:13:09,765 So this is the far right populist party, obviously NATO membership, um, you know, 260 00:13:09,765 --> 00:13:12,195 lots of things going on Generally, uh. 261 00:13:13,020 --> 00:13:14,190 I think that's very impressive. 262 00:13:14,190 --> 00:13:18,570 And then finally met the f fredrickson handling of Trump, number one. 263 00:13:18,720 --> 00:13:21,870 Uh, I think that this whole Greenland thing didn't take the bait. 264 00:13:21,960 --> 00:13:22,710 She's done great. 265 00:13:22,710 --> 00:13:25,260 And I think that was a, a really good performance. 266 00:13:25,290 --> 00:13:28,620 So those are my 26 to 30 in reverse order. 267 00:13:29,190 --> 00:13:29,640 Jacob Shapiro: I. Gotcha. 268 00:13:29,700 --> 00:13:29,970 All right. 269 00:13:30,240 --> 00:13:33,480 Mine was, mine was 25 through 30, so I put, I put an additional 270 00:13:33,480 --> 00:13:35,730 person in this category, so mine weren't five per category. 271 00:13:35,730 --> 00:13:38,220 I moved things around a little bit and I really struggled with the 272 00:13:38,220 --> 00:13:40,950 system thing 'cause I could put too many people in the system thing. 273 00:13:40,950 --> 00:13:44,760 So I sort of like, this is my all flawed but serviceable, almost category, 274 00:13:44,760 --> 00:13:47,100 all smooshed because I couldn't, I couldn't figure out how to make the 275 00:13:47,100 --> 00:13:49,620 system thing work with the rest of the list, which is probably my own thing. 276 00:13:50,010 --> 00:13:52,170 Um, it's interesting too, by the way, I'll tell you that Lawrence Wong will 277 00:13:52,170 --> 00:13:54,120 make an appearance much higher on my list. 278 00:13:54,120 --> 00:13:56,820 I think you're under indexing future potential in that pick. 279 00:13:56,820 --> 00:13:59,760 This is somebody who years down the road, like, I like him and he is 280 00:13:59,760 --> 00:14:03,870 already done some other stuff, not just as, uh, as, as, uh, president, like, 281 00:14:03,870 --> 00:14:07,620 you know, he was the one who helped design some of Singapore's pandemic 282 00:14:07,620 --> 00:14:10,140 policy sort of behind fiscal policy. 283 00:14:10,140 --> 00:14:10,290 He's. 284 00:14:10,310 --> 00:14:11,959 Calm, he's globally fluent. 285 00:14:12,229 --> 00:14:15,920 I asked Chad GPT to give me a scouting report on him based on a basketball 286 00:14:15,920 --> 00:14:17,359 player and it's spit back at me. 287 00:14:17,359 --> 00:14:19,699 High efficiency governance in a clean package, like a 288 00:14:19,699 --> 00:14:21,439 macro economic Kyle Corver. 289 00:14:21,619 --> 00:14:24,469 I'm happy to get Kyle Corver with the thir, with the, you know, with that. 290 00:14:24,500 --> 00:14:27,199 So anyway, he's much further on my list, but here, here here's where I'll 291 00:14:27,199 --> 00:14:33,079 go from 30, um, up to 25 at 30, I'm gonna put in Abby Ahmed in Ethiopia. 292 00:14:33,650 --> 00:14:37,699 Um, he's actually made a ton of missteps and the civil war with the 293 00:14:37,699 --> 00:14:40,040 Tigray has been very, uh, destructive. 294 00:14:40,040 --> 00:14:43,849 I think before that though, Ethiopia was a darling of emerging markets 295 00:14:43,849 --> 00:14:45,650 and I think he is trying to forge. 296 00:14:45,940 --> 00:14:48,400 A, an Ethiopian national identity. 297 00:14:48,400 --> 00:14:53,530 So in terms of like, like scale of, uh, not like a degree of difficulty, uh, I 298 00:14:53,530 --> 00:14:56,320 think he's had a really, really hard thing and he is trying to do something that 299 00:14:56,320 --> 00:14:59,320 is unprecedented in Ethiopian history and maybe even in African history. 300 00:14:59,320 --> 00:15:00,730 So I put him on the list for there. 301 00:15:01,210 --> 00:15:03,610 Uh, 29 we get Paul Kagame and Rwanda. 302 00:15:04,000 --> 00:15:04,090 Hmm. 303 00:15:04,090 --> 00:15:08,230 Uh, he almost dropped off the list because getting kind of old and, you know, 304 00:15:08,290 --> 00:15:09,640 there's some other things happening now. 305 00:15:09,640 --> 00:15:12,310 It sort of seems like we're doing another version of the Congo Wars. 306 00:15:12,310 --> 00:15:13,600 Is he really gonna have the stamina? 307 00:15:13,600 --> 00:15:17,440 But think about where Rwanda was before Paul Kagame and think about 308 00:15:17,440 --> 00:15:18,910 where, where it is right now. 309 00:15:19,480 --> 00:15:20,440 He's on the list for me. 310 00:15:20,890 --> 00:15:24,760 Uh, at 28, I had Emmanuel Macron, he would've been much higher, 311 00:15:24,760 --> 00:15:25,960 except that he's a lame duck. 312 00:15:25,960 --> 00:15:27,085 He won't be here for much longer. 313 00:15:27,085 --> 00:15:27,405 Mm-hmm. 314 00:15:27,485 --> 00:15:29,920 So if this were 2017, probably would've put him higher up. 315 00:15:30,040 --> 00:15:31,780 He's got lots of problems. 316 00:15:31,780 --> 00:15:33,280 He wears thin domestically. 317 00:15:33,610 --> 00:15:36,940 Um, nobody actually likes him, so he like, thinks strategically 318 00:15:36,940 --> 00:15:38,020 and tries to do lots of things. 319 00:15:38,020 --> 00:15:40,570 And I appreciate how he tried to go against Francis. 320 00:15:40,570 --> 00:15:43,240 Constraints failed in a lot of different ways, but hey, you get points for 321 00:15:43,240 --> 00:15:46,120 trying, but he's low on the list because not that much time left for him. 322 00:15:46,660 --> 00:15:48,280 Uh, right next to him at 27. 323 00:15:48,280 --> 00:15:49,570 I'll throw in Friedrich Mers. 324 00:15:49,840 --> 00:15:52,150 I can't, I'm not really sure what to make of him quite yet. 325 00:15:52,270 --> 00:15:55,990 Like, uh, his first, like, steps out of the gate were not great, like, didn't 326 00:15:55,990 --> 00:15:57,520 get the chancellorship on the first vote. 327 00:15:57,520 --> 00:16:00,880 Those were like basic blocking and tackling errors that made me skeptical. 328 00:16:00,880 --> 00:16:02,470 So I've thrown him in there. 329 00:16:02,470 --> 00:16:04,060 He, he made it to the top of Germany. 330 00:16:04,060 --> 00:16:06,820 But timing, like lots of different things. 331 00:16:06,820 --> 00:16:07,090 Um. 332 00:16:07,610 --> 00:16:11,030 To say there, and then rounding out my top two for this category at 26, 333 00:16:11,030 --> 00:16:13,400 I've got Abdul Fata LSI in Egypt. 334 00:16:13,730 --> 00:16:17,030 Dictator strongman probably doesn't transport to a lot of different 335 00:16:17,030 --> 00:16:20,600 geographies well, but as a military strongman has done a remarkable job in 336 00:16:20,600 --> 00:16:24,980 a sort of powder keg of a country with 120 million plus people, which was on the 337 00:16:24,980 --> 00:16:26,540 verge of going to the Muslim Brotherhood. 338 00:16:26,990 --> 00:16:31,130 Uh, and at 25, I'll throw in Ilham Aliev in Azerbaijan. 339 00:16:31,135 --> 00:16:31,464 Mm-hmm. 340 00:16:31,545 --> 00:16:34,219 Um, Azerbaijan has gone from strength to strength. 341 00:16:34,400 --> 00:16:36,319 They won the Nur Carrabba war. 342 00:16:36,319 --> 00:16:39,050 They're punching significantly above their weight from economic 343 00:16:39,050 --> 00:16:40,459 performance doing extremely well. 344 00:16:40,699 --> 00:16:43,970 He's this far down in the list because he's ultimately a resource autocrat. 345 00:16:44,030 --> 00:16:46,939 So I'm not sure that Ali's game travels very much, but 346 00:16:46,939 --> 00:16:48,530 it's perfect for Azerbaijan. 347 00:16:48,530 --> 00:16:52,610 And Azerbaijan has done so well compared to, say, its neighbor Armenia 348 00:16:52,610 --> 00:16:56,390 or some others, uh, in the South caucuses that I think he warrants, 349 00:16:56,449 --> 00:16:58,459 uh, inclusion in this category. 350 00:16:58,459 --> 00:17:00,829 So there, there's my, my 30 through 25. 351 00:17:01,275 --> 00:17:06,405 Marko Papic: So what, who, so Ethiopia 30 Rwanda, 29 France 28. 352 00:17:06,615 --> 00:17:07,335 Uh, 27. 353 00:17:07,335 --> 00:17:08,024 I missed, sorry. 354 00:17:08,085 --> 00:17:08,805 Uh, I didn't put it down. 355 00:17:08,805 --> 00:17:09,075 Friedrich 356 00:17:09,075 --> 00:17:09,734 Jacob Shapiro: Mers, Germany. 357 00:17:09,764 --> 00:17:09,974 Oh, yeah. 358 00:17:10,065 --> 00:17:10,454 Germany. 359 00:17:10,460 --> 00:17:10,480 Germany. 360 00:17:10,480 --> 00:17:10,800 Marko Papic: Germany. 361 00:17:10,805 --> 00:17:11,295 Interesting. 362 00:17:11,355 --> 00:17:13,875 Uh, you have, yeah. 363 00:17:14,385 --> 00:17:14,774 Okay. 364 00:17:16,155 --> 00:17:18,045 Uh, I struggled. 365 00:17:18,405 --> 00:17:24,254 Um, I struggled myself, uh, with, uh, Ali. 366 00:17:25,875 --> 00:17:29,024 I, I thought of adding him as well, and I think that's an interesting one. 367 00:17:29,024 --> 00:17:33,345 The other ones do, uh, make a appearance for me as well, except for e Egypt's, uh, 368 00:17:33,345 --> 00:17:38,055 cc he doesn't, uh, just that, uh, I don't know what to make of it yet, you know? 369 00:17:38,055 --> 00:17:38,649 Uh, mm-hmm. 370 00:17:39,135 --> 00:17:44,715 Uh, obviously navigating post Arab spring is, is a big deal, so maybe I, I 371 00:17:44,715 --> 00:17:46,754 feel bad now that he's not on my list. 372 00:17:47,505 --> 00:17:47,775 Jacob Shapiro: Yeah. 373 00:17:47,775 --> 00:17:50,055 I mean, I think it's easy to forget how chaotic things 374 00:17:50,055 --> 00:17:52,035 were in age of 20 13, 20 14. 375 00:17:52,035 --> 00:17:54,615 But like Mohammed Morsey was there, the Muslim Brotherhood was 376 00:17:54,615 --> 00:17:57,225 ascendant, like Mubarak, and the military had been discredited. 377 00:17:57,225 --> 00:18:00,345 And then like, boom, this guy just comes in goodbye. 378 00:18:00,345 --> 00:18:02,985 Muslim Brotherhood, goodbye like Arab Spring. 379 00:18:02,985 --> 00:18:05,385 Like we're just going back to military dictatorship again. 380 00:18:05,385 --> 00:18:06,795 That doesn't travel particularly well. 381 00:18:06,795 --> 00:18:07,605 Like Abdul fatal. 382 00:18:07,755 --> 00:18:09,405 He's not winning any Democratic elections. 383 00:18:09,435 --> 00:18:12,645 That's why he's like, but in, just in terms of like, would you want him 384 00:18:12,645 --> 00:18:14,355 in charge of the machinery of state? 385 00:18:14,775 --> 00:18:14,955 Yeah. 386 00:18:15,045 --> 00:18:17,505 He has shown himself to be a stable hand, at least when it comes to that. 387 00:18:18,315 --> 00:18:18,885 Marko Papic: Okay, good. 388 00:18:18,975 --> 00:18:19,665 Um, yeah. 389 00:18:19,665 --> 00:18:22,155 Uh, the other thing that I would say is that product of a system, 390 00:18:22,155 --> 00:18:25,335 I think you chose a lot of people that actually I have higher. 391 00:18:26,055 --> 00:18:26,175 Mm-hmm. 392 00:18:26,445 --> 00:18:30,675 Um, because I'm not sure that anyone can be really a product 393 00:18:30,675 --> 00:18:32,415 of Ethiopia or Ze Bijan. 394 00:18:32,415 --> 00:18:34,815 Those are very difficult places to rule. 395 00:18:34,845 --> 00:18:37,095 So the fact that you have them this slow is interesting. 396 00:18:37,095 --> 00:18:41,205 You know, I chose leaders who it's difficult for me to assess 397 00:18:41,205 --> 00:18:44,670 whether they are performing well or whether they're just running. 398 00:18:45,065 --> 00:18:46,445 Really well run countries. 399 00:18:46,595 --> 00:18:50,450 And so that's where, you know, like that's where Lawrence Wong or met the f 400 00:18:50,455 --> 00:18:54,575 Fredrickson, I mean, met the Fredrickson has done a, a, a really admirable job, 401 00:18:54,695 --> 00:18:56,765 uh, in Denmark on many different fronts. 402 00:18:56,825 --> 00:19:00,635 Um, but particularly with the ascendancy of Donald Trump, the 403 00:19:00,635 --> 00:19:01,685 way that they've handled that. 404 00:19:01,955 --> 00:19:05,765 On the other hand, Frederickson is running Denmark, you know, 405 00:19:05,765 --> 00:19:07,145 how difficult is really that? 406 00:19:07,145 --> 00:19:08,345 So that's where Well, 407 00:19:08,345 --> 00:19:10,205 Jacob Shapiro: yeah, and I think this is one of the most difficult 408 00:19:10,205 --> 00:19:12,455 things in this exercise is to try and compare across things. 409 00:19:12,455 --> 00:19:14,730 'cause I had her much higher too, like both sh Oh, interesting. 410 00:19:14,825 --> 00:19:15,635 Both, both. 411 00:19:15,635 --> 00:19:17,915 She and Lawrence Wong, for me are in the, I'm hanging up in 30 412 00:19:17,915 --> 00:19:19,415 seconds, so I'll think about it. 413 00:19:20,015 --> 00:19:23,915 I, you know, but I, for me, they're high functioning technocrats or elite 414 00:19:23,915 --> 00:19:27,395 lieutenants, like the sorts that I would sort of trust, like if you put met to 415 00:19:27,395 --> 00:19:29,735 Frederickson in charge of Ethiopia. 416 00:19:30,435 --> 00:19:31,995 She might do some really interesting things. 417 00:19:31,995 --> 00:19:34,875 And I think when you, I think the other thing about democracies is I think we 418 00:19:34,875 --> 00:19:36,615 don't wanna underestimate how mm-hmm. 419 00:19:37,125 --> 00:19:41,385 Difficult it is to get to the top echelons of democratic power. 420 00:19:41,655 --> 00:19:44,205 Um, it's a different skill set than say, you know, a Paul 421 00:19:44,205 --> 00:19:45,555 Kagame or something like that. 422 00:19:45,555 --> 00:19:48,825 But like somebody who's gotten to the top of Denmark and is crushing it like 423 00:19:48,825 --> 00:19:52,215 that to me, like has, and if you get to the top of the Singapore system, 424 00:19:52,485 --> 00:19:55,425 like that to me is telling me that you have some political credentials, 425 00:19:55,665 --> 00:19:57,075 uh, credentials that could follow. 426 00:19:57,075 --> 00:19:59,445 Whereas some of the others in this category, like I think they are 427 00:19:59,685 --> 00:20:03,675 flawed, but serviceable statesmen and states, women, they have a low ceiling. 428 00:20:03,675 --> 00:20:07,215 But if you just plugged them in, uh, yeah, they would give you some stability. 429 00:20:07,215 --> 00:20:08,235 So like, if you're in. 430 00:20:08,275 --> 00:20:10,345 I dunno, let's think of a really screwed up country. 431 00:20:10,345 --> 00:20:14,815 If you're in like, uh, Kazakhstan is maybe a bad example, but if, if you're 432 00:20:14,815 --> 00:20:17,695 in a country, uh, let's talk Vietnam, like Vietnam has been in the midst of 433 00:20:17,695 --> 00:20:20,845 a power transition back and forth for a couple of years right now, and you 434 00:20:20,845 --> 00:20:22,405 came and said, here, I'll trade you. 435 00:20:22,405 --> 00:20:24,835 Like met to Frederickson, you'd be like, yeah, I'll take met to Fredericks. 436 00:20:24,835 --> 00:20:25,825 That, that sounds great to me. 437 00:20:26,065 --> 00:20:26,245 So 438 00:20:27,265 --> 00:20:27,565 Marko Papic: cool. 439 00:20:27,565 --> 00:20:27,715 Okay. 440 00:20:27,715 --> 00:20:30,775 Well I'm glad that you didn't think that my list was overly 441 00:20:30,775 --> 00:20:34,195 indexed to Europe, because you have at least FedEx in there too. 442 00:20:34,795 --> 00:20:35,065 Jacob Shapiro: I do. 443 00:20:35,065 --> 00:20:38,605 Although I did not have Donald Tusk and, uh, Slovenia's not on my list. 444 00:20:38,605 --> 00:20:41,935 Just 'cause I, I'm not up to date on Slovenia, sorry guys, but Donald Tusk 445 00:20:41,935 --> 00:20:45,175 and of Christensen, like I considered them, but they did not make my list over. 446 00:20:45,205 --> 00:20:45,595 Marko Papic: Okay, good. 447 00:20:45,595 --> 00:20:46,735 But I'm glad you considered them. 448 00:20:46,735 --> 00:20:50,005 At least that's, um, I struggled really with this category at the end. 449 00:20:50,005 --> 00:20:53,185 It was sort of like, you know, you could have gone a lot of different ways. 450 00:20:53,185 --> 00:20:55,225 I thought about Ethiopia, myself in Egypt. 451 00:20:55,225 --> 00:20:56,125 So, uh, good. 452 00:20:56,125 --> 00:20:56,995 So far, so good. 453 00:20:56,995 --> 00:20:59,305 Nothing, nothing that we really disagree with. 454 00:20:59,305 --> 00:20:59,695 Right. 455 00:21:01,395 --> 00:21:04,425 Jacob Shapiro: Uh, no, I, the only thing is like, I think, yeah, Lawrence Wong 456 00:21:04,425 --> 00:21:06,044 for me is much, much higher on my list. 457 00:21:06,074 --> 00:21:06,104 Okay. 458 00:21:06,104 --> 00:21:07,304 But everything else, I'm, I'm with you. 459 00:21:07,574 --> 00:21:08,054 Marko Papic: Alright, cool. 460 00:21:08,114 --> 00:21:10,725 Okay, well let's go to the next one, which is flawed, but effective. 461 00:21:10,725 --> 00:21:15,135 And, and I felt it, uh, several of your picks really 462 00:21:15,135 --> 00:21:17,114 for me fit into this category. 463 00:21:17,235 --> 00:21:23,445 In fact, I have two, I have two that you picked a little bit higher because, uh, I 464 00:21:23,445 --> 00:21:25,274 see them as flawed, but quite effective. 465 00:21:25,274 --> 00:21:27,375 So I start off at 25. 466 00:21:28,094 --> 00:21:29,715 Uh, for me, 25 obviously. 467 00:21:29,745 --> 00:21:31,725 Uh, you picked six, I picked five. 468 00:21:32,294 --> 00:21:33,735 I started off with Erdogan. 469 00:21:34,995 --> 00:21:38,655 Mm. So I have him, uh, on my list pretty low. 470 00:21:39,854 --> 00:21:43,274 I suspect we might have some disagreement on this because I know of course that 471 00:21:43,274 --> 00:21:48,135 you have, uh, you hold Turkey and it's geopolitical potential in high regard. 472 00:21:49,004 --> 00:21:54,915 But I'm almost penalizing Reep type Erdogan because of that, because I feel 473 00:21:54,915 --> 00:21:58,905 that he should have done much better with what he has working for him. 474 00:21:59,910 --> 00:22:04,230 I don't feel that Turkey has really moved, I mean, uh, to expand its 475 00:22:04,230 --> 00:22:08,010 sphere of influence and yes, I, I understand that you've been pointing 476 00:22:08,010 --> 00:22:10,590 out its gains in the Middle East. 477 00:22:10,590 --> 00:22:14,910 However, the true, I think, sphere of influence that Turkey should be 478 00:22:14,910 --> 00:22:21,060 crushing is as it always has been between the Danube and the E gn. 479 00:22:21,270 --> 00:22:24,090 That is where Turkey should be projecting power. 480 00:22:24,150 --> 00:22:27,210 The other issue is that economy has been mismanaged. 481 00:22:27,360 --> 00:22:29,010 It just absolutely has been. 482 00:22:29,610 --> 00:22:33,390 Now there's been incredible improvement over the last two years, but that's 483 00:22:33,390 --> 00:22:35,520 because it started off with a low base. 484 00:22:35,790 --> 00:22:42,330 And unlike Javier Malay, who you can reward for the last 12 months of Orthodox 485 00:22:42,330 --> 00:22:47,550 policies, you can't really reward Erdogan for shifting towards more orthodoxy when 486 00:22:47,550 --> 00:22:52,260 he was the one that implement implemented unorthodox policies to in the first place. 487 00:22:52,260 --> 00:22:54,960 So I have him pretty low on, on this list. 488 00:22:54,960 --> 00:22:57,240 I'll, I'll fly through my other four really quickly and. 489 00:22:58,290 --> 00:23:00,900 Uh, I got Azerbaijan Ilham Ali of 24. 490 00:23:00,900 --> 00:23:00,990 Yep. 491 00:23:01,650 --> 00:23:03,210 Uh, pretty much for all the reasons that you said. 492 00:23:03,210 --> 00:23:05,670 So I don't wanna, uh, kind of waste, uh, time on that. 493 00:23:05,670 --> 00:23:09,030 I think the one thing that maybe you didn't mention is, uh, maneuvering 494 00:23:09,030 --> 00:23:11,970 between Turkey, Russia, and Europe. 495 00:23:12,240 --> 00:23:16,500 Uh, the fact that somehow magically Azerbaijan has been able to tra 496 00:23:16,560 --> 00:23:21,630 transit Russian natural acid to Europe and not get into trouble for it. 497 00:23:21,690 --> 00:23:22,260 Well done. 498 00:23:22,260 --> 00:23:23,970 Slow clap for, uh, Aliyah. 499 00:23:24,390 --> 00:23:24,930 Very well done. 500 00:23:24,935 --> 00:23:25,020 And, and 501 00:23:25,020 --> 00:23:26,220 Jacob Shapiro: decent relations with Iran. 502 00:23:26,220 --> 00:23:29,580 Decent relations with Israel, like really, like some upper level statesmanship. 503 00:23:29,940 --> 00:23:31,800 Marko Papic: By the way, we've lost all our Armenian friends. 504 00:23:32,190 --> 00:23:37,710 I will not be allowed back into Glendale or, or my adopted hometown of Montreal. 505 00:23:37,710 --> 00:23:41,280 So I apologize to my, all my immediate friends who are listening to, but 506 00:23:41,280 --> 00:23:43,200 if you are honest with yourself. 507 00:23:44,250 --> 00:23:51,120 You'll concede, you'll bow, bow down your head in silent moment of despair and 508 00:23:51,120 --> 00:23:55,230 agree that Azerbaijan has been blessed with relatively effective leadership. 509 00:23:55,230 --> 00:23:58,949 Although, yes, as you pointed out, Jacob, we have to note that of 510 00:23:58,949 --> 00:24:04,050 course, it's easy to run a country whose wealth is greased by commodity, 511 00:24:04,709 --> 00:24:05,550 Jacob Shapiro: uh, exports. 512 00:24:05,550 --> 00:24:06,179 So that's Yeah. 513 00:24:06,185 --> 00:24:08,610 But, but, but they're in a difficult neighborhood to, to our Armenian 514 00:24:08,610 --> 00:24:11,159 friends, like I think any of you would trade your leadership for the 515 00:24:11,159 --> 00:24:13,169 leadership of, of the Aliya family. 516 00:24:13,260 --> 00:24:13,469 I think 517 00:24:13,469 --> 00:24:15,629 Marko Papic: that's Well, and, and by the way, if you disagree, tell us. 518 00:24:15,990 --> 00:24:21,030 Tell us if, if you would, but, uh, from speaking to my Iranian friends and from 519 00:24:21,030 --> 00:24:25,140 observing Armenia, like the leadership, uh, vacuum has been pretty significant. 520 00:24:25,650 --> 00:24:26,370 So I agree with you. 521 00:24:26,940 --> 00:24:28,350 Uh, 23rd on my list. 522 00:24:28,380 --> 00:24:29,370 Anwar Ibrahim. 523 00:24:30,450 --> 00:24:30,810 Hmm. 524 00:24:31,290 --> 00:24:31,530 Good one. 525 00:24:31,530 --> 00:24:31,890 Shut. 526 00:24:31,980 --> 00:24:32,280 Yeah. 527 00:24:32,640 --> 00:24:33,180 Malaysia. 528 00:24:33,240 --> 00:24:37,800 Uh, first of all, uh, if there is one person on this list who has adopted, just 529 00:24:37,800 --> 00:24:42,930 like that ability to resurrect themselves, reinvent themselves, God bless Ibrahim. 530 00:24:42,930 --> 00:24:45,150 He has, uh, he's a survivor. 531 00:24:45,660 --> 00:24:46,350 Clearly. 532 00:24:46,500 --> 00:24:49,140 He is, uh, been in and out of court. 533 00:24:49,230 --> 00:24:51,870 He's been, uh, attacked by the elites in Malaysia. 534 00:24:51,870 --> 00:24:53,280 He's done a lot of different things. 535 00:24:53,610 --> 00:24:57,360 I also think that he has handled Malaysian geopolitics excellence since 2022, 536 00:24:57,840 --> 00:24:59,700 and also during the financial crisis. 537 00:24:59,760 --> 00:25:04,020 Uh, remember he was in charge and Malaysia did escape most of that East 538 00:25:04,020 --> 00:25:06,720 Asian crisis back now, 30 years ago. 539 00:25:06,720 --> 00:25:08,310 So he's, he's done really well. 540 00:25:08,820 --> 00:25:12,105 Um, I. Iman Macron is on this list for me. 541 00:25:12,135 --> 00:25:13,395 Flawed, but effective. 542 00:25:13,635 --> 00:25:14,625 Again, it's different. 543 00:25:14,625 --> 00:25:17,804 It's difficult because I, I feel like most of our French listeners will just 544 00:25:17,804 --> 00:25:19,605 say like, you guys are smoking crack. 545 00:25:20,145 --> 00:25:21,945 Um, nobody likes him, as you said. 546 00:25:21,945 --> 00:25:24,645 But look, here's the case for Macron. 547 00:25:25,125 --> 00:25:29,085 Um, he's managed to build a centrist coalition out of nothing. 548 00:25:29,625 --> 00:25:31,365 He's stayed in power a long time. 549 00:25:31,905 --> 00:25:34,815 Uh, and I think he's fallen short of a lot of the things 550 00:25:34,815 --> 00:25:36,495 that he's done, uh, domestically. 551 00:25:36,495 --> 00:25:40,665 But generally speaking, I think the fact that he asserted the two party 552 00:25:40,665 --> 00:25:45,435 system in France, like with his bare hands is, uh, is impressive. 553 00:25:46,185 --> 00:25:48,615 And finally, I have Paul Kagame, right? 554 00:25:48,855 --> 00:25:50,895 Flawed, flawed, but effective. 555 00:25:50,895 --> 00:25:52,485 Now you have Paul Kagame 29th. 556 00:25:52,544 --> 00:25:53,774 I have him 21st. 557 00:25:54,254 --> 00:25:56,804 Uh, astonishing economic development in Rhonda. 558 00:25:56,895 --> 00:25:58,155 I think we all agree with that. 559 00:25:58,605 --> 00:26:01,514 Um, I think the focus on healthcare and education. 560 00:26:01,605 --> 00:26:02,145 Wow. 561 00:26:03,345 --> 00:26:03,945 Like right. 562 00:26:04,485 --> 00:26:07,965 Yeah, this is, this is the Singapore economic model just, 563 00:26:08,235 --> 00:26:10,004 just imported into Rwanda. 564 00:26:10,004 --> 00:26:14,685 Like well done, obviously, um, on and off supporting insurgent in Congo. 565 00:26:15,074 --> 00:26:18,165 Not sure what the, what the winner gets, but Sure. 566 00:26:18,524 --> 00:26:20,985 And obviously troubled domestic track records. 567 00:26:20,985 --> 00:26:24,195 One of those domestic track records were like, you may not be able to 568 00:26:24,195 --> 00:26:25,514 retire, if you know what I mean. 569 00:26:25,514 --> 00:26:28,814 And that's not sure that that was necessary. 570 00:26:28,875 --> 00:26:29,294 Um. 571 00:26:30,495 --> 00:26:30,885 That's it. 572 00:26:31,605 --> 00:26:33,885 Jacob Shapiro: Yeah, no, I, like, I, I think he belongs on the list. 573 00:26:33,885 --> 00:26:36,075 If he were 10 years younger, he'd be higher on my list. 574 00:26:36,075 --> 00:26:38,685 Like my interesting, including him at 29 is just about an age thing. 575 00:26:38,685 --> 00:26:42,015 And he's been around for a long time and eventually things are, are gonna run out. 576 00:26:42,015 --> 00:26:42,555 But I think you're right. 577 00:26:42,555 --> 00:26:44,445 And I think he's actually, he's been masterful in the 578 00:26:44,445 --> 00:26:45,915 way he interfered with Congo. 579 00:26:45,945 --> 00:26:49,425 Like, I mean, when you think about where Rwanda was in the mid nineties and how he, 580 00:26:49,545 --> 00:26:53,985 you know, strategically positioned Rwanda into a real force to be reckoned with 581 00:26:53,985 --> 00:26:55,485 against much larger countries around it. 582 00:26:55,485 --> 00:26:56,235 I think he deserves it. 583 00:26:56,415 --> 00:26:57,615 I think we should spend just a second. 584 00:26:57,615 --> 00:27:00,795 I should have had Anwar Ibrahim on this list and I, I don't have him on the list. 585 00:27:00,795 --> 00:27:02,385 Um, that's a mistake on my part though. 586 00:27:02,385 --> 00:27:03,825 I needed to make room for him and I didn't. 587 00:27:03,825 --> 00:27:04,785 So I take your point there. 588 00:27:05,085 --> 00:27:06,975 Erdowan is not that much higher for me. 589 00:27:06,975 --> 00:27:07,665 I'll give away that. 590 00:27:07,665 --> 00:27:10,245 He was number 16 on my list. 591 00:27:10,545 --> 00:27:12,825 Um, again, here though, this is more about his age, like. 592 00:27:13,470 --> 00:27:17,100 Erdogan is at the end of his career, sort of like a hall of Famer on their last leg. 593 00:27:17,100 --> 00:27:18,090 So he's still dangerous. 594 00:27:18,090 --> 00:27:20,370 He's still got some punches to throw, but there's not a whole 595 00:27:20,370 --> 00:27:22,199 lot left, I think of Erdogan. 596 00:27:22,439 --> 00:27:24,300 I think your shorts No, no, go ahead. 597 00:27:24,540 --> 00:27:25,560 Marko Papic: No, no, please, please go ahead. 598 00:27:26,220 --> 00:27:28,110 Jacob Shapiro: Just I think you're short selling a little bit of his, 599 00:27:28,169 --> 00:27:31,500 of his accomplishment because his main accomplishment is to take when, 600 00:27:31,560 --> 00:27:35,790 you know, when he became mayor of Istanbul, um, in, what was that late. 601 00:27:35,830 --> 00:27:37,510 Late nineties, I forget the exact year. 602 00:27:37,899 --> 00:27:41,980 Um, Turkey was truly a divided country where you had the liberal 603 00:27:41,980 --> 00:27:44,199 secular, you know, cosmopolitan. 604 00:27:44,199 --> 00:27:47,949 We're gonna drink rocky and sit on the bosphorous and eat fish crowd versus 605 00:27:47,949 --> 00:27:52,330 the central anatol, conservative heartland, you know, looked down upon 606 00:27:52,330 --> 00:27:54,129 by the cosmopolitans in Istanbul. 607 00:27:54,250 --> 00:27:58,540 And Erdogan has forged a coherent country out of both of these. 608 00:27:58,570 --> 00:28:02,199 He put the Anatolian conservatives not completely in power. 609 00:28:02,199 --> 00:28:06,040 It's not like he's completely dismantled the cosmopolitanism of Istanbul 610 00:28:06,040 --> 00:28:08,740 and all the things that have made whoever controls the Bosporus and 611 00:28:08,740 --> 00:28:11,409 incredibly important trading partner and all these other things, but he's 612 00:28:11,409 --> 00:28:14,290 integrated them into the economy and he's shown an incredible amount of 613 00:28:14,290 --> 00:28:15,820 economic flexibility in doing so. 614 00:28:15,820 --> 00:28:19,510 Remember, this is the guy who was giving me all the IMF reforms in the late two 615 00:28:19,510 --> 00:28:23,020 thousands, into the early 2010s, like doing all the things by the book, but 616 00:28:23,020 --> 00:28:25,120 then when he needed to grease the wheels. 617 00:28:25,830 --> 00:28:29,010 And to secure arrangements with all of these different parts of society. 618 00:28:29,190 --> 00:28:29,639 Sure. 619 00:28:29,820 --> 00:28:33,240 Let's do a little state led, you know, Archy and like, you know, let's 620 00:28:33,240 --> 00:28:35,970 make sure that the right people were in control of the right industries. 621 00:28:35,970 --> 00:28:39,600 And if that means I have unorthodox monetary policy, so be it. 622 00:28:39,600 --> 00:28:42,780 I'll just call up my friends in Saudi Arabia and I know that they'll bail me out 623 00:28:42,780 --> 00:28:44,550 because they don't want me as an enemy. 624 00:28:44,550 --> 00:28:46,770 I'm worse to them as an enemy, as as anything else. 625 00:28:46,770 --> 00:28:48,629 So I think he's reaching the end of his rope. 626 00:28:48,629 --> 00:28:52,980 I think you can see that, you know, in, uh, in arresting and imprisoning Ima mlu, 627 00:28:52,980 --> 00:28:54,450 like, I don't think that's gonna age well. 628 00:28:54,450 --> 00:28:58,770 You can see he's trying to maybe position sons or sons inlaws or like 629 00:28:58,770 --> 00:29:01,320 other fa like all these things I think are not gonna go well for him. 630 00:29:01,649 --> 00:29:05,460 Um, but I think he's, I think Turkey is in a much more powerful and economically 631 00:29:05,460 --> 00:29:07,139 prosperous situation than it was before. 632 00:29:07,139 --> 00:29:11,129 And I think he really threaded the needle on a country that very easily could have 633 00:29:11,129 --> 00:29:14,639 gone, you know, in a different look at other countries in the Middle East and how 634 00:29:14,639 --> 00:29:20,100 they dealt with conservative, more Islamic aspects of society and the way he was able 635 00:29:20,100 --> 00:29:21,840 to forge something coherent out of that. 636 00:29:22,075 --> 00:29:24,805 I mean, let's not invoke add a Turk, but hey, he's at 637 00:29:24,805 --> 00:29:25,795 least doing a good impression. 638 00:29:27,835 --> 00:29:28,285 Marko Papic: Okay. 639 00:29:29,515 --> 00:29:29,965 So, 640 00:29:31,315 --> 00:29:35,095 Jacob Shapiro: um, I think I, I, my entire first six were all flawed but serviceable. 641 00:29:35,095 --> 00:29:37,315 So I think what you should do next is you should read your next category 642 00:29:37,315 --> 00:29:38,575 and then I'll do my next category. 643 00:29:38,605 --> 00:29:40,105 'cause I don't, I don't want to get in front of your 644 00:29:40,105 --> 00:29:41,335 categories, if that makes sense. 645 00:29:41,530 --> 00:29:41,880 Marko Papic: Sense. 646 00:29:41,885 --> 00:29:42,925 Oh, okay. 647 00:29:42,925 --> 00:29:45,685 But, uh, do you wanna restate, uh, your next five or, 648 00:29:46,465 --> 00:29:47,695 Jacob Shapiro: I think you should state your next and 649 00:29:47,695 --> 00:29:48,985 then I'll follow on behind you. 650 00:29:48,985 --> 00:29:49,765 I think that's Got it. 651 00:29:49,765 --> 00:29:51,775 If, if we're, if we're keeping up with categories, that's 652 00:29:51,775 --> 00:29:52,765 what's gonna line up best. 653 00:29:52,870 --> 00:29:53,160 Marko Papic: Okay. 654 00:29:53,165 --> 00:29:53,605 Okay, cool. 655 00:29:53,605 --> 00:29:55,555 So the next one is unproven gems. 656 00:29:57,145 --> 00:29:57,625 Correct? 657 00:29:58,825 --> 00:29:59,095 Jacob Shapiro: Yeah. 658 00:29:59,125 --> 00:30:02,965 So though I, this wasn't make the G 20 photo or is this unproven gems? 659 00:30:03,505 --> 00:30:05,455 Marko Papic: Uh, this is the unproven gems. 660 00:30:05,815 --> 00:30:06,325 Jacob Shapiro: Oh, okay. 661 00:30:06,685 --> 00:30:09,505 Um, I had make the, the G 20 photo, but that's fine. 662 00:30:09,535 --> 00:30:10,045 It's all, that's fine. 663 00:30:10,045 --> 00:30:10,585 It's all still good. 664 00:30:11,025 --> 00:30:11,625 Okay, so, 665 00:30:12,345 --> 00:30:13,755 Marko Papic: so I, I stopped at 21. 666 00:30:13,755 --> 00:30:16,185 And by the way, uh, so my last one was Paul Kme. 667 00:30:16,185 --> 00:30:21,015 I'm, you know, a lot about frontier markets, um, that I don't really 668 00:30:21,015 --> 00:30:24,375 follow very closely, so I'm very glad that you've kind of confirmed 669 00:30:24,525 --> 00:30:25,665 that that was a good pick. 670 00:30:25,755 --> 00:30:27,735 I, I'm, I'm glad we're aligned on that. 671 00:30:28,125 --> 00:30:28,335 Alright. 672 00:30:28,365 --> 00:30:29,265 Unproven gems. 673 00:30:29,775 --> 00:30:33,405 Unproven gems for me are basically kind of like, um, you know, 674 00:30:33,555 --> 00:30:34,815 lots of potential out there. 675 00:30:34,815 --> 00:30:37,755 I start off with Anthony Albanese in Australia. 676 00:30:38,445 --> 00:30:41,475 Done, well so far, very difficult situation. 677 00:30:41,505 --> 00:30:43,815 Um, a more isolationist to the United States. 678 00:30:43,815 --> 00:30:45,225 There's the cus review. 679 00:30:45,645 --> 00:30:50,025 Uh, he's trying to, uh, he's trying to pivot Australia away from 680 00:30:50,145 --> 00:30:52,515 what was, uh, extremely unipolar. 681 00:30:53,145 --> 00:30:54,645 Uh, basically worldview. 682 00:30:55,035 --> 00:30:57,645 It was really the only country, I think on the planet that just 683 00:30:57,645 --> 00:30:59,445 decided like, world is bipolar. 684 00:30:59,475 --> 00:31:01,845 China US is gonna go into a cold war. 685 00:31:02,205 --> 00:31:03,705 Uh, he's saying like, wait a minute. 686 00:31:03,765 --> 00:31:07,515 That doesn't seem like what's happening, so maybe I should adjust 687 00:31:07,815 --> 00:31:09,555 the foreign policy of Australia. 688 00:31:09,585 --> 00:31:10,995 And I think that's correct. 689 00:31:11,745 --> 00:31:12,615 Number 19, 690 00:31:14,925 --> 00:31:15,825 unproven Gem. 691 00:31:17,145 --> 00:31:19,905 Leo 14th, the Vatican. 692 00:31:21,105 --> 00:31:21,735 Jacob Shapiro: Nice. 693 00:31:23,595 --> 00:31:24,040 I knew you would like that. 694 00:31:24,045 --> 00:31:24,585 Not on my list. 695 00:31:24,765 --> 00:31:25,365 Marko Papic: Not on your list. 696 00:31:26,385 --> 00:31:26,745 Oh, not on 697 00:31:26,745 --> 00:31:27,135 Jacob Shapiro: my list. 698 00:31:27,135 --> 00:31:27,138 There we go. 699 00:31:27,138 --> 00:31:27,142 Not on my list. 700 00:31:28,155 --> 00:31:29,385 Marko Papic: Number 18, Friedrich Mez. 701 00:31:29,985 --> 00:31:34,545 Um, quite frankly, Friedrich Mez, I mean, he's, uh, on your list as 702 00:31:34,575 --> 00:31:36,675 27, just because you don't know. 703 00:31:37,155 --> 00:31:39,255 Um, I put him at 18. 704 00:31:39,405 --> 00:31:42,945 Quite frankly, I think we will both be proven, uh, to have 705 00:31:43,755 --> 00:31:44,715 not picked him high enough. 706 00:31:44,715 --> 00:31:49,575 I think, uh, so far what I've seen is, uh, quite frankly, really, really impressive. 707 00:31:50,115 --> 00:31:51,705 Number 17, Mark Carney. 708 00:31:52,500 --> 00:31:53,070 Uh mm-hmm. 709 00:31:53,310 --> 00:31:56,970 He gets a nod over Mertz just because I think it's more 710 00:31:56,970 --> 00:31:59,610 difficult for him than for Mertz. 711 00:32:00,270 --> 00:32:02,399 Uh, but, uh, doing very well. 712 00:32:02,520 --> 00:32:05,940 We talked a couple of, uh, episodes before about structural 713 00:32:05,940 --> 00:32:07,080 reforms going on in Canada. 714 00:32:07,080 --> 00:32:12,810 He has just submitted the one Canada bill legislation that is going to 715 00:32:12,810 --> 00:32:14,070 break down barriers between provinces. 716 00:32:14,520 --> 00:32:16,950 And I do believe that is going to pass. 717 00:32:17,250 --> 00:32:20,070 And I think that Canada will finally be like all other countries 718 00:32:20,070 --> 00:32:24,030 on the planet, a federal entity, which it hasn't been thus far. 719 00:32:24,030 --> 00:32:25,500 So that is actually enormous. 720 00:32:25,500 --> 00:32:29,879 I mean, some studies show that if they actually get that through, creating 721 00:32:29,879 --> 00:32:31,889 an economy will benefit massively. 722 00:32:31,889 --> 00:32:37,139 Like it will grow like a whole percent higher, um, because of those reforms. 723 00:32:37,740 --> 00:32:37,830 Mm-hmm. 724 00:32:38,070 --> 00:32:42,180 And then finally, this is gonna be maybe a controversial, uh, pick, maybe not. 725 00:32:42,840 --> 00:32:43,470 Ahmed Al. 726 00:32:45,145 --> 00:32:45,365 Jacob Shapiro: Aha. 727 00:32:45,840 --> 00:32:47,550 I uh, that's a great pick. 728 00:32:47,550 --> 00:32:48,300 I left him off. 729 00:32:48,300 --> 00:32:49,530 He was in my honorable mentions. 730 00:32:49,530 --> 00:32:51,870 'cause um, I think he's very speculative. 731 00:32:51,870 --> 00:32:55,920 Like you, you might have found Nicola Yoic or you might have found, uh, I don't know, 732 00:32:55,920 --> 00:32:59,070 insert some other European player that didn't make it, that got drafted that way. 733 00:32:59,070 --> 00:33:01,230 But what he's done so far is very, very impressive. 734 00:33:01,440 --> 00:33:03,420 Marko Papic: Well, what's impressive is this is the former al 735 00:33:03,510 --> 00:33:06,240 basically Al-Qaeda aligned leader. 736 00:33:06,300 --> 00:33:06,930 Not basically 737 00:33:06,935 --> 00:33:09,150 Jacob Shapiro: like, like yes, he was Al-Qaeda. 738 00:33:10,140 --> 00:33:10,680 Marko Papic: He was Al Al-Qaeda. 739 00:33:10,680 --> 00:33:11,100 Yes. 740 00:33:11,160 --> 00:33:14,160 Uh, what's interesting though about him and his family and what 741 00:33:14,160 --> 00:33:19,770 makes me pause here is that he's actually extremely well educated 742 00:33:19,920 --> 00:33:22,710 person from a very educated family. 743 00:33:23,160 --> 00:33:28,410 Uh, so he is, uh, I think he went to school, uh, for medicine. 744 00:33:29,385 --> 00:33:33,524 Um, and he is married to somebody who comes from a very prominent 745 00:33:33,554 --> 00:33:38,294 political family that has very deep roots in Syria, in the elites. 746 00:33:38,324 --> 00:33:43,455 So, um, his father was also a, a prominent, uh, I think 747 00:33:43,455 --> 00:33:44,834 member of previous governments. 748 00:33:44,865 --> 00:33:49,784 Uh, so this is not somebody that just picked up an AK 47 off 749 00:33:49,844 --> 00:33:52,365 like a farm and joined Alqaeda. 750 00:33:52,365 --> 00:33:54,764 This is somebody who was frustrated with what was going on in his 751 00:33:54,764 --> 00:33:58,695 country, very well educated and, uh, fought against the side. 752 00:33:58,995 --> 00:34:02,985 And of course, the easiest way to get resources and weapons at 753 00:34:02,985 --> 00:34:07,875 the time was to join Alqaeda, um, or join its various offshoots. 754 00:34:08,444 --> 00:34:14,114 So thus far, uh, just an incredible savvy understanding of PR and marketing. 755 00:34:14,534 --> 00:34:18,255 I mean, he scored an interview with, uh, you know, AUR on CNN. 756 00:34:18,824 --> 00:34:20,955 Uh, he looks great in a suit. 757 00:34:21,764 --> 00:34:24,105 He is hedging a lot of different risks. 758 00:34:24,105 --> 00:34:28,154 Sharia law, this, that, uh, Israel, Iran, the only country in the entire 759 00:34:28,154 --> 00:34:29,895 region that was very quiet about it. 760 00:34:30,435 --> 00:34:31,844 Um, and I think that. 761 00:34:32,490 --> 00:34:34,770 It's been very impressive, uh, performance. 762 00:34:34,770 --> 00:34:38,220 Of course, the problems are what has been released over the last couple of days. 763 00:34:38,550 --> 00:34:42,030 There's now evidence of, you know, sectarian violence against the alloys. 764 00:34:42,390 --> 00:34:46,530 I mean, he needs to crush that ASAP if he's going to remain on this list. 765 00:34:46,530 --> 00:34:48,300 But I've got him at 16 766 00:34:49,410 --> 00:34:51,150 Jacob Shapiro: or he just needs to crush all the alloys. 767 00:34:51,150 --> 00:34:53,670 I'm not sure the alloys have long to go in Syria based. 768 00:34:53,670 --> 00:34:57,060 I mean, they had their time in the sun led by a pretty brutal series of dictators. 769 00:34:57,540 --> 00:34:59,400 Um, yeah, Leo the 14th, not on my list. 770 00:34:59,400 --> 00:35:02,850 I don't think anyone would trade, uh, a White Sox fan for, uh, any 771 00:35:02,850 --> 00:35:03,960 of these other leaders going on 772 00:35:03,960 --> 00:35:04,050 Marko Papic: here. 773 00:35:04,075 --> 00:35:04,655 Oh, wow. 774 00:35:04,800 --> 00:35:06,240 Jacob Shapiro: Oh, shots fired. 775 00:35:06,365 --> 00:35:07,255 Marko Papic: That was the problem. 776 00:35:09,420 --> 00:35:13,440 Not these baseball dancing age or, you know, like I listen if you can, if you 777 00:35:13,440 --> 00:35:17,430 can survive the conclave of the cardinals and the backstabbing that happens there. 778 00:35:17,740 --> 00:35:18,400 You know what I mean? 779 00:35:18,400 --> 00:35:19,299 Like you're good. 780 00:35:19,299 --> 00:35:23,799 And I dunno, we'll see, but I threw him in there because you and I have 781 00:35:23,799 --> 00:35:27,640 a great affinity to talk about, uh, in, in inner workings of the Vaticans. 782 00:35:27,640 --> 00:35:29,020 So I figured why not? 783 00:35:29,200 --> 00:35:29,650 Jacob Shapiro: Yeah, yeah. 784 00:35:29,650 --> 00:35:30,100 Why not? 785 00:35:30,310 --> 00:35:32,500 Merz Mers would've been hired for me, except that, you know, that 786 00:35:32,500 --> 00:35:34,750 thing where he didn't get elected chancellor on the first vote. 787 00:35:34,750 --> 00:35:39,279 That was sort of like JR Smith calling Time out in game one of that, uh, you 788 00:35:39,279 --> 00:35:42,819 know, know how many timeouts you have, man, that's like a basic, fundamental task 789 00:35:42,819 --> 00:35:45,759 of how you're gonna do these things if you can't do like, so maybe he'll be great. 790 00:35:45,759 --> 00:35:47,830 And I appreciate that he's working against constraints here, 791 00:35:47,830 --> 00:35:49,000 but he got penalized for me. 792 00:35:49,450 --> 00:35:52,299 Uh, Bo both Albanese and Carney are higher up on this list. 793 00:35:52,305 --> 00:35:52,345 Well, 794 00:35:52,779 --> 00:35:53,585 Marko Papic: well I'm glad I was worried. 795 00:35:54,069 --> 00:35:57,790 I was very, very self-conscious about putting Alban here. 796 00:35:58,600 --> 00:36:02,560 Uh, because I thought you were gonna make fun of me, and I also expected, I also 797 00:36:02,560 --> 00:36:07,210 expected you to really shit all over my Mark Carney pick and call me a homer. 798 00:36:07,240 --> 00:36:12,280 So, uh, I may have even brought him lower just because I was self-conscious 799 00:36:12,310 --> 00:36:13,990 and afraid of being made fun of. 800 00:36:14,560 --> 00:36:15,820 Jacob Shapiro: No, I, I think Carney's okay. 801 00:36:15,820 --> 00:36:17,560 I think he's got a tough job ahead of him. 802 00:36:17,560 --> 00:36:21,310 I think that caving on that digital services tax shows you just, that Canada 803 00:36:21,310 --> 00:36:24,340 doesn't have a lot of options and that his job is gonna be to, you know, make 804 00:36:24,340 --> 00:36:27,850 the best deal possible he can with Donald Trump in the United States without 805 00:36:27,850 --> 00:36:29,260 completely bending over backwards. 806 00:36:29,260 --> 00:36:30,730 So he's got a high degree of difficulty. 807 00:36:30,730 --> 00:36:34,060 But, um, you know, if you're thinking about would you trade your current leader 808 00:36:34,060 --> 00:36:37,180 for somebody like Mark Carney, like, he's gonna, like, he's higher up for me 809 00:36:37,180 --> 00:36:39,580 because I think you can, if you start thinking about it that way, I think 810 00:36:39,580 --> 00:36:41,920 there are a lot of countries in the world would be like, yeah, I'll take that guy. 811 00:36:41,920 --> 00:36:43,120 He seems let's pretty smart. 812 00:36:43,360 --> 00:36:45,130 Good, let's good like hand on the wheel. 813 00:36:45,190 --> 00:36:47,020 Marko Papic: So let's explain what we mean by that. 814 00:36:47,110 --> 00:36:50,140 I mean, uh, essential bankers come and go, right? 815 00:36:50,590 --> 00:36:55,990 But having a smooth, sophisticated, and yet comfortable 816 00:36:55,990 --> 00:36:57,580 with being in a small town. 817 00:36:58,005 --> 00:37:00,134 Central banker, there is only one of one. 818 00:37:00,375 --> 00:37:04,005 Mario Drag may be the best dressed person on the planet. 819 00:37:04,575 --> 00:37:09,045 Uh, Mario Draghi may be the highest IQ person on the planet, but I don't 820 00:37:09,045 --> 00:37:12,495 think that Mario Drag would've been as comfortable in a small Canadian town 821 00:37:12,495 --> 00:37:15,825 discussing junior hockey as Mark Carney. 822 00:37:15,825 --> 00:37:18,375 And that's because he actually was born in Northwestern 823 00:37:18,375 --> 00:37:20,445 territories, not even a province. 824 00:37:20,835 --> 00:37:24,345 It's pretty much like Iraqis as far as you're concerned, or hot 825 00:37:24,405 --> 00:37:26,205 more appropriately climatically. 826 00:37:26,835 --> 00:37:31,725 And so he does have small town appeal and uh, ability to actually 827 00:37:31,725 --> 00:37:34,515 seem genuine, um, and authentic. 828 00:37:34,575 --> 00:37:39,165 And that's really a difficult combination to both be a macroeconomics nerd. 829 00:37:40,065 --> 00:37:41,505 And have that authenticity 830 00:37:42,195 --> 00:37:44,535 Jacob Shapiro: well, and really understands the anglosphere, 831 00:37:44,625 --> 00:37:47,985 like, understands Canada deeply, understands the UK deeply, I think 832 00:37:47,985 --> 00:37:49,935 understands the United States deeply. 833 00:37:49,935 --> 00:37:52,485 Like he's, you know, in that sense, he has a deep knowledge of where he 834 00:37:52,485 --> 00:37:55,155 comes from and is able to balance some of these pressures against each other. 835 00:37:55,155 --> 00:37:57,855 So yeah, I'm, I'm not, I have no problems with Kearney whatsoever. 836 00:37:57,855 --> 00:38:01,275 I still think he's not governing a future superpower, but we can, we don't have to 837 00:38:01,275 --> 00:38:03,405 take you through the, the coals for that. 838 00:38:03,615 --> 00:38:06,855 Alright, well my next, my next category goes from 24 to 21. 839 00:38:07,365 --> 00:38:09,075 Um, and I didn't really have it as unproven gems. 840 00:38:09,075 --> 00:38:11,175 This is really just another grab bag of leaders that I 841 00:38:11,175 --> 00:38:12,435 thought sort of belong together. 842 00:38:12,435 --> 00:38:12,585 That's okay. 843 00:38:12,590 --> 00:38:12,850 Okay. 844 00:38:12,850 --> 00:38:12,851 Yeah. 845 00:38:13,005 --> 00:38:18,375 Um, but, you know, um, but anyway, so at 24, I have pro Bwo in Indonesia. 846 00:38:18,555 --> 00:38:18,645 Mm-hmm. 847 00:38:18,885 --> 00:38:21,705 Um, this is a guy who has changed his stripes many different times. 848 00:38:21,705 --> 00:38:22,875 He was a military. 849 00:38:23,565 --> 00:38:26,775 Or really, you know, an assistant to a military dictator, did some human 850 00:38:26,775 --> 00:38:30,795 rights violations, stayed around though for decades, eventually makes a deal 851 00:38:30,795 --> 00:38:32,205 to become vice president with Jai. 852 00:38:32,505 --> 00:38:36,615 Now he's finally, uh, the president showing off some of his like negative 853 00:38:36,615 --> 00:38:39,855 qualities and making the biggest cabinet in Indonesia history and all the pork 854 00:38:39,855 --> 00:38:41,145 barrels spending and everything else. 855 00:38:41,145 --> 00:38:44,505 But hey, like you get points for sticking around four decades in both a 856 00:38:44,505 --> 00:38:46,785 military dictatorship and a democracy. 857 00:38:47,115 --> 00:38:49,965 I think somebody who knows like how to get power, how to 858 00:38:49,965 --> 00:38:51,465 exert power and how to survive. 859 00:38:51,465 --> 00:38:52,485 So I'll take him there. 860 00:38:52,545 --> 00:38:53,895 He might get pushed down lower. 861 00:38:53,924 --> 00:38:56,025 Um, some of his early returns on his first, 862 00:38:56,265 --> 00:38:56,835 Marko Papic: well, that's the thing. 863 00:38:56,835 --> 00:38:57,555 Couple months in power. 864 00:38:57,555 --> 00:38:59,595 If I could just interject, please. 865 00:38:59,595 --> 00:38:59,688 I thought about it. 866 00:38:59,692 --> 00:39:04,455 I thought about it, is just that it's just so hard to follow Joco. 867 00:39:04,455 --> 00:39:04,456 Widodo. 868 00:39:05,060 --> 00:39:05,400 It is. 869 00:39:05,540 --> 00:39:07,424 And if Joco Widodo was here. 870 00:39:08,100 --> 00:39:10,710 You know, I don't really have honorable mentions, to be honest with you, Jacob. 871 00:39:10,710 --> 00:39:13,650 I have some that don't make the list and that I think are terrible. 872 00:39:14,400 --> 00:39:15,900 But many people think they're good. 873 00:39:16,050 --> 00:39:18,990 But I have this kind of like, oh, I wish they were still in charge. 874 00:39:18,990 --> 00:39:21,090 Like, yeah, I have a man crush in Mario Draghi. 875 00:39:21,150 --> 00:39:21,540 What? 876 00:39:21,540 --> 00:39:22,020 Sumi? 877 00:39:22,620 --> 00:39:27,600 Uh, and I kind of had a man crush in Joko Widodo, think the man like, did amazing 878 00:39:27,600 --> 00:39:29,400 stuff and brought Indonesia to the map. 879 00:39:29,400 --> 00:39:34,230 So now I just, you know, it's kind of like when all these basketball 880 00:39:34,230 --> 00:39:36,810 players were kind of promoted by the NBA as the next Michael 881 00:39:36,810 --> 00:39:38,430 Jordan, I ended up not liking them. 882 00:39:38,490 --> 00:39:41,910 Like I was not a Vince Carter fan, and not just because he stabbed Toronto 883 00:39:41,910 --> 00:39:45,630 Raptors in the back, but I just didn't like him because the PR machine 884 00:39:45,630 --> 00:39:48,390 tried to make him the next Michael Jordan, and I just don't think the 885 00:39:48,390 --> 00:39:50,880 Provo is anywhere close to Joe Dodo. 886 00:39:51,090 --> 00:39:52,320 So anyways, that's, he is not, 887 00:39:52,530 --> 00:39:53,010 Jacob Shapiro: he is not. 888 00:39:53,010 --> 00:39:54,120 He and j and he Jacobi did a great job. 889 00:39:54,120 --> 00:39:57,720 But, but to extend your metaphor to a really painful extent, you know, j Jacobi 890 00:39:57,720 --> 00:40:00,750 reminds me of, um, I remember like, uh. 891 00:40:01,140 --> 00:40:04,080 Late nineties still, you know, sports Illustrated was still a thing. 892 00:40:04,080 --> 00:40:07,590 And I vividly remember the cover of Sports Illustrated when they were like, Jerry 893 00:40:07,590 --> 00:40:09,480 Stackhouse, the next Michael Jordan. 894 00:40:10,380 --> 00:40:12,840 I think Jerry Stackhouse is Jae in this metaphor. 895 00:40:12,840 --> 00:40:15,600 Like everybody was like, eh, and you know, he had a fine career, 896 00:40:15,600 --> 00:40:17,970 but like, he didn't, he didn't actually fundamentally change things. 897 00:40:17,970 --> 00:40:21,150 Like, I don't think that, um, I think that now that he's gone, like his 898 00:40:21,150 --> 00:40:23,310 imprint will not stand the test of time. 899 00:40:23,310 --> 00:40:24,990 And that's because Indonesia's impossible. 900 00:40:25,290 --> 00:40:27,600 Um, Indonesia, by all like, is not really a nation state. 901 00:40:27,600 --> 00:40:30,390 All the different languages, all the different ethnicities, all of the di 902 00:40:30,390 --> 00:40:32,759 you know, it's literally a bunch of islands that are strung together in 903 00:40:32,759 --> 00:40:34,230 some kind of strange federal structure. 904 00:40:34,230 --> 00:40:35,910 Like really, really high degree of difficulty. 905 00:40:35,910 --> 00:40:39,000 So if Jacobi were around, we up him, but, you know, fail, 906 00:40:39,029 --> 00:40:40,110 failed to leave as imprint. 907 00:40:40,410 --> 00:40:42,150 The next two are gonna be controversial for me. 908 00:40:42,150 --> 00:40:42,810 They're boring. 909 00:40:43,259 --> 00:40:43,650 Um. 910 00:40:44,194 --> 00:40:47,134 And I'm sure our leaders from New Zealand and the UK will say, there's no way 911 00:40:47,134 --> 00:40:48,154 that you should have these leaders here. 912 00:40:48,154 --> 00:40:50,315 But again, we're talking about would you trade these leaders 913 00:40:50,315 --> 00:40:51,395 for what I currently have? 914 00:40:51,395 --> 00:40:55,265 And if you start putting yourself in the shoes of people in Equatorial Guinea 915 00:40:55,415 --> 00:40:58,384 or Guana, well, actually I shouldn't say Guatemala, but you know, uh, some 916 00:40:58,384 --> 00:41:01,235 of these other Nicaragua like you would trade for these people in a heartbeat. 917 00:41:01,235 --> 00:41:03,904 So Christopher Luxon in New Zealand, you get 23 and Kiir 918 00:41:03,904 --> 00:41:06,275 Starmer 22, just competent. 919 00:41:06,335 --> 00:41:07,055 They're fine. 920 00:41:07,085 --> 00:41:08,255 They're not gonna break things. 921 00:41:08,255 --> 00:41:10,955 They're not gonna change things, but like, just find competent 922 00:41:10,955 --> 00:41:14,075 leadership that you would trade, uh, if you had sort of a bad time. 923 00:41:14,465 --> 00:41:18,815 Um, and then coming in at 21, um, I have Cy Ramos of South Africa. 924 00:41:19,145 --> 00:41:23,255 Um, and I think that he has showed himself to be a pretty adept politician. 925 00:41:23,255 --> 00:41:25,295 I think he has dealt with Trump, uh, correctly. 926 00:41:25,295 --> 00:41:28,145 He's in an impossible situation in South Africa and has played 927 00:41:28,145 --> 00:41:30,485 the game, uh, relatively well. 928 00:41:30,785 --> 00:41:34,955 Um, so, and I, I think he has, you know, reformist desires, but he's 929 00:41:34,955 --> 00:41:38,404 sort of crippled by the A NC and some of their, uh, dysfunction. 930 00:41:38,435 --> 00:41:42,515 But I, he's got a very, very hard job and he's doing a decent job considering the 931 00:41:42,515 --> 00:41:43,745 challenges that he has in front of him. 932 00:41:45,480 --> 00:41:48,150 Marko Papic: Do you wanna go on or shall we stop here for you? 933 00:41:48,300 --> 00:41:49,500 Jacob Shapiro: Uh, we can go on whatever you want. 934 00:41:49,500 --> 00:41:50,040 You're the mc? 935 00:41:50,070 --> 00:41:51,030 Yeah, why don't we, I'm happy to go on. 936 00:41:51,450 --> 00:41:54,270 Marko Papic: Yeah, why don't you complete it, because, you know, I'm at 15 now, so 937 00:41:54,270 --> 00:41:56,040 why don't you go to your next, uh, okay. 938 00:41:56,700 --> 00:41:58,410 Jacob Shapiro: My next list, 20 through 15 here. 939 00:41:58,410 --> 00:42:00,630 This, uh, what, what was the name of this category for you? 940 00:42:00,960 --> 00:42:03,180 Marko Papic: Well, I think we've kind of like, uh, moved away from that. 941 00:42:03,180 --> 00:42:05,850 For me, it was diamonds under pressure, but 942 00:42:06,690 --> 00:42:07,020 Jacob Shapiro: Okay. 943 00:42:07,590 --> 00:42:07,800 Yeah. 944 00:42:07,800 --> 00:42:12,630 For me this was like, uh, sort of the same thing, but more like, like tragic flaw. 945 00:42:12,630 --> 00:42:14,970 Like, these countries are really lucky to have these guys, but they 946 00:42:14,970 --> 00:42:17,670 have some flaw that just makes it, eh, like you would trade them 947 00:42:17,670 --> 00:42:19,020 if you could get a better offer. 948 00:42:19,290 --> 00:42:22,560 So coming in at 20 is Lula de Silva in Brazil. 949 00:42:22,740 --> 00:42:23,340 Marko Papic: Ooh, 950 00:42:23,445 --> 00:42:23,665 Jacob Shapiro: wow. 951 00:42:23,805 --> 00:42:24,870 Um, wow. 952 00:42:24,900 --> 00:42:24,960 Yeah. 953 00:42:24,960 --> 00:42:26,670 Marko Papic: First huge disagreement. 954 00:42:28,185 --> 00:42:29,355 Jacob Shapiro: Because you've got him higher up or 'cause 955 00:42:29,355 --> 00:42:30,345 you've got 'em lowered down 956 00:42:30,615 --> 00:42:31,562 Marko Papic: because, I mean, I don't have 'em at all. 957 00:42:32,100 --> 00:42:32,879 You know, you don't have 958 00:42:32,960 --> 00:42:33,200 ' Jacob Shapiro: em at all. 959 00:42:33,495 --> 00:42:34,095 Ooh, no. 960 00:42:34,100 --> 00:42:34,240 Lula. 961 00:42:34,245 --> 00:42:37,154 I think that's a mistake and our Brazilian listeners will call you out for it. 962 00:42:37,154 --> 00:42:40,814 The things that Lula has done over his career are absolutely extraordinary. 963 00:42:40,995 --> 00:42:41,895 Yes, he has survived. 964 00:42:41,895 --> 00:42:43,125 Agreed, incredible things. 965 00:42:43,129 --> 00:42:43,359 Agreed. 966 00:42:43,359 --> 00:42:46,035 He's at the end of the rope, so maybe like, I penalized him. 967 00:42:46,035 --> 00:42:48,134 I he would've been further up if this was young Lula, but 968 00:42:48,134 --> 00:42:49,274 he's done incredible things for 969 00:42:49,350 --> 00:42:49,640 Marko Papic: this. 970 00:42:49,759 --> 00:42:52,694 I view if this was like first term Lula, he would've been top five. 971 00:42:52,814 --> 00:42:54,375 I'm hanging down the phone. 972 00:42:54,375 --> 00:42:55,694 I completely agree with you. 973 00:42:55,694 --> 00:42:58,845 But this is, this is like, pick picking Michael. 974 00:42:58,875 --> 00:42:59,564 Uh, sorry. 975 00:42:59,805 --> 00:43:03,915 This is like picking LeBron James in the top 20 trade value. 976 00:43:03,944 --> 00:43:08,564 I mean, yeah, he puts up the stats, but you're looking at $56 million 39-year-old 977 00:43:08,564 --> 00:43:12,134 playing on knees that have seen, they have gone around the world three times. 978 00:43:12,134 --> 00:43:13,214 You know, like, hey, hey 979 00:43:13,214 --> 00:43:14,504 Jacob Shapiro: La LeBron's still pretty good there. 980 00:43:14,595 --> 00:43:17,504 Uh, I think it was on Zack Lowe's podcast where they were rumoring, 981 00:43:17,504 --> 00:43:21,254 you know, uh, the Knicks might trade Enobi and bridges and something else. 982 00:43:21,734 --> 00:43:21,944 Point. 983 00:43:21,944 --> 00:43:22,424 It's LeBron. 984 00:43:22,500 --> 00:43:23,924 LeBron can still take you places 985 00:43:24,285 --> 00:43:25,274 Marko Papic: under Noia bridges. 986 00:43:26,165 --> 00:43:27,935 IIA Bridges for LeBron James. 987 00:43:27,935 --> 00:43:28,025 Oh yeah. 988 00:43:28,835 --> 00:43:29,315 Come on. 989 00:43:29,315 --> 00:43:30,035 Jacob Shapiro: Wonderful player. 990 00:43:32,315 --> 00:43:33,215 I'll, I'll take Lula. 991 00:43:33,215 --> 00:43:35,465 I like, I like he's got, he's got a tragic flaw. 992 00:43:35,465 --> 00:43:40,235 Like he could never, like, you know, most of Brazil's congress is center, right? 993 00:43:40,235 --> 00:43:43,235 Like his dream of Brazil hasn't necessarily come to pass, but I 994 00:43:43,235 --> 00:43:44,315 think Jacob's been a skilled leader. 995 00:43:44,495 --> 00:43:44,675 Yeah. 996 00:43:45,005 --> 00:43:46,535 Marko Papic: Jacob, this is the way I see it. 997 00:43:46,625 --> 00:43:52,415 Uh, Tupac Shakur's career really goes pre jail, post jail, you know, pre jail. 998 00:43:52,415 --> 00:43:54,965 He is writing basically American poetry. 999 00:43:55,175 --> 00:43:55,415 Right? 1000 00:43:55,415 --> 00:43:56,255 Changes. 1001 00:43:56,915 --> 00:44:01,115 Uh, dear mama, my letter to the president, like, just fascinating. 1002 00:44:01,175 --> 00:44:02,015 Post jail. 1003 00:44:02,705 --> 00:44:03,065 Yes. 1004 00:44:03,065 --> 00:44:06,485 Some of that stuff is full of just smoke. 1005 00:44:07,050 --> 00:44:11,130 And anger and it comes outta the gut, but it's like hit them up, you know? 1006 00:44:11,130 --> 00:44:13,740 It's not really, it's not poetry. 1007 00:44:14,009 --> 00:44:19,770 And so Lula to me, same as Tupac, there's pre jail Lula, there's Pogel Lula. 1008 00:44:19,770 --> 00:44:21,480 And I think jail changed him, man. 1009 00:44:21,480 --> 00:44:24,870 I think he just became a bitter populist, and that's just, I think 1010 00:44:24,870 --> 00:44:28,740 that Brazil will be very lucky, uh, to get rid of him in the next election. 1011 00:44:28,740 --> 00:44:32,880 But, and again, that is not to say that I disagree with anything you've said. 1012 00:44:32,970 --> 00:44:36,779 Absolute survivor and his first term, like almost flawless, although 1013 00:44:36,779 --> 00:44:39,420 he was riding the coattails of the Kaari bull market nonetheless. 1014 00:44:39,450 --> 00:44:42,029 No, nonetheless, I agree with you on that. 1015 00:44:42,060 --> 00:44:43,950 Um, but sorry, I interrupted you. 1016 00:44:44,009 --> 00:44:44,491 Well, no, no, no. 1017 00:44:44,515 --> 00:44:46,830 Jacob Shapiro: And I, and I often say that Brazil reminds me the 1018 00:44:46,830 --> 00:44:49,350 most of, of any country in the world that reminds me of the United 1019 00:44:49,350 --> 00:44:50,580 States in terms of its politics. 1020 00:44:50,580 --> 00:44:52,230 Brazil reminds me of the United States the most. 1021 00:44:52,230 --> 00:44:52,320 Yes. 1022 00:44:52,350 --> 00:44:56,070 And there's an arc here where Lula becomes the Joe Biden of Brazil, and where Mr. 1023 00:44:56,070 --> 00:44:58,470 Bolsonaro is, is waiting in the wings. 1024 00:44:58,470 --> 00:45:00,870 But, you know, if, if we had been talking about Biden. 1025 00:45:01,605 --> 00:45:04,904 Before it was obvious that he was senile, like 20, 21 version of 1026 00:45:04,904 --> 00:45:08,115 Biden like that, you know, I think that's sort of where I'm going here. 1027 00:45:08,115 --> 00:45:10,904 But anyway, uh, rounding up this section for me. 1028 00:45:10,904 --> 00:45:15,825 So at 19, I hate having him here, but I don't think we can avoid Mr. Victor Orban. 1029 00:45:15,825 --> 00:45:15,884 I. 1030 00:45:16,380 --> 00:45:17,010 Marko Papic: Oh wow. 1031 00:45:17,010 --> 00:45:17,400 He has been 1032 00:45:17,400 --> 00:45:19,380 Jacob Shapiro: in power for quite some time. 1033 00:45:19,380 --> 00:45:21,180 He is certainly not a liberal. 1034 00:45:21,450 --> 00:45:26,280 Um, but I think also, uh, the, the opposition in Hungary has demonized 1035 00:45:26,280 --> 00:45:27,690 him to an incredible extent. 1036 00:45:27,690 --> 00:45:30,450 He's been ahead on lots of different things when it comes to geopolitics. 1037 00:45:30,450 --> 00:45:33,780 I think he's very, very smart and excellent tactician like I would, and 1038 00:45:33,780 --> 00:45:35,460 he's, he's played the game very well. 1039 00:45:35,714 --> 00:45:38,025 In terms of geopolitics, he saw the world being multipolar. 1040 00:45:38,025 --> 00:45:41,384 Well, before, before I was talking about Multipolarity, Victor Orban 1041 00:45:41,384 --> 00:45:44,565 was preparing for multipolarity, so he gets some props from me there, 1042 00:45:44,565 --> 00:45:46,485 but he's fundamentally a liberal. 1043 00:45:46,575 --> 00:45:49,065 Like there are places there, there are countries that he just can't go 1044 00:45:49,065 --> 00:45:50,475 to because he cannot brook descent. 1045 00:45:50,475 --> 00:45:53,415 He's got that authoritarian instinct in him, so he's got that tragic flaw. 1046 00:45:53,985 --> 00:45:54,705 Uh, 18. 1047 00:45:54,705 --> 00:45:57,795 You can feel the vibe of this category now, Benjamin Netanyahu. 1048 00:45:58,505 --> 00:46:02,195 Another incredible tactician, a politician's politician. 1049 00:46:02,195 --> 00:46:04,865 Nobody better at the footwork like can do it all. 1050 00:46:04,865 --> 00:46:06,725 He is got, he can do the right hand, the left hand. 1051 00:46:06,725 --> 00:46:09,065 He is got the jump hook, he is got the three point shot, everything 1052 00:46:09,065 --> 00:46:12,185 else, and yet cares more about himself than his own country. 1053 00:46:12,215 --> 00:46:12,305 Oh yeah. 1054 00:46:12,665 --> 00:46:16,235 And cares more about own survival than anything else. 1055 00:46:16,235 --> 00:46:19,625 And that narcissism, like it makes him such a great politician and he 1056 00:46:19,625 --> 00:46:22,625 can position his country, you know, especially a country like Israel, which 1057 00:46:22,625 --> 00:46:26,705 isn't polarized and divided like he can be a north star for that type of country. 1058 00:46:26,705 --> 00:46:28,235 But like a deep tragic flaw. 1059 00:46:28,235 --> 00:46:28,835 I don't think's legacy. 1060 00:46:28,835 --> 00:46:29,225 Do you know who's my, 1061 00:46:29,555 --> 00:46:32,765 Marko Papic: I think my comp for him in basketball terms would probably 1062 00:46:32,765 --> 00:46:34,445 be Gilbert do arenas honestly. 1063 00:46:35,405 --> 00:46:35,690 There you go. 1064 00:46:36,040 --> 00:46:37,025 Jacob Shapiro: Yeah, yeah, yeah. 1065 00:46:37,325 --> 00:46:40,385 Right down to bringing the gun to the locker room and uh, toting it around. 1066 00:46:40,385 --> 00:46:43,595 We've gotta get Iran guys, this is why I've got the gun in the locker room. 1067 00:46:43,835 --> 00:46:44,135 Marko Papic: Yeah. 1068 00:46:44,675 --> 00:46:45,875 Dero basically, what's his name? 1069 00:46:45,875 --> 00:46:47,105 Critter's career. 1070 00:46:47,105 --> 00:46:47,525 Critter. 1071 00:46:48,640 --> 00:46:48,930 Jacob Shapiro: Yeah. 1072 00:46:48,930 --> 00:46:49,330 Javaris. 1073 00:46:49,655 --> 00:46:49,925 Yeah. 1074 00:46:49,925 --> 00:46:50,285 Whatever. 1075 00:46:50,435 --> 00:46:51,275 Yeah, he went to Georgia Tech. 1076 00:46:51,275 --> 00:46:51,965 I remember that. 1077 00:46:51,965 --> 00:46:53,375 So shout out Georgia Tech. 1078 00:46:53,735 --> 00:46:54,695 Well done David at seven. 1079 00:46:55,095 --> 00:46:56,865 At 17 Javier Millet. 1080 00:46:56,865 --> 00:46:57,255 Okay. 1081 00:46:58,005 --> 00:47:00,825 Uh, I, I, I assume based on what you said, that he's higher up for you, 1082 00:47:00,825 --> 00:47:02,265 but maybe not that much higher up. 1083 00:47:02,745 --> 00:47:06,255 Um, again, I asked, uh, chat GPT for a little help here in sort of, 1084 00:47:06,285 --> 00:47:09,105 uh, what the scouting report would be and it spit back out to me. 1085 00:47:09,105 --> 00:47:11,325 Crypto Ron Paul meets Steve Jobs. 1086 00:47:11,865 --> 00:47:12,735 That was pretty Whoa. 1087 00:47:12,735 --> 00:47:13,545 Steve Jobs. 1088 00:47:13,660 --> 00:47:13,950 Marko Papic: Whoa. 1089 00:47:17,799 --> 00:47:21,279 Jacob Shapiro: Yeah, but like, and I, I, I wanted to punish him a little bit 1090 00:47:21,279 --> 00:47:25,060 because I think his winning power was actually more a function of Argentinians 1091 00:47:25,060 --> 00:47:28,419 just being fed up and they were looking for the craziest thing possible. 1092 00:47:28,419 --> 00:47:30,460 And so they picked the craziest thing possible. 1093 00:47:30,460 --> 00:47:34,569 But like early returns, he's shown himself to be much more pragmatic than his dead 1094 00:47:34,569 --> 00:47:40,345 dog communing, uh, you know, chainsaw wielding, uh, Mo would suggest I really 1095 00:47:40,345 --> 00:47:44,589 didn't like that weird crypto scam that he was a part of or got taken for a ride for. 1096 00:47:44,589 --> 00:47:46,120 Like, that was a negative signal for me. 1097 00:47:46,120 --> 00:47:48,549 And I think we're about to get into the tough times for him, but I'm 1098 00:47:48,549 --> 00:47:50,410 interested enough that he's there at 17. 1099 00:47:50,740 --> 00:47:51,460 At 16. 1100 00:47:51,520 --> 00:47:55,029 Mr. Erdogan, we've already talked about you, Mr. Sultan, uh, so 1101 00:47:55,029 --> 00:47:56,109 we don't have to do more there. 1102 00:47:56,670 --> 00:47:58,290 And at number 15, the top of this list. 1103 00:47:58,290 --> 00:48:01,560 Again, lucky to have him, but we've got some kind of tragic flaw here. 1104 00:48:01,560 --> 00:48:05,430 This also is about, you know, uh, future projecting Narendra Modi 1105 00:48:05,430 --> 00:48:07,350 comes in right here at 15 for me. 1106 00:48:07,650 --> 00:48:11,190 Mm. Um, yeah, interest if this were, if this were, if this were first term Modi, 1107 00:48:11,280 --> 00:48:14,790 he's maybe Untouchables, like he's maybe at the very, very top of this list, but 1108 00:48:14,790 --> 00:48:17,130 we're, in a third term, we're getting old. 1109 00:48:17,220 --> 00:48:20,220 Have we built something beyond Modi's charisma that 1110 00:48:20,310 --> 00:48:22,080 allows the BJP to go forward? 1111 00:48:22,260 --> 00:48:23,010 I don't know. 1112 00:48:23,010 --> 00:48:25,920 He, he was very ambitious about, have, about his reforms. 1113 00:48:25,950 --> 00:48:27,900 Not a whole heck of a lot have gone through. 1114 00:48:27,900 --> 00:48:30,960 Some of them have, like we've, we've harmonized taxes and we've done some 1115 00:48:30,960 --> 00:48:34,200 good things, but like others we've really haven't made progress on. 1116 00:48:34,200 --> 00:48:38,370 So I think he's, you know, MVP level player, but we're in the twilight of our 1117 00:48:38,370 --> 00:48:40,770 career and we haven't quite gone through. 1118 00:48:40,800 --> 00:48:43,770 Um, some of the things that we thought that some people that need 1119 00:48:43,770 --> 00:48:46,170 to be this high on the list would be, so he comes in at 15 for me. 1120 00:48:48,205 --> 00:48:50,275 Marko Papic: So if I was to take a pause here and think about this, 1121 00:48:50,275 --> 00:48:54,355 I'm very surprised we don't have much disagreement at our bottom, 1122 00:48:55,255 --> 00:48:57,745 you know, 10, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7. 1123 00:48:57,745 --> 00:49:02,815 So like in the bottom seven, uh, we don't have that much disagreement. 1124 00:49:02,995 --> 00:49:03,295 Okay? 1125 00:49:03,295 --> 00:49:12,115 I didn't have Provo, uh, I didn't have cc, um, um, or Ali, uh, in Ethiopia, 1126 00:49:12,115 --> 00:49:15,565 so, you know, but like Zer, Peja, Germany, France, Rhonda, similarly 1127 00:49:15,565 --> 00:49:17,575 on my end, I mean, okay, fine. 1128 00:49:17,785 --> 00:49:20,095 Luka, Don Slovenia, sorry, Robert Gob. 1129 00:49:20,755 --> 00:49:23,725 Tus and Christ Christensen, you don't have. 1130 00:49:25,385 --> 00:49:26,100 But not yet. 1131 00:49:26,550 --> 00:49:26,730 Yeah. 1132 00:49:26,730 --> 00:49:29,160 But there was a lot of, uh, agreement, I think at the bottom. 1133 00:49:29,160 --> 00:49:29,220 Yeah. 1134 00:49:29,825 --> 00:49:31,285 Uh, I, I actually have a, oh, 1135 00:49:31,285 --> 00:49:33,480 Jacob Shapiro: and I also, I also just wanted to say, I forgot to say 1136 00:49:33,480 --> 00:49:35,970 this, like, 'cause we did say that approval ratings mattered here. 1137 00:49:36,120 --> 00:49:39,090 Norendra Modi has the highest approval rating, uh, of all the 1138 00:49:39,090 --> 00:49:40,140 different, you know, leaders. 1139 00:49:40,140 --> 00:49:43,710 So he's got 77%, uh, melee at 62%. 1140 00:49:43,890 --> 00:49:46,140 Albee has a 54% approval rating. 1141 00:49:46,140 --> 00:49:48,090 So I, I overindexed him for there as well. 1142 00:49:48,090 --> 00:49:50,520 So there's a couple here that got boosts for me based on that. 1143 00:49:51,480 --> 00:49:54,300 Marko Papic: So I actually, now that you've run off these out of 1144 00:49:54,300 --> 00:49:59,970 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, I've got Modi, Tigan, and Millie. 1145 00:50:00,390 --> 00:50:02,220 I have osa, he's coming up. 1146 00:50:02,460 --> 00:50:02,550 Mm-hmm. 1147 00:50:02,945 --> 00:50:05,970 I don't have, uh, UK New Zealand, Brazil. 1148 00:50:05,970 --> 00:50:06,840 Hungary in Israel. 1149 00:50:07,050 --> 00:50:07,950 Um hmm. 1150 00:50:08,580 --> 00:50:11,670 I mean, no offense to the Anglosphere. 1151 00:50:11,670 --> 00:50:13,530 I think, you know, time will tell. 1152 00:50:13,530 --> 00:50:15,690 I just wasn't, uh, particularly impressed. 1153 00:50:15,690 --> 00:50:19,740 I guess I chose Albanese instead of Starr, quite frankly. 1154 00:50:19,740 --> 00:50:21,360 Kind of both came at the same time. 1155 00:50:21,360 --> 00:50:26,460 So, um, I think Albany's job is tougher, quite frankly, but we'll see. 1156 00:50:26,940 --> 00:50:31,350 Lula disagree a lot, and then Bibi and Victor, um, I get it. 1157 00:50:31,950 --> 00:50:36,990 I just, and especially in Ban's case, I feel like I, I should have had him in 1158 00:50:36,990 --> 00:50:39,780 the top 30, so, um, I think you're right. 1159 00:50:40,710 --> 00:50:43,080 But on Bibi, you know, you are absolutely right. 1160 00:50:43,080 --> 00:50:45,150 Just, he puts up incredible statistics. 1161 00:50:45,180 --> 00:50:46,890 He is, uh, an all star. 1162 00:50:47,820 --> 00:50:54,510 He is got the max contract, but he is a chemistry killer and he's a team cancer. 1163 00:50:55,050 --> 00:50:57,990 What I mean by that is that I think that everything that Netanyahu has done 1164 00:50:57,990 --> 00:51:03,510 over the last, you know, five years is ultimately going to, uh, you know, it's 1165 00:51:03,510 --> 00:51:06,600 gonna be something that Israel will be paying, uh, for a very long time. 1166 00:51:06,600 --> 00:51:10,350 So I, I definitely vociferously disagree with that, but that's okay. 1167 00:51:10,560 --> 00:51:11,100 That's good. 1168 00:51:11,250 --> 00:51:14,130 Let's go to the next, uh, uh, next category. 1169 00:51:14,160 --> 00:51:14,280 Okay. 1170 00:51:14,280 --> 00:51:18,390 So this is where I think our disagreements, uh, well, no, no, no. 1171 00:51:18,390 --> 00:51:19,950 I think actually you're gonna agree with a lot of these. 1172 00:51:20,010 --> 00:51:23,220 Uh, number 15 for me is raa. 1173 00:51:23,880 --> 00:51:25,140 This is a deep take. 1174 00:51:25,140 --> 00:51:26,460 Deep take my friend. 1175 00:51:26,460 --> 00:51:26,880 Jacob Shapiro: Deep take. 1176 00:51:27,000 --> 00:51:27,240 Yeah. 1177 00:51:27,270 --> 00:51:27,690 Marko Papic: Yes. 1178 00:51:27,690 --> 00:51:29,130 Leader of Albania. 1179 00:51:29,880 --> 00:51:30,330 Okay. 1180 00:51:30,390 --> 00:51:37,620 Um, and yes, someone born in Serbia has picked an Albanian leader as top 15. 1181 00:51:38,040 --> 00:51:41,220 Um, that's a head nod to all our Armenian friends who are 1182 00:51:41,220 --> 00:51:42,540 gonna be mad at us about Aliev. 1183 00:51:42,540 --> 00:51:44,910 Just like, Hey, if I can pick Eddie Rama, you know, you guys 1184 00:51:44,910 --> 00:51:46,500 can chill with, uh, aliev. 1185 00:51:47,415 --> 00:51:52,065 Great navigation of a complicated region, uh, has found new sources of 1186 00:51:52,065 --> 00:51:56,355 economic prosperity for Albania, Albania, particularly tourism, just like exploding. 1187 00:51:56,385 --> 00:51:59,925 It's like, it's like what Portugal was like five, 10 years ago. 1188 00:51:59,955 --> 00:52:01,065 That's Albania today. 1189 00:52:01,365 --> 00:52:02,295 Very well done. 1190 00:52:02,355 --> 00:52:07,635 Um, and the other thing is that has great relationship with everyone in 1191 00:52:07,635 --> 00:52:11,055 the region, including with Serbia, like really well done and has 1192 00:52:11,055 --> 00:52:13,275 completed more EU chapters than Serbia. 1193 00:52:13,275 --> 00:52:18,525 So closer to integration than, um, a country that's, I mean, you know, 1194 00:52:18,555 --> 00:52:20,415 like objectively speaking, just I. 1195 00:52:20,940 --> 00:52:23,490 Far more modern economically. 1196 00:52:23,550 --> 00:52:28,830 And from an industrial's perspective, Albania started off much worse in 1990 as 1197 00:52:28,830 --> 00:52:30,840 the co collapse of Communism than Serbia. 1198 00:52:30,840 --> 00:52:34,020 I mean, like, much worse they weren't even aligned with the Soviet Bloc. 1199 00:52:34,020 --> 00:52:36,660 You know, their only ally was like Maoist, China. 1200 00:52:37,380 --> 00:52:40,170 Um, so, uh, really well done, really impressed. 1201 00:52:40,170 --> 00:52:43,830 And by the way, this, this category for me is diamonds under pressure. 1202 00:52:43,830 --> 00:52:47,490 So I'm picking a lot of, uh, leaders who have done something with nothing. 1203 00:52:47,490 --> 00:52:52,740 So there's ra then Cyril Osa, I have him here, so he's 14 1204 00:52:52,740 --> 00:52:55,260 for me and he is 21 for you. 1205 00:52:55,590 --> 00:52:58,710 So pretty much, uh, you know, we're in alignment there in line. 1206 00:52:59,070 --> 00:52:59,220 Yeah. 1207 00:53:00,360 --> 00:53:02,070 13, this is controversial. 1208 00:53:02,730 --> 00:53:05,790 All of our liberal listeners will hate me for it, although quite 1209 00:53:05,790 --> 00:53:07,380 frankly, you pick Bibi and Orban. 1210 00:53:07,380 --> 00:53:08,910 So like, gimme a break, right? 1211 00:53:08,910 --> 00:53:10,860 Jacob Shapiro: If, if our liberal listeners are gonna hate us for that, 1212 00:53:10,860 --> 00:53:12,300 there's, there's worse to come guys. 1213 00:53:12,630 --> 00:53:14,940 Marko Papic: There's worse to, oh yes, there is, there's 1214 00:53:14,940 --> 00:53:15,930 absolutely worse to come. 1215 00:53:16,110 --> 00:53:17,345 Uh, naive ell it. 1216 00:53:18,390 --> 00:53:19,620 Jacob Shapiro: Oh, okay. 1217 00:53:19,950 --> 00:53:20,310 Marko Papic: Yes. 1218 00:53:20,339 --> 00:53:20,640 Jacob Shapiro: Great. 1219 00:53:21,029 --> 00:53:24,059 Marko Papic: Uh, look, PR value alone, like El Salvador, 1220 00:53:24,779 --> 00:53:26,790 we're talking about a guy. 1221 00:53:27,120 --> 00:53:30,359 We're, we're openly discussing somebody who was, who's in charge of 1222 00:53:30,359 --> 00:53:34,589 El Salvador, and not because of some like, you know, terrible civil war. 1223 00:53:34,589 --> 00:53:35,580 So that's number one. 1224 00:53:35,940 --> 00:53:40,319 Second, everyone who's from Central America and Latin America that I know 1225 00:53:40,319 --> 00:53:44,129 and that has been to El Salvador or lived there, basically argues that that 1226 00:53:44,129 --> 00:53:48,930 country was absolutely unlivable before B And he has solved that with brutality, 1227 00:53:49,020 --> 00:53:52,470 absolutely, but also ruthless efficiency. 1228 00:53:53,310 --> 00:53:58,259 And then, um, you know, I mean, uh, perfect man for the era. 1229 00:53:59,339 --> 00:54:02,339 He, uh, he linked his country. 1230 00:54:03,630 --> 00:54:08,580 To Bt C to Bitcoin at 40,000, you know, doesn't look so stupid anymore. 1231 00:54:09,120 --> 00:54:14,370 Uh, he wears futuristic cardillo suits as my dear friend Juan Correra. 1232 00:54:14,370 --> 00:54:17,160 Shout out to him 'cause he, uh, he definitely agreed with 1233 00:54:17,160 --> 00:54:19,500 this pick, um, would say. 1234 00:54:19,500 --> 00:54:23,640 And ultimately, um, I think just, you know, I think there's too 1235 00:54:23,640 --> 00:54:26,670 much indexing on what he's done on Bitcoin, I think not enough 1236 00:54:26,790 --> 00:54:29,310 indexing on what he's done on crime. 1237 00:54:30,030 --> 00:54:34,080 And if you don't like Trump and so you don't like the fact that he's so 1238 00:54:34,080 --> 00:54:36,450 pro-Trump, just look at it this way. 1239 00:54:36,450 --> 00:54:38,460 I mean, he picked the right winner. 1240 00:54:39,240 --> 00:54:42,960 Being a leader of a central American country ultimately comes down to being 1241 00:54:42,960 --> 00:54:45,900 on the right side of the United States of America, because it's the giant in 1242 00:54:45,900 --> 00:54:47,670 the, it's the elephant in the room. 1243 00:54:47,670 --> 00:54:49,470 So I think he's done very well. 1244 00:54:49,470 --> 00:54:50,370 I've got Malay, hold on. 1245 00:54:50,759 --> 00:54:51,121 Jacob Shapiro: Wait, wait, wait. 1246 00:54:51,210 --> 00:54:53,009 I, I wanna, I wanna pause you right there, Marco. 1247 00:54:53,009 --> 00:54:55,320 'cause I, I, I don't wanna step on this too much, but we should say that 1248 00:54:55,680 --> 00:54:58,110 maybe Bhel is number one on my list. 1249 00:54:58,110 --> 00:54:59,759 He is UNT tradable. 1250 00:54:59,759 --> 00:55:02,040 He is the top of the, he is the apex for me. 1251 00:55:02,040 --> 00:55:02,130 There 1252 00:55:03,150 --> 00:55:03,210 Marko Papic: go. 1253 00:55:03,210 --> 00:55:03,211 Wow. 1254 00:55:03,660 --> 00:55:04,020 Wow. 1255 00:55:04,440 --> 00:55:07,080 I mean, hey, listen, I don't disagree. 1256 00:55:07,080 --> 00:55:12,660 His use of media pr uh, reveals a deep knowledge of where the world is going. 1257 00:55:12,930 --> 00:55:16,950 And, uh, yeah, man, I mean, again, if he, if he can put El Salvador on the map, 1258 00:55:18,570 --> 00:55:21,240 Jacob Shapiro: he got rid of crime in El Salvador, period. 1259 00:55:21,900 --> 00:55:23,850 Like, like, they're like, who else is doing that? 1260 00:55:23,850 --> 00:55:24,210 You think? 1261 00:55:24,210 --> 00:55:28,259 You think El Salvador is trading anyone for bouquet on this list? 1262 00:55:28,680 --> 00:55:31,740 No, they're very happy with the guy who gave 'em their country back and allowed 1263 00:55:31,740 --> 00:55:32,790 them to walk in the streets again. 1264 00:55:34,200 --> 00:55:34,620 Marko Papic: Wow. 1265 00:55:34,710 --> 00:55:34,920 Yeah. 1266 00:55:34,920 --> 00:55:40,170 My, my dear friend Juan, he's the head of, uh, asset allocation at BC Research and 1267 00:55:40,170 --> 00:55:47,580 also my co-owner of the Cali Fornication basketball team in the JBL Fantasy League. 1268 00:55:48,240 --> 00:55:51,540 He picked him number one, two, and I respect one so much so that 1269 00:55:51,540 --> 00:55:55,800 we share a basketball franchise in the Dreamland universe that 1270 00:55:55,800 --> 00:55:57,540 is the Fantasy Sports League. 1271 00:55:57,540 --> 00:55:58,590 So well done. 1272 00:55:59,280 --> 00:55:59,430 Alright. 1273 00:55:59,460 --> 00:55:59,790 Alright. 1274 00:55:59,820 --> 00:56:00,000 Sorry. 1275 00:56:00,030 --> 00:56:01,740 Uh, I got Malay number 12. 1276 00:56:03,030 --> 00:56:05,610 Uh, I think he's been, uh, amazing. 1277 00:56:06,450 --> 00:56:09,385 Um, unbelievable charisma. 1278 00:56:10,275 --> 00:56:13,575 He managed to get the Argentinians to agree with tightening your belt belts. 1279 00:56:13,575 --> 00:56:17,745 Your point about Argentina was, at this point anyways, that's true, but he's also 1280 00:56:17,745 --> 00:56:21,135 managed to do it in a correct sequence by not opening up the capital account 1281 00:56:21,135 --> 00:56:22,785 too quickly, which was very important. 1282 00:56:23,175 --> 00:56:27,825 Uh, making sure that the reforms first take hold and then discussing 1283 00:56:27,975 --> 00:56:32,775 about, uh, lessening capital controls something that mockery got wrong. 1284 00:56:32,775 --> 00:56:34,335 So mockery got the sequencing wrong. 1285 00:56:34,365 --> 00:56:34,635 Mm-hmm. 1286 00:56:34,875 --> 00:56:36,975 Number 11, Abdullah II of Jordan. 1287 00:56:36,975 --> 00:56:38,475 Mm-hmm. 1288 00:56:38,481 --> 00:56:42,495 The degree of difficulty, the diff degree of difficulty for a leading 1289 00:56:42,495 --> 00:56:44,625 Jordan right now is absolutely insane. 1290 00:56:45,165 --> 00:56:48,855 Um, this is, uh, you know, this is like a basketball player that just 1291 00:56:48,855 --> 00:56:54,975 pulls his crappy team into the playoffs as a seven seed all by himself. 1292 00:56:55,605 --> 00:57:01,425 Um, and quite frankly, uh, the security of Israel is more tied to 1293 00:57:01,515 --> 00:57:04,095 Abdullah II's leadership of Jordan. 1294 00:57:04,725 --> 00:57:07,515 To what Benjamin Netanyahu is doing, quite frankly. 1295 00:57:07,515 --> 00:57:13,185 So, uh, Israelis should praise him for his cool and collected demeanor that yes, 1296 00:57:13,185 --> 00:57:18,195 it's become rhetorically increasingly anti-Israeli, but you have to sympathize 1297 00:57:18,195 --> 00:57:20,025 for him, as we have talked about before. 1298 00:57:20,415 --> 00:57:21,525 So that's my number 11. 1299 00:57:23,475 --> 00:57:27,015 Jacob Shapiro: Alright, my next, my next list takes me from 14 to seven. 1300 00:57:27,015 --> 00:57:30,285 So this is a big one and for me, I thought of this, um, category as 1301 00:57:30,645 --> 00:57:32,384 I'm hanging up, but not right away. 1302 00:57:32,505 --> 00:57:34,965 Like, I'm gonna listen for a little bit and then I'm gonna hang up. 1303 00:57:35,025 --> 00:57:36,674 Uh, so some of these are rising stars. 1304 00:57:36,674 --> 00:57:38,174 Some of these are high functioning technocrats. 1305 00:57:38,174 --> 00:57:39,795 Some of these are elite, uh, elite lieutenants. 1306 00:57:39,795 --> 00:57:42,525 And I think the ones that will be most controversial are 14 and 13. 1307 00:57:42,555 --> 00:57:45,705 'cause the rest are ones that we've mostly already talked about at 14. 1308 00:57:46,185 --> 00:57:49,515 Uh, SHA Kat MiEV of Uzbekistan. 1309 00:57:50,325 --> 00:57:50,715 Um. 1310 00:57:51,075 --> 00:57:52,965 This is where I'm gonna go, like really deep. 1311 00:57:53,025 --> 00:57:54,195 I'm gonna cut really deep here. 1312 00:57:54,195 --> 00:57:59,775 But this is a guy who took over for one of the most retrograde dictatorships in the 1313 00:57:59,775 --> 00:58:03,945 post-Soviet world, um, and has, I mean, he has not made it a democracy, but he 1314 00:58:03,945 --> 00:58:07,845 has opened up and liberalized Uzbekistan to a degree that nobody thought possible. 1315 00:58:07,845 --> 00:58:10,665 He's been able to keep Uzbekistan out of the clutches of Islamic 1316 00:58:10,665 --> 00:58:12,255 fundamentalism and everything else. 1317 00:58:12,255 --> 00:58:16,065 He has not gone too far down the road with, uh, Russia or 1318 00:58:16,065 --> 00:58:17,385 with China or the United States. 1319 00:58:17,385 --> 00:58:19,815 He has played all these things different, uh, very well. 1320 00:58:20,115 --> 00:58:23,145 Um, I was in Tash Kent in 2019. 1321 00:58:23,385 --> 00:58:26,265 Uh, you know, uh, everybody there was of course going to 1322 00:58:26,265 --> 00:58:27,285 make it seem like they loved him. 1323 00:58:27,285 --> 00:58:31,125 But everyone I talked to from Uzbekistan, when they think about MOV before and re 1324 00:58:31,125 --> 00:58:32,715 you have now, they're like, he's great. 1325 00:58:32,985 --> 00:58:33,585 We love him. 1326 00:58:33,735 --> 00:58:34,365 He's competent. 1327 00:58:34,365 --> 00:58:34,695 My. 1328 00:58:34,865 --> 00:58:38,285 Uber driver to JFK Airport two weeks ago was from Uzbekistan. 1329 00:58:38,285 --> 00:58:40,535 And when I, when I asked him about Shaka Zi, yeah. 1330 00:58:40,535 --> 00:58:42,755 First he was like, I can't believe you know who that is, and let 1331 00:58:42,755 --> 00:58:43,865 me tell you how great he is. 1332 00:58:43,865 --> 00:58:47,555 We are so happy to have a competent leader at the head of the Uzbekistan state. 1333 00:58:47,555 --> 00:58:48,510 So that's where he, that's 1334 00:58:48,510 --> 00:58:48,710 Marko Papic: important. 1335 00:58:48,995 --> 00:58:50,015 That's an important empiric. 1336 00:58:50,020 --> 00:58:50,230 Yeah. 1337 00:58:50,705 --> 00:58:51,005 Yeah. 1338 00:58:51,605 --> 00:58:52,565 Jacob Shapiro: Um, 13. 1339 00:58:52,715 --> 00:58:56,645 This, my bias is getting involved here, but she, I'm a really big 1340 00:58:56,645 --> 00:58:59,255 fan of Shigeru Ishiba in Japan. 1341 00:58:59,435 --> 00:58:59,645 Marko Papic: Hmm. 1342 00:58:59,645 --> 00:59:00,035 Jacob Shapiro: Interesting. 1343 00:59:00,065 --> 00:59:00,950 Um, he's, wow. 1344 00:59:01,070 --> 00:59:02,375 I have a soft spot for him. 1345 00:59:02,735 --> 00:59:06,065 Um, I, I talked to our friend Tobias Harris, not the basketball player, 1346 00:59:06,065 --> 00:59:09,455 but uh, the Great Japan analyst, uh, and talked about Ishiba as sort of a 1347 00:59:09,455 --> 00:59:13,115 tragic hero, heroic figure who's gonna pursue something and not get there, 1348 00:59:13,115 --> 00:59:15,815 but that will make him all the more of a Japanese hero because of it. 1349 00:59:16,385 --> 00:59:17,495 Um, yeah. 1350 00:59:17,495 --> 00:59:20,705 I, I just, I like his policies and I like what he's trying to do. 1351 00:59:20,705 --> 00:59:23,735 I'll also say like, he came in in a minority government with really, 1352 00:59:23,735 --> 00:59:24,965 really low approval ratings. 1353 00:59:25,320 --> 00:59:28,560 But he's getting stuff done and his approval ratings are slowly ticking up. 1354 00:59:28,560 --> 00:59:32,670 So if he inherits this mess in Japanese politics and takes it to a position 1355 00:59:32,910 --> 00:59:35,580 where he's in charge and he's pushing back against the United States and 1356 00:59:35,580 --> 00:59:38,610 the trade war, and he is trying to figure out the balance between China 1357 00:59:38,940 --> 00:59:42,120 and the United States and what's going on with Taiwan, like a very, 1358 00:59:42,120 --> 00:59:43,500 very high degree of difficulty. 1359 00:59:43,500 --> 00:59:45,000 And I think he's doing a great job. 1360 00:59:45,600 --> 00:59:48,900 Um, and then the rest, the rest of rounding, rounding up this list, 1361 00:59:48,930 --> 00:59:51,270 uh, here is Met Freson at 12. 1362 00:59:51,450 --> 00:59:51,750 Oh, okay. 1363 00:59:51,750 --> 00:59:52,980 Here is at 11. 1364 00:59:52,980 --> 00:59:55,380 We've got, uh, I don't know how to pronounce her name actually, but it's 1365 00:59:55,380 --> 00:59:57,630 the leader of Estonia, Kaja, Kaja. 1366 00:59:57,690 --> 00:59:58,020 I don't know. 1367 00:59:58,025 --> 00:59:58,257 Kaja, you know. 1368 00:59:59,025 --> 01:00:01,515 I don't know, but she comes in here as well. 1369 01:00:01,845 --> 01:00:05,505 Um, I had your Swiss, uh, Swiss leader at number 10. 1370 01:00:05,835 --> 01:00:08,265 Uh, again, I went to chat GPT for this, and they described 1371 01:00:08,265 --> 01:00:09,825 her as Switzerland's Popovich. 1372 01:00:09,945 --> 01:00:10,995 That sounded pretty good to me. 1373 01:00:10,995 --> 01:00:13,035 That was enough to convince me that she belongs there. 1374 01:00:13,305 --> 01:00:16,695 Uh, but I take your point that that's sort of a boring pick, like, uh, anyway, 1375 01:00:16,695 --> 01:00:20,925 but I, I had her there at 10 and then Albanese at nine, Kearney at eight, and 1376 01:00:20,925 --> 01:00:23,115 Lawrence Wong coming in at number seven. 1377 01:00:23,340 --> 01:00:27,090 So all countries that I think have high degrees of difficulty, 1378 01:00:27,090 --> 01:00:28,440 really, really skilled leadership. 1379 01:00:28,440 --> 01:00:30,780 Some of them are technocrats, some of them are rising stars. 1380 01:00:30,780 --> 01:00:32,220 Some of them just know how to do things. 1381 01:00:32,220 --> 01:00:36,150 But all people that, you know, you'll listen about trading, but ultimately, 1382 01:00:36,150 --> 01:00:38,760 like you're gonna look at what you got and be like, I'm pretty good. 1383 01:00:38,760 --> 01:00:41,460 I don't think I need to make a trade here because this person has 1384 01:00:41,460 --> 01:00:42,780 got the situation under control. 1385 01:00:44,550 --> 01:00:44,820 Marko Papic: Yeah. 1386 01:00:44,820 --> 01:00:46,470 So Singapore, Canada, and Australia. 1387 01:00:46,470 --> 01:00:47,670 7, 8, 9. Interesting. 1388 01:00:47,670 --> 01:00:49,980 Switzerland, 10, uh, Estonia 11. 1389 01:00:50,040 --> 01:00:53,640 Um, yeah, it was tough for me to give these countries that, uh, that 1390 01:00:53,640 --> 01:00:56,340 put them that high because they're just such well run countries. 1391 01:00:56,340 --> 01:00:59,580 You know, it goes back to that Warren Buffet quote, I want to invest in 1392 01:00:59,580 --> 01:01:01,590 countries that even an idiot could run. 1393 01:01:01,590 --> 01:01:05,070 So to what extent does it matter who's in charge of them? 1394 01:01:05,070 --> 01:01:05,910 But I think mm-hmm. 1395 01:01:06,150 --> 01:01:06,445 Uh, it's fair. 1396 01:01:06,570 --> 01:01:08,040 I mean, I have three of them there. 1397 01:01:08,040 --> 01:01:12,660 I don't have Estonia and Switzerland, but, um, you know, I, I don't disagree. 1398 01:01:12,870 --> 01:01:13,950 Japan is interesting. 1399 01:01:13,980 --> 01:01:16,560 Uh, we started doing this a month ago. 1400 01:01:18,884 --> 01:01:23,355 And I should have updated my list because the way that Japanese trade negotiations 1401 01:01:23,355 --> 01:01:27,674 with us have gone is very interesting and suggests to me that you are right. 1402 01:01:27,734 --> 01:01:29,895 There is something in Ishiba that's really interesting. 1403 01:01:29,895 --> 01:01:33,915 I mean, they've really played hardball to the extent that I 1404 01:01:33,915 --> 01:01:35,415 think no other country really has. 1405 01:01:36,045 --> 01:01:36,165 Yeah. 1406 01:01:36,170 --> 01:01:36,790 And so, and, 1407 01:01:36,790 --> 01:01:38,924 Jacob Shapiro: and his approval ratings were in the toilet a month ago. 1408 01:01:38,924 --> 01:01:41,865 He is slowly starting to crawl out of the, out of the basement. 1409 01:01:41,865 --> 01:01:43,095 Marko Papic: Super respect, all of that. 1410 01:01:43,095 --> 01:01:47,654 And I think that you've, uh, you picked somebody who's had a tough time 1411 01:01:47,654 --> 01:01:49,395 and, and their their real potential. 1412 01:01:49,395 --> 01:01:50,685 I agree with you, Uzbekistan. 1413 01:01:50,745 --> 01:01:53,325 Um, I thought about it actually, uh, shockingly. 1414 01:01:53,715 --> 01:01:55,635 But I picked somebody else in the region. 1415 01:01:55,635 --> 01:01:55,665 Okay. 1416 01:01:55,785 --> 01:01:59,055 Uh, I've, I picked somebody else and I'll, I'll get to that because 1417 01:01:59,055 --> 01:02:00,765 he's very high up on my list. 1418 01:02:01,185 --> 01:02:01,515 Alright. 1419 01:02:01,545 --> 01:02:03,765 So, so I respect that. 1420 01:02:03,885 --> 01:02:07,665 Uh, I just didn't think that two central Asian countries really made sense. 1421 01:02:08,145 --> 01:02:10,335 It was like two stands, like, come on guys. 1422 01:02:10,335 --> 01:02:13,905 And if you, you know, if you count Jose Peja is sort of like part of that 1423 01:02:13,905 --> 01:02:16,755 whole post-Soviet space, it would've been a little bit too much and weird. 1424 01:02:16,755 --> 01:02:19,755 So I, I, I, I, you know, head tip to you. 1425 01:02:19,755 --> 01:02:21,435 I think you picked really well. 1426 01:02:22,305 --> 01:02:23,595 Alright, close it out. 1427 01:02:24,255 --> 01:02:25,515 Let's close it out, my friend. 1428 01:02:25,575 --> 01:02:28,845 Um, number 10, Pedro Sanchez, Spain. 1429 01:02:28,875 --> 01:02:30,435 I think we're gonna disagree on this. 1430 01:02:30,435 --> 01:02:30,945 We talked about 1431 01:02:31,575 --> 01:02:31,815 Jacob Shapiro: it. 1432 01:02:31,815 --> 01:02:32,535 We are, we are chat. 1433 01:02:32,535 --> 01:02:35,205 GPT kept on saying, do you want Pedro Sanchez on your list? 1434 01:02:35,205 --> 01:02:36,645 And I kept saying, no chat. 1435 01:02:36,645 --> 01:02:39,555 GPT get this Spanish incompetent guy off of my list. 1436 01:02:39,555 --> 01:02:40,845 I don't want him tell me why he is there. 1437 01:02:41,115 --> 01:02:43,545 Marko Papic: Well, look, I mean, uh, you haven't heard anything about 1438 01:02:43,545 --> 01:02:45,105 separatism in Spain for a while. 1439 01:02:45,585 --> 01:02:47,085 Uh, and I think that's important. 1440 01:02:47,175 --> 01:02:52,365 Um, I think he's carved out a very bold foreign policy, uh, you know, led on, 1441 01:02:52,425 --> 01:02:57,135 uh, Israel, uh, in a very, in a way that obviously nobody who is pro-Israel 1442 01:02:57,135 --> 01:03:00,795 is gonna like, but differentiated Spanish foreign Pol policy for the 1443 01:03:00,795 --> 01:03:02,505 first time since like the eighties. 1444 01:03:03,045 --> 01:03:04,455 So that was interesting as well. 1445 01:03:04,455 --> 01:03:08,055 And then ultimately the economy is extremely successful, uh, is 1446 01:03:08,055 --> 01:03:09,855 absolutely crushing the region. 1447 01:03:10,245 --> 01:03:12,375 Uh, so he is high on my list now. 1448 01:03:12,405 --> 01:03:14,535 Is it because of him, the economy? 1449 01:03:14,535 --> 01:03:18,315 No, but he hasn't gotten in the way and that is important, especially in Europe. 1450 01:03:18,435 --> 01:03:21,795 So he's very high on my list just because Spain is the best performing 1451 01:03:21,795 --> 01:03:23,955 economy effectively in the, your area. 1452 01:03:24,345 --> 01:03:29,055 Um, and then we get into four names. 1453 01:03:29,115 --> 01:03:33,315 I feel like you're not going to agree with based on our previous discussions. 1454 01:03:33,855 --> 01:03:36,195 Um, let's put it this way, uh. 1455 01:03:37,484 --> 01:03:40,154 Like, think of us as different coaching systems. 1456 01:03:40,154 --> 01:03:44,565 You know, you might be modern, you know, uh, spread offense where you 1457 01:03:44,565 --> 01:03:48,044 just want to do layups and three pointers and you believe in analytics. 1458 01:03:48,404 --> 01:03:50,625 And I'm an old school guy who wants a post play. 1459 01:03:51,585 --> 01:03:51,944 Jacob Shapiro: So I'm 1460 01:03:51,944 --> 01:03:52,274 Marko Papic: gonna go, 1461 01:03:52,515 --> 01:03:54,345 Jacob Shapiro: I'm, I'm, I'm more like the triangle offense and I 1462 01:03:54,345 --> 01:03:56,535 want the guy with the drum and the corner and the piece pipe. 1463 01:03:56,535 --> 01:03:58,395 I wanna do Phil Jackson's version of coaching. 1464 01:03:58,395 --> 01:03:58,935 That's me, right? 1465 01:03:59,115 --> 01:03:59,535 Marko Papic: That's you. 1466 01:03:59,535 --> 01:03:59,805 Okay. 1467 01:03:59,805 --> 01:04:03,345 Well, I'm going with like just old school, like post players. 1468 01:04:03,375 --> 01:04:07,544 These guys are not in favor, no one is going to probably agree with this. 1469 01:04:08,115 --> 01:04:11,984 Uh, but if you go to any one of these countries, just like your 1470 01:04:11,984 --> 01:04:16,544 example with Uzbekistan, you go to any of these countries, you're 1471 01:04:16,544 --> 01:04:17,924 gonna find nothing but support. 1472 01:04:17,924 --> 01:04:20,685 And yes, maybe that's because people who don't support them are in jail. 1473 01:04:21,674 --> 01:04:22,335 Maybe. 1474 01:04:23,190 --> 01:04:25,710 Maybe, but I would say it genuine. 1475 01:04:25,714 --> 01:04:25,734 Some, 1476 01:04:25,770 --> 01:04:27,120 Jacob Shapiro: some people need to be in jail, you know? 1477 01:04:29,220 --> 01:04:31,259 Marko Papic: Alright, number nine. 1478 01:04:31,259 --> 01:04:32,370 So this is top 10. 1479 01:04:32,370 --> 01:04:33,180 Sultan. 1480 01:04:33,960 --> 01:04:35,640 Binta Al Sayid. 1481 01:04:36,029 --> 01:04:36,569 Oman. 1482 01:04:37,350 --> 01:04:38,220 Oman baby. 1483 01:04:38,790 --> 01:04:39,540 You love Oman. 1484 01:04:39,540 --> 01:04:39,750 Yeah. 1485 01:04:39,870 --> 01:04:42,359 Transformation of the country is stunning. 1486 01:04:42,779 --> 01:04:47,370 I mean, we're talking a country that, you know, didn't have basic, basic services 1487 01:04:47,460 --> 01:04:51,210 like that, needed to hire like accountants to set up its sovereign wealth fund. 1488 01:04:51,930 --> 01:04:55,830 And, um, it's really harder to find a smaller country that's 1489 01:04:55,830 --> 01:04:57,660 doing more for global peace. 1490 01:04:58,529 --> 01:05:03,330 It's hosted a number of negotiations between other powers, not because 1491 01:05:03,330 --> 01:05:07,770 they're just a nice beach side location, but because they've made an effort to 1492 01:05:08,040 --> 01:05:11,399 improve the situation in the Middle East. 1493 01:05:12,210 --> 01:05:18,629 Then after that, Sheikh Mohammed bin, Al U ae transformed the 1494 01:05:18,629 --> 01:05:20,040 country into what it is today. 1495 01:05:20,040 --> 01:05:21,960 Incredible, incredible effort. 1496 01:05:22,680 --> 01:05:24,720 It used to just be oil and tourism in Dubai. 1497 01:05:25,560 --> 01:05:26,760 It's not just that anymore. 1498 01:05:26,760 --> 01:05:30,060 It's starting to rival Hong Kong and Singapore as the alternative for 1499 01:05:30,090 --> 01:05:31,950 emerging market financial capital flows. 1500 01:05:32,280 --> 01:05:35,760 Abu Dhabi is absolutely exploding as a financial capital. 1501 01:05:36,240 --> 01:05:38,250 There's advanced manufacturing in the country. 1502 01:05:38,250 --> 01:05:40,770 Do you know that They make air airplane parts? 1503 01:05:41,190 --> 01:05:42,690 It's part of the supply chain. 1504 01:05:42,750 --> 01:05:44,550 Uh, it has AI advances. 1505 01:05:44,640 --> 01:05:48,000 It's, um, it's becoming a very, very interesting place. 1506 01:05:48,000 --> 01:05:51,120 And you mentioned something about city states in a couple of, uh, episodes. 1507 01:05:51,150 --> 01:05:51,270 Mm-hmm. 1508 01:05:51,720 --> 01:05:54,180 You know, like this is, this is interesting. 1509 01:05:54,210 --> 01:05:58,710 And the application of AI in UAE is going to be very, very dramatic 1510 01:05:58,740 --> 01:05:59,790 and I think quite interesting. 1511 01:05:59,790 --> 01:06:01,980 So UAE makes my eight spots. 1512 01:06:02,040 --> 01:06:06,750 Then this is where all the liberals that are listening that are still here. 1513 01:06:06,990 --> 01:06:11,160 You know, I mean, uh, for all your liberals listening, just remember. 1514 01:06:11,580 --> 01:06:13,260 Jacob Shapiro picked Orban. 1515 01:06:13,560 --> 01:06:14,040 Okay. 1516 01:06:14,670 --> 01:06:14,970 Yeah. 1517 01:06:14,970 --> 01:06:15,240 I'm also 1518 01:06:15,240 --> 01:06:16,860 Jacob Shapiro: not saying, I, I'm not saying I wanna live 1519 01:06:16,860 --> 01:06:17,940 under the thumb of these guys. 1520 01:06:17,940 --> 01:06:20,790 We're just talking about in the abstract of who would you trade leaders for. 1521 01:06:20,790 --> 01:06:23,100 You know, I genuinely, like, I'm not trying to live under naive b even 1522 01:06:23,100 --> 01:06:24,150 though he is number one on the list. 1523 01:06:24,480 --> 01:06:28,020 Marko Papic: I genuinely would pick up the phone and trade our leader of 1524 01:06:28,020 --> 01:06:30,000 any country for Mohammed bin Salman. 1525 01:06:31,800 --> 01:06:34,125 Did t taunt with Iran. 1526 01:06:34,800 --> 01:06:35,610 Just said, you know what? 1527 01:06:35,610 --> 01:06:38,160 I just really don't care about the Shia Sunni split, bro. 1528 01:06:38,580 --> 01:06:42,780 So you can have whatever you want because I care about the socioeconomic 1529 01:06:42,780 --> 01:06:44,160 reorientation of the entire country. 1530 01:06:44,160 --> 01:06:48,750 We've talked about this, uh, uh, before, uh, you know, he might be number 1531 01:06:48,750 --> 01:06:52,620 one on my list, but I do think the Khashoggi affair was a huge on goal. 1532 01:06:53,370 --> 01:06:57,840 But since then, I mean, if you look at where Saudi Arabia was in 2015 on any 1533 01:06:57,840 --> 01:07:01,500 number of indicators and where it is today, it is absolutely night and day. 1534 01:07:01,500 --> 01:07:03,240 It was practically defenseless. 1535 01:07:03,510 --> 01:07:05,430 It was mirrored in endless wars. 1536 01:07:05,430 --> 01:07:08,820 It stuck in a fundamentalist doom loop. 1537 01:07:09,524 --> 01:07:12,194 The country has been absolutely transformed. 1538 01:07:12,285 --> 01:07:15,705 And uh, what I like about it is that he has big dreams, 1539 01:07:16,214 --> 01:07:17,625 you know, like, like Biggie. 1540 01:07:18,584 --> 01:07:20,924 He's got big dreams. 1541 01:07:21,165 --> 01:07:22,754 Is he gonna accomplish them? 1542 01:07:22,964 --> 01:07:23,865 Yeah, probably not. 1543 01:07:23,865 --> 01:07:27,899 But when your North Star is actually a big dream, you might get 30% of 1544 01:07:27,899 --> 01:07:29,115 it and still improve the country. 1545 01:07:29,115 --> 01:07:33,194 And, you know what, who has big dreams anymore on our list? 1546 01:07:33,285 --> 01:07:34,604 Tell me who the dreamers are. 1547 01:07:34,604 --> 01:07:37,935 What's Benjamin Netanyahu's dream other than not going to jail, you know? 1548 01:07:38,415 --> 01:07:41,685 So Mohammed bin Salman very high on my list. 1549 01:07:42,854 --> 01:07:44,595 Jacob Shapiro: Uh, yeah, Benjamin Netanyahu's dream, by the way. 1550 01:07:44,595 --> 01:07:47,984 He, he, uh, you're forgetting ice cream gate where he, uh, got held 1551 01:07:47,984 --> 01:07:51,134 up on corruption issues because his office was spending over 400, the 1552 01:07:51,134 --> 01:07:54,345 equivalent of $400 a month just on specialty ice cream for his wife. 1553 01:07:54,345 --> 01:07:56,294 So he dreams of ice cream and bombing Iran. 1554 01:07:56,444 --> 01:07:56,714 There you go. 1555 01:07:57,165 --> 01:07:57,734 Marko Papic: That's awesome. 1556 01:07:58,520 --> 01:07:59,055 Well, well done. 1557 01:07:59,384 --> 01:08:02,265 And then number six, uh, you know, it's interesting that I took this 1558 01:08:02,265 --> 01:08:03,975 leader over Mohammed bin Salman. 1559 01:08:04,575 --> 01:08:05,535 You could say that. 1560 01:08:05,535 --> 01:08:06,165 Uh. 1561 01:08:07,410 --> 01:08:11,970 The degree of difficulty in the delta in Saudi Arabia is greater, but I'm picking 1562 01:08:11,970 --> 01:08:17,370 King Mohamed, the sixth of Morocco, plus his Prime Minister, Aziz Hanush. 1563 01:08:18,210 --> 01:08:22,020 Uh, the socioeconomic transformation of Morocco is al also incredible. 1564 01:08:22,050 --> 01:08:25,859 Uh, avoided the Arab Spring, but it's really the integration into the 1565 01:08:25,859 --> 01:08:28,380 supply chains that is very important. 1566 01:08:28,439 --> 01:08:33,090 And there is, I think, some symmetry of having Morocco six in Spain, 10 1567 01:08:33,090 --> 01:08:37,950 because they're increasingly becoming really, uh, Europe's manufacturing hub. 1568 01:08:37,950 --> 01:08:40,109 The integration between the two is quite interesting. 1569 01:08:40,109 --> 01:08:40,200 Mm-hmm. 1570 01:08:40,979 --> 01:08:45,689 Um, also, also this is a country that's effectively doubled its territory. 1571 01:08:47,580 --> 01:08:51,210 You know, if you wanna compare King Muhammad the six to Vladimir Putin, 1572 01:08:51,300 --> 01:08:55,529 Vladimir Putin's got nothing on annexation because Morocco has effectively 1573 01:08:55,529 --> 01:08:59,880 quietly annexed Western Sahara and absolutely nobody has said anything. 1574 01:08:59,880 --> 01:09:02,640 Now that's been the case for a very long time, but it's pretty much 1575 01:09:02,640 --> 01:09:04,590 now over and it's failed complete. 1576 01:09:05,130 --> 01:09:09,990 Uh, also great place to visit and, uh, has really navigated a lot of 1577 01:09:09,990 --> 01:09:11,849 the problems over the last 25 years. 1578 01:09:11,849 --> 01:09:16,380 I think Morocco is where the rest of the GCC is headed, and that's why you should 1579 01:09:16,380 --> 01:09:17,819 be very bullish on the Middle East. 1580 01:09:17,880 --> 01:09:22,680 So I'm gonna stop here and then, uh, yeah, any reactions, any thoughts? 1581 01:09:23,460 --> 01:09:24,899 Jacob Shapiro: Uh, we're closer than you think. 1582 01:09:24,930 --> 01:09:26,160 Uh, this is why we're cousins. 1583 01:09:26,160 --> 01:09:26,819 Uh, on my list. 1584 01:09:26,819 --> 01:09:29,819 I like you, uh, the four leaders so far that you have, that I should have had. 1585 01:09:29,819 --> 01:09:33,720 Anwar Ibrahim, Abdu ii, IDI Rama, and the Sultan of, uh. 1586 01:09:34,275 --> 01:09:35,985 Oman, uh, whatever his name is. 1587 01:09:35,985 --> 01:09:37,575 I don't know his name, sorry, Saltan of Oman. 1588 01:09:37,575 --> 01:09:38,925 I just remember Salton caboose. 1589 01:09:38,950 --> 01:09:41,685 I, I remember joking about him over back in our Strat four days. 1590 01:09:41,685 --> 01:09:43,395 But I think all those are worthy of inclusion. 1591 01:09:43,665 --> 01:09:45,885 I'll give you my seven through one and you'll see that I actually have 1592 01:09:45,885 --> 01:09:49,935 taken both MBS and MBZ ahead of you, uh, coming in at three and four. 1593 01:09:49,935 --> 01:09:50,295 Marko Papic: Whoa. 1594 01:09:50,895 --> 01:09:51,405 Wow. 1595 01:09:51,405 --> 01:09:51,795 Yeah, I knows. 1596 01:09:51,795 --> 01:09:52,110 Oh, I'm shocked. 1597 01:09:52,110 --> 01:09:52,910 Surpris, isn't 1598 01:09:52,915 --> 01:09:52,965 Jacob Shapiro: it? 1599 01:09:53,415 --> 01:09:53,895 I'm shocked. 1600 01:09:53,895 --> 01:09:53,897 You're shocked. 1601 01:09:53,925 --> 01:09:57,225 I know I talk a lot of shit about the golf here on this podcast, but here I am 1602 01:09:57,225 --> 01:09:59,055 with, uh, with those two at the very top. 1603 01:09:59,265 --> 01:10:00,825 So rounding out my top seven here. 1604 01:10:01,215 --> 01:10:04,545 Um, and then, well, no, I, I have like 10, 10 or 12 minutes 1605 01:10:04,545 --> 01:10:05,535 maybe we get through the top. 1606 01:10:05,535 --> 01:10:08,025 And do we come back and discuss this more after we've had time to study? 1607 01:10:08,025 --> 01:10:08,355 We, I don't know. 1608 01:10:08,355 --> 01:10:08,865 You'll tell me. 1609 01:10:08,895 --> 01:10:09,345 Okay. 1610 01:10:09,345 --> 01:10:09,465 We do. 1611 01:10:09,585 --> 01:10:11,655 So number seven, this might be your number one. 1612 01:10:11,745 --> 01:10:14,355 Uh, but this is Georgia Maloney's territory for me. 1613 01:10:14,415 --> 01:10:15,615 She comes in at number seven. 1614 01:10:15,615 --> 01:10:16,935 I'm sure you're gonna wanna talk about her. 1615 01:10:17,025 --> 01:10:18,825 She's, I think she's been very, very effective. 1616 01:10:19,275 --> 01:10:21,465 Uh, number six, Xi Jinping. 1617 01:10:21,915 --> 01:10:24,015 I'm impressed, Xi I've always liked Xi Jinping. 1618 01:10:24,015 --> 01:10:25,575 I've always overindexed on his leadership. 1619 01:10:25,575 --> 01:10:28,935 I think he's done an incredible job with a very, very difficult situation. 1620 01:10:29,445 --> 01:10:31,365 You wanna talk about degrees of difficulty? 1621 01:10:31,845 --> 01:10:34,335 I mean, he's the Mao Deng Xiaoping of this era. 1622 01:10:34,335 --> 01:10:36,255 He's trying to absolutely transform China. 1623 01:10:36,255 --> 01:10:37,425 He's gotten a long way there. 1624 01:10:37,425 --> 01:10:38,805 He's reforming the PLA. 1625 01:10:38,835 --> 01:10:40,365 He's moving supply side reforms. 1626 01:10:40,365 --> 01:10:43,395 Like nobody has a higher degree of difficulty on this list than Xi Jinping. 1627 01:10:43,395 --> 01:10:46,185 And the fact that he's still alive and still kicking and there's no 1628 01:10:46,185 --> 01:10:48,105 opposition and there's no opposition. 1629 01:10:48,105 --> 01:10:51,825 Don't listen to the annual spate of rumors that Xi Jinping is on the way 1630 01:10:51,825 --> 01:10:53,235 out, which is happening this week. 1631 01:10:53,295 --> 01:10:56,475 I guess we needed something in the slow news cycle after Israel, Iran War. 1632 01:10:56,745 --> 01:10:58,005 Xi Jinping comes here. 1633 01:10:58,545 --> 01:10:59,115 Um. 1634 01:10:59,625 --> 01:11:00,285 Number five. 1635 01:11:00,285 --> 01:11:01,755 This one I bet is not an, well, I don't know. 1636 01:11:01,785 --> 01:11:02,745 Maybe she's on your list. 1637 01:11:02,745 --> 01:11:03,495 Maybe she's not. 1638 01:11:03,855 --> 01:11:07,245 Uh, Claudia Shane Baum in Mexico, I think has been incredibly impressive. 1639 01:11:07,275 --> 01:11:10,755 I've described her as sort of the Anglo Merkel of the 2020s. 1640 01:11:10,755 --> 01:11:12,105 She reminds me of Anglo Merkel. 1641 01:11:12,105 --> 01:11:14,355 She's a scientist engineer. 1642 01:11:14,355 --> 01:11:18,225 Yes, she's taking over from Alos populism, but she's dealt with Trump masterfully. 1643 01:11:18,285 --> 01:11:20,295 I think she's doing a great job with Mexican politics, her 1644 01:11:20,295 --> 01:11:22,995 approval ratings through the roof, like she's putting in good work. 1645 01:11:23,565 --> 01:11:24,435 Um, three and four. 1646 01:11:24,435 --> 01:11:27,585 I told you I've got MBZ at number four MBS at number three. 1647 01:11:28,245 --> 01:11:28,934 And my top two. 1648 01:11:28,934 --> 01:11:32,535 Number two, I, I wonder if he'll push back against this, and this is probably 1649 01:11:32,535 --> 01:11:37,724 my bias creeping in, but give me Mr. Zelensky in Ukraine at number two, 1650 01:11:37,785 --> 01:11:39,285 what he's been able to do for Ukraine. 1651 01:11:39,285 --> 01:11:40,875 He's gone through some ups and downs. 1652 01:11:41,205 --> 01:11:43,304 He's still kicking, Ukraine is still here. 1653 01:11:43,335 --> 01:11:45,735 Ukraine is in an incredible position because of him. 1654 01:11:46,005 --> 01:11:49,755 I think that Ukraine is not here today in its current form. 1655 01:11:49,755 --> 01:11:53,474 If he's not out in the streets with the cameras, like manipulating the media 1656 01:11:53,474 --> 01:11:56,684 the way that he did, like, I think he really was an indispensable man 1657 01:11:56,684 --> 01:12:00,165 at a, at a really critical time for a country that was at existential risk. 1658 01:12:00,165 --> 01:12:01,605 And I give him extra props for that. 1659 01:12:01,995 --> 01:12:03,255 Maybe he's a church alien figure. 1660 01:12:03,255 --> 01:12:05,955 Maybe as soon as the war's over, he gets put back out to pasture or. 1661 01:12:06,170 --> 01:12:07,940 Face back onto TV as a comedian. 1662 01:12:08,240 --> 01:12:09,410 I like that he is a comedian. 1663 01:12:09,440 --> 01:12:10,250 Like that works for me. 1664 01:12:10,880 --> 01:12:11,840 Um, agreed. 1665 01:12:11,840 --> 01:12:14,240 Also, you know, a fellow, you know, according to Putin, 1666 01:12:14,240 --> 01:12:15,620 a Jewish fascist, so fine. 1667 01:12:15,620 --> 01:12:17,809 Like, let the Jew pick a Jewish fascist at number two. 1668 01:12:17,809 --> 01:12:20,599 And I've already told you that ye boule is my number one. 1669 01:12:20,870 --> 01:12:21,620 You can't resist it. 1670 01:12:21,620 --> 01:12:22,790 I don't wanna live under him. 1671 01:12:22,790 --> 01:12:23,960 He's incredibly a liberal. 1672 01:12:24,170 --> 01:12:27,650 I bet that 30 years from now, you know, he'll, he's like, uh, the 1673 01:12:27,650 --> 01:12:31,250 metaphor might be de nearest Arian, like good intentions, did a whole 1674 01:12:31,250 --> 01:12:35,120 bunch of things, but eventually lived long enough to be queen of the ashes. 1675 01:12:35,120 --> 01:12:37,429 Like he, he has that darkness to him. 1676 01:12:37,429 --> 01:12:41,269 He's got the dragon inside of him, but right now he's riding high and nobody 1677 01:12:41,269 --> 01:12:42,830 has done more with, less than bouquet. 1678 01:12:43,175 --> 01:12:45,080 Um, right down to the Bitcoin bet. 1679 01:12:45,080 --> 01:12:45,860 So there's my list. 1680 01:12:46,639 --> 01:12:48,349 Marko Papic: Well, I mean, there's a lot of agreement here. 1681 01:12:48,349 --> 01:12:54,830 We've got El Salvador, we've got UAE, Saudi Arabia, um, Italy, Mexico. 1682 01:12:54,830 --> 01:12:59,360 I'm, I'm about to reveal my top five, um, one disagreement I have here with you. 1683 01:12:59,420 --> 01:13:04,099 Uh, so Ukraine, I have, uh, actually both Zelensky and Trump 1684 01:13:04,099 --> 01:13:05,660 in a special category of their own. 1685 01:13:07,305 --> 01:13:07,725 Jacob Shapiro: As, as you can tell. 1686 01:13:07,725 --> 01:13:09,135 By the way, Mr. Trump not on my list. 1687 01:13:09,135 --> 01:13:10,545 I was curious if he would get on your list. 1688 01:13:10,695 --> 01:13:11,925 Marko Papic: Uh, he's not on my list either. 1689 01:13:12,285 --> 01:13:15,735 Um, you know, I, I think that President Trump has done a lot of very 1690 01:13:15,735 --> 01:13:19,995 oppressive things, but is he a product of being the leader of the best? 1691 01:13:20,025 --> 01:13:22,545 Like, could he have done what he did with El Salvador? 1692 01:13:23,985 --> 01:13:27,135 You know, that's the question that I think I, I struggle with. 1693 01:13:27,135 --> 01:13:31,755 And similarly, uh, Zelensky was an absolutely terrible leader before the war. 1694 01:13:32,745 --> 01:13:33,525 Mm-hmm. 1695 01:13:33,531 --> 01:13:34,545 Absolutely terrible. 1696 01:13:34,545 --> 01:13:38,805 So, you know, like, and even during the war, I would say that the first 12 1697 01:13:38,805 --> 01:13:43,755 months of Zelensky leadership in the war from February, 2022 to, let's say 1698 01:13:43,755 --> 01:13:47,360 September, 2023, admirable, amazing. 1699 01:13:47,860 --> 01:13:54,495 Uh, I think he's made several incredibly terrifyingly terrible military 1700 01:13:54,495 --> 01:13:58,875 strategic decisions, you know, for the past, like two years straight. 1701 01:13:59,969 --> 01:14:03,660 And so like, you are basically giving him the number two spot 1702 01:14:03,660 --> 01:14:05,849 for like 18 months of his rule. 1703 01:14:06,509 --> 01:14:09,389 I am, and it is, and listen, incredible. 1704 01:14:09,389 --> 01:14:13,469 18 months of his rule, but like that's, you know, that's like, I, I don't know 1705 01:14:13,469 --> 01:14:15,000 what to do with him because of that. 1706 01:14:15,030 --> 01:14:16,320 Um, it's, it's 1707 01:14:16,320 --> 01:14:18,299 Jacob Shapiro: kinda, it's kinda like, it's, it's kinda like Brandon Roy, like 1708 01:14:18,299 --> 01:14:21,330 when he was on the floor, he was one of the best, but he doesn't have any knees. 1709 01:14:21,330 --> 01:14:23,910 He has no cartilage in his knees, so he can't play basketball. 1710 01:14:23,940 --> 01:14:26,160 Marko Papic: You know, a better, a better example would be somebody 1711 01:14:26,160 --> 01:14:30,929 who catches fire in the playoffs and then gets a huge contract afterwards. 1712 01:14:30,929 --> 01:14:33,809 You know, you're like, oh my God, look at what they did in these two series. 1713 01:14:33,809 --> 01:14:33,960 Yeah. 1714 01:14:33,960 --> 01:14:35,700 But maybe that's because they weren't guarding him. 1715 01:14:36,299 --> 01:14:38,580 Uh, I just, that's why he's not on my list. 1716 01:14:38,580 --> 01:14:43,559 But I, you know, respect that 18 months of dogged perseverance. 1717 01:14:44,219 --> 01:14:47,910 Um, China, big disagreement with you there. 1718 01:14:48,570 --> 01:14:49,349 Jacob Shapiro: Not on your list. 1719 01:14:49,500 --> 01:14:50,040 No, 1720 01:14:50,370 --> 01:14:50,580 Marko Papic: no. 1721 01:14:50,580 --> 01:14:51,660 Xi bing is not on my list. 1722 01:14:51,660 --> 01:14:51,809 That's a 1723 01:14:51,809 --> 01:14:52,860 Jacob Shapiro: huge disagreement. 1724 01:14:53,009 --> 01:14:53,370 Wow. 1725 01:14:53,400 --> 01:14:53,549 Well, 1726 01:14:53,610 --> 01:14:54,360 Marko Papic: and here's why. 1727 01:14:54,540 --> 01:14:57,299 You know, I loved what you said about Uzbekistan's president. 1728 01:14:57,299 --> 01:14:58,349 Remind me of the name again. 1729 01:14:59,055 --> 01:15:00,390 Jacob Shapiro: Shav Kat, me Zev. 1730 01:15:00,390 --> 01:15:03,180 I only had to practice that about 30 times before we hit record. 1731 01:15:03,210 --> 01:15:05,670 Marko Papic: And I apologize for not remembering the name. 1732 01:15:05,670 --> 01:15:09,870 I did honestly take a look at Uzbekistan as one of my potentials. 1733 01:15:09,960 --> 01:15:12,450 Didn't choose it, but what you said was interesting. 1734 01:15:12,450 --> 01:15:18,300 You talked to some random Uzbekistani taxi driver and they loved him. 1735 01:15:18,630 --> 01:15:21,480 You know, and, and I bet you if you poll people into Uzbekistan, 1736 01:15:21,480 --> 01:15:22,740 legitimately they would agree. 1737 01:15:23,040 --> 01:15:24,660 I don't think that's the case with China. 1738 01:15:24,720 --> 01:15:25,530 And here's why. 1739 01:15:26,370 --> 01:15:27,990 He didn't take people outta poverty. 1740 01:15:28,380 --> 01:15:30,120 Preceding leaders did. 1741 01:15:30,150 --> 01:15:32,070 By 2012, China was what it is today. 1742 01:15:34,680 --> 01:15:39,750 He unnecessarily, unnecessarily provoked the sleeping giant, which 1743 01:15:39,750 --> 01:15:40,605 is the United States of America. 1744 01:15:40,635 --> 01:15:42,420 That was not necessary in 2020. 1745 01:15:42,510 --> 01:15:46,680 In 2012, you could have waited until 20 20, 20 25, 20 30. 1746 01:15:47,219 --> 01:15:51,540 When you have far more ability to kind of challenge the us, I 1747 01:15:51,540 --> 01:15:52,860 think that was a huge on goal. 1748 01:15:52,860 --> 01:15:56,639 Jacob, there was no need for China to start talking about nine dash 1749 01:15:56,639 --> 01:15:58,620 lines or South China Sea in 2012. 1750 01:15:58,620 --> 01:15:59,280 It just, why? 1751 01:15:59,820 --> 01:16:03,840 Why wake up the United States of America itching to pivot out of the Middle East? 1752 01:16:04,290 --> 01:16:09,360 Why alert them to the fact that yes, you have designs on regional hegemony 1753 01:16:09,360 --> 01:16:15,179 and then finally, I cannot believe you have him this high because of how he has 1754 01:16:15,179 --> 01:16:18,179 crushed private sector dynamism in China. 1755 01:16:18,389 --> 01:16:22,290 And I don't wanna sound like some aire, you know, like pro business guy, you 1756 01:16:22,290 --> 01:16:24,059 know, like who just cares about that? 1757 01:16:24,269 --> 01:16:27,059 But that's a huge, that's something that China genuinely was 1758 01:16:27,059 --> 01:16:28,469 crushing and was getting there. 1759 01:16:28,920 --> 01:16:30,840 And some of his structural reforms. 1760 01:16:30,840 --> 01:16:34,769 I mean, certainly he has put the weight of the government behind certain sectors. 1761 01:16:34,800 --> 01:16:35,370 God bless you. 1762 01:16:35,370 --> 01:16:36,599 But anybody can do that. 1763 01:16:37,470 --> 01:16:41,250 My concern is that there's been a little bit too much opposition to private 1764 01:16:41,250 --> 01:16:43,020 sector entrepreneurship and innovation. 1765 01:16:43,530 --> 01:16:46,260 Jacob Shapiro: Um, yeah, the, the, I'll, I'll push back in this way. 1766 01:16:46,260 --> 01:16:49,620 I think the, the thing that we really disagree on is that I think 1767 01:16:49,620 --> 01:16:52,800 that he is popular to the average rank and file Chinese person. 1768 01:16:52,800 --> 01:16:54,840 And I think that, not because he made them prosperous, but 1769 01:16:54,840 --> 01:16:56,130 because he went after corruption. 1770 01:16:56,520 --> 01:16:59,640 I think there was a huge divide where parts of China got incredibly rich. 1771 01:16:59,640 --> 01:16:59,775 We agree. 1772 01:16:59,790 --> 01:17:02,760 And he came, he came in and said, bogie la the party's over. 1773 01:17:02,820 --> 01:17:05,430 And you guys in Shanghai driving around the Lamborghinis, while 1774 01:17:05,460 --> 01:17:08,820 people are making less than $5 a day in the interior, the party's over. 1775 01:17:08,820 --> 01:17:12,030 Like we are go and military guys who you're siphoning off all this money. 1776 01:17:12,030 --> 01:17:14,251 Local governments who are doing all these things to siphon off money 1777 01:17:14,520 --> 01:17:16,290 for that's over, the party is over. 1778 01:17:16,290 --> 01:17:20,250 We're going back to Moral Rectitude and Xi Jing principles and Little 1779 01:17:20,250 --> 01:17:21,390 Red Books and everything else. 1780 01:17:21,390 --> 01:17:23,040 Like, and I think that he's gotten popular for that. 1781 01:17:23,040 --> 01:17:24,420 The others, I agree with you. 1782 01:17:24,420 --> 01:17:26,670 I mean, I would quibble with, I don't think his problem was 2012. 1783 01:17:26,670 --> 01:17:29,520 His problem was the wolf warrior diplomacy with 2017. 1784 01:17:29,520 --> 01:17:31,155 And to his credit, I. Has fixed it. 1785 01:17:31,214 --> 01:17:33,405 He got rid of the Wolf Warrior warriors, he's like taken it back. 1786 01:17:33,405 --> 01:17:35,445 Now, that was a mistake, but like he showed the ability to 1787 01:17:35,445 --> 01:17:37,455 survive the mistake and twist it. 1788 01:17:37,785 --> 01:17:41,775 Private sector Diamond Dyna is sure, like, but I think he's done as good 1789 01:17:41,775 --> 01:17:44,535 a job as he possibly can in China, and I think he is the one that said, 1790 01:17:44,535 --> 01:17:46,394 Hey, get ready for L-shaped growth. 1791 01:17:46,634 --> 01:17:50,115 We are gonna have to go through this at some point we're we're gonna let 1792 01:17:50,115 --> 01:17:51,495 the real estate bubble collapse. 1793 01:17:51,554 --> 01:17:53,210 I know, but even there, he's gonna have to manage it. 1794 01:17:53,264 --> 01:17:53,894 Like, you know, 1795 01:17:54,285 --> 01:17:56,775 Marko Papic: but even there, Jacob, like we, he's making the same 1796 01:17:56,775 --> 01:18:01,304 mistake that Angela Merkel, Obama Tea Party, everyone in the West made. 1797 01:18:01,785 --> 01:18:05,745 So I don't wanna like, like be too negative on this, but there is a 1798 01:18:05,745 --> 01:18:07,995 solution to a real estate crisis. 1799 01:18:08,205 --> 01:18:13,455 Richard Coup has told us what that is and it's stimulating GDP growth. 1800 01:18:13,455 --> 01:18:17,684 Now I, again, he's falling into the same mistake everyone else did. 1801 01:18:18,030 --> 01:18:22,710 But all he needs to do is look at the west and how long the de-leveraging 1802 01:18:22,710 --> 01:18:26,940 was prolonged because the US government and the European governments did not 1803 01:18:26,940 --> 01:18:30,599 step in with fiscal support to know that he is making the same mistake. 1804 01:18:30,599 --> 01:18:37,019 So on that front, I think the fact that he has been so astir is in an incorrect move. 1805 01:18:37,019 --> 01:18:37,380 But 1806 01:18:38,400 --> 01:18:40,440 Jacob Shapiro: yeah, but I, I think that's 'cause it's the right 1807 01:18:40,440 --> 01:18:41,550 move for the Chinese context. 1808 01:18:41,550 --> 01:18:44,070 He warned them in 2019, do not do this. 1809 01:18:44,070 --> 01:18:44,880 This is a red line. 1810 01:18:44,880 --> 01:18:46,380 I am not going to bail you out. 1811 01:18:46,380 --> 01:18:47,130 And then they did it. 1812 01:18:47,130 --> 01:18:49,470 And so he had to follow through and say, look, we are just not 1813 01:18:49,470 --> 01:18:50,490 gonna backstop you forever. 1814 01:18:50,490 --> 01:18:51,870 We need to be more productive. 1815 01:18:51,929 --> 01:18:53,785 Like we need to be more efficient with our capital. 1816 01:18:53,785 --> 01:18:54,300 He's not gonna 1817 01:18:54,750 --> 01:18:57,269 Marko Papic: Right, but he's not going to be more productive if he's 1818 01:18:57,269 --> 01:19:00,570 messing with also the private markets and private businesses and private 1819 01:19:00,570 --> 01:19:01,050 Jacob Shapiro: entrepreneurs. 1820 01:19:01,470 --> 01:19:02,519 That's, that's, that's true. 1821 01:19:02,525 --> 01:19:04,920 I have, so it's, I have nothing to, I can't argue with you 1822 01:19:04,920 --> 01:19:06,780 Marko Papic: there, but it's, it's, look, it's not a big deal. 1823 01:19:06,809 --> 01:19:10,889 Uh, he is on my list of like the people I left out along with, uh, some others 1824 01:19:10,889 --> 01:19:12,269 that we can talk about next time. 1825 01:19:12,840 --> 01:19:14,430 I'm gonna finish off my list. 1826 01:19:14,550 --> 01:19:16,890 Uh, this has gone on long enough. 1827 01:19:17,700 --> 01:19:20,309 The next one, first of all, if you have any reactions to 1828 01:19:20,309 --> 01:19:22,200 our list, send them to us. 1829 01:19:22,350 --> 01:19:22,440 Yes. 1830 01:19:22,620 --> 01:19:27,210 Um, you can use, uh, maritz geopolitical alpha.com or Jacob. 1831 01:19:27,269 --> 01:19:27,840 What's 1832 01:19:28,680 --> 01:19:30,000 Jacob Shapiro: jacob@jacobshapiro.com. 1833 01:19:30,000 --> 01:19:31,320 I'll put them both in the intro, but yes. 1834 01:19:31,800 --> 01:19:32,010 Marko Papic: Okay. 1835 01:19:32,010 --> 01:19:34,050 So let's, uh, let's get some, uh, commentary. 1836 01:19:34,050 --> 01:19:34,860 That's, that's cool. 1837 01:19:34,890 --> 01:19:37,260 Uh, we're also, what I'm gonna do with Jacob is I'm gonna use a 1838 01:19:37,260 --> 01:19:41,430 sophisticated mathematical formula to blend our lists together. 1839 01:19:42,269 --> 01:19:42,750 Jacob Shapiro: Oh, cool. 1840 01:19:43,050 --> 01:19:43,290 Marko Papic: You know? 1841 01:19:43,290 --> 01:19:43,410 Great. 1842 01:19:43,410 --> 01:19:44,640 So we'll know who's number one. 1843 01:19:45,599 --> 01:19:45,900 Jacob Shapiro: Great. 1844 01:19:46,530 --> 01:19:48,269 Marko Papic: Alright, I'm gonna round off the top. 1845 01:19:48,330 --> 01:19:54,959 Um, I think you're gonna love my top first of all, number five, Kasim Jomar to baby. 1846 01:19:55,709 --> 01:19:56,129 Yeah. 1847 01:19:56,400 --> 01:19:56,700 Yeah. 1848 01:19:56,700 --> 01:19:58,019 I didn't choose Uzbekistan. 1849 01:19:58,019 --> 01:19:59,190 I didn't choose Uzbekistan. 1850 01:19:59,190 --> 01:19:59,730 Why? 1851 01:19:59,820 --> 01:20:03,000 Uh, first of all, navigating geopolitics very successfully. 1852 01:20:03,240 --> 01:20:08,429 The reason Uzbekistan can ride, uh, quietly and not pick sides is because 1853 01:20:08,429 --> 01:20:10,230 nobody truly cares about Uzbekistan. 1854 01:20:11,730 --> 01:20:12,870 Like, let's be very clear. 1855 01:20:12,870 --> 01:20:14,669 Neither do including Russians. 1856 01:20:14,700 --> 01:20:15,509 They're like, ah, whatever. 1857 01:20:15,509 --> 01:20:16,080 Like, sure. 1858 01:20:16,080 --> 01:20:16,440 Yeah. 1859 01:20:16,889 --> 01:20:19,769 You know, sorry for destroying your environment with cotton production. 1860 01:20:19,769 --> 01:20:20,160 Moving on. 1861 01:20:21,675 --> 01:20:22,575 Kazakhstan. 1862 01:20:22,635 --> 01:20:25,425 The Russians care about Kazakhstan, they care about 1863 01:20:25,425 --> 01:20:27,525 Kazakhstan, and so do the Chinese. 1864 01:20:27,525 --> 01:20:31,095 And yet what the Q has managed to do is perhaps the greatest 1865 01:20:31,095 --> 01:20:32,985 balancing act in all of the world. 1866 01:20:33,045 --> 01:20:34,605 Yes, I'm gonna go it that far. 1867 01:20:35,385 --> 01:20:38,625 He managed to call in Russian peacekeepers when there was, uh, 1868 01:20:38,655 --> 01:20:39,856 to call an uprising against him. 1869 01:20:39,861 --> 01:20:40,160 Mm-hmm. 1870 01:20:40,455 --> 01:20:45,285 But since then, since then, he has managed to avoid picking sides in 1871 01:20:45,285 --> 01:20:47,055 Ukraine, Russia, which is extraordinary. 1872 01:20:47,385 --> 01:20:53,085 He has left the ruling party completely pivoted away from Nazarbayev, positioned 1873 01:20:53,085 --> 01:20:55,305 himself as a political economic reformer. 1874 01:20:55,995 --> 01:21:02,175 Uh, he's, uh, refused to recognize Russian puppet states in Ukraine, refused to 1875 01:21:02,175 --> 01:21:08,085 accept the, uh, uh, all sorts of domestic political problems in Russia that have 1876 01:21:08,085 --> 01:21:11,475 sort of moved over to, uh, to Kazakhstan. 1877 01:21:11,475 --> 01:21:16,335 And, uh, just managed to get rid of domestic political. 1878 01:21:16,920 --> 01:21:20,910 Problems that have been left over from thus survive, have managed to 1879 01:21:20,910 --> 01:21:22,590 balance both China and Russia as well. 1880 01:21:22,590 --> 01:21:25,500 So really impressive work there in Kazakhstan that nobody's 1881 01:21:25,500 --> 01:21:26,910 probably paying attention to. 1882 01:21:27,120 --> 01:21:32,010 I would definitely trade a leader of many countries for to kaev. 1883 01:21:32,370 --> 01:21:33,120 Number four. 1884 01:21:33,210 --> 01:21:35,400 Hasn't made your list, which is surprising. 1885 01:21:35,400 --> 01:21:38,040 This is the best economic performance in Europe. 1886 01:21:38,160 --> 01:21:39,060 I said Spain. 1887 01:21:39,210 --> 01:21:41,130 There is another country that's doing even better. 1888 01:21:41,280 --> 01:21:44,910 The largest budget deficit consolidation in human history. 1889 01:21:45,090 --> 01:21:52,350 We're talking about KO's, midis of Greece, also geopolitically, you know, quiet. 1890 01:21:52,440 --> 01:21:54,000 Hasn't really pushed against Turkey. 1891 01:21:54,030 --> 01:21:58,380 Quietly become the destination for Israeli entrepreneurs and capital 1892 01:21:58,710 --> 01:22:00,810 has moved into Greece a lot. 1893 01:22:00,870 --> 01:22:05,490 And, um, really interesting, interesting, uh, performance. 1894 01:22:05,490 --> 01:22:06,840 I think that, um. 1895 01:22:07,650 --> 01:22:11,550 Absolutely would, uh, trade, uh, many leaders for mitsotakis. 1896 01:22:12,000 --> 01:22:17,490 Um, also third term, uh, which you know, is very impressive in a place like Greece. 1897 01:22:17,640 --> 01:22:19,349 I have, uh, Modi third. 1898 01:22:20,070 --> 01:22:20,700 I regret it. 1899 01:22:21,630 --> 01:22:22,559 I regret it though. 1900 01:22:22,620 --> 01:22:23,700 I think you are you. 1901 01:22:23,730 --> 01:22:24,059 No, no. 1902 01:22:24,059 --> 01:22:27,930 I mean, just, you made such a compelling case, uh, for why, you 1903 01:22:27,930 --> 01:22:29,340 know, he shouldn't be number three. 1904 01:22:29,340 --> 01:22:31,320 He is for you, number 15. 1905 01:22:32,010 --> 01:22:33,960 I think that's, that's correct. 1906 01:22:34,260 --> 01:22:35,790 You know, I, I overstated him. 1907 01:22:35,790 --> 01:22:40,200 And then finally we get to our top two choices who will be ranked 1908 01:22:40,200 --> 01:22:42,030 number one and two on our lists. 1909 01:22:42,390 --> 01:22:48,420 So I nailed it mainly because you also agree yours, uh, six and 1910 01:22:48,690 --> 01:22:50,820 four, and it's very interesting. 1911 01:22:50,970 --> 01:22:54,870 The top two leaders in the world for Jacob Shapiro and Marco Papich are women. 1912 01:22:57,105 --> 01:23:00,705 Number two, Claudia Shine Bone absolutely crush you. 1913 01:23:00,705 --> 01:23:01,065 I'm so happy 1914 01:23:01,065 --> 01:23:01,995 Jacob Shapiro: she's number two for you. 1915 01:23:01,995 --> 01:23:03,195 I'm so impressed with her. 1916 01:23:03,434 --> 01:23:04,394 Marko Papic: Yeah, absolutely. 1917 01:23:04,394 --> 01:23:08,565 And number one, the greatest leader in the world. 1918 01:23:08,684 --> 01:23:09,795 And she will be confirmed. 1919 01:23:09,970 --> 01:23:10,335 No, no, no. 1920 01:23:10,335 --> 01:23:10,755 I'm sorry. 1921 01:23:10,755 --> 01:23:13,965 But if she will be confirmed once I do the math, it will work out. 1922 01:23:13,965 --> 01:23:15,465 'cause she is number six for you. 1923 01:23:15,465 --> 01:23:16,635 She's number one for me. 1924 01:23:16,934 --> 01:23:18,675 Maybe Shaba actually goes higher. 1925 01:23:18,675 --> 01:23:19,575 Four and two. 1926 01:23:20,175 --> 01:23:21,915 Oh, this is gonna be interesting. 1927 01:23:21,915 --> 01:23:22,305 No, 1928 01:23:22,695 --> 01:23:23,205 Jacob Shapiro: yeah, it will be. 1929 01:23:23,205 --> 01:23:23,655 Yeah. 1930 01:23:23,655 --> 01:23:23,656 Yeah. 1931 01:23:23,745 --> 01:23:25,934 Marko Papic: Claudia Sheba will be crown number one. 1932 01:23:25,995 --> 01:23:27,105 She's number two for me. 1933 01:23:27,105 --> 01:23:29,325 For me number one, and will be crown number two. 1934 01:23:29,325 --> 01:23:35,325 Overall is I. Just an absolute legend. 1935 01:23:35,595 --> 01:23:42,615 Georgia Maloney crushed it just, I mean, mic drop in every way, shape or form from 1936 01:23:42,615 --> 01:23:48,555 her facial expressions when she's dealing with chauvinistic, overburdening annoying 1937 01:23:48,555 --> 01:23:53,115 men down to the economic performance of Italy, down to way that she has completely 1938 01:23:53,115 --> 01:23:54,885 dampened populism in the country. 1939 01:23:54,975 --> 01:23:57,915 She's given the anti-establishment populous what they wanted, which 1940 01:23:57,915 --> 01:24:01,095 is anti-immigration policies, and then she has pursued a 1941 01:24:01,095 --> 01:24:03,015 pretty solid economic agenda. 1942 01:24:03,015 --> 01:24:07,035 Nobody talks about the fact that Italy still has huge debt burden because 1943 01:24:07,035 --> 01:24:09,045 the deficit has absolutely shrunk. 1944 01:24:09,405 --> 01:24:09,915 Well done. 1945 01:24:09,915 --> 01:24:14,295 George Maloney, you are number one on the list, but I can just see the data 1946 01:24:14,295 --> 01:24:19,155 right now and it looks like Mexico's president, Claudia Scheinbaum is crowned 1947 01:24:19,185 --> 01:24:24,075 the best leader in the world with Maloney second, so that's one in two. 1948 01:24:24,585 --> 01:24:25,125 Um. 1949 01:24:25,724 --> 01:24:31,275 Two leaders, um, two female leaders in uh, G 20 countries. 1950 01:24:31,275 --> 01:24:32,355 So that's very interesting. 1951 01:24:32,565 --> 01:24:36,885 I will complete the mathematical, uh, consolidation of our two lists. 1952 01:24:36,885 --> 01:24:40,845 And in the next episode, what we're gonna do, Jacob, is we're going to, 1953 01:24:40,934 --> 01:24:43,394 uh, basically go from one to about 50. 1954 01:24:44,055 --> 01:24:46,905 I think we got about 50 leaders here because, you know, you had some 1955 01:24:46,905 --> 01:24:48,255 that I didn't have and vice versa. 1956 01:24:48,705 --> 01:24:48,795 Mm-hmm. 1957 01:24:49,035 --> 01:24:51,765 Uh, and then we're gonna talk about those that we've left out, why we 1958 01:24:51,765 --> 01:24:53,925 left them out, namely Donald Trump. 1959 01:24:53,925 --> 01:24:55,724 We're gonna get a lot of hate mail, which is great. 1960 01:24:55,785 --> 01:24:57,530 Let's go, let's go. 1961 01:24:57,530 --> 01:24:59,170 Uh, and then the second thing also, we also, 1962 01:24:59,415 --> 01:25:03,735 Jacob Shapiro: we, we left out Vladimir Putin, Kim Jong Un, uh, Gabriel Boruch 1963 01:25:03,735 --> 01:25:05,985 was also on my honorable mention list, but you'll still get into it. 1964 01:25:06,045 --> 01:25:06,615 Marko Papic: Oh yeah, that's fair. 1965 01:25:06,615 --> 01:25:08,535 We, we, we'll, we'll get into all of that. 1966 01:25:08,595 --> 01:25:14,025 Um, and also, yeah, I mean, we're gonna, we're gonna ask ourselves 1967 01:25:14,025 --> 01:25:15,795 would we really trade these people? 1968 01:25:15,795 --> 01:25:18,974 But I gotta say Shiba and, uh, Maloney. 1969 01:25:20,144 --> 01:25:20,415 Yeah. 1970 01:25:20,415 --> 01:25:23,985 I mean, I think I would trade the leaders of our country for those. 1971 01:25:25,710 --> 01:25:27,570 Jacob Shapiro: I, I would be happy to live under the two of them. 1972 01:25:27,570 --> 01:25:28,260 That's fine with me. 1973 01:25:29,940 --> 01:25:32,940 Marko Papic: Alright, on, on that note, uh, we're gonna 1974 01:25:33,030 --> 01:25:35,640 end our, uh, top trade list. 1975 01:25:35,700 --> 01:25:40,620 Part one, part two is coming, uh, soon, hopefully early next week when we can 1976 01:25:40,620 --> 01:25:44,760 kind of digest some of the feedback and go into, uh, the definitive list. 1977 01:25:44,760 --> 01:25:46,800 That is the mind belt of both of us. 1978 01:25:48,330 --> 01:25:49,500 Jacob Shapiro: This was incredible, cousin. 1979 01:25:49,500 --> 01:25:50,280 Thank you so much. 1980 01:25:50,520 --> 01:25:51,000 Marko Papic: Thank you. 1981 01:25:51,060 --> 01:25:52,470 No, I appreciate all the hard work.