You're not ready.
Speaker BI'm ready.
Speaker AYou know.
Speaker AYou know, House is ready.
Speaker ALakers are up 20 to start the game.
Speaker ANo, I got the scoreboard that just.
Speaker ALook at this.
Speaker AIt's just up here permanently.
Speaker BThat's the thing, you know, you got an addiction problem, right?
Speaker AIt's not.
Speaker ANo, I'm tribal.
Speaker AThis is tribal.
Speaker BIt's not tribal.
Speaker BYou are part of the culture that's enabling a bad culture of sports betting.
Speaker AWhy?
Speaker BYou're the sports.
Speaker AIt's the last true form of art.
Speaker BI heard something today.
Speaker BTrue story.
Speaker BThis is real.
Speaker BI heard something today that more people are, quote, investing in sports betting than investing in actual, you know, investments now.
Speaker AOh, I believe it.
Speaker AYeah, I believe that.
Speaker BAll right.
Speaker AShall we?
Speaker BYeah, why not?
Speaker AOh, let's start the timer.
Speaker BProbably good to make sure we don't go over the clock.
Speaker BAlthough we don't have a tendency to go over as much as we used to.
Speaker ANo, we do.
Speaker AWelcome back to the number one financial literacy podcast in the world.
Speaker AThis is the higher standard.
Speaker ASitting in front of me in the higher standard merch is my partner in crime, Christopher.
Speaker BHe.
Speaker BHello, everyone.
Speaker AHello.
Speaker BHello.
Speaker BSitting across me, my partner in time, the one, the only, the chocolatey brown side, Omar.
Speaker AThank you, my man.
Speaker AAnd sitting behind the desk in the production suite, if you will, the fighting Pagean Regil.
Speaker AWhat's up, my guy?
Speaker AGreetings, everyone.
Speaker AGreetings, everyone.
Speaker BActually, because I'm being erroneously sued for being a racist, I just want to point out that you're wearing chocolate brown sweater tonight.
Speaker BThat was not a reference to your skin color.
Speaker AThank you for noticing.
Speaker BYes.
Speaker BWhich is very nice.
Speaker BAll.
Speaker AAlso, it's all.
Speaker AAll the complexions are nice.
Speaker AWe're going to start off the show with a little shout out to our boy, C. West.
Speaker AHe requested a double camp pop.
Speaker BThere you go.
Speaker BThere you go, America.
Speaker BShout out to Andy.
Speaker AShout out to Andy.
Speaker BFirst form.
Speaker ACheers.
Speaker BThank you, buddy.
Speaker AMy kids decided to cheers in front of their grandparents the other day.
Speaker AI was like.
Speaker AThey're like, oh, what's that?
Speaker AWhere'd you guys learn that?
Speaker AI'm like, well, yeah, yeah, sorry, yeah.
Speaker BThis little trip down memory lane, you might remember, shows that we couldn't actually air the alcohol drinking part.
Speaker AThis is between me and my friends, my guys nights.
Speaker BYeah, yeah.
Speaker AThey learned that from guys nights.
Speaker AAll right, so we got a lot to discuss in today's episode.
Speaker ALater in the show, we're going to talk about.
Speaker AUsually when we talk about wealth, a lot of people like to discuss how much money you make, but it's really not about that.
Speaker AIt has a lot more to do with things that you invest in and how that changes your, I guess, balance sheet over time as your wealth continues to grow.
Speaker ABut first, what we're going to dive into is we got an update on the government shutdown.
Speaker BYeah.
Speaker BTonight actually 43 days, it is officially over.
Speaker BThe House has passed it.
Speaker BThe Senate passed.
Speaker BAt first the House was the only laggard in, in coming out and voting.
Speaker BAnd then obviously the president slots to sign this, but I think the overwhelming assumption is that he's going to.
Speaker BSo by the time you guys hear this next Tuesday, this we're recording on Wednesday 12th November, this should be a past history foregone conclusion, but the ramifications of it are going to reverberate.
Speaker BOh, yeah.
Speaker AAnd the narrative is being controlled early.
Speaker BVery, very early.
Speaker BAnd as much as Saeed and I don't like to get political when it.
Speaker AComes to finance, so, buddy, I feel like every show we give out this disclaimer.
Speaker AYeah, we don't like to get political.
Speaker AWe try, but it just, it's intertwined.
Speaker BThe good news is I had to submit.
Speaker BThis is a true story.
Speaker BAnd for those of you who don't understand the complexities and nuances of being in a not free society when it comes to freedom of speech and advertising, we had to submit for a political ad certificate.
Speaker BAnd because the Google account that I use for ads is the legacy one that I use for my original YouTube account, which is under my individual name, you can't swap it to a business name because Black Crown Inc.
Speaker BOwns the trademark for the higher standard, which my company and the higher standard trademark is intellectual property.
Speaker BCan, you know, wholly owned by this entity.
Speaker BI could not say that they were advertising.
Speaker BSo it has to be Chris's advertising.
Speaker BSo me as an attorney individually, maybe.
Speaker AI should do it.
Speaker ADoes my political science degree at all help with any of this?
Speaker BI have no idea.
Speaker BBut I just met my passport, my driver's license, my birth certificate to Google.
Speaker BLet me tell you right now, I do not feel safe with that at Google.
Speaker ARight.
Speaker AAnd what's worse, submitting that stuff to Google or to.
Speaker AWhat was that DNA company, 23andMe, who's lost it.
Speaker BHonestly, 23andMe makes me feel a whole lot better.
Speaker BReally?
Speaker AThey lost their whole board.
Speaker AThe whole board walked out.
Speaker AThey're like, we're out of here.
Speaker BSteal my genetics, it's fine.
Speaker BWhen you steal my financial stuff, it's a problem.
Speaker AIt could be a problem.
Speaker BSo the good news is because we apply for that Certificate.
Speaker BIt should not mean that we get flagged for saying things that we shouldn't say with advertisers being concerned because it's all sponsored by me.
Speaker BThere you go.
Speaker ABy Christopher.
Speaker BYeah.
Speaker BSo let's get into a little bit of the stock market today.
Speaker BWe're going to talk about some, some interesting topics like side reference broken data obviously a huge part of this government shutdown.
Speaker BJob cuts and then the wealth secrets that the rich really don't want you to know.
Speaker BAnd there is a surprise ending at the end of the show which is also our way of saying listen to the whole goddamn show.
Speaker AYeah, you're gonna.
Speaker AYou'll appreciate it especially for those that want to continue to learn and grow and we have some exciting stuff for the future that maybe when we get to that part of the show we can.
Speaker BYeah, it was a good.
Speaker AYeah, we can tease a little bit.
Speaker BThat's a good little.
Speaker AWe can tickle.
Speaker BHey, we're gonna change in a way that you need.
Speaker AYeah.
Speaker BBut you don't know.
Speaker ABut it's good for you.
Speaker BIt's good for you.
Speaker BYeah.
Speaker BTrust us.
Speaker ATake it and go.
Speaker BThere you go.
Speaker BAll right.
Speaker BAccording to Yahoo Finance stock market today the Dow The S&P 500 Nasdaq futures slip as the longest government shutdown in history has officially come to an end.
Speaker BA bill ending the recording a record length 43 days government shutdown looks set to be passed into law.
Speaker BIt was by the House.
Speaker BSo this tonight, this late this evening.
Speaker BPresident Trump would also be the last holdout here and will need to sign the measure soon afterward.
Speaker BThis shutdown has shaken financial markets and is estimated to have a long reaching effect with analysts from the Congressional Budget Office suggesting that the US GDP could be roughly $11 billion lower by the end of 2025 or 2026.
Speaker BI apologize side and I had done some rough math earlier.
Speaker BOn a previous show you may have heard us say about 14 billion.
Speaker BSo we weren't far off.
Speaker BJust 4 billion.
Speaker AJust 3 billion.
Speaker BA couple billies.
Speaker BYeah.
Speaker BBut yeah.
Speaker BSo it's going to have a measurable impact on GDP in two successive quarters of negative GDP growth.
Speaker AMeans they need.
Speaker AIt's a declared recession according to the old definition.
Speaker ANow we got to assume that this administration wants to adopt the old administration.
Speaker AI don't think so.
Speaker ANo.
Speaker BYeah.
Speaker AYeah.
Speaker AIt's going to be different.
Speaker BIt's going to.
Speaker BI don't think they're going to adopt anything.
Speaker BI, I think this administration is already out way, way early on the excuse making.
Speaker AIt's really interesting how they're, they're wanting to highlight the term gdp.
Speaker BYeah.
Speaker BSo there's going to be episodes that we do in the future where we say, hey, this might be a little conspiratorial.
Speaker BPut on a tinfoil hat.
Speaker BThis particular episode, I'm going to tell you right now, well, yeah, we got a lot going on.
Speaker BAnd with the stuff going on, you could come to conclusions about conspiracies or you could accept it for truth.
Speaker BWe're going to give you the facts and let you judge what you come up with in between.
Speaker AI mean, what, what really bothered me with this whole entire shutdown.
Speaker AOkay.
Speaker AIs ultimately the deal that was official, you know, officially taken by both parties was the deal that was on the table from day one.
Speaker BYep.
Speaker AAnd it, there was no real mention that a primary motivator was the 40 some odd million people that were on SNAP benefits.
Speaker BYeah.
Speaker ARight.
Speaker AThis deal's primarily getting done because of delayed flights and cancellations around the holidays.
Speaker AIt's that simple.
Speaker BBut it was brilliant.
Speaker BWhether you believe or not in the political end result, the execution, in the timeline of this all happening to put pressure on people using the holidays and the American public as weapons and tools.
Speaker AYep.
Speaker BTo get politically what they wanted done was almost a master class in manipulation.
Speaker AYeah.
Speaker AAnd for, for the listeners out there that maybe weren't as plugged in because all you cared about was, are we in a shutdown?
Speaker AIs it, are employees still furloughed or not?
Speaker AWhat's going on?
Speaker AYou know, the, the main, the main thing that they were fighting over was Obamacare subsidies being extended.
Speaker AOkay.
Speaker AAnd so that vote isn't coming.
Speaker AThey're, they're going to vote on that in December.
Speaker BThat's right.
Speaker AOkay.
Speaker ASo.
Speaker AAnd this funding bill is only going to get us through end of January.
Speaker ADon't be surprised if we end up right here again at the end of January.
Speaker BKind of like the debt ceiling.
Speaker BWe always raise that.
Speaker AYeah.
Speaker B90 times now almost.
Speaker BYou know, it's becoming a reoccurring problem.
Speaker BSo we didn't really solve anything besides just getting us through the holidays so that human capital pressure goes a little bit farther left.
Speaker AOkay.
Speaker BYeah.
Speaker ARight.
Speaker BIt's not like it's, it's, we're not moving the needle here of significant measure.
Speaker BIt's like you, you knowing that your wife knows something else she'll get mad at you about.
Speaker BYeah.
Speaker BBut you saying, let's get to the holidays, baby.
Speaker BYeah.
Speaker AWell, listen.
Speaker BIn January.
Speaker AYeah.
Speaker BYeah.
Speaker AAnd hope.
Speaker AHopefully you like, hopefully you like the Christmas present that I get you.
Speaker BYou Know the Christmas present ain't gonna change the fact that you did what you did, boy.
Speaker BYeah.
Speaker BYou know what Saeed did, right?
Speaker AWhat I do.
Speaker AI didn't do anything.
Speaker BHe lied about knowing what pornhub was.
Speaker AI don't know what that is.
Speaker BYou do.
Speaker AI have no idea what that is.
Speaker BI just got us flagged.
Speaker BYou.
Speaker BDamn it.
Speaker BI can't say do that because there's so many.
Speaker AOkay, why are timestamp that and beep it out.
Speaker AIt's not.
Speaker BI'm not.
Speaker ANo, beep it out.
Speaker AWe're trying to grow the show, man.
Speaker BI know we're trying to grow the show.
Speaker BWhy can't we just use words?
Speaker ANo, you can't, because they won't let you.
Speaker BWhy don't the settings matter?
Speaker AThey know we can't.
Speaker BAll right, fine.
Speaker BWe'll bleep it out.
Speaker BThank you.
Speaker BThose of you know, we're talking about.
Speaker BI'll spell it for you at the end of the show.
Speaker ASurprise.
Speaker BYeah, surprise.
Speaker BGovernment data is a point of concern for investors in the aftermath of this shutdown, as many of the reports initially delayed by the closure will, quote, be permanently impaired.
Speaker BEnd quote.
Speaker BThe White House said Wednesday the Consumer Price Index and jobs reports for October are set to be the key releases impacted.
Speaker BAnd of course, the narrative and the PR around this got out early.
Speaker BSo, Regil, if you could tee up our video here, we're.
Speaker BJill's gonna play a little video from Carolyn Levitt.
Speaker BShe's the White House press secretary and she addressed, well, the media today.
Speaker BAnd give me a full screen there.
Speaker BHit play.
Speaker BLet's hear what she has to say.
Speaker BThe Democrats may have permanently damaged the.
Speaker AFederal statistical system with October CPI and jobs reports likely never being released.
Speaker BAnd all of that economic data released will be permanently impaired, leaving our policymakers at the Fed flying blinds at a critical period.
Speaker BOkay, that seems like a real convenient timeline.
Speaker AI got so much to say about this.
Speaker AOh, please do.
Speaker ADo you think Caroline's listening to the show?
Speaker BI.
Speaker BFor sure she is.
Speaker BHer.
Speaker BAnd JP's it down.
Speaker AOkay, so, I mean, what.
Speaker AWhat is the insinuation?
Speaker AIs the insinuation that if the.
Speaker AIf the data points were released, they would have been so bad that the.
Speaker AThat the Fed would have cut 50 basis points?
Speaker A75.
Speaker AWhat do you.
Speaker ABecause they did cut 25 basis points.
Speaker AAll right, and then on top of that, the next Fed meeting is on December 10th.
Speaker BYeah.
Speaker AOkay.
Speaker ASo when the government reopens again, they're going to release this jobs report.
Speaker AThey'll have it by the next meeting.
Speaker AAlso by the next, by the next Fed meeting, they will have a fresh jobs report because the jobs report is produced the first Friday of every month.
Speaker ASo they'll have the November jobs report and they'll have the updated and revised October jobs report.
Speaker ASo what exactly are we saying?
Speaker AThey're not flying blind.
Speaker AThey're going to have all the data in front of them at their next meeting.
Speaker BWe just got quoted in the media.
Speaker BIndustry reacts the idea of 50 year mortgage.
Speaker BChris Nahibi, the host of the Higher Standard podcast, does not agree.
Speaker BA 50 year mortgage does not solve the affordability crisis.
Speaker BBlah, blah, blah, blah.
Speaker BThis from National Mortgage Professional.
Speaker AThere you go.
Speaker AWe're getting quoted.
Speaker BWe out here.
Speaker BCelebrity.
Speaker BThat's from my.
Speaker BThat's from my ex account.
Speaker BWhat's up, dog?
Speaker BHow you doing?
Speaker BI'm a celebrity.
Speaker BYou want to autograph?
Speaker BI got you.
Speaker BYou want to autograph?
Speaker BYeah, I got you.
Speaker AAfter the show, I taught my son that trick that was going viral.
Speaker ASo my wife came home and he like, he said hi to his mom and he started walking up the stairs and he like dropped a piece of paper and had her like pick it up and give to him.
Speaker AAnd he turned around and signed it.
Speaker BAll right, yeah, stud move.
Speaker BAll right, let me.
Speaker ASo you get my point though.
Speaker BI get your.
Speaker AThey're going to have all the data points.
Speaker BLet me frame something.
Speaker BOkay, okay, allow me to retort.
Speaker BIf you are a Republican and you want to maintain the image of not being held responsible for bad things that may come in the future, you have now set yourself up for an absolute home run.
Speaker BAnd the reason why is that even despite this narrative, if you were.
Speaker BAgain, this is tinfoil hat time.
Speaker BOkay, granted, nothing to prove this, but let's just say you were in a position to know that there was a greater than not probability of a recessionary economy being declared in the not too distant future.
Speaker BYou know the jobs numbers are growing increasingly weaker.
Speaker BAnd you know there's some dissension amongst the ranks at the fomc, the Federal Reserve, who makes the judgment calls as to when to cut rates.
Speaker BAnd if the jobs numbers are getting weaker, it may put pressure on the cut rates.
Speaker BBut that also mean bigger weaknesses in the economy are forthcoming.
Speaker BWe know that a zero interest rate period may have caused a prolongated slow effect.
Speaker BAnd there's lots of smarter people than us that work in the White House, that work for the National Bureau of Labor Statistics.
Speaker BSo you say to yourself, okay, a government shutdown has multiple benefits for us as an institution.
Speaker BNumber one, we get to lower the expense load of the nation by reducing our workforce.
Speaker AOkay, 1.4 million government employees, Mr. Second Paycheck in October.
Speaker BAnd look, Trump and his, his organization made no qualms about this might be a good thing and it might actually help, help us to reduce the overall debt load.
Speaker BSo this is not like me being conspiracy driven with that statement.
Speaker BThat statement's been made like that.
Speaker BThat was a known thing.
Speaker BNumber two, you say, okay, well, we know that a recession is likely looming.
Speaker BWe're not going to take responsibility for this.
Speaker BWe're going to point the finger any way we can besides that ourselves.
Speaker BBecause we want to say in the popular opinion right now, we control the House, we control the Senate, and we're in the executive branch.
Speaker BSo guess what?
Speaker BOh, the Democrats forced this shutdown.
Speaker BNow we can't get accurate data.
Speaker BNow the Fed, even, even with our guys there, we couldn't control.
Speaker BThey didn't have the data.
Speaker AAnd this is.
Speaker AOkay, this goes for everybody that's not a listener of the higher standard.
Speaker BRight.
Speaker ABecause our listeners, they know, just to.
Speaker BBe clear, somebody who's not listening to the higher standard would be a listener of the higher standard if they listen to that statement, though.
Speaker BSo.
Speaker ANo, no, it's like.
Speaker ANo, but I'm saying, what I'm about to say is the people that get fooled with this narrative that, oh, because of the government shutdown, this is where we're at now.
Speaker ANo, that they're just reading headlines and they're thinking, one plus one equals two.
Speaker BRight, that one plus one equals 11 site.
Speaker AYeah, one plus one equals 11.
Speaker AThat's, that's what, that's what, what's her name?
Speaker ACaroline.
Speaker AThat's what Caroline's doing.
Speaker ARight?
Speaker BTo come out and openly say in a prepared remark that the Democrats are responsible for this, like out the gate, like you're just pointing fingers.
Speaker BI mean, you didn't need to say that like, that.
Speaker BThat is not the place to say that.
Speaker ANo, it's not.
Speaker AIt's not.
Speaker AIt's definitely not.
Speaker BBut, and I'm not co signing one side or the other.
Speaker BI'm just saying, like, you don't need to stigmatize a conversation that doesn't need a stigma to it.
Speaker ARight, Exactly.
Speaker BYou know what I mean?
Speaker ABut for the, for the listener of the listeners of the show that know that the Fed in fact is not flying blind right at the, before their next meeting, they're going to have all the data that they need and, and the data that has been missing will be produced to them.
Speaker BNot actually.
Speaker ANo.
Speaker BWhat do you mean so that's what some of the references to quote will permanently be impaired means.
Speaker BSo the scuttlebutt, if you will.
Speaker AScuttle butt.
Speaker BI'm out here with SAT vocabulary.
Speaker BKeep up.
Speaker BI'm here to enrich your mind.
Speaker AOkay.
Speaker AAnd your body cerebellum.
Speaker BMind pump.
Speaker AMy belt.
Speaker AMind pump.
Speaker BThe.
Speaker BThe idea is that some of the data that would have been collected will not be collected.
Speaker BIt would be futile to go back in time to collect that data.
Speaker BSo let's just focus on going forward.
Speaker AYeah, but I mean, hold on.
Speaker AThe data that was being collected was always being revised down anyways.
Speaker ASo let's not act like they were getting good data.
Speaker BOkay?
Speaker BBut the decision making that's going to take place without that data is not going to change once the data actually comes out.
Speaker BSo it is irre.
Speaker BIr.
Speaker BIrrevocably.
Speaker BI can't say the word.
Speaker BIrre.
Speaker BIrrevocably.
Speaker BThere we go.
Speaker BIrrevocably.
Speaker BIrrevocably.
Speaker AOkay.
Speaker BIt is a situation that will not be fixed anytime soon and the decisions are going to be made whether they come out or not.
Speaker BSo let's just say hypothetically the data isn't out by.
Speaker BBy December 10th.
Speaker BThe FOMC is still going to make a decision.
Speaker ANo, that one.
Speaker AThat's going to be out, bro.
Speaker AThat's going to be out.
Speaker ACome on, what are we saying?
Speaker ANo, the government, the employee people working at the bls, they're going to be back in starting next week, right.
Speaker AWhich is, you know, tail second half of November and they're going to be able to produce at the bare minimum the November jobs report.
Speaker BOkay, well let's just, let's go to the private sector.
Speaker AOh, adp.
Speaker BLet's talk about privates.
Speaker BOkay.
Speaker AYes.
Speaker ANot those kind of privates.
Speaker BAccording to what privacy referring to?
Speaker BJust be clear.
Speaker AI don't know.
Speaker BYou sounded like you knew Rajeel, did it sound.
Speaker AI said adp.
Speaker AI didn't say not those kind of private sector.
Speaker BYou did not.
Speaker AI did say adp.
Speaker BYou said OPP in front of the private sector.
Speaker AYou're done with opp.
Speaker BYeah, you know me.
Speaker AYeah.
Speaker BAll right.
Speaker BSo nobody who's born in 1998 or later has any idea what we said.
Speaker AWu Tang forever.
Speaker BYeah.
Speaker BSorry Jill, we didn't take this but side now we're kicking around some ideas about like us doing some educational content which we're going to talk about later in the show.
Speaker BAnd we, we wanted to be like you know, professional looking.
Speaker BSo I'd put on the Suits and maybe look like, you know, I got a job.
Speaker BAnd then we're like, what if we, what if we just wore the blazers with like Wu Tang shirts.
Speaker BYeah.
Speaker AUnderneath, like making a mockery of all the other channels that like to push this style of content.
Speaker AThey're all suited and booted, like, okay, look, we'll play the part two, but we'll do it with Wu Tang shirts.
Speaker BUnderneath this, just inside Wu Tang is forever.
Speaker AI love it.
Speaker AProtect your neck.
Speaker BYeah.
Speaker BAll right, so the US private employers cut a lot of jobs.
Speaker BOkay, we know this.
Speaker BThe data coming out or not from the BLS is irrelevant.
Speaker BWe know the private payroll stuff's coming out.
Speaker BSo US private employees cut an average of 11,250 jobs per week over the four weeks ending October 25, according to ADP's private weekly data.
Speaker BThis brings the four week total to about 45,000 jobs lost, the second largest drop in 2020.
Speaker BAnd for those of you who happen to be watching the vis visually stunning show that we bring to you on either Spotify or YouTube or Gila's propped up the image in front of you.
Speaker BAnd what I would like to point out, and I'll describe it for those of you driving here, that there's a lot of green in this chart, which means that job growth was pretty consistent over the course of the last year and a half to two years.
Speaker BAnd certainly there was one period in March of, call it 2022, where you saw some negative job growth.
Speaker BNothing's really significant, but we've seen a pattern in practice over the course of the last 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6/4, 6, I'm sorry, 6 months of reported jobs.
Speaker B4 of the last 6 months had negative job growth.
Speaker AAnd if you take it back to, let's say, December of last year, it's on a pretty steady decline.
Speaker BThat's right.
Speaker BSo this contrasts with ADP's monthly report which showed private sector payrolls rose about 42, 000 in October, following declines in the prior two months.
Speaker BMeanwhile, and this is a very important statement, I'm going to come back to this.
Speaker BGoldman Sachs estimates that payrolls fell about 50,000 jobs in October.
Speaker BSo now you've got the ADP stuff coming out saying that minus about 45,000 jobs, second largest drop in 2020 since 2020, which is that one time we saw.
Speaker BAnd then you have Goldman Sachs saying that they expected payrolls to fall about 50,000 in October.
Speaker BDownward momentum in the US job market is accelerating.
Speaker BIt's not flatlining, it's not stagnant it's not plus minus, it is accelerating.
Speaker BNegative.
Speaker BSo the Fed's concerns about this were real.
Speaker AYeah.
Speaker BThat there is a fundamental problem with this.
Speaker BNow if you knew that this is going to come out in the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports and you pause or slow rolled that maybe you're trying to impact the FOMC decision making.
Speaker BLook.
Speaker AYeah, that's exactly.
Speaker AMaybe, maybe that's true.
Speaker AAnd then look, this is all coming at a time where you have.
Speaker AIt's no secret consumer sentiment is low.
Speaker BYeah.
Speaker ALike what?
Speaker AI know we don't like to cite surveys because those, they can be manipulated.
Speaker ARight.
Speaker ABut it's no secret.
Speaker AThere's, there's genuine fear in the market of like what's to come.
Speaker ARight.
Speaker AAnd the, I guess the consumer and I guess the, the employees out there don't feel comfortable and safe.
Speaker ARight.
Speaker APeople aren't switching from jobs to jobs right now.
Speaker AA lot of, a lot of people are being told to hold tight right now.
Speaker BSo let's, let's explain that a little bit.
Speaker BSo a 4.5 to 5% unemployment rate is a healthy number.
Speaker BAnd I think a lot of people go why is that a healthy number?
Speaker BShouldn't the lower number just always be better?
Speaker BNo.
Speaker BHealthy job migration from one job to another job for personal growth, for change of atmosphere.
Speaker BThat amount of change is healthy in the economy.
Speaker BYeah.
Speaker AAnd you got to think when, when people change jobs like that, usually it's for a slight pay bump.
Speaker ARight.
Speaker ASo you know their incomes can keep up with inflation.
Speaker ARight.
Speaker AAnd it, it produces, it makes people want to go out and spend more.
Speaker ARight.
Speaker AAnd keep up with the Joneses, if you will.
Speaker ANow that's also.
Speaker ASo consumer sentiment being down at a time while corporate profits are hitting all time highs.
Speaker AWell, because you're able to lay people off and you're getting stock prices continuing to rise after like certain layoffs.
Speaker BRight.
Speaker AIt's like these, these two things don't add up.
Speaker BRight.
Speaker AThey're working against, it's like we're laying people off, our stock price is going to go up and consumers are feeling like they need to be held tight, held down.
Speaker AThey're worried about what's to come.
Speaker AAnd it just feels like a really, really odd time.
Speaker BThe public sentiment I think shows it.
Speaker BThere's been some reports that have come out, nothing that I felt really good, good enough for the show as far as quality of data goes recently.
Speaker BBut there's definitely consumer sentiment turning negative.
Speaker BThat's palpable.
Speaker BBut you can just see it when you talk to your friends.
Speaker BEverybody that I know is focused on earnings, and now the desperation starting to creep out where people are starting to kind of go into the social media realm and trying to figure out side hustles a little bit more and trying to figure things out, and people are freaking out.
Speaker BI think it's a real palpable problem.
Speaker BAnd I'll be honest, even myself, I go to.
Speaker BToday is a great example, right?
Speaker BI, instead of ordering Ubereats, I drove to Whole Foods to get a chicken bowl.
Speaker BIt's just chicken rice.
Speaker ADid not get this servicing fee because.
Speaker BIt'S 12 bucks for the chicken bowl from Whole Foods, which is good quality food.
Speaker BIt's not bad, right?
Speaker BAs opposed to me getting something delivered.
Speaker BThe other night, I ordered pizza for my wife and my son and I.
Speaker BRight?
Speaker BAnd I ordered a nice, you know, extra large pie and then one medium one for my son, right?
Speaker BThat was $90 wild, bro.
Speaker AWould you go to Roundtable?
Speaker BNo, I ordered.
Speaker ANo, no, this is.
Speaker AThis is a real thing, dude.
Speaker AAt the place by our house, it's like a family owned pizza shop that's been there for, like, so you want.
Speaker BTo support small business.
Speaker BAnd it's usually better quality, which is exactly what I did.
Speaker AI'll be honest.
Speaker AYou could taste the quality.
Speaker AIt's way better than Domino's or papa.
Speaker BBut $90 for delivery, my guy, right?
Speaker AYeah.
Speaker ASo even.
Speaker ASo we'll.
Speaker AWe'll skip the delivery.
Speaker AI'll go and I'll pick it up, right?
Speaker AAnd ordering two pizzas was like 60 bucks.
Speaker AI'm like, that's insane.
Speaker AWhat are we doing?
Speaker BYeah.
Speaker BI mean, come on, man.
Speaker BI mean, I don't be the guy who's like, I remember when, but damn, bro.
Speaker BYou telling me I'm paying on average $45 for a pizza, and then my.
Speaker AKids are like, can we go and eat there?
Speaker AI'm like, no, I know they got an arcade there.
Speaker AYou want to spend more money?
Speaker BOh, I hadn't even thought about that.
Speaker AYeah, it's real, bro.
Speaker ADominoes you can get.
Speaker ADamn claw machines.
Speaker AThe worst thing that could have ever happened to me.
Speaker AI took the kids to Chuck E. Cheese years ago, and Adam won on the claw machine five times in a row.
Speaker BOh, now I want to play every time he goes, bro.
Speaker AIt's like, now he's playing with, like.
Speaker BBonus money, but you get those super loose hand hand ones that, like, they're like, so jiggly.
Speaker BThe whole thing.
Speaker BYeah.
Speaker AI'm like, I'll never forget.
Speaker AHe kept winning.
Speaker AAnd I'm like, God, this is honestly this is like.
Speaker AIt's like when.
Speaker BBecause you.
Speaker BIt's one of those claws that's super tight.
Speaker BIt's.
Speaker BSo you're supposed to win.
Speaker BYeah, yeah.
Speaker BBut the kids don't understand.
Speaker BYeah, yeah.
Speaker AChuck E. Cheese got him.
Speaker BYeah.
Speaker BYou linked it.
Speaker BYou locked in.
Speaker BYou can get it.
Speaker BWhat now at Domino's for Jill Domino's.
Speaker AYou can Get a.
Speaker AFor 7.99 if you carry out technical foul.
Speaker BYou can't be talking about 799 pizzas if you just lost 30 pounds, my guy.
Speaker ANo, that's a flex, bro.
Speaker AYou don't get it.
Speaker AYou don't get it.
Speaker AHe's like, bro, I'm eating dominoes and.
Speaker BI'm cutting, First of all, 7.99.
Speaker BReally?
Speaker AIf it fits in your macros.
Speaker BIs that.
Speaker BIs it one topping?
Speaker ANo, two topping.
Speaker BDamn.
Speaker AIf it fits your macros.
Speaker BYou don't have no macro.
Speaker BYou ain't counting the macro.
Speaker AYou got macros, bro.
Speaker BCome on.
Speaker BOne injection holidays coming up, bro.
Speaker BYou got to keep that momentum going.
Speaker BYou know what I mean?
Speaker AI know, man.
Speaker BAll right, so it wasn't just the jobs.
Speaker BThe jobs kicked off kind of a series and sequence of events.
Speaker BAnd I thought this would be a great time to show an example of what this can do to the market.
Speaker BBecause you got a negative sentiment in the markets.
Speaker BAnd I know it's easy for people to go, oh, well, consumer sentiment sucks.
Speaker BWell, sometimes investor sentiment sucks, too.
Speaker BAnd when investor sentiment sucks, there are reverberating impacts in the economy that I think are meaningful that most consumers don't understand.
Speaker BWe always talk about the bond markets, and people are like, well, I don't get it.
Speaker AControls.
Speaker BIt controls a lot like bonds, like jail.
Speaker BI don't get it.
Speaker ABail bonds.
Speaker BIt's like, who's you want to bond?
Speaker BLike you and me together?
Speaker ABond together.
Speaker BI don't get up.
Speaker AYeah.
Speaker BSo we're going to explain it to you in a way that I think is meaningful.
Speaker BStart.
Speaker BWe'll start with the simple effects, right?
Speaker BTreasury yield decline as the end of the government shutdown looks.
Speaker BExamine it.
Speaker BSo this according to the Wall Street Journal.
Speaker BNow, you read that headline, you go, okay, wait a minute.
Speaker BIf treasury yields decline at the end of the government shutdown, so is that a good or bad thing then?
Speaker BBecause the government shutdowns are ending, is a good thing.
Speaker BExcept there's more to it.
Speaker AOkay, I want to hear about it.
Speaker BThe White House says that October inflation and employment indicators may never be released and again will, quote, be permanently impaired due to the shutdown.
Speaker BDemand declines slightly in a 10 year treasury auction with a bid to cover ratio of 2.43.
Speaker BAnd if you're going well, I don't get it.
Speaker BI got you, just bear with me.
Speaker BOkay.
Speaker BSo with a bid to cover ratio of 2.43 below the previous six month average of 2.54, participation of indirect bidders which include foreign buyers is steady and a little below average.
Speaker BA 30 year auction is scheduled for tomorrow.
Speaker BThe 10 year yield declines at 0.043%.
Speaker BSorry.
Speaker BThe 10 year declined 0.043 percentage points to a 4.066% and the 2 year falls.025 to 3.565%.
Speaker BThe Wall street dollar index is flat.
Speaker BNow if you heard that and you go I don't understand what he said.
Speaker BHe sounds like an idiot.
Speaker AA lot of numbers.
Speaker BYeah.
Speaker BAllow me to explain it to you in what I like to call Saeed terms.
Speaker AOkay.
Speaker AThere you go.
Speaker BRajeel, this is too simplified for you.
Speaker BYou're more complex.
Speaker AThis is for sight layman's terms.
Speaker BOkay.
Speaker BSo if you're driving, you want to laugh along at side with me, this is your opportunity.
Speaker AOkay.
Speaker BSo think of the 10 year treasury auction like the government holding a big loan sale where investors line up to lend money to the US for 10 years.
Speaker BOkay.
Speaker BWe're all lining up to lend you money.
Speaker BThe government for 10 years.
Speaker BToday that line was a little shorter than usual.
Speaker BThe bid to cover ratio which basically measures how many people are trying to buy compared to how much is for sale.
Speaker BSo slipped from its usual level.
Speaker BImagine the government put out 100 tickets to buy.
Speaker BOkay.
Speaker BAnd normally 254 people are trying to buy them.
Speaker BA 2.454 ratio.
Speaker BToday only 243 people showed up.
Speaker BStill fine.
Speaker BBut a little bit less excitement in buying what is normally considered to be one of the strongest returns a bond.
Speaker ASo then what usually happens if there's less people?
Speaker ADo they have to juice the yield?
Speaker BLess demand?
Speaker BYield goes down.
Speaker BI'm sorry, yield goes up in order to get this to happen.
Speaker BSo it's potential to see what happens.
Speaker BWe're seeing some volatility in the Treasury.
Speaker BNow keep in mind the 10 year treasury drives mortgage rates way more so than the the Federal Reserve and the FOMC.
Speaker BAnd the fed funds rate cut.
Speaker BRight.
Speaker BPosted the 10 year bond note and it shows the steep drop off that you've seen today.
Speaker BYeah.
Speaker ASo and I guess 30 year mortgages are usually 2 to 3 percentage points higher than this.
Speaker ARight.
Speaker ASo that that adds up.
Speaker ACould any of this be how early could we see Treasuries move downwards where they're pricing in the next Fed rate cut?
Speaker AIf the Fed rate cut is going to happen.
Speaker AI think if it does happen I have to, I haven't checked the Chicago Mercantile Exchange recently because it's changed a lot so far out until December to give it a little bit more time.
Speaker ABut that's, that's what, a month away.
Speaker ADecember 10, less than a month away.
Speaker BIt's a little less.
Speaker BKeep in mind the holidays are coming too so you see a little bit of less excitement die down.
Speaker BPlus you get a lot of people, the mortgage rates in that side of the business, they're not so excitable towards November, December because not a lot of people are moving and buying then and refinancing them.
Speaker BThat's not usually the time people think about mortgage transactions.
Speaker ASo none of this could be them starting to price in a rate cut?
Speaker BNo, this, this was in direct, this is inter day.
Speaker BSo this chart that, that he posted here is literally in a day from today.
Speaker BAnd it, it doesn't show a whole lot in my mind of that being priced in.
Speaker BI think what it shows more is that the sentiment around long term stability of the country is starting to change.
Speaker BAnd if people think that buying a bond over 10 years is not as exciting, they're basically saying that, you know, I don't think that the 10 year usage of my money is, is a high return.
Speaker BYeah.
Speaker BSo then you're going to have to either increase your return to get more interest, more people in line to buy you or you see it continue to decline and people continue to not show up.
Speaker BRight.
Speaker BAnd then you have a problem.
Speaker BRight.
Speaker BSo you know, the long story short here is that the government shutdown ending did not drive confidence in the long term sentiment of the economy.
Speaker AYeah.
Speaker BI think that's because Goldman Sachs and ADP came out and said hey, we're seeing some pretty healthy declines in jobs numbers.
Speaker BSo even though the government shutdown is going to happen, you know, to come to an end, you now know that GDP has been impacted by tune of approximately 11 billion.
Speaker BYou know that the jobs numbers are weakening even though you don't have the Bureau of Labor Statistics reporting on it and you've got an FOMC meeting coming up on the 10th where there's a continually changing narrative which we should probably get into.
Speaker AYeah, let's do it.
Speaker BI'm here for you side.
Speaker AThank you brother.
Speaker BI'm here to get into all the things you want to get into.
Speaker BSo Yahoo Finance was an interesting place for me to read about this today because there were a couple of different competing narratives as it relates to the FOMC key people.
Speaker AOh, I actually heard about this too on my own.
Speaker AYeah, your boy Rafael boasted gonna step down after February.
Speaker BThat's right.
Speaker BBut we're gonna start off with Boston's Fed.
Speaker BBoston Fed Collins.
Speaker BThe bar for cutting rates further is relatively high.
Speaker BSEIZE holding for some time.
Speaker BThis is kind of one of those things that's always bothered me about the FOMC now is they all have these scheduled conferences, they all speak a little bit more cavalier.
Speaker BAnd you think about in the context of how this data comes out.
Speaker BRight.
Speaker BFOMC member goes to the fomc, they make their vote, they have a summary of economic projections which comes out and they can give their opinions and thoughts in this document.
Speaker BJerome Powell will come out and give his press conference.
Speaker BAnd then as time goes by, you get stuff like Goldman Sachs numbers.
Speaker AYeah.
Speaker BSo then the FOMC's members, voting members make comments publicly at events they go to.
Speaker BOkay, that all skews narrative, of course.
Speaker BAnd this is a great example of.
Speaker AThey give you inside baseball.
Speaker BBoston Fed President Susan Collins said Wednesday that while she supported cutting interest rates at the last policy meeting, the bar for cutting rates further is, quote, relatively high, end quote.
Speaker BAnd she sees holding rates at current levels for, quote, some time, end quote.
Speaker BThat means multiple meetings and yeah, relatively high sometime.
Speaker BThose are pretty powerful words.
Speaker BIt will likely be appropriate to keep policy rates at the current level for some time to balance the inflation and employment risk in this highly uncertain environment.
Speaker BCollins said in a speech in Boston, and I'm quoting again, I see several reasons to have a relatively high bar for additional easing in the near term, end quote.
Speaker BSo if you know how many voting members there are and they all give speeches and those speeches all sound increasingly like this, you can pretty much guess how they're going to vote.
Speaker AYeah, they're giving you a little heads up.
Speaker BAnd if you are in the business or you listen to the Higher Standard podcast, you have a tendency to hear these things repeatedly.
Speaker BSo you don't really need to be at Chicago Mercantile Exchange weighing all the numbers to kind of figure out how this plays out.
Speaker BI'll tell you right now, we called this early, you may remember this, you may not.
Speaker BWe called about maybe a month ago, ish, maybe two, two weeks ago, that this was gonna be the most controversial FOMC meeting of the year.
Speaker AYep, that's exactly what we said.
Speaker BAnd it's really shaping up to be that Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee, great Halloween name by the way, like Collins told Yahoo Finance last week that the bar for cutting rates is higher since the Fed has cut rates twice, a projection he had penciled in for the year.
Speaker BAnd given the inflation, given that inflation has remained above the target rate for 4.5 years and is trending the wrong way.
Speaker BCollins also said inflation remains elevated and noted that the Fed's preferred inflation gauge for August showed an increase in prices driven by rising good prices.
Speaker BSo largely due to tariffs.
Speaker ALargely.
Speaker ASo are they more concerned with the jobs market right now or inflation?
Speaker BWell, they certainly sounded like it was jobs in the last FOMC meeting.
Speaker BNow it sounds like they're more worried about inflation because jobs to them are uncertain.
Speaker BMaybe.
Speaker AAnd we're still remember I think Raphael Bosik was the one that recently came out and said that because historically speaking it was always a 5% unemployment rate was one that was deemed healthy.
Speaker ABut because we had that prolonged period of time of, you know, having unemployment rate with a three handle.
Speaker BYep.
Speaker AFor a long time.
Speaker ALike okay, we've now adjusted that healthy marker to around 4.5%.
Speaker AAnd the, I believe the estimates right now are that the next jobs report will print out a four and a half percent unemployment rate which is, you know, trending upwards but still technically, according to them, in that healthy territory.
Speaker ANow the issue with that is it's backward looking data and it's lagging.
Speaker ARight.
Speaker AIt's not something that you can correct quickly with sharp rate cuts.
Speaker BThat's right.
Speaker BAnd what becomes more of a priority at the time will be interesting.
Speaker BRight now they said their words, they care about jobs.
Speaker BBut the third voting member.
Speaker BHere we have it.
Speaker BAtlanta Fed President Rafael Bostic said Wednesday that while it's an extremely close call, he believes inflation is more urgent risks than the job market is right now.
Speaker AAnd he said himself that he will be absolutely stepping away once his term is up in February.
Speaker BThat's right.
Speaker BHe sees little to suggest that the price pressures will dissipate before mid to late 2026 at the earliest.
Speaker BSo he's basically foreshadowing that that's when the next rate cut should be.
Speaker BWithout saying that we cannot breezily assume inflationary pressures will quickly dissipate after a one time bump in prices from new import duties.
Speaker BBostic said in a speech in Atlanta.
Speaker BAcross all of our information sources, I see little to no evidence that we should be sanguine about the forward trajectory of inflation.
Speaker AI mean, think about it.
Speaker AI don't know if I Don't know if it's been agreed upon yet, but if this tariff stimmy starts getting dished out, $2,000 to 150 million Americans, right.
Speaker AThat's inflationary, dude.
Speaker B100%, it's all over.
Speaker ASo if, if that's the narrative that's coming out from the administration, the Fed's probably thinking about like, hold on guys.
Speaker BYou know what's also inflationary?
Speaker ATell me.
Speaker B50 year mortgages, bruh.
Speaker BTalk about driving up home prices.
Speaker ALike this is such okay, shenanigans.
Speaker AThis should, this should honestly.
Speaker AOkay, aside from it just being.
Speaker AWhat's the politically correct term that I'm looking for?
Speaker BDumb.
Speaker AYeah, stupid, nonsensical.
Speaker ARight, there you go.
Speaker AIf this is the only solution you have to the affordability crisis, this should concern everybody.
Speaker AYeah, right.
Speaker AThey realize there's nothing else we can do because they know we can't force, you know, employers to raise income.
Speaker ARight.
Speaker AIf we can try to control.
Speaker AAll he can really do other than this is lean on Fannie and Freddie.
Speaker AOkay.
Speaker ABy he, I mean let's just say the administration lean on Fanny and Freddie to ease their guidelines a little bit, which they did.
Speaker ARight.
Speaker BThe FICO scores remove.
Speaker AFICO scores remove.
Speaker ASo that's easy.
Speaker AThat's making.
Speaker BWhich is kind of wild when you think about it.
Speaker AYeah.
Speaker ABecause six.
Speaker AThey were removing the 620 FICO score.
Speaker BRight.
Speaker BWell here's the problem though, is that for most young Americans, FICO score is somewhat irrelevant for them because they haven't had the chance to really build wealth or debt.
Speaker AYeah.
Speaker ABut for, but for the people out there, right?
Speaker ABut if you wanted banks, right, to start lending out more money and to get back out there, they need to sell their loans off to the secondary market to Fan and Freddie, right.
Speaker ASo that they can start deploying some more money out there.
Speaker BThat's the whole point of the GSEs.
Speaker AThat's the whole point.
Speaker ARight.
Speaker ASo if they can, if, if the administration can lean on them to remove some of their stricter guidelines to buy more loans.
Speaker ARight.
Speaker BBut to me that doesn't solve the problem either, to be honest with you.
Speaker BAll it does is.
Speaker BSo let's just narrow this down to the brass tax of the matter, fundamentally.
Speaker BRight.
Speaker BAnd I've said this before on social media, I'll say it again here.
Speaker BUnless you're invested into being in the, in the real estate sector, making money off people doing this, there's no reason for anyone to think that a 50 year mortgage is a valuable ad.
Speaker BEverybody I've seen, take the quote, controversial Take of saying, nobody keeps a mortgage till it's maturity.
Speaker BIf it's a cheaper payment now, it'll be better for you to build equity and something.
Speaker BNo, shut up, stupid.
Speaker BDon't do that.
Speaker AHave you ever looked at an amortization schedule?
Speaker BYeah.
Speaker BYou're talking the difference between 30 and 50 years is literally hundreds of thousands of dollars in the average American home price.
Speaker BYeah.
Speaker AOh yeah.
Speaker AThat's.
Speaker BYou're going from paying less than a million on the average American home to well over a million.
Speaker AOh, yeah.
Speaker BI mean, it is meaningful.
Speaker BCompound interest is a terrible thing.
Speaker BSo here's what I'll say.
Speaker BYou're not going to solve the affordability crisis by driving rates down and making homes easier to buy.
Speaker BYou're not going to solve the affordability crisis by driving mortgage amortization longer and making homes easier to buy.
Speaker BMaking homes that are already scarce, from an inventory perspective, even more scarce is not the solution to this problem.
Speaker BOkay?
Speaker BFundamentally.
Speaker BAnd people are gonna say, well, Chris, you've already said demand without affordability is not demand and that people are basically window shopping.
Speaker BYes, they are.
Speaker BBut here's what typically happens when people window shop.
Speaker BIf somebody can't sell something they want to sell, prices go down.
Speaker BYeah.
Speaker BThat is the way this is solved.
Speaker BIf you prevent the prices from going down by artificially giving people pseudo stemis, which is what we're talking about here.
Speaker BThe 50 year mortgage, a, a faux stimmy.
Speaker BRight.
Speaker BYou drive prices up even farther, further removing more inventory, just exasperating the problem, giving it a bigger correction, possibly crash need later on.
Speaker BIt makes no fundamental sense.
Speaker BYes.
Speaker BAnd here's a problem for the executive branch right now.
Speaker BCompanies are making more money now than ever before in almost all circumstances.
Speaker BRight.
Speaker BCertainly the, the top 10 leading the S&P 500 and AI driven economies are in that bracket.
Speaker AYep.
Speaker BOkay.
Speaker BYou don't want to upset them because they donate a lot of money to your funds and they support the hell out of you.
Speaker BTonight at the White House, a lot of the finance and banking sector are literally meeting with the President.
Speaker BOkay.
Speaker BAnd after he's done that every single time, he's always announced something.
Speaker BSo the fact that he's doing this tonight presumptively means that he's going to announce something in the next days to come.
Speaker BWhat that is, who knows?
Speaker BBut what I'll tell you is if you do this, you've set the course of American future history in a very, very recessionary like trend that you cannot walk away from because you can't expect those companies to make more money.
Speaker BThey're your primary constituents as long as well as the individuals are.
Speaker BRight.
Speaker BSo then what do you do?
Speaker BYou can't force them to pay people more.
Speaker BRight.
Speaker BAnd you wind up in a situation housing wire regulatory challenges could mean higher rates.
Speaker BYeah, that's true.
Speaker BAnd the higher rates, and this is also the problem, the 50 year mortgage people are assuming.
Speaker BOh well, compared to a 30 year mortgage, a 15 year mortgage gives you a cheaper interest rate than a 30 year mortgage.
Speaker AYeah.
Speaker BA 50 year mortgage will not have a low as rate as a 30 year mortgage.
Speaker AAnd if you, if anybody has ever listened to the show or studied any, you know, behavioral economics, the average person out there that saving that 250 bucks a month on their mortgage statement isn't taking it and going to continue to pay, pay down their principal.
Speaker AThey're going to take that extra 250 and they're going to tie themselves up into something else.
Speaker BThere's countless examples on the Internet.
Speaker BI mean people were posting all about it.
Speaker BI literally just got quoted in that earlier tonight.
Speaker BAnd I will tell you right now, I adamantly believe I will, I will draw a hard line here saying this is a cataclysmically bad decision for the American people.
Speaker AYeah, I, I completely agree.
Speaker ARegilla put up, pulled up a chart here and I actually have an example.
Speaker ASo just for those ones out there that want to know, I mean the average median home price is still under 500,000.
Speaker ASo let's just, let's not talk to the Californians out there.
Speaker ALet's talk to, you know, the rest of the nation.
Speaker AIf you were to buy a $500,000 home, right.
Speaker AAnd you put down 20%, so $100,000 and you got a six and a half percent interest rate today on a 30 year mortgage.
Speaker AOkay.
Speaker AYour payment would be $2,500 a month.
Speaker BAll right.
Speaker AThat would, that would mean you, your total payments of 900 grand.
Speaker AThat's $400,000 in interest that you would have paid over the life of the loan.
Speaker AI know that's shocking to a lot of people.
Speaker AA lot of interest, that's a lot of living.
Speaker ABut that's, that's standard.
Speaker AThat's right.
Speaker BNow that's nothing compared to the 50, 50 year mortgage.
Speaker ANothing.
Speaker ARight.
Speaker AIf you got a 50 year mortgage, your payment would only drop $250 a month.
Speaker AOkay.
Speaker AAnd you'd ultimately be paying 1.35 million for that house.
Speaker AIn total, that's $850,000 in interest.
Speaker BMore than the house.
Speaker BYeah.
Speaker AYou know what?
Speaker AI Mean, and it's like.
Speaker BAnd what's the rule of thumb?
Speaker AThe rule of thumb is you should.
Speaker AYou should be staying in your home 5 to 7 years to gain enough equity for it to make sense.
Speaker AI mean, right now, Right?
Speaker AWhat is that going to look like for this?
Speaker BAnd the realtor community, the educated realtor community, they've largely understood this.
Speaker BThere are the exceptions that are predatory.
Speaker BAnd they've said, well, you know, who stays in the home more than a couple years?
Speaker BThat's a convenient narrative for a dude to make some money off you getting your loan on the home or.
Speaker BOr buying a home or, you know, I mean, that's convenient narrative.
Speaker BAnd there's a lot of people right now who are living off the equity.
Speaker BThey're trying to give everybody lines of credit.
Speaker BHey, bro, you got a million dollars in equity, Get a line of credit.
Speaker BHere's a line of credit that's totally ignoring the fact your equity go the other way, bro.
Speaker AYeah.
Speaker AAnd I saw something earlier on the Internet today, and I'm going to call him out just because.
Speaker AGive it to me.
Speaker AI didn't appreciate it.
Speaker AYour boy Ben Shapiro was doing an interview, right?
Speaker AAnd I want to say, when I say your boy, I don't actually mean your boy.
Speaker BHe's.
Speaker BHe's got a dark past, man.
Speaker AYeah, we won't even get into all of his.
Speaker AHis entire dark past, but he basically came out and said, like, look, the American people need to get off this.
Speaker AThis idea that you should be able to ultimately buy a house where you grew up.
Speaker AIf you can't afford to live there, you should move.
Speaker ALike, that's a little harsh, bro.
Speaker ALike, just to tell people you got to move away from your family, where you grew up, everything.
Speaker AYou know, I get it.
Speaker BIf you did this, by the way.
Speaker AIf you get, huh?
Speaker BYou did this.
Speaker AIf you get.
Speaker AIf it makes more financial sense, okay?
Speaker AIf it's better for you and your family.
Speaker AYeah, but I mean, solving the, Solving the affordability issue by telling people, hey, dude, just move to somewhere I know where you know absolutely no one.
Speaker ARight?
Speaker BOr worse yet, okay, hey, Ben, who do you think's gonna mow your lawn, clean your pool, make your food?
Speaker ARight, right, right.
Speaker AYeah, exactly.
Speaker BYou know what I mean?
Speaker BLike, it's just, you need to have workforce housing that is affordable.
Speaker BAnd if you say, well, they can always rent, screw you, guy.
Speaker BRight?
Speaker BThat's not the American dream.
Speaker ASo, I mean, and.
Speaker AAnd this is where it's actually a good time maybe to have that conversation about.
Speaker AA lot of people have come at us personally and, and like to run with this narrative of the reason, the, the big reason why housing is where it is because of institutional investors.
Speaker BThat's completely fabricated.
Speaker AIt's completely.
Speaker ALess than 1% of, of the homes that, that were purchased right over that, over that period of time were due.
Speaker BTo, in some regions as high as 2 or 3%.
Speaker BBut this, this narrative is completely debunked.
Speaker ARight?
Speaker BFalse narrative.
Speaker BMatt, Matt and I, who's been on the show before, we talked about this at length and I've talked about it with industry professionals.
Speaker BI have literally sold loans in billion dollar quantities on the, and I've, I've literally talked to the highest people you can possibly think of at places like Blackstone.
Speaker BOkay.
Speaker BAnd I can tell you the narrative that you think is largely disconnected to reality.
Speaker BNow, do you think pimping this out.
Speaker AOr do you think that this is ultimately, maybe ultimately this is where it does go though?
Speaker AOr is there no interest, no interest from institutional investors to get into that?
Speaker BOkay, here's the.
Speaker BUnder the misconception, right?
Speaker BIf, let's use stock as a comparison proxy for this example.
Speaker BAnd when you, when you talk about it this way, it makes such sense that people go like, oh, that's a stupid narrative.
Speaker BThere you go.
Speaker BOkay.
Speaker BYeah.
Speaker BIf I own Apple stock, okay.
Speaker BAnd I believe that Apple stock is doing quite well and I think it's at a good price, Do I hold on to it in perpetuity or do I likely sell it and get back some of my investment?
Speaker BRight.
Speaker BDo I keep buying it and buying it and buying it?
Speaker BApple pays a dividend.
Speaker AYeah.
Speaker BJust like rent.
Speaker BRight.
Speaker AI'll keep buying it up until it no longer makes financial sense.
Speaker BRight.
Speaker BAnd right now I think we can all argue, including Scott Besant, Treasury Secretary, that we are in a housing recession.
Speaker BValues are going the other way.
Speaker BRight.
Speaker BIn major cities across the country, yeah.
Speaker BRental markets are largely impacted.
Speaker BIs particularly in the Sunbelt region.
Speaker BThink, you know, from Nevada, Arizona to Texas to Florida, these markets that are overbuilt are having corrections in their rental values.
Speaker BYou're going to tell me that a very smart fund that makes money doing this is going to say we're okay with less cash flow in this market?
Speaker BYeah, no, that's fine.
Speaker BWe'll take the risk.
Speaker BWe like it.
Speaker BWe're going to hold onto it forever?
Speaker BNo, they're going to get out of their investment at the top before the values correct the whole time.
Speaker BThey have sophisticated people on staff.
Speaker BThey have people in accounting, they have people in real estate, they have People in property management.
Speaker AAnd they're not going to all of them.
Speaker AThey're not going to tie up their money in, in houses where that's not as liquid.
Speaker BAnd how naive are the American people to think that institutional companies have come in and just now started buying.
Speaker AYeah, right.
Speaker BI don't want to be the bearer of bad news.
Speaker BYou ever heard of the Rothschilds, the Vanderbilts?
Speaker BThese people have all owned real estate for generations.
Speaker BThey just didn't publicize it wasn't all over social media.
Speaker BThere wasn't some, a hole on Twitter going like, hey bro, institutional vestors are to blame.
Speaker AYeah, yeah.
Speaker BWhat do you think's happening here?
Speaker BThis is not new.
Speaker BRight?
Speaker BSo much of what we think is like this new, sensationalized, you know, conspiracy theory.
Speaker BWe go, oh my God, how could this be?
Speaker BIt's been this way forever.
Speaker ASo I bring this up to, just to add to your point, we need workforce housing.
Speaker B100%.
Speaker BWe need workforce housing.
Speaker ASo you can't just assume like, okay.
Speaker BAnd I'm not talking rentals either.
Speaker BYou need affordable places to live, own and rent.
Speaker AExactly.
Speaker AExactly.
Speaker ARight.
Speaker ASo there you go.
Speaker BI could go.
Speaker BI, I am such a huge advocate for workforce housing.
Speaker BAnd, and honestly, rent control gets demonized too.
Speaker BPeople are like, oh my God, that sucks for the landlord.
Speaker BOkay, look, rent control can work both ways.
Speaker BIt can keep value stable over time.
Speaker BBecause you know that if you have a long term tenant and you've got maximum leverage based on the cash flow of that property.
Speaker AYeah.
Speaker BThen guess what?
Speaker BYou know as a landlord that you've got much more upside potential over time.
Speaker BNow it won't be as fast as you want it to be.
Speaker BAnd people go, oh, these landlords are, are vicious.
Speaker BOkay, we'll put in rent control.
Speaker BGuess what happens?
Speaker BThe landlords limit their ability to increase the property values.
Speaker BAnd they go, then the landlords get all upset and saying, well, I can't do it.
Speaker BOkay, well then go build a new property.
Speaker BIf you build a new property.
Speaker BRight.
Speaker BOr you can keep your property vacant for a year and upgrade it and make it like top of the line.
Speaker BWell, then guess what?
Speaker BYou're now bringing nicer homes to the market or more homes to the market and you can rent those at market rents.
Speaker BRight.
Speaker BIt's supposed to incentivize building out more properties, not the other way.
Speaker BI'm a big advocate of this.
Speaker BIt doesn't always work.
Speaker AThere's no.
Speaker ABut no rent.
Speaker ANo, there hasn't been any rent control, at least in California, on single family homes.
Speaker BRight.
Speaker ASo that's that part is because I know someone personally, a good, good friend of mine had their rent jacked up on them 20 over for a home that they were renting and that ultimately pushed them to buy a home.
Speaker ARight.
Speaker AWhich I think they benefited off of like in the long term.
Speaker ABut it's like perhaps California houses, mansion.
Speaker BTax now and there's all sorts of weird.
Speaker BCalifornia is a weird state from a political standpoint.
Speaker BBut it also, I will say the, that the cities and counties, not necessarily the state has gotten rent control.
Speaker BRight.
Speaker BIn some ways.
Speaker BAnd I think there's good examples there.
Speaker BNew York is a great example of how, how it can go wrong.
Speaker BBut New York's a very different environment with co ops and whatnot in the buildings.
Speaker ASo there you go.
Speaker BIt can be very different there.
Speaker BAnd I've, I've, I've been on this diatribe for a long time.
Speaker BI did want to cover Bostic for a little bit because he's kind of a unique dude and I don't know if anybody who watches the FOMC knows some of this about him, but Atlanta Fed President Bostic was the first black and openly gay person to lead the US central bank's 12 regional banks.
Speaker BSaid on Wednesday he will retire at the end of this current term on February 28, 2026.
Speaker BAn unexpected departure amid a push by President Donald Trump for more influence over the Fed.
Speaker BSo now Bostic, Bostic, look, I have always thought really highly of him.
Speaker AI did too.
Speaker BYeah.
Speaker BI thought that he was pretty exceptional.
Speaker BHis job, his public remarks have always been in my mind a lot more reserved.
Speaker BBut this marks another person who's been very clear about his sentiment that, that you shouldn't cut rates so fast, possibly departing, you know, that Jerome Pal's out.
Speaker BSo now you've got three people, maybe four who, who've said they're, they're likely to hold on cutting rates.
Speaker BAnd you've got someone as influential as him and stable as him leaving.
Speaker AWell, I think he's doing a good job of I guess controlling the, the level of optimism that if the Fed starts cutting rates, then they're just going to cut rates back to what everyone knew for such a long period of time.
Speaker ANo, no, no, no.
Speaker AThis was always part of the plan to try to find that neutral rate.
Speaker ARight.
Speaker AWhere you know that, that inflection point.
Speaker ASo who, who knows, who knows how bad the data points will be come December and what the Fed ultimately does.
Speaker ABut it's letting everyone know that once we feel like comfortable, we're going to Stay right.
Speaker AWe're going to stay put again.
Speaker BWell, for those of you listening, just be prepared.
Speaker BDecember, in that beginning of that second week, I will be going live again on YouTube.
Speaker BYou should tune in and watch it.
Speaker BWe will doing live commentary, watching the FOMC announcement and the subsequent press conference afterward.
Speaker BThat's becoming a reoccurring thing that we're doing here.
Speaker BPost game press conference.
Speaker BAnd for those of you who need a reminder, Trump does not select the presidents of the regional Fed banks, but the appointments must be approved by the central bank's Board of Governors, which the US President is trying to reshape through the attempted firing of Governor Lisa Cook, which did not succeed, and the upcoming choice of a replacement for Fed Chair Jerome Powell when his term as Fed Chief ends next spring.
Speaker BI believe it's May, right?
Speaker BMay or March.
Speaker BMay.
Speaker BMay, May.
Speaker BSo all three Fed governors appointed by Trump have explicitly backed further easing, which calls for especially steep cuts from Stephen Mirren, who joined the seven member board after the surprising departure in August of the hawkish leaning Adriana Kolger.
Speaker BSo I thought a good reminder here for some just FOMC commentary would be valuable.
Speaker BSo this is from Congress.gov Federal Reserves Board current and historical information.
Speaker BI'm not going to cover all of it.
Speaker BI'm just going to cover some meaningful points here.
Speaker BOn August 7, 2025, Trump named Mirren as his nominee to succeed Adriana Krueger or Kuger Kugler.
Speaker BAlways screw that up.
Speaker BKugler K. Coogler as the member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors.
Speaker BMirin will occupy that seat through Coogler's remaining term set to expire in January of 2026.
Speaker BSo he's not like a full time appointee because he's just filling in for existing term.
Speaker BThe Federal Reserve U.S. central bank is led by seven member board of governors based in Washington D.C. the President appoints the governors for 14 year terms with the advice and consent of the Senate.
Speaker BGovernors can be appointed to one full term.
Speaker BThey often fill the remaining years of unexpired terms and may then be reappointed to a full term.
Speaker BSo Mirren may actually get that full term reappointment.
Speaker BThe board is led by a chair who serves a four year term separate.
Speaker BExcuse me, separate from and concurrent with their term as a governor.
Speaker BSo Jerome Powell is serving as chair but concurrent with his existing term which is set to expire in spring.
Speaker BExactly.
Speaker BThe Vice Chair and Vice Chair for Supervision also serve four year terms.
Speaker BThese appointments are subject to Senate approval.
Speaker BThe Board of Governors of The Federal Reserve System in its current form began operating in 1936.
Speaker BIts predecessor, a Federal Reserve Board, which was led by a governor rather than a chair, began operating in 1914.
Speaker BThat earlier iteration included the Secretary of the treasury and Comp.
Speaker BController of the Currency as ex officio members, in addition to the members appointed by the President and confirmed by the Senate.
Speaker BAnd I bring this up because I think there's a future episode value here that we may do depending on what the news and situation looks like.
Speaker BThe Federal Reserve has a very interesting political and emotionally charged past that I think almost everybody is unaware of.
Speaker BOkay.
Speaker BReill, you aware of this past?
Speaker ANo, Please, please explain.
Speaker BSo the Federal Reserve Board was a very controversial creation in the 1914s.
Speaker BIt actually has something to do with the Titanic.
Speaker AI know exactly where this is going.
Speaker BYeah, yeah.
Speaker BAnd I'm going to leave that as a bit of a teaser for a future show, but suffice it to say that there were very large opponents and proponents of the Federal Reserve.
Speaker AI heard something about that.
Speaker BThat's right.
Speaker BMost people have.
Speaker BAnd one of the largest opponents of this happened to die on the Titanic, in which several of the proponents were supposed to be on it and never showed up.
Speaker BYes.
Speaker BSo then the Federal Reserve Board moved forward with very little resistance.
Speaker AAnd.
Speaker BWell, it is, as it stands today, in large part because of this mysterious.
Speaker ANone of the.
Speaker ANone of that was conspiratorial, by the way.
Speaker BNo, those are all facts.
Speaker AThat's all that happened.
Speaker AThat's all fact.
Speaker BYeah, that.
Speaker BThat's factual.
Speaker BYeah.
Speaker BAs said.
Speaker BWould like to say no caps.
Speaker BNo caps.
Speaker AYeah.
Speaker BDoes that make us old that we still use that term?
Speaker BBecause I don't think anybody's using it anymore.
Speaker AThat's okay.
Speaker BThat's like.
Speaker AWe still use the word, like dope and cool and lit.
Speaker AI don't know.
Speaker AYou never thought lit, you know?
Speaker ANo, no, I've never.
Speaker AI never got on board with lit.
Speaker AThat's lit.
Speaker AOh, you say fire, bro.
Speaker AThat's fire.
Speaker BThe fire is a whole person.
Speaker BYou can't say fire.
Speaker BCome on.
Speaker AFire.
Speaker BBrigitte, Is that fire?
Speaker BSee, it's always fire.
Speaker BHe sounds old.
Speaker BJust saying he sounds old.
Speaker BThat sounds.
Speaker BAll right, so I want to spend some time here talking about what makes up wealth.
Speaker BThere's a chart where, Jill, if you can pull this up, what assets make up wealth?
Speaker BI can't even remember where the hell I saw this the first time, but I've seen it several times here.
Speaker BMake it a full screen.
Speaker BThere you go.
Speaker BYeah.
Speaker BThis chart, if you can't See it driving.
Speaker BWe're going to explain it to you.
Speaker BThere are several trends here that I think come from it.
Speaker BBut if you have the opportunity to check out the show on Spotify or YouTube, freeze frame this.
Speaker BTake a look at these charts.
Speaker BThat's actually really good idea, Virgil, to zoom in on it there.
Speaker BTake a look at these charts, the bar chart, and, and process it with what we're about to tell you.
Speaker BBasically, it goes from people who have net worths of about $10,000, $100,000, $1 million, $10 million, $100 million and $1 billion.
Speaker AAnd what comprises of that and what.
Speaker BWhat their assets comprise of everything from stocks, fixed income, managed real estate and business interest, and quote, other assets.
Speaker BAnd it should come as no surprise to many how this plays out, but I think it's a meaningful thing because there's so many of the concepts that we talk on the show that we don't really explain the logic behind.
Speaker BAnd one of those, we've always talked about owning a business and from my days as underwriting deals and said, you've underwritten fair share of deals.
Speaker BOne of the things that I've seen and experienced over decades now, God, I'm old.
Speaker BIs that business owners who can build a business for reasons whether you like it or not, tend to have more wealth than W2 employees.
Speaker BYep.
Speaker BThat's because there's so far and few in between positions that are W2 that pay really high salaries.
Speaker BAnd the, the goal of those positions is to keep you in them.
Speaker BAnd if the company.
Speaker BSo they pay you so much that you can build outside businesses, well, it becomes very challenging as somebody who was demonized.
Speaker BRight.
Speaker BFor having outside business interests.
Speaker BAnd I'll be, I'll be honest here.
Speaker BAnd it's probably something I haven't talked about on the show.
Speaker BI have always been transparent about the businesses that I operate outside of my core business.
Speaker BI know lots of executives at a.
Speaker BLots of companies that saw me being very transparent about, hey, I own real estate.
Speaker BI own real estate, property management company.
Speaker BHey, I have a law firm that I do some stuff with.
Speaker BHey, I have this podcast that would reach out to me and say, chris, like, aren't you worried about the backlash?
Speaker BAnd I thought to myself, so your solution to this is I'm going to own these businesses and just not tell anybody.
Speaker BAnd because I'm not telling anybody, it's less stigma on, on the company.
Speaker BThey're like, yeah, no one's going to give me, you know, for, for running a business they don't know about.
Speaker BAnd I thought, how intellectually dishonest is that?
Speaker AYeah, right, right.
Speaker AI'm being completely upfront with what I'm doing on the side and showing that it's not impacting anything that I'm doing here.
Speaker BRight.
Speaker AAnd it shouldn't, it shouldn't play a part.
Speaker BBut for those of you who want to spend some time on Google's, on the Interwebs, you can see an activist shareholder has come after me in large part because the impression that he was trying to conclude or to provide was that I was so busy focusing on other businesses and other things that I couldn't possibly be doing my job.
Speaker BWell, the man never knew me, never met me at the time.
Speaker BI was working more hours than the other executive of the company.
Speaker BI'll, I'll go to my grave on that.
Speaker BAnd your natural assumption is, oh, because I'm doing these other things that other people have and just don't talk about, and I'm being transparent about it, I must be less than adequate at my job.
Speaker BYeah.
Speaker BAnd I was attacked there.
Speaker BI've been attacked in multiple lawsuits for the same thing.
Speaker BYou know, they'll go, oh, let's attack his credibility.
Speaker BHe can't possibly be doing all these things.
Speaker BAnd I think to myself, that's so ass backwards.
Speaker BYou want an entrepreneurial leader to lead your business, but you don't want them to be entrepreneurial when they're not in the office.
Speaker BOffice.
Speaker BRight, right.
Speaker AI mean, for me, it's like people would resonate more with somebody that's out in the public, that's showing that they're a human that has real interest in real things, like an everyday, normal person.
Speaker AI feel like that's, if anything, that's a benefit to the company.
Speaker BWell, and I feel, unfortunately, whether you like it or not, companies are changing, people are changing.
Speaker BWe don't want to do business with companies whose leadership isn't visible anymore.
Speaker BYou know the CEO of Apple, you know the CEO of Wells Fargo, you know the CEO.
Speaker BWell, you might not know.
Speaker BYou might, you may.
Speaker BJP Morgan, JP Morgan, you know, you know their CEO, you know the CEOs of OpenAI, you know the CEOs of all these companies.
Speaker BAnd the reason, you know the CEO of Tesla, and it's not because they're, they're very, very successful.
Speaker BAnd that's part of it.
Speaker BIt's because they are visible, doing things, going places, representing their businesses.
Speaker BAnd the one person I always pump up and say, hey, look at this.
Speaker BYou're telling me I can't have outside endeavors But Elon Musk literally runs SpaceX and Tesla and other companies as well, Right?
Speaker BExactly.
Speaker BOh, but he's an exception, Chris.
Speaker AIs he?
Speaker BSo you're telling me in your theory, Jamie Dimon at JPMorgan Chase doesn't have any outside businesses.
Speaker AThat can't be true.
Speaker BI'm gonna say right now, nope, you're wrong.
Speaker BI don't even need to know.
Speaker BNobody's gonna tell me.
Speaker BI know you're wrong.
Speaker BRight, right, right.
Speaker BHe does.
Speaker BYeah.
Speaker BAnd the reason why is that that that's how successful people become wealthy.
Speaker BAs a matter of fact, this chart actually proves this theory out.
Speaker BThe more successful you become, the bigger your net worth is, the more likely you are to have business interests that are the majority of your wealth.
Speaker BAs a matter of fact, I've got some data points that we're going to plot out here and I'm just going to give everybody listening to the show to hear why a smart company would say, as long as my employee is getting their job done to a level that meets my criteria, that meets what my needs of the company are, and they're doing a good job, people like them, you fit in culturally.
Speaker BThen I should help that person be successful and continue to build entrepreneurship on the side or where they want to.
Speaker BBecause guess what?
Speaker BThe majority of your net worth is not going to come from your salary.
Speaker AYeah.
Speaker BIt's going to come from the investments you make over time.
Speaker BAnd as you become more and more successful, the things you invest in are not just assets, they're businesses which function as an asset.
Speaker AThat's so true, man.
Speaker BSo let's get into this here.
Speaker BPoor households are concentrated in, quote, stuff that loses value.
Speaker BThis is pretty obvious.
Speaker BCars, their primary residence.
Speaker BIn some economies, a little bit of cash and almost no stock.
Speaker BNo real estate, no business ownership.
Speaker BYep.
Speaker BWhich when you think about the context of what I was criticized for, that's really what the company wanted.
Speaker BChris, you can own stock, but we don't want you owning businesses.
Speaker BOkay.
Speaker BMiddle class wealth is mostly the house.
Speaker BHomes equal bigger assets by far, very little diversification and and vulnerable to home price swings in debt.
Speaker BBecause we know that the younger demographic typically buys home earlier.
Speaker BAlthough recently this has changed.
Speaker BThe we always tell people, hey, your home should be bought for utility, not for home price appreciation.
Speaker BBut we also know that the equity appreciation in someone's home over time tends to be the largest source of net worth for most Americans.
Speaker BRight.
Speaker BThis includes middle class and lower class, high net worth individuals shift into financial assets.
Speaker BThey hold more stock, they own more fixed income.
Speaker BAssets, they hold more retirement funds, and they're less tied to their personal residence.
Speaker BOkay.
Speaker BMultimillionaires and billionaires, they own businesses.
Speaker BYep.
Speaker BTheir house is a very, very, very small portion of their overall net worth.
Speaker BAnd the businesses are almost always the largest chunk.
Speaker BAnd these big blue charts that you're seeing here, that's what that is.
Speaker AAnd there's no playbook.
Speaker AIt's not for.
Speaker AFor some of them, you know, they started the business first and then got their home.
Speaker ASome of them maybe got their home first and then built it over time.
Speaker ARight.
Speaker AIt's.
Speaker AIt's not one way or the other, but a common theme amongst all of them is it the bulk of their net worth is tied up in the businesses that they own.
Speaker BSo the richer you get, the less your house matters, bottom line.
Speaker BLike it or not, the fewer depreciating assets you actually own, and the more your wealth comes from ownership, not wages.
Speaker AI think I remember there was an interview that Elon did.
Speaker AI can't remember if it was on Rogan or somewhere else, but he was like, I want to.
Speaker AI want to sell all.
Speaker AI want to sell my homes that I have.
Speaker BThat's right.
Speaker AI want to have less stuff to think about and worry about.
Speaker BThat was one of his first episodes.
Speaker BPeople thought he was insane because he owned a lot of houses, Los Angeles.
Speaker BHe did, yeah.
Speaker AYeah.
Speaker AAnd he's just like, I'd rather have less stuff to think about, to worry about.
Speaker AAnd I could primarily focus on, you know, my business ventures.
Speaker BAnd that's decision fatigue.
Speaker BRight.
Speaker BYou start thinking about his.
Speaker BHis ownership is largely derived from his ownership in stock in the companies that he has built.
Speaker AAnd he got that trillion dollar package.
Speaker BWhich people criticized openly because it's.
Speaker BIt seems so egregious a number.
Speaker BBut they don't realize in order to get that money, you have to hit really hard.
Speaker BMilestones.
Speaker BYeah.
Speaker BIf he were to hit those milestones and receive that entire pay package, he would have the most valuable company on the planet.
Speaker BYeah.
Speaker BThat's a pretty lofty aspirational goal, I think.
Speaker AI think I heard him say recently, like, over the course of the next six to 12 months, there's something that they could release out to the market where you get a cure.
Speaker ABlindness.
Speaker BYeah, that's the.
Speaker BSo they've drilled into somebody's brain, into the neural link piece again, another company that he owns.
Speaker BRight, right.
Speaker BAnd they've tapped into portions of the brain.
Speaker BThe problem with the human brain.
Speaker BThis is actually really interesting.
Speaker BThe human brain runs on about 5 watts of power.
Speaker BRight.
Speaker BIt is probably the most efficient like mental process cognitive machine that you could ever create.
Speaker BWe don't think of ourselves as machines.
Speaker BWe think of ourselves as like evolutionary biology.
Speaker AYeah.
Speaker BBut we're working on AI, which currently right now is not as intelligent as the smartest humans.
Speaker BProbably more intelligent than me, but neither here nor there.
Speaker BRight.
Speaker BThese reasoning models take a shit ton of power, like massive amounts of power.
Speaker AThe data centers that are right.
Speaker BMeanwhile the human brain with relatively the same computing, mental computing power, depending on how intelligent you may or may not be, runs on 5 watts.
Speaker AWild.
Speaker BWild.
Speaker BAnd to give you an idea of how big of a problem this is causing, I don't even know if you knew this was in here in the notes or not.
Speaker BAccording to zero head hedge, one year later, the staggering energy shortfall to power the AI revolution rises from 36 gigawatts to 44 gigawatts at $60 billion per gigawatt.
Speaker BThis is a $2.5 trillion in grid funding needed excluding the $2 trillion to just build the actual data centers.
Speaker BThis is from Morgan Stanley.
Speaker BSo you got a 4.5 trillion dollar shortfall between the 2 billion 2 trillion dollar build out and the 2.5 trillion dollar usage of energy just to power the data centers.
Speaker BThese reasoning models.
Speaker BWe've talked in the past about how the next frontier is power.
Speaker AYeah, yeah.
Speaker BThis is why Google, this is why so many of those, those companies are looking to build nuclear power plants.
Speaker BThey just can't get it.
Speaker BThis is also why people's electric bills are rising incrementally over time.
Speaker BWe're so busy talking about oh my God, institutional investors are buying up your homes and driving up your value.
Speaker BThis is what America should be talking about.
Speaker AYep, it's true.
Speaker ANow to take it back maybe to some of our listeners are maybe just starting out with investing or waiting.
Speaker AThey're seeing that the stock market is at an all time high and they're like wait, okay, so I want to, I want to get started.
Speaker AShould I start now or should I just wait for the dip and then get started if I'm going to start my dollar cost averaging?
Speaker ARight.
Speaker AHere's a problem with that.
Speaker ASo over the last 50 years, if you invested in the S&P 500 at the all time highs, your investment would have been higher a year later, 70% of the time with an average rate of return of over 9%.
Speaker ASo I know where they're saying and I'm not.
Speaker ANothing is guaranteed.
Speaker ARight.
Speaker ABut 70% of the time it hits new all time highs the next year.
Speaker ARight.
Speaker AAnd just to take it a step further, for anyone that's wondering when, when they should get invested, look, the longer you're in, it's no secret we've, we've had clips that have gone viral on the show that about compound interest site had one clip.
Speaker AHey, it's okay.
Speaker AIt's the one clip though.
Speaker AIt's the number one clip on my tick tock.
Speaker BYou're welcome.
Speaker AIf you invest, this is, this is actually like this put things into perspective for me and it should for a lot of listeners that are just getting started out.
Speaker AIf you invest $100 starting at the age of 20 every month with an average rate of return of 8%, that's on the low end, is it not, Chris?
Speaker AIt is 8 to 10%.
Speaker ABut at the time you're 65, that'll turn into $540,000.
Speaker AOkay, $100 a month.
Speaker AIf instead you waited to start five years later at 25, that would just be $360,000.
Speaker AA difference of one hundred and eighty grand.
Speaker ARight.
Speaker AIf you just waited five years to get started.
Speaker AThe wild part about that, the part that really the light bulb went off for me, that's an only a difference of $6,000 being invested.
Speaker BYeah, I think people right, like hyper focus on the value of their money.
Speaker BAnd the problem for, for most of us is that that money is an unrealized gain or loss.
Speaker BYou don't realize the change in value until it's time to pull it out.
Speaker BAnd for most of us, that time to pull it out is much farther along than we realize.
Speaker BIf you're not anywhere near close to 65 and sorry, the average demographic of the show is much, much younger than that.
Speaker BYour hesitation, your reluctance to start investing in the stock market regardless of what the market is in price is naive.
Speaker BYou need to start now because guess what, every dollar you have in now will be worth more in 10, 20, 30 years whenever you're prepared to tap into it.
Speaker BAnd no, you should not be investing.
Speaker BTo sell in five years, to sell in 10 years, even if that's a long term duration trade, I will make this very simple for everybody.
Speaker BIf you're listening to the show and you're not an active trader, and I don't encourage active trading by anybody, takes a lot of time, a lot of skill and frankly education.
Speaker BHere's what you should do.
Speaker BYou should go into a baseline of low cost index funds.
Speaker BVanguard has some, Fidelity has some.
Speaker BEverybody has a version of it.
Speaker BThe s and P500 index funds are typically great Voo.
Speaker BIf you like Vanguard, start investing there, then over time you can invest in some similar like emerging market funds.
Speaker BV I O is a great example of that.
Speaker BAs a Vanguard fund, there's a couple different variants you can, you can buy into.
Speaker BBut then over time, as you start to watch the markets and pay more attention or just shop, you will see brands, companies that you like, you believe in Tesla, Amazon, Apple.
Speaker BBuy those when you believe in them, for the long term, when you like them.
Speaker BSometimes they'll win, sometimes they'll lose.
Speaker BI've had losers.
Speaker BI bought Peloton, never sold out of it.
Speaker BI've lost pretty healthy amount of money on it.
Speaker BBut I also bought Amazon, I also bought Apple, right?
Speaker BAlso bought Tesla.
Speaker BRight.
Speaker AI think the key thing here is to not get triggered by headlines, right?
Speaker ASo if, if you're reading all time highs, all time highs on headlines, you're, you're allowing yourself to become hesitant to get started.
Speaker AJust make it a consistent habit.
Speaker BWell, people also have FOMO too.
Speaker BThey're like, oh, I can't buy Tesla now.
Speaker BIt's at all time high.
Speaker BYeah, you can.
Speaker AYeah, no, you absolutely can, right?
Speaker AIf, if that's what you believe in, you absolutely can.
Speaker ABut the more important thing, forget like the, the hot stock that you want to get into, the more important thing is building the habit, right?
Speaker AAnd here's the thing.
Speaker AYou can make it a whole hell of a lot easier for yourself.
Speaker AAutomate it.
Speaker AYou can automate it to where it gets taken out of your account and invested in every month for the same, for the same dollar amount.
Speaker AAnd if for some months, you know, you want to put in more, put in more, but at least get that baseline amount of whatever it is, right?
Speaker BSo yeah, and a lot of people, for one case, their version of this and like I'm not here to judge anybody.
Speaker BInvest how you want to and how you feel comfortable.
Speaker BBut you should not be looking to short term.
Speaker BTrade into more money overnight and make money actively with, with stocks.
Speaker BIf you want to invest in the stock market versus real estate, do that.
Speaker BBut just like a piece of real estate, when you buy the piece of real estate, you want to get some dividends off it like you would rent, buy, buy a stock that you found that gives you dividends.
Speaker BThere you go.
Speaker BJust know that it takes a lot of your money tied up in stock to get a valuable amount of dividends.
Speaker BSo isn't what you think.
Speaker BBut pennies, pennies, they don't matter anymore.
Speaker BSo pennywise and pound foolish is an expression that no Longer no longer matters.
Speaker BRIP.
Speaker BRIP.
Speaker BMoment of silence, everybody.
Speaker B1793 to 2025.
Speaker BThe penny is officially dead.
Speaker AIt costs 3 cents to make a penny.
Speaker A3.7 cents to make a penny.
Speaker ASo no more penny for your thoughts.
Speaker AIs now a nickel for your brain.
Speaker ATickle.
Speaker AI like that.
Speaker AThat's a T shirt.
Speaker BI. I have tried many times.
Speaker AI like that.
Speaker BTickle.
Speaker BBrains.
Speaker BUnsuccessfully.
Speaker BSo I think I can't reach it.
Speaker BThat's not gonna be flagged.
Speaker BThat's not flagged.
Speaker BThat.
Speaker BThat's not.
Speaker AIt's true, though, right?
Speaker AIt's accurate.
Speaker BYou can't reach it.
Speaker BThat's accurate.
Speaker AThat's accurate.
Speaker AOh, man.
Speaker BBrains.
Speaker AI know.
Speaker AMy.
Speaker AMy kids are part of the gate testing for my daughter.
Speaker AThat's coming up.
Speaker AIs.
Speaker AIs, you know, currency and part has.
Speaker AThere's pennies in there.
Speaker AI'm like, what are we doing?
Speaker BIf you put currency in the form of a Minecraft?
Speaker BQuestion for my son, he's got a lot.
Speaker AYeah, yeah, exactly.
Speaker BYou put in the form of, like, what does a dollar buy you?
Speaker BHe's like, three games.
Speaker AYeah.
Speaker BHell no.
Speaker AYeah.
Speaker BNot enough.
Speaker AYeah anymore.
Speaker BI get 20 coins, though, right?
Speaker BWait, what?
Speaker BRight.
Speaker ASo I just did that.
Speaker ASo we started this new thing.
Speaker ASo we're doing the whole lemonade stand and trying to.
Speaker ATrying to create.
Speaker AIncentivize the kids to try to get creative.
Speaker ARight.
Speaker BI've got mixed emotions about the whole lemonade stand concept because nobody cares cash anymore.
Speaker AHonestly, it's.
Speaker AIt's not even about.
Speaker ASo what I told.
Speaker AWhat I told my kids is, is I don't even care about the end result.
Speaker BYou give me a little square, they can charge cards.
Speaker ANo, no.
Speaker AI said, listen, before we even get started, I was like, I need a business plan.
Speaker AWho's paying for all the material?
Speaker AWho's paying for the inventory?
Speaker AMe.
Speaker AI'm going to need my money back.
Speaker ASo I'm.
Speaker AThis is what I'm teaching them.
Speaker AWe need to let.
Speaker AYou need.
Speaker AYou want the lemonades, right?
Speaker AYou got a picture?
Speaker AOh, we got to go find a picture.
Speaker AWe got to buy a picture.
Speaker ALuckily, we have the table.
Speaker AYou could use that.
Speaker ABut I'm like, I need you to write everything out and how much you're going to need to borrow from me, right?
Speaker AAnd I expect the money back.
Speaker ANo interest.
Speaker AI'm teaching them.
Speaker ALook, if you're going to come to me, you need me to invest, I need a plan.
Speaker AOkay?
Speaker AI told my son, and here's the thing.
Speaker AI said, and this is the way I got him to do it.
Speaker AI'm not paying for the winter basketball camp this time.
Speaker ADude, you're paying for it.
Speaker AIt's expensive.
Speaker A300 bucks for a week.
Speaker ANot even a week.
Speaker AIt's three days.
Speaker ASo I'm like, you're gonna have to pay for it.
Speaker AAnd my.
Speaker AOh, by the way, you got 45 days to make that 300 bucks.
Speaker BWow.
Speaker ASo he said.
Speaker ASo he said.
Speaker AHe took a great right away, got.
Speaker AGot home, went on Google business plan for lemonade stand.
Speaker AHe's trying to put it all together now.
Speaker AHe's not.
Speaker ANow he's gonna need us to take him to the grocery store.
Speaker AI'm gonna take him to the grocery store.
Speaker ALet's write it all out, right?
Speaker AAnd he.
Speaker AHe's worried, like, I don't think I'm.
Speaker AI don't know if I'm gonna make enough.
Speaker ARight.
Speaker AI'm like, okay, people can come for lemonade.
Speaker AYou can learn to bake some cookies, too, with mom.
Speaker AAnd if that doesn't work, we'll put it.
Speaker AWell, you got to find another business to.
Speaker ATo put together.
Speaker AThere's one kid at one of his teammates, does this thing where he goes around to all the neighbors, like, I'll pull out your trash cans for you every Friday.
Speaker AAnd after the trash picks them up Friday night, I'll put him back for you.
Speaker BThat's kind of brilliant.
Speaker AThat's brilliant.
Speaker AWho wants to pull out trash cans?
Speaker BNot me.
Speaker AExactly.
Speaker BSo let's just run this through a little bit, because I want to see how cool of a dad you are.
Speaker AHow cool would I pay it?
Speaker AWhat if he doesn't make it?
Speaker BYeah.
Speaker BWould you?
Speaker BYeah, yeah.
Speaker ANo, I'm gonna.
Speaker AAs.
Speaker AI'll.
Speaker AAnd.
Speaker ABut I'll.
Speaker AI'll twist it with this.
Speaker AHere's the spin.
Speaker BNow you owe me Juice.
Speaker AThe juice is running boy.
Speaker AYeah.
Speaker AI'm gonna teach him the hard knocks.
Speaker AGo ask Chauncey Billis what happened.
Speaker ANo.
Speaker AToo soon.
Speaker BToo soon.
Speaker AClutch sports, baby.
Speaker BRip Chauncey.
Speaker AIt's over for him.
Speaker BYeah.
Speaker AHe does an NBA career.
Speaker AHall of famer.
Speaker BNot anymore.
Speaker BDone.
Speaker BHall of Shamer now.
Speaker AYeah, exactly.
Speaker AShame.
Speaker BYeah.
Speaker AWhat I'll say to him in the spin.
Speaker AThe spin will be, hey, this was not to see if you could raise the $300.
Speaker AThat wasn't the end goal.
Speaker AThe end goal here was to see could you plan everything out.
Speaker AWhat steps did you take?
Speaker ADid I see you put, you know, the right effort in to get this done right?
Speaker AI understand you can't control the foot traffic, the car traffic, how many people you can get to stop?
Speaker ABut did I See, you actually put in.
Speaker AThat was the real goal here.
Speaker BPlaying devil's advocate.
Speaker BOkay, I hear you.
Speaker BAnd I. I probably would do the same because that's.
Speaker AThat's honestly.
Speaker AThat's honestly what I push for in.
Speaker AIn everything.
Speaker AI don't push for grades.
Speaker AI push for effort.
Speaker AI see.
Speaker ADid I see the effort that.
Speaker AThat was necessary then?
Speaker BIs he getting the benefit of a reward without meeting the goal?
Speaker ANo, no, no, no.
Speaker ABecause the real test here is the level of effort.
Speaker BRight?
Speaker BBut let's just say hypothetically, that you do something like this again, or you.
Speaker BYou ask him to do something and.
Speaker BBut then he doesn't meet the goal.
Speaker BIs it wrong for him to expect that you're going to get him the ultimate prize anyway?
Speaker BBecause the lesson in that case was all effort.
Speaker ANo, because the goal is this.
Speaker AI.
Speaker AAnd I have.
Speaker AI have shut certain things down already.
Speaker AHe's wanted certain shoes, and the level of effort wasn't there.
Speaker ARight?
Speaker AAnd we'll.
Speaker AWe'll sit down, we'll have a conversation, an honest conversation.
Speaker ADo you feel like you tried your best?
Speaker AAnd 10 out of 10 times, he'll look at me, and if he didn't, he'll say, no, I didn't.
Speaker AThere you go.
Speaker AYou answered it yourself.
Speaker AAnd then he doesn't even get mad, doesn't throw a tantrum, doesn't get upset.
Speaker AHe understands.
Speaker AAnd I said, listen, if you didn't know.
Speaker AIf you didn't know how to put together the best effort, because let me tell you, Adam, and I'm talking to him in the future, and he'll hopefully one day listen to this episode and I'll have the same conversation with my daughter is.
Speaker AIt's not working out.
Speaker ALike, for basketball, for a game.
Speaker AWorking out for eight hours one day before the game isn't the same as working one hour for eight days straight.
Speaker ARight?
Speaker AIt's about repetition.
Speaker AIt's about getting the reps.
Speaker AIt's about going and doing something day in and day out, right?
Speaker AYou putting in a, like, Googling a business plan for kids and eliminates that in one day and then not doing anything else.
Speaker AYou didn't put in the effort, dude.
Speaker AYou and I both know you didn't.
Speaker BWhich is why I tell a lot of people who sign up for courses from online gurus that you can watch a course for eight hours once a day.
Speaker BYou can go take a course from somebody.
Speaker BIt doesn't mean you actually did the work.
Speaker ARight.
Speaker AYou still got to put in the work.
Speaker BSo I struggle with the right answer here, but let me Let me ask the question.
Speaker BAnyway, he's nine, right?
Speaker AYeah.
Speaker BAre we being too harsh?
Speaker AI don't know.
Speaker BAre we?
Speaker BI don't know.
Speaker BShould a nine year old need to know that?
Speaker AYes.
Speaker ABut should a 9 year old have to go to a basketball camp during the winter?
Speaker BHave to, dude.
Speaker ARight?
Speaker ASo it's like, I'm not some of.
Speaker BThe stuff these kids.
Speaker AWe're not keep.
Speaker AI'm not keeping something from him that is.
Speaker AIs a necessity.
Speaker BNo, no, I. I get that.
Speaker BBut at the same time, like the competition for the kids in school just to go to school, it's crazy.
Speaker BIt's crazy.
Speaker BGay program or not, the pressure for college is coming.
Speaker AI know.
Speaker AI hate it.
Speaker AI. I think I had a con.
Speaker AA deep conversation before that I left to come here tonight.
Speaker AThat was probably a little too soon.
Speaker BAnd that's the problem is as a.
Speaker AParent, because I'm eager to have these conversations, you know, I get you want to import impact.
Speaker BI'm not perfect.
Speaker AI'm not perfect.
Speaker AI told him.
Speaker AI was like, look, I get it.
Speaker AYou want to become a college basketball player one day, okay?
Speaker AI'm not saying you could be Division 1, but Adam, if you put in the work, honestly, you could make Division three.
Speaker AI'm.
Speaker AIf you put in the work.
Speaker BYou had that conversation with him?
Speaker BYeah, bro.
Speaker BToo soon.
Speaker ANo, I know, bro.
Speaker AIt.
Speaker AYou remember what he tells me?
Speaker AHe's like, dad, I'm going to make Division 1.
Speaker ALike, he's still coming back and he's like, like, you don't get it.
Speaker AI'm going to make it.
Speaker BHas he ever said, dad, I'm gonna play in the NBA?
Speaker AYeah, he's.
Speaker ANot only that, he says, I'm gonna be an all star.
Speaker AI'm like, bro, have you looked at your dad?
Speaker ASeen the height?
Speaker ANo offense, right?
Speaker AHe doesn't understand.
Speaker AHe doesn't understand that Steph Curry is changing.
Speaker AOh, he's six three, bro.
Speaker AWhat are you talking about?
Speaker BSteph Curry is changing.
Speaker AHe's big boy.
Speaker AAnyways, I had.
Speaker AThe conversation I had with him is like, look, you plan on making college basketball, right?
Speaker ALike, yeah.
Speaker AI'm like, hey, kids with your level of athleticism, the way they get in is not only are they good, but they got the grades to balance out the team GPA and 4.0 ain't cutting it.
Speaker ADude, I need 4.6.
Speaker BWait, what?
Speaker AThis is the conversation that I had.
Speaker BWhy?
Speaker AThis is what I had.
Speaker AIt's honest.
Speaker BThat.
Speaker AThat's so.
Speaker AIt was a little.
Speaker BThat's too much.
Speaker AIt may have been A little bit too early.
Speaker BA little bit.
Speaker AA little bit too early.
Speaker BBut nine.
Speaker BYeah.
Speaker ABecause he's got.
Speaker ASo he's got all A's, and He's got a 88 in social studies.
Speaker ASocials.
Speaker ACome on, bro.
Speaker AYou got.
Speaker AThis is easy.
Speaker AWhat are we doing?
Speaker AThis is the easiest one of all the topics.
Speaker AThis is the easiest one side is nine.
Speaker AI know, but I'm letting him know.
Speaker BI'm like, look, the 88% is damn near an A.
Speaker ANo, no.
Speaker ABut I'm not.
Speaker AI don't get mad at him.
Speaker AThe conversations are literally like this.
Speaker BIt felt a little punitive.
Speaker ANo, the conversations are literally like this.
Speaker AI know.
Speaker AYou're better than this.
Speaker AWhat's going on?
Speaker ADo better.
Speaker AWhy are you not getting an az?
Speaker AI don't know.
Speaker AI'm like, that's bad.
Speaker AIf you don't know why, then let's start there.
Speaker BI would love for him to turn around.
Speaker BLook at you, my dad would.
Speaker AYou get.
Speaker BIt's because of your parental skills.
Speaker AYeah.
Speaker AYou could.
Speaker BI know, right?
Speaker BAnd dad, being a parent eight hours, one day isn't the same as being a parent.
Speaker AOne hour.
Speaker AI'm a direct reflection of you, dad.
Speaker BYeah.
Speaker ASome of this is your fault.
Speaker BI've seen your social skills and I've listened to the podcast.
Speaker BDad, you're a practice apathy at best.
Speaker AYeah, he.
Speaker AHe has.
Speaker AHe's.
Speaker AHe has hit me with the line before.
Speaker ASomething like, well, I'm your son.
Speaker AYeah.
Speaker AIt's true.
Speaker BGenetics.
Speaker BYeah.
Speaker BYou understand science.
Speaker AThere you go.
Speaker BMaybe he's a doctor.
Speaker AMaybe.
Speaker AYeah, exactly.
Speaker BLet me ask you a question, and I mean this in no disrespect to your physiology or mine.
Speaker AYeah.
Speaker BWhen I was younger, I used to get real pissed off about people telling me about my athleticism because it's not like a measurable skill.
Speaker AYeah.
Speaker AYeah.
Speaker BI mean, it can be, I guess, in certain circumstances, but do you look at it now as a parent and go, why?
Speaker BDid anybody tell me?
Speaker AYeah.
Speaker AI don't know.
Speaker AI don't know if I would have listened.
Speaker BI don't know.
Speaker BYou seem to be able to tell your son that, though.
Speaker AYou need the right.
Speaker AYou need the right.
Speaker AYou need the right mentorship.
Speaker ANo, I'm.
Speaker ALook, I'm.
Speaker BYou're dancing around telling your son at 9 years old that he's D3 at best.
Speaker ANo, no, no, no, no, no.
Speaker AI didn't say.
Speaker AI said, look, with the proper preparation.
Speaker ANo, you.
Speaker AHe can be.
Speaker AI'm not putting him down.
Speaker AI'm not shooting down his dreams.
Speaker AThat's not What I'm doing.
Speaker BYou're getting dream shutdown vibes.
Speaker ANo, not.
Speaker ANo, no, thank you, brother.
Speaker ANo, I think you're being supportive.
Speaker BNo, look, take that anti guru shirt off.
Speaker AAnd there's.
Speaker AAnd there's.
Speaker AThere's.
Speaker AFirst of all, there's.
Speaker AThere's nothing.
Speaker ALook, making any level of collegiate sports, that's impressive.
Speaker BRight?
Speaker ABut my point.
Speaker AMy point to him is, is I'm gonna always support him, but he's got to know, like, it's.
Speaker AYou're not getting there without putting in the work, dude.
Speaker AAnd it's.
Speaker BThat's.
Speaker BThat's the same rule for everything, though.
Speaker AYeah, exactly.
Speaker BAnd then that's ubiquitous.
Speaker AAnd that's the only reason.
Speaker AAnd that's the.
Speaker ANot the only reason.
Speaker AIt's.
Speaker AThe main reason why I love introducing sports early is because it's the.
Speaker AIt's the first time they can actually see the amount of work I put in translates in real time, you know, because, look, I'll be honest.
Speaker AI haven't had to sit down with my son to teach him math.
Speaker AHe just gets it.
Speaker AI didn't have to teach my kid how to read.
Speaker AHe just started reading, right?
Speaker ASo he feels like he's got a gift now.
Speaker AHe goes down, play sports, and he gets humbled.
Speaker AI'm like, yeah, okay, buddy, you got humbled.
Speaker ANow you got to put in work.
Speaker AFor the first time ever, I am him.
Speaker AHimothy.
Speaker ASo I'm glad.
Speaker AI feel lucky that he's.
Speaker AThat he has something that he's working towards.
Speaker BOkay.
Speaker BYeah, I get it.
Speaker BI. I, you know, Virgil and.
Speaker BAnd my son are.
Speaker BAre a couple years younger, three years younger.
Speaker BAnd I don't know about you or Jill, but I struggle a great deal with.
Speaker BI've had to discipline my son in recent weeks.
Speaker BActually hit him the other day, slapped him across the face.
Speaker BI felt I didn't want to do it.
Speaker AI've been there before.
Speaker BAnd I kept like, I don't like corporal punishment.
Speaker BI don't like physical, like, stuff.
Speaker BBut he was just.
Speaker BHe was logically outsmarting the situation.
Speaker BAnd it was one of those things where I warned him for several days.
Speaker BI gave him three warnings that day.
Speaker BI told him he had to go to his rooms, and he's like, fine, I'll sit in my room.
Speaker BI got toys in there.
Speaker AI know.
Speaker BI mean, he was just.
Speaker BHe was just being intellectually smart about it.
Speaker AYeah.
Speaker ALogical.
Speaker BAnd I was.
Speaker BSo I basically told him, I said, look, son, then I'll do what my dad did.
Speaker BI won't hit you with Belts and stuff.
Speaker BBut I'll pop you gently across the face and make sure you're alert.
Speaker BYeah.
Speaker BYeah.
Speaker BAnd damn near, boy, he tested me, and I did it.
Speaker BYep.
Speaker BAnd I felt like the world's biggest a hole after.
Speaker AYeah.
Speaker AOh, man.
Speaker BYeah.
Speaker BWhen we.
Speaker AWhen.
Speaker AI mean, look, sometimes, look, my.
Speaker AI've had to do it.
Speaker AWhen.
Speaker BWith.
Speaker AWith.
Speaker AWith him.
Speaker AIt was.
Speaker AWe had to discipline him that way because I said, you're never going to disrespect your mom.
Speaker BThat's what he's doing is my son was disrespecting his mom.
Speaker ARight.
Speaker AI was like, look, you can.
Speaker AYou could.
Speaker AI'm not saying you can.
Speaker AIf you talk back to me, look, I'll.
Speaker AI'll handle it my way and I'll walk away and I'll let.
Speaker AAnd we'll come back and revisit this, but you're not going to disrespect your mom.
Speaker BSo that.
Speaker BThat's basically what I was dealing with.
Speaker BAnd I mean it.
Speaker BI was downstairs, like, going through the emotions, like, you know, of course.
Speaker BAnd you.
Speaker BBut you can't let him see you go to the motions.
Speaker ANo.
Speaker BBecause, you know, the corrective action still needs to.
Speaker BTo happen.
Speaker BAnd sometimes I wonder.
Speaker BIt's too harsh too soon.
Speaker AI found out later.
Speaker AI found out later with Adam that, well, for my daughters, I parent her differently.
Speaker AI don't discipline her the same way.
Speaker ARight.
Speaker AI'm good cop.
Speaker AWith her wife is back up with.
Speaker AWith her.
Speaker ARight.
Speaker AAnd it's because I'd never want her to ever feel like it's okay for, you know, a male to raise their voice at her.
Speaker BRight.
Speaker BI can't remember.
Speaker AIt was like, Reese Witherspoon recently was on Dax's podcast.
Speaker AShepherd's Podcast.
Speaker AShepherd's podcast.
Speaker AGreat show.
Speaker AAnd my wife had shared a clip with me that she said it was something to do with, like, you know, how fathers parent their daughters and, you know, like, they're essentially going to go after somebody similar, you know, to how they treat them.
Speaker BSo I've seen it time and time again.
Speaker BYeah, I believe it.
Speaker AYeah, I believe it.
Speaker ASo it's like, I want to make sure that, you know, anytime she's talking to me, I give her my undivided attention constantly, you know, giving her the respect that she deserves.
Speaker AAnd if she's.
Speaker AI always give her lots of hugs and kisses.
Speaker AThe second she says stop, I let go.
Speaker AI say stop.
Speaker AYou know.
Speaker BYou know what's incredible about this?
Speaker BThis is exactly the way I parent you on the show.
Speaker AThis is what you do.
Speaker BI give you lots of hugs.
Speaker AI say to stop.
Speaker BYou don't stop, though.
Speaker AYou don't stop, though.
Speaker BI always stop.
Speaker ANever stop.
Speaker BLook, you can stop and then restart.
Speaker BThat's what.
Speaker AThat's what it was.
Speaker BI did stop.
Speaker AYeah, yeah, yeah, yeah.
Speaker BI get my undivided attention on the show.
Speaker BPut my phone down.
Speaker BFace down.
Speaker BYours is face up.
Speaker BSo look in the show notes.
Speaker BYeah, show notes, baby, I'm over here in your soul.
Speaker ANo fuffing.
Speaker AZero.
Speaker BYeah.
Speaker BAre we gonna call him out on lying about knowing what.
Speaker AStop it.
Speaker AYou already did in the.
Speaker AMore in the beginning.
Speaker BNo, not in the show, though.
Speaker AThat's.
Speaker AThat's the bleep.
Speaker AYeah, yeah, it was on the show.
Speaker BI wasn't.
Speaker BOh, yeah.
Speaker ALike nine minutes, I think.
Speaker AYeah, you time stamped it.
Speaker AYou gotta bleep that out.
Speaker AYou said the time stamp, so I did.
Speaker BYeah.
Speaker BI forget what we say in the show most of the time.
Speaker BYeah, yeah, yeah.
Speaker AAnyways, good episode, my guy.
Speaker AWe, by the way, somebody left us an honest five star review with no narrative, which is like, it's respectable.
Speaker BOh, is the app on that?
Speaker BYou spotted a couple?
Speaker AYeah.
Speaker BSo hard up.
Speaker BWe are for reviews, like, say I look.
Speaker ANo, I saw it.
Speaker AI saw it.
Speaker AI'm like, oh, I'm waiting for the narrative to come through.
Speaker BNever came through.
Speaker ANever came through.
Speaker ASo they're like, you know, this show deserves five stars.
Speaker AI don't need a certain shout out.
Speaker ALet me just give it what it is.
Speaker AYeah.
Speaker ARespect.
Speaker BFive stars.
Speaker BOr it could be somebody who doesn't listen to the show.
Speaker BJust want to give us five stars.
Speaker BYeah.
Speaker AOh, we tease something.
Speaker AWe got to.
Speaker AIf they stuck around this long.
Speaker BYeah.
Speaker BSo Site and I were looking at a couple different channels, one of which being my old legacy personal channel, and we realized that shorter form or medium form content, call it below 20 minutes, certainly about 10 minutes or so, educational content, content that's perpetual in nature.
Speaker AAnd we want to create a whole library.
Speaker BYeah.
Speaker BHow to organize an llc.
Speaker BHow to incorporate a corporation.
Speaker BWhat the difference between S Corp and.
Speaker AA C Corp. How to get an SBA loan.
Speaker BHow to get a multi family loan.
Speaker BWhat a loan processor does.
Speaker BI mean, you name it.
Speaker BFico score 101.
Speaker BWhy it's not relevant anymore.
Speaker BYou know, stuff like.
Speaker BStuff like that.
Speaker BThat.
Speaker BThat we think will be perpetual educational content.
Speaker BWe're gonna start doing.
Speaker BNot putting out on the podcast platform, but putting out on our YouTube channel.
Speaker BAnd there'll be a definitive library of resources that are there.
Speaker BAll free.
Speaker AIt'll all be free.
Speaker AAnd once we have a full list there.
Speaker AI mean, we could reference it on the show.
Speaker AWe could, you know, plug it, and I think it's going to do really well.
Speaker BYeah, I think so, too.
Speaker BYeah.
Speaker BRajeel.
Speaker AYes.
Speaker BHow you doing, sugar plum?
Speaker AOh, doing great, man.
Speaker BYeah.
Speaker AYeah.
Speaker ALiving the dream.
Speaker ALiving the dream.
Speaker AThat's Chris's line.
Speaker BIt is.
Speaker BLiving the dream or another day in paradise.
Speaker AThere's another one.
Speaker AWe're not going to get into the other one anymore.
Speaker BI vacillate between those two.
Speaker ANo, there's.
Speaker AThere's.
Speaker AThere's a third.
Speaker BI don't know what you're talking about.
Speaker AI know.
Speaker AI'll leave it alone.
Speaker BAll right.
Speaker AGot anything else?
Speaker BNo, sir.
Speaker BGood night, everybody.
Speaker BGoodbye.
Speaker BOh, roll switch.
Speaker BI like that.