Welcome to another episode of the Secular foxhole podcast.
Blair:Today we're happy to have Rob Trusinski back with us to discuss two important issues, or
Blair:more precisely, a course he has created and his essay on robotics.
Blair:Hi, Robert.
Blair:Every week I try to find something new by you
Blair:on substac and discourse.
Blair:Of course, substac you mail out automatically,
Blair:which is great.
Blair:So your articles are always thought provoking
Blair:and concise, and I really appreciate that.
Blair:But before we get to the announcement of your
Blair:new course you developed about causation, those of us who take Iron rand's ideas
Blair:seriously know that she has created a secular morality void of any mystical or irrational
Blair:trappings.
Blair:What do you think you add to that?
Robert:That's a good question.
Robert:Well, the goal of this course, by the way,
Robert:thanks for having me on.
Blair:Yeah.
Robert:The goal of this course is this new course of the Prophet of Causation is what
Robert:it's called.
Robert:I can explain that a bit more.
Robert:The goal of this is not so much to add something new to her philosophy.
Robert:I think we will probably add a few details here and there and flesh out some things and
Robert:maybe look at some applications or tactical issues that haven't really been discussed much
Robert:before.
Robert:The goal really is to take the same content,
Robert:the basic idea of her philosophy and the basic ideas, and to look at them from a different
Robert:perspective.
Robert:And it's specifically from the perspective of
Robert:the role of cause and effect in her philosophy.
Robert:This is one of the insights I had in writing a book about atlas shrugged and in thinking more
Robert:and more about her philosophy is the idea that the central idea of the law of cause and
Robert:effect of causation runs as a theme through her philosophy, through all the different
Robert:issues.
Robert:But of course, when it comes to secular
Robert:morality, it runs through the ethics is the real central area where that applies.
Robert:The idea for this course comes from an article she wrote that I think is one of the most
Robert:essential things she ever wrote, which is called Causality versus Duty.
Robert:And it's the idea of explaining the role of causation in as a foundation for a secular
Robert:ethics.
Robert:And it's the idea that morality, that ethics,
Robert:comes from looking at the cause and effect relationships between your goals and your
Robert:desire to live, and then what actions are causally required to achieve those goals.
Robert:And so her view is that morality is all of morality can be summed up as an attempt to
Robert:understand those cause and effect relationships between the actions you need to
Robert:take, the virtues, the things that you need to do, and the ultimate goal that you're pursuing
Robert:of trying to live and prosper and be happy.
Robert:So it's a set morality isn't a set of
Robert:commandments handed down to you.
Robert:That's the sort of duty version.
Robert:It's not a set of commandments handed down to you from some supernatural authority.
Robert:It's a set of real world observations about cause and effect relationships.
Blair:Right? So how crucial is choice in her morality?
Robert:Well, the thing is that the choice has to be there as a way of deciding what you're
Robert:going to choose as the goals that you pursue.
Robert:Right?
Robert:So you take into account the cause that affect relationships.
Robert:But then ultimately, one of the causes there has got to be your choice, your choice to
Robert:actuate, to choose among the alternative actions you could take.
Robert:What goals do I want to achieve? What goals do I want to pursue?
Robert:What are the life course, the values that will make me happy and then saying, okay, what is
Robert:then required by cause and effect, by the law of cause and effect, what is then required to
Robert:achieve that? So she gave a great she cites in this article,
Robert:she cites an old Spanish proverb that says, god said take what you want and pay for it.
Robert:And that's what she said.
Robert:Take what you want it, or make your choice of
Robert:the values that you think are important to you, that will make you happy, that you want
Robert:to pursue, and then pay for it by understanding all the causes, effective
Robert:relationships, all the things that are actually required to achieve that.
Robert:Now, that implies that in choosing and making a rational choice of what goals you want to
Robert:pursue, you have to take into account what are the consequences actually going to be?
Robert:What do I actually have to do to achieve this? You can't simply say, I want to be rich and
Robert:famous and not have any idea of what it means, of what that means in terms of what's required
Robert:for it, and in terms of what that would actually constitute in your life.
Robert:You would take into account all the consequences, all the things that are involved
Robert:in that.
Robert:So it's not just arbitrarily making a choice.
Robert:You're making a rational, informed choice.
Robert:But the idea is that ultimately it comes down
Robert:to you make a choice of what you want to achieve, and then the law of cause and effect
Robert:tells you these are the things that are required and that come along with that.
Blair:A moment ago, you mentioned the word duty.
Blair:So obviously I think the difference between objectivist ethics, if you will, and
Blair:conventional morality is choice versus duty.
Blair:Does that make sense?
Robert:Yes, to some extent.
Robert:I think that the traditional view of morality,
Robert:especially the religious view of morality, is the duty.
Robert:And duty is this idea.
Robert:You have to do it because well, it's like the
Robert:old place for the Western.
Robert:A man's got to do what a man's got to do.
Robert:You have to do it just because you must.
Robert:And there's no real explanation for the you
Robert:must, or at least there's no this worldly explanation for the you must ultimately
Robert:usually comes down to, well, God said you should do it.
Robert:There's some religious there are secularized versions of it, but there's actually
Robert:secularized versions of her religious morality.
Robert:God issued commandments saying, this is what you must do, and therefore you must do it.
Robert:And there's no real why to it.
Robert:There's no this worldly rational explanation
Robert:for it.
Robert:Now, the more recent secularized version of
Robert:that is a more subjectivist view or a socially subjective view.
Robert:So it's the idea that, well, morality comes from a social consensus that society as a
Robert:whole decides that certain things are important, and therefore you as the individual
Robert:must go along with society as a whole.
Robert:So it's sort of substituting society in the
Robert:place of God as the source for where these moral precepts come from that you have to
Robert:follow, but making it collective rather than mystical, making it a social thing, but really
Robert:substituting society for God in that traditional ethics.
Blair:Yeah, just recently I've stumbled across another version of that, if you will.
Blair:It's like instead of saying God is telling you what to do, it's like the universe is using
Blair:the word, the universe is directing you, or the universe is showing you.
Robert:Yeah, well, we live in a secular there was, I think, a piece of the Onion a while
Robert:back about how yo scientists discovered that the universe exists to tell women in their 20s
Robert:what to do with their lives.
Robert:Because this whole figure of speech of the
Robert:universe is telling me to do X, Y, and Z, which is I think it's a halfway house.
Robert:It's one of these leftover lingering effects that people have still this religious mindset
Robert:or mentality about how you decide what you should do in life, but they don't really have
Robert:religion anymore, so they vent these sort of substitutes for it.
Robert:Well, the universe is saying it or it's karma or whatever.
Robert:But take an example of one of these things.
Robert:One of the things I'm going to be looking at
Robert:in this course is, for example, ein rand's view of the nature and source of rights, of
Robert:individual rights.
Robert:And there's this whole philosophical tradition
Robert:of debating what's called the ontology of rights.
Robert:Now, ontology just means what is the basis and reality of this thing, actually?
Robert:What real thing does this actually refer to? So people say the antology of rights.
Robert:They say, well, what thing in reality are we referring to when you say you have a right to
Robert:do something? And the general view on the antology of
Robert:rights, the usual answer that's being given is some form of, well, society as a whole makes
Robert:decisions about what to do, about what your proper freedom of action should be.
Robert:And therefore, the anthology of rights is it refers to a social consensus on how much
Robert:freedom the individual should have.
Robert:So this idea of in range view I'm going to
Robert:expand, of course, upon this in a great deal of detail.
Robert:The source of rights is causality.
Robert:It's causation.
Robert:It's the idea that there is a cause and effect relationship that in order to be able to
Robert:survive, in order to be able to grow your food and put a roof over your head, in order to
Robert:create all the things that we need to survive as human beings, we have to have freedom.
Robert:And it's that causal relationship between freedom and survival that is the ontology of
Robert:rights.
Robert:What rights referred to is that causal
Robert:relationship.
Robert:But that's a whole bunch of stuff has to be
Robert:established to really fully understand that.
Robert:And that's what I'm a good person about.
Blair:Go ahead, Martin.
Blair:I'll throw something in.
Martin:I'm joking now.
Martin:So now we have a commercial break here.
Martin:So we have this value for value.
Martin:So if you listener so far gets this and see
Martin:its value, then you should buy rob's course and then you have interesting effects on that.
Martin:So could you describe it a bit more? How long is it, what's the value, what's the
Martin:cost? And more what you want to go through?
Martin:And then, Blair, you will continue.
Blair:Sure.
Robert:Okay. So the course is called The Profit of Causation.
Robert:And this comes from in her article, she talked about how the rational man is a disciple of
Robert:causation.
Robert:I thought, well, if we're the disciples, then
Robert:she's the prophet.
Robert:And prophet really, just in its original
Robert:hebrew just means messenger, right? She is the message of the person bringing us
Robert:this message called Profit of Causation.
Robert:Substance.com is where you can go to check it
Robert:out.
Robert:To create the course, I chose something that's
Robert:familiar to me as to most of my readers, which is a substance newsletter that's really there
Robert:to sort of be the clearinghouse for the course and the way of paying for it.
Robert:So it's $250 for a one year subscription, which every time you sign up, I automatically
Robert:convert it to a lifetime subscription.
Robert:But most of this is going to happen in the
Robert:next three to six months.
Robert:And what it's going to be is going to be a
Robert:course on Zoom.
Robert:So a subscription gives you access to the
Robert:course on Zoom.
Robert:And it's ten classes, one every two weeks.
Robert:I wanted to have not too intensive schedule, one every two weeks.
Robert:And you can participate live by zoom in those and be part of the Q and A and the discussion.
Robert:Or I'm going to then put the recordings up as podcast, as audio podcasts and as videos,
Robert:going to load those up by way of the subsequent newsletter and then put additional
Robert:materials in there, excerpts from philosophers and readings, suggested readings and other
Robert:little observations.
Robert:And I'll be answering questions from people,
Robert:or questions, comments, discussion that we want to have about the ideas in there.
Robert:And the whole idea is just to take this idea of causation, starting in the first couple of
Robert:lectures with the very question of what is causation, what is the law of cause and
Robert:effect? Because there's enormous philosophical
Robert:confusion even today about what the idea even means, and then go and see how it affects her
Robert:view of how the mind works, her view of human nature, which I think is something that has
Robert:not been really spelled out in objectivist philosophy before because I think there's a
Robert:very common view of what human nature is that is very different from her view.
Robert:But I haven't really seen it sort of spelled out in detail what that difference is.
Robert:And that's one of the things I'm going to be going through.
Robert:And then we go through ethics, politics, her case for property rights, which I think is
Robert:also something that has not really been spelled out in the past, and the politics and
Robert:finally even the aesthetics.
Blair:Okay, great.
Blair:And your proposed start date, the first.
Robert:Class is going to be february 28 is Tuesday.
Robert:We're doing a tuesdays eight to 09:00 p.m.
Robert:For the class.
Robert:It might go a little longer.
Robert:If people have questions and discussion, it
Robert:might run a little longer, but I want to try to have the meat of it within an hour there so
Robert:it's not too big a drain of people's time.
Robert:And then it's going to be every two weeks
Robert:after that.
Blair:All right, I want to jump back.
Blair:I'm not a professional philosopher, and you
Blair:talked about ontology a moment ago.
Blair:So what is deontology?
Blair:Is that the opposite of well, it's not the opposite.
Robert:It comes from a slightly different Greek word.
Robert:The auto part has more to do with the structure of Greek grammar.
Robert:So in addition to how to put it in, I'm a semi professional philosopher.
Robert:Okay.
Robert:I have professional training and philosophy.
Robert:I work as a columnist or writer, mostly commenting on politics.
Robert:But that involves using a lot of philosophy.
Robert:And this might have to also gauge more pure
Robert:philosophy than I've done that I do usually of taking some new observations I have about the
Robert:philosophy of objectivism and trying to develop those more fully.
Robert:In addition to freshwater training as a philosopher, I have training in classics.
Robert:So the Antolo part comes more from Greek grammar than from the meanings of the words.
Robert:But deontos, it comes from the Greek word meaning to bind.
Robert:Right.
Robert:So the idea is it's something you're bound to
Robert:do.
Robert:This is something you're required to do.
Robert:So that ontology comes to the word to be.
Robert:So it just means the being of something, the
Robert:existence.
Robert:What is it in existence in reality that you're
Robert:referring to in concrete physical reality that you're referring to when you say something?
Robert:deontology comes from the idea of being bound or required or forced to do something.
Robert:And that's the basis for that duty centered ethics.
Martin:How compare you that to the is and what comparing that to which the is and what
Martin:yeah.
Robert:And the is gap is going to be a central idea we're going to be looking at.
Robert:So this is the idea.
Robert:The terminology for this comes from the 18th
Robert:century philosopher David hume, who said, well, look, when I look at moral philosophers,
Robert:I see them make a bunch of statements about a bunch of is statements.
Robert:A bunch of statements.
Robert:About the way things are in reality.
Robert:And then suddenly they switch to making a bunch of odd statements about the way things
Robert:ought to be and what you ought to do.
Robert:And there's a gap there.
Robert:There's a jump they make.
Robert:They still from Is and they go to ot, and they
Robert:never showed the connection between the two.
Robert:And he basically said, there is no connection.
Robert:Right.
Robert:So the odd is really just you expressing your
Robert:personal subjective preferences and not something based on reality.
Robert:And so in talking about the role of causation and Iron Range philosophy, and especially this
Robert:particular article on causality versus duty, I show how causation, the concept of causation,
Robert:is her answer to the Isaac gap.
Robert:And by the time you really understand that
Robert:idea that as she's putting it forward, you realize that the whole question just goes
Robert:away.
Robert:It disappears.
Robert:It's one of these things where you see these sort of drawings they do, where if you look at
Robert:it from just the right perspective, everything resolves and it makes sense.
Robert:Right? And that's what I think about this idea of
Robert:causation and causality, the law of causing effect in iron's philosophy.
Robert:It's just this perspective where when you understand what that perspective is and see
Robert:things from that perspective, there's all these philosophical puzzles and conundrums
Robert:that just disappear and get resolved.
Robert:And suddenly suddenly you can see the vase and
Robert:the two faces.
Martin:Symposium.
Robert:For symposium, I use rubin's vase, the drawing that's either a vase or two faces.
Robert:I use that as the logo.
Blair:Yeah, that's great.
Blair:Yeah. Listen, I just thought of this and I
Blair:want to throw it out there.
Blair:Just stay on the philosophical track for a
Blair:moment.
Blair:I think Dr. Benzwanger described how Iran
Blair:solved the problem of universals in like, I don't know, ten minutes or five minutes, just
Blair:sitting there thinking about it.
Blair:Apparently, what are universals?
Blair:And apparently they've plagued the plagued philosophy forever.
Blair:Do you want to jump into that.
Robert:Or do you want yeah, he would do a lot more because he knew Iron.
Robert:randy well, that's true.
Blair:Yes, that's true.
Robert:He would have much more knowledge of exactly how she did it.
Robert:But one of the things I want to talk about, and I'm going to mention this it's something
Robert:that sort of informs the word informs that way.
Robert:It's something that influences my approach to philosophy, is one of the things that always
Robert:bugged me about philosophers is the way they use the word problem.
Robert:They have the problem of universals, the problem of induction, the problem of free
Robert:will, etc. It and what the word problem always means when philosophers use it is, here's a
Robert:thing that undoubtedly exists and is real, but I can't explain it, and therefore I can't
Robert:accept that it's real until i, the philosopher, can come up if I, the
Robert:philosopher, can't come up with that explanation for it, then it's not real.
Robert:And that's sort of the mentality behind it, right?
Robert:It's like I, the philosopher, has to be able to come up with that explanation before
Robert:reality depends on me to explain it, rather than me having to be the servant of reality.
Robert:I'm working on this formulation.
Robert:I'll get a better one by the time the class
Robert:starts.
Robert:But that's sort of what I'm getting at, is
Robert:this idea that reality depends on what's going on in my mind and not that my mind is here to
Robert:understand reality.
Robert:And I think that explains a lot of the
Robert:conundrums that philosophers have gotten themselves into.
Robert:Now, part of the conundrums are that some of these are really legitimately difficult
Robert:questions.
Robert:They evolve a lot of complications and until
Robert:you get on quite the right perspective, it may not make sense, but a lot of it comes from the
Robert:fact that philosophers have had this attitude that ideas come first and reality comes
Robert:second.
Robert:Right?
Martin:Yeah.
Robert:I think the problem with intellectuals is that they're interested in ideas as opposed
Robert:to being interested in the things in reality that the ideas refer to.
Robert:That's why this formulation of the problem of X and the problem of Y has always kind of
Robert:bugged me because it always comes across as and in practice is often used as if I, the
Robert:philosopher, can come up with enough confusion, enough intellectual confusion
Robert:around this issue.
Robert:Then I don't have to admit that this thing
Robert:exists and they could stay.
Martin:In academia for a long time.
Robert:You could endlessly discuss the problem and you never have to come up with an
Robert:answer to it, right? You never have to solve it.
Blair:You use the word servant a moment ago.
Blair:I think observer might be better observer of
Blair:reality or maybe.
Martin:Rule the nature that's good.
Martin:Saying that he has about nature.
Robert:Nature to be commanded, must be obeyed.
Robert:And that's the sense in which I mean being the servant of reality, that it comes first, it
Robert:sets the terms and you're the one coming along trying to say, okay, how can I understand this
Robert:thing? And it's my job to understand it.
Robert:And I think too many intellectuals and philosophers don't view it that way.
Robert:And if you don't view it as this thing is real, it is my job.
Robert:For example, take the problem of universes, the fact that human beings make observations
Robert:and they arrive at generalizations and those generalizations are valid and allow them to
Robert:create all sorts of amazing things.
Robert:That is just an undoubted thing.
Robert:It is a fact that you can observe just by looking around you in the world.
Robert:We're surrounded by the products of all these concepts and universals and ideas that people
Robert:have come up with.
Robert:And it's very clear that we are in fact
Robert:capable of making generalizations and capable of using them and they're valid enough that
Robert:we're able to reshape the entire world and make our lives better by doing that.
Robert:So as the philosopher, you should be coming in and saying, okay, we know we can do this,
Robert:let's figure out how.
Robert:But too many times that the attitude has been,
Robert:well, maybe we can't, and maybe I can tell the arguments why we can't.
Robert:And the first precondition for solving a problem like the problem of universals is that
Robert:you want to solve it, that you think it is solvable and that your job is to come up with
Robert:a solution rather than it being your job to muddy the waters.
Martin:Coming tracing back the whole way to plato.
Martin:And we are still in the cave.
Martin:Are we doing this podcast now or are we
Martin:bubbles? And that is coming to the robots later on.
Robert:That might be a great transition.
Robert:Well, I think the plato thing is interesting
Robert:because it talks about the role of philosophers, is that philosophy came out of
Robert:the thing that came before philosophy was religion.
Robert:Religion was the first attempt to come up with big explanations for where did we come from,
Robert:what is the nature of the world, what causes things to happen?
Robert:All the earliest ideas of cause and effect are religious concepts.
Robert:And so the problem with religion, though, and that always holds back those answers, is
Robert:religion always involves this idea of access to a hidden reality that's behind reality,
Robert:right? Access to a secret knowledge that is only
Robert:available to the priests.
Robert:And that's sort of inherent in the whole
Robert:concept of religion, is that you just by going out and observing reality, you can't get the
Robert:answers that will fool you, that will deceive you.
Robert:There's a hidden reality that is a secret reality that's only accessible to the priests.
Robert:And plato, who's one of the very first big figures in the history of philosophy, he
Robert:basically imports this into a secularized philosophical form with this idea of, well,
Robert:you're like someone trapped in a cave, looking at shadows in the cave wall and not seeing the
Robert:real reality.
Robert:Whereas I the philosopher, I can turn around
Robert:into this realm of pure abstraction and see the secret reality behind reality.
Robert:And I think this is the idea that has just hobbled philosophy from the very beginning and
Robert:created a lot of these quote unquote problems and prevented people from solving them.
Blair:Well said, well said.
Blair:All right, well, why don't we sum up your
Blair:course and when it starts again, and then we'll jump into your essay on robotics.
Robert:Got to give the url again.
Robert:Go to profitofcausation substance.
Robert:You can also go to Trasinskyletter Substance, where I have an announcement for it, but go
Robert:search for that.
Robert:You will find, and I hope you guys will
Robert:provide a link for it in the show notes.
Robert:So go there and you can check out the
Robert:description of the course.
Robert:It's going to be ten classes over a period of
Robert:20 weeks and then related materials that come from that.
Robert:It may eventually be a book and any updates I have on that and additions.
Robert:If you sign up for this, you'll get that as they come out.
Robert:And it's mostly to look at Iran's ideas from this new perspective, I think a very
Robert:clarifying perspective that really helps you understand it on a deeper level.
Robert:But along the way, I think there's a couple of things on volition, on property rights, on the
Robert:nature of causation itself, where I think we're going to spell out a few new things here
Robert:and there that maybe have not been discussed or drawn out from the philosophy before.
Blair:That begins on the 28 February.
Robert:That's 28 February, about two weeks, a little under two weeks from now.
Blair:All right, well, your article on robotics, which was published in Discourse
Blair:magazine entitled Why Robots Won't Eat Us, I think that was certainly an attention grabbing
Blair:title for me anyway.
Blair:And the subject of robotics are robots.
Blair:I said for years that I've known people that are afraid of this robot takeover or afraid of
Blair:robots, period, and that they just don't see that, well, human beings program robots, so
Blair:how could they won't take over.
Blair:So does that make sense?
Blair:I mean, we're the ones that programming the robots to do what we want it to do.
Robert:Yeah, certainly in my article I say there are three things we have that machines
Robert:don't have and really can't have by their very nature that give our minds special qualities
Robert:that are able to do things that machines are never going to be able to do.
Robert:And those two things are consciousness, motivation and volition.
Robert:And we want to start with the first one, consciousness.
Robert:And that comes from the fact that really connects to this idea that we program the
Robert:robots.
Robert:So one of the things I want to point out is
Robert:that consciousness, in this context, what I mean by consciousness is something very
Robert:specific and very simple, which is a machine, an AI program like Chat gpt or one of these
Robert:other AI programs that's out there.
Robert:I guess bing now has one that they're using
Robert:the Microsoft search engine.
Robert:And these AI programs are not doing what we're
Robert:doing, which is we're walking around in the world observing things, interacting with them.
Robert:We are out there in direct contact with reality.
Robert:These programs are not in direct contact with reality.
Robert:It's a program on a server somewhere, and it has only the data that its programmers have
Robert:decided to feed to it.
Robert:And in fact, in many of these AI programs,
Robert:they're initially trained on data that specifically collected and organized and
Robert:sorted for them by the researchers.
Robert:So basically the researcher goes out and using
Robert:human intelligence, they will pick out, okay, here are photos of birds.
Robert:One of the things examples was a program trained to recognize types of birds.
Robert:They think, okay, all these photos of birds.
Robert:We're going to find thousands and thousands of
Robert:photos of birds and then we, the researchers, collect them together and categorize them and
Robert:label them and then we feed them into the machine and then it learns how to recognize
Robert:the bird.
Robert:But what it's doing is it's basically learning
Robert:that when I get this pattern of data that matches this other pattern of data that's been
Robert:labeled by a researcher in a certain way, then I say, oh, that's a warbling titmouse or
Robert:whatever.
Martin:Yeah, whatever they're sworn.
Robert:Very good.
Robert:I'm not a bird watcher, so don't ask me.
Robert:Bird come up with bird names off the top of my head.
Robert:But the point is that the way I make the safe description is that human beings go out and we
Robert:observe things, machines are fed data and that observing things versus being fed data is a
Robert:radically different way of having a connection to the world.
Robert:Now, that ties in, of course, to the idea of motivation and volition because the reason we
Robert:have this in having this direct contact with the world, part of the reason we have that
Robert:direct contact is we are moving ourselves through the world and we're moving ourselves
Robert:through the world in pursuit of certain goals and certain needs.
Robert:And that's where motivation comes in.
Robert:A machine has no motivations or goals of its
Robert:own.
Robert:It can be programmed mechanically to do
Robert:something by the researchers, by the people who are creating it.
Robert:It itself has no needs.
Robert:It makes no difference to the computer whether
Robert:it identifies the bird or not, right? And it makes no difference to computer whether
Robert:it's turned on and working or shut off and not working.
Robert:The computer has no biological necessity for action.
Robert:And that's the real theme of this.
Robert:And I think this is one of the big connections
Robert:to the course I'm giving, which is one of the major themes in this course on Causation is
Robert:going to be how the biological imperatives of human existence run through all these
Robert:different issues.
Robert:That to understand human consciousness you
Robert:have to understand it as a biological biological function.
Robert:It's biological role in this cause and effective relationship.
Robert:And so the idea that human consciousness is biological is one of the major themes of this
Robert:article about AI is that I think we underestimate how the biological nature of
Robert:human consciousness is so crucial to its function.
Robert:And so one of those ways that's crucial is motivation.
Robert:Motivation is what keeps us moving.
Robert:It's what causes us to connect some ideas
Robert:together and not connect other ideas together.
Robert:It's what causes us to have to get something
Robert:right as opposed to not caring whether it's right or wrong.
Robert:And that's one of the big things that came out of Chat gpt is that people discovered chat gpt
Robert:will simply make up facts and make up references and make up it'll give you
Robert:footnotes to articles that were never written, in books that never existed.
Robert:Because it's programmed to give you a convincing sounding answer, not to give you a
Robert:right answer.
Blair:Oh my gosh.
Robert:The thing is that when you don't have the fundamental motivation of a human
Robert:consciousness is, I have to understand reality.
Robert:I have to get this right or else the lion's going to eat me.
Robert:So that we have that fundamental motivation to get things right and to have our ideas
Robert:correspond to reality.
Robert:Whereas Chat gpt, if you feed it the right
Robert:prompts, it's a lot like the ultimate sort of antithesis of a living being is a rock rolling
Robert:downhill, right? When a rock is sitting there on the side of
Robert:the hill, and if it gets hit by another rock, it just starts moving and it keeps going for
Robert:as long as it doesn't, and it goes off to one side or another, depending on what obstacles
Robert:and what bumps it hits on the side of the hill.
Robert:It doesn't direct the course of its own action.
Robert:It just sort of rolls buffeted about by the outside circumstances.
Robert:And you can kind of see that with Chat gpt, that once you get it going with the right,
Robert:we're feeding it the right or probably better, but feeding it the wrong prompt, a prompt that
Robert:sends it off the rails.
Robert:It'll just go off the rails and keep going and
Robert:not really be able to correct itself because it doesn't have that motivational function of
Robert:a living consciousness.
Blair:Is that what you meant by motivated reasoning, or where did that term come from?
Robert:Well, motivated reasoning has come to be used recently.
Robert:It's a term that was used specifically to refer to something that's not a good thing.
Robert:It's motivated reasoning is when you engage it's what we would call rationalization.
Robert:It's when you engage in reasoning in order to support a preordained conclusion rather than
Robert:in order to get the right answer right.
Robert:So motivated reasoning is I have a pre
Robert:existing commitment to a certain political position or to belief in God or to some other
Robert:sort of ideological viewpoint.
Robert:And then all of my reasoning that I engage
Robert:into is going to be really motivated not by a desire to reach the truth, but by a desire to
Robert:maintain this position that I already have a loyalty to.
Robert:Now, I point out that, okay, motivated reasoning in that sense is bad, but in a
Robert:larger sense, all reasoning is motivated in the sense that we need to discover the truth.
Robert:We need to discover reality.
Robert:Because if you don't, as I put it earlier, if
Robert:you don't understand what's going on around you, if you're not properly oriented to the
Robert:facts around you, you're going to walk off a cliff or you're going to get eaten by a lion.
Robert:Or to put it in more modern terms, if you don't understand what's going on around you,
Robert:you're going to invest in a ponzi scheme, or you're going to have this many ways to walk
Robert:off a cliff in the modern world, you invest in a ponzi scheme where you'll end up voting a
Robert:socialist dictator into office.
Robert:Or these are real life examples.
Robert:I mean, look at Russia right now.
Robert:Russia is a country that has just collectively
Robert:walked off a cliff.
Robert:Millions of people in Russia walked themselves
Robert:off a cliff because they put their trust in a strongman, an authoritarian dictator.
Robert:Now they have tens of thousands of dead and a collapsed economy, and consequences are going
Robert:to reverberate for generations, negative consequences.
Robert:And so people can walk themselves off a cliff if they don't orient themselves correctly to
Robert:reality.
Robert:And so that's the sense in which reasoning is
Robert:fundamentally motivated that you need to think in order to live.
Blair:Let me add one more example allowing Chinese spy balloons to go unmolested over the
Blair:United States.
Robert:The spy blue story is a farce that could not have been written in fiction.
Robert:It's like a parody of bureaucratic incompetence run across because now first we
Robert:let the spy balloon come over and then everybody goes nuts and criticizes, oh, how
Robert:come they didn't shoot down the spy balloon? So then we started shooting down everything in
Robert:the sky.
Robert:The latest thing is that they found out that
Robert:one of these things that was shot down over Alaska was a balloon put up by a group of
Robert:hobbyists in northern Illinois who they got together as volunteers.
Robert:They put up their own little miniature weather balloon and let it coast around the world.
Robert:And here we are shooting it down with $400,000 sidewinder missile to shoot down this totally
Robert:innocuous thing.
Robert:It's a hilarious example of sort of government
Robert:run amok where they miss a problem and then they overcompensate by.
Blair:Cleaning everything out.
Robert:Now, President Biden had a thing in a press conference.
Robert:He said, yeah, we need to clarify these rules and do a better job of coming up with the
Robert:system for identifying what's innocuous and what's not.
Robert:But it's an example where they didn't have any procedures in place, so they just sort of
Robert:careened around at random.
Blair:For a while and it's only going to get worse.
Blair:Oh, my.
Blair:Getting back to your article, what do you mean
Blair:by the power of no? Is that still part of consciousness?
Robert:Okay. That's, I think, one of the most interesting aspects of this, and it's
Robert:something I'm good to explore more in the course, which is the role of volition and
Robert:consciousness.
Robert:Now, the role of volition presents all sorts
Robert:of conundrums or paradoxes when it comes to talking about causality and cause and effect
Robert:because typically people said, well, if the universe is ruled by cause and effect, you
Robert:can't have volition.
Robert:Your choice would have to be ruled by cause
Robert:and effect.
Robert:But I make a point about how the tremendous
Robert:the biological function of the crucial function, cognitive function performed by
Robert:volition when it comes to human reasoning.
Robert:And that is I mentioned before about how Chat
Robert:gpt when you start going off, you give it the wrong prompts and you sort of start running it
Robert:off the rails.
Robert:It sort of goes like a stone rolling downhill.
Robert:And partly that's because it has no motivation, but that's also because it has no
Robert:choice as to how it goes.
Robert:If you find, I think all of us have found that
Robert:we have an idea that seems like it's plausible, it seems like it makes sense, and
Robert:we start thinking about it and then at some point we realize, you know what?
Robert:This isn't really making sense.
Robert:I've gone off on the wrong track, and at some
Robert:point we're able to say no, that's not really carrying me in the right direction.
Robert:Let me get back on track.
Robert:We're able to say no to an idea or to a chain
Robert:of reasoning true.
Robert:And that is so crucial for being able to keep
Robert:yourself oriented to reality.
Robert:And so one of the things you can observe is if
Robert:you've ever seen a conspiracy theorist coming up with his ideas or coming up with the
Robert:rationalizations, conspiracy theorists have this sort of thing where it's like they've
Robert:abandoned that power of no, that ability to say no to themselves.
Robert:So they'll say, well, look, put two and two together, follow the trail of breadcrumbs.
Robert:They like to talk about following the trail of breadcrumbs, following the clues.
Robert:And they'll follow a trail of clues off to completely nonsensical conclusions of oh,
Robert:well, see, you can see now it's a secret conspiracy and it's the freemasons and the
Robert:illuminati working to hide the evidence of such and such that come with these really
Robert:bizarre conclusions and very implausible and theories for which there's really no evidence.
Robert:But they'll do it because they start following this little chain of reasoning and they keep
Robert:following it and they keep following it without being able to stop at some point and
Robert:put it to the test of reality and say, wait a minute, wait a minute, I've followed a wrong
Robert:trail, I've gone off the wrong track.
Robert:It's a similar thing.
Robert:You'll notice that's characteristic of schizophrenics.
Robert:And these are people in whom that ability to monitor yourself and control your chain of
Robert:reasoning has actually physically been broken.
Robert:And we don't know the exact mechanisms but
Robert:something has gone wrong in the brain and they can't stop from making these associations and
Robert:they'll make these long chains of sort of nonsensical or tangential associations and
Robert:they'll just follow.
Robert:That off into spinning these weird and wild
Robert:castles in the air, these delusional theories, because they have that the ability to say no,
Robert:to stop the chain of reasoning has in some way been broken.
Robert:And that's what I mean by this role of volition, that being able to choose, I'm going
Robert:to follow this path of reasoning, and not that path is crucial to being able to keep yourself
Robert:on track and keep yourself connected to reality.
Robert:And that's one of the big things that machines don't have.
Robert:And that's why I think that this sort of overly apocalyptic view of, oh, the machines
Robert:are going to rise up and they're going to rebel against us, and they're going to control
Robert:us.
Robert:Well, the machines aren't going to have
Robert:volition.
Robert:They're not going to have the power of choice.
Robert:They won't want anything.
Robert:They won't be able to choose to do anything.
Robert:An AI program can go off the rails.
Robert:We're seeing that with some of these chat
Robert:bots, but it goes off the rails.
Robert:Not because it has some malevolent will behind
Robert:it, but because the programmer messed up and didn't program it properly or didn't put
Robert:enough guardrails, or because somebody is trying to test it and poke it and see how they
Robert:can get it to fail.
Blair:Well, that's probably why.
Blair:I mean, they didn't do that.
Blair:That's why they forgot the quality control aspect of that.
Robert:Actually, I think what they're doing actually, is by releasing something like chat
Robert:gpt out here, what they're doing is they're saying, okay, we've tested it, now we're going
Robert:to give it over to the Internet every day as a whole of the Internet to go and see how they
Robert:could make this thing fail.
Robert:And then that's going to give us a way more
Robert:information on the failure rates and the failure modes of this thing.
Blair:Well, that's probably a pretty good idea then.
Robert:Yeah. And I think that will actually lead to progress, because the ideal here, and
Robert:the positive side of this is the ideal is to get the Star Trek computer, right?
Robert:So we've all watched Star Trek where Captain kirk or Captain picard says, computer, tell me
Robert:about such and such.
Robert:And the computer almost immediately provides
Robert:an answer that is clear and concise and correct.
Robert:Often it's a very complex knowledge retrieval kind of task.
Robert:And that's the ideal that we've been working toward with Google search engines and all this
Robert:sort of thing, is the idea that you can just say, hey, Google, tell me about what was the
Robert:Polish lithuanian Commonwealth? And then suddenly, poof, up comes this concise
Robert:description of the history of the Polish lithuanian Commonwealth.
Robert:One of my favorite little historical tidbits, because it's very relevant today because it
Robert:included Ukraine and it was united against Russia.
Robert:Anyway, basically what we're doing right now in Eastern Europe is reviving the political
Robert:thruanian Commonwealth, okay? But it was also an early sort of quasi
Robert:democratic or federal system that they had an elected monarch and they had a legislature of
Robert:sorts.
Robert:Very early on, in the late Middle Ages, they
Robert:had a sort of quasi legislative system, a very fascinating history.
Robert:But the idea is you could go to Google and ask them for that.
Robert:And the ideal thing is that you have this AI system where you could just ask a question,
Robert:and it will give you a concise summary and it will be correct.
Robert:And right now it will give you a concise summary, but it may not be correct.
Blair:Okay, yeah.
Blair:Well, we talked about people's inability to
Blair:say no, if you will.
Blair:What is the actual potential of machines
Blair:assisting humans? I mean, we've also touched the ultimate goal
Blair:is, like, the Star Trek computer.
Blair:What did I adran say about their potential?
Robert:Yeah, well, I did a little sort of take off on something she said not about
Robert:artificial intelligence, but about machines like motors and engines and circuits.
Robert:She called it a frozen form of human intelligence.
Robert:And I think that's an interesting analogy.
Robert:It's a machine that's a frozen form of human
Robert:intelligence, meaning some one person figured out the principles involved, figured out how
Robert:to achieve a certain task and then froze that knowledge in the form of machine that then is
Robert:capable of doing that task, of performing that task.
Robert:So it's a frozen version of somebody has done the thinking and then that the product of that
Robert:thinking has been frozen into the form of a mechanical contraption mechanical device that
Robert:will perform a certain task.
Robert:Now, I describe artificial intelligence, the
Robert:promise of it as being human intelligence in liquid form, which is it's a more subtle
Robert:remodel.
Robert:A liquid can conform itself to the shape of
Robert:whatever container you put it in.
Robert:Artificial intelligence can alter itself to
Robert:whatever task you want it to do.
Robert:So the technology I use here is that if you
Robert:are trying to solve a task by creating automation in its current form is you create a
Robert:machine in order to make something or do something.
Robert:And if you want to do something a little different, you have to go back and you have to
Robert:redesign the machine.
Robert:Right?
Robert:So a human being has to come back and say, well, okay, how do I change this machine in
Robert:order to make two divots? When I make this widget and it's going through
Robert:a press, how do I make two grooves in it instead of one?
Robert:How do I redesign the machine to do that? And ultimately the idea is that you'll be able
Robert:to instead of having a human do that, you'll be able to have an artificial intelligence
Robert:device that says, oh, that you will say, look, redesign the machine to do that, and it will
Robert:redesign itself to do that.
Robert:And where that's closest to fruition right now
Robert:is actually, I think it's very interesting as a tool for programmers.
Robert:So chat cpt is associated with something called copilot, which is a tool for
Robert:programmers where a programmer can basically say, design me a program or a subroutine to
Robert:perform a certain task in the program and it will go out and using what's already known
Robert:about how these programs work and what accomplishes what the AI system will go and
Robert:create code that does that.
Robert:And so somebody said the promise of this is
Robert:that in 2023, the most common programming language will be English.
Robert:So the idea is that you can go and you can say to a computer in plain English, make me a
Robert:program that will do X, and then the AI can go make you a program that does that.
Robert:And apparently they have a version of this that actually works quite well.
Robert:And they found that programmers can do twice as much work in the same amount of time using
Robert:this because it automates the creation of certain kinds of programming of parts of the
Robert:program.
Robert:Now, you as the programmer, then you have to
Robert:exercise your intelligence.
Robert:You have to test it.
Robert:You have to make sure that it's done the right thing, make sure that this actually does what
Robert:you want it to do, that you got the right result.
Robert:In the same way that if you go to Google or if you go to Chat gpt and you get a result, you
Robert:have to go check to make sure you got the right result.
Robert:But the idea is that by taking a lot of routine, sort of routine thinking work and
Robert:automatizing it, you as the programmer can accomplish a whole lot more.
Robert:You can do twice as much work or with future versions, maybe three times or ten times as
Robert:much work with the same amount of effort.
Robert:I think that's the huge promise.
Blair:That's great.
Blair:That does sound great.
Blair:That's great.
Blair:Martin, you want to take over with your call
Blair:to action?
Martin:Yeah, thanks for that.
Martin:So the call to action is to go to
Martin:podcastapps.com.
Martin:That's a new domain that Adam currier and Dave
Martin:Jones of podcasting 2.0 Initiative have got.
Martin:And there you could have a list of different
Martin:podcasts, for example, fountain and where we recently got now comment on a clip that I did
Martin:on Ran.
Martin:Stay boosted to podcasting 2.0 podcast with
Martin:22195 satushes.
Martin:And if you convert that in fiat currency, it's
Martin:about $50.
Martin:And then comment on that clip that I made and
Martin:he asked about suggestions for more books by Rand.
Martin:And he sent rows of ducks or ducks in row in fiat currency around $0.50.
Martin:Like the so called artist, right? And then he says, Happy belated, Rand.
Martin:Stay to you both.
Martin:What are your personal favorite books by Rand?
Martin:I have read both The fountainhead and atlas shrugged and other recommendations.
Martin:Mere mortals, podcast.
Martin:So that's his digital telegram with Satushi's
Martin:and the question.
Martin:So, Blair, should we let Rob to answer that
Martin:also directly?
Blair:Well, if he wants to chime in, sure.
Blair:But I would just say read the other two
Blair:novels, Anthem and we the Living.
Martin:I'm reading your mind.
Blair:Start with as far as nonfiction, start with The Virtue of selfishness.
Blair:What do you say, Rob?
Robert:Well, I've got to recommend one of the things that happened is a lot of her
Robert:nonfiction articles that she did, philosophical articles she did were gathered
Robert:together in various anthologies.
Blair:That's true.
Robert:One of the last ones that was done during her lifetime was called Philosophy Who
Robert:Needs It? And notice there's no question mark there she
Robert:actually is telling you she's going to tell you who needs it.
Robert:It's a statement, not a question.
Robert:And that's the collection in which this
Robert:article that I'm based the course on, which is Causality versus 2d, that's where that was
Robert:published.
Robert:It has some of her most interesting
Robert:philosophical writing and that's a big favorite of mine and one that I would
Robert:recommend.
Martin:Great. And I will also say that we got during this period since last time we
Martin:published an episode, two more supporters of users of fountain and also a guy called Yastru
Martin:that streamed satoshis also in the past.
Martin:So you could listen to podcasts and stream and
Martin:own satucis on fountain.
Martin:But also then say, I want to stream like $0.10
Martin:every minute to podcast making this choice and getting this effect, but to support in the
Martin:podcasters.
Martin:And then also a fellow objectivist and my
Martin:friend here, roland horvat, now originally from hungary and now in Spain, also sent some
Martin:streaming satoshi.
Martin:So thanks all for that.
Blair:Very good, Robert.
Blair:I know we have to wrap up.
Blair:So once again, it was great pleasure having you on and thanks for manning the fox.
Martin:Yes, thank you very much, Rob.
Robert:It's a pleasure talking to you.
Martin:Thanks.
Blair:Thanks, man.
Martin:Thanks for now.